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Soccer Goals Syndrome – Final Review

We have reached the end of our three month trial of Soccer Goals Syndrome and here are the final results:

 

Profit/loss:    -102 points
Strike Rate:    49%
Bank Growth:    -34%
Cost:   £59.97
ROI:   -34%
Average number of bets:    3 per day
VERDICT:   FAILED
Rating: 

 

You can view full results here.

 

Soccer Goals Syndrome – Full Review

 

With a loss of 102 points, we would normally be inclined to say we were disappointed with Soccer Goals Syndrome. 

However, the word disappointment is probably inappropriate here because we were sceptical about the system right at the outset.

Basically this is a system that focuses on finding selections in matches that meet specified criteria and then placing the selections into trixies.

The results published on the website look impressive, but we had immediate concerns on viewing them.

Firstly, there is no explanation given for why some leagues are used and not others, leading us to wonder if the results had been “backfitted,” in the sense of just selecting the leagues that showed profits but without any reasoning behind why those leagues might work.

We also greatly worry about any system that presumes the bookies (and exchanges) are systematically pricing up markets wrongly.

Numerous studies have shown that over the run of a season, the markets price up matches appropriately. So 100/1 shots win 1 in a 100 matches, 200/1 shots win 1 in 200 and so on.

So whilst you may find bookies price things up wrongly for the odd match per week, to think they are systematically pricing up every match wrongly that meets a certain criteria seems fanciful. 

And so it proved during our trial.

A very poor return on investment of -34% is enough on its own to give this a failed rating.

But after seeing this profit graph you would probably also be worried:

Soccer Goal's Syndrome Profit Graph

So it probably doesn’t surprise you to learn we are giving this a failed rating and placing firmly in the scrap bin.

 

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED

We have tried a few Winningmore products over the years and sadly none of them have worked for us.

Soccer Goals Syndrome is another one to add to the list unfortunately.

We could not see any logic or explanation as to why the system would work and that was borne out by the poor results during our trial.

There was no explanation of why certain leagues are used for the system and that leads us to wonder if the results have been backfitted.

So it’s a failed verdict and time to move on quickly to the next system…

 

 

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Soccer Goals Syndrome – Results Update

4th March 2016

It has continued to be a struggle for Soccer Goals Syndrome, who have dropped a further 43 points to stand at -75 points for the trial overall.

You can view full results here.

(Our apologies for the mixed up date order in the spreadsheet – to protect the selection process we have to record all selections in a separate spreadsheet and then just record a summary of the results in the one above – which is more easily done by league than in date order).

We expressed some scepticism at the start as to whether such a broad-brush approach as that taken in this system can work and so far that scepticism has been justified.

We questioned why some leagues were used and not others, as there is no reasoning given for this in the system manual.

And with no analysis for individual selections such as looking at recent form or stats, it is difficult to see how a system like this could work in the long run.

Anyway, we have a few weeks left in the trial, so we will see if things pick up towards the end.

 

 

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Soccer Goals Syndrome – Results Update

21st January 2016

It has been a disappointing start to our trial of Soccer Goals Syndrome, which is 32 points down so far.

You can view full results here.

Basically the system revolves around putting selections in certain leagues into a trixie bet. The selections have to satisfy certain criteria and are found by having a look on Oddschecker or alternative odds comparison site. 

It has been a little quiet with the Christmas break for the European leagues, so we haven’t had a huge amount of action so far.

But we haven’t hit a successful trixie yet, which is what is really needed for this system to make a profit.

Hopefully we will have better news at the time of our next update.

 

 

 

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Soccer Goals Syndrome – New Review

14th December 2015

Today we are commencing a trial of a football betting system called Soccer Goals Syndrome from the Winningmore stable.

The system is billed as a simple one for football followers and apparently works on “most leagues around the world,” which is slightly ominous. 

Having had a look at the manual, it is indeed very straightforward and should only take a few minutes a day to find the selections.

The published results include the following leagues: 

  • English Premier League
  • German Bundesliga
  • French Ligue 1
  • Dutch Eredivisie
  • Turkish Premier League
  • N Ireland Premiership
  • Norwegian Tippeligaen
  • Brazil Serie A
  • Swedish Allsvenskan
  • South Koran League

A bit of a random assortment of leagues, not really sure why it is these ones in particular, that is not stated in the manual.

Anyway, since these are the leagues the system apparently works in, these are the ones we will record results for. 

Obviously some of these leagues are on their break now so we won’t be using all of them at the moment.

The system claims to have made 673 points profit over the 2014/15 season at a return on investment of 25%.

We are normally skeptical that a system as simple as this can be effective. Our main concern is whether the 673 points profit came from the leagues in which the system made a profit, but how did it perform in other leagues and have the system authors just cherry-picked those leagues that showed positive results?

It would be helpful to have some explanation as to why those leagues in particular were chosen and others excluded. 

Anyway, we hope our concerns prove unfounded and the system proves as effective as advertised on the website.

We will return soon with updates, but in the meantime you can check out Soccer Goals Syndrome here.

Lionel Messi

Football Fever – Final Review

We have come to the end of our trial of Football Fever and here are the final results:

 

Profit/loss:    -12 points 
Strike Rate:    46%
Bank Growth:    -24%
Cost:   £2.49 for first month then £9.95/month or £19.95/quarter 
ROI:   -7%
Average number of bets:    1 per day
VERDICT:   FAILED
Rating: 

 

You can view full results here.

 

Football Fever Full Review

 

Football Fever is a service we had high hopes for coming into the trial, thinking we may have discovered a profitable football-only tipster at last.

Sadly that hasn’t turned out to be the case during our trial, with 12 points lost, which represents a decline of the bank of 24%.

That in our view was just a borderline fail, it could have been a neutral rating but just fell into the failed category.

As you can see from the graph below, things were going well for a while but sadly really dipped in the last part of the trial in late January and February. 

Football Fever Profit Graph

Still, we think it is worth keeping an eye on Football Fever to see if results improve in the long term.

 

Service Breakdown

Ease of use: There is around just 1 bet per day, so it does not take long at all to get the bets on and you are done for the day.

Availability of prices: The prices were freely available, with most of the bets coming in the big leagues where there is plenty of liquidity.

Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 46%, which is a little lower than it needs to be to generate a profit when tipping at these prices.

Advised Betting Bank: A 50 point bank is advised for following Football Fever, which seems more than adequate to us with a strike rate close to 50% over the long term. Even with a tough run during the trial, the bank was never in jeopardy.  

Subscription costs: The subscription costs are very reasonable at £2.49 for first month then £9.95 per month or £19.95 per quarter  

 

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED

It has been a disappointing trial for Football Fever in the sense that at the outset we really thought we may have found a winning football tipster at last.

Coming into the trial they had amassed five winning months out of five at a return on investment of over 17%. 

However, as is so often the case, when it came to the live trial they sadly failed to live up to expectations.

With 12 points and 24% of the bank lost, this is just below the level of a neutral rating for us and means unfortunately we feel a failed rating is justified based on the results of our trial.

However, if they could recapture the form shown prior to our trial, then a re-rating could certainly be in order.

 

 

 

 

 

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Football Fever – Results Update

18th January 2016

The downturn has unfortunately continued for Football Fever, who have lost a further 3.5 points since our last update.

That means they are now -4 points for the trial overall.

You can view full results here.

They had a good December racking up 6 points profit but sadly January has been something of a nightmare so far with 13 points lost.

Although the trial has now been going for over 3 months, we are yet to reach the minimum 100 bet mark so we will continue things for another month or so. 

Let’s hope things finish with a flourish for Football Fever between now and then.

 

 

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Football Fever – Results Update

21st December 2015

It has been a slight downturn for Football Fever, who have lost 5 points since our last update to sit -0.58 points down so far after just over two months. 

You can view full results here.

It is a common theme with football tipsters at the moment, who pretty much all seem to be struggling. There have some funny results around to be honest, so perhaps that explains things.

Anyway, we are more or less where we started with Football Fever, so no damage done and hopefully they can kick on over the Christmas period and into the New Year.

Back soon with more updates. 

 

 

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Football Fever – Results Update

9th November 2015

It has been a strong start to our trial of Football Fever, who have amassed 4.64 points profit in the first month of the trial.

With football tipsters you do well to make 5 points or more profit per month to 1 point level stakes as you are tipping at much lower odds than horse racing. 

So we are impressed with the start made by Football Fever, which backs up the results published on the website prior to our trial.

You can view full results here.

This is a very selective service, with only around 20-30 bets per month, so a low workload to follow.

The bets are spread around the English and Scottish leagues, plus the big European leagues, so there is no issue in terms of getting bets matched etc.

Let’s hope things continue in the same vein for Football Fever. We will be back soon with further updates.

 

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Football Fever – New Review

12th October 2015

We recently wrote an article looking at who is the best football tipster, which included some of our own favourites plus an overview of some of the big names in football betting.

Truth be told, there aren’t very many successful football tipsters. That’s despite the beautiful game reportedly being the most gambled on sport in the world, with an estimated £500 billion wagered on football each year.

You would think with all that money being bet on the sport, a few people would have worked out how to make a profit out of it.

Well sadly that seems damn hard – much more difficult than horse racing for example, where there are numerous successful professional gamblers and tipsters.

We are determined however to find those diamonds in the rough – those happy few who have figured out to make money from the world’s most popular sport.

And so we were recently quite excited to come across Football Fever, which is a very promising footy tipster from the Tipster Street stables.

Football Fever

Since starting up this May they have racked up five winning months out of five, with a 60% strike rate and a very impressive 17% ROI.

Football tipsters generally do very well just to manage a 10% ROI, so the 17% achieved to date is rather eye-catching.

Their approach to football betting seems fairly selective, with on average one bet per day during the main season and quite a bit less than that during the Summer season.

Subscription costs are very reasonable at £2.49 for the first month and then £9.95 per month, £19.95 per quarter or £79.95 for life.

If this service can keep up the performance levels it has achieved so far then we may found one of those very rare birds – a football tipster that actually wins.

We will be subjecting this to our usual three month trial to see how it holds up under live test conditions.

Check back here for updates on how the trial goes.

In the meantime you can check out Football Fever here.

 

 

Ronaldo

Football Acca Tips – Final Review

We have reached the end of our three month trial of Football Acca Tips and here are the final results:

 

Profit/loss:    -113 points 
Strike Rate:    16%
Bank Growth:    -75%
ROI:   -40%
Cost:   £1 for first month then £9.99/month 
Average number of tips:    10 per week
VERDICT:   FAILED
Rating:

 

You can view full results here.

 

Football Acca Tips – Full Review

 

This has been one of those trials where unfortunately pretty much everything that can go wrong does go wrong. Sometimes that happens in betting when you just hit one of those horror runs and nothing seems to go in your favour.

With the trial finishing 113 points down and losing 75% of the bank, it is difficult to give this anything other than a failed rating.

Here are the results for the trial in graph format:

Football Acca Tips Profit Graph

As you can see, it does somewhat resemble a ski slope with just a small bounce towards the end and the graph represents what was a tough trial. 

However, as a lot of the tips recommended are accumulators, there was always the chance that if one of those had landed then things could have looked a whole lot better.

It’s a bit like golf betting where you can go a long time without a winner and be well down, then one winner at 100/1 completely changes the picture.

So we will keep an eye on things here and see if they can land a big winner or two and turn things around.

 

Service Breakdown

Ease of use: The workload is quite low with bets not coming every day, but normally just when there are Premiership/FA Cup matches and Champions League matches. There is a bit of time required to find the best odds for your accumulators, but that can be made quicker via oddschecker’s bet basket feature. 

Availability of prices: Good – with bets being in the Premiership and Champions League, liquidity is obviously good and there are no problems getting the advised prices.

Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 16%, which is obviously well below where it needs to be to make a profit.

Advised Betting Bank: The service uses a 100 point bank which resets at the start of each month (if only that would happen in real life!) but we used a 150 bank for the trial as a whole, which nearly got wiped out, decreasing by 75%.

Subscription costs: The costs are £1 per month followed by £9.99 per month.

 

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED

Well it’s tough to know what to say when things go this badly. Just one of those things in betting, they have had no luck and hit one of those horror runs.

We intend to keep an eye on things to see if they can land a big winner or two to turn things around, which can easily happen when a service tips at long odds like this one does.

 

 

 

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Football Acca Tips – Results Update

13th January 2016

It has been a miserable time for Football Acca Tips since our last update. Unfortunately they have lost a further 63 points since our last update in early December.

That means overall they are 84 points down for the trial after two months.

You can view full results here.

They do tip at big odds for some of their accas – sometimes up to 1,000/1 – so all it takes is one of those to come in and things would turn around dramatically.

We have a month to go in the trial so let’s see if they can land one of those juicy accas and end the trial in profit.

 

 

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Football Acca Tips – Results Update

2nd December 2015

It’s been a tough start to our trial of Football Acca Tips, who are 21 points down after about three weeks of tips.

You can view full results here.

They have been close with a couple of their accas though, getting 3 out of 4 on two occasions, so things could have easily been better.

They also tip at some big odds – most notably they had one tip at odds of over 5000/1 – definitely the biggest price of any tipping service we have encountered so far here at HBR!

That was for Diego Costa to score first and England to win 2-1 when Spain played England. Didn’t come in obviously, as Spain ran out easy winners in the end.

Anyway, still early days for this service and not many bets to go on so far, so plenty of time to get things back on track.

Back soon more more updates.

 

 

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Football Acca Tips – New Review

9th November 2015

To date here on Honest Betting Reviews we only have one football betting system that has successfully passed a three-month trial and that is Banker Bets. However, we do have five systems currently under review, so hopefully we will find another one soon. 

Today we are adding another football service to that list and it focuses exclusively on accumulators. The tipster in question is called Football Acca Tips.

Bookies apparently love punters who bet on accumulators – they are often seen as the ultimate “mug punters.”

Hence in the old days before internet betting (those of you old enough to remember that!) bookies used to require a minimum of trebles if you wanted to bet on football.

Can you imagine that?! Not being able to bet on a single team – bookies thought it would be too easy for punters to win.

Well fast forward 20 years and their worries were completely unfounded – even betting just on singles, most punters would still end up losing money. Yes we really are that bad at gambling.

But it did reveal two things:-

  1. That bookies thought punters had less chance of winning when they were backing multiple selections
  2. It showed just how miserable bookies really are.

Whilst recognising the tag of “mug punting” that tends to be associated with backing accumulators, at the same time I think of some of my best gambling wins and a lot of them have been accumulators. Sometimes you just get a nice combination of things you think will happen around the same time. 

For example I had a very nice one recently which included Djokovic to win the US Open, three banker Champions League matches and New Zealand to win the Rugby World Cup. 

All of those sounded quite straightforward and yet I got combined odds of just under 10/1.

And of course they all came in 🙂

So it is with interest that we head into this trial of Football Acca Tips and see if they can make a profit from backing accumulators. 

There don’t seem to be any results published on the website, so we will just have to see how things get on during the trial.

Please check back here for updates.

In the meantime you can check out Football Acca Tips here. 

 

footballers

Half Time Hero – Final Review

We have reached the end of our three month trial of Half Time Hero and here are the final results:

 

Profit/loss:    -83.25 points
Strike Rate:   43%
Bank Growth:    -28%
Cost:   £19.99 per month
ROI:   -11%
Average number of tips:    1 per day
VERDICT:   FAILED
Rating:  

 

You can view full results here.

 

Half Time Hero Full Review

 

Well this has truly been a case of “hero to zero.” 

We started off the trial with high hopes for Half Time Hero as it appeared to have come up with a novel way of approaching betting on football matches.

Taking a niche approach to betting, particularly on football, is in our opinion the key to making long-term profits. 

That is exactly what Half Time Hero did, by only betting in the first half goals market – i.e. for there to be at least one goal in the first half of selected matches.

And with promising results published on their website prior to our trial, we thought they might be onto something.

Well sadly things didn’t match our expectations at all. 

We were sitting on -83 points for the trial when the service was abruptly stopped. 

There was no e-mail saying selections would be stopping nor any explanation – we just stopped receiving selections on 18th January. We e-mailed to ask what was happening and received no response.

So then we took to going on their website and whilst there is no message on the website about the service being terminated, when you click on the subscribe button it says the service is no longer available.

What annoys us about this though is that they didn’t have the courtesy to inform us the service was finishing or provide us with an explanation.

So if we weren’t being watchful, we quite easily could have gone on paying the monthly subscription.

Fortunately we cancelled just in time before being billed again.

So all in all we are left disappointed and can only give this a FAILED rating. The results for the trial were very disappointing and it didn’t appear that they had uncovered an edge – or at least didn’t do so during our trial.

And their failure to inform us of what was happening or to respond to our e-mails adds to the disappointment here.

So its on to the next system for us and one to forget about here…

 

 

 

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Half Time Hero – Results Update

3rd January 2016

It has continued to be a struggle for Half Time Hero since our last update just over a month ago. They have dropped a further 50 points to sit at -77 points overall for the trial. 

You can view full results here.

We had high hopes for this service heading into the trial, so it has been disappointing so far after two months of the trial.

It seems that backing over 0.5 goals in the first half is not as simple as it seems. Lots of the results so far have been “pushes” – where there is a goal in the first few minutes before the bet can be matched.

And of the others where the bets have been matched, too many have failed to produce a goal.

Anyway, hopefully they can pick things up and deliver some profits in the final month of the trial.

We will return in February with our final review for Half Time Hero.

 

 

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Half Time Hero – Results Update

25th November 2015

Unfortunately it has been a slow start to our trial of Half Time Hero. So far after three weeks they are 28 points down.

You can view full results here.

This is a service that bets on there being at least one goal in the first half of selected matches. However, they bet at odds of 1.5 on every bet, so on most occasions you have to wait up until 10 minutes for the bets to get matched.

Hence quite a few bets are void as goals are scored in the first ten minutes before your bets get matched.

We did have quite high hopes for this service, so let’s hope results pick up a bit from here.

Back soon with more updates.

 

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Half Time Hero – New Review

6th November 2015

Today we are commencing a review of a new football betting system called Half Time Hero. 

As the title suggests, it focuses on bets just in the first half of matches – so that if they win, I suppose you could say you are a “half time hero” – and don’t need to worry about the rest of the match.

Specifically, they bet solely on there being a goal in the first half of a match. So you can do this either by backing over 0.5 first half goals or laying the HT 0-0 scoreline. It shouldn’t make much of a difference which you do, as they are both liquid markets and are effectively the same thing.

An interesting twist to the service though is that they only bet at odds of 1.5 (on the over 1.5 first half goals market) – which as you can imagine, means the bet will generally only be matched in-running. 

So there is the possibility that a goal will be scored before your bet is matched, meaning a void bet, but Brian who runs the service says not to worry as there will be plenty more games to bet on.

He also says most bets will be matched within the first 10 minutes, so we will see if that is reflected in the results during our trial.

The results published on the website look impressive, with over 17 points of profit since the service started in August of this year. That is very impressive for a football service backing at such low odds and equates to over 5 points profit per month so far.

There are three possible staking plans suggested:

1. Level staking using a 30 point bank – simply backing each selection for 1 point.. simple enough!

2. Perecentage bank staking – Increase your stake as your bank increase by percentage value.

3. Double or nothing! This is not quite as it sounds – it means taking your winnings from the previous bet and rolling them on to the next one. So it is high risk but Brian illustrates with an example how it can quickly escalate if you have 5 winners or so in a row.

We will use level staking for the trial however, as that is what we use for every other trial to ensure a level playing field between the services we review.

Encouragingly, you are promised that if you fail to make a profit from the selections in any given month, you will be refunded the subscription costs of £19.99. Can’t say fairer than that really!

We have to say we are quite intrigued by this service, it appears to be a beautifully simple approach but could well be profitable with the correct research done.

Anyway, as ever only time will tell. Check back here for updates on how things go during the trial.

In the meantime you can check out Half Time Hero here. 

Draw Day

Draw Day Demolition – Final Review

We have come to the end of our trial of Draw Day Demolition and here are the final results:

 

Profit/loss: -9.59 points*
Strike Rate: 71%
Bank Growth: -48%
Cost: £19.99/month, £44.99/quarter or £79.99/six months
ROI: -7%
Average number of tips: 1.3 per day
VERDICT: FAILED
Rating:

 

*Results based on the double chance. Results for backing the draw only were -8.27 points.

You can view full results here.

 

Draw Day Demolition Full Review

 

Well it has been a disappointing trial for Draw Day Demolition, who have ended up 9.59 points down backing the double chance bets and -8.27 points backing the draw. 

Here are the results in graph format:

 

Draw Day Demolition Profit Graph

Draw Day Demolition Results Graph

 

As you can see, a fairly steady decline through the trial.

The service offers you the choice of which method you want to back the selections with, but the main point is that the home side is not expected to win. So you can lay the home side, back the double chance (draw and away), back the draw no bet or back the draw.

We recorded two of the above options – the double chance, which covers most possibilities and would produce similar results to laying the home side or draw no bet – and then the draw, because that is quite a different approach, to see if it worked better.

Unfortunately, neither of the options proved particularly effective and we were left slightly scratching our heads as to the broad array of choices offered.

The question you are left with is whether the tipster is offering so many choices so that if one of them happens to work but all the others lose, they can point to the one that worked and say “hey look, that is the one you should have used.”

There wasn’t direct evidence of that here, but we still think it would be better for the service to select one approach and say this is the one to use, rather than having subscribers choose and potentially getting different results, which could be frustrating for people.

Anyway, leaving aside the issues of which betting method should be used, the results for the double chance were disappointing and represented a 48% reduction in the bank over the trial. And that was using quite a conservative bank of 20 points.

If we had used the 10% staking approach they advised, we would have lost an even greater percentage of the bank.

We are always concerned when a service tips at very short odds – the average odds here were 1.3 and you have to be very good to make long-term profit at those odds. So far the only service we have encountered that has managed to do it is Banker Bets, who have a very skilled and detailed approach to finding value at odds-on.

The other thing that concerned us about this service was the wide variety of leagues used – everything from Venezuala to Singapore, taking in the Russian third division and the Kazakhstan league along the way!

It is very difficult to become an expert in a number of leagues, but certainly extremely difficult to become an expert in such a huge number of world leagues, unless you are using software. We weren’t clear if they were using software, but the results didn’t bear out the efficacy of the software if they were.

 

Service Breakdown

Ease of use: Good – the selections are generally sent out the day before the matches, with a link to an odds comparison site where you see the best odds from the bookies, so it doesn’t take too long to place the bets. Be warned though, with such a wide variety of leagues used, you will need a large number of bookmaker accounts.

Availability of prices: Good – even with the obscure leagues, there are always bookies offering a price (a sign of the times!) which means you shouldn’t have too many problems matching the prices. 

Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 71%, which is high, but when backing at 1.3 would need to be higher to secure a long term profit.

Advised Betting Bank: An approach of using 10% of the bank on each selection was advised, which we considered was not quite sufficient so used a notional 20 point bank.

Subscription costs: Fairly standard at £19.99/month, £44.99/quarter or £79.99/six months

 

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED 

A loss of nearly half the bank when using a 20 point bank or even more when using the advised 10% approach was disappointing and on that basis alone we feel we have to give this a failed rating.

The choice of backing approaches plus the wide range of leagues used from all over the world raised additional concerns for us. 

So we still have only one recommended football service in the form of Banker Bets. Our search for others continues…

 

 

 

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Results Update

12th October 2015

There hasn’t been much movement for Draw Day Demolition, which remains in about the same place it was when we last updated it three weeks ago.

It has improved by about one point on the double chance bets and half a point on the draw bets.

Here are the totals for the trial as a whole:

Double Chance: -7.47 points

Draw: -2.2 points

You can view full results here.

We have about three weeks left in the trial, so let’s see if they can pick up a bit towards the end and at least finish in profit.

 

 

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Results Update

24th September 2015

It’s been a tough time for Draw Day Demolition since our last update, with significant losses incurred on both the double chance and draw bets. 

They have dropped 9 points on the double chance bets since our last update and 16 points on the draw bets. 

That means the totals for the trial are:

Double Chance: -8.54

Draw: -2.72 points

You can view full results here.

We are just over half way through now, so hopefully things can turn around for them before the end of the trial. 

Back soon with more updates.

 

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Results Update

6th September 2015

It’s been a solid week for Draw Day Demolition, adding 2.37 points profit for the double chance bets and 1.3 points for the draw bets.

That brings the totals so far to:

Double Chance: -0.2 points

Draw: +13.08 points

You can view full results here.

As we have said before, it seems the draw bets offer more value and so far have been performing considerably better than the double chance bets. We will see if that continues for the remainder of the trial.

 

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Draw Day Demolition – Results Update

28th August 2015

It’s been a bit of a tougher week for Draw Day Demolition, with -0.81 points since our last update for the double chance and -2.55 points on the week for the draw.

In total that means:

Double Chance: -2.57 points

Draw: +11.78 points

You can view full results here.

So things still nicely in profit for backing the draw but the double chance is slightly down.

We will be back soon with further updates. Enjoy your weekend! 

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Draw Day Demolition – Results Update

18th August 2015

We are just over two weeks into our trial of the intriguingly-named Draw Day Demolition.

We are not quite sure what they are trying to demolish – days when there are lots of draws? A particular day they dislike? We dislike Mondays on the whole, so maybe they could demolish Mondays for us. 

Anyway, how have things been going thus far?

Well, they advise a number of possibilities for backing their selections. The essence of their system is that they pick games where they think the home side will not win. 

So that leaves you with a range of options – backing the draw no bet option, backing the double chance (away and draw), hedging the draw and away win or simply backing the draw or away win.

Phew! That sounds complicated, but actually when it comes down to it you can just choose one option and then stick with it.

For the purposes of this trial, we will record results of both the double chance bets and the draw, as those are the choices used for the website results and seem the most straightforward.

So the results for these two options have been:

Double Chance: -1.76 points

Draw: +14.33 points

You can view full results here.

So quite a difference there between the double chance and the draw results.

We are not that surprised that the double chance bets are showing a loss, as they are typically at very low odds (around the 1.3 mark) and it is tough to make a profit tipping at those odds (although one of our recommended services, Banker Bets, manages it) 

The draw odds are showing promise though so we will see over the coming two and a half months whether they can keep this up – and of course if they can turn things around for the double chance bets.

In the meantime you can check out Draw Demolition here.

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Draw Day Demolition – New Review

29th July 2015

With the start of the football season just days away, it is the perfect time to start a review of a football tipster.

We are on a quest to try and find a profitable football tipster for you to go with Value Football Betting and Banker Bets.

And we think we may have uncovered something of a gem with the slightly oddly-named Draw Day Demolition.

They concentrate solely on the draw-no bet-market in football matches, focusing on matches that are highly likely to end in an away win or a draw.

According to their website, they like to keep things simple and claim that by studying historical odds and trends in matches, they have devised a winning formula to profit from football.

Draw Day DemolitionAverage odds apparently range from 1.4 to 1.6, which means we should be looking at a high strike rate of winners with this service.

There are between 5 and 15 selections per week, so we are not talking about too high a workload in terms of placing the bets by the sound of things.

The results published on the website look promising, albeit over a fairly short period. From 1st April this year they say they have made over £1800 to £100 stakes, or 18 points profit to 1 point level stakes in other words.

There are a very wide range of leagues used for the selections. Indeed, some of the teams we don’t even recognise and we are self-confessed football nuts! 🙂

So we will have to keep an eye on things like odds availability and liquidity for this one.

Fortunately they are offering a 7 day free trial to kick things off (excuse the pun) here but we will as always run the trial for at least 3 months to judge the service. 

Let’s hope this one finds the back of the net and in three months’ time we are celebrating another winning football tipster.

In the meantime, you can check out Draw Day Demolition here

over under pro final review

Over Under Pro – Final Review

Here are the final results from our trial of Over Under Pro:

Profit/loss: -11 points
Strike rate: 59%
Bank Growth: -22%
Cost: £9.99 per month
ROI: -8%
Average number of tips:  1.5 per day
VERDICT: FAILED 

 

You can view full results here

 N.B. – Over Under Pro closed its doors on 2nd June 2015 and is no longer available. 

Over Under Pro Final Review

We have come to the end of our three month trial of Over Under Pro from the Betting Gods stable and unfortunately it has not quite delivered the results we were hoping for.

The over/under 2.5 goals market is a popular one on football, often attracting large volumes of bets and second only to the match odds as the most popular of markets on Betfair. 

Basically the market is based on how many goals there will be in a match – so if there are 3 goals or more it is over 2.5 goals and 2 goals or less then it is under 2.5 goals. Very simple and only two possible outcomes.

Statistically in football there are also approximately 2.5 goals per match, so it gives a nice even point to bet around. 

It is a difficult market to get right in the long term though and I don’t know of many services or tipsters that have shown a long term profit on it.

Developing an edge that is not covered by the market has proved difficult for punters and professional gamblers alike. 

This has been the case here and an 11 point loss over the trial backs up how hard it is to make a profit on this market.

Whilst some games seem obvious contenders to be over 2.5 goals – like for example Dutch matches which are notoriously high scoring – this seems to be priced into the market. There don’t appear to be many “hidden” opportunities where there is good value to be obtained.

Sadly this tipster wasn’t quite able to enough value in its selections to turn a profit anyway.

Ease of use: Very good – bets are sent by e-mail in the morning and can be placed at Betfair or with the bookies.

Availability of prices: Good. As mentioned above, there is very good liquidity in these markets so there was little problem in obtaining the advised prices.

Strike rate: A good strike rate during our trial at 59%, but with average odds of 1.59, unfortunately that was not enough to turn a profit.

Advised Betting Bank: A 50 point betting bank is advised, which is more than ample to cover losing runs with such a high strike rate. Even with the disappointing results of this trial, we still only ended up losing 22% of our bank, so the bank was never in danger.

Subscription costs: Very reasonable at £9.99 per month

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED  

Sadly this one has to go into the failed category with an 11 point loss over the course of the trial. It is a tough market to make a profit from and they weren’t able to find enough value in their selections to make this a success.

horse racing tips today

Global Soccer Goals – Final Review

Here are the final results of our three month trial of Global Soccer Goals:

 

Profit/loss: -51 pts
Strike rate: 48%
Bank growth: -15%
Cost: £69.97
ROI: -14%
Average number of bets:  4 per day
VERDICT: FAILED 

 

You can view full results here.

 

Full Review

We’ve come to the end of our three month trial of Global Soccer Goals and unfortunately the trial has ended in a 50 point loss.

The system is based on backing set selections if a match satisfies certain criteria. It can be used across all leagues around the world and during the Summer.

I chose to use it on the seven main European leagues of England, Spain, France, Italy, Germany, Holland and Portugal. If you had used different or additional leagues then obviously you would have achieved different results to me.

I am always sceptical that a blanket approach like this can work across any league and team. Essentially the system is saying that the bookies are systematically pricing certain types of matches wrongly, day in, day out across all leagues around the world. Surely if that was the case then the market would just adjust?

I could see a system like this potentially working if you focused on certain terms who have a particular way of playing, although even then I would wonder if the market has that covered as well.

But certainly such a broad approach as this doesn’t seem to take account of the fact that a team like Barcelona, for instance, plays a very different way from a team like Juventus and therefore has different kinds of results.

I would need to see a good few seasons worth of statistics to convince me that the bookies were systematically pricing up these kinds of matches wrongly. Unless that is produced and on the basis of the trial’s results, I remain sceptical that this system can work long-term.

Ease of use: Usually takes around 5 minutes a day for find selections and another few minutes to place the bets.

Availability of prices: Good, prices are widely available and Betfair can also be used to place the bets.

Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 48%, which is a bit below the 56% stated in the system ebook.

Advised Betting Bank: A 50 point bank per league is advised, which should be more than ample to cover losing runs. I operated the system across 7 leagues so had a 350 point bank, which was never in danger of being lost.

Cost: The system is available for a one-off payment of £69.97.

OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED 

Unfortunately Global Soccer Goals has failed to live up to expectations during our trial and with a 51 point loss has to go into the failed category. 

You can get Global Soccer Goals here