Best AI Football Predictions: What You Need to Know Before Trusting the Bots

Football fans and bettors alike are always on the lookout for an edge, and in recent years, AI has been touted as the next big thing in football predictions.

Many sites are now offering free football predictions powered by AI to attract as many users as possible.

With the ability to analyse loads of data and spit out accurate predictions, AI prediction platforms seem like the perfect tool for those who want to predict match outcomes.

But is AI as good as it says?

Let’s get into the world of AI football predictions and find the best resources while also highlighting the things you need to be aware of.

What are AI Football Predictions?

AI football predictions are a new way of predicting football match outcomes using artificial intelligence.

These predictions are based on historical data, including team performance and player stats.

The aim is to provide accurate and reliable predictions so football fans and punters can make better decisions.

By using AI technology these predictions try to give users a deeper insight into upcoming matches and give them an edge in their betting strategies.

The Rise of AI in Football Predictions

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is everywhere and football is no exception.

From FiveThirtyEight’s Soccer Power Index (SPI) to Kickoff AI, many platforms are now using complex algorithms to predict football match outcomes.

These models analyse loads of factors—team performance, player stats, historical data, even weather conditions—to calculate the probability of different match results.

And chat bots like Chat GPT are getting into the prediction game, providing insights on possible outcomes and highlighting key players or trends to look out for.

On paper this sounds like a dream come true for anyone who loves football and wants to get an edge in betting or fantasy football.

These platforms are supposed to be the one-stop-shop for football predictions and will appeal to many users.

But before you put all your trust in the machines it’s important to remember that AI football predictions are not perfect.

The Reality: Few AI Sites with Verified Results

One major problem with AI football predictions is the lack of verified results.

A quick Google search for “AI Football Predictions” shows dozens of sites claiming to use AI. But few publish their actual results, and fewer still show the profit or loss from following their predictions.

If you search on Google for “AI Football Predictions” you’ll find dozens of sites claiming to use AI to predict football matches.

But none of those sites publish their full results or even state the profit/loss from following their predictions – let alone have their results verified.

Many AI prediction sites are new and just using the AI buzz as a marketing gimmick to get attention for their tips.

And while there are other sites that are using AI and look promising, most of them haven’t proven their long term reliability.

For example FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is one of the more established models and their predictions are often quoted in the media.

However, even this model has its limitations and is not immune to unexpected results—like a star player getting injured or a team pulling off a surprise upset.

FiveThirtyEight don’t publish the profit/loss (P/L) that would be made from following their predictions although they have published an analysis of the accuracy of their predictions which found “all our forecasts performed better than an unskilled forecast.”

So there’s some value in their predictions and they say their political predictions, especially for US House of Representative races, perform best.

What’s needed with sites like FiveThirtyEight and other AI prediction engines is testing to see if you can make a profit from following their predictions – not just how accurate they are.

A site could be 80% accurate in their predictions but you could still lose money from backing those predictions, as they may not be finding value in their predictions – or in other words not finding instances where the odds are higher than they should be.

Until that happens the bottom line is that while AI is exciting, there are very few AI prediction sites with verified results. So be cautious with these tools.

But there are a small number of sites such as the three listed above (Mercurius Tradr, WinnerOdds and Predictology) that use AI and do have verified, profitable results.

We will keep an eye out for any others that pop up and will update things here if they do.

The Best AI Football Predictions

While the world of AI football predictions is still evolving, as we say there are very few AI platforms right now that have produced proven, profitable results.

There are a lot of sites offering “AI Football Predictions” but many of them don’t have published results, or are only claiming to use AI because it’s a buzzword and is likely to attract customers.

Now though, let’s take a look at three of the best AI football prediction sites with both published P/L records and verified results:

3. Mercurius Tradr

Website: Mercurius Tradr

Mercurius Tradr is an AI driven platform that provides advanced betting strategies by analysing historical data and market trends.

Mercurius’s AI analyses over 20,000 data points in a football match so their machine learning algorithms can understand the real attacking and defensive strength of a team.

These data points include:

Corners
Shot locations
Probability of scoring from certain areas.

It operates much like xG but with many more data points.

These ratings are then used by Mercurius’s mathematical models to forecast the probability of the most likely outcome of a match and hence the fair odds.

The AI can also predict scenarios such as whether at least one goal will be scored in the first half of a match.

Mercurius Tradr’s AI made a 2% return on investment over 1436 bets.

But then a European fintech company bought the program and took it private so it’s not available to the public at the moment.

It shows what can be done with Mercurius’s model and the kind of edge AI can give in football which the fintech company who bought it clearly saw.

If Mercurius becomes available to the public again we’ll let you know.

2. WinnerOdds

Website: WinnerOdds

WinnerOdds is an AI powered tool to help bettors find value bets in football (and other sports).

The AI analyses a database of over one million matches, nine thousand teams, odds from 10 bookmakers and 50m records of odds.

It then calculates what the odds for a match should be and compares them to the odds from the bookies.

WinnerOdds looks for bets where the odds are higher than they should be and therefore in favour of the bettor.

It then alerts the user when these opportunities arise, telling them which bookies to use and the stake based on the user’s betting bank.

The results so far have been very good, €7,400 profit at €10 per point, 7% return on investment and 54% strike rate.

The platform is transparent, users get detailed performance reports and historical data.

The football platform is currently closed to new users but there is a waiting list.

Alternatively WinnerOdds also have a tennis platform which is open to new users and has made over €156,000 in total to €10 stakes.

1. Predictology

Website: Predictology

Predictology is a football prediction platform that uses AI and machine learning to provide detailed predictions and betting insights.

The platform uses a database of over 350,000 football matches worldwide to create and refine football strategies.

Predictology has tips backed by AI to help you make informed betting decisions.

It also has lots of tools, statistical models, betting strategies and real-time match data.

Predictology’s strength is its flexibility, it’s suitable for both new and experienced bettors. There are pre-designed systems for members to use or you can create your own using the AI platform.

During our own live trial of Predictology we followed the pre-designed systems with daily selections sent to us via email and the results were very good.

The systems made 38 points profit with a 52% win rate.

Predictology also has automation options (extra cost) so you can set and run systems yourself.

It is undoubtedly one of the best uses of AI to generate football predictions we’ve seen and has a proven track record of success.

How AI Football Predictions Work

AI football predictions use machine learning algorithms to analyse massive amounts of match data.

These systems consider:

Team performance
Player stats
Head-to-head records
Situational factors like weather

The AI processes this data to produce predictions, which are often presented as probabilities or odds.

This detailed analysis allows for more accurate predictions, giving users a competitive edge in their bets.

AI Football Predictions Benefits

One of the biggest benefits of AI football predictions is their potential for accuracy.

By using advanced algorithms and large datasets AI can in theory produce predictions that are more reliable than traditional methods.

This would be great for football fans and bettors who want to get ahead of the game and make informed decisions.

Accurate football predictions would increase your chances of making a profit and reduce your losses.

Whether you’re following the Premier League, Champions League or other football leagues, AI holds the potential to provide you with the most comprehensively researched football predictions possible.

Why AI Is Still in Its Infancy

AI is powerful but when it comes to football matches it’s still in its infancy.

Football is a very dynamic sport and the outcome of a match can be influenced by so many variables.

While AI models are great at processing historical data and finding patterns, they struggle to account for real-time factors that can change a game.

For example team news, last minute injuries or tactical changes can completely flip a match on its head.

A star player getting injured during the warm-up, a sudden change in weather, or the emotional state of a team after a win or loss are factors that are hard for AI to predict.

This is why AI predictions should be seen as one piece of the jigsaw rather than the whole answer.

They can be useful but are not foolproof.

The Future: AI’s Potential in Football Predictions

Despite its limitations AI’s role in football predictions will only get bigger in the coming years.

As technology advances and more data becomes available AI models will get better at accounting for the subtleties of the game.

Some platforms are already working on incorporating real-time data, live match stats and breaking news to refine their predictions.

Imagine a world where AI can adjust its predictions in real-time if a key player is ruled out 5 minutes before kick-off or react to a sudden change in weather that will affect the game.

As these technologies advance we could see AI predictions becoming more accurate and reliable.

Then the question would be: would bookmakers not have their own AI models that would be just as accurate and produce the same odds for a match as an AI prediction website?

Well that’s a possibility. Bookies are probably already working on their own AI and they will end up with good ones.

Then it will be a “battle of the AIs” to see whose is better: the bookies’ or the bettors’ AI.

At this stage it’s all speculation but whatever happens with AI football predictions in the future it will be fun to watch.

Conclusion – Treat AI Predictions with Caution

For now be careful with AI football predictions that don’t have an independently verified track record.

There are many sites out there just jumping on the AI bandwagon and hoping to make a quick buck from the hype.

If they don’t even tell you if their predictions have made a profit – let alone give you a full record of their results and an independent source of verification then you should be wary of those sites.

In summary AI football predictions are exciting but are a work in progress.

There are a few like those above with verified and consistent results and they look good.

As to how AI will develop in the future for football predictions only time will tell.

Just remember the beautiful game is called unpredictable for a reason so maybe AI will never crack it.

For the traditionalists among us who like human skill in predicting a game, let’s hope so!