Back of the Net – Results Update

There has been a slight drop for football laying service Back of the Net over the last month, with a loss of 5 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 10 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), there was no change to the net P/L since our last update, meaning they are still 12 points up for our trial to date at 1 point level stakes. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In previous updates we have mentioned our concerns about price availability and we have been tracking the prices we have been able to achieve in the second tab of our results spreadsheet. 

So far these show we have been getting an average of 0.09 ticks worse than the official results. However, we do need more data on this before drawing any conclusions so will continue tracking available odds going forward.  

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

30th December 2024

A slight step backwards lately for football laying service Back of the Net, with a loss of 2 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 15 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they have made 1 point profit since our last update and are 12 points up for our trial to date. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In our last update we noted some issues with odds availability, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

It is worth noting that in their official results, they do record the lay odds as around 10 ticks higher than contained in their e-mail, which seems reasonable. 

We have started tracking the available odds in games where we are able to (which you can see in the second tab of our results spreadsheet) and sometimes they are more than 10 ticks higher than the e-mail and a few ticks higher than the official results.

However, generally it only seems to be a few ticks higher than the official results so in the main it shouldn’t make too much difference to your overall results. It is something we will aim to keep tracking in any event.   

It is also worth noting that in their official results they exclude any wins where a goal was scored within 5 minutes of the alert being sent out, which is pretty fair of them and means you could wait a few minutes for the odds to tick down a bit before taking the lay bet. 

Generally odds availability seems to be more of an issue in low-liquidity matches than in the big games, which is understandable really given lots of people are queuing up to place lay bets on the draw.

In any event, as we say we don’t think the odds availability is a huge issue but just something to keep an eye on moving forward. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

19th November 2024

It’s been a good start to our trial of football laying service Back of the Net, with a profit of 17 points made so far to advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again). 

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they are 11 points up so far. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

We have noted some issues with odds availability so far, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

This may be due to weight of money from subscribers to Back of the Net all entering the market at the same time and pushing the odds out – particularly on some very illiquid markets that the bets are sometimes in. 

In any event, even allowing for this the results have been so good you would still be well up so far.  

Also just to note that most of the selections are to be laid on Betfair but there is the occasional one that isn’t available on the exchanges. In such cases you can just use the bookies and back the home and away teams to win. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – New Review

15th October 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football betting service called Back of the Net (or Back of the Net Profit Bundle to give it its full title).

This is a service from Andrew David who regularly readers may know from Little Acorns fame.

Little Acorns is a horse racing betting system that Andrew developed over 10 years ago and has won multiple awards over the years, including our very own Best Horse Racing service a few times.

So Andrew knows what he is doing and we are always keen to hear about anything new he is developing.

Well his latest offering, Back of the Net, uses in-play data and statistics to identify lay the draw opportunities late in football matches.

The system uses filters that consider multiple factors, indicating when a goal is likely.

When it finds an opportunity for the deadlock to be broken in a game, subscribers receive an alert by e-mail.

The alerts come with clear step-by-step instructions, making it easy to follow, even for beginners in lay the draw betting.

Typically, the lay prices of the selected bets range from 1.40 to 1.70, meaning liabilities are low.

Since launching in May 2023, the reported results for Back of the Net are impressive, with over 70 points profit made using a modified form of Fibonacci staking.

Fibonacci staking, in case you are not aware, is where you bet 1 point, then 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 points and so on until you either hit a winner or keep losing until the sequence is completed. Either way you go back to the beginning.

They use a slightly modified form of the sequence, but the process is the same.

For someone staking £25 per point using their Fibonacci staking, that equates to over £1,750 in profit.

The strike rate has also been strong, standing at a notable 41% so far.

Crunching the numbers from their results spreadsheet, our calculations are that the selections would have produced around 50 points profit at level stakes aswell, which is very good indeed. 

So for those who find Fibonacci staking a little hair-raising, it looks like level stakes have also worked well.  

All in all then this looks like a very promising service and we are eager to put it through its paces under a live trial. 

We have been receiving alerts for around a week now so will record results from when we started receiving alerts and will update things here as we go along. 

In the meantime you can check out Back of the Net for yourself here.

 

 

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