Back of the Net – Final Review

We have come to the end of our six month trial of football laying service Back of the Net and here are the final results:-

 

Profit/Loss:	+34 points*
Strike Rate:	41%
Bank Growth:	113%
ROI:	9%
Average number of bets:	4 bets per day
Cost:	£19.87 for 1st month then £29.87/month
VERDICT:	PASSED
Rating:

 

You can view full results here.

* Please note results are for level stakes betting. Using the recommended Fibonacci staking, a profit of 45 points was made.

 

Back of the Net – Full Review

 

Back of the Net is a football laying service run by Andrew David, the man behind the long-running and highly rated Little Acorns system.

With that kind of pedigree, we were eager to see how his football service would fare—and we’re glad to report it lived up to expectations.

The service sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw opportunities in-play on the exchanges, typically late on in football matches.

The idea is to take advantage of games where a goal is statistically likely, allowing you to lay the draw at low odds (typically 1.40 to 1.90), limiting liability.

Staking System

The advised staking is a modified Fibonacci sequence—starting with 1pt and increasing through 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6.5 and so on until a winner is hit. At that point, the sequence resets.

This approach helps claw back losses when there’s a losing run, but as with any progressive staking system, it’s not for the faint-hearted.

However, we also tracked the performance using level staking (laying each selection to win 1 point), to give a clear picture of the profitability of selections in themselves rather than due to any staking system used.

We believe given the results discussed below level stakes may be a more appealing route for many subscribers due to their simplicity and lower risk.

Results Analysis

Looking at the final results for Back of the Net using level stakes, the performance was very encouraging.

Over the course of our six-month trial, the service produced a steady stream of profits, showing good consistency.

A 34-point profit to level stakes is an excellent return, particularly for a laying system where liabilities are typically kept low (due to laying at odds between 1.40 and 1.90, with the average being 1.6).

The 41% strike rate is right around the sweet spot for lay the draw betting—high enough to keep drawdowns manageable, but not so high that it raises questions about sustainability.

It’s clear the system is good at identifying games where a goal is likely in the closing stages.

Meanwhile, a return on investment (ROI) of 9% is strong, especially for a service laying at odds-on. 

That shows this isn’t just a case of chipping away slowly—it has real potential to build a bank over time.

Speaking of which, the 113% bank growth is one of the standout figures from the trial. More than doubling your bank in six months is a great result, particularly if you were following level stakes and keeping your risk profile lower.

These figures suggest that Back of the Net doesn’t rely solely on its Fibonacci-style staking plan to generate profit—the selections themselves are solid, with the stats to back them up. That’s a big tick in the box for the underlying quality of the service.

The results using the adjusted Fibonacci staking were also very good, with a profit of 45 points made for our trial. 

All in all, the final results point to a well-performing system that offers both profitability and manageable risk, particularly when using the more conservative level staking approach.

Odds Availability

One of the key points we monitored during the trial was odds availability. As these are in-play alerts, getting matched at the advised prices can sometimes be tricky, especially in lower-liquidity markets.

We found that in most cases, the actual odds available on Betfair were a few ticks higher than the official advised prices—nothing too dramatic, but still something to be aware of.

Importantly, the service does exclude any wins from their official results if a goal is scored within five minutes of the alert being sent, which is a fair and transparent policy.

It also gives you a bit of leeway if you want to wait for slightly better odds before placing your lay bet.

For matches not available on Betfair, the alternative is to back both teams to win at the bookies, effectively creating a lay-the-draw position.

However, we found that in these cases, the effective odds were sometimes less favourable, so it’s generally better to stick to Betfair where possible and to avoid these games in general.

 

Service Breakdown

Ease of use: The selections are sent out via e-mail and can come at any time as they are in-play in matches around the globe. This means that inevitably you won’t be able to follow every selection but it’s okay if you miss a few – there are plenty more and results should average out over time. 

Availability of prices: As discussed above, price availability was an issue during the trial. Generally we were getting a few ticks worse than the official results on average. Over the course of hundreds of selections this will dent your returns, so we would say be prepared to take perhaps a third to a half less profit overall than the official results. That still leaves very healthy profits, however, given that 34 points profit was made during our trial. 

Strike rate: The strike rate for our trial was good at 41%, which kept things ticking along nicely and meant a strong profit was made at the odds tipped at.  

Advised Betting Bank: A 100 point bank is recommended if you are using the adjusted Fibonacci, which seems reasonable to us. For level stakes we used a 30 point bank which given the average stake of 0.6 points and the solid strike rate of 41%, was more than sufficient during our trial. 

Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £19.87 for the first month then £29.87 per month thereafter. 

OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED

Overall, Back of the Net has proven itself to be a reliable and well-thought-out football laying service. It combines smart use of in-play data, automated alerts, and a decent strike rate to produce consistent profits.

The results over our six-month trial were impressive, with 34 points profit made using level staking and over 100% bank growth. Using their adjusted Fibonacci staking system, the service also made 45 points profit our trial. 

The only real downside is the occasional issue with odds availability, particularly on more obscure matches. It was tough to match the official results as the odds were typically a few ticks worse than they record in their results, so in reality you would have to expect to make a little less profit than the official results.

Given the excellent profits made though, this gives quite a bit of leeway to still make a decent return following the service. 

If you’re looking for a simple, well-run lay-the-draw system with a good track record, Back of the Net is definitely worth checking out.

👉 You can check out Back of the Net here.

 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

4th March 2025

It’s been a good month for football laying service Back of the Net, with a profit of 4 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 14 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they have made a profit of 3 points since our last update, meaning they are now 15 points up for our trial to date at 1 point level stakes. 

So it looks like level stakes are a more favourable option here for following these picks, both from a profitability/ROI standpoint and from a simplicity/risk perspective.

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In previous updates we have mentioned our concerns about price availability and we have been tracking the prices we have been able to achieve in the second tab of our results spreadsheet.

One thing that we do note is that for the picks that are not available on Betfair, the effective odds available at the bookies (i.e. by backing both teams to win) do not appear to offer value as the effective odds are significantly higher for those selections. 

For those matches that are available on Betfair, we are still recording higher odds than the official ones, but given the overall profits achieved the service should still be worth following – it’s just that the profit would be somewhat lower than the official results.

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

30th January 2025

There has been a slight drop for football laying service Back of the Net over the last month, with a loss of 5 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 10 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), there was no change to the net P/L since our last update, meaning they are still 12 points up for our trial to date at 1 point level stakes. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In previous updates we have mentioned our concerns about price availability and we have been tracking the prices we have been able to achieve in the second tab of our results spreadsheet. 

So far these show we have been getting an average of 0.09 ticks worse than the official results. However, we do need more data on this before drawing any conclusions so will continue tracking available odds going forward.  

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

30th December 2024

A slight step backwards lately for football laying service Back of the Net, with a loss of 2 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 15 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they have made 1 point profit since our last update and are 12 points up for our trial to date. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In our last update we noted some issues with odds availability, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

It is worth noting that in their official results, they do record the lay odds as around 10 ticks higher than contained in their e-mail, which seems reasonable. 

We have started tracking the available odds in games where we are able to (which you can see in the second tab of our results spreadsheet) and sometimes they are more than 10 ticks higher than the e-mail and a few ticks higher than the official results.

However, generally it only seems to be a few ticks higher than the official results so in the main it shouldn’t make too much difference to your overall results. It is something we will aim to keep tracking in any event.   

It is also worth noting that in their official results they exclude any wins where a goal was scored within 5 minutes of the alert being sent out, which is pretty fair of them and means you could wait a few minutes for the odds to tick down a bit before taking the lay bet. 

Generally odds availability seems to be more of an issue in low-liquidity matches than in the big games, which is understandable really given lots of people are queuing up to place lay bets on the draw.

In any event, as we say we don’t think the odds availability is a huge issue but just something to keep an eye on moving forward. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

19th November 2024

It’s been a good start to our trial of football laying service Back of the Net, with a profit of 17 points made so far to advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again). 

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they are 11 points up so far. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

We have noted some issues with odds availability so far, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

This may be due to weight of money from subscribers to Back of the Net all entering the market at the same time and pushing the odds out – particularly on some very illiquid markets that the bets are sometimes in. 

In any event, even allowing for this the results have been so good you would still be well up so far.  

Also just to note that most of the selections are to be laid on Betfair but there is the occasional one that isn’t available on the exchanges. In such cases you can just use the bookies and back the home and away teams to win. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – New Review

15th October 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football betting service called Back of the Net (or Back of the Net Profit Bundle to give it its full title).

This is a service from Andrew David who regularly readers may know from Little Acorns fame.

Little Acorns is a horse racing betting system that Andrew developed over 10 years ago and has won multiple awards over the years, including our very own Best Horse Racing service a few times.

So Andrew knows what he is doing and we are always keen to hear about anything new he is developing.

Well his latest offering, Back of the Net, uses in-play data and statistics to identify lay the draw opportunities late in football matches.

The system uses filters that consider multiple factors, indicating when a goal is likely.

When it finds an opportunity for the deadlock to be broken in a game, subscribers receive an alert by e-mail.

The alerts come with clear step-by-step instructions, making it easy to follow, even for beginners in lay the draw betting.

Typically, the lay prices of the selected bets range from 1.40 to 1.70, meaning liabilities are low.

Since launching in May 2023, the reported results for Back of the Net are impressive, with over 70 points profit made using a modified form of Fibonacci staking.

Fibonacci staking, in case you are not aware, is where you bet 1 point, then 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 points and so on until you either hit a winner or keep losing until the sequence is completed. Either way you go back to the beginning.

They use a slightly modified form of the sequence, but the process is the same.

For someone staking £25 per point using their Fibonacci staking, that equates to over £1,750 in profit.

The strike rate has also been strong, standing at a notable 41% so far.

Crunching the numbers from their results spreadsheet, our calculations are that the selections would have produced around 50 points profit at level stakes aswell, which is very good indeed. 

So for those who find Fibonacci staking a little hair-raising, it looks like level stakes have also worked well.  

All in all then this looks like a very promising service and we are eager to put it through its paces under a live trial. 

We have been receiving alerts for around a week now so will record results from when we started receiving alerts and will update things here as we go along. 

In the meantime you can check out Back of the Net for yourself here.