Correct Score Trading – A Guide

One of the most widely favored markets for trading in the realm of football is the correct score market. In the following sections, we’ll delve into an examination of how this market operates, explore the pros and cons of trading within it, and introduce a variety of strategies that you might consider implementing in your trading endeavors.

 

What is the Correct Score Market?

The correct score market is relatively simple to grasp: it involves making predictions about the final score of a football match. This score is determined by the outcome of the match during regular playing time (i.e., 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time) and does not take into account any extra time or penalty shootouts that might occur.

When examining the correct score market on platforms like Betfair, it typically appears in the following format:

All scores from 0-0 to 3-3 are explicitly listed, followed by “Any other home win,” “Any other away win,” and “Any other draw” options.

The “any other” scores encompass any outcomes not explicitly mentioned, essentially covering scorelines that involve four or more goals for one side.

On the Betfair platform, you can choose to either support (back) or oppose (lay) the specific scores you desire.

 

Why Trade the Correct Score Market?

It’s worth considering the reasons for engaging in trading within the correct score market.

First and foremost, this market boasts exceptional liquidity on Betfair, offering ample opportunities to exit your position at any given moment and ensuring favorable value in your trades.

Furthermore, trading in this market can offer distinct advantages over traditional betting. You have the ability to monitor a game in real-time, adjusting your position based on the number of goals scored. This flexibility allows you to hedge your bets effectively, covering multiple scorelines and adapting your strategy as the game unfolds, although we will delve into various strategies in more depth later on.

The correct score market also provides opportunities for hedging. For instance, if you anticipate one team winning comfortably without being certain of the exact score, you could back options like 2-0, 3-0, and Any Other Home, broadening your exposure.

Moreover, in the correct score market, you can even cover the possibility of both teams emerging victorious. This might be useful if you expect a high-scoring match but are unsure about the ultimate winner.

 

 

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Things to Watch Out for with Correct Score Trading 

Whilst there are a number of advantages to trading the Correct Score market, there are some things to watch out for.

First and foremost, it’s essential to be mindful of the possibility of a rapid follow-up goal occurring shortly after you’ve executed a trade, potentially leaving you vulnerable to losses in specific scenarios. While such situations are infrequent, it’s a consideration worth keeping in mind.

Another important factor to exercise caution with is the structure of the Betfair correct score market, especially the inclusion of the “any other” options, which encompass scenarios where at least one team scores four or more goals. This means that you cannot place bets on specific scorelines exceeding four goals, such as 4-0 or 4-1, for instance. Although there is a “correct score 2” market that theoretically allows for this, it’s generally not recommended due to low liquidity.

 

Best Exchange for Correct Score Trading

We recommend the Betfair exchange for correct score trading as it is the most liquid and covers the greatest number of matches. Alternatively, Smarkets is also a good exchange with growing liquidity. 

 

Correct Score Trading Strategies

Now we will take a look at two strategies for trading the correct score market, one in matches expected to be high scoring and one for matches expected to be low scoring.

 

Strategy One – High Scoring Matches

One strategy for trading within the correct score markets involves selecting a range of potential score outcomes in a match where you believe a specific outcome is probable.

For instance, if you anticipate a closely contested match with a high likelihood of multiple goals being scored, you might choose to cover a variety of scorelines, such as 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 3-1, and 1-3.

An illustration of this approach is provided in the example below, taken from the Community Shield game featuring Arsenal and Chelsea.

 

Here we have backed a range of different scorelines, where we think there will be at least two goals.

You can set this up to make approximately the same profit if any of your scorelines are hit by using Bet Angel software and choosing the dutching option.

As you can observe, by placing bets on these selected scorelines, there’s a potential opportunity to win approximately £10 while carrying a liability of £10 if any of the chosen scorelines materialize.

However, our strategy doesn’t involve merely placing these bets and letting them ride; instead, we plan to actively trade them.

The approach we’ll employ is to monitor the match’s progression and ideally exit our positions when goals are scored.

If we find ourselves in the second half with a score of 1-1 or 2-1 in favor of either team, we’ll have the opportunity to secure a profitable outcome without needing to worry about the final score, including scenarios we haven’t backed, such as 3-2.

In the provided example, Chelsea scored early in the second half, which put us in a favorable position.

All that remained was the occurrence of one more goal to secure a decent profit. We had to wait until late in the game, but fortunately, Arsenal equalized in the 82nd minute. This allowed us to execute a trade and lock in a profit of at least £8.53, regardless of the final result.

If there were concerns about holding the trade until late in the game, an alternative approach would have been to trade out earlier, accepting a loss of around 20-30% of the liability. However, based on the game’s unfolding dynamics, there appeared to be a reasonable opportunity for another goal, so we decided to remain in the trade.

The decision of whether to stay in or exit a trade depends on your individual trading style and how the game is evolving. This judgment comes with experience.

Now, let’s turn our attention to a second example, this time involving a match with a low scoring expectation.

 

 

 

Strategy Two – Low Scoring Matches

Alternatively, you might have the belief that a particular game will have a limited number of goals scored.

In this scenario, let’s examine the match featuring Rosenborg and Celtic in the Champions League. It’s anticipated to be a closely contested match, with the match odds reflecting this balance, where Celtic is priced at 2.28 and Rosenborg at 3.45.

The odds for under 2.5 goals are set at 1.86, suggesting a low-scoring game. However, you might be uncertain about the victor. Consequently, you could choose to cover a range of scorelines, such as 1-0, 1-1, and 2-0 for each team.

 

We use Bet Angel’s dutching tool to back all the scores so that we get the same amount of profit if any of them win. 

If you don’t have access to trading software like Bet Angel, you can also calculate and manage your trades manually.

Now, let’s observe how the game unfolds as it goes in-play.

At halftime, the score stands at 0-0, affirming our earlier prediction of a low-scoring game. This situation sets the stage for a promising opportunity to trade out for a profit if a goal is scored in the second half.

The 69th minute brings good news as Celtic scores a goal. At this point, we can execute a trade to secure a profit, and it’s worth noting that this profit is substantial, regardless of the final outcome.

To achieve this, all we need to do is click the “cash out” button, and Betfair will handle the rest, finalizing our trade for us.

In these examples, we’ve managed to secure a minimum profit of £9.17, regardless of the final outcome, with a maximum initial investment of £10. However, it’s worth noting that if a goal had been scored early in the game, we could have closed out our trades to prevent the full £10 loss.

These cases illustrate how trading the correct score markets with a range of scores in mind allows us to capitalize on in-game opportunities for profit without being overly concerned about the final score.

It’s crucial to acknowledge that not every game will unfold in our favor as demonstrated here. There will be instances where we need to trade out for a loss. This is an inherent aspect of trading, and it’s essential to adhere to a disciplined approach, avoiding the temptation to chase losses by risking more than intended.

 

Looking for more Correct Score Trading Strategies? 

So there are a couple of correct score trading strategies to get you going. 

However, you may be looking for something a bit more in-depth and to progress to expert correct score trading. If so, we have a couple of packages you may wish to check out:-

1. Goal Profits

 

Goal Profits is a renowned and award-winning platform offering an extensive array of football trading strategies, backed by a wealth of knowledge and experience in the trading domain. As a member of Goal Profits, you gain access to a comprehensive package that includes:

1. Diverse Trading Strategies: You’ll have access to 16 different trading strategies, each designed to cater to various aspects of football trading. These strategies encompass not only correct score methods but also alternative approaches, such as variations of lay the draw and halftime strategies. This breadth of strategies ensures that you have a wide range of tools at your disposal.
2. Training and Education: Goal Profits provides in-depth training materials to help you progress from a novice to a full-time trader. You’ll receive guidance on mastering the intricacies of football trading, equipping you with the knowledge and skills needed to succeed in the market.
3. Community Interaction: Joining Goal Profits also grants you access to a vibrant community of fellow traders. You can engage in discussions, share trading ideas, and learn from the experiences of other members. The platform fosters a collaborative environment where traders can support one another.
4. Live Expert Insights: Stay updated with live experts who offer insights and advice as games unfold. This real-time guidance can be invaluable when making trading decisions.
5. Team Stats Database: The “Team Stats” database is a treasure trove of football-related information and statistics. It serves as a valuable resource for conducting research and analysis, helping you make informed trading decisions.
6. Ongoing Support: Goal Profits provides ongoing support to assist you in your trading journey. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, having access to support can be instrumental in your development.

In summary, Goal Profits offers a comprehensive and multifaceted approach to football trading. With a diverse range of trading strategies, educational resources, a supportive community, live expert insights, and a wealth of statistical data, it provides an ideal platform for individuals looking to elevate their football trading skills and take their trading endeavors to the next level.

 

2. Assured Soccer Profits

Assured Soccer Profits offers an alternative approach to football trading, focusing specifically on the correct score markets. When you become a member of this system, you gain access to a range of resources and support to help you understand and profit from their unique strategy. Here’s what you can expect as a member:

1. Comprehensive Learning Material: Members receive PDF guides and training videos that provide detailed explanations of the Assured Soccer Profits strategy. These resources serve as your educational foundation, helping you grasp the intricacies of the system.
2. Video Demonstrations: The platform offers over 20 videos demonstrating live examples of the strategy in action. These real-world examples can be immensely valuable for visual learners and provide practical insights into how the system operates.
3. Support and Assistance: Assured Soccer Profits offers e-mail support to address any questions or concerns you may have as you navigate and apply their trading strategy. Having access to support ensures you can get clarification and assistance when needed.
4. Market Evolution and Analysis: The system keeps you updated with ongoing ideas and analysis as Betfair markets evolve. This proactive approach allows you to adapt your trading strategies in response to changing market conditions and emerging opportunities.
5. Unique Trading System: Assured Soccer Profits is known for its unique trading system specifically tailored to correct score markets. It’s designed to bring in regular profits when applied correctly.

While the Assured Soccer Profits strategy may take some time to learn and practice effectively, it offers a distinct and original approach to football trading, particularly within the correct score markets. If you’re willing to put in the effort to master this strategy, it has the potential to become a valuable tool for generating consistent profits in football trading.

 

Conclusion – Correct Score Trading

The correct score market stands out as one of the most liquid and appealing options on Betfair, drawing significant interest from the trading community. One of the reasons for its popularity is the multitude of trading opportunities it offers, compared to many other football markets that often have just two or three possible outcomes.

In the previous discussions, we’ve introduced a couple of potential strategies to kickstart your journey into correct score trading. These strategies can serve as a valuable foundation for understanding the market dynamics.

If you’re seeking more in-depth approaches or looking to further enhance your trading skills, there are additional options to explore.

In any case, as you embark on your trading endeavors, we wish you the best of luck. It’s important to remember to always gamble responsibly and within your means. Trading, like any form of betting or investment, should be approached with care and discipline.

 

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