Football Betting Advice
Are you ready to take your football betting game to the next level? Look no further because this ultimate guide is here to provide you with expert advice, winning strategies, and valuable tips to maximize your success.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, this comprehensive guide will equip you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions and increase your chances of winning.
We understand that football betting can be complex and overwhelming at times, but fear not!
Our team of experts has meticulously analysed the game, crunched the numbers, and developed strategies that have proven successful time and time again.
This guide will not only help you navigate the world of football betting but also enhance your understanding of the sport itself.
You’ll learn how to spot trends, capitalise on value bets, and manage your bankroll like a pro.
We’ll take a look at a range of different approaches to football betting, including techniques used by pro bettors and top tipsters.
From analysing stats, to focusing on a niche or trading football markets in-play, we’ll let you know how the pros approach football betting.
So, get ready to develop a winning mindset, make more informed bets and experience the thrill of victory more often.
Let the winning begin!
The Most Crucial Step – Developing a Winning Mindset
Probably the most crucial piece of advice about football betting – before getting on to any specific approaches or strategies – is to try and develop a winning mindset.
This means thinking like a professional bettor rather than an armchair punter or casual bettor.
The pros take a meticulous approach to their betting, carefully developing their strategies and planning their bets.
They don’t make bets just for “fun” or on a whim. Everything is thought out.
If you want to be like them and develop a winning mindset, it is vital to:
- Have a clear strategy in place before you start and stick to it.
- Implement a sensible staking plan to avoid blowing your funds.
- Keep a detailed record of all your bets.
- Be able to withstand losing streaks and resist the urge to chase losses.
By following these principles, your chances of success in football betting will significantly improve compared to most casual punters.
Football Betting Advice – Five Approaches to Help You Beat the Bookies
Let’s take a look at now at some specific advice to help you with your football betting.
We have spent the last ten years testing out hundreds of different football betting strategies and systems to see what works and what doesn’t.
This has given us a good overview of the successful approaches and the underlying logic behind them.
Those approaches includes everything from how to use stats in football betting, to focusing on particular markets like corners, to utilising matched betting tools.
We’ll look at each one in depth below.
If you’re just looking for some football betting advice for today, then you can get free tips from respected tipsters here.
Now though let’s get on with looking at five different approaches to football betting.
1. Using Stats to Help Your Betting
One of the most reliable and consistent strategies for betting on football is using statistics to guide your selections.
Nowadays, there are numerous resources available, such as soccerstats and flashscores, which provide extensive data on various aspects of a football match like goal times, shots on target, completed passes, and more.
If you want to go into more detail, then there are specific stats such as expected goals (xG) you can look at.
Expected goals is a statistical metric that has become popular in recent years.
It evaluates the quality of scoring chances based on factors like shot location, shot type, and defensive pressure.
Analyzing a team’s xG data provides insights into their attacking effectiveness and defensive strength.
More information on using xG data in football betting can be found here, but in simple terms if a team is significantly underperforming its xG, there could be value to backing that team in its upcoming games.
Example:
Let’s say Arsenal are putting up very impressive xG numbers of 3.2 goals per game on average, but only actually scoring one goal per game on average.
This has meant they have only won one of their last five games, drawing three and losing one. The bookies have reacted by increasing the odds on them for their next game.
The high xG figure would mean they are creating lots of chances, having a good number of shots on goal, but for one reason or another not converting them.
Now the key thing to determine is why that is happening.
It might be, for example, that they just have some sub-par strikers at this particular moment in time who are ineffective at putting away their chances.
In that case, you might not expect their xG to necessarily improve, until perhaps they get some new strikers.
However, let’s say Arsenal have just been unlucky – a lot of their chances have hit the woodwork, the goalkeepers made some amazing saves and things just haven’t been going their way, but in essence they have good forwards.
In this case, you might feel that their results haven’t being doing them justice and they represent good value to back, as people have over-reacted to their recent run of form.
The key point with xG is not just to look at the data but try to understand why it is happening. If you can delve beyond the raw data you may be able to gain an edge over other bettors.
Other methods of using stats
Another way to utilise statistics is to look at the effect of goal times on matches.
This is what Trade on Sports have successfully done.
Managed by professional traders, they employ a comprehensive database of global league stats to identify in-play value bets.
In particular they use stats to identify the impact of goal times on matches.
During our live trial, they achieved over £4,000 profit with an impressive strike rate exceeding 70%, mainly by following in-play alerts for games likely to have at least one second-half goal.
This showed that when a goal is scored it can affect the flow of a game and alter how teams react to either scoring or conceding.
In summary there are lots of ways to use statistics in football betting to improve your chances of success, whether it’s using xG, goal times or other stats.
2. Using a Top Tipster
Achieving profitability as a football bettor requires significant effort. Analysing form, statistics, team news, head-to-head records, and various other factors can be time-consuming, especially for people with busy lives.
A reliable solution to this challenge is utilizing a reputable tipster.
Football tipsters dedicate extensive hours to studying form, analysing statistics, and identifying valuable bets, ultimately saving you time and effort.
If you find a tipster with a proven, long-term record of profitability, it may well be a better choice than spending hours studying form and trying to find value bets yourself.
Several top tipsters in the industry have generated substantial earnings, with some making thousands of pounds per year.
By following their expertise, you can leverage their knowledge and potentially achieve significant profits.
Here are three exceptional football tipsters we have discovered through our research:
- The Inside Man: Established in 2020, The Inside Man, a former top bookmaker employee turned professional punter, focuses on major European leagues, the Champions League, the Europa League, and international tournaments. They provide bets in markets such as Asian handicap, match odds, and player passes. With a total profit of over 150 points and an impressive £3,000 profit at £50 stakes during our trial, The Inside Man ranks among the top football tipsters available.
- Footballer Tips: This tipping service has maintained an exceptional record of success over four years, achieving a total profit of £10,000 and a win rate exceeding 40%. Footballer Tips mainly focuses on the both teams to score and over/under goals markets and cover leagues from around Europe.
- Winning Footy Tips: Operating under the Bets for Today website, this long-running and successful tipster has accumulated over 190 points in profit since 2012. With a return on investment exceeding 10%, their primary focus lies on major European leagues, offering tips in the match odds market along with HT/FT and other specialized markets. Winning Footy Tips’ consistent performance over the long term is impressive.
By following reputable tipsters like these, you can enhance your football betting profitability.
They handle the hard work and research, allowing you to simply follow their tips and enjoy the potential for profit.
And if you can’t afford a subscription, some tipsters offer free football tips as well.
3. Develop a Betting Niche
If you prefer to rely on your own abilities rather than using a tipster or a system, it could be worth focusing on a specific niche where you can develop your expertise.
For instance, a bettor we know devised a unique corner betting system that capitalised on the way spread betting firms priced their corner supremacy markets.
Instead of basing their pricing on how each team played and their likelihood of winning or conceding corners, the firms priced it based on the relative strength of the two teams.
Exploiting this weakness, the bettor managed to profit significantly from the spread betting companies with this strategy until they caught on and closed his accounts.
If you aim to find winning football bets on your own, consider specializing in a particular niche such as over/under bets, corner markets, correct score markets, or any other area you identify.
Analyze the statistics, evaluate the odds, and look for hidden anomalies that the general public might overlook.
By doing so, you may be able to find an edge on other punters who are betting too widely on a whole range of markets without being an expert on any of them.
4. Betting In-Play
Another way to make money from football is by betting (or trading) in-play markets instead of placing bets before a match begins.
It can be more advantageous to wait until the match is in-play and see how it unfolds. Sometimes a match develops in a way that the markets weren’t expecting and that presents a chance to capitalise.
Let’s say for example a match between Manchester City and Arsenal was expected to be very high-scoring.
They are two free-scoring teams that like to play attacking football and have high quality forwards.
However, the match starts and you can see it is very cagey. Both sides are afraid to take risks in case the other exposes them on the break.
So you place a bet on the under 2.5 goals market, reflecting the cagey start to the match.
You could either leave the bet to run to the end of the game, or trade it out after a certain amount of time – or if the nature of the match changes and it becomes more attacking.
This is the advantage of letting matches go in-play rather than placing pre-match bets.
For in-play betting you can either watch the match live, keeping track of shots, chances created, corners won, etc., or use a tool like the In-Play Scanner.
This tool monitors numerous matches simultaneously, tracking these actions.
It assigns a rating to games based on the frequency of these actions, indicating when a goal is likely. When the rating exceeds a certain threshold (e.g., above 70), it suggests a high probability of a goal being scored soon.
You can then pounce by placing an in-play bet when these opportunities arise.
This strategy can be highly effective. During a three-month trial of a system using these in-play stats, we made a profit of £632.
Another advantage of betting and trading in-play is that football markets on the exchanges such as Betfair are normally highly liquid, particularly in the Premier League and big European leagues.
This makes it simple to enter and exit trades while securing favorable odds.
However, mastering Betfair markets can be difficult and it trading can result in significant losses if you are not careful. Fortunately there are resources to help.
Goal Profits, a comprehensive trading package, includes 16 trading strategies for various football markets, a statistical database, instructional videos, a forum, and email support for its members.
Additionally, you can watch professional traders live in action in their chat room.
The Goal Profits team have received numerous awards, including our very own Best Football Service on four separate occasions.
So if you wish to learn about trading football matches, Goal Profits is a great place to start.
5. Matched Betting
Another approach to football betting is to use matched betting.
Matched betting is a technique used to profit from the free bet promotions offered by bookmakers.
It involves placing two opposing bets to cover all possible outcomes of a sporting event, thus ensuring a risk-free profit. You can read an overview of how it works here.
To get the most out of matched betting, it is advisable to use a matched betting site like Profit Maximiser.
It compiles all the available free bets and bonuses offered by bookmakers, providing guidance on how to optimize them and ensure you don’t make unnecessary mistakes.
Each week, numerous free bets and bonuses are available, and many people have successfully earned a substantial additional income through matched betting.