Football Betting Advice

Are you ready to take your football betting game to the next level? Look no further because this ultimate guide is here to provide you with expert advice, winning strategies, and valuable tips to maximize your success.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, this comprehensive guide will equip you with the knowledge needed to make informed decisions and increase your chances of winning.

We understand that football betting can be complex and overwhelming at times, but fear not!

Our team of experts has meticulously analysed the game, crunched the numbers, and developed strategies that have proven successful time and time again.

This guide will not only help you navigate the world of football betting but also enhance your understanding of the sport itself.

You’ll learn how to spot trends, capitalise on value bets, and manage your bankroll like a pro.

We’ll take a look at a range of different approaches to football betting, including techniques used by pro bettors and top tipsters. 

From analysing stats, to focusing on a niche or trading football markets in-play, we’ll let you know how the pros approach football betting.

So, get ready to develop a winning mindset, make more informed bets and experience the thrill of victory more often.  

Let the winning begin!

 

The Most Crucial Step – Developing a Winning Mindset

Probably the most crucial piece of advice about football betting – before getting on to any specific approaches or strategies – is to try and develop a winning mindset. 

This means thinking like a professional bettor rather than an armchair punter or casual bettor. 

The pros take a meticulous approach to their betting, carefully developing their strategies and planning their bets. 

They don’t make bets just for “fun” or on a whim. Everything is thought out. 

If you want to be like them and develop a winning mindset, it is vital to:

• Have a clear strategy in place before you start and stick to it.
• Implement a sensible staking plan to avoid blowing your funds.
• Keep a detailed record of all your bets.
• Be able to withstand losing streaks and resist the urge to chase losses.

By following these principles, your chances of success in football betting will significantly improve compared to most casual punters.

Football Betting Advice – Five Approaches to Help You Beat the Bookies

Let’s take a look at now at some specific advice to help you with your football betting.

We have spent the last ten years testing out hundreds of different football betting strategies and systems to see what works and what doesn’t. 

This has given us a good overview of the successful approaches and the underlying logic behind them. 

Those approaches includes everything from how to use stats in football betting, to focusing on particular markets like corners, to utilising matched betting tools. 

We’ll look at each one in depth below. 

If you’re just looking for some football betting advice for today, then you can get free tips from respected tipsters here.  

Now though let’s get on with looking at five different approaches to football betting. 

1. Using Stats to Help Your Betting

One of the most reliable and consistent strategies for betting on football is using statistics to guide your selections.

Nowadays, there are numerous resources available, such as soccerstats and flashscores, which provide extensive data on various aspects of a football match like goal times, shots on target, completed passes, and more.

If you want to go into more detail, then there are specific stats such as expected goals (xG) you can look at. 

Expected goals is a statistical metric that has become popular in recent years.

It evaluates the quality of scoring chances based on factors like shot location, shot type, and defensive pressure.

Analyzing a team’s xG data provides insights into their attacking effectiveness and defensive strength.

More information on using xG data in football betting can be found here, but in simple terms if a team is significantly underperforming its xG, there could be value to backing that team in its upcoming games.

 

Example:

Let’s say Arsenal are putting up very impressive xG numbers of 3.2 goals per game on average, but only actually scoring one goal per game on average. 

This has meant they have only won one of their last five games, drawing three and losing one. The bookies have reacted by increasing the odds on them for their next game. 

The high xG figure would mean they are creating lots of chances, having a good number of shots on goal, but for one reason or another not converting them. 

Now the key thing to determine is why that is happening.

It might be, for example, that they just have some sub-par strikers at this particular moment in time who are ineffective at putting away their chances. 

In that case, you might not expect their xG to necessarily improve, until perhaps they get some new strikers. 

However, let’s say Arsenal have just been unlucky – a lot of their chances have hit the woodwork, the goalkeepers made some amazing saves and things just haven’t been going their way, but in essence they have good forwards. 

In this case, you might feel that their results haven’t being doing them justice and they represent good value to back, as people have over-reacted to their recent run of form. 

The key point with xG is not just to look at the data but try to understand why it is happening. If you can delve beyond the raw data you may be able to gain an edge over other bettors.

 

Other methods of using stats

Another way to utilise statistics is to look at the effect of goal times on matches. 

This is what Trade on Sports have successfully done. 

Managed by professional traders, they employ a comprehensive database of global league stats to identify in-play value bets. 

In particular they use stats to identify the impact of goal times on matches. 

During our live trial, they achieved over £4,000 profit with an impressive strike rate exceeding 70%, mainly by following in-play alerts for games likely to have at least one second-half goal.

This showed that when a goal is scored it can affect the flow of a game and alter how teams react to either scoring or conceding.   

In summary there are lots of ways to use statistics in football betting to improve your chances of success, whether it’s using xG, goal times or other stats. 

 

2. Using a Top Tipster

Achieving profitability as a football bettor requires significant effort. Analysing form, statistics, team news, head-to-head records, and various other factors can be time-consuming, especially for people with busy lives.

A reliable solution to this challenge is utilizing a reputable tipster.

Football tipsters dedicate extensive hours to studying form, analysing statistics, and identifying valuable bets, ultimately saving you time and effort.

If you find a tipster with a proven, long-term record of profitability, it may well be a better choice than spending hours studying form and trying to find value bets yourself. 

Several top tipsters in the industry have generated substantial earnings, with some making thousands of pounds per year.

By following their expertise, you can leverage their knowledge and potentially achieve significant profits.

Here are three exceptional football tipsters we have discovered through our research:

1. The Inside Man: Established in 2020, The Inside Man, a former top bookmaker employee turned professional punter, focuses on major European leagues, the Champions League, the Europa League, and international tournaments. They provide bets in markets such as Asian handicap, match odds, and player passes. With a total profit of over 150 points and an impressive £3,000 profit at £50 stakes during our trial, The Inside Man ranks among the top football tipsters available.
2. Footballer Tips: This tipping service has maintained an exceptional record of success over four years, achieving a total profit of £10,000 and a win rate exceeding 40%. Footballer Tips mainly focuses on the both teams to score and over/under goals markets and cover leagues from around Europe.
3. Winning Footy Tips: Operating under the Bets for Today website, this long-running and successful tipster has accumulated over 190 points in profit since 2012. With a return on investment exceeding 10%, their primary focus lies on major European leagues, offering tips in the match odds market along with HT/FT and other specialized markets. Winning Footy Tips’ consistent performance over the long term is impressive.

By following reputable tipsters like these, you can enhance your football betting profitability.

They handle the hard work and research, allowing you to simply follow their tips and enjoy the potential for profit.

And if you can’t afford a subscription, some tipsters offer free football tips as well.

 

3. Develop a Betting Niche

If you prefer to rely on your own abilities rather than using a tipster or a system, it could be worth focusing on a specific niche where you can develop your expertise.

For instance, a bettor we know devised a unique corner betting system that capitalised on the way spread betting firms priced their corner supremacy markets.

Instead of basing their pricing on how each team played and their likelihood of winning or conceding corners, the firms priced it based on the relative strength of the two teams.

Exploiting this weakness, the bettor managed to profit significantly from the spread betting companies with this strategy until they caught on and closed his accounts.

If you aim to find winning football bets on your own, consider specializing in a particular niche such as over/under bets, corner markets, correct score markets, or any other area you identify.

Analyze the statistics, evaluate the odds, and look for hidden anomalies that the general public might overlook.

By doing so, you may be able to find an edge on other punters who are betting too widely on a whole range of markets without being an expert on any of them. 

 

4. Betting In-Play

Another way to make money from football is by betting (or trading) in-play markets instead of placing bets before a match begins.

It can be more advantageous to wait until the match is in-play and see how it unfolds. Sometimes a match develops in a way that the markets weren’t expecting and that presents a chance to capitalise. 

Let’s say for example a match between Manchester City and Arsenal was expected to be very high-scoring. 

They are two free-scoring teams that like to play attacking football and have high quality forwards.

However, the match starts and you can see it is very cagey. Both sides are afraid to take risks in case the other exposes them on the break. 

So you place a bet on the under 2.5 goals market, reflecting the cagey start to the match. 

You could either leave the bet to run to the end of the game, or trade it out after a certain amount of time – or if the nature of the match changes and it becomes more attacking. 

This is the advantage of letting matches go in-play rather than placing pre-match bets. 

For in-play betting you can either watch the match live, keeping track of shots, chances created, corners won, etc., or use a tool like the In-Play Scanner.

This tool monitors numerous matches simultaneously, tracking these actions.

It assigns a rating to games based on the frequency of these actions, indicating when a goal is likely. When the rating exceeds a certain threshold (e.g., above 70), it suggests a high probability of a goal being scored soon.

You can then pounce by placing an in-play bet when these opportunities arise.

This strategy can be highly effective. During a three-month trial of a system using these in-play stats, we made a profit of £632.

Another advantage of betting and trading in-play is that football markets on the exchanges such as Betfair are normally highly liquid, particularly in the Premier League and big European leagues.

This makes it simple to enter and exit trades while securing favorable odds.

However, mastering Betfair markets can be difficult and it trading can result in significant losses if you are not careful. Fortunately there are resources to help.

Goal Profits, a comprehensive trading package, includes 16 trading strategies for various football markets, a statistical database, instructional videos, a forum, and email support for its members.

Additionally, you can watch professional traders live in action in their chat room.

The Goal Profits team have received numerous awards, including our very own Best Football Service on four separate occasions.

So if you wish to learn about trading football matches, Goal Profits is a great place to start.  

 

5. Matched Betting

Another approach to football betting is to use matched betting. 

Matched betting is a technique used to profit from the free bet promotions offered by bookmakers.

It involves placing two opposing bets to cover all possible outcomes of a sporting event, thus ensuring a risk-free profit.  You can read an overview of how it works here.

To get the most out of matched betting, it is advisable to use a matched betting site like Profit Maximiser.

It compiles all the available free bets and bonuses offered by bookmakers, providing guidance on how to optimize them and ensure you don’t make unnecessary mistakes. 

Each week, numerous free bets and bonuses are available, and many people have successfully earned a substantial additional income through matched betting. 

The appeal of the bookies’ offers stems from the fierce competition among bookmakers in a saturated market, prompting them to provide incentives to boost betting activity.

Instead of incurring losses, you can leverage your knowledge to take advantage of these offers and earn low-risk money, becoming a savvy bettor.

We conducted a three-month live trial of Profit Maximiser and achieved remarkable results, accumulating over £2,000 in profit.

For an effective approach to betting on football, we highly recommend engaging with Profit Maximiser.

However, it’s important to note that matched betting is only viable in countries that permit free bets, such as the UK and Ireland.

 

 

Keeping on Track – Stick to the Fundamentals

Okay so we’ve looked at five different approaches to football betting that we hope you find useful.

Whether you choose one of these or a different strategy, it is important to stick to the fundamentals. 

By that we mean the kind of disciplined mentality we mentioned at the beginning of the article – the kind of winning mentality that professional bettors have. That means:  

• Set Realistic Goals: Define clear and achievable betting goals based on your budget, experience level, and risk tolerance. Setting realistic expectations will help you stay focused and disciplined in your betting approach.
• Research and Analysis: Conduct thorough research on teams, players, and match conditions to make informed betting decisions. Utilize statistical analysis, historical data, and expert insights to identify value bets and opportunities.
• Manage Your Bankroll: Practice responsible bankroll management by setting a budget, establishing betting limits, and avoiding chasing losses. By managing your bankroll effectively, you can minimize risks and maximize long-term profitability – more on this below.
• Shop around for the Best Odds: Compare odds from different bookmakers to ensure you get the best value for your bets. Taking advantage of favorable odds can increase your potential winnings and improve your overall profitability.
• Stay Disciplined: Avoid making impulsive bets or deviating from your betting strategy based on emotions or external factors. Maintaining discipline and sticking to your plan will help you make rational decisions and improve your chances of success.

By incorporating these tips into your football betting strategy, you can enhance your overall experience, increase your profitability, and enjoy sustained success as a bettor.

 

Managing Your Bankroll for Long-Term Success

Effective bankroll management is essential for long-term success in football betting.

By implementing sound financial strategies and risk management techniques, you can protect your capital, minimize losses, and maximize profitability over time.

Here are some key principles to consider when managing your bankroll:

• Set a Budget: Establish a clear budget for your betting activities based on your financial situation and betting goals. Determine how much you can afford to wager without compromising your financial stability.
• Define Betting Units: Divide your bankroll into betting units to help you manage your wagers effectively. Each betting unit should represent a small percentage of your total bankroll to ensure you can withstand losing streaks and fluctuations.
• Implement Staking Plans: Adopt staking plans such as flat betting, proportional betting, or the Kelly Criterion to determine the size of your bets based on your confidence level and perceived value. Consistent staking strategies can help you optimize your returns and minimize risks.
• Monitor Your Performance: Keep track of your betting activities, wins, losses, and overall performance to evaluate the effectiveness of your strategies. Analyzing your results can help you identify areas for improvement and refine your betting approach over time.
• Adjust Your Strategy: Be flexible and willing to adjust your betting strategy based on your performance, market conditions, and evolving trends. By adapting to changing circumstances and learning from your experiences, you can optimize your bankroll management and increase your chances of success.

By following these principles and integrating them into your betting routine, you can establish a solid foundation for long-term success in football betting and achieve sustainable profitability in the long run.

 

Conclusion – Taking Your Football Betting Game to the Next Level

In conclusion, taking your football betting game to the next level requires a combination of expert advice, winning strategies, and a disciplined approach.

This guide has provided you with the tools needed to make informed decisions, spot valuable betting opportunities, and manage your bankroll effectively.

By understanding and utilizing statistical insights, following reputable tipsters, developing a betting niche, and exploring in-play betting and matched betting, you can enhance your betting acumen and increase your chances of success.

Remember, the most crucial step is developing a winning mindset. Approach betting like a professional, with a clear strategy, disciplined bankroll management, and the ability to withstand losing streaks without chasing losses.

Stick to the fundamentals, conduct thorough research, and remain disciplined in your betting approach.

With dedication and the right guidance, you’ll be well on your way to becoming a more successful and confident football bettor.

Good luck with your betting and please remember to always gamble responsibly.