US Open Tennis Favourites

As the US Open Tennis Championship approaches, anticipation and excitement fill the air, with fans and analysts alike speculating on who will emerge victorious at one of the sport’s most prestigious events.

The final Grand Slam of the year, the US Open consistently delivers high-stakes matches and unforgettable moments on the hard courts of Flushing Meadows.

This year’s tournament promises no less, featuring a blend of seasoned champions and rising stars all vying for the coveted title.

In this article, we delve into the top contenders, examining their recent performances, strengths, and what makes them the favorites to lift the trophy on the Arthur Ashe Stadium.

 

Men’s Singles Favourites

The men’s singles category at the US Open is known for its late-night encounters on the famous show courts of Arthur Ashe and Louis Armstrong. 

This year, several players stand out as the favourites for the title.

Let’s take a closer look at their strengths, weaknesses, betting odds and chances for this year’s men’s US Open title.

 

Carlos Alcaraz

  • US Open record: QF-W-SF
  • Odds: 7/4 (or 2.75 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: US Open 2022, Wimbledon 2023, French Open 2024

The 2022 US Open champion comes into the tournament as the favourite, at a general price of around 7/4 (or 2.75 in decimal odds).

Having won at Roland Garros, Alcaraz has now proved he can win on any surface, with hard courts being a strong fit for his game.

The Spaniard became the youngest men’s world number one in the Open era in 2022 and how has three grand slam titles to his name, all on different surfaces. 

In 2024, he has claimed two titles so far, the Indian Wells Masters Series event and Roland Garros. 

Alcaraz is currently ranked world number 2 and will be looking to recapture the number one ranking this Summer if he can perform well in the big events.

The young superstar has demonstrated a strong affinity for hard courts, with two victories at Indian Wells, as well as wins in Miami and at the US Open already in his young career.   

With questions surrounding Djokovic’s form and fitness, Alcaraz has elevated himself to the top of the bookmaker’s odds for the US Open and there will be few who question his place there.  

The Spaniard will be looking to repeat his 2022 success at Flushing Meadows and there will be many backing him to do so. 

 

Novak Djokovic

  • US Open record: Winner 2011, 2015, 2018, 2023
  • Odds: 12/5 (3.4 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: 10 Australian Opens, 4 US Opens, 7 Wimbledons, 3 French Opens

Novak Djokovic, a four-time winner at Flushing Meadows and the defending champion, would typically be the favorite for the tournament.

However, his recent injury troubles have cast doubt on his ability to compete at Flushing Meadows. 

After withdrawing from the French Open due to a knee injury, there are concerns about whether Djokovic will be fully ready to compete at the US Open. 

He currently stands at odds of around 12/5 (3.4 in decimal odds), but it would be worth checking out the bookies’ terms and conditions regarding withdrawals if Djokovic is not able to compete – you would not want to lose any pre-tournament bets in such a scenario. 

Most bookies would refund your stake if Djokovic doesn’t start the event but it is worth checking with your bookie before placing any bets. 

Djokovic’s four US Open titles are an impressive haul but sit well behind his 10 Australian Open titles, with the hard courts of Melbourne being his favoured surface. 

Despite having an astonishing 2023 in which he came within one set of winning all four grand slams, losing only to Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon, Djokovic has struggled so far in 2024.

Losing in the Australian Open semi-final to Jannik Sinner and exiting early in tournaments at Indian Wells, Rome, and Geneva, the Serb then withdrew from Roland Garros, requiring surgery on his knee.

Djokovic has not won a tournament in 2024, and it remains unclear if he will be fully fit for the US Open. 

It is perhaps best to wait and see how his recovery from surgery goes and how his fitness develops in the run-up to the US Open before deciding whether to place any wagers on the Serb. 

 

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Jannik Sinner

  • US Open record: 1R-1R-4R-QF-4R
  • Odds: 11/4 (or 3.75 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: Australian Open 2024

Another strong contender for the title is Italian Jannik Sinner.

This year has been a breakthrough for the 22-year-old, marked by his first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open in January after a dramatic comeback against Daniil Medvedev.

Sinner has built on this success with titles in Rotterdam and Miami. Following Djokovic’s withdrawal from the French Open, he ascended to the world number one ranking.

Currently, Sinner is rated around a 11/4 (3.75 in decimal odds) chance to win this year’s US Open, competing for favouritism with Carlos Alcaraz.

The Italian has generally struggled at Flushing Meadows, with his best performance a quarter-final in 2022.   

However, Sinner is a much better player these days and his first round losses in 2019 and 2020 were as a young teenager so do not have much relevance to the player he is today.

Having enjoyed such a stellar year in 2024—winning his first Grand Slam title and reaching world number one—it will be interesting to see if Sinner can now step up at the US Open and improve on that previous best finish of a quarter final. 

 

Daniil Medvedev

  • US Open record: 1R-3R-F-SF-W-4R-F
  • Odds: 7/1 (or 8.0 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: US Open 2021

Daniil Medvedev’s prospects for the 2024 US Open are promising, given his past performances at the tournament and his form this year.

Medvedev triumphed at the US Open in 2021, capturing his first Grand Slam title with a commanding victory over Novak Djokovic in the final.

His US Open record also includes runner-up finishes in 2019 – where he pushed Rafael Nadal to five sets in a thrilling final – and 2023, when he lost to Djokovic, as well as a semifinal appearance in 2020, underscoring his consistency at Flushing Meadows.

In 2024, Medvedev has demonstrated solid form, reaching finals at the Australian Open and Indian Wells along with a semi-final in Miami. 

His powerful baseline game, coupled with his strategic acumen on hard courts, positions him as a formidable contender for the US Open.

If Medvedev can carry his current momentum into the tournament, he has a strong chance of reclaiming the US Open crown.

 

Women’s Singles Favourites

Now it’s time to take a look at the favourites for the women’s singles title at Flushing Meadows. 

It’s a strong betting heat for the title this year, with a close battle for favouritism. 

 

Iga Swiatek

  • US Open record: 2R-3R-4R-W-4R
  • Odds: 10/3 (or 4.33 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: French Open 2020, 2022, 2023, 2024, US Open 2022

Pole Iga Swiatek has been in exceptional form in 2024, winning titles in Rome, Madrid, Indian Wells, Doha and most significantly, her fourth title at Roland Garros in June.

With five Grand Slam titles to her name, Swiatek is undoubtedly a top contender at this level.

Despite this, her odds for the US Open are around 10/3 (or 4.33 in decimal odds), reflecting the fact that clay is by far her preferred surface and the Pole is not quite the same dominant figure on hard courts.  

Swiatek does have one US Open title to her name though and two hard court titles already tucked away this year. 

Other contenders on these courts such as Sabalenka will push her harder than she was stretched on the clay courts. 

However, if Swiatek can transfer her clay court form over to the hard courts she will be a formidable opponent for anyone at Flushing Meadows. 

 

Aryna Sabalenka

  • US Open record: 4R-2R-2R-SF-SF-F
  • Odds: 10/3 (or 4.33 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: Australian Open 2023, 2024

The big-hitting Belarusian star comes into the US Open as joint-favourite with Iga Swiatek, at general odds of around 10/3 (or 4.33 in decimal odds).

With the Australian Open title already tucked under her belt earlier this year, Sabalenka will be hoping to add the other hard court grand slam to her growing collection of titles.

That victory in Melbourne in January marked her second Grand Slam title, successfully defending her Australian Open crown from the previous year.

Since her triumph in Melbourne earlier this year, Sabalenka has maintained solid form, reaching finals in both Rome and Madrid, though she was defeated by clay court specialist Swiatek on each occasion.

Her form at Flushing Meadows is progressive, with two semifinal appearances in 2021 and 2022 followed by a run to the final last year where she was beaten by Coco Gauff in three sets.

Her powerful serve and aggressive play are well-suited to hard courts, evidenced by her record in Melbourne. 

The Belarusian aims to add another Grand Slam to her tally with a victory at the US Open and is rightly considered one of the favorites to achieve this.

 

Cori Gauff

  • US Open record: 3R-1R-2R-QF-W
  • Odds: 6/1 (or 7.0 in decimal odds)
  • Grand slam wins: US Open 2023

Cori (also known as “Coco”) Gauff achieved her big breakthrough at Flushing Meadows last year with victory in the final over Aryna Sabalenka in three dramatic sets. 

It was Gauff’s first grand slam in a career that has promised so much since she burst onto the scene at Wimbledon as a fifteen year-old back in 2019.

Emotional scenes accompanied the victory in front of the American’s home crowd and elevated her status within the game to new heights.  

In 2024, Gauff has been in solid form with semi-final appearances at the French Open, Australian Open, Indian Wells and in Rome. 

Gauff has often been found wanting in the latter stages of tournaments though and will need to rediscover her consistency if she wants to defend her title at Flushing Meadows.  

If she can do that and harness the home crowd’s support, then she will be in with a decent chance of defending her title.

There will be those willing to wager that being back at Flushing Meadows will be the inspiration the American needs to raise her game and keep hold of the trophy she won so dramatically last year. 

Now read: Who are the Best Tennis Tipsters?

 

 

 

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