Under 2.0 Goals in Football Betting: What Does “Under 2” Mean?

/0 Comments/in , /by

Football betting has many markets to suit different strategies and tastes.

One of the most popular among those who like low scoring matches is the “under 2.0” bet.

But what does this mean and how can you use it in your betting strategy?

In this article we will go deep into the under 2 meaning and explore strategies for under 2 goals betting.

 

What is Under 2?

At its simplest, betting on “under 2.0” means you are predicting fewer than 2 goals will be scored in a football match.

This is a low scoring market for matches where defensive tactics or weather conditions will limit goal scoring opportunities.

But under 2 means more than just fewer than 2 goals.

Its exact meaning is as follows:-

  • If a match ends with two goals scored, your bet is a push. In this case your stake is refunded as neither the over nor under bet has won.
  • If the match finishes 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 your bet wins.
  • If 3 or more goals are scored your bet loses.

Here is a table summarising how the under 2.0 bet works: 

Match Outcome Under 2.0 Bet Result
0-0, 1-0 or 0-1 Win
2-0, 0-2, 1-1 Push (stake returned)
2-1, 3-0, 3-1, etc Loss

So it’s pretty straightforward – ultimately you are hoping for one goal or less to be scored if backing under 2.0 goals, but if there are two goals you get your money back.

 

Real-Life Examples of Under 2.0 goals

Let’s say there’s a Premier League match between Liverpool and Man City.

If you bet on “under 2” and the score is 1-0, you win your bet.

But if the score is 2-0 or 1-1 your stake is refunded – referred to as a “push.” 

The under 2.0 goals bet is often used in matches where both teams play defensive football and don’t tend to concede – or score – many goals.

 

Under 2.0 vs Under 2.5

One of the common mistakes among newbies is the difference between under 2.0 goals and under 2.5 goals.

The main difference is that with under 2.5 goals you can win if the match ends with two goals, while under 2.0 goals means if the match ends with two goals your bet is a push.

Here is the difference between the two in table format:

Criteria Under 2.0 Goals Under 2.5 Goals
Winning Outcome 0-0, 1-0, or 0-1 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 2-0, 0-2, 1-1
Push (stake returned) 2-0, 0-2, 1-1 N/A
Losing Outcome 1-2, 3-0, 2-1, etc 2-1, 3-0, 1-2, etc

So the under 2.5 goals is a safer option in that it pays as a winner if the match ends 2-0, 0-2 or 1-1 for example, but the odds will be lower on under 2.5 goals to reflect that. 

 

Typical Odds for Under 2.0 Goals Bet

The odds for an under 2.0 goals bet will typically be at odds-against. 

For example, in a match between England and Greece, the odds for under 2.0 goals is 3.0 (odds from the Betfair Exchange by clicking on the “Goal Lines” market and using the arrows to navigate up and down).

That compares to odds of 1.97 for under 2.5 goals and odds of 4.1 for the under 1.5 goals.

So in summary for the England v Greece match that’s:

  • Under 1.5 goals: 4.1
  • Under 2.0 goals: 3.0
  • Under 2.5 goals: 1.97

 

Get free tips from pro tipsters here.

 

Under 2.0 Goals Mechanics

Understanding how under 2.0 goals betting works from a technical standpoint is key to making informed decisions and improving your chances of success.

Let’s break down how this type of bet functions and how bookmakers calculate the odds.

How Bookmakers Set Odds for Under 2 Goals

The odds for under 2.0 goals are set based on many factors like goal expectancy in football matches, team form and tactics.

For example bookmakers will look at whether teams are defensively minded, their recent head-to-head results or if the weather will affect scoring.

Teams with strong defences or poor attacking form will have lower odds for under 2.0 goals.

Push Scenarios in Under 2

As we mentioned earlier a push occurs if the match ends with two goals.

For many this is a safety net as you won’t lose your stake.

Push scenarios in sports betting are common and understanding them can help you make better decisions when choosing your bet types.

 

Strategies for Under 2.0 Goals Betting

To consistently profit from under 2.0 goals betting, it’s important to employ well-thought-out strategies.

Let’s look at some specific strategies for betting on under 2.0 goals now. 

Scoring Stats

Ultimately what you’re looking for is matches which have a good chance of being low scoring and teams who tend to be involved in a lot of 0-0 and 1-0 matches, with the occasional 1-1 or 2-0. 

What you are trying to avoid is teams who are involved in a lot of games with three or more goals.

So taking some time to look at teams’ recent scores and singling out those with a lot of low scores is advisable when looking at possible under 2.0 bets.

Team Formations and Defensive Tactics

When betting under 2.0 goals you need to consider team formations and their style of play.

Teams that play with defensive formations like 5-4-1 or 4-5-1 can often produce low scoring football matches, if they are set up to play in a possession-based or defensive manner.

Also, how teams adapt to their opponents can give you valuable information.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Head-to-head statistics are a must in betting.

Some teams may have a history of low scoring matches when they play each other even though they score plenty of goals in the league.

Analysing these patterns can help you determine if the match will be a low scoring one.

Weather and Its Impact on Goal Scoring

Weather can affect the pace and quality of a football match.

Wet or windy conditions can hinder attacking play and make low scoring matches more likely.

Always check the weather before betting under 2.0 goals.

Recent Form and Goal Scoring Trends

Teams in poor form or in a scoring drought are perfect for under 2.0 goals betting.

By looking at recent form analysis for football betting you can see how a team is doing and adjust your strategy accordingly.

 

Check out this top football tipster with over 200 points profit made, fully verified. 

 

Advanced Under 2.0 Goals Betting

For more experienced bettors, there are advanced techniques that can further enhance your success with under 2.0 goals betting.

By leveraging in-play opportunities, statistical models, and combining markets, you can take your betting strategy to the next level.

In-Play Strategies

In-play under 2 goals betting is exciting especially when you’ve determined the tempo of the match early on.

If teams are playing defensively there can be value in backing under 2 goals, particularly if it was not expected to be a defensive game at the outset.

Tools like the In Play Scanner can be really useful in alerting you to whether there are chances being created in a game and goals are likely.

It rates matches according to how many actions such as attacks, corners and shots are happening.

When a rating is below a certain level, it means there aren’t many chances being created and a goal is not very likely to be scored in the game. 

We tested the scanner out over a three-month trial, and it made £632 in profit based on the alerts sent out.

Alternatively you can watch a game live and decide for yourself whether it is being played in a cautious manner and heading towards a low-scoring outcome.

Either way, in-play betting allows you to see the flow of a game live and can therefore be a better way to utilise the under 2.0 goals market than betting before kick-off.   

Under 2 Bets with Other Markets

You can increase your returns by combining under 2 bets with other markets like Asian handicap or halftime/full-time.

For example, combining an under 2 bet with predicting the match result or betting on a draw can allow you to hedge your risks or be used in trading scenarios. 

Statistical Models and Predictions

Advanced bettors use statistical models for football predictions to analyse data from sites like Predictology such as goal scoring trends, team form and other factors.

These models can be very useful in finding value in under 2 goals market.

 

Pros and Cons of Under 2.0 Goals Betting

Like any football betting market, under 2.0 goals has its advantages and drawbacks.

Let’s take a closer look at both sides to give you a better understanding of whether this bet type suits your betting style and risk appetite.

Pros of Under 2.0 Goals Betting

The pros of under 2 betting include:

  1. Safer Option with the Push Outcome
    One of the main benefits of betting on under 2.0 goals is the “push” scenario. If the match ends with exactly two goals, you get your stake refunded. This safety net reduces the overall risk compared to markets like under 1.5 goals, where two goals would still result in a loss.
  2. Useful for Low-Scoring Matches
    Under 2.0 goals betting is ideal when two teams with strong defences or poor attacking records face each other. If you’ve analysed the match and expect a tight, low-scoring affair, this market can provide excellent value. Teams known for grinding out 0-0 or 1-0 results are prime candidates for this type of bet.
  3. Works Well with Certain Leagues
    Some football leagues are known for having fewer goals scored on average. For example, certain European leagues, including Ligue 1 in France and La Liga in Spain, tend to have lower scoring matches compared to more attack-heavy leagues like the Premier League. By focusing on these leagues, under 2.0 goals betting can become a key part of your strategy.
  4. Fits Defensive Strategies
    If you’re following teams that employ defensive tactics, such as parking the bus or focusing on counter-attacks, under 2.0 goals is a great market to consider. Analysing formations and defensive football strategies can help you identify games where fewer goals are likely to be scored.

Cons of Under 2.0 Goals Betting

Whilst the cons of under 2 bets include:

  1. Limited Profit Potential
    One downside to betting on under 2.0 goals is the relatively limited profit potential. Because of the lower-risk nature of the bet, the odds are usually shorter than other markets like under 1.5 goals. This means you need to place larger stakes or win consistently to make significant profits.
  2. Vulnerable to Late Goals
    The under 2.0 goals market can often be undone by a single late goal. Matches that look like they’ll finish 1-0 can quickly change in injury time, resulting in your bet losing or turning into a push. Injury time is particularly dangerous in football betting, as it often leads to unexpected goals.
  3. Requires Detailed Analysis
    Success in under 2.0 goals betting depends heavily on in-depth analysis. You’ll need to look at team tactics, form, head-to-head records, and even weather impact on football scoring. Without proper research, you might find yourself placing bets on matches that are more open than expected.
  4. Can Be Too Conservative for Some Bettors
    For those who enjoy riskier, higher-reward bets, under 2.0 goals may feel too conservative. The likelihood of receiving your stake back in a push is higher compared to other markets, which can result in lower excitement and slower bankroll growth. If you’re looking for bigger returns, this market may not be for you.

In summary, under 2.0 goals betting is a solid option for those who prefer a more cautious approach and enjoy betting on low-scoring football matches.

However, it’s important to consider the potential limitations, such as shorter odds and the risk of late goals, before committing to this market.


Under 2 Bets as Part of a Bigger Strategy

Under 2 goals betting can be part of a bigger football betting strategy.

You can combine it with 0-0 or 1-0 bets or other markets like draws or Asian handicaps so you have flexibility in how you approach each match.

Bankroll Management

Like any bet, you need to practice good bankroll management in sports betting when betting under 2.0 goals.

Low scoring markets may seem safer but putting too much of your bankroll on one outcome can still lead to big losses.

Always bet with a plan and stake accordingly.

 

Conclusion – Using Under 2 to Take Advantage of Low-Scoring Matches

Betting on under 2.0 goals can be a smart strategy for those looking to take advantage of low-scoring football matches.

With the potential safety net of a push and the right analytical approach, it offers a way to minimise risk while still making steady profits.

However, it’s important to weigh up the lower odds and potential for late goals before diving in.

Whether you’re a cautious bettor or just looking to expand your options, under 2.0 goals betting can be a valuable addition to your football betting toolkit.

Whether you bet on under 2 goals or other markets, good luck with your betting and please remember to always gamble responsibly. 

 

 

Understanding Sports Tipster ROI: What Makes a Good Return?

/0 Comments/in , /by

When looking at sports tipsters you need to consider ROI – Return on Investment.

It tells you if following a tipster is worth the effort, risk and money involved. But how do you calculate ROI and what is a good return in the world of sports tipping?

This guide will go into the details of sports tipster ROI and give you tips on how to calculate it and avoid the mistakes.

In sports betting ROI means “Return on Investment” and it measures how much profit you’ve made against how much you’ve staked.

It’s a key indicator of tipster performance and one of the most important metrics for anyone serious about long term betting success.

Definition of ROI in sports betting

At its simplest sports tipster ROI is the percentage return you get from your total stakes over time.

It allows you to compare tipsters by showing the profit (or loss) you can expect to make for every pound staked.

For example a 10% ROI means for every £100 staked you’d have made £10 in profit.

Why ROI is important

ROI is important because it goes beyond win-loss records.

A tipster might have a high win rate but be unprofitable if their tips are on short priced favourites with little value.

A tipster with a lower win rate could have a higher ROI by tipping at higher odds and making long term profitability more achievable.

How ROI differs from simple win-loss records

Win-loss records (also known as “win rate” or “strike rate”) tell you how often a tipster gets it right but don’t show the overall profitability of their tips.

ROI shows you the full picture of tipster performance. It’s about the betting returns not just the number of correct tips.

It’s all about quality not quantity.

ROI and long-term betting success

Over time a positive ROI is a sign of profitable sports tipping.

Inconsistent or negative ROI means a tipster may not have an edge over the market and sticking with them will erode your betting bankroll.

Ultimately, consistent ROI over a large sample size is the foundation of any long-term betting strategy.

How to calculate Sports Tipster ROI: A Step by Step Guide

Now you know what ROI is, let’s get into how to calculate it.

The formula is pretty simple:

ROI (%) = (Total Profit / Total Stakes) x 100

For example if you’ve made a total profit of £500 from total stakes of £5,000 your ROI would be:

£500 / £5,000 x 100 = 10%

Stake sizes and odds

When calculating ROI you need to factor in stake sizes and odds.

Some tipsters recommend level stakes, others recommend different staking strategies based on confidence levels.

This is why ROI is a useful metric – it tells you the return taking all stakes into account, whether the tipster bets at level stakes, variable staking or otherwise. 

What is a Good ROI in Sports Tipping?

What is a good ROI?

The answer depends on the sport, bet type and win rate.

In sports like golf and horse racing, where the win rate is typically lower (around 10-20%), top tipsters can achieve impressive ROIs of 20% or even 30% over time.

Tipsters with higher win rates generally show much lower ROIs.

For example, a tennis or football tipster with a 50% win rate might only achieve an ROI of 5-10%.

If a tipster has a win rate over 50%, it would be extremely rare to see an ROI of more than 20-30% over a decent sample size of bets. 

While these numbers may be possible in the short term (say a few months or possibly even up to a year), they are very hard to sustain over longer periods.

The reason is that with shorter odds, there’s typically less room for significant value in the bets.

For instance, a horse racing tipster might find a horse priced at 33/1 that should actually be 25/1.

This offers a notable edge – or expected value – over the bookmakers.

On the other hand, a football tipster betting on lower odds would be fortunate to find a small edge, like spotting a team priced at 2.3 when it should be 2.14.

That smaller margin usually leads to a lower ROI over time.

The typical ROI and win rate metrics tend to vary by sport, but are often approximately as follows:

Sport Typical Win Rates Top Tipsters’ long-term ROI
Football 50% or higher 5-10%
Golf 10-20% 20-30%
Tennis 30-50% 5-10%
Horse Racing 15-35%  15-30% 
 Cricket 30-50%  10-15% 

So really ROI needs to be seen in context of the sport and win rate – and other metrics, as we will discuss below – rather than in isolation. 

Considering ROI Alongside Other Metrics

While ROI is an important metric in evaluating a tipster’s performance, it should never be considered in isolation.

To get a true picture of how successful a tipster is, you need to look at several other key metrics that work together to give a complete overview of their performance.

  1. Win Rate: The win rate is crucial to understanding the context of ROI. As discussed above, a high ROI with a low win rate might suggest the tipster is targeting long odds, which can lead to bigger wins but fewer of them. Conversely, a tipster with a high win rate but low ROI may be betting on favorites with shorter odds. The relationship between ROI and win rate is usually inversely proportional – the higher one is, the lower the other will be. 
  2. Overall Profit/Loss: ROI tells you how efficient a tipster is in making returns relative to stakes, but the overall profit and loss (P/L) shows the total financial impact of their tips. A tipster with a high ROI but a small profit may not be as valuable as one with a lower ROI but a much higher overall profit due to a higher win rate and higher volume of bets.
  3. Bet Volume: The number of bets a tipster places is critical to understanding their ROI. A tipster with a high ROI but a low bet volume might not offer enough opportunities to generate consistent profits. On the other hand, a tipster with a high volume but lower ROI can still produce significant profits over time because they place many more bets and can therefore grow the bank.
  4. Bank Growth (Return on Capital): Another important measure is how much a tipster grows their betting bank over time, which is effectively their return on capital. This shows how well a tipster compounds profits and manages their bankroll. A tipster with steady bank growth is likely to be using a sustainable staking plan that balances risk and reward.
  5. Consistency: The percentage of winning months a tipster has is an important indicator of consistency. A tipster with a high ROI but only a few profitable months may provide a more erratic betting experience. In contrast, a tipster with a solid percentage of winning months (e.g., 60-70%) is more likely to offer steady, reliable profits. Consistency is key in helping you ride out the inevitable downswings and maintain confidence in the tipster’s long-term success.
  6. Closing Line Value (CLV): CLV is a measure of how often the odds a tipster bets at are better than the final odds (closing line). If a tipster consistently beats the closing line, it suggests they have a genuine edge over the market. ROI might fluctuate over time, but consistent CLV indicates that the tipster is making good value bets that should, over time, lead to long-term profitability.

Each of these metrics interacts with ROI to provide a more rounded assessment of a tipster’s performance.

For example, a tipster with a moderate ROI but strong CLV and steady bank growth is likely to be more reliable than one with a higher ROI but poor CLV and erratic bank growth.

Understanding how these factors work together is key to evaluating the long-term value of following a particular tipster.

That’s why our reviews consider all these factors together holistically in determining a tipster’s rating rather than viewing a factor such as ROI in isolation.   

A high ROI in itself – whilst obviously being a good thing – is not necessarily proof of a top tipster.

If it’s accompanied by good all-around metrics like strong bank growth, consistent profits, and a solid win rate, it becomes a much stronger indicator of a top quality tipster. 

 

Example of Tipsters with Good All-Around Metrics

Let’s take a look at a couple of examples of tipsters with good all-around metrics. 

Example 1: Horse Racing Tipster with 31% ROI

First up is Hanbury Racing, a horse racing tipster with a very good long-term ROI of 31%. 

As we say though, this needs to be considered in context of the other metrics. Do those stack up or does the service just have a good ROI? 

Well, the ROI has been accompanied by a solid win rate of 22% and excellent long-term profit of over 1,500 points made. 

Bet volume is sound with around 2-3 bets per day on average, meaning the bank can keep ticking along.

Bank growth has been stellar at over 700% since the service started.

Hanbury Racing targets longshots so the consistency can be a little up and down, with for example slightly less than half of the months in 2024 being profitable ones. 

However, taken as a whole these represent first class metrics and the ROI stacks up very well when taken in context with the other stats. 

Example 2: Football Tipster with 10% ROI

Another example is a football tipster called Scottish Confidential with a lower ROI of 10%. How does that stack up against its other metrics though?

Interestingly the lower ROI is correlated with a much higher win rate, of 43%. 

That means it is backing at much lower odds than Hanbury Racing for example but is still able to find value. 

The overall profits are strong too at just over 200 points made. 

The bet volume is reasonable with around 15 bets per week. 

Bank growth hasn’t been quite as impressive as Hanbury Racing but is still formidable at over 400%.

Consistency is good too, with a high proportion of winnings months, although they did struggle a little back in 2021. 

Taken as a whole though these are strong stats and it illustrates the point about a high win rate usually correlating with a lower ROI – but that taken together this can still mean very good overall profit.

Example 3: Horse Racing Tipster with 8% ROI

Thirdly we have a horse racing tipster called Racing Rundown with an 8% ROI.

That has been accompanied by a win rate of 24%, which is solid enough but somewhat below the rate achieved by Scottish Confidential for example. 

The overall profits have been good, with 293 points made to date. 

Bet volume is sound at around 2 bets per day on average. 

Consistency is reasonable but they have been a little up and down, with around 60% winning months so far. 

The overall bank growth is slightly over 100% so far. 

Overall these are good stats, but you can see that despite having a pretty similar ROI to Scottish Confidential, when taken in context of the overall metrics it doesn’t quite measure up to the football service. 

This illustrates the importance of considering ROI in the overall context of performance metrics rather than just in isolation.  

 

ROI by Bet Type

Not all bets are created equal – and neither is their ROI.

The type of bet a tipster recommends can have a big impact on their ROI.

So it’s worth understanding how these bets work.

For example singles are the bread and butter of most professional tipsters.

They’re simple: you back a single outcome and your ROI is a direct reflection of the value in those bets. If a tipster consistently finds value, the ROI can increase over time

On the other hand accumulators (or parlays) are riskier.

These are bets where multiple selections are combined into one bet.

Yes the payouts can be much higher but they come with a catch – all your selections have to win.

A tipster who uses accumulators might have a lower win rate but a high ROI because of the bigger odds. But this can also lead to more volatility in their results.

Then there are value bets where tipsters identify odds they think are mispriced by the bookies.

These bets are often low margin, meaning the ROI will be low but value bettors look to turn over a large number of bets to generate their profits. 

In the end understanding how different bet types impact ROI can help you choose a tipster that fits your betting style.

Whether you like a steady low risk approach or a more adventurous one with bigger payoffs the type of bet has a big impact on ROI.

Variance and ROI

One thing that gets overlooked in sports betting is variance – and boy does it matter!

Variance is the natural ups and downs you get when betting and it can kill your ROI in the short term.

Let’s say you’re following a tipster who focuses on longshots. They might have a lower win rate because the odds they’re targeting are much higher – but that doesn’t mean they’re not good at what they do.

You could go through a long losing streak and see your ROI drop and then a few big wins turn it all around.

On the other hand a tipster backing short priced favourites might have more frequent wins but those small profits can be wiped out by a few losses.

That’s why understanding variance is key. It helps you stay calm during the rough patches and not get carried away with a short term spike in ROI.

In short variance is part of the game and patience is key when evaluating a tipster’s long term performance.

Chasing High ROI

We’ve all heard the phrase “if it sounds too good to be true it probably is.”

The same applies to sports betting ROI. A tipster claiming 50%, 70% or more ROI may grab your attention but be careful – there’s usually a catch.

Tipsters claiming astronomical ROIs can sometimes manipulate the numbers, cherry pick their best results or omit losing bets from their record. In short, they may be scam tipsters.

While it’s possible to get a high ROI in the short term (thanks to variance) it’s incredibly difficult to sustain it over a large number of bets.

So what’s the risk of chasing these numbers? The danger is unrealistic expectations.

If you’re tempted by the big returns you might end up staking more than you can afford, taking unnecessary risks or jumping from one service to another in search of those big gains.

Remember consistency is key. A tipster with a smaller but steady ROI is a much safer bet in the long run than one making outlandish claims.

Betting Bank Management and ROI

Your betting bank – or bankroll – is the lifeblood of your betting journey.

Managing it properly is key to staying in the game and that’s where ROI comes in.

ROI gives you an idea of how much profit you can expect from each bet in relation to your stakes but how you manage your bank can increase or decrease those returns.

The best tipsters often recommend a staking plan that matches their ROI.

For example if a tipster has a lower ROI but higher win rate they might recommend staking a bigger portion of your bank to take advantage of more frequent wins.

But don’t get too carried away. Over staking – especially when chasing high ROI – can quickly drain your bank during a losing streak.

That’s why many experienced bettors use methods like the Kelly Criterion which calculates the optimal stake based on the edge and bankroll size.

This way you’re taking value without putting your whole bank at risk.

In short managing your bankroll in line with the ROI and betting strategy is key to long-term success.

Sample size in ROI calculations

A larger sample size gives a more accurate picture of a tipster’s performance.

A small sample can distort the results especially if the tipster gets lucky early on.

In our reviews we always aim to track at least 100 tips before making any conclusions about a tipster’s ROI.

Really though to get a statistically significant view of a tipster’s ROI you would need hundreds of bets, preferably over 1,000. 

Conclusion – Sports Tipster ROI 

So what have we learned about sports tipster ROI? Here are the key points:

  • ROI is important but it’s just one piece of the puzzle. Look at it alongside other metrics like win rate, profit/loss, bet volume and bank growth to get a full picture of a tipster’s performance.
  • Bet type matters. Singles, accumulators and value bets all impact ROI differently so understanding what a tipster specialises in can help you manage your expectations.
  • Variance plays a big part in short term ROI fluctuations. Be patient and don’t let short term results – good or bad – affect your long-term outlook.
  • Don’t chase high ROI. If a tipster is promising big returns take a step back and look at their long-term record.
  • Manage your bank wisely. Use a staking plan that matches the tipster’s strategy and your own risk tolerance to protect your bankroll over the long term.

Now you’re ready to follow tipsters who deliver not just big numbers but real long-term value.

Long-term profitability is the goal and understanding ROI is the first step.

Hopefully this article has given you a good overview of how ROI works and how to utilise it in your betting. 

Please remember to always gamble responsibly and good luck with your betting! 

 

 

footballer mid air kick

Over 1.0 Goals in Football Betting: What Does “Over 1” Mean?

/0 Comments/in , /by

Football has lots of markets and sometimes they can be confusing if you’re new to it.

One of those markets is the “over 1” bet and it leaves many punters scratching their heads.

So what does “over 1” mean in football betting and how can you use this market to your advantage?

In this guide we’ll break down the “over 1” bet, explain how it works and give you some expert tips on how to make the most of this betting option.

What is Over 1 in Football Betting?

The “over 1” bet is an over/under bet in football that’s focused on the total number of goals in the match.

When you bet on “over 1” you’re saying the total number of goals scored in match will be over 1.

If 1 goal is scored your stake is refunded. If more than 1 goal is scored you win the bet.

Here is a table summarising how the over 1.0 bet works:

Match Outcome Over 1.0 Bet Result
0-0 Loss
1-0 or 0-1 Push (stake returned)
1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc Win

The “over 1 goal” market can be a lower risk option than betting on higher goal lines.

It’s especially effective in matches where you think there will be some goals but want the safety of a refund if only 1 goal is scored.

Over 1 vs Over 1.5

One important thing to note is the difference between the “over 1 goals” and “over 1.5 goals” markets.

Both bets are focused on the total goals scored in a match but the key difference is what happens if exactly 1 goal is scored.

With an “over 1” bet a single goal is a push or refund but with “over 1.5” if 1 goal is scored your bet loses.

This small difference makes the “over 1” bet a safer option for the cautious punter.

The difference between over 1.0 goals and over 1.5 goals can be summarised as follows:-

Criteria Over 1.0 Goals Over 1.5 Goals
Winning Outcome 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc
Push (stake returned) 1-0 or 0-1 N/A
Losing Outcome 0-0 0-0, 1-0, 0-1

 

Typical Odds for Over 1.0 Goals Bet

The odds for an over 1.0 goals bet tend to typically be quite low. 

For example, in a match between Aston Villa and Manchester Utd in the Premier League, the odds for over 1.0 goals is 1.13 (odds from the Betfair Exchange).

That compares to odds of 1.19 for over 1.5 goals and odds of 1.04 for the over 0.5 goals.

In summary then the odds for these goals markets in this match are:

  • Over 0.5 goals: 1.04
  • Over 1 goals: 1.13
  • Over 1.5 goals: 1.19

So the lower odds for over 1.0 goals reflect that this is a slightly safer option than the over 1.5 goals bet for example.

 

👉 Check out our top recommended over under tipster here.

 

Real-Life Examples of Over 1

Let’s say there’s a Premier League match between Arsenal and Tottenham.

If you bet on “over 1” and the score is 1-0 your bet is refunded.

But if the score is 2-0 or 1-1 you win the bet since more than 1 goal was scored.

The over 1.0 goals bet is often used in matches where both teams play open football and can score at least once.

How Does Over 1 Work?

So in summary, how does an “over 1” bet work? Let’s break it down step by step.

Step-by-Step Breakdown:

  1. Place Your Bet: You bet on a football match that there will be more than 1 goal scored.
  2. Possible Outcomes:
    • 0 goals scored: You lose the bet.
    • 1 goal scored: Your stake is refunded (push).
    • 2 or more goals scored: You win the bet.

Payout

Payout on an “over 1” bet is determined by the bookmaker’s odds.

For example if the odds are 1.15 and you bet £10 you would win £1.50 if more than 1 goal is scored.

Compared to Other Over/Under Bets

Compared to higher goal lines like “over 1.5” or “over 2.5” the “over 1” bet is safer since you get your money back if 1 goal is scored.

However the odds will be lower due to this safety net, as we have seen in the example of Aston Villa vs Man Utd above.

Benefits of Betting on Over 1 Goals

There are various benefits to backing over 1 goals, in addition to the lower risk compared to higher goal lines.

High Win Rate

One of the major benefits of betting on over 1.0 goals is the relatively high win rate compared to more aggressive goal markets like over 2.5 or over 3.5 goals.

Since you’re only relying on at least one goal to avoid a loss and even a single goal results in a refund, the win rates can be as high as 80% or more, depending on the match. 

Cheering On Goals

Another enjoyable aspect of betting on over 1.0 goals is the excitement it brings while watching a match.

Unlike some betting markets, where a slow, low-scoring game might still be beneficial, here you’re actively rooting for goals to be scored, regardless of which teams scores them.

Every time the ball hits the back of the net, you know you’re closer to a win, adding to the fun and engagement.

Flexibility in Betting

This bet type is flexible. You can use it in accumulators or live betting where the flow of the game may present good opportunities to back over 1.0 goals at higher odds than at the start – something we will delve into further below.

 

Check out this top football tipster with over 200 points profit made, fully verified. 

 

Strategies for Betting on “Over 1.0 Goals” 

When it comes to over 1.0 goals the key is to find teams and matches where at least one goal may be scored but not a goal fest.

This will give you better value for your bets. 

The beauty of this market is it has a built-in safety net – if only one goal is scored your stake is refunded so you don’t lose your whole bet.

1. Target Teams with Consistent Scorers

The first step of this strategy is to target teams that score regularly but not necessarily high scoring teams.

These teams might not score 3 or 4 goals but they can score at least one. Look for teams that are solid in attack but not prolific.

For example a team that scores 1.2 to 1.5 goals per game can be a good target for an over 1.0 bet.

These types of teams will present much better value than backing teams that are obviously high scoring like Bayern Munich or Man City. 

2. Opponent’s Defensive Weakness

Another factor to consider is the opponent’s defence.

If a team has a porous defence or concedes early goals then the chances of at least one goal being scored increase.

Teams that concede 1 or 2 goals per game create the perfect scenario for an over 1.0 goals bet where you’re hoping for at least one goal but prepared for a low scoring match.

3. Balanced Matches

Balanced matches where both teams are evenly matched can be good for over 1.0 goals bets.

In these games each team will create chances and score at least one goal but neither team will dominate the match.

A typical scenario is a 1-1 draw or a narrow win which means you can win your bet or get your stake back if one goal is scored.

4. Historical and Current Form

Historical and current form is key to making smart decisions on this market.

Look at their recent goal scoring trends—teams that score and concede regularly are the best for over 1.0 goals bets.

Also look at head to head records as some teams have a habit of producing tight low scoring games against certain opponents, while producing more open and goal friendly matches against other opponents.

5. Team News and Injuries

Key injuries especially to attacking players or defenders can have a big impact on whether goals will be scored.

If a team’s top scorer is out they may struggle to score so the bet becomes riskier.

If a team is missing key defenders then this can increase the chances of goals being conceded so the over 1.0 goals bet becomes more appealing.

6. Live Betting: Adjust as the Game Unfolds

If you’re watching the game live you can adjust your over 1.0 goals bet as the match unfolds.

If both teams are creating chances but haven’t scored yet then this might be the time to get in.

Tools like the In Play Scanner can be really useful in alerting you to instances where lots of chances are being created and a goal is likely to be scored.

It rates matches according to how many actions such as attacks, corners and shots are happening

When a rating hits a certain level (70 for example) it means a goal is likely to be scored and an alert will be sent.

We tested the scanner out over a three-month trial, and it made £632 in profit based on the alerts sent out.

One of the benefits of live betting is it allows you to take advantage of better odds if the game starts slowly but you think goals will come later.

7. Spread Across Leagues

Some leagues are more goal friendly than others.

For example the Bundesliga or Serie A tend to be more goal happy while Ligue 1 or La Liga are more tight and low scoring.

By spreading your over 1.0 goals bets across different leagues you can find more value in this market.

In short, the over 1.0 goals market allows you to bet on games where you think at least one goal will be scored and get a refund if one is.

By looking at balanced matches, team form and news and live betting you can gain an edge in this market.

Over 1 Mistakes

While the “over 1” bet is simple there are some common mistakes to avoid.

Misunderstanding the Bet

Many punters confuse “over 1” with “over 1.5”.

Remember “over 1” includes the option to get your money back if 1 goal is scored.

The market also only applies to goals scored in normal time (90 minutes). Any goals scored in extra time or in a penalty shootout do not count.  

Ignoring Key Match Stats

Relying on gut feeling can be risky.

Make sure to check the stats before you bet. Average goals per match for example and the strategies described above are better approaches than relying on gut instinct.

Overrating Favourite Teams

Just because a team is favourite doesn’t mean they will produce a high scoring game.

Be careful when betting on favourites in defensive matches.

Getting the Most Out of Over 1 Goals Bets

To get the most out of “over 1” bets, it’s important to remember to:

Research Teams and Matches

Before you bet make sure to research the teams. Look into their form, injuries and head-to-head records.

Use Statistical Tools

Tools like the in-play scanner and stats sites like soccerstats.com can help you make better decisions when betting “over 1.”

Manage Your Bankroll

Even with low risk bets like “over 1” you need to manage your bankroll.

Stick to a staking plan and don’t go chasing losses. 

Conclusion

The “over 1” bet is a great addition to any punter’s arsenal – a way to bet on goals in football matches with a bit of safety net.

By understanding the market, researching your bets and avoiding the mistakes listed above you will be better equipped than most punters when approaching over 1 goals bets.

Whether you want a standalone bet or to add to an accumulator, the “over 1” market is a flexible and can be a profitable football betting option with the right approach.

Find out who the Top 10 Football Tipsters in the World are here.

 

The 3 Odds Betting Strategy: Boost Your Profits With Under-the-Radar Bets

/0 Comments/in , /by

When it comes to sports betting we all want that edge to win more. One strategy that’s gaining popularity is the 3 odds betting strategy.

In this guide we’ll cover everything you need to know about this strategy and how you can use it to win more.

Plus we’ll share tips from expert tipsters to help you fine tune your sports betting.

Let’s get started!

What is the 3 Odds Strategy?

We previously had a look at the 2 odds betting strategy, so now let’s have a look at the 3 odds betting strategy. 

The 3 odds strategy is all about betting on outcomes with odds around 3.00 (decimal) which is 2/1 in fractional.

The logic behind this is simple: at these odds you’re betting on events that have around a 33% chance of happening.

These odds may seem like a coin flip but the risk and reward can be managed with the right approach.

How the Strategy Works

The 3 odds betting strategy is effective because you can win a decent amount without having to win every bet.

At 3.00 odds, even winning just slightly more than one out of three bets can be profitable if you manage your bankroll correctly.

Key principles:

  • Betting on value: You want to find odds where the actual probability is higher than what the bookies offer.
  • Research and analysis: Make sure you properly research each bet and don’t just bet on a whim or “gut instinct.”
  • Discipline: This strategy requires patience and sticking to your plan even when losing.


How the 3 Odds Strategy is Different to Other Strategies

Unlike strategies that focus on low risk favourites or highly speculative accumulators, the 3 odds strategy is a balance of risk and reward.

It doesn’t require big stakes like arbitrage betting or backing short-priced favourites.

The Maths of 3 Odds Betting

The 3 odds betting strategy is ultimately about maths. Understanding probability and expected value is key to this strategy.

Probability and How It Applies

At 3.00 odds the implied probability is around 33.33%.

So you’re essentially betting on events that have a 1 in 3 chance of happening.

The key is to find when the actual probability of the outcome is higher than the implied probability – that’s where the value is.

Calculating Expected Value in 3 Odds Bets

Expected value (EV) is the foundation of any betting strategy.

In 3 odds betting the EV is based on working out if the real chances of an event happening are higher than the odds imply.

For example:

  • If you think a team has 40% chance of winning (higher than the 33.33% implied) then your bet has a positive EV.
  • Remember, to work out the implied chances of an event happening based on the odds, divide 100 by the decimal odds. So decimal odds of 2.0 imply a 50% chance (100 divided by 2.0), decimal odds of 10 imply a 10% chance (100 divided by 10) and so on.  

Ultimately if the odds are 3.0 but chances of winning are above 33.33% then the bet can be worth taking. That is the essence of the 3 odds betting strategy. 

 

The 3 Odds Betting Strategy

Okay let’s get on to looking at some approaches you can take to the 3 odds betting strategy. 

Here are three possible strategies you can follow:

1. Backing Second Favourites in Horse Racing

One way to use the 3 odds betting strategy is to focus on 2nd favourites in horse racing.

Casual punters tend to overlook 2nd favourites and go for either the favourite or long shots.

But 2nd favourites can be great value if certain conditions are met.

The odds for 2nd favourites are usually around 3.00 so they are perfect for this strategy.

Here’s how you can narrow down to under the radar 2nd favourites that have a good chance of winning:

Finding the Right Horses to Back

When backing 2nd favourites, you need to look beyond the odds and into the details of each horse.

Second favourites can be priced attractively when they are not getting as much attention as the favourite but still have a good chance of winning.

Here are a few examples of when this might be the case:

  • Coming Back After a Long Break: Horses coming back from a long layoff are often underestimated by bookies and punters alike. But if a horse has a history of performing well fresh (after a break) or its trainer is known for getting horses ready after a layoff, this could be a good opportunity. Punters may undervalue the horse because it hasn’t raced in a while so the odds can often be around 3.00.
  • Racing at a Favourite Track: Some horses are better at certain tracks, often because of the layout or surface of the track. These ‘course specialists’ are often overlooked in the betting markets especially if they haven’t raced there for a while. A 2nd favourite back at its favourite track where it has a winning record can be great value at 3.00.
  • Top Jockey Booked: When a top jockey is booked for a horse from a smaller or less fashionable yard, this can be a strong sign the horse is fancied to win. Trainers often book high profile jockeys when they think they have a real chance, especially if it’s unusual for that jockey to ride for the yard. If this happens with a 2nd favourite, it can be a hidden edge the market hasn’t priced in.
  • Favourable Ground Conditions: Some horses are better on certain types of ground, whether it’s soft, heavy or firm. When a horse that thrives in certain ground conditions runs in those conditions but is 2nd favourite, it can be great value. Ground conditions are often overlooked by casual punters so you can capitalise on a situation where the horse’s performance could exceed expectations.

Example: 2nd favourite at 3.00

Imagine a horse, let’s call it “Silver Breeze”, is 2nd favourite at 3.00.

Silver Breeze is coming back from a 4 month break but has a history of performing well fresh having won in similar circumstances before.

The race is at Silver Breeze’s favourite track where it has won twice in three starts.

A top jockey who rarely rides for the yard has been booked, a good sign the trainer thinks the horse is ready to go.

Despite all these positives the favourite is a more popular horse and getting all the betting money.

Silver Breeze is under the radar at 3.00 so is a well informed bet.

Why This Works

The beauty of backing 2nd favourites in these circumstances is you’re finding value where others aren’t.

The odds on 2nd favourites are often higher than their actual chance of winning because bookies and casual punters are focusing on the favourite.

By targeting horses with specific advantages like a long break, favourite track, top jockey booking or suitable ground you can find 3 odds bets.

This way you can take advantage of the overlooked or undervalued factors and win more while being disciplined and mathematical.


2. Backing the Underdog in Tennis

Another way to use the 3 odds betting strategy is to focus on underdogs in tennis.

Tennis is a sport where individual performances can change on a whim due to conditions, form or head to head.

These dynamics can create situations where the market undervalues certain players when their odds are around 3.00.

Backing underdogs at these odds means you can find value where the player is more likely to win than the market thinks.

Here’s how you can refine this approach to win more:

Finding Underdogs with Value

In tennis an underdog might be 3.00 because they are up against a higher ranked player.

But rankings don’t always tell the full story. To find value in backing underdogs you need to go deeper into the stats and look at specific factors that give the lower ranked player an edge:

  • Head-to-Head Records: Tennis players have psychological advantages or stylistic matchups that favour them over certain opponents regardless of their overall ranking. For example a lower ranked player may have beaten a higher ranked opponent in previous encounters especially if their playing style disrupts the favourite’s game. If the head to head record shows the underdog has a good chance of winning this can be a great value bet at 3.00.
  • Playing Surface: Tennis is a sport where surface plays a huge role in determining outcomes. Some players excel on certain surfaces whether it’s clay, grass or hard courts. If an underdog is playing on their preferred surface they may have a better chance than their odds suggest. For example a player known for their clay court prowess might be undervalued when facing a higher ranked opponent who performs better on hard courts. Identifying these surface specialists can lead to profitable opportunities.
  • Player Form and Fitness: Tennis seasons are long and players’ form can fluctuate dramatically. A higher ranked player might be out of form or injured and the underdog can cause an upset. Conversely the underdog might be in form and have won a few matches or tournaments recently. By following player form you can identify when the market is undervaluing an underdog’s chances.
  • External Factors: Conditions such as weather, location and even crowd support can have a big impact on a tennis match. For example an underdog playing in their home country might get a boost from the crowd while extreme weather conditions (strong winds or extreme heat) might favour the underdog’s style of play. These external factors are often overlooked by casual punters creating value opportunities for those who pay attention.

Example: Underdog at 3.00

Imagine an underdog such as Elina Svitolina is 3.00 against a higher ranked opponent like Coco Gauff.

Gauff has the better ranking and has been playing well on hard courts but this match is on clay and Svitolina is a better player on the red dirt.

In their two previous encounters on clay Svitolina won both times despite being lower ranked.

At 3.00 Svitolina is a great value bet especially with her head to head record and clay court prowess.

And she is in form having reached the quarters of a recent clay tournament while Gauff has been on a long hard court season and is showing signs of fatigue.

So Svitolina is an underdog with a good chance of causing an upset.

Why This Works

Backing underdogs in tennis at 3.00 can be very profitable because the tennis betting market overvalues higher ranked players.

This is particular the case in regular events played over 3 sets rather than grand slam events played over 5 sets (in men’s tennis at least).

Upsets regularly occur over 3 sets and pro tennis bettors often look for value in underdogs rather than favourites. 

By focusing on underdogs with specific edges – head to head records, surface specialists or in form – you can find value bets that others miss.

Tennis is a sport where match dynamics can change quickly so it’s a great place to apply the 3 odds betting strategy.

With the right analysis and discipline on your bankroll backing underdogs can be very profitable over time.

 

3. Backing Top Scorers to Score Anytime in Football

Another way to use the 3 odds strategy is to back top scorers to score anytime in football.

Here you’re looking at prolific goal scorers who are key players for their team and have a good chance to score in a match.

Top scorer odds can be around 3.00 in matches where the opposing defence is strong or the striker is coming off a goal drought.

Here’s how to do it:

Why Top Scorers Provide Value

Top scorers are the focal point of their team’s attack, so they’re most likely to get goal scoring opportunities.

Betting on them to score anytime at 3.00 odds can be value when specific factors work to their advantage:

  • Favourable Opponent: Some strikers perform well against certain teams, either because of the opponent’s weak defence or because the team’s style of play gives them more opportunities in front of goal. For example a striker who thrives against lower table teams with leaky defences is more likely to score, so the value of a bet on them to score increases.
  • Penalty Takers and Set Pieces: Players who take penalties or free-kicks increase their chances of scoring. If a team has a regular penalty taker who is also the top scorer, betting on them to score anytime is a strong play at 3.00 odds, especially in physical games where penalties might be awarded.
  • Player Form: A striker in form and scoring consistently is often overpriced in the markets. But if their odds are still 3.00 despite their form, that’s value. Conversely a top scorer going through a short goal drought might have slightly inflated odds but still has the talent and opportunity to score in any given match.
  • Team’s Playing Style: If a team is an attacking team with the top scorer at the centre of their attacks, there’s a higher chance of that player scoring. Teams that create chances increase the probability of their main striker scoring, especially if they’re the target for crosses, through balls or set pieces.

Example Scenario: 3.00 Odds Value

Bukayo Saka is the top scorer for Arsenal and is 3.00 to score anytime in a big match against a top-six team.

The Gunners’ normal penalty taker is injured and you suspect Saka will be on penalties today in their stead. Saka has scored 4 of his last 5 penalties.

Whilst the opposing defence is generally fairly strong, they struggle against pacey strikers like Saka and their centre backs have conceded a number of penalties this season. So backing Saka at 3.00 is value.

Despite being a quality striker, the market has slightly inflated Saka’s odds because of the big match and because the England man has not scored for five games.

However, he has been playing well in those games and has had a good number of shots on target – they just haven’t been going in due to a mixture of bad luck and goalkeeper heroics. 

But given his form, penalty taking and the style of play favouring him, backing him to score anytime at 3.00 is a calculated risk with good potential reward.

Why This Works

Backing top scorers to score anytime is a 3 odds betting strategy because you’re betting on the most likely player to score, but often the odds reflect an underestimation of that likelihood due to external factors like team form, recent results or the quality of the opponent.

By looking at the player’s form, opponent weaknesses and key roles like set pieces you can find value in these markets.

This strategy combines statistical analysis with situational awareness, giving you an edge over casual bettors who may only consider overall team form or favouritism when placing their bets.

 

Risk Management and Bankroll in the 3 Odds Betting Strategy

One of the key elements of this strategy is bankroll management.

At 3.00 odds losing streaks can happen so you need to have a solid bankroll management plan in place.

A general rule of thumb is to never stake more than 1-2% of your total bankroll on any one bet.

This way you can weather a losing streak without blowing your whole bankroll.

 

Common Mistakes with the 3 Odds Betting Strategy and How to Avoid Them

No strategy is without risk. Here are the common mistakes of the 3 odds strategy and how to avoid them.

Emotional Betting and the 3 Odds Strategy

It’s easy to get emotional when betting especially during a bad run. But the key to long term success is to stick to your strategy and not place bets on a whim and without solid research behind them. 

Overreliance on Favourites or Underdogs

Betting on favourites might seem like a safe bet but don’t overdo it. Same with always betting on underdogs.

The 3 odds strategy is about balance and finding value not just backing favourites or outsiders.

Chasing Losses on 3.0 Bets

Chasing losses on 3.0 bets is a common pitfall, as the temptation to recover quickly after a few losses can lead to reckless betting and poor decision-making—it’s crucial to maintain discipline and stick to your strategy, rather than letting emotions drive your bets.

Not Adapting to Market Changes

The sports betting landscape is always changing. Whether it’s a change in odds, team performance or market trends you need to be adaptable and adjust your strategy accordingly.

 

Conclusion

The 3 odds strategy is an under-the-radar approach to attacking the betting markets. 

Most punters like to focus on either favourites or long-shots, but good value can often be found at around the 3.0 odds mark. 

It has the added benefit of having a good risk-reward ratio: a decent win rate of around 33%, whilst also having the potential to produce solid returns, unlike backing odds-on shots for example.  

By understanding the maths behind it, having a solid plan and conducting thorough research before placing your bets, you can maximise your chances of winning 3.0 bets.

Remember patience and discipline is key to this strategy working for you.

Happy betting!

 

Sports betting on tablet surrounded by sports equipment

How To Find the Best Welcome Offers

/0 Comments/in , /by

Searching for the most valuable welcome offers is an essential part of taking the most advantage of the modern betting environment.

Bookmakers are increasingly using these promos to attract new customers, offering ever more generous bonuses that can significantly enhance your available bankroll.

But here’s the thing, finding the best welcome offers isn’t exactly straightforward. Cutting through the noise can be difficult with so many potential options available, and bettors must also be wary of unrealistic terms and conditions, like sky-high wagering requirements.

Ultimately, you’ll need guidance to find the best promos, but learning the ropes doesn’t have to be difficult.

Fortunately, we’re here to help. Our comprehensive experience with all things sports betting puts us in a perfect position to assist our readers in finding the most valuable promos.

Keep reading for an in-depth guide on how to find the best welcome offers.

What is a Welcome Offer?

First things first, what is a welcome offer? All bookmakers now offer some sort of welcome package for new customers, which is designed to help them get to grips with the platform.

These offers are especially attractive for beginners, who can garner particular value from things like free bets and deposit matches.

This brings us to the inner mechanics of most sports betting welcome offers.

These promos typically offer free bets or deposit matches, essentially giving bettors bonus funds or wagers that can be used outside their deposited cash.

For example, this sign up offer from 10bet currently offers a 100% match up to £50. This means that bettors can claim an extra £50 on top of their deposit, although it’s important to note that this is paid as bonus funds, not real money.

Still, £50 can go a long way if you’re savvy with your wagers. And win or lose, promos like this provide vital funds for trying new bet types or markets.

Why Finding the Best Welcome Offers is So Important

In the same way as reviewing and scrutinising a football winning system like Predictology, employing careful research to find the most valuable welcome offers is also essential.

The most pressing reason for this is that you could be missing out on a more valuable promo elsewhere.

For example, one bookmaker may offer a deposit match up to £50, while another could offer bonus funds up to £100.

Nobody likes missing out on a golden opportunity, so assessing your options before pressing ahead is crucial. But this is just the tip of the iceberg. It’s also important to consider your own preferences when searching for welcome offers, otherwise, you might be left claiming a promo that doesn’t work as well for your betting style.

For example, bookmakers can offer free bet tokens rather than straight bonus funds. This might suit bettors looking to make a small number of larger wagers, but other bettors may prefer playing it safer with lots of small bets.

The latter isn’t possible for welcome bonuses with set bet amounts, so bear this in mind.

And then there are the terms and conditions. We’ll go into more detail regarding these aspects further down the page.

For now, just consider how wagering requirements can affect your overall ability to withdraw funds. Some bookmakers may ask you to wager your deposit 10x over before you can withdraw any winnings garnered from the bonus.

This may ultimately outweigh a bigger initial bonus, so it definitely pays to know what to look for.

Tips & Tricks: Choosing the Best Welcome Offers

So, how do you find the best welcome offers? As with most things, targeted and strategic research is the best way forward.

Here are some of the main ways you can optimise your search for the best welcome offers:

  • Read Reviews: searching for reviews from other bettors is a great way to check the legitimacy of sports betting bonuses. This will also help you decide whether a promo is the top choice for your preferences.
  • Look for Low Wagering Requirements: as mentioned, wagering requirements can lock bettors into wagering far more than they actually want to. We advise looking for welcome bonuses with smaller wagering requirements, even if this means accepting a smaller amount of bonus funds.
  • Check for Odds Limits: some sports betting sites offer free bets on things like the Premier League, but on closer inspection, these are only available on certain odds. Don’t let these limits fool you as they can mean you cannot use the free bets exactly how you’d like.

 

 

Tennis ball near line on court

What Does Under 22.5 Mean in Tennis?

/1 Comment/in , /by

If you’re new to tennis betting you’ve probably seen “under 22.5” and wondered what it means.

Tennis betting has its own language and understanding it is key to making informed decisions about how to bet on the sport successfully.

One of the most common types of bet is the over/under market and today we’re going to explain what “under 22.5” means in tennis betting as well as looking at some strategies for betting on it.

The Basics: Over/Under Betting

Over/under is one of the most common types of bet in tennis.

You don’t have to predict the winner of the match; you’re betting on the total number of games in the match.

The bookmaker sets a line and you decide if the total number of games will be over or under that line.

When you see “under 22.5” in tennis betting it means the total number of games in the match.

In this case you’re betting the total number of games will be under 22.5.

Since tennis doesn’t have half games the “0.5” ensures there’s no tie.

So if you bet on “under 22.5” you’re betting 22 or less games will be played in the match.

How Does It Work in Reality?

Let’s use an example:

A match between Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev.

If you bet on “under 22.5” you’re hoping the total number of games played between the two players is 22 or less.

Here’s how games are counted in a tennis match:

  • To win a set in tennis takes 6 games with a 2 game margin (6-4, 6-3 etc.)
  • If the players are tied 6-6 a tiebreaker is played and that still counts as 1 game (7-6 is the final score after a tiebreak).

Let’s say Djokovic wins the match 6-3, 6-4. To calculate the total games:

  • First set: 6 + 3 = 9 games
  • Second set: 6 + 4 = 10 games
  • Total games: 9 + 10 = 19 games

In this case if you had bet on “under 22.5” your bet would have won as the total number of games (19) is under 22.5.

The bookies usually offer other over/under totals on tennis matches:

  • Over/under 20.5
  • Over/under 21.5
  • Over/under 23.5 
  • And so on. 

They all work in the same way as the over/under 22.5. 

 

Learn to trade like a pro with this top tennis trading service

 

Strategies for Betting on “under 22.5”

If you are going to bet on tennis matches, then the under 22.5 market can be a good option. Betting on “under 22.5” requires some analysis of the players, their form and the match conditions however.

Here are some approaches to consider:

1. Player Gaps

If there’s a big skill gap between the two players betting on “under 22.5” might be a good option.

For example if a top seeded player like Carlos Alcaraz is playing a much lower ranked opponent the match will probably be one sided.

The top player is likely to win quickly in straight sets and therefore fewer games will be played overall.

2. Player Form

Even top players have slumps or off days and lower ranked players can go on hot streaks.

Checking recent form can give you an idea of how competitive the match will be.

If both players are in good form and known for grinding out long matches “under 22.5” might not be the best bet.

But if one player is in poor form and prone to losing quickly “under 22.5” might be a safer bet.

3. Playing Style

Playing styles can have a big impact on how many games are played.

Aggressive players who like to serve and volley win their service games quickly which means shorter matches.

Defensive players who rely on long rallies and wearing down their opponents tend to play longer matches.

For example if you know a player like Rafael Nadal is playing a clay court specialist who can push games into long rallies it might be wise to avoid an “under” bet.

If a player with a big serve like John Isner is playing someone who struggles with returns a quick match could be on the cards and the under bet would be a good option.

4. Surface and Conditions

The surface of the court can also have an impact on the length of the match.

Faster surfaces like grass courts (Wimbledon) produce shorter points and fewer games than slower surfaces like clay courts (Roland Garros).

So for a tournament played on grass betting on “under 22.5” might be more favourable especially if the players are big servers.

 

Check out our list of the Top 5 Tennis Tipsters here.

 

Example Scenarios for “Under 22.5” Bets

Let’s go through some examples:

  • Straight sets win with few games: One player wins in two quick sets like 6-3, 6-4 (19 games in total). This is the perfect outcome for an “under 22.5” bet.
  • One sided first set, competitive second set: If one player wins the first set easily 6-1 and the second set is close but still under the threshold (6-4) you can still win with “under 22.5”.
  • Tiebreak in one set, quick win in the other: If the first set goes to a tiebreak (7-6) but the second set is one sided (6-1) the total number of games would be 20 again under 22.5.

Drawbacks of “Under 22.5”

Betting on “under 22.5” can be a good move but it’s not without risks. Tennis matches are unpredictable and a few things can go wrong:

  • Tiebreaks: If the match goes to multiple tiebreaks the total number of games will be well over 22.5.
  • Injury or fatigue: A player may start strong but fade in the second set and extend the match beyond your target.
  • Unpredictable form: Even the best players can have an off day or be pushed harder than expected by a lower ranked opponent.

Summary

Betting on “under 22.5” in tennis is all about a match with fewer games usually because of a one sided contest or dominant performance.

It can be a good market if you take the time to research the players, their recent form, the surface and conditions. But as with any form of sports betting nothing is guaranteed so always be aware of the risks.

Now you know what “under 22.5” means in tennis you can go into these bets with more confidence.

Whether it’s a grand slam final or a lesser known tournament understanding over/under betting can give you an edge in making better bets.

 

 

scam alert

Sports Tipster Scams to Watch Out for in 2024

/0 Comments/in , /by

In the world of sports betting, tipsters can be a great help for punters looking for tips and predictions.

As tipster services have grown in popularity however, so have the scams.

With con artists hiding behind legitimate looking services, knowing the red flags has never been more important.

In this article we’ll go through the most common sports tipster scams and arm you with the knowledge to avoid getting caught out in 2024.

The Sports Tipster Scam Epidemic

Sports betting has been around for centuries but with the rise of the internet, it’s never been more accessible.

With that came the rise of sports tipsters – experts in their respective field who offer advice on what to bet on.

Some are genuine but many are using their platforms to rip off unsuspecting punters.

In the last few years sports tipster scams have gone through the roof with more and more people getting caught out.

Stats show a big rise in sports betting scams with the UK’s Gambling Commission reporting more and more incidents year on year.

The impact is huge – not just on individual punters who can lose big sums of money but on the sports betting industry as a whole.

Fake betting tips and manipulated win rates can damage the reputation of genuine tipsters making it harder for punters to trust the services.

Why Do People Fall for Tipster Scams?

So why do people fall for sports tipster scams?

Easy money is a big part of it. Scammers lure in punters with promises of insider knowledge and guaranteed wins, playing on the human desire for fast, easy profit.

Add in some clever psychological tricks and they can be very persuasive.

One of the main tools scammers use is FOMO – Fear of Missing Out.

They tell potential victims they’re about to miss out on a one off betting opportunity and if they don’t act fast they’ll regret it.

This sense of urgency can cloud a punter’s judgement and lead them straight into the hands of gambling con artists.

 

10 Red Flags to Watch Out For

To help you avoid falling victim to fraudulent services, we’ve compiled a list of 10 red flags that should immediately raise your suspicions.

From unrealistic win rates to vague refund policies, here are the tell-tale signs of a sports tipster scam in 2024.

Red Flag #1: Lack of Transparency in Track Record

A genuine tipster will provide a transparent and verifiable betting track record.

Unfortunately many scammers cherry pick their results, only showing winning bets and conveniently ignoring losses.

This selective reporting is a big red flag in sports tipster sites.

To avoid getting duped insist on seeing the full unedited track record.

Independent review and proofing sites like this one can help you verify the results of a tipster.

We record all the results of a tipster we review in full, with nothing fudged or hidden so you can see for yourself how well they’ve done.

If you have doubts about a tipster’s record, ask them to submit to proofing on a site like ours so we can track the results in real time. 

If they refuse then it could be a cause for concern. 

Red Flag #2: Unrealistic Profit Claims

Another common warning sign of sports tipster scams is the promise of unrealistically high profits.

Many scammers lure bettors with bold claims of generating huge returns—far beyond what is achievable in the world of sports betting.

For example, tipsters may boast about turning a small bankroll into thousands of pounds in just a few weeks or advertise exaggerated profit margins like 500% per month.

Or they offer vague, unverifiable claims like “$10,000 made in a single weekend.”

These kinds of promises are not only misleading but also mathematically implausible.

In reality, even the best sports bettors operate on relatively small margins.

The very best tipsters may be pleased with a profit of 100-200 points per year (to one-point levels stakes or thereabouts). 

That would be £1,000 – £2,000 profit per year at £10 per point.

Tipsters who claim to regularly generate profits far beyond this are likely engaging in deception or heavily exaggerating their results.

Sports betting is not a get-rich-quick scheme, and anyone who presents it as such is not being truthful. 

Red Flag #3: Too Good to Be True Win Rates & ROI

In a similar vein, another big indicator of sports tipster scams is the promise of unrealistic win and return on investment (ROI) rates.

A high win rate – say 90% or higher – is a cause for suspicion in itself, but particularly if the claimed return on investment is also high.

As we have discussed when looking at how to verify sports tipster claims, a high win rate is usually associated with a low return on investment (ROI). 

If a tipster claims they have hit a 90% strike rate, then you would normally expect the ROI to be around 5-10%, at best. 

If they are claiming an ROI of +30% with a strike rate of 90%, that should be an immediate red flag. 

That is almost impossible to achieve long-term and we are yet to see any tipster who can do it, having reviewed hundreds. 

An ROI of 30% is usually associated with a win rate of 10-25%. 

That is because to achieve such a high ROI you generally need to be tipping at long odds (10/1+) for there to be enough edge in the prices. 

At a 90% strike rate a tipster will be tipping at odds-on, probably as low as 1.10-1.20. 

At those odds, there simply isn’t enough margin to achieve a 30% ROI. 

Even the top professionals such as Tony Bloom are reportedly happy with a 1-2% ROI when betting at odds-on. 

Be very suspicious if a tipster is claiming a high ROI when accompanied by a high win rate.

Look for independent reviews and use websites like this that track tipster performance.

If the win & ROI rate seems too good to be true, they probably are.

Red Flag #4: One-Page Sales Sites

A frequent sign of a fraudulent tipster is a single-page website. 

These are often glossy sales pages  and are typically polished and skillfully marketed.

They usually make grand promises of profits but lack verified results or even a results spreadsheet you can examine.

They often feature narratives like, “I tried every tipster and betting system out there but just kept losing money. Then I discovered this secret betting system, and now I earn thousands every month!”

This is usually accompanied by a story about the luxurious lifestyle that person now enjoys, being able to travel and buy expensive cars, clothes and the like.

Sometimes there will be screenshots of winning betslips, showing thousands won in a single bet.

However, these screenshots can easily be faked. Or even if they happen to be real, the person may have placed hundreds of other losing bets and they are only showing you the winning one – not their overall record. 

If one of these sites does happen to show their full results, then unless those results have been independently verified by a reliable source it doesn’t mean much.  The results could still be fake. 

These sites also often have time-limited offers, telling punters they’re about to miss out on the opportunity of a lifetime if they don’t sign up. 

Whilst a tipping service having a time-limit on a special offer isn’t itself the sign of a scam, when accompanied by some of the tactics described above and unrealistic claims of riches, it is a red flag.  

Be very wary of these glossy one-page sales sites, unless their results have been independently verified by a trusted source. 

Red Flag #5: Guaranteed Wins and Risk Free Promises

One of the biggest red flags in sports tipster scams is the promise of guaranteed wins or risk free betting (unless it is matched betting, but that is something separate entirely).

No matter how confident someone is in their tips, there are no guarantees in sports betting.

All bets carry risk and anyone who claims otherwise is trying to scam you.

And offering guaranteed wins can be in breach of gambling regulations in certain jurisdictions.

Reputable tipsters are always transparent about the risks involved in betting and never make outlandish risk free claims.

Red Flag #6: Suspicious Charging Structures

Another red flag to watch out for is tipsters with suspicious charging structures. 

Genuine tipsters often provide free picks or low-cost trials to prove the value of their service.

But scammers spin this by either not offering free trials or using them as a bait to catch victims, with a huge jump in subscription costs after the free trial.

So for example they might offer a 7-day free trial, then bump up subscription costs to $199 per month, which is often buried in the small print.  

When considering a tipster, look for those who offer a genuine free or low-cost trial with no hidden catches and transparency about what happens when the trial ends.

A low cost trial would typically be $1-5 for a week or two’s trial for example.

Then a reasonable subscription would be say $30-50 per month, but certainly not hundreds of dollars. 

A good service will be confident enough in their tips to offer a free or low cost trial to let you test them out before committing, and be transparent about the cost after the trial ends.

Red Flag #7: Vague or Non-Existent Refund Policy

Another common scam is a vague or non-existent refund policy.

Scammers don’t want to give refunds and have obscure terms and conditions that make it impossible for punters to get their money back.

Before signing up to any tipster service read their refund policy carefully.

If the terms are unclear or confusing it’s a big red flag that the service may not be legit.

Red Flag #8: Inconsistent or Changing Identity

Scammers often operate under multiple identities to avoid detection.

One day they may be “John the Expert Tipster” and the next “Paul the Insider Betting Guru”.

This inconsistency is a big red flag in social media betting scams.

A good tipster will have a consistent online presence with a stable name, branding and track record.

Be cautious of services that rebrand or change identities.

Red Flag #9: Overly Complex or Changing Betting Systems

Scammers use overly complex or changing betting systems to confuse their victims.

By creating a mystery around their methods they make it hard for punters to evaluate if the system works.

If the punter then complains about results, they respond that they haven’t understood the system properly and it’s their own fault.  

Another tactic used by dodgy tipsters is to constantly change systems. 

When one doesn’t work they just introduce a new one – often with backtested or fake results to make it look good. 

Alternatively they may have a whole suite of systems, most of which lose money over the long run.

The tipster might say “it’s okay, look at these three systems, they are all in profit,” whilst they have seven other systems that are losing money. 

Then the next month two systems make a profit and they say “you should have followed those two.”

It’s all easy in hindsight but for the punter trying to follow the systems it is not helpful. 

Legitimate tipsters would acknowledge the overall results of the systems and not try to hide behind the small number that might have made a profit. 

Red Flag #10: Promoting High-Risk Betting

Finally be cautious of tipsters who promote high-risk betting. 

Dodgy tipsters often push dangerous strategies like high-stakes gambling without considering the consequences for punters.

This could for example be advising very high staking – “Bet $100 on this player” or “Stake $500 on this player”- rather than advising a point (or unit) stake with each bet so the punter can decide for themselves how much to stake based on their own betting bank. 

Scam tipsters also often use complex and flawed staking systems that aim to recover losses.

For example the Martingale system or similar loss-recovery systems that can end up busting the bank. 

We would never recommend these staking systems and nor should any reputable tipster. Or at the very least, they should also show their results to one-point level stakes. 

And any loss-recovery staking should be strictly limited, such as only increasing stakes over a small number of bets (say 5 or 6), then starting again if a winner isn’t found. 

Certainly they shouldn’t be recommending open-ended loss-recovery staking, which is a quick way to lose your shirt. 

Any tipster doing do so is likely to be trying to hide poor results with complex staking.

If the strategy can’t make a profit at level stakes, then it is not worth following and loss-recovery is just a dangerous attempt to hide the flaws in the strategy. 

Good tipsters on the other hand promote sensible staking, responsible gambling and advise their clients to bet within their means.

If a tipster is pushing you to bet with high-risk staking it’s a clear sign they don’t have your best interests at heart.

Conclusion: How to Avoid Sports Tipster Scams in 2024

The world of sports betting is full of opportunity and risk.

While some tipsters are genuine, the rise of sports tipster scams means you need to be more careful than ever.

By knowing the red flags in this article you can protect yourself from gambling scammers and make informed decisions on who to trust with your bets.

Remember the age-old maxim: if it seems too good to be true, it probably is.

Look out for unrealistic win rates, pressure sales tactics and lack of transparency and always check a tipster’s track record before you commit.

The more informed you are the better equipped you’ll be to avoid getting scammed.

 

 

Reviewing Revolut for Betting Sites

/0 Comments/in , /by

Photo by Yan Krukau

Revolut has rapidly become one of the most popular digital banking solutions, especially among users who value speed, security, and convenience.

Its seamless integration into various platforms, including betting sites, has made it a favored payment method for many players.

As a result, Revolut betting sites have become increasingly prevalent, offering bettors the chance to manage their funds with ease.

But what makes Revolut such an attractive option for betting, and what should players consider when choosing a site that supports Revolut?

This article explores these questions in detail.

 

What to Look for in a Revolut Betting Site

When selecting a betting site that supports Revolut, there are several factors to consider to ensure a smooth and enjoyable betting experience.

While Revolut provides a solid foundation for transactions, the quality of the betting platform itself is equally important.

1. Ease of Use and Compatability

One of the primary reasons players choose Revolut betting sites is for its simplicity and ease of use.

Therefore, when selecting a Revolut betting site, ensure that the platform offers a user-friendly interface and seamless integration with Revolut.

You should be able to make deposits and withdrawals quickly without complicated steps or unnecessary delays.

The site should also support instant transfers, as one of Revolut’s key benefits is the speed of its transactions.

Look for platforms that allow you to manage your betting funds with minimal friction, so you can focus on your bets rather than navigating through a complicated payment process.

Compatibility with mobile devices is another crucial aspect to consider. Revolut is widely used on smartphones, so the betting site should offer a mobile-friendly version or a dedicated app that supports smooth transactions.

A site that optimizes its mobile platform will allow you to bet on the go without any inconvenience.

2. Transaction Fees and Limits

While Revolut is known for its low transaction fees compared to traditional banking methods, it’s important to check whether the betting site imposes any additional charges for using Revolut.

Some platforms may charge fees for deposits or withdrawals, which can eat into your betting budget over time. Look for Revolut betting sites that offer fee-free transactions, or at least minimal charges, to get the most out of your betting experience.

Additionally, consider the deposit and withdrawal limits imposed by the site. Revolut allows for quick and seamless transfers, but some betting platforms may have limits on how much you can deposit or withdraw at a time.

These limits can affect your ability to manage your bankroll effectively, so it’s important to choose a platform that offers flexible options that align with your betting style.

3. Speed of Withdrawals

One of the main reasons bettors choose Revolut is for its fast transaction speeds, particularly when it comes to withdrawals.

However, the actual speed of your payout also depends on the betting site’s internal processing times.

Some sites may take longer to approve and process withdrawal requests, even if Revolut itself can facilitate the transfer instantly.

When choosing a Revolut betting site, it’s essential to look for platforms that prioritize fast payouts.

Check user reviews and terms of service to see how long the withdrawal process typically takes.

Ideally, you want a site that can process your request within 24 hours so you can access your winnings without unnecessary delays.

 

Why Players Prefer Revolut Betting Sites

The growing popularity of Revolut as a payment method for betting is no coincidence. Several factors make it a preferred choice among bettors, from its security features to its user-friendly app.

1. Enhanced Security

Security is a major concern for bettors when it comes to handling money online, and Revolut addresses this with several robust security features.

Revolut employs advanced encryption methods to protect users’ financial data, ensuring that transactions are secure.

Moreover, the app allows users to control their card settings directly, enabling them to freeze or unfreeze their card with a single tap.

This level of control over one’s finances adds an extra layer of security when placing bets online.

Additionally, Revolut offers real-time notifications for every transaction. This means that as soon as you make a deposit or withdrawal on a betting site, you will receive an instant notification.

These alerts help players keep track of their spending and ensure that there are no unauthorized transactions, providing peace of mind while betting.

2. Speed and Convenience

One of the key reasons players gravitate toward Revolut betting sites is the speed and convenience it offers.

Traditional banking methods often involve lengthy processing times for both deposits and withdrawals, but Revolut eliminates much of this friction.

Deposits are usually instantaneous, allowing players to start betting right away, while withdrawals are processed significantly faster compared to traditional methods.

Revolut’s multi-currency support is another reason for its popularity among bettors.

For players who bet on international events or live in regions where the betting site’s currency differs from their own, Revolut’s currency exchange feature allows them to convert funds at competitive rates without incurring excessive fees.

This capability is particularly attractive for bettors who regularly engage in cross-border betting.

3. Budgeting and Spending Insights

Revolut offers more than just basic banking functions; it also provides tools for budgeting and tracking spending.

The app automatically categorizes your transactions, allowing you to see exactly how much you are spending on different activities, including betting.

For players who want to keep track of their betting expenditure, this feature is highly useful. It provides a clear overview of where your money is going, helping you make informed decisions about your betting habits.

The ability to set limits on your spending also appeals to many users. Revolut allows you to establish daily, weekly, or monthly spending limits directly within the app, ensuring you stay within your budget while enjoying betting activities.

This is particularly beneficial for players who want to maintain a better handle on their betting finances.

4. Global Accessibility

Another significant advantage of Revolut betting sites is the platform’s global reach. Revolut operates in numerous countries and supports multiple currencies, making it an ideal choice for international bettors.

Whether you’re traveling or living abroad, Revolut allows you to manage your funds and bet seamlessly without worrying about exchange rates or currency conversion fees.

This global accessibility means that Revolut betting sites cater to a broad audience, allowing players from different regions to enjoy the benefits of fast and secure transactions.

For players who frequently bet on international events, Revolut’s ability to handle multiple currencies efficiently is a major draw.

5. Privacy and Anonymity 

While Revolut is a regulated financial service, it offers users a level of privacy that traditional banks may not.

Since Revolut operates primarily through its app, users do not have to link their betting activities to their primary bank accounts, which can be appealing to those who value discretion in their financial dealings.

This added layer of privacy makes Revolut a go-to option for players who prefer to keep their betting activities separate from their regular banking transactions.

This combination of enhanced security, convenience, and flexibility has made Revolut a top choice for bettors, and betting sites that support Revolut are quickly gaining traction among the gambling community.

Whether you’re a casual player or a serious bettor, Revolut provides a seamless and efficient way to manage your betting funds.

 

 

football player shooting

Under 1.0 Goals in Football Betting: What does “Under 1” Mean?

/0 Comments/in , /by

Football has many markets to bet on and one that confuses punters is the “under 1.0” bet. This type of bet is popular in matches where low scoring games are expected.

But what does “under 1.0” actually mean and how can you make sense of it when placing your bets?

In this article we will break down the “under 1.0” betting, explain it in simple terms and look at some strategies for betting on it.

Whether you are a seasoned punter or just starting out by the end you will know what “under 1” means and how to use it to your advantage.

 

What does ‘Under 1.0 Goals’ mean in Football Betting?

Firstly, let’s take a look at exactly what ‘under 1.0 goals’ means in football betting. 

Definition of ‘under 1.0 goals’ bet

In football betting “under 1.0 goals” means a bet that there will be less than one goal in the whole match. So you are betting that the total goals will be zero, or in other words a 0-0 draw.

How this bet works

If the final score is 0-0, you win the bet.

If one goal is scored, you get your stake back and no money is lost or gained (this is called a “push” or “void”).

If more than one goal is scored, you lose your bet entirely.

Here is a table summarising how the under 1.0 bet works: 

 

Match Outcome Under 1.0 Bet Result
0-0 Win
1-0 or 0-1 Push (stake returned)
1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc Loss

 

👉 Check out our top recommended over under tipster here.

 


Under 1.0 vs Under 1.5

It’s important to note the difference between “under 1.0 goals” and “under 1.5 goals“.

Under 1.0 means you need a 0-0 result to win, under 1.5 means you win if there are less than two goals in the match.

So if the match ends 1-0 or 0-1 you would have you stake returned on an under 1.0 bet but win an under 1.5 bet.

The difference between under 1.0 goals and under 1.5 goals can be summarised as follows:-

 

Criteria Under 1.0 Goals Under 1.5 Goals
Winning Outcome 0-0 0-0, 1-0, 0-1
Push (stake returned) 1-0 or 0-1 N/A
Losing Outcome 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, etc


Typical Odds for Under 1.0 Goals Bet

The odds for an under 1.0 goals bet will typically be high. 

For example, in a match between Manchester Utd and Tottenham Hotspur, the odds for under 1.0 goals is 12.0 (odds from the Betfair Exchange).

That compares to odds of 7.6 for under 1.5 goals and odds of 26.0 for the 0-0.

 

What does ‘Under 1 Mean’ in different situations

Let’s have a look at some examples of what under 1 goals means in different scenarios. 

What happens if no goals are scored?

When no goals are scored in a match (0-0) an “under 1.0 goals” bet is a simple win.

This is what you are hoping for when you place this type of bet.

What happens if one goal is scored

If one goal is scored the bet is a “push” and your original stake is returned.

You neither win nor lose, which is safer than other markets where any goal would mean a loss.

Split bet scenarios and partial wins/losses

In some cases you will find bets like “under 1.25 goals” which are split between under 1.0 and under 1.5.

If one goal is scored half your stake is returned (under 1.0 part) and the other half wins (under 1.5 part) so you will get a partial win.

Extra time and penalties for under 1.0 bets

Remember that “under 1.0 goals” bets only apply to regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).

Extra time, penalties and other post-90 minute events don’t count towards the bet.

 

Under 1.0 Goals pros and cons

What are the pros and cons of betting on under 1.0 goals then?

Pros

One of the main advantages of betting under 1.0 is the reduced risk.

If one goal is scored you get your stake back. This can be attractive for bettors who want to protect their bankroll in low scoring matches.

Cons and risks

On the other hand under 1.0 goals betting is very risky if two goals are scored.

The margin for error is very small and in most football matches there is always the possibility of late drama or surprise goals.

Compared to other football betting options

When compared to “under 2.5” or “over 1.5” this is a niche market.

It’s for those who expect a very low scoring match, it’s much riskier than betting on higher goal lines.

Things to consider before you bet under 1.0

Before you bet on this type of bet consider the teams’ defensive records, recent form and playing style.

Matches with solid defences or unmotivated attacking teams may be good for under 1.0 goals bets.


Strategies for under 1.0 Goals Betting

Research team stats and form

Before you bet on under 1.0 goals research on stats from sites like Flashscore is key. Look into the teams’ recent defensive performances, goal averages and clean sheets.

Teams that draw 0-0 or struggle to score are good for this market.

Ideally what you are looking for in this market is teams who tend to have 0-0 results, but the occasional 1-0 or 0-1. 

Remember games with one goal are okay, you get your stake returned. 

What we are trying to avoid are games likely to have two or more goals. 

Head to head and playing styles

Some teams have a style that leads to low scoring games.

A match between two defensive teams or a fixture with a history of 0-0 draws can be a good opportunity for this bet.

External factors (weather, injuries, motivation)

Weather, key injuries to attacking players, lack of motivation (like in a dead rubber match) can contribute to a low scoring match and make under 1.0 goals a good bet.

Timing and odds movement

Timing your bet is also important.

Odds on under 1.0 can move based on team news, pre-match analysis or in-play events.

Keep an eye on these movements to place your bet at the right time.

 

Mistakes to avoid when betting under 1.0

Ignoring the draw

Many bettors forget to consider the draw when betting under 1.0 goals. But this is the only scenario where you win the bet outright so you must consider if a 0-0 draw is possible.

Ignoring recent team trends

Team form and recent results are key. If you ignore recent trends or rely too much on old data you’ll be betting against the current momentum of a team and increase your risk.

Not shopping for the best odds

Shopping around for the best odds on under 1.0 can make a big difference to your long term profits.

Different bookmakers have different odds on the same market so it’s worth comparing before you bet.

Betting to recover losses with under 1.0 bets

And finally, betting to recover losses by doubling down on under 1.0 bets is a common mistake.

As with any type of betting, you must manage your bankroll and not get tempted to recover your losses quickly.

 

Conclusion

In summary, under 1.0 goals is a special market that requires research and knowledge of football.

It’s a bet for punters who expect a 0-0 draw with the safety net of a stake refund if one goal is scored.

By understanding this bet type and applying some strategies you’ll increase your chances of winning and minimize the risk.

Find out who the Best Football Tipsters in the World are here.

 

Sports Tipster Rating infographic

Sports Tipster Ratings: What to Look For and How to Use Them

/0 Comments/in , , /by

In the world of sports betting it’s hard to find an edge. Many punters turn to sports tipsters for the inside information to improve their chances of winning.

But how do you know who to trust?

This is where sports tipster ratings come in. These ratings are a way to measure a tipster’s performance and credibility.

In this guide we’ll show you how to look at and use sports tipster ratings to help your betting.

What Are Sports Tipster Ratings?

Sports tipster ratings are scores given to individual sports betting tipsters.

They help punters measure the overall quality of a tipster based on their past performance.

These ratings are usually numbers, stars or ranking systems that sum up a tipster’s ability to produce winning tips over time.

In the Betting World

In the fast and often crazy world of betting it’s vital to have access to tipster ratings.

They give punters a quick reference point to decide if a tipster is worth following or subscribing to.

With so many tipsters out there – from football experts to NBA betting specialists – we need a transparent way to separate the wheat from the chaff.

Rating Systems

There are many types of rating systems including:

  • Numerical scales (e.g. 1–10)
  • Star ratings (e.g. 1 to 5 stars)
  • Passed/fail ratings
  • Percentage success rates
  • Ranking systems within specific sports like football or horse racing

These allow punters to compare tipsters across different platforms and sports to find the best football tipsters or horse racing tipster ratings.

Here at Honest Betting Reviews, we use two types of ratings when we review a tipster:

  • A passed/neutral/failed rating: this is the headline rating that tells you quickly whether the tipster has passed mustard during our review. Generally speaking to achieve a passed rating a tipster will have to have achieved a good level of profit, growing the betting bank by at least 30%. Neutral ratings tend to go to services that broke even (or close to even) during our trial and failed ratings go to services that made a clear loss over our trial. 
  • Star ratings: we also give tipsters a star rating from one to five. This provides a bit more depth on how the tipster has performed and takes into account a variety of metrics discussed below. Five star ratings are saved for the very best tipsters who have demonstrated outstanding results during a review.

We also publish ranking lists of the best tipsters by sport, including football, golf, tennis, boxing, UFC and more. These are regularly updated to reflect the recent performances of the tipsters. 

What’s in a Sports Tipster Rating

A tipster’s rating is made up of several components:

  • ROI (Return on Investment): This is the profitability of the tipster based on the stakes placed. A high ROI in sports betting is a big indicator of profit.
  • Strike Rate: The percentage of winning bets to total bets. A 50%+ strike rate is a good indicator of predictive accuracy.
  • Profit and Loss: The total profit made by the tipster in their career or a specified period of time.
  • Bank Growth (aka Return on Capital): This is how much the tipster has grown the betting bank over a given period of time, expressed as a percentage. It is another key performance metric.
  • Closing Line Value: This refers to the value of the odds when the market closes compared to when the bet was placed. A positive CLV shows that the tipster consistently beats the market, which is a strong indicator of long-term profitability.

How Ratings Are Calculated and Updated

Tipster ratings are calculated from historical performance data.

Some systems update daily, others weekly or monthly depending on the frequency of tips.

Volume of tips and odds offered are also taken into account as they impact profit.

What Affects Sports Tipster Ratings

Several things contribute to a tipster’s rating, including: 

Consistency of Results

Tipster profit consistency is a crucial part of a high rating. A few lucky wins isn’t enough; long term consistency of profitable bets is what makes a tipster trustworthy.

Volume of Tips

A tipster who provides more tips gives more data to work with. But there’s a balance to be had; too many tips and you’re oversaturated, too few and it’s hard to gauge reliability.

A Tipster’s Specialism

A good rating system should take into account a tipster’s specialism in certain aspects of their sport.

For example a football tipster may be great in the Premier League but struggle with international matches. 

Or a golf tipster might be great on the PGA Tour but struggle on the DP World Tour for instance.

We should be careful not to over-analyse or over-interpret a tipster’s record, but if a trend is strong enough and over a large enough sample of bets then it can be worth paying attention to.

We also have to understand that performance metrics tend to vary by sport, as discussed here in more detail. A tennis betting expert may have different performance metrics to a horse racing tipster for example. 

Transparency and Record Keeping

Good tipsters keep a clear record of their past results. Tipster transparency is important so the data used for the ratings is accurate.

Transparent records allow punters to see the tipster’s history over time.

How to Read and Interpret Sports Tipster Ratings

Understanding the metrics behind the rating is key to making informed betting decisions.

Numerical Scales and Star Ratings

A tipster may be rated on a 1-to-10 scale where higher is better or stars. When using these scales make sure you know what each point or star means.

Our own star rating system breaks down as follows:-

  • = excellent, reserved for the very best tipsters who have produced outstanding results in a trial. Only a select few have achieved 5-star ratings from us.
  • = a very impressive trial with high quality results, just behind the elite tipping services.
  • = indicates a strong tipster with very good trial results, but perhaps just 1 metric preventing them from achieving top marks.
  • = a good trial, but not quite blowing things away. Or could be an issue such as odds availability hitting their rating.
  • = a solid trial, but not spectacular either. Usually for tipsters that have made a small profit.
  • = usually corresponds with a neutral rating. The tipster probably broke even – or close to it.
  • = a failed rating. The tipster probably made a loss, although not a substantial one.
  • = signifies a poor performance, with either a substantial loss made or major issues with the service. 
  • = a very poor performance, likely with the bank being close to being wiped out.
  • = disaster. Either a total bank wipeout, a scam tipster, or both. 

Historical Performance Data

Historical performance data shows a tipster’s long term success.

Look at the data in relation to ROI, win percentage and overall profit. Tipster performance graphs are also useful for judging performance at a glance.

Trends and Patterns in Tipster Performance

Look for patterns. Is the tipster profitable consistently or just recently?

Are they good in certain types of bets or markets?

Knowing these trends will help you choose tipsters who offer long term value.

Mistakes to Avoid When Using Sports Tipster Ratings

man frustrated with laptop

Tipster ratings are useful but there are common mistakes to watch out for.

Relying Too Heavily on Short Term Results

A tipster may have a good run for a few months but that doesn’t mean they’ll be profitable long term.

Be cautious of short term results and always prioritise long term betting profit. 

We tend to judge tipster performance over the course of years, not weeks or months. Any tipster can hit a hot or cold run of form but only the best will deliver profit year after year. 

Ignoring the Tipster’s Specialism

If you’re looking for an expert in a certain sport don’t just look at general ratings. Look for sport specific success rates and specialism.

Following a horse racing tipster for football bets for example is unlikely to generate good results.

As explained in our article about sports tipsters, there are very few tipsters who are profitable in more than one sport. 

Not Considering the Odds

Tipsters who bet at high odds may have a lower strike rate but can still be profitable. Those who bet at short odds may have high win rates but offer minimal returns.

It’s important to consider tipster metrics as a whole rather than just looking at just one or two. 

How to Use Sports Tipster Ratings

Now you know how to read the ratings it’s time to use them to your advantage.

Comparing Multiple Tipsters in the Same Sport

Instead of following one tipster blindly compare multiple tipsters in the same sport to find the best advice.

Tipster rating websites like this one can help you do this easily by aggregating different tipsters’ ratings.

Spread Your Tipster Portfolio

Betting portfolio diversification is a good risk management strategy.

Following multiple tipsters across different sports can smooth out the ups and downs of individual tipster performance.

Be sure to have a sufficient betting bank to if you are going to follow multiple tipsters though.

We normally recommend having a separate betting bank for each tipster and only betting a fixed percentage (e.g. 1-2%) of your bank on each tip.  

Tracking Your Personal Results With Rated Tipsters

While tipster ratings are a good reference it’s important to track how these tipsters perform in your personal bets.

Keep a results spreadsheet and use a sports betting ROI calculator to measure your results and check how each tipster you follow is performing, including the odds you have achieved against those given out by the tipster. 

 

Conclusion – Sports Tipster Ratings

Armed with your new knowledge of sports tipster ratings, you’re now ready to make more informed betting decisions.

Remember, these ratings are powerful tools, but they’re not crystal balls.

Use them wisely, combine them with your own research, and always bet responsibly.

Ready to put your skills to the test? Start by reviewing the ratings of tipsters in your favourite sport and see how it impacts your betting success.

Who knows? You might just become the next betting mastermind!