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If you’ve ever placed a football bet or even glanced at a betting site, you’ve probably seen the first goalscorer market.
It’s one of the most popular and exciting bets around – but what exactly does first goalscorer mean, and how does it work?
In this guide, we’ll break it all down in simple terms. Whether you’re new to betting or just curious about how to improve your chances, you’ll get a clear understanding of the first goalscorer market, how it’s different from similar bets, and some handy tips for making smarter picks.
What Does First Goalscorer Mean?
The first goalscorer market is a type of football bet where you’re predicting which player will score the first goal of the match.
It’s that straightforward – pick the right player, and if they’re the first to hit the back of the net, you win your bet.
Let’s say Liverpool are playing Arsenal, and you back Mohamed Salah to be the first goalscorer. If Salah scores the opening goal of the match, your bet lands. If someone else scores first – or the game ends 0-0 – your bet loses.
So, in a nutshell:
✅ Your player must score the first goal of the match
❌ It doesn’t count if they score second, third, or later
❌ Own goals don’t count towards the first goalscorer market
How Is First Goalscorer Different from Anytime Goalscorer?
Here’s where things can get confusing for beginners. The anytime goalscorer market is another popular option – but it’s quite different.
With an anytime goalscorer bet, your chosen player just needs to score at any point in the match.
First, last, or somewhere in between – it doesn’t matter. So the chances of winning are much higher, but the odds are usually lower.
Let’s compare the two:
Market
What Needs to Happen
Example
First Goalscorer
Player scores the first goal of the match
Back Haaland – he scores the opener ✅
Anytime Goalscorer
Player scores at any time during the match
Back Haaland – he scores the 4th goal ✅
The first goalscorer market is riskier – but with greater risk comes greater reward.
It often offers much higher odds, especially if you go for an underdog or a player who’s not a typical goalscorer.
Here for example are the odds for both anytime goalscorer and first goalscorer compared side-by-side in a match between Real Madrid and Al Hilal Riyadh, with odds taken fromBet365:
Player
Anytime Goalscorer Odds
First Goalscorer Odds
Kylian Mbappe
1.53
3.60
Vinicius Jr.
2.00
5.50
Arda Guler
2.20
6.00
Jude Bellingham
2.40
7.00
Rodrygo
2.60
7.50
Victor Munoz
2.75
8.00
As you can see, the odds for first goalscorer are considerably higher than those for anytime goalscorer, sometimes as much as three times as high.
What Happens If the First Goal Is an Own Goal?
This is a really common question, and it’s important to get it right.
If the first goal of the match is an own goal, it does not count towards the first goalscorer market.
Instead, the bet carries on as if the score is still 0-0. The first valid goal scored by a player for their own team is the one that counts.
Example:
20th minute: A defender scores an own goal – this doesn’t count
35th minute: Mo Salah scores for Liverpool – he is considered the first goalscorer
If you’d backed Salah, your bet would win.
What Happens If My Player Doesn’t Start or Comes on as a Sub?
Great question – because this affects a lot of first goalscorer bets.
If your chosen player doesn’t play at all, most bookmakers will refund your stake. Always double-check the terms, but this is standard practice.
If your player comes on as a substituteafter the first goal has been scored, your bet is usually made void and your stake is refunded. But if they’re subbed on before the first goal, your bet still stands.
This is why it’s vital to check the starting line-ups before placing a first goalscorer bet. You don’t want to back someone who’s on the bench!
How to Choose a First Goalscorer: Tips and Strategy
Picking the right first goalscorer can feel like a bit of a lottery – but with the right approach, you can significantly improve your chances.
It’s all about doing your homework, understanding player roles, and spotting patterns.
Here’s how to approach it, with real-world examples to help bring each tip to life.
1. Identify the Team’s Primary Scoring Threats
Start with the basics: who’s most likely to score? Look at the team’s top attackers, especially those in strong goalscoring form.
Example: During the 2022/23 Premier League season, Erling Haaland scored the first goal in 11 different matches for Manchester City – more than any other player in the league.
He was consistently the focal point of City’s attack and took penalties, making him an obvious first goalscorer candidate.
Other historical examples include Harry Kane at Spurs, Robert Lewandowski at Bayern Munich (and now Barcelona), and Cristiano Ronaldo during his time at Real Madrid and Juventus – all prolific players who often open the scoring.
✅ Tip: Focus on strikers who regularly find themselves in scoring positions early in games.
2. Look at Recent Form and Confidence Levels
Players in good form are more likely to take chances early. A striker who’s scored in their last few matches is full of confidence – and confidence is everything in front of goal.
Example: In Euro 2020, Patrik Schick was in excellent form for the Czech Republic. After scoring the first goal in their opener against Scotland (and later scoring from near the halfway line), punters began to back him as first goalscorer in following games – and it paid off again against the Netherlands.
✅ Tip: Use stats from the last 5–10 matches to identify hot streaks.
3. Analyse Head-to-Head Records
Some players just love playing against certain teams. Whether it’s a psychological edge or a tactical mismatch, looking at head-to-head data can reveal great first goalscorer opportunities.
Example: Son Heung-Min has a great scoring record against Leicester City – he’s scored multiple braces and hat-tricks against them. If Tottenham were playing Leicester again, he would be an excellent shout for first goalscorer based on historical trends.
✅ Tip: Check historical stats for repeat fixtures – you may uncover a “bogey team” a striker loves playing against.
4. Factor in Penalty and Free-Kick Duties
Players on penalties or direct free kicks have a higher chance of scoring first, especially if their team is aggressive early in games.
Example: Bruno Fernandes has been the regular penalty taker for Manchester United since joining in 2020. Many of his first goals came from early spot-kicks, making him a strong candidate for the first goalscorer bet – even when he wasn’t playing as a striker.
Another example: James Ward-Prowse, formerly of Southampton, is known for his free-kick ability. Though not a striker, his dead-ball expertise makes him a good outsider bet for first goalscorer, especially in games where early fouls near the box are likely.
✅ Tip: Check who takes penalties and free-kicks – they don’t always play up front!
5. Don’t Forget the Set-Piece Threats
Centre-backs and defensive midfielders can be great long-shot picks – especially in teams that score a lot from set pieces like corners and indirect free kicks.
Example: Virgil van Dijk has opened the scoring for Liverpool multiple times with headers from corners, especially in tightly contested games. The odds on a defender to score first are often 20/1 or higher, offering great value.
✅ Tip: In physical matches or against teams weak on set-piece defending, consider powerful defenders with aerial ability.
6. Study Team Line-Ups and Formation
Betting before kick-off? Make sure the player you back is starting and ideally playing in an advanced role. A player listed as a winger might actually be playing up front – or vice versa.
Example: During the 2022/23 season, Gabriel Martinelli often started in a front three for Arsenal but occasionally played centrally.
On days he played as the central forward, his chances of scoring first increased – and so did the appeal of backing him.
✅ Tip: Use live team sheets and formation graphics from apps like OneFootball, SofaScore, or FotMob before placing your bet.
7. Watch for Tactical Changes and Rotations
Managers sometimes rotate squads or switch tactics, giving unexpected players a chance to shine in more attacking roles.
Example: During the 2023 Champions League, João Cancelo was used as an inverted full-back at Barcelona, often pushing into midfield or the final third.
This kind of positional change makes certain defenders or midfielders more valuable in first goalscorer markets – if you can spot it early.
✅ Tip: Pay attention to recent tactical trends – especially after team injuries, suspensions, or managerial changes.
8. Use Match Context to Your Advantage
In big matches or derbies, the first goal is crucial – and managers often rely on their most dependable players to get it. In contrast, in easier fixtures, you might see fringe players getting chances.
Example: In a Manchester derby, Pep Guardiola is far more likely to start his strongest XI, meaning someone like Haaland or Foden is a better pick. But in an FA Cup tie against a League Two side, you might see young players like Oscar Bobb or Cole Palmer (when he was at City) getting a run – and scoring early.
✅ Tip: Adjust your first goalscorer pick based on the nature and importance of the match.
Alternative Approach: Mix Strategy with a Bit of Gut Feel
While statistics, form, and logic should guide most of your decision-making, don’t be afraid to trust your instincts now and then – especially when you spot a narrative others may overlook.
Maybe a former player is facing his old club. Maybe someone’s just had a child (the “new dad goal” theory!). Sometimes those human stories turn into goals – and big-priced wins.
What Is an Each-Way First Goalscorer Bet?
Some bookies offer an each-way option on the first goalscorer market. This means you can still win something even if your player doesn’t score first – but scores later in the match.
Usually, the bet is split in two:
Half your stake goes on your player to score first
The other half goes on them to score at any time
Example:
You bet £10 each-way on Saka at 10/1
£5 is on Saka to score first
£5 is on Saka to score anytime (at reduced odds, usually 1/3 or 1/4 of the main odds)
So if he scores second or third, you lose the first part but win the second – which cushions the blow and still gives you a return.
Final Thoughts: Is First Goalscorer a Good Bet?
The first goalscorer market is one of the most thrilling bets in football – simple, high-risk, but potentially very rewarding.
It’s not the easiest market to crack, especially when goals can come from anywhere on the pitch. But with a bit of research and a keen eye on team news and stats, you can give yourself a better chance.
To recap:
✅ First goalscorer means backing a player to score the opening goal of the match
⚠️ Own goals don’t count
🔄 Subbed-on players must be on the pitch before the first goal to be eligible
💡 Use form, team news, and matchups to guide your picks
Whether you’re in it for a cheeky punt at big odds or taking a calculated approach with the favourites, the first goalscorer market can add a real buzz to any football match.
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Every season the Premier League starts with a buzz, as fans wait to see how the teams will do and pundits dissect player signings, manager changes and team make-ups.
Once the season gets underway though, so much changes and the Premier League betting fluctuates dramatically. Knowing what the odds were at the start of the season allows us to look back and asses how much they’ve changed over the season so far.
Which teams have drifted and which have fallen in odds since the season started? Who was the favourite at the start of the season? And are they still value now?
These are all questions we can start to answer once we know what the odds were at the start of the season.
Looking at the starting odds for this season can also give us clues for what the odds might be at the start of next season, if we are thinking ahead and trying to get some value ahead of other punters.
Why Do Start of the Season Odds Matter?
The bookmakers’ start of the season odds are the result of lots of analysis by the oddsmakers. These odds are a summary of who they think will do well, who will struggle and where the value is.
They cover a range of markets from Premier League title odds to relegation chances, top four finishes and even top scorer bets.
For bettors these odds can be the best time to place long term bets on their season predictions.
Since start of the season odds include speculative elements (newly promoted teams, big club signings) there’s room to find value and place bets before the odds contract during the season.
Looking at the Start of the Season Odds for the Big Six
Let’s take a look at the start of the season odds for the “Big Six” to win the Premier League.
These are the general odds available just before the 2025/26 Premier League season kicked off on 15th August:
Liverpool: 15/8 (or 2.88 in decimal odds)
Arsenal: 5/2 (3.5 in decimal odds)
Manchester City: 7/2 (4.5 in decimal odds)
Chelsea: 15/2 (8.5 in decimal odds)
Man Utd: 25/1 (26.0 in decimal odds)
Spurs: 50/1 (51.0 in decimal odds)
The odds will no doubt change a lot over the course of the season – but that’s what they were at the start.
In addition to the Outright market, there are other main markets bettors look at at the start of the season:
Top Four – Which teams will get into the Champions League?
Top Six – Includes Europa League qualification.
Relegation – Which teams will go down to the Championship?
Top Scorer – Who will win the Golden Boot?
Player and Manager Specials – Manager to be sacked and player awards.
Each market has its own variables with the odds reflecting team and player strength, schedule and historical performance.
How Bookmakers Set These Odds
Bookmakers start setting odds by combining statistics, historical data and market sentiment. Here’s a breakdown of what affects the odds in each market:
Team Strength – Bookmakers look at each team’s overall strength, last season’s form, summer signings and pre-season.
Manager Impact – New managers bring uncertainty so the odds often reflect the manager’s experience and big game record.
Fixture List – The early season fixture list can have a big impact on the odds. Teams with tough early games may have longer odds as they are seen as more likely to have a tough start.
Public Sentiment – Bookmakers also take into account where the money is going. If a lot of money is being placed on a team the odds may shorten even if that team isn’t the obvious favourite.
Newly Promoted Teams: Relegation Odds
Three new teams join the Premier League from the Championship every season and bookmakers are quick to put them in the relegation favourites. But newly promoted teams can be undervalued by bookmakers especially if they come into the league with momentum or impressive pre-season form.
Some bettors look for value in these teams’ relegation odds and bet on them to stay up rather than go down.
Finding Value in the Early Top Scorer Odds
One of the most popular start of the season markets is betting on the league’s top scorer. Premier League top scorers often come from teams that finish high up the table but betting on lesser known players or newcomers can be very profitable if you’re looking for bigger odds.
For example players who have joined the Premier League from other European leagues with a good scoring record may have longer odds.
Research into player stats such as goals per game and consistency in previous leagues can help you find value in this market.
Long Term Bets vs In Season Adjustments
One of the advantages of betting at the start of the season is that you can lock in odds that won’t be affected by in season events.
For example you can back a top team to finish in the top four at the start of the season and then watch the odds shorten when they have a good start. Long term bets like this can be very profitable if you get the team right.
But there’s also an advantage to waiting and adjusting bets during the season. Some bettors like to watch the early performances and place shorter term bets based on recent form while still holding onto their long term bets.
Tips for Betting on Premier League Odds During the Season
Follow Recent Form
Teams are in form or out of form, and this can shift the odds before the public catches up. A mid table team on a run of wins against a top team for example.
Keep an eye on Injuries and Suspensions
Key player absentees can change a team’s odds. Stay up to date with injuries and suspensions to find where the bookies haven’t adjusted yet.
Look at Schedule Congestion
Teams with multiple competitions (Champions League or domestic cups) can be fatigued in the Premier League. Look to back the fresher team when the top teams are juggling multiple fixtures.
Use In-Play for Extra Info
Live or in-play betting lets you see how teams perform during the match. This can be especially useful for spotting trends, and placing a bet if you spot a good opportunity.
Conclusion: Premier League Betting Odds
Looking at the opening odds for each Premier League season is informative. These early odds give us a benchmark to measure how teams and players are expected to do.
As the season goes on those odds change dramatically due to form, managerial changes and unexpected events like injuries and fixture congestion.
By comparing current odds to the opening odds we can see trends – which teams have been backed and which have drifted. We can then potentially use this information to make strategic bets, for this season or the next.
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There are sporting events—and then there’s the Breeders’ Cup Classic. The storied showdown is the most lucrative race in all of American racing, and this year, the field couldn’t be more wide open.
The 2025 renewal at Del Mar is no ordinary headline act; it’s the exclamation point on a season brimming with seismic shifts, rivalries forged in fire, and international intrigue that defies borders.
The build-up reads almost like an epic novel. Sovereignty, Godolphin’s undefeated behemoth, is chasing a year for the ages, daring history to keep up. Sierra Leone, last year’s champion, returns older, stronger, hungry for a coronation that would silence all doubters.
Forever Young carries the weight of Japan’s dreams. While Journalism seeks vindication in a year built on near-misses. But out of those heavyweights, there is one contender that horse racing odds makers fancy above all others.
That, of course, is the aforementioned Sovereignty, with the latest horse racing at Bovada odds pricing him as a +200 favourite. But why is Bill Mott’s charge given top billing? And what have his Classic rivals done this year to ramp up the pressure on the frontrunner? Let’s take a look.
Sovereignty
How do you measure supremacy in three-year-old colts? For Sovereignty, the answer is everything: performance, pressure, pedigree, and poise. He was electric in the 2025 Kentucky Derby, unleashing a right-handed drive that saw him surge clear late, drawing away by one and a half lengths from the gallant favorite Journalism.
The final sectionals marked the fastest Derby finish in nearly a decade—a devastating turn of foot under Bill Mott’s masterly care.
What truly sets him apart? After the Derby, he doubled down in the Belmont, turning away rivals with the same icy coolness.
After missing the Preakness, many thought the door was open for rival Journalism to tie up their series against each other. Instead, Sovereignty streaked clear, a perfect two from two against what many thought was the top three-year-old Colt Stateside before the Triple Crown got underway.
His dominance is underpinned by impeccable dirt credentials and a tactical versatility that leaves no obvious weakness to exploit. Undefeated, battle-tested, and peaking when the money’s down, Sovereignty heads into Del Mar not just as a favorite, but as a potential all-time great.
Sierra Leone
Comebacks in racing aren’t given; they are wrestled from adversity and self-doubt. Early in 2025, Sierra Leone faced just that—a tepid third in the New Orleans Classic was supposed to mark the end of his prime.
Instead, it was the prologue. Under Chad Brown’s steady hand, Sierra Leone stormed Saratoga’s revered Whitney Stakes, displaying a blend of speed and power not seen since his career-defining score in the Breeders’ Cup late last year.
In the Whitney, the colt faced seasoned elders—and won like a champion, earning a Timeform figure that many ranked above his own Classic win last autumn. Resilience isn’t a statistic, but if it were, Sierra Leone’s chart would be off the scale. No narrative here is more compelling: defending champion, written off by critics, now roaring back as the clear and present danger to Sovereignty’s supposed coronation.
Journalism
No rivalry in 2025 drips with as much narrative heat as Sovereignty vs. Journalism. But for Michael McCarthy’s charge, his campaign has been one spent in the shadow of a less fancied adversary. His Preakness win—rallying late after a dismal start that led some to think whether he was any good at all—was able to prove that the horse has heart.
But is he as good as originally billed earlier in the year? Without Sovereignty in the field, some cast doubt. But Journalism’s subsequent Haskell victory, against a deeper field, silenced a legion of skeptics.
Here’s the cold reality: Journalism has been the second-best horse of his generation—but “best of the rest” is a tag that fuels obsessions, not satisfaction.
The Pacific Classic is his last dry run before a Breeders’ Cup showdown with the weight of legacy on the line. If Journalism topples his nemesis at Del Mar, the debates will rage: Was he always Sovereignty’s equal, held back only by fate and timing?
Forever Young
No horse in the Classic carries a more tantalizing international backstory than Forever Young. His victory margin in the Saudi Cup? A neck—the length of a thoroughbred’s defiance against a world-class field. Poetry in motion under the fiercest pressure post-race summarises will have read, but his owners won’t have cared one bit about the margin, considering just how big the prize was that they scooped up.
Post-Saudi Cup, he tuned up with another win on home soil—proving it wasn’t a fluke. Remember, this is a colt who finished third in both the 2024 Kentucky Derby and the Classic. He’s versatile, resilient, and possesses a late kick that turns routine finishes into chaos.
There’s plenty to like about his closing sectionals, and racing romantics still adore the idea of Japan’s first Classic winner. That could well be the headline story come November.
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Most regular football punters will have heard of the term “over 2.5 goals” or “under 2.5 goals.”
It is one of the most popular betting markets to bet on in football with huge liquidity.
It can be an exciting market to be involved in as you follow the number of goals scored in a game rather than which team will win. But what exactly does over/under 2.5 goals mean?
Below we explain how it works in more detail and look at some strategies for betting and trading on the over/under 2.5 goals market.
What Does Over/Under 2.5 Goals Mean?
Basically in this market you are betting on whether there will be at least three goals scored in a football match or not.
If there are two or fewer goals, it is under 2.5 goals. If there are three goals or more, it is over 2.5 goals.
You have to pick which of these you think a game will finish with.
These days there are numerous goal markets, from over/under 0.5 goals and 1.5 goals all the way up to over/under 8.5 goals.
However, over/under 2.5 goals remains the most popular of these goal markets and is normally the most evenly balanced in terms of the starting odds.
Examples
So let’s have a look at what over/under 2.5 goals means in practice.
It can be seen in table format below:
Scores
Under or Over 2.5 goals
0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 and 0-2
Under 2.5 goals
2-1, 1-2, 3-0, 0-3, 2-2, 3-2, 2-3, 4-0, 4-1 & any other score
Over 2.5 goals
So as you can see, any game that has less than three goals in total by both teams combined is under 2.5 goals. Any score that has three goals or more is over 2.5 goals.
Some games will have six, seven or even eight goals – but you don’t win any more for extra goals – it’s just a case of hitting at least three goals and then it is over 2.5 goals.
Please note that extra time does not count towards the over/under markets – it is based on normal time only (90 minutes plus stoppage time).
But why have .5?
The reason the market is structured at over/under 2.5 rather than just over/under 2 is so that you can only have two outcomes – you either win or you lose.
Since there cannot be half a goal in a football match, you can never have a drawn bet. If the market was over/under 2 goals, you would have a void bet if the match finished 1-1 or 2-0, for example.
So this ensures that it is a simple win or lose market.
Why Over/Under 2.5 Goals Scored is Such a Popular Market
The particularly interesting thing about 2.5 goals is that it is close to the average number of goals scored in football matches around the world.
So we are talking about a very even market in general and something that should provide a nice 50/50 bet.
Now of course it depends very much on the teams and their styles of playing as to what odds you will actually get.
In matches where the teams are defensively-minded and tend to produce low scoring matches, then you will tend to get below evens (or 2.0 in decimal terms) for there to be under 2.5 goals.
In low-scoring football leagues such as the French, Greek and Portuguese leagues, you will often get under 2.5 goals to be as low 1.6 or 1.5 – so a strong likelihood that there will be less than 2.5 goals.
But in high scoring leagues such as the Dutch leagues and German Bundesliga, the odds for under 2.5 goals will often be 2.3 or more.
And then if you look at teams like Ajax or Bayern Munich, the under 2.5 goals will often be 5.0 or above. Let’s face it – how many games involving either of those teams have two goals or less? Not many!
Factors Affecting Goals Scored
When placing a bet on the over/under 2.5 goals market, it’s essential to consider several factors that can influence the number of goals scored in a football match. Here are some key elements to keep in mind:
Team Form: The current form of a team can significantly impact their goal-scoring ability. Teams in good form are more likely to score goals, while those struggling may find it harder to find the back of the net. For instance, a team on a winning streak like Manchester United in the Premier League is likely to score more goals compared to a team on a losing streak.
Head-to-Head Records: Historical performance between two teams can provide valuable insights. If past encounters between the two teams have been high-scoring, there’s a higher chance of more goals being scored. Conversely, if previous matches have been low-scoring, it might be wise to consider betting on under 2.5 goals.
Injuries and Suspensions: The absence of key players, especially strikers or playmakers, can significantly reduce a team’s goal-scoring potential. Similarly, missing key defenders can lead to more goals being conceded. Always check the latest team news before placing your bet.
Home Advantage: Home teams generally have a better goal-scoring record due to familiar surroundings and support from home fans. This can tilt the balance towards more goals being scored. However, some teams are known for their strong defensive play at home, which could lead to fewer goals.
Weather Conditions: Inclement weather, such as heavy rain or strong winds, can make it difficult for teams to play their usual attacking game, often resulting in fewer goals scored. Always consider the weather forecast when betting on the over/under 2.5 goals market.
Tactical Approach: Teams that adopt a defensive approach are more likely to have matches with fewer goals. For example, a team known for parking the bus will likely result in a low-scoring game. Understanding the tactical mindset of the teams involved can provide a significant edge.
By taking these factors into account, you can make more informed decisions and increase your chances of success in the over/under 2.5 goals betting market.
Getting the Most from Your Over/Under 2.5 Goals Bets
We would suggest utilising the betting exchanges for placing your over/under 2.5 goals selections, particularly if you are betting in-play. The exchanges are likely to have better odds on these markets than the bookmakers.
Managing your betting bank effectively is crucial to ensure financial safety and adjust strategies during losing streaks.
Sometimes it can be worth checking an odds comparison site like Oddsportal as well however, just to be sure you can’t get better odds at the bookies.
The Asian bookies sometimes offer comparable odds pre kick-off on the over/under 2.5 market, especially if it’s a match in an obscure league or a cup game where there isn’t much liquidity on the exchanges.
In general though and certainly for the big games, the exchanges will tend to offer the best odds.
The Betfair exchange is normally the most liquid and covers the greatest number of matches, although Smarkets is catching up in terms of liquidity and is worth checking when placing your bets, particularly on the bigger leagues.
Betting Strategies for the Over / Under 2.5 Goals Market
The over/under 2.5 goals betting market is one of the most bet on markets in the world – in fact, it is second only to the match odds market.
Developing a solid betting strategy is essential to maximize potential profits in this market.
That means there is great liquidity in the market for the top European leagues and even some lower leagues.
It is a market people love to bet on, perhaps partly because you don’t have to worry about who will win a game, just how many goals there will be. In this market, you are betting on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined.
If you have backed the over 2.5 goals, it can be a lot of fun cheering on goals and not minding which team actually scores them!
In terms of strategies for betting on the over/under 2.5 goals market, here are some approaches you might want to consider:
Injured Strikers – if one of the teams has their main goalscorer injured or unavailable, then it could affect the chances of there being over 2.5 goals. If Liverpool are missing Salah for instance they don’t seem to be quite the same team offensively.
Defenders missing – equally if key defenders are missing it can make a big difference to how how many goals a team might concede. To use the Liverpool example again, in the 2020/21 season when they were missing key defenders like Virgil Van Dijk, Joe Gomez and Joel Matip they were much more susceptible to conceding goals.
Late-stage tournaments – big tournaments like World Cups and Euros become notoriously low-scoring in latter stages as teams tighten up and the rewards for winning increase. It would generally pay to bet on unders in these circumstances. The recent AFCON (Africa Cup of Nations) is an example of one of these low-scoring international tournaments, with a high proportion of under 2.5 goals.
Mismatches – markets tend to assume that big teams who are strong favourites will thrash teams at the bottom of the leagues – but the stats don’t back this up and there is only a slightly higher goal average in these games than evenly-matched teams. So when a lower-table side that is strong defensively plays a top team, it may be worth backing under 2.5 goals.
When betting on the over/under 2.5 goals market, it’s essential to avoid common mistakes that can lead to losses. Here are some pitfalls to watch out for:
Overestimating Scoring Ability: Don’t assume that a team will score a certain number of goals based on their past performance alone. Each match is unique, and even high-scoring teams can have off days. Always consider the current form and context of the match.
Underestimating Defensive Strength: Don’t underestimate a team’s defensive capabilities. A strong defense can significantly reduce the number of goals conceded, affecting the outcome of your bet. Always analyze the defensive records of both teams.
Ignoring Head-to-Head History: Failing to consider the past encounters between two teams can lead to poor decision-making. Historical data can reveal patterns and trends that are crucial for making informed bets.
Not Staying Up-to-Date with Team News: Injuries and suspensions can significantly impact a team’s scoring ability. Always stay informed about the latest team news to make better betting decisions.
Chasing Losses: Don’t try to recoup losses by betting impulsively. Stick to your strategy and make informed decisions. Chasing losses can lead to poor judgment and further losses.
How to Predict Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Predicting the over/under 2.5 goals market requires a combination of statistical analysis, team research, and a solid understanding of the factors that influence goals scored. Here are some tips to help you make more accurate predictions:
Analyze Team Statistics: Study a team’s past performance, including their average goals scored and conceded per match. This data can provide a baseline for predicting future matches.
Research Head-to-Head History: Look at the past encounters between two teams to identify patterns and trends. Historical data can offer valuable insights into how the teams are likely to perform against each other.
Stay Up-to-Date with Team News: Keep an eye on injuries, suspensions, and other factors that can impact a team’s scoring ability. Knowing which key players are available can make a significant difference in your predictions.
Consider the Tactical Approach: Teams with a defensive-minded approach may concede fewer goals, while teams with an attacking mindset may score more goals. Understanding the tactical approach of the teams involved can provide a significant edge in predicting the number of goals.
Use Data and Statistics: Utilize data and statistics to make informed decisions, but don’t rely solely on them. Consider other factors that can influence the match outcome, such as weather conditions and home advantage.
By considering these factors and avoiding common mistakes, you can improve your chances of making accurate predictions in the over/under 2.5 goals market.
Strategies for Trading the Over/Under 2.5 goals Market
As well as betting on the over/under markets, there are a large number of people who like to trade the market instead.
This means using an exchange like Betfair to back and lay in the market, or vice versa, to hopefully make a profit from the movement in odds.
As the over/under markets are some of the most liquid on Betfair, there are great opportunities for trading.
Here are some possible strategies for trading the over/under 2.5 market:
Trading the first 10 minutes – the over/unders market tends to move down very quickly if there is no goal early on in a match. So you could for example place a bet on unders before the start of a game and then trade it out (or cash out) after the first ten minutes to make a profit.
Backing overs late in the game – a popular strategy is to back over 2.5 goals late in a game, particularly if the score is 1-1. If you are watching a game and it is very open with lots of chances being created, or you are following the live stats on a site like Flashscores, it can pay to back overs in the last 15-20 minutes. A large proportion of goals are scored in the last 15 minutes of matches and at a scoreline of 1-1 teams will tend to be pressing for a winner.
Trading after a goal – the unders market often rockets upwards after a goal, but can then move downwards again quite quickly. So you can take advantage of this by backing unders after a goal and then trading out after five to ten minutes.
Conclusion – The Over/Under 2.5 Goals Market
The over/under 2.5 goals market is one of the most popular betting markets in football, with huge amounts wagered on it around the world.
The beautiful simplicity of it and not needing to worry about who will actually win a game, plus the appeal of cheering for goals (or none) makes it an attractive market to bet on for many people.
There are lots of different methods of betting and trading the market, so there is real potential for finding a profitable angle on the over/unders.
Whichever method you use, good luck – and please let us know if you have any of your own methods not mentioned above in the comments below.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/football-penalty-pic.png394700Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-08-09 18:20:402025-10-15 14:53:17Meaning of Under 2.5 Goals Explained
Searching for the best football tipster in 2025? You’ve come to the right place. We’ve spent countless hours reviewing, testing, and comparing hundreds of services to bring you the most reliable and up-to-date list of today’s leading football betting tipsters.
With so many options out there, it can be difficult to know who to trust.
That’s where we step in. By focusing on verified results and proven performance, we highlight only the tipsters who consistently deliver.
So, whether you’re looking for expert Premier League predictions, value bets in the lower leagues, or tips on international fixtures, this guide showcases the football tipsters who truly stand out.
We’ll explain what makes a top football tipster — and reveal our definitive list of the Top 10 Football Tipsters.
Introduction to Football Tipsters
Football betting is a huge market, and many punters turn to experts for an advantage over the bookies. That’s where football tipsters come into play.
A football tipster is either an individual or a service that shares predictions and analysis on football matches. Their tips might cover everything from match outcomes and goals to corners and even player performances.
The aim is simple: to give punters the information they need to make smarter bets and increase their chances of winning.
The challenge, though, is that with so many tipsters out there, knowing who to trust isn’t easy.
Some tipsters bring years of experience and a proven record of success, while others make big promises but fail to deliver consistent profits.
Being able to spot the difference — and judge a tipster’s true reliability — can save you both time and money, while giving you a real edge in your betting. That’s why we provide fully independent, verified reviews of football tipsters, with every result tracked for complete transparency.
So whether you’re a seasoned bettor refining your strategy or a beginner keen to start on the right foot, choosing tipsters with a solid long-term record will give you a major advantage over the average punter.
What Makes a Great Football Tipster?
When assessing a football betting tipster, it’s important to look beyond the flashy winning bets they might showcase on social media.
These are the main factors we consider when evaluating a football tipster:
Strike Rate – This measures how often a tipster’s bets win. Most football tipsters operate with a strike rate of around 40–50%, depending on the markets they focus on.
Return on Investment (ROI) – ROI shows how much profit you make per 100 units staked. For example, if a tipster generated £20 profit for every £100 wagered, their ROI would be 20%. In football betting, an ROI of 5% is considered solid, while 10% or higher is outstanding over the long term.
Bank Growth – This reflects how much a tipster can increase your betting bankroll. For instance, turning a £2,000 starting bank into £4,000 within a year represents 100% bank growth.
Longevity – The best football tipsters don’t just perform well in the short term; they show consistency year after year. Many tipsters start strong but fade quickly, so long-term proof is crucial.
Verified Results – Far too many tipsters cherry-pick winners or highlight only short-term hot streaks.
At Honest Betting Reviews, we only feature tipsters with transparent, verified records — and we run our own independent trials to ensure they’re genuinely profitable.
By taking all these factors into account, we’re able to compile a clear, trustworthy list of the Top 10 Football Tipsters for 2025. So, let’s dive in!
Our Top 10 Football Tipsters
The moment you’ve been waiting for — our Top 10 Football Tipsters! 🎉
After months of live trials and in-depth reviews, we’ve crunched the numbers, tracked every bet, and analysed the performance of countless tipsters. The result? A definitive ranking of the football tipsters who truly deliver.
Finding a reliable tipster isn’t just about flashy wins — it’s about consistent profits, verified records, and long-term success. That’s exactly what we’ve looked for when putting this list together.
Each of the tipsters in our top ten has been tested under real conditions, with full transparency, and has proven their ability to beat the bookies time and time again.
So, let’s dive straight in and reveal the best football tipsters you can trust right now!
Now let’s break down the Top 10 Best Football Tipsters list in more detail, looking at their results, profitability and the type of markets each tipster specialises in:
10. Goal King
Kicking off our list is The Goal King, a football tipster service run by Steve Hudson — a respected name in the betting world.
Steve is also the man behind the long-running and successful AccaTipster service, so he brings plenty of credibility and experience to the table.
As the name suggests, The Goal King specialises in the goals markets, with a focus on popular bets like over/under 2.5 goals, over/under 3.5 goals, and both teams to score (BTTS). The service covers all the major European leagues as well as international tournaments.
The results speak for themselves: The Goal King has generated over 210 points profit in total. To put that into perspective, that’s £2,100 profit at £10 per point — or an impressive £10,500 at £50 stakes.
With a strong 58% strike rate, more than half of all bets placed have been winners.
During our own 12-month independent trial, The Goal King delivered 43 points profit, earning a solid PASSED rating from us.
Thanks to his proven track record and continued success beyond our trial, The Goal King fully deserves his place among the best football tipsters.
In ninth place on our list is Footballer Tips, a long-standing and respected service within the Tipstrr network.
Much like The Goal King, this tipster specialises in the goals markets, including over/under bets, both teams to score (BTTS), and Asian handicap goals. Their selections span a wide range of football leagues — including some of the lesser-known competitions where market liquidity can be lower.
To maximise returns from this service, it’s recommended to hold accounts with multiple bookmakers so you can consistently secure the best available odds.
What really sets Footballer Tips apart is their remarkable consistency. Since launching in the summer of 2020, they’ve delivered over £11,000 profit to £25 stakes per point.
That’s been achieved with a 40% strike rate (just under half of bets landing) and a solid 7% ROI, maintained across more than three years of tipping.
Even more impressive, Footballer Tips has finished in profit in over two-thirds of all months since the service began — something very rare in football betting.
Thanks to this long-term reliability and steady profit record, Footballer Tips earns a strong 4-star rating and a deserved spot among the top football tipsters.
Another service worth highlighting is Draw No Bets, part of the well-known Betting Gods network.
As the name suggests, this tipster focuses on the Draw No Bet market, where you back a team to win but get your stake refunded if the game ends in a draw. It’s a smart way to reduce risk while still securing solid profits.
Subscribers receive daily tips by email, usually around 8:30am UK time, covering a wide range of football leagues.
Since the selections are available with all major bookmakers and exchanges, it’s easy to follow the service.
So far the results have been very good, 70+ points profit made to 1-point stakes.
Their performance metrics have been excellent, with a 40% strike rate and 20% ROI.
They probably won’t keep this up forever—as an ROI of 10% is considered exceptional for football tipsters—but if they continue to be profitable and deliver winning months as they have then that would be very impressive.
Next up is Bets for Today VIP Tips, a service that stands out from most of the other football tipsters on this list.
Unlike many services that focus on a single sport, Bets for Today VIP Tips covers both football and horse racing — though subscribers can choose to receive football-only tips if they prefer.
What makes this service unique is its focus on multiples rather than single bets. They specialise in doubles, trebles, and accumulators, often taking advantage of bookmaker odds boosts to unlock extra value.
The results have been impressive:
Over £4,000 profit from doubles at £20 stakes
More than £4,400 profit from trebles
Over £3,100 profit from accumulators
During our own live trial, Bets for Today VIP Tips passed with flying colours, producing profits across all four of their football betting strategies.
Since most of their tips target the big leagues, there are no real liquidity issues, and the potential profits — particularly from accumulators — can be significant.
Add in the fact that their subscription price is very affordable, and Bets for Today VIP Tips is an excellent choice if you’re looking for reliable football betting tips at a fair cost.
In sixth place we have Trade On Sports, a long-established and highly respected tipping service with a strong record of success.
While Trade On Sports is a multi-sport platform, football is at the core of what they do. The heart of their operation is the innovative Gamestate App — a huge database that analyses football leagues from across the globe.
The Gamestate App uses data from thousands of matches to assess how early goals influence the flow of a game. For example, an early strike might push a team to attack more aggressively, while a goal just before half-time could completely change the game’s momentum.
Building on this data, the Trade On Sports team has created a number of powerful strategies. One of the most popular is the Half-Time Overs Bot, which pinpoints matches with a strong likelihood of at least one second-half goal, often coming late in the game.
During our live trial of the HT Overs Bot, we recorded an impressive £5,120 profit to £100 stakes, backed by a 67% strike rate.
Beyond the HT Overs Bot, Trade On Sports also runs profitable systems for markets like over/under 2.5 goals, lay the draw, and even away team betting.
What makes Trade On Sports stand out is their constant innovation and drive to develop new ways of finding value. With a history of consistency and strong results, they’ve rightly earned their place as one of the top football tipsters in 2025.
Taking fifth place on our list is Predictology, a powerful football betting and trading toolkit.
In today’s betting world, punters have access to an overwhelming amount of stats, tools, and data.
While this is a big step forward compared to the past, the real challenge is cutting through the noise and turning that information into profitable betting systems.
That’s exactly where Predictology excels. With a huge database of over 350,000 football matches from leagues worldwide, it allows bettors to develop, test, and refine strategies with precision.
Predictology offers a dual approach:
Use their pre-built strategies, ready to follow.
Or dive into the database yourself, applying filters to create your own bespoke betting systems.
In our live trial, we tested their pre-designed strategies delivered daily via email — and the results were excellent: 38 points profit with a 52% strike rate.
They cover more than 50 leagues and run a variety of systems, including:
Lay the Draw – 497 points profit, 18% ROI
Goals, Goals, Goals – 67 points profit, 12.5% ROI
Value Home Wins – 148 points profit, 19% ROI
For those who prefer hands-off betting, Predictology also offers optional automation tools (at extra cost), making it easy to set up and run systems automatically.
In a world where staying ahead is everything, Predictology gives football bettors the tools and insights needed to gain a real edge and take their betting to the next level.
Next on our list is Back of the Net, a specialist football tipster service that focuses on lay the draw opportunities during live matches.
What makes Back of the Net stand out is its data-driven, analytical approach. By using in-play statistics and detailed match data, the service identifies scenarios where a goal is highly likely — perfect for lay the draw betting.
Subscribers receive regular selections by email, along with step-by-step instructions, making it straightforward to follow even if you’re new to this style of betting.
Selections are triggered by carefully designed filters that take into account multiple factors pointing to an imminent goal. Typical lay prices fall between 1.40 and 1.70, meaning liabilities remain relatively low.
Since its launch in May 2023, Back of the Net has produced over 70 points profit. At £50 stakes per point, that’s more than £3,500 profit.
In our live trial of the service, it produced a commendable 34 points profit at a return on investment of 9%.
With a solid 41% strike rate, Back of the Net has quickly built a reputation as one of the most promising football betting services, and it already boasts a proven track record of success.
Claiming the number three spot on our list is The Inside Man, a football tipster with a rare advantage — he used to work on the other side of the counter as a bookmaker.
The man behind the service, Adam Cheng, was formerly the Head of Football Trading at Fitzdares. His job involved setting markets for the bookmaker and trading football odds to maximise profits.
In early 2020, Adam left the bookmaking world to become a full-time professional gambler, and since then he has delivered outstanding results.
According to his published records on the Bet Chat website, The Inside Man has produced 170 points profit, backed by a 10% ROI and a 52% strike rate — meaning more than half of his bets have been winners.
We’ve also tested the service ourselves, and in our own live trial we’ve made over 20 points profit — a solid effort so far.
The service is easy to follow, with around 5–10 bets per week, mostly in match odds, Asian handicap markets, and player passes.
All in all, The Inside Man is one of the best football tipsters we’ve come across in the last 3–4 years, combining insider expertise with consistent, profitable results.
Formerly known as the Scottish Football Income Booster (SFIB), Scottish Confidential is a specialist football tipster focusing exclusively on the Scottish leagues.
The service is run by a university-educated mathematician based just outside Glasgow, whose professional background is seriously impressive.
He has previously worked for major bookmakers, acted as a proprietary trader for an Asia-based private investment syndicate, and even served as a Scottish football consultant for a quant-driven hedge fund.
This unique mix of mathematical expertise and local insight gives him a major edge over ordinary punters. His in-depth knowledge of teams, players, and motivational factors within Scottish football consistently translates into profitable betting advice.
The track record speaks for itself: Scottish Confidential has delivered over 200 points profit, with a 43% strike rate and a 10%+ ROI.
We’ve been following and verifying results for more than four years, and the consistency has been outstanding.
The main focus is on match odds (1X2), but the service also provides occasional bets in markets such as over/under 2.5 goals, draw no bet (DNB), and double chance (DC). Every Scottish league is covered, from the Premiership down to League Two.
As one of the most reliable tipsters of recent years, Scottish Confidential stands out as a top football betting service, with unparalleled knowledge of Scottish football that gives subscribers a clear advantage.
And now for the moment you’ve all been waiting for… taking the number one spot in our Best Football Tipster rankings is the one and only JK Diego’s Draw Betting System!
Unlike most services, JK Diego focuses exclusively on backing the draw in football matches.
This unique strategy was developed over many years of analysing the characteristics that lead to stalemates and pinpointing where the real betting value lies.
Draws are often overlooked in football betting. Many punters prefer to back one side to win, while betting on the draw can feel like sitting on the fence. Because of this, the draw is frequently under-bet, which means bookmakers sometimes offer excellent value prices.
The key, of course, is knowing exactly when the draw represents value — and that’s where JK Diego excels.
Certain leagues and teams, particularly in low-scoring competitions, have a natural tendency to produce draws. Spotting these patterns is the foundation of this system’s success.
The results speak volumes. JK Diego’s Draw Betting System has delivered over $11,000 profit to $100 flat stakes, or an incredible $60,000+ profit when using his progressive staking approach.
In our own extensive 15-month live trial, the system produced over 100 points profit, confirming its strength under real-world conditions.
There’s also the option to trade out at 85 minutes if a game is level, which can slightly boost profits while reducing losing runs — making the experience smoother for subscribers.
The only drawback is the relatively high subscription cost, but this is partly deliberate to keep membership numbers limited and prevent odds from being heavily impacted.
If you’re able to secure access to this exclusive service, it could easily be one of the most profitable decisions you make in football betting.
In addition to the best football tipsters in general across the board, there are an increasing number of footy tipsters who specialise in a particular type of market.
Here we have dug in-depth to the best tipsters by their particular specialism:
So if you’re looking to focus in on a certain type of market, or want to gain access to an expert in their particular field of football betting, it can be worth checking out these betting specialists.
What to Avoid When Choosing a Football Tipster
When choosing a tipster, it’s equally important to know what to steer clear of. Watch out for these warning signs:
Unrealistic claims: Be cautious of tipsters who promise massive returns or boast an ROI exceeding 50%. Such guarantees are rarely credible.
Lack of transparency: Always seek verified performance records. If a tipster doesn’t provide clear, verifiable results, consider it a significant warning sign.
“Fixed matches” scams: Steer clear of anyone offering so-called fixed match outcomes. These are almost always fraudulent schemes.
By focusing on reliable tipsters and avoiding these common traps, you’ll set yourself up for smarter and more informed betting decisions.
Best Football Tipster – The Contenders
Now we assess the credentials of some of the more famous figures in football tipping and evaluate whether they have a claim to sit on the Iron Throne of football betting as tipster-in-chief.
Pete Nordsted – Premier Betting
Pete Nordsted rose to prominence with the publication of his 2009 book“Mastering Betfair”which contained strategies for making money trading on the betting exchanges.
Pete now runs two football betting websites, Trade on Sportsand also thepremierbetting.comwebsite with fellow full-time punter Danny Jacques.
He is a full-time sports trader and football betting expert and spends countless hours analysing football markets looking for value betting opportunities.
Contributing weekly articles atgoal.com, andMatchbook – where you can view his drawmaster tips – Mr Nordsted is very widely respected in the industry and has built up a formidable knowledge of football betting.
With such a broad portfolio and a considerable depth of knowledge, Pete is rightly considered one of the foremost names in football tipping.
Kevin Pullein – Racing Post
Perhaps one of the most famous football tipsters around is Kevin Pullein from the Racing Post. According to his employers, he is “quite simply the best football analyst and forecaster ever to have appeared in print in the UK.”
Now perhaps they are biased, we couldn’t really say. But Kevin has established a formidable reputation as a predictor of all things football-related and used to have a regular column on the Guardian where he published some fascinating articles on general trends in football betting.
These articles were based on extensive research and years worth of statistics and often revealed that long-held beliefs about “universal truths” in football betting are, in fact, bunkum.
Some of these ideas were expanded on in his 2009 book“The Definitive Guide to Betting on Football,” which we thoroughly recommend as an insightful guide to developing winning football betting strategies.
Now frustratingly the Racing Post don’t publish full results of their tipsters so we can’t really say how good Mr Pullein’s tips are (cue a trial perhaps?). But given his long-standing reputation and contribution to exploding some of the myths around football betting, we think Kevin is certainly worthy of consideration for the accolade of “Best football tipster.”
Angus Loughran – aka “Statto”
Another famous tipster and professional gambler familiar to many is Angus Loughran.
Loughran rose to prominence on 1990s television show Fantasy Football League alongside Frank Skinner and David Baddiel. Clad in pyjamas and a dressing gown, Loughran was nicknamed “Statto” on the show and provided stats on the guests’ fantasy football teams.
Loughran built up quite a reputation for himself, appearing on the BBC’s horse racing coverage, writing a betting column for the Daily Telegraph and commentating on football for Eurosport and ESPN.
He was famed for his almost encyclopedic knowledge of football, reportedly watching hundreds of football matches per year (before the days of Sky and BT Sports when that sort of thing became normal) and there were even whispers that Loughran was making hundreds of thousands per year betting on football.
Sadly his carefully cultivated image appeared to have come crashing down in 2008 when he was declared bankrupt, reportedly for owing debts to spread betting firm Sporting Index.
Events surrounding the bankruptcy were shrouded in mystery however, withreportssuggesting the debt amounted to little more than £5,000 and that Loughran had done promotional work for Sporting Index and had not expected the firm to press ahead with the bankruptcy proceedings.
In the event the bankrupty was annulled in April 2008 via a voluntary agreement. Whatever the exact circumstances surrounding the bankruptcy, the incident did little for the pundit’s reputation as one of the country’s most foremost professional gamblers.
Perhaps Angus had the last laugh though, as he wasreportedto be one of the main investors in stats firm Opta, which was sold for £47m in 2013.
He currently provide tips on theeasyoddswebsite, although these are on horse racing rather than football.
It is difficult to give a firm verdict on Loughran’s abilities as a football tipster – or even as a gambler. For reputation alone though he must be considered as one of the most famous of the modern era.
Ben Linfoot – Sporting Life
What isn’t such a mystery is the excellent record of Mr Linfoot, who has amassed quite a following at the Sporting Life’stipping section.
Ben is probably best known for his Value Bet column, which offers value bets for the top weekend race meetings. However, he has also produced a commendable return on his football bets, including tipping Athletico Madrid for the 2014 Champions League each-way at 40/1 (if you remember they were just a minute away from victory in the final before Sergio Ramos headed an equaliser for Real Madrid).
Mr Linfoot concentrates mainly on the big leagues and Champions League and opts for the selective approach of a few well-thought out tips rather than tipping large numbers of selections.
With a large following and a profitable record, Bin Linfoot deserves to be recognised as one of the best football tipsters.
Matt Love – Football Elite
Matt ran the respectedFootball Elite website from 2009 to 2019 and built up a deserved reputation as one of the top football tipsters around during that time.
His selections are based on evaluations of home and away form and the over-valuation of big name teams when they are out of form. Together with other stats, Matt puts together weekly “recommended bets” that are usually around 5-10 of the top bets from around the top leagues in Europe.
The good thing about betting in the top European leagues is that prices stand up well and there is no rush to get the bets on in the fear that prices will crash. On the contrary, prices often drift out before kick-off with people tending to back the big-name clubs whilst Matt opposes them.
In the past couple of seasons, Matt also introduced tips for the English leagues below the Premiership and a “vulnerable home favourites” system.
The results speak for themselves, with his recommended bets having amassed 458% bank growth since going live, the football league bets producing 44% profit and his ante-post bets making 73%.
There are few football tipsters out there who can boast such an impressive long-term record, so although he may not be as well known as some of the names above, we believe Mr Love deserves to be considered for the crown of best football tipster.
Verdict
Well it seems there is no obvious winner of the title of “best football tipster.” Certainly we have a few contenders, but frustratingly many of the big names don’t actually publish their results, which is both unhelpful and usually a bad sign.
In terms of knowledge and publishing record, Kevin Pullein and Pete Nordsted would appear to have the edge.
Perhaps on notoriety and fame, few can top Angus Loughran. On their actual tipping record however, it appears Matt Love has it with his Football Elite tips.
We heartily recommend his football tips if you are looking for someone who can find value bets in high liquid markets and produce profit season-in and season-out.
As ever though, we will continue our quest to find the ultimate football tipster and we have a number of trials going on at the moment. Perhaps one will emerge to take the crown once and for all…
FAQ: Football Tipsters
1. What is a tipster?
A tipster is an expert who gives you predictions and advice on football matches.
These can be bets on match result, goals, corners or other aspects of the game.
Tipsters use various methods, stats, historical data and inside knowledge to make their tips.
2. How do tipsters make their predictions?
Tipsters use many methods to make their predictions.
These can include historical match data, team form and player injuries, stats models and algorithms.
Some tipsters also have inside knowledge from their time in the industry.
3. Are tipsters reliable?
Tipsters can be very hit and miss. Some have a good track record, others don’t deliver.
Research a tipster’s past performance, read reviews and understand their betting strategy before following their tips.
4. How do I choose the best tipster?
When choosing a tipster consider:
Track Record: Look for tipsters with a proven history of success and transparent results.
Specialism: Some tipsters focus on certain markets or leagues so choose one that suits you.
Strike Rate and ROI: Look at their strike rate (percentage of winning bets) and ROI.
Cost: Consider the subscription fees and is the potential return worth the investment.
5. What should I look for in tipster reviews?
In tipster reviews look for:
Performance Metrics: Profit, ROI and strike rate.
Transparency: How tips are made and past results.
User Feedback: Reviews and testimonials from other users.
Trial Periods: Availability of trial periods or free tips to try before you buy.
6. How do tipsters get their information?
Tipsters get their information from:
Match Data: Historical and current match stats.
Team News: Team line-ups, injuries and tactical changes.
Bookmaker Insights: Odds and market movements from bookmakers.
Expert Analysis: Industry experts and analysts.
7. Can tipsters guarantee profits?
No one can guarantee profits as football is an unpredictable sport.
While some tipsters have a good track record, betting always carries risk and past results don’t guarantee future success.
Bet responsibly and use tipsters’ advice as part of a bigger betting strategy.
8. How often do tipsters tip?
Frequency of tips varies among tipsters. Some tip daily, others weekly or for big matches. Check the tipster’s service details to see their tipping schedule.
9. Are there free tips?
Yes, many tipsters offer free tips to attract new subscribers.
But free tips aren’t always as comprehensive or reliable as paid services. It can be a good idea to track the results of free tips before you decide to follow them with your own money.
10. Can I use multiple tipsters at once?
Yes, you can use multiple tipsters to spread your bets.
Just make sure to manage your bankroll – e.g. have a separate bankroll for each tipster – and track each tipster’s performance.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/football-players-celebrating.png395750Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-08-01 19:56:272025-09-03 19:02:50Who is the Best Football Tipster?
Cardiff’s love for social gatherings and unique local traditions makes it the perfect city for hosting a memorable poker night.
Whether you’re a longtime resident or a recent arrival, organising an evening of cards with friends is a great way to bring people together.
With the right atmosphere, snacks, and a touch of planning, you can create an experience that blends entertainment and camaraderie in true Cardiff fashion.
Embracing Cardiff’s Poker Legacy at Home
Cardiff holds a special place in the UK’s card game history, thanks to its role in the televised poker boom of the late 1990s. The city’s enduring association with televised card games inspires many locals to create their own home-based versions of the classic poker night.
Hosting such an evening offers a great opportunity to tap into this rich tradition and enjoy an engaging experience with friends.
While a traditional casino setting has its appeal, there’s something special about bringing the game into your own space.
Setting up a relaxed yet engaging poker environment means your guests can enjoy the game without the pressure of a high-stakes venue.
Whether you’re a seasoned player or just starting out, an evening of poker can be a great way to unwind and enjoy good company.
When organising your night, take cues from established resources that offer advice on how to improve your game. There are plenty of ways to learn the ins and outs ofpoker, from rules to strategies, and bringing that knowledge to the table will help your event flow smoothly.
Setting the Scene: Cards, Chips, and Comfort
Creating a comfortable playing area makes a big difference. While a purpose-built poker table is a nice touch, it’s not essential.
A round or oval dining table works well, especially when topped with a felt cloth to help cards glide and stay put. Good lighting also sets the tone, opt for lamps with warm bulbs placed to reduce glare and prevent players from squinting.
Plastic-coated playing cards are a must. Unlike paper cards, they hold up over repeated use and stay clean longer. You’ll also want a chip set of at least 300 to 500 chips in clearly defined colours for smooth betting. Many starter poker kits come complete with chips, dealer buttons, and cards, which are perfect for casual home games.
To avoid clutter, designate a separate area for snacks and drinks. This keeps the playing area tidy and reduces the risk of accidental spills that could damage your cards and chips.
Agreeing the Rules: Smooth Games Start with Structure
Even the most laid-back games benefit from a little structure. Agree on the rules before you start. For casual gatherings, a buy-in between £10 and £20 is often enough to keep the game interesting while maintaining a friendly tone.
Texas Hold’em remains the most accessible and commonly played variant, and it’s ideal for mixed-skill groups. Once players become comfortable, you might consider introducing Omaha for more variety.
The key is to keep everyone on the same page, so provide a quick run-through of the basics if some guests are less experienced.
Another consideration is game format. Tournaments provide a clear endpoint and build excitement as players are eliminated, while cash games offer more flexibility for those who need to arrive late or leave early. Many Cardiff hosts favour tournament formats for their built-in structure and natural breaks.
You might also want to set house rules. These can cover things like use of mobile phones, rebuys, and what happens in case of a misdeal. Having these rules written down can help avoid misunderstandings and keep the game fun for all involved.
Cardiff Flavour: Food and Drinks That Fit
Food and drinks can elevate a poker night when chosen thoughtfully. Greasy or crumbly snacks should be avoided, as they leave residue on cards and chips. Choose neat finger foods that can be eaten one-handed, like mini leek tarts, small portions of Welsh rarebit, or bite-sized pasties.
Cardiff’s local breweries offer an excellent selection of drinks. You might want to stock up on options from Tiny Rebel, Crafty Devil, or Brain’s. For non-alcoholic alternatives, Lurvill’s Delight and sparkling water from Radnor Hills are refreshing and inclusive options.
Keep all food and drink in a designated area away from the playing surface. This maintains cleanliness and keeps the focus on the game. For tournament formats, include short refreshment breaks to allow players time to step away and socialise between rounds.
Choosing the Right Mix of Players
The group you invite sets the tone. Six to eight players usually provide a balance of variety and flow without becoming chaotic. A blend of experienced players and newcomers can keep the atmosphere light and welcoming.
Too many advanced players can make the game intimidating, while a table full of beginners may lack direction. If you aim for a mix, everyone can learn and have fun. Encourage experienced players to be patient and helpful, creating a friendly environment for all.
Setting a recurring schedule, like a monthly game, can help build anticipation and give people something to look forward to. Using a group chat to coordinate attendance makes the planning simple and keeps communication clear.
Keeping the Night on Track
Things don’t always go perfectly, even with the best planning. One common issue is late arrivals. In a tournament, this can disrupt the balance, so set a firm start time and communicate it clearly. In cash games, it’s easier to accommodate latecomers, especially if extra seats are available.
Slow play can frustrate other participants. If someone takes too long, a gentle prompt works wonders. Phrases like “Are you ready to act?” are often enough to keep things moving without creating tension.
Disputes may arise, especially among newer players. Having a pre-agreed way to resolve rule questions, such as referencing an online rulebook or assigning a neutral adjudicator, helps keep the evening civil. Hand rankings printed out and placed on the table can also prevent confusion.
Final Touches That Make a Difference
It’s the little things that often elevate a poker night from good to great. Consider background music at a low volume to add atmosphere without interfering with conversation. If you want to bring a local twist to the setup, coasters featuring Cardiff breweries or local sports teams can add flair.
Timers are especially helpful in tournament formats. Use a phone or small clock to track blind increases and break times. This keeps the pace of play consistent and allows players to mentally prepare for each phase of the game.
For a bit of fun, you can introduce small side challenges or awards. Whether it’s a prize for the best bluff or a quirky “bad beat” story, these additions add levity and make the evening more memorable.
Making Your Cardiff Poker Night a Hit
With a bit of preparation and local flair, hosting a poker night in Cardiff can be a brilliant way to bring people together.
From selecting the right cards and snacks to setting house rules and choosing your group wisely, each detail contributes to an enjoyable and well-run event.
Whether you’re playing for pennies or pride, the key is creating an atmosphere that combines skill, fun, and friendship. If you keep your players engaged and comfortable, you’re sure to establish a tradition that your friends will look forward to time and again.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/poker-night-pic.jpg400600Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-07-31 13:49:542025-07-31 13:49:54How to Host the Perfect Home Poker Night – Cardiff Style
If you are a fan of playing roulette, you’ve probably often wondered whether your odds of winning are the same, whether you play online or at a casino.
You might assume the odds at an online casino are rigged, and that no one could ever possibly win or verify that published winners even exist.
However, you should not let these assumptions put you off. It’s a myth that online casinos barely ever pay out, as long as you have found a legitimate site. Let’s look at this topic in more detail.
The Odds Should Be Identical
Whether you are playing at home in your pyjamas playing NetBet roulette online, or you’ve got dressed up for a day at the casino, the odds of you winning should be exactly the same.
However, as mentioned, this all depends on whether or not you have chosen a site that is licensed and regulated.
A Look at the Different Roulette Odds
For someone that has already played a few games of roulette in their time, you probably already know that there are different versions.
For example, there is European roulette (where there is one zero), American roulette (where there is a zero and a double zero), and French roulette. We’ll focus on the first two, since they are the most common.
In European roulette, the house edge (the advantage the casino has over you as a player) is 2.7%. In American roulette, the house edge is 5.26%. This is something that cannot change just because you are playing online.
So, for example, if you were to bed on red or black in European roulette, you have an 18 out of 37 chance of winning. If you were to do the same in American roulette, the odds are pretty similar, at 18 out of 38.
So, How Does Online Roulette Actually Work?
You may be wondering how online casinos actually work and keep it fair. Well, all good casinos use what is called a Random Number Generator (RNG).
This is a program that ensures every spin of the virtual wheel produces a random result, with no fixed pattern.
These RNGs are actually provided by independent companies, so they cannot be rigged. So, you can expect to win (or lose!) the same number of times at the roulette wheel, whether you are playing online or offline.
Why Some People Don’t Trust Online Roulette
Even though the RNG guarantees a fair outcome, many players still feel like luck is against them when they play online.
Some moan about losing streaks, or claim that they have spotted weird patterns that don’t seem random at all. In addition to that, unlike sports betting, online roulette doesn’t have a community of top-reviewed tipsters.
Most of the time, though, this simply comes down to how we feel when we play, and it has nothing to do with the actual odds.
Additionally, online roulette is faster, so you will easily play way more spins in an hour than you would at a casino table. This more than likely means that you’ll notice streaks more often, and it’s simply because there are more spins happening.
Also, if you are playing alone on your phone or computer, this can make the losses feel more personal. Since there’s no noise, no crowd, and no dealer chat, just you and the wheel, it’s easier to overthink every outcome and think things are dodgy when they’re not.
Regulation and Trustworthiness Matter
We’ve mentioned licensing before, but let’s explain it in more detail. Casinos operating in the UK, Malta, or New Jersey are required to use certified RNG systems, and they must also undergo regular audits.
If they do not abide by these regulations, they cannot be licensed. So, check to see whether the online casino you are visiting proudly displays their licensing badge on the website somewhere prominent.
Look for audit badges from companies like eCOGRA or iTech Labs. This guarantees you will have fair outcomes and the same odds as physical casinos.
Steer clear of any sites that do not mention licensing anywhere. The odds of you winning roulette will be much lower.
The Bottom Line on Fairness
As you can see, nothing changes odds wise when you decide to play online roulette instead of traditional roulette.
The only thing you might notice is the vibe. For example, playing online means you don’t get that same casino buzz, you won’t be offered free drinks every half hour, and there won’t be any other players shouting around you (unless you are throwing an online casino party!).
Some players like the convenience and speed, whereas others miss the old-school experience at a real casino, but it’s all down to personal preference.
The mathematical foundation of roulette ensures that legitimate online platforms offer exactly the same winning chances as their brick-and-mortar counterparts, making your choice between online and traditional play purely a matter of atmosphere and convenience.
Whether you’re spinning the wheel from your sofa or standing at a casino table, the numbers don’t lie – your luck remains entirely in your own hands.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Roulette-wheel.png334500Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-07-21 17:59:562025-07-21 17:59:56Does Online Roulette Have the Same Odds as Traditional Roulette?
If you’ve ever looked at a betting slip and seen odds of 10/11, you might have paused and wondered—what does that actually mean?
These kinds of fractional odds are common in the UK, but they’re not always intuitive, especially if you’re new to betting or used to decimal odds.
Don’t worry, though—odds of 10/11 aren’t as confusing as they might seem at first.
In this guide, we’ll break it all down in plain English, explain how much you can win, compare it to other odds, and offer tips on when this type of bet might offer value.
Let’s get into it.
What Does 10/11 Mean in Betting?
When you see odds listed as 10/11, you’re looking at fractional odds. These are the traditional format used by most UK bookmakers and represent the potential profit relative to your stake.
For every £11 you stake, you will win £10 profit, plus you get your original £11 back.
In total, you’d receive £21 back—your £10 profit plus your £11 stake.
To help put this into context, here’s how 11/10 compares to odds formats used in other parts of the world such as Europe and the USA:
Fractional Odds
Decimal Odds
US Odds
10/11
1.91
-110
Decimal and American odds express the same thing—just in different styles—in each case the numbers above all represent exactly the same odds.
It’s a slightly odds-on price—meaning the selection is just more likely to win than lose, according to the bookies.
You’re risking more than you stand to win, albeit by a small margin.
What About the Implied Probability of 10/11?
Every set of odds carries an implied probability—a percentage that reflects how likely the bookmakers think an outcome is.
The formula for converting decimal odds to implied probability is:
Implied probability = 1 ÷ decimal odds
So:
1 ÷ 1.91 = 0.5235 → or 52.35%
That tells us that odds of 10/11 imply the event has a 52.35% chance of happening.
Of course, this isn’t a guaranteed likelihood—it’s the bookmaker’s estimation, with a margin (or “overround”) factored in.
Your job as a bettor is to determine whether the true probability is greater than this figure, which would indicate a value bet.
Real-World Examples of 10/11 Odds
Odds of 10/11 are incredibly common in sports betting, especially in markets where the outcome is closely contested or where bookmakers want to offer balanced options on either side of a bet.
Let’s take a look at some real-life examples across popular sports:
⚽ Football
👉 Both Teams to Score – Yes
In many top-flight matches—like Liverpool vs. Tottenham—you might see 10/11 on both “Yes” and “No” in the Both Teams to Score market.
This shows the bookies believe it’s nearly a 50/50 call, with a slight edge either way.
👉 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Bookies often price “Over 2.5 Goals” at 10/11 in matches where the goal potential is finely balanced.
For example, in a clash between mid-table Premier League sides, 10/11 suggests it’s marginally more likely there will be fewer than three goals—but it could go either way.
👉 Player to Score Anytime
In prop markets like “Anytime Goalscorer,” a regular scorer such as Ollie Watkins or Son Heung-min might be priced at 10/11 against weaker defences—especially in home games.
🎾 Tennis
👉 Over/Under Games in a Match
In a Grand Slam five-set match between two big servers like Matteo Berrettini and Hubert Hurkacz, the Over 42.5 Total Games market might be listed at 10/11, as a long match is expected but not guaranteed.
👉 Set Betting – Exact Score
You might find odds of 10/11 on a favourite to win 2-0 in sets in a best-of-three format, especially when the opponent is competitive but unlikely to push it to a decider.
🏀 Basketball
👉 Handicap Betting
In the NBA, bookmakers often set a handicap line (e.g. -5.5 points) on a favourite like the Boston Celtics.
Both sides of that handicap—Boston -5.5 or the opponent +5.5—might be offered at 10/11, depending on public perception and form.
👉 Total Points – Over/Under
An Over/Under line for total points in a close game (say, Over 215.5 Points) may be priced at 10/11, reflecting tight margins and plenty of scoring potential.
🏇 Horse Racing
👉 Place Market or Each-Way Bet
A strong contender in a 7- or 8-horse race could be priced at 10/11 to place in the top 2 or 3, especially in markets where there’s a clear favourite but you’re backing a close second or third-fav to nick a spot.
👉 Match Bets Between Horses
In head-to-head matchups—say, Horse A vs. Horse B—you might find odds of 10/11 on either horse to finish ahead of the other.
Bookies set these when the two runners are closely matched in form and ratings.
🏈 American Football (NFL)
👉 Team Totals – Over/Under
Let’s say you’re betting on the Buffalo Bills’ team points. The “Over 24.5 Points” line might be offered at 10/11, with the same price on the “Under” side.
This is common when bookmakers set tight, fair lines to attract action on both sides.
👉 Spread Betting
For evenly matched fixtures, like Cowboys vs. Eagles, the point spread (+/- 2.5) might have both sides available at 10/11, as bookmakers aim to balance risk.
🏏 Cricket
👉 Top Batsman Markets
In a T20 match, you might find a top-order player like Jos Buttler priced at 10/11 to score Over 24.5 Runs—reflecting both his strong form and the short format of the game.
👉 Most Sixes – Team or Player
Bookies may offer 10/11 on each team to hit the most sixes in a limited-overs match when both sides have aggressive batters and similar scoring profiles.
Examples of 10/11 Bets – Summary
As you can see, 10/11 odds pop up in a huge range of scenarios across nearly every sport. They’re most common when:
Two options are evenly matched, or
Bookies want to balance their books, or
The outcome is highly probable, but not a foregone conclusion.
Whether you’re betting on goals, points, games, or head-to-head matchups, understanding what 10/11 signifies can help you spot value, compare prices, and make more confident betting decisions.
How Much Would You Win at 10/11?
Here’s a quick table showing potential returns at 10/11 depending on your stake:
Stake
Profit
Total Return
£5
£4.55
£9.55
£10
£9.09
£19.09
£20
£18.18
£38.18
£50
£45.45
£95.45
£100
£90.91
£190.91
Note: Values rounded to two decimal places.
Is 10/11 a Good Price?
That depends entirely on context. Odds of 10/11 are not inherently good or bad—it all comes down to value.
Ask yourself: Does the probability of this outcome actually happening seem higher than 52.35%?
If yes, then it may be a good bet.
Let’s say you’re betting on a football team that has scored in 90% of their last 10 home games, and they’re facing a side with a leaky defence. If “Both Teams to Score” is priced at 10/11, it could represent value.
But if you’re betting based purely on gut feeling, then 10/11 can just as easily be a trap.
Strategies for Betting on 10/11 Odds
Betting at 10/11 odds may not seem flashy at first glance—it’s not the kind of price that promises massive payouts.
But in reality, 10/11 is a bread-and-butter price for many successful bettors, especially those who take a disciplined, value-driven approach.
If you’re looking to profit long-term, here are some smart strategies to help you make the most of 10/11 opportunities:
🎯 1. Look for Marginal Edges
Since 10/11 odds imply a 52.35% chance of success, your job is to find bets where you believe the true probability is higher than that.
For example, if your research suggests a football team has a 60% chance of winning, but the bookie is offering 10/11 (52.35%), you’ve found a value edge.
Over time, backing these types of edges consistently can produce steady profits—even if the returns per bet seem small.
📊 2. Use Data and Stats
10/11 markets are often used in totals (over/under), handicaps, and prop bets—all of which are great for stat-based analysis.
Leverage:
Expected goals (xG) in football
Player form and head-to-heads in tennis
Scoring trends in basketball or American football
Run rates and strike rates in cricket
The more data you use to inform your bets, the better your chances of identifying 10/11 lines where the bookie’s assessment is off.
🧠 3. Think Long-Term
A single bet at 10/11 won’t make you rich overnight, but that’s not the goal. Think in terms of hundreds of bets, where you aim for a win rate higher than the break-even point of 52.35%.
Here’s what that looks like in practice:
Win Rate
Profitability at 10/11
50%
❌ Losing over time
52.35%
⚖️ Break-even
55%
✅ Profitable
60%+
💰 Very profitable
Focus on consistency, not chasing big wins.
🧾 4. Use in Accumulators (With Caution)
Odds of 10/11 are perfect for accumulators (accas), as they strike a balance between reasonable risk and enhanced returns.
For example:
A 3-leg acca with all 10/11 selections pays around 6.9/1
A 4-leg acca pays approximately 12.8/1
Just remember: the risk multiplies with each leg, so make sure every selection offers genuine value.
🧪 5. Test with a Staking Plan
Using a staking system—such as a flat stake or percentage of bankroll—helps manage your risk. At 10/11, the difference between long-term success and failure can come down to discipline.
Avoid chasing losses or doubling up. Stick to a method that suits your style, and keep records of your bets to analyse performance.
🔄 6. Compare Bookmaker Prices
Not all bookies offer the same odds. What’s priced at 10/11 at one site might be evens (1/1) elsewhere—a significant boost in value.
Use odds comparison tools to make sure you’re always getting the best price available. Over time, these small differences can have a big impact on your returns.
✅ 7. Follow Reliable Tipsters or Models
Many successful tipsters and betting models regularly identify 10/11 shots with value. If you subscribe to a service or follow a betting strategy that beats the market, you’ll often find selections hovering around this price range.
Just make sure any tipster you’re following has:
A proven long-term record
Transparent results
Realistic staking plans
Strategies for 10/11 Betting – Summary
10/11 might look like an ordinary price—but in the hands of a sharp bettor, it can be a powerful tool. With smart research, disciplined staking, and a value-focused mindset, you can use 10/11 odds to build consistent profits over time.
As the old saying goes in betting: “It’s not about how much you win—it’s about how often you’re right.”
How to Spot Value at 10/11 Odds
Here are a few tips to help you determine if a 10/11 bet is worth it:
✅ Do Your Research
Look at stats, trends, head-to-head records, recent form, injuries, and other relevant factors. Data-driven betting often uncovers value that bookmakers might overlook.
✅ Compare Bookies
Some bookmakers might offer better odds—like even money (1/1) or 11/10—on the same market. Always shop around using odds comparison tools.
✅ Use Tipsters or Models
If you follow a reliable tipster or betting model that identifies bets with genuine value, you may find many recommended selections priced around 10/11.
✅ Avoid Betting Blind
Just because it looks like a “coin flip” price doesn’t mean it’s fair. The bookies usually hold the edge unless you’ve done the legwork.
Odds 10/11 vs. Even Money
People often compare 10/11 to even money (1/1), since they’re so close.
Here’s the difference:
10/11: You bet £11 to win £10 (1.91 in decimal)
Even money: You bet £10 to win £10 (2.0 in decimal)
So with 10/11, you’re getting slightly worse odds than even money. It reflects that the outcome is deemed just more likely than a 50/50 shot.
Converting 10/11 to Decimal Odds
Many punters prefer decimal odds because they’re easier to calculate at a glance. Thankfully, converting fractional odds like 10/11 into decimal is straightforward.
Here’s the formula:
Decimal odds = (Numerator ÷ Denominator) + 1
So in this case:
(10 ÷ 11) + 1 = 0.909 + 1 = 1.91
✅ 10/11 in decimal odds is 1.91
This means that for every £1 you bet, you get £1.91 back if your bet wins—£0.91 profit plus your original £1 stake.
Final Thoughts: Should You Bet at 10/11?
Odds of 10/11 are common, especially in tightly contested markets or where bookmakers want to balance risk on both sides. They’re usually associated with selections that are favourites by a slim margin.
Here’s the key takeaway:
🎯 Don’t just look at the odds—look at the value behind them.
If your analysis suggests a better than 52% chance of winning, then a bet at 10/11 could be a profitable long-term strategy.
Bet smart, stay disciplined, and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Quick Summary
10/11 odds mean you win £10 for every £11 staked
Decimal equivalent is 1.91
Implied probability is 52.35%
Common in football, tennis, horse racing, and other sports
Can offer value—if your research suggests higher chances
Always compare prices and bet with a strategy
FAQs About 10/11 Odds
❓ Are 10/11 odds better than evens? Not in terms of potential profit—evens (1/1) give you a higher return. But 10/11 implies a slightly higher chance of success, so it depends on the situation.
❓ Why do bookies offer odds like 10/11? To reflect slight favouritism while still offering near-even betting action. It’s common in balanced markets.
❓ Can you make money betting at 10/11 regularly? Yes, but only if you consistently find value—i.e., outcomes with a higher chance of winning than the odds suggest.
❓ Is 10/11 worth backing in an accumulator? Definitely. Adding a few 10/11 selections can boost an acca without being too risky—just make sure each leg has value.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/man-celebrates-betting-win-2.png333500Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-07-19 10:56:242025-07-19 10:56:24Odds 10/11 Meaning: What Do These Betting Odds Really Tell You?
Hailed as the developers who truly kicked off the age of mega progressive jackpots, Microgaming remains the premier act on the scene.
Now under the Games Global umbrella, the provider has upheld the long-favoured Mega Moolah series, extended it, and added even more colossal jackpots to the pool.
Now, these ever-reliable providers of multi-million-pound prizes have a handful of different progressive jackpot pools for all to play for.
Some have a dedicated set of games, while others sprawl across proven video slot hits.
So, here’s a look at the classic and newer progressive jackpots available and how they compare.
Exploring the Impressive Games Global Progressive Selection
Games Global began with Mega Moolah and the classic safari-themed slot being the sole contributor to the potentially massive progressive prizes – the biggest of which seeds at £1 million.
Expanding the series into Mega Moolah Isis – now Mega Moolah Goddess – and beyond, the suite remains a staple of online casino gaming.
Later, what is now Games Global ramped it up in the face of increased competition in this section. Along came the WowPot! suite of slots, which seeds at £2 million.
Much more recently, a couple more have been added. King Millions was released a couple of years ago with the specific aim of increasing prizes to over £30 million.
Even with WowPot! and Mega Moolah before it, setting the bar at over £42 million and £20 million, respectively, King Millions has a shot at eclipsing them both down the line.
Of course, the size and frequency of the top jackpot payouts aren’t all that matter here. The selection of slots and their quality make a big difference.
After all, the top prizes will only fall on one player at a time, and even then, it’s entirely randomised. So, the core experience of all of these jackpot slotsneeds to be weighed in too.
With all of this in mind, landing fourth in these rankings is King Millions. Certainly a grand jackpot, its intentionally lengthy top payout time and relatively small selection of games – even though it does include hits like 9 Masks of Fire and Hyper Strike – does put it below its peers.
Next, the biggest-hitter, WowPot! Again, this is mainly due to the relatively small game selection and average payout time of 28 weeks. Poseidon Ancient Fortunes WowPot! Megaways remains a huge hit, but the headline pot takes at least half a year to wiggle free.
The most recent addition to the selection wins second in these progressive jackpot rankings. Despite its age, the Lotsa Loot selection is teeming with a whole host of different games and themes.
Fishin’ Pots of Gold: Gold Blitz Extreme, Cash Flip Medusa, WWE Bonus Rumble, and Pegasus Cash Spree are there and offering regular jackpot payouts.
Finally, it’s the suite of games that put progressive jackpots on the map. Mega Moolah now sprawls across over ten slots that jump across classic themes, classic slots like Immortal Romance and Thunderstruck II, and modern features, like the Book Of bonus. Plus, on average, the £1 million-seeded top prize drops every nine weeks.
So, when exploring the library of progressive jackpot slots from the masters of the game type, we’d rank them with Mega Moolah at the top of the list.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Slots-pic.png333500Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-07-18 13:43:512025-07-18 13:43:51Which is the Best Slots Progressive Jackpot? Ranking the Games Global Collection
When people search for which odds are likely to win, they’re usually trying to find a sweet spot — that perfect balance between risk and reward.
Should you back the heavy favourite at odds of 1.10? Or is the underdog at 5/1 worth a flutter? Which odds give you the best chance of walking away with a profit?
The answer might surprise you. It’s not just about picking the shortest odds or the biggest prices. It’s about finding value — and that’s the secret sauce in profitable betting.
In this guide, we’ll break down what odds really mean, how to judge which odds are most profitable (rather than just most likely to win), and how you can use this knowledge to improve your betting strategy long-term.
Understanding What Odds Represent
Let’s start with the basics. Betting odds represent two things:
The implied probability of an outcome occurring – or in other words, how likely an event is to happen
The potential return you’ll get if that outcome happens
For example:
Odds of 1/10 (1.10 in decimal) imply a very high chance of winning — roughly 91%.
Odds of 5/1 (6.00 in decimal) imply a much lower chance — just 16.7%.
So, if you’re purely asking which odds are likely to win, the obvious answer is: the shortest ones. A selection at odds of 1.10 is far more likely to win than one at 5.00. But that doesn’t mean you should always back the shortest odds.
Why? Because the odds don’t just reflect likelihood — they can reflect value.
Short Odds = High Win Rate, But Low Profit
Let’s say you back 100 bets at odds of 1.10. They win 90 times, and you lose 10.
Your stake: £10 per bet = £1,000 total
90 wins return £11 each = £990
10 losses cost £10 each = £100
Total return = £990, total loss = £1,000 → Net profit = -£10
You won 90% of the time — and still lost money.
This happens all the time, especially in football betting or tennis, where punters pile into heavy favourites.
But if the odds don’t reflect the true chance of winning, you’re essentially paying over the odds — and that leads to losses.
Now let’s look at 100 bets at 5/1 (6.00) odds. These only need to win 17 times out of 100 to break even.
Stake: £10 per bet = £1,000
17 wins return £60 each = £1,020
83 losses = -£830
Total return = £1,020 → Net profit = £20
In this example, you win just 17% of the time — but end up in profit.
Of course, this assumes that the odds reflect an edge — meaning the 5/1 chances should be closer to 4/1 based on actual probabilities. That brings us to the most important concept in betting:
It’s Not Just About Winning — It’s About Value
The key question isn’t “which odds are likely to win?” — it’s:
Are the odds better than they should be based on the true probability of the outcome?
That’s what we call value. If something has a 50% chance of happening and you’re getting even money (2.0), there’s no value.
But if you’re getting 2.10, suddenly there’s a small edge in your favour.
Value betting is all about finding prices where the bookies have made an error — and exploiting it.
It doesn’t matter whether the odds are short or long. What matters is whether the odds offer more than the true chance of winning.
So… Which Odds Are Most Likely to Be Profitable?
Let’s answer the real question behind the search: which odds are likely to winin a profitable way?
The truth is, it depends on the market, your betting style, and your ability to spot value. But here are a few general truths:
✅ 1. Mid-range odds (2.00 to 4.00) often offer the best balance
These prices win often enough to maintain your morale and bankroll, but still offer decent returns.
Many successful tipsters and traders operate in this range, particularly in football and tennis.
✅ 2. Longer odds (5.00+) can be profitable — if you’re selective
Backers of big-priced horses, underdogs, or draw outcomes often lose more than they win — but when they do win, the profits can be huge.
These bets require more discipline and a strong understanding of value.
✅ 3. Very short odds (1.20 and below) are risky despite high strike rates
These selections win most of the time — but the losses when they don’t can wipe out dozens of previous wins.
Unless you’re trading or using them in clever multiples, it can be difficult to make much profit from such low odds bets – by definition the wins are small.
What the Bookies Don’t Want You to Know
Bookmakers build in a margin into every market. That means the odds you see always offer slightly less value than the true probabilities — unless they make a mistake.
Your job is to beat that margin — or identify when the bookies have made a mistake.
That’s why value betting, matched betting, and arbitrage betting all exist — they exploit either promotional offers or pricing inefficiencies.
So rather than asking “which odds are likely to win?”, ask:
Is this price bigger than the true chance of winning?
Am I getting a good deal?
If yes — then that’s a good bet, whatever the odds may be.
Real-Life Example: The 3 Odds Betting Strategy
Some punters swear by backing selections around 3.00 (2/1) — high enough to offer a strong return, but not so long they rarely win. You can read more about the 3 odds betting strategy here.
Let’s say you bet £10 on 100 selections at 3.00:
You win 35 times, lose 65
35 wins = £30 each = £1,050
65 losses = -£650
Total return = £1,050 – £650 = £400 profit
You’ve only won 35% of the time — but you’ve made a healthy profit, because you found value at those odds.
How to Find the Right Odds for Your Style
There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. But here are a few tips to guide you:
🎯 1. Track Your Bets
Record every bet, the odds, stake, and result. Over time, you’ll spot patterns — maybe you’re profitable at 3.00, but not at 1.50.
🎯 2. Follow Trusted Tipsters
Some tipsters specialise in specific odds ranges. For example, draw tipsters tend to operate at 3.00–3.50. Lay tipsters may focus on favourites below 2.00. Find one that fits your risk profile.
🎯 3. Look for Price Boosts and Promotions
Sometimes bookmakers boost odds for big events or offer enhanced accas. These can turn otherwise average bets into +EV (positive expected value) opportunities.
🎯 4. Learn to Calculate Implied Probability
It’s simple: Implied probability = 1 / decimal odds × 100 Then ask yourself: does that percentage seem fair based on form, stats, or context?
Final Thoughts: Which Odds Are Really Worth Backing?
If you’re looking for a simple takeaway to the question which odds are likely to win, here it is:
Odds alone don’t determine profit — value does.
Yes, short odds are more likely to win. But they don’t always offer value. Longer odds may win less frequently, but when combined with good value, they can yield better returns over time.
The smartest bettors don’t chase winners — they chase value. Sometimes that’s at 1.90. Other times it’s at 6.00. But it’s never about the odds alone.
If you’re serious about making money from betting, start thinking less about how often you win — and more about how much you get paid when you do.
Frequently Asked Questions
❓ What are the safest odds to bet on?
The safest odds are generally short prices (e.g. 1.10 or 1.20), but these also offer the smallest returns — and if one loses, you can wipe out many previous wins.
❓ Can you make money betting on short odds?
Only if you consistently find value — that is, when the probability of winning is higher than the odds suggest. Otherwise, short odds are often overbet and not profitable long term.
❓ What is the most profitable odds range?
Many professional bettors find a sweet spot between 2.00 and 4.00, where the win rate is reasonable, and the returns are high enough to be worthwhile.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/odds-picture-2.jpg333500Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-07-17 18:00:262025-10-15 15:26:05Which Odds Are Likely to Win? The Truth About Odds and Profitability in Betting
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