Welcome to the Honest Betting Reviews blog. Here you can find the latest updates on betting systems and tipsters currently under review as well as our tips on how to beat the bookies with the best winning betting systems we have profited from,

Dave Nevison – Professional Gambler Making 100 Grand A Year

Dave Nevison – gambler, professional tipster, TV personality and author, has made a comfortable living from horseracing. He is now approaching his sixtieth year and is still picking the winners.  

As he states in his book “A Bloody Good Winner” when Dave Nevison wins, he loves to celebrate, which means drinking, dancing and, more often than not, singing. Standing on and falling off tables is also a common occurrence. After all, not every day is a winning day, so when they do happen it is, he says, essential to make the best of them. He admits to having a big ego, claiming that he is the best punter out there.

Nevison has been a big advocate of tissue pricing, a form of value betting that assigns a probability of the horse winning based on multiple factors and compares this with the probability indicated by the betting odds. When the tissue price is lower than the bookmaker’s odds, the bookmaker could be underestimating the likelihood of a win, so placing a bet is indicated. It has certainly worked for him, earning him over £100,000 a year from gambling.

Nevison has not always been a professional gambler. His previous life was as a city banker until in 1993 he abandoned it for a more hedonistic lifestyle on the racecourse. He frequently travelled from course to course, a lifestyle that took a toll on his marriage, especially when, as he said, “There are loads of women wandering around wanting to meet a man in a suit who’s got money in his pocket.”

As he also points out though, don’t underestimate the sheer hard work of making a good living from gambling. Typically, his days would begin a 4.00 am, and much of his time would be spent studying the form book. He would price up every race himself and look seriously at any opportunity where the price was 15% higher than he made it. While his strike rate was not high, it was enough to guarantee a good long term profit. Playing for Value rather than for winners, often he would back more than one runner in a race. 

Nevison has been known to place bets of £2,000 per race

Losing runs, or at least being able to handle them, is always a problem. However, his experience is they tend to be short-lived as he covered so many options. It was a rare day in which he failed to back at least one winner. His typical bet was around £2,000 a race. His preferred races are up to a mile handicap events as it is easier to understand how the race will be run and which horse is likely to win it. It is challenging, he says, making a profit on group races. Spotting winners is easy, especially late season, but making a profit is far more complicated.

Over recent years Nevison has been turning his attention to other activities. He has recently celebrated his 58th birthday and maintains that betting is a young man’s sport. He certainly wishes to avoid “putting he head on the block” during his sixties. Today writing books, running websites and providing tips is more his lifestyle.

One concern he has regarding the future is the burgeoning presence of artificial intelligence and machine learning and the impact they are likely to have on the tipster industry. Does he intend to incorporate these latest technological advances in his professional tipping service to deliver the best possible advice to his paying clients? It has been claimed that tipsters who fail to keep up with these advances will become dinosaurs. Algorithms are achieving a strike rate approaching 40%. Time will tell.

In addition to “A Bloody Good Winner”, Nevison has also written, “No Easy Money” in which he describes in more detail how he calculates tissue odds for each race. It is, he explains, all a matter of getting your percentages right rather than finding a winner.

Dave Nevison’s advice to young punters who hope to make a successful career as a professional gambler is to specialise. Select one branch of racing, stick to it, be patient and learn all you can about it until you become a master of It. That way, you can be optimistic about earning enough to enjoy a very comfortable lifestyle.

Want to start landing winners like Dave Nevison? Well check out our number one recommended horse racing tipster here. 

 

 

 

 

How Betting Against La Liga Giants Barcelona & Real Madrid Can Offer Good Value

Often referred to as the best league in the world, although that might create some debate amongst fans of other leading European leagues, there’s no doubting the Spanish league offers plenty of passion and excitement.

La Liga is the home of Barcelona and Real Madrid – two of the wealthiest clubs in football and blessed with some of the best players around – with no game on the planet touching the international popularity of their iconic ‘El Clásico’ encounters each season. There are also the ‘Gran Derbi’ duels between Sevilla and Real Betis, not to mention a host of other mouth-watering national and regional rivalries amongst teams in the Spanish elite.

The Big Two in Spain

Midway into the 2019-20 campaign and with 19 games of the season now played by all the competing teams, as of 8th January, Barcelona are 8/15 outright La Liga betting favourites at Betway, with Real Madrid not far behind at 13/8 odds. Although both teams endured a somewhat shaky start to the season, they have since recovered and look set to dominate the title race once again.

While the charge for La Liga supremacy is looking like a foregone conclusion between the usual suspects, as Barcelona and Real Madrid increasingly look to be the only genuine contenders once again, there’s still good value to be found by backing against the two giants of Spanish football in the match result markets.

Why? Because both have struggled away from home and whatever kind of football betting system you prefer, there’s no substitute for competition knowledge. Sometimes a little research can go a long way, especially when looking for good value betting options in La Liga.

Backing the Underdogs in La Liga

Barcelona have made the Camp Nou an authentic fortress this season, scoring four or five goals in all but two matches. They beat Villarreal by a narrow 2-1 margin back in September, while the only time the side managed by Ernesto Valverde have dropped points at home was in El Clasico, when visiting Real Madrid held firm for a 0-0 draw.

Backing wins at home for Barcelona obviously doesn’t offer much value, given the shorter odds because they’re such strong favourites. However, the Blaugrana outfit have been decidedly dodgy on the road this season, struggling to get points away from home. At the midway point of the season and having played 10 away games, Barca had lost 3 and drawn 3, managing just 4 wins as the visiting side.

This makes Barcelona good value to bet against as the visitors this season, especially given two of their most frustrating away results have been against newly-promoted sides. Drawing 2-2 at Osasuna proved frustrating, although losing 2-0 against Granada in the following game proved even more of a shock for even the most successful football betting experts, given the winning side also have the lowest budget of any La Liga side this season.

Likewise, the form of Real Madrid away from home has been far from ideal for manager Zinedine Zidane. Just like their eternal rivals Barcelona, they remained unbeaten at home during the first half of the campaign. However, anyone carefully following the football statistics will note that away from home, some of the smartest betting tipsters and strategists around may be looking to the underdogs against Real Madrid, with good value odds for upsets.

On the road and having played 10 games as the visiting side, as the fixture statistics at whoscored.com show, although Real Madrid won 5, they also drew 4 and suffered a surprising 1-0 defeat at newly-promoted Mallorca. While they have fared better than Barcelona, this still makes Los Blancos a good value option to draw away from home, while also a consideration for 1X (home win or draw) bets when they’re the visiting side.

While the league table shows that Real Madrid and Barcelona are gradually extending their lead at the top of La Liga, both sides will inevitably stumble during the second half of the campaign in Spain. For that reason, it’s definitely worth paying extra-special attention to how they fare in away games, as that could ultimately prove the difference between the two sides in deciding the title.

Conclusion

Given the high-value odds of backing Real Madrid and Barcelona to lose can potentially bring good returns, clearly, it goes without saying that it’s always worth checking their form and team news ahead of games. Both sides have endured periods this season when key players have been absent through injury, which isn’t always reflected by their match odds. That’s something to keep an eye on as an opportunity when looking for value bets.

Elsewhere, it’s often the case that compared to the shorter odds being offered in many Premier League matches, the higher odds available in various La Liga markets can often present better value overall, and especially when they’re games that don’t involve the big teams. Follow the form and statistics of each team, look for trends in their performance and before long, you’ll spot some great value bets to be had in La Liga games.

 

 

 

 

Members’ Choice Awards – Best Matched Betting Service 2019

So we move on to the penultimate in our series of awards voted for by you the members of Honest Betting Reviews. 

This time it is the turn of Best Matched Betting Service 2019 and this was a very close run thing – the closest of all our awards in fact. 

Matched betting has been very popular over the last five years or so and it is one of the very few ways of ensuring you can beat the bookies over the long term. The bookies have of course become wiser to it over time and so the methods used have had to become more sophisticated.

Hence you now have some very impressive matched betting products all attempting to outdo each other, with software, live odds portals, calculators and all sorts of other tools for aspiring matched bettors. 

So it is perhaps not surprising that this year’s voting was so close and there was very little to separate the top three choices.

Anyway, without further ado let’s have a look at how the voting went. 

In third place was Profit Accumulator from Sam Stoffel, which has high ratings on Trust Pilot and was also a popular choice with you guys. 

Coming in second place and just missing out on top spot was the renowned Oddsmonkey, which made £1,045 in our review of it back in 2017 and has gone from strength to strength since then. 

But which service took top slot this year? 

Best Matched Betting Service 2019

Well this year’s winner is no stranger to regular followers and also won this award last year. Yes the winner was…

Profit Maximiser!

Congratulations to Mike Cruickshank, the developer of Profit Maximiser and generally known as the “doyen of matched betting.”

As we say, the voting was very close, with just a few percent separating the top three choices. Here is how the voting went:-

  1. 1. Profit Maximiser (28.81% of the votes)
  2. 2. Oddsmonkey (27.12%)
  3. 3. Profit Accumulator (25.42%)

So a tight affair but Profit Maximiser just edged the award this year. Here is what Mike had to say on receiving news of the win:

“That’s awesome. Thanks to all the HBR users who voted for Profit Maximiser.

PM is over 6 years old now, it’s great to see that it’s still relevant & popular! It’s great to see users are doing so well with it.

I can’t take all the credit myself. The forum users who share offers, loopholes and post the best bets really help turn a good product in to a fantastic one.

I’ve got some exciting plans for Profit Maximiser over the next 12 months! Stay tuned for more information on that shortly.”

Well done to Mike on the win and we look forward to seeing what he’s got in store for PM members this year. 

In the meantime you can get a 14 day trial of Profit Maximiser for just £1 here. 

 

 

 

 

Members’ Choice Awards – Best Sports System 2019

Next up in our series of the HBR Members’ Choice Awards is the accolade of Best (Other) Sports System 2019. 

So far we have had the award of Best Horse Racing Service which went to Quentin Franks Racing and the Best Football Service which went to Goal Profits. 

Now it is the turn of those services that either focus on sports other than the “big two” of horse racing and football, or combine a range of sports into one service.

This can include anything from golf to tennis, cricket, NFL, darts and more. So it is quite a wide playing field and this was a competitive category. 

It is often in these more niche services that you find the best value however, so it is a category to keep an eye on.  

But without further ado, let’s have a look at the results. 

Following up their third place from last year with the same position this year was the renowned Golf Betting Expert. Having amassed over £10,000 at an ROI of 24% in his four years of tipping, he has built a solid following and it is good to see his consistent excellence recognised here in the voting. 

In second place was last year’s winner, Sports Spread Betting. A niche service that focuses on the spread betting markets on football, horse racing and cricket, they have amassed over 4,000 points profit since starting up in 2017 and it remains popular with those who have the tolerance for the high variance involved in spread betting. 

So now we move on to the winner of this year’s award.

Best (Other) Sports Service 2019

This year’s winner is a relative new kid on the block but has really impressed us during our live trial of their service and has obviously been a big hit with you guys as well. 

Yes the winner of this year’s award is…

Trade On Sports!

As we say they have been flying along in our review with over £6,000 profit made on their football bot, but they also provide tips and stats across a range of other sports including tennis, NFL and ice hockey so it’s quite a comprehensive service.

Here are the final result for this year’s award:-

  1. 1. Trade On Sports (28% of the votes)
  2. 2. Sports Spread Betting (24%)
  3. 3. Golf Betting Expert (16%). 

So congratulations to the whole team at TOS on the win. We feel like they are one of the internet’s best kept secrets so it is good to see them getting some credit for their hard work through this award.

Here is what Pete Nordsted from Trade On Sports had to say on receiving news of the award:

“We are delighted and humbled to win this award as there are many good services available. Our members can be assured that we will be doing everything we can to ensure that we have another very profitable year.”

Well done again to Pete and his team and that wraps up this year’s award for Best (Other) Sports Service 2019. 

We’ll be back soon with the next award in the series, Best Matched Betting Service. 

In the meantime you can check out Trade On Sports for yourself here. 

 

 

 

 

 

How 2020 Champion Hurdle Contenders Fared over Christmas

Under normal circumstances, punters and tipsters alike pick up plenty of Cheltenham Festival clues over the Christmas period. Top National Hunt racing takes place both in the UK and Ireland, but this year the festive season leaves more questions than answers.

Nowhere is this more so than in the 2020 Champion Hurdle betting. Already an open division, trying to make sense of it all after contenders disappointed on both sides of the Irish Sea is tough.

This is what happened over Christmas and what you can glean from the festive jumps action ahead of the Champion Hurdle in March.

Champion Hurdle” (CC BY-SA 2.0) by Carine06

 

Epatante emerges as market leader

JP McManus is the most successful owner in Champion Hurdle history. The legendary Irish gambler lost last year’s winner Espoir D’Allen to a freak accident on the gallops and dual victor Buveur D’Air is very unlikely to be back this season following an injury to his hoof in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle.

Thank heavens for the latter’s Nicky Henderson stable companion Epatante, then, who has made rapid progress during the campaign so far. A lightly-raced French import to his Seven Barrows yard, this mare by No Risk At All was a leading fancy for the Grade 2 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at the last Cheltenham Festival but only came ninth.

Epatante may have been too inexperienced off just two outings over the obstacles for that test. A Grade 1 bumper winner in France, she landed a Listed intermediate contest at Newbury before taking the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton in impressive style.

This sudden progress comes as young Henderson stable inmates Fusil Raffles and Pentland Hills struggle in open company after fine juvenile campaigns. Epatante is now as short as 5/2 for Champion Hurdle glory in the spring.

Saldier and Sharjah benefit from disappointing Klassical Dream.

Leopardstown’s Christmas Festival in Ireland culminated in the Grade 1 Matheson Hurdle which Sharjah won for the second consecutive season in a race where last year’s Supreme victor Klassical Dream flopped again. Drying ground was a key factor for the winner.

Irish champion trainer Willie Mullins obviously has a strong hand in the Champion Hurdle division. Sharjah has been cut to 7/1 in the horse racing odds available on this race with bet365. The Matheson result also pays a compliment to Saldier – another in the stable owned by Rich and Susannah Ricci.

That horse beat Sharjah, Petit Mouchoir and Klassical Dream in the Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown earlier in the season. Saldier has missed the Christmas period with a slight setback, but is a 6/1 chance to take the 2020 Champion Hurdle.

Klassical Dream has now twice been a beaten favourite in both starts since his fabulous novice campaign. An inability to settle in the preliminaries, coupled with errors over the obstacles, suggests something is amiss with this talented Dream Well gelding.

With Klassical Dream eased out to 10/1 in the Champion Hurdle betting, others with sounder temperaments have attracted more market support. Coeur Sublime – a Gordon Elliott trained contemporary of Fusil Raffles and Pentland Hills – also failed to follow-up on his impressive Down Royal exploits in the Matheson, leaving rival Mullins with the much stronger Champion Hurdle team.

 

 

 

 

 

Members Choice Awards – Best Football Service 2019

During December we gave you the chance to vote for your favourite betting systems of the year in our “Members Choice Awards 2019.”

The first winner was announced last week with Quentin Franks Racing capturing the title of Best Horse Racing Service 2019. 

Now it is the turn of the Best Football Service and this year there was a runaway winner with the top choice getting nearly twice as many votes as the runner-up.

Yes there was a clear favourite in this category proving very popular with members. Before getting on to the winner however, let’s have a look at which services filled the places this year. 

Well in third place was the Football Betting Expert from the Betting Gods platform of tipsters, which has so far averaged £122 profit per month to £10 stakes. 

In second place was the respected Football Acca Tipster, also from the Betting Gods platform, which racked up a profit in six of the last seven months and has proven a hit with those punters who enjoy an acca or two on the footy. 

Best Football Service 2019

But which service grabbed the top spot?

Well the service in question has won quite a few other awards (including this award last year) so it’s probably not too much of a surprise that it won our award for Best Football Service this year aswell.

Yes, the winner was the hugely popular football trading service…

Goal Profits!

They seem to pick up awards for fun and have done it yet again, as we say with nearly twice as many votes as the next best. 

Here is the top three in our awards together with the percentage of the vote they received:

  1. 1. Goal Profits (30.65%)
  2. 2. Football Acca Tipster (16.13%)
  3. 3. Football Betting Expert (11.29%)

A huge congratulations then to Goal Profits on sweeping another award and it was well deserved judging by all the feedback we have had on the service.

And the really great news is they are currently offering a 7 day trial for just £1 which you can access here. 

Here is what Steve Brown of Goal Profits had to say on receiving news of the award:

“Thank you so much to everyone who voted for Goal Profits!

We were delighted to win the award for “Best Football System” in 2018 and to repeat that win is amazing! The entire GP team deserve huge credit as I certainly couldn’t do it all on my own while our football trading community continues to grow at a record pace.

Now that Kevin and I have help from Paul, we’re able to put our time into giving members much more value. For example, we recently held a free trading workshop for members which was a big success and we’re looking forward to more of them. We even had members flying in from Europe to take part in the live trading session which was a lot of fun (and very profitable).

Our trading tools were already the best on the planet (by far) and we improved them further during 2019. As well as identifying profitable opportunities which would otherwise be missed, the tools save massive amounts of time. For example, Custom Shortlist Pro allows you to build (and save) your own selection filters, then it scans the fixture list for up to a week in advance and displays your shortlist. Once fixtures kick-off, you can set alerts in our Live Stats Module and let it keep an eye on every fixture for you. Doing all of this manually used to take hours upon hours, but that very hard work has become REALLY quick and easy!

Looking ahead to 2020, we have huge plans! We’re already working on new features for our Live Stats Module and, of course, the European Championships. I’m sure we’ll put on another workshop for members and there are more strategies in development as well.

It’s a very exciting time for Goal Profits members and we’re looking forward to welcoming more new traders to our community very soon.

Thank you again for all your votes and good luck with your trading!”

So it is just left for us to say well done once again to Goal Profits on being voted Best Football Service of 2019 and we hope for continued success from them next year as they develop their service even more.

If you aren’t already a member you can get a week’s trial of Goal Profits for just £1 here. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Members Choice Awards – Best Horse Racing Service 2019

We hope you had a good Christmas and have now recovered from all the festivities. As 2019 draws to a close, we have been running a contest to choose the best betting products of 2019, as voted for by you in our Members’ Choice Awards 2019.

The voting closed on Christmas Eve and we would like to say thank you to everyone who participated. We had nearly twice as many people voting this year compared to last year and it was great to see so much interest in our awards scheme which recognises those betting services that have worked hard to make a profit for their members and hopefully put some extra income in your pocket this year.  

The votes have now been counted and we are pleased to announce the first award in our series – Best Horse Racing Service 2019.

Best Horse Racing Service 2019

It was a very competitive contest with some great services to choose from but the winner emerged with a clear lead in the end and that was…

Quentin Franks Racing!

Yes it is perhaps not a surprise to our regular followers that Quentin came out on top in our awards, with the kind of profits he has amassed not just this year but over the last few years, with over £14,000 profit made to £10 stakes since he began tipping. 

It’s been yet another stellar year for Quentin with 220 points profit made in 2019 (with a few days to go) and we can understand why he is so popular with members.

Honourable mentions in our awards also go to runner-up Little Acorns, who also finished second last year and Exponential Bet who finished third. 

Final Rankings – Best Horse Racing Service 2019:

  1. 1. Quentin Franks Racing
  2. 2. Little Acorns
  3. 3. Exponential Bet

So the spoils go to Mr Franks and here is what the man himself had to say on receiving news of the award: 

“It’s an honour to have been announced as 2019’s best horse racing service. I thank the members of Honest Betting Reviews for their votes, and for the support of my members past and present, and to Betting Gods for hosting my service on their platform.

My service will enter it’s 6th year of operation in 2020 so it’s both a great close to the year and decade as I strive to continue the proven profits for many more years to come.

Thank you all again.”

And here is what Darren, the Director of Betting Gods which hosts Quentin’s service had to say about the award:

“I was delighted to hear the news of Quentin winning this award. I’ve known him now for several years, and he is the most genuine, professional guy I’ve ever had the pleasure to meet.

Nobody cares more about delivering success for his members than Quentin. He’s a pleasure to work with, and naturally as a company we’re incredibly proud that we have been able to have his service under the Betting Gods brand for the entirely of our company’s operation.

Congratulations to Quentin, this is well deserved and we look forward to working with you for many years to come.”

So that wraps up our first award and well done again to Quentin Franks. We’ll be back soon with the next award in the series. 

You can get a 7-day trial of Quentin Franks Racing for just £1 here.

 

 

 

 

Guess the Footy Results and Win $1000 – Free to Enter!

One of our top recommended football services, JK Diego, is running a contest that is FREE to enter – you just have to guess the results of the Boxing Day Premier League games. The best guess wins $1000 and for everyone that enters they will give $10 to charity – more details below from JK Diego himself.

 

—————————————————————————————————-

MESSAGE FROM JK DIEGO:

In recent times we have organized two EPL Prediction Contests. These are open to everyone in our Telegram channel and cost nothing to participate. Each time, I’ve sent 100 bucks to our winner via PayPal (entirely out of my own pocket).

Since it’s Christmas Week, we’re going to have something special… 😉

The Boxing Day round of EPL matches seems like a good time to conduct one final contest (for this year) to wrap up 2019.

Except that.. we have two MAJOR changes.

1) The prize for this special round will be increased ten times to 1000 USD instead of the usual $100.

2) We’re also adding a charitable component. For each entry received, we will donate 10 USD to charity (e.g. if 150 of you take part, we will donate $1,500).

As usual it costs nothing at all to participate. Only requirement is that you MUST be in our telegram channel.

So this festive season, if you’d like to do your part for charity – just by joining this contest you give yourself a chance to win something AND you are indirectly contributing to a good cause. Win-Win.

Spread the word to your friends! Happy Holidays!

HOW TO JOIN (IMPORTANT INFO)

1) Read the full rules & regulations of the contest before participating: https://jkdgo.com/epl-prediction-contest

2) Contest opens 24th Dec at 12.30PM GMT and lasts for 48 hours. Join this Telegram channel to access the contest form: https://t.me/teamdiego

 

 

 

 

 

Latest 2020 Cheltenham Races News and Updates

We are only a few days away from the next decade of 2020, and the Cheltenham Festival 2020 keeps getting closer. Top horses and jockeys are expected to take part in the horse-racing event with bookmakers looking to take advantage of the event to welcome punters with attractive betting offers. It is a big sporting event in the UK, which is perhaps only rivaled by the Grand National. The event offers an opportunity for horse racing enthusiasts’ to enjoy what they love.

The Cheltenham Festival isn’t just a horse racing event but a festival that brings together people from diverse backgrounds from various corners of the world. Since the event’s small beginnings, it has steadily grown over the years and now it takes place for almost one week.

Betting lovers – which is best? Online betting or in a shop?

With the Cheltenham Festival coming up next year punters are gearing up for the opportunity it will offer them to try their luck on some bets. There will be various types of horse races available for punters to choose to bet on.

So which kind of betting is perfect for this prestigious sporting event? There are usually two types of bets available either online betting or in-shop betting. Well it depends on which type of betting you find perfect for you but going by analysis, https://www.freebets.co.uk/cheltenham-festival-free-bets/ usually offers numerous benefits and advantages to punters.

Here are some of the amazing benefits that come with online betting:

  • – You get to enjoy introductory free bets as well as bonus offers that you won’t get in a betting shop.
  • – A number of online bookmakers will offer you ¼ odds you won’t get this from an in-shop bet.
  • – When you win, you get instant payouts unlike an in-store bet that you need to collect the prize won in person.
  • – Crucial information available such as form, stats, and even news items available from top betting websites which you can access with just a click.
  • – There is a variety of funding options available for you.
  • – You get to watch races live on bookmakers that provide live streaming.
  • – You get to see a complete bet history and therefore no chance that you lost unfairly due to be being scammed.

So, when is it best to bet, ante-post or the day of action?

Generally, horserace betting on the day of the race is much more secure than ante-post betting. Betting on the day of the race comes with the most security because non-runner no bet (NRNB) and the best odds guarantee (BOG) usually apply as a standard. You will not get these features as an ante-post wager. The other benefit of same day wagering is that you get to save yourself the misfortune of wagering on a horse that may end up not running after all.

Well, placing bets on the Cheltenham Festival is quite different from the other regular horse race betting. Because the event is a prestigious one, many leading bookmakers often provide additional ante-post betting benefits that they usually don’t offer in ordinary races.

For instance now you can find non-runner no bet, ¼ place odds and even be offered the best price guarantees given for ante-post bets for all the Cheltenham races even 2 months away from the start of the event. This therefore helps to alleviate much of the usual risk of betting early for a horse that may end up not participating on the race thus losing your stake.

Finding the best odds

If you wish to back a horse to win a race, you will simply look around for the best price at that time you want to place the bet. Always make sure that you do this if possible with a bookie that is offering the best odds guaranteed and go for the fixed price. This puts you at a better chance of winning big should your horse win the race.

Also remember to take your time when researching on the horses that are expected to participate in the event. Doing greatly increases your chances of picking the most likely horse to win the race.

 

 

 

 

Betting Scams – What to Look For and How to Avoid Them

Unfortunately, there are many criminals out there who masquerade as legitimate gambling firms with the intention of stealing your money.

There are some tell-tale signs that can warn you if a site might be dodgy, so it is worth checking these before you provide a site with any personal details or money. Here we will look at some of the more prevalent scams out there, including Ponzi-type betting scams, pyramid schemes, fixed match betting scams, crypto scams, software scams and finally some betting coups where the bookmakers are the losers.

 

Ponzi Betting Scams

Ponzi betting scams are all too common, but once caught, justice tends to be swift and severe. Ponzi scams are named after the supposed originator, Charles Ponzi, or to give him his full name Carlo Pietro Giovanni Guglielmo Tebaldo Ponzi. Such scams rely on paying old investors using funds deposited by new investors. Usually impossibly high returns are offered, encouraging ever-increasing numbers of new investors.

Ponzi betting scams frequently involve betting syndicates. Peter Plimley’s scam is typical of most of them. In 2017 he convinced his victims that he had an almost foolproof scheme for betting on money markets. Although he was losing massive amounts, he was paying investors with money from new clients. In total he embezzled nearly £230,000 including the life savings of several friends and family members.

In a similar scheme, in 2014 Nicholas Peter Ford set up a spread betting syndicate and proceeded to take £1.3 million from investors but paying out just £240,000. As is typical with such scams, some investors trusted him with their life savings only to end up with nothing in return. He was sentenced to five years and four months in prison.

Ipswich-based gambler Darren Hudson-Wood was convicted of 13 counts of fraud in 2017 after running a “gambling pots” scheme whereby people would put in money and he would bet for them, telling them profits were “guaranteed.” However, after losing a large portion of their funds, Hudson-Wood failed to reveal to customers his losing bets but instead pretended he had been winning. In the end he was declared bankrupt in 2014 whilst owing his customers £30,000. He was given a 22-month suspended jail sentence after admitting the 13 charges of fraud made against him. 

More recently, in 2019, 5,000 members of the Layezy Racing betting syndicate discovered they were victims of a Ponzi scheme. The syndicate was run by Mike Stanley, a retired police officer. Some victims began to suspect a Ponzi scheme, and Sports Mail launched an investigation. In response to this, Stanley immediately filed for bankruptcy, leaving a debt estimated by administrators to be as much as £70 million. Apparently, Stanley hadn’t placed a bet in years and lived entirely on the income provided by his investors, some of whom lost their life savings.

 

Fixed Match Scams

While there is plenty of evidence that there are fixed matches, a common scam often circulated via social media is an offer of information on fixed matches that you can purchase for a small investment, typically £100 to £200. The aim is to get you to pay for useless or non-existent information. Perhaps surprisingly, many people are taken in by this, handing the scammers significant amounts of money.

While a proportion of those punters will lose their bet, at least a third will win and believe that they were given accurate information. These will be contacted again, with another offer usually costing more money than the first.

In one variant of the scam, the scammers will only request the fee after the bet has been won. This lulls a proportion of their victims into false security. Those for whom the bet work will be instantly hooked and pay for the next prediction.

Always ignore such fixed match offers. Take it from us they are all scams. Naturally, there are fixed matches, but nobody is going to tell you about them even for a few hundred pounds.

 

One-Page Betting Sites

This is something we see quite often and is an easy trap for many punters to fall into. A glossy one-page website will go up advertising a new tipster or betting system. The page will make all sorts of outrageous claims about how much money the system has made, often with pictures of betting slips showing wins of tens or even hundreds of thousands of pounds. 

There will probably be stories on the page of how an “ordinary guy” was stuck in some job they didn’t like earning very little money until they discovered a “secret system” that made them loads of money and they are now living the life they always dreamed of. Alternatively the story will be about a “computer genius” who has created some super-smart software that automatically finds winners and makes them thousands of pounds profit a day. Normally there are no results published on the website or any kind of clue as to who the people behind the system are.  

The reality of these sites of course is that they are all nonsense and completely made up. It is all just clever marketing aimed at dragging people in, preying on their gullibility and hopes that something like this may actually exist. 

Let’s face it though, if a system could make £100,000+ plus per year, why would someone sell it for £30 (which is often the cost of the services advertised on these sites)? They would obviously just keep it to themselves and continue making money from it.

Invariably these one-page sales sites disappear after a month or two, to be followed by another similar-looking site under a different name popping up not long after. Digging into them a little you will find many of them based out of Asia under shell companies and the like. 

So we would always advise people to look for full results published on a betting website, preferably that have been independently verified at a review site like this. Be very suspicious of a one-page betting site making outrageous claims of the amazing results it has achieved with supposed “proof” of betting slips – these can be easily faked.

As with all these things, the maxim “if it looks too good to be true, it probably is” should always be used. 

 

Dodgy Twitter and Facebook Tipsters

With social media becoming such a focal point of many people’s lives these days, it is perhaps not surprising that many tipsters and traders are now found on social media platforms like Twitter and Facebook.

Sadly however, the truth is that the vast majority of these services are either outright scams or of dubious quality. They will often post screenshots of their Betfair P/L account or their bookies betslips – all showing massive wins of course and never any losses. These are usually accompanied by lots of expressive “booms!” and emojis and supposed happy followers. The screenshots and followers can easily be faked though and even if they are not, they could have lost as much, if not more, the day before and not shown you. Or they could have two accounts, placing alternative bets meaning at least one will show a profit.

There are many ways they can manipulate things but ultimately if they don’t how a full betting record that has been independently verified, you should treat the service with extreme skepticism. You should always ask to see a full history of their results, not just the winners. If they refuse to do that then it is very likely a scam. 

It is worth being equally skeptical of social media accounts claiming to be brilliant Betfair traders, which there are many of these days. In our experience successful Betfair traders are extremely rare and don’t tend to go bragging about it on social media if they are. 

Beware also of YouTube scammers. There are quite a few videos around these days claiming they have some amazing betting/trading system that enables them to make a regular daily profit. The marketing behind these is often quite slick and usually tempts you into purchasing a very expensive trading course where you can learn their “secrets.” In our experience most of these courses are just fluff with very little actual value, just containing well-worn strategies such as lay the draw or over/under trading and will leave you feeling decidedly cold.  

 

Crypto Scams

Although this article is focused mainly on betting scams, it is worth giving a quick mention to cryptocurrency scams, partly because there have been so many of them over the last few years. In fact there have been estimates that over 90% of crypto start-ups were either scams or are no longer active. 

The bottom has completely fallen out of the crypto market over the last couple of years, no doubt as a direct result of the failure of so many cryptocurrency projects which has put people off investing any more money in the sector. 

However, there are still a few floating around and they typically offer to make some ridiculous amount like 1% profit per day. This is simply not possible to sustain and is a sure sign of a ponzi-style scam. Avoid these at all costs. 

There are also quite a few crypto scams involving gold, promising that their coin is tied to actual gold and therefore has real value. Most of these are outright scams or if not are very risky investments.  

Finally there are cryptocurrency mining schemes, which were all the rage back in 2016-2017 but have largely died a death thankfully. There are still a few around though and again these should be avoided. We have written elsewhere about why mining is fundamentally flawed and if you really want to be involved with a new coin it is better to just buy and hold it rather than to mine the token. 

 

Pyramid Schemes

Pyramid schemes are a controversial topic because they are not always scams, but can point towards one if there is no underlying value in a service. 

Typically pyramid schemes involve what is called “multi-level marketing” or MLM for short, which means that if one person recommends a product to their friends, they get a commission if someone signs up through them. Then if someone signs up from one of those people, the original referrer gets another commission and so on. These can often go down five, six or even ten levels, meaning someone at the top of the pyramid can be making a very substantial income from all the referrers under them. 

You may already spot the problem with something like this – how can the scheme afford to pay out so many people on all these levels of commission? Unless there is genuine value in the product and service being offered and all the commission can clearly be accounted for, then it is big warning signal. 

The other issue with pyramid schemes is that they can proliferate very quickly and their reach greatly outweigh the quality of the actual service or product being offered. They can spread like wildfire before burning out very quickly and going under. 

So we would advise that if you do see a pyramid scheme, look carefully at whether there is any intrinsic value in the product and how they will be covering all the commission payments to be made under the scheme. 

 

Betting Software Scams

The rise of Artificial Intelligence may well change the landscape of sports betting. After all computers can now beat professional poker players and bookmakers use reasonably sophisticated software and data sets to determine their initial odds. There is also evidence that some researchers have achieved a high degree of accuracy, predicting the outcome of horse races using neural networks and machine learning. Over ten races investigators made profits of between 30% and 50%.

However, people advertising software race predictors for a small fee are unlikely to have access to the kind of supercomputers needed for deep learning. Avoid them, they are a scam.

 

Summary

So that is a list of the main forms of betting scams. It is by no means exhaustive as there are so many ways scammers will try to part you from your hard-earned cash, but the main themes tend to be the same. Most of them use FOMO – or “fear of missing out” – to lure you into thinking you have to invest quickly or you may miss out. A lot of slick marketing is used and people’s fear and greed is preyed upon. 

Ultimately you should always treat any claims with a healthy skepticism and look for independent proof of their results. Are their claims realistic? Normally a return on investment of 20-30% is the best anyone can realistically achieve in the long run and doubling or trebling a starting bank in a year is about the maximum achievable.

If someone is claiming to turn £1,000 into £100,000 or to have a “secret system” that has a found a “loophole” that cannot lose, then most probably it is total BS. 

As we say, always bear in mind the maxim “if it seems too good to be true, it probably is.” 

 

Betting coups

Now let’s take a look at the other side of the coin, where people have managed to – legitimately – put one over on the bookies and pull off some amazing betting coups. 

Yellow Sam

It isn’t always Joe Public who is the victim of a betting scam. Often it is the bookmakers who feel the pain. Perhaps the most famous betting soup, the so-called Yellow Sam coup, made around £300,000 on a single race.

Barney Curley entered his horse Yellow Sam in a small provincial Irish horse race at Bellewstown. In the days that pre-date mobile phones, the racecourse was serviced by just one public phone. To guarantee the horse began at generous odds, he had run it in several previous races where it was unsuited to the conditions and failed badly. On the day of the race, Curley’s agents were sent to many different bookmakers where they bet between £50 and £300 on the horse within the last few minutes before the start.  In total they placed around £15,000. While this aroused some suspicions, the bookmakers were unable to contact the racecourse at Bellewstown as the only phone, a public payphone was continually occupied by another of Curley’s conspirators apparently in conversation with his dying aunt. Thus, the adds on Yellow Sam remained at 20/1. Had the bookmakers got through, the odds would have been slashed. Needless to say, Yellow Sam won at preposterously high odds, handing Curley a £300,000 profit which at today’s prices would be £1.4 million.

D Four Dave

In a similar coup, the small racecourse at Kilbeggan in Ireland where the horse D Four Dave won easily at 5/1 though earlier in the day it had been priced at 15/1. Douglas Taylor, and entrepreneur, had recruited 200 assistants and provided them with an alarm watch and instructions then shipped them to numerous bookmakers throughout Kildare and Dublin. They were instructed to wait for the alarm, set to go off a few minutes before the start of the race, then hand in a completed betting slip and the £200 bet. They were then told to return to their handler and get paid for their troubles. Although some of the recruits inadvertently gave the game away, even handing their written instructions to the teller, Taylor still made a handsome profit. Paddy Power alone lost £50,000.