When it comes to sports betting, there are a lot of different options available. Some of these options can offer better odds, but the conditions you need to meet in order to win can be tricky to understand.

One of the most popular types of bets, especially in sports, is over/under betting. In this guide, we explore this form of bet comprehensively. We look at examples of over/under bets, the sports that you can place these bets on, and look specifically at Premier League football.

Let’s dive in.

What is an over/under bet?

An over/under bet is something that exists within the world of sports betting. It refers to the odds of whether a statistic in a game will be higher or lower than a certain value.

These types of bets often come in the form of a score of .5, and we’ll look at some examples below. For example, you could back a team to score more than 2.5 goals in a game. This means that the team needs to score three goals or more in order for you to win. If they score two goals, you lose.

Over/under bets are also known as total bets and sometimes are abbreviated to O-U.

Some people prefer this type of bet to others for the simple reason that you’re trying to predict just one statistical outcome of the game, rather than the entire outcome. Sometimes, this can be easier to call.

Examples of over/under bets

Before any game, a bookmaker or betting company will conduct extensive research and offer odds based on that research. In the context of football, one of the most popular sports for over/under betting, markets are usually offered on the likes of:

• The total number of goals scored by a team or in the match as a whole.
• The number of corner kicks in a half or game.
• The total number of yellow cards.
• The number of goals an individual player may score.

What types of over/under betting can you make on the Premier League?

Let’s take a deeper dive into the first example on the list above. It’s not uncommon for sportsbooks to offer odds on the total number of goals scored, either in a half or in the game as a whole. This will usually come in the form of decimal values such as:

• Over/under 0.5 goals.
• Over/under 1.5 goals.
• Over/under 2.5 goals.
• Over/under 3.5 goals.

The reason why these figures are set at .5 is because in football, you can’t score half a goal. So, if both teams combined score four goals and you’ve backed over 3.5 total goals, then your bet will succeed. If the game finishes on 2-1, then you would lose your bet.

In terms of the odds offered, the higher the value, the less likely it is to happen – unless both teams going into the game are prolific goal scorers and have very leaky defences.

Odds on the likes of over 0.5 goals will usually be quite poor.

However, you can combine over/under bets to build an accumulator and get better odds. For example, you could back Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton and Luton Town to all score over 1.5 goals in the Premier League. If each of them bag two goals in their respective matches, your bet will come in.

What sports offer over/under bets?

Over/under betting isn’t just restricted to football but is offered in a broad range of sports. A popular sport that it’s offered in is basketball.

The premise is exactly the same as we’ve outlined above, however, the values and what you can bet on may be a little different. For example, basketball works on a points-based system, with some NBA teams regularly scoring over 120 points per game.

It’s possible to bet on the total number of points that a team may score or the total scored in the overall tie.

The same applies to American football and the likes of the National Football League (NFL). Over/under bets are also popular in Major League Baseball (MLB), the National Hockey League (NHL) and other sports such as rugby, cricket and tennis.

With tennis, you can bet on the likes of the total number of games played or the total number of sets completed. A common example could be over/under 22.5 games. Again, odds for different values could drastically differ.

 

 

 

Are you an avid sports fan looking to turn your passion into profit? Look no further, because we have the ultimate guide for you!

In this comprehensive guide, we will unveil the secrets to successful sports trading that will take your game to the next level.

Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, our expert tips and strategies will help you navigate the unpredictable world of sports trading with confidence.

From understanding the basics of sports trading to mastering advanced techniques, we will cover it all. Learn how to analyze sports markets, identify profitable opportunities, manage risks, and make informed trading decisions.

Discover the power of data analysis, the importance of psychological resilience, and the art of timing.

With our insider knowledge and actionable insights, you’ll be well-equipped to maximize your profits and minimize your losses.

So get ready to unlock the secrets to successful sports trading and take your trading skills to new heights!

 

What is Sports Trading?

First up, a simple explanation of what we mean by sports trading.

Sports trading refers to the practice of buying and selling bets on sporting events in order to profit from the changing odds and market conditions. Exchanges such as Betfair are used to do this, with users able to bet against each other rather than against a bookmaker.

In traditional sports betting, you place a bet on a specific outcome, such as Team A winning a football match.

However, on the exchanges you have the option to both back (bet for) and lay (bet against) an outcome. This creates an opportunity for sports traders to profit by taking advantage of fluctuations in the odds.

Sports traders aim to buy low and sell high, similar to trading in financial markets.

Here is an example from a cricket match between England and Australia in the Ashes:

It is early on the first day and England are batting. Whilst they are fairly settled at a score of 150/3, England have some young inexperienced batsman who are unproven at this level whilst Australia have a strong bowling attack. 

Australia are priced at odds of 4.20, which seems quite high given the scenario and with there being a lot of time left in the match to turn things around. 

So we place a £50 bet on Australia at odds of 4.2:

Things turned around very quickly, with Australia taking two quick wickets shortly after we placed our back bet. 

After the two wickets their odds fell to 2.44. 

We felt this was a good point to exit the trade and lock in some profits, as we had seen a good, sharp move in the odds. 

Remember we are trading, not betting, so we are not trying to figure out who will actually win the match, just where there are opportunities for the odds to fluctuate and make some profit from those fluctuations. 

So we “cash out” out our bet, placing a lay stake of £86.05 at odds of 2.44:

That gave us a healthy profit of £36.05 whatever happens. 

We do not have to worry about who is going to win the match, we can just sit back and enjoy our profits.

So that is an example of a simple sports trade in action. 

You can of course do it the other way, by laying first and then backing. In that case you would be hoping for the odds to rise after placing your initial bet.  

Traders often use various strategies and techniques, such as scalping (making small, quick profits from small price movements), swing trading (capitalizing on larger price swings), and hedging (reducing risk by placing opposite bets).

We will have a look at some of these in more detail below.

 

Can You Make Money From Sports Trading?

It is possible to make money from sports trading – in fact many would argue it is easier to make money from trading than betting, as you are just looking to capitalize in the movement in odds rather than trying to overcome the bookies’ considerable edge. 

There are a number of successful, well-known sports traders out there, including Paul Krishnamurty who trades mainly cricket and politics and Peter Webb who trades a variety of sports including football and horse racing. 

However, it is important to understand that sports trading requires skill, knowledge, and effective strategies. Successful sports trading is not based on luck alone but on analyzing data, understanding market trends, and making informed decisions.

It involves risks just as with betting and it’s advisable to start with small stakes, learn different strategies, and gradually increase your involvement as you gain experience and confidence in the sports trading process.

 

The Key Principles of Successful Sports Trading

Successful sports trading is built on a foundation of key principles that guide traders in their decision-making process.

These principles are essential for navigating the volatile and unpredictable world of sports markets and can mean the difference between profit and loss. Here are some key principles to keep in mind:

1. Research and Analysis: Before placing any trades, it’s important to conduct thorough research and analysis. This includes studying past performance, analyzing statistical data, and keeping up with the latest news and developments in the sports world. By arming yourself with knowledge, you can make more informed trading decisions and increase your chances of success.
2. Risk Management: Managing risk is crucial in sports trading. This involves setting stop-loss levels, diversifying your portfolio, and being disciplined in your trading activities. By managing your risk effectively, you can protect your capital and minimize potential losses.
3. Patience and Discipline: Patience and discipline are key virtues in sports trading. It’s important to wait for the right opportunities and not let emotions dictate your trading decisions. By sticking to your trading plan and exercising discipline, you can avoid impulsive trades and increase your chances of success.

By adhering to these key principles, you can lay a strong foundation for your sports trading journey and increase your chances of long-term success. These principles form the backbone of successful sports trading and should be incorporated into your trading strategy.

 

How to Trade Sport Successfully

In order to trade sport successfully you need to have a good strategy. There are various approaches you can take and professional traders tend to focus on one particular method or combine a few different strategies they have found to work for them. 

Broadly the main approaches to sports trading are scalping, swing trading and hedging. We will look at each of these separately below. 

Scalping

Scalping in sports trading is a trading strategy where traders aim to make small, quick profits from small price movements in the odds of a sporting event. The objective is to take advantage of short-term fluctuations in the market to secure profits.

Here is a simple example of a scalp trade from a tennis match:

Alex Molcan is playing Tomas Machac in a Challenger event. 

Molcan has won the first game and Machac is about to serve. 

We lay Molcan at 1.64 for £10:

What normally happens is that if the server wins just a point or two on their own serve (which is a likely outcome in men’s tennis), the odds will move a few ticks in their favour and we can trade out for profit. 

That is what happened in this case, with Machac going 30-15 ahead on his serve. 

Molcan’s odds moved a nice five ticks, drifting out to 1.69.

So we would be able to take a nice £0.24 profit here, even though the server is only one point ahead in the game (30-15).

Often scalpers just look for one or two ticks profit rather than the five we have gained here. 

There are countless markets you can scalp and ways you can do it, but some of the most popular include:-

• Scalping the unders market in football: Often the odds move a tick or two in less than a minute, giving the potential for a quick profit if no goal is scored. 
• Scalping the match odds in cricket: if a run or two are scored, the odds will normally shift a tick or two, allowing for a simple profit if a wicket is not taken.
• Scalping the favourite in horse racing markets before the off.
• Scalping the match odds in NFL as a team advances forward down the field.
• Scalping the server in tennis – as above.

You can study the markets yourself to find suitable scalping opportunities. The key thing you are looking for is quick movements of a tick or two that are repeatable over and over again. 

You also need to be aware of what your losses will be if the scalp goes against you. 

Try to work out the percentage chance of that happening and weigh up whether it is worth it entering a scalp trade. 

For example, if you are gaining two ticks but risking forty ticks if the market moves against you, you effectively have a 1-in-20 trade. 

If the chances of the scalp going against you is approximately 1-in-10, then it wouldn’t be worth it. If it was more like 1-in-30, then it would be worth doing the scalp. 

Here’s a step-by-step breakdown of how scalping works in sports trading:

1. Identifying Opportunities: Traders look for sporting events with high liquidity and volatility. Liquidity refers to the availability of money in the market, while volatility indicates the magnitude and frequency of price movements.
2. Monitoring the Market: Traders closely monitor the odds of the selected event on a betting exchange platform like Betfair. They track the odds movement and identify patterns or trends that present potential scalping opportunities.
3. Placing Bets: Once a scalping opportunity is identified, the trader places both a back (bet for) and a lay (bet against) bet on different outcomes. The bets are typically placed with small stakes.
4. Quick Profit-Taking: As soon as the odds move in a favorable direction, the trader quickly executes the necessary trades to lock in a profit. This may involve placing opposing bets at the new odds or using trading software to automate the process.
5. Repeat Process: Scalping traders repeat this process multiple times during a sporting event, aiming to accumulate small profits from each trade. They may focus on specific moments, such as before a goal is scored in a football match or during a significant point in a tennis match.

Scalping requires speed, discipline, and the ability to react swiftly to market movements. Traders often use trading software or bots to automate the process, as the odds can change rapidly, and quick execution is crucial for success.

It’s important to note that scalping involves frequent trades and small profit margins.

While individual scalping trades may yield small profits, the cumulative gains can be significant over time.

However, it also means that there is limited time for analysis and decision-making, and the trader must be comfortable with making rapid trading decisions based on their predefined strategies.

 

Swing Trading

Hedge Trading

Hedge trading in sports trading is a strategy used to minimize risk and protect against potential losses by placing opposing bets or trades to offset each other.

The goal of hedge trading is to create a position that reduces or eliminates the impact of adverse outcomes, ensuring a more balanced and controlled risk exposure.

An example of this would be trading different over/under markets against each other in a football match.

Here we take the example of Union Santa Fe v Boca Juniors in the Argentinian Primera Division.

Rather than just taking a side of the over/unders and hoping it comes in, with hedge trading we are looking for opportunities to use connected markets in opposition to one another.

So first we back over 1.5 goals at 1.64, let’s say for £10.  

Then we take our “hedge” trade, to offset our risk in this market.

In this case, that means backing under 2.5 goals at 1.47.

To offset our risk in the over 1.5 goals market, we could put £15 on under 2.5 goals at 1.47.

An ideal scenario in this trade would be if there was a goal after around 25 minutes, in which you would make a good profit on the over 1.5 trade whilst only a marginal loss on the under 2.5 trade, giving a decent profit overall. 

The key thing would be to not let the trade run to the end, as if there are exactly three goals in the game you would lose both bets! 

That is the beauty of trading however, we can be out well before then and without risking our stakes like that.

Hedge trading can be beneficial then in reducing risk and using related but opposing markets in the same event to our advantage. 

Here’s a breakdown of how hedge trading works in general in sports trading:

1. Identifying Risk Exposure: Traders assess the potential risks and uncertainties associated with their initial bet or position. They identify scenarios where the outcome could result in a significant loss.
2. Placing Opposing Bets: To hedge against potential losses, traders place additional bets or trades that have an opposite outcome to their initial bet. By doing so, they create a position that would generate profits if the original bet loses.
3. Risk and Profit Calculation: Traders calculate the potential risk and profit scenarios based on the odds and stake sizes of their initial bet and hedge bet. The objective is to create a position where any potential losses from one bet are offset or minimized by the gains from the opposing bet.
4. Adjusting Stake Sizes: Traders may adjust the stake sizes of their bets to ensure that the potential gains from the hedge bet are sufficient to cover the potential losses from the initial bet. This involves calculating the appropriate stake ratio based on the respective odds and risk exposure.
5. Managing the Outcome: Depending on the final result of the sporting event, one of the bets will win, while the other will lose. The trader’s overall position aims to minimize losses or ensure a controlled loss if the initial bet does not result in a favorable outcome.

Hedge trading allows traders to limit their potential losses and create a more balanced risk profile. It can be particularly useful when there is uncertainty surrounding the outcome of a sporting event or when the odds change significantly during the event.

It’s important to note that while hedge trading helps manage risk, it also limits potential profits. The trader’s focus shifts from maximizing gains to protecting against losses. Traders should carefully consider the costs, potential gains, and risk-reward trade-offs involved in implementing hedge strategies.

 

Conclusion – The Art of Sports Trading

In conclusion, sports trading offers an exciting opportunity for avid sports fans to turn their passion into profit. With the right knowledge, strategies, and discipline, successful sports trading is achievable. 

Sports trading, unlike traditional sports betting, involves buying and selling bets on sporting events to profit from changing odds and market conditions. Traders aim to capitalize on fluctuations in the odds by buying low and selling high, similar to trading in financial markets.

Successful sports trading strategies include scalping, swing trading, and hedging. Scalping focuses on making small, quick profits from short-term price movements, while swing trading capitalizes on larger price swings. Hedging involves reducing risk by placing opposite bets. Traders often specialize in one particular method or combine multiple strategies that work for them.

It’s important to start with small stakes, learn different strategies, and gradually increase involvement as experience and confidence grow. Sports trading is not based on luck alone but on analyzing data, understanding market trends, and making informed decisions.

By following the principles outlined in this guide and continuously honing your skills, you’ll be well-equipped to unlock the secrets to successful sports trading and take your trading skills to new heights. So, dive in, learn, practice, and enjoy the journey of turning your sports passion into a profitable endeavor.