Football Hedging System – Final Review
We have come to the end of our trial of Football Hedging System and here are the final results:–
| Profit/loss: | +387 points |
| Strike Rate: | 87% |
| Bank Growth | 193% |
| Cost: | From £1297 + £201 per month for gold package* |
| ROI: | 6.3% |
| Average number of bets: | 1 per day |
| VERDICT: | PASSED |
| Rating: |
You can view full results here.
*Other packages available
Football Hedging System – Full Review
The Football Hedging System is a much talked-about suite of football trading systems run by Tony Langley.
There has been a great deal of interest from the gambling community about the Football Hedging System and it seems to have generated some heated debate – although most comment has been positive overall.
Membership has now been closed – we understand for good – so doing a review may be a bit of a moot point now but we thought we would do one anyway for the sake of completeness and just in case it does open again at some point in the future.
Results
We tested the systems for six months, so what did we think?
Well, overall our views are very positive.
The systems Tony has designed clearly work, and if you follow his trades you would have done very well indeed.
We made 387 points profit from following Tony’s trades, which represented nearly 200% growth of the bank and is excellent going in anyone’s book.
And part of that was during the quieter summer months, so there is the potential to do even better than that.
So it’s a clear passed rating for the Football Hedging System, but there are some issues with it that we want to deal with further below.
How Does it Work?
Firstly, you may be wondering how it works. Well, upon signing up, you get access to the FHS members area, which has an array of training guides and videos explaining each of the systems. You are also sent a hard copy manual of the systems in the post.
The systems all involve trading on Betfair and have video examples of trades to show you how to operate the systems.
As a member you also receive Tony’s e-mails, which provide live updates of games he is trading with instructions and screenshots.
There were five systems to trade during our trial, although the majority of trades focus on two of the systems.
Please note that the systems are complicated! Yes, even seasoned traders may take quite a bit of time to learn to trade these systems and a good deal of practice is required to get them right. Tony advises paper trading until you have mastered them, which is sound advice.
The Recovery
The essence of these systems is that they are designed in such a way that you should never lose a trade, because there is a “recovery” process you can follow to get yourself out of trouble if a trade goes wrong.
Now the recovery is complicated and involves backing various different things at the same time. You need to be able to work out how much to place on each separate bet and to do it quickly. That can be very challenging!
I used Bet Angel to assist with this, which has a nifty hedging tool to work out the amount needed to cover a given liability and that certainly helped.
In our experience, the recoveries do “work” as such, if you can get them on in time before another goal is scored.
However, here is the rub of things. In some instances you might not be able to do this and so you could lose a significant portion of your stake in this instance.
Let’s say one of the trades involves using the unders markets. If there is a rush of goals – and anyone who has traded football matches for any length of time will know that can definitely happen – you might not have time to get the trades on and just be left with a lost bet.
The same could happen if you were trading involving backing one team and the other team scored two or three quick goals.
So the systems are not completely foolproof. This should be recognised if you are signing up to the Football Hedging System.
There is nothing we have ever encountered (other than matched betting of course) that can guarantee you a profit whatever happens.
If there was then we would be millionaires and probably wouldn’t be running this website but would be off in the Bahamas being served cocktails by beautiful young ladies instead! 🙂
So please don’t think that this guarantees you winning 100% of the time.
There was also one instance when we were paper trading one match and there was an incredible first half, with the score being 4-2 at half-time.
We asked Tony how we should have traded during that half and he admitted that really it wasn’t possible in that instance.
A first half finishing 4-2 is an extremely rare occurrence though so we shouldn’t get too hung up about that one game.
The other issue with the recovery though is that often you require high multiples of your stake to make it work, especially when there are two or more goals against you. So if for example you started off with total stakes of £100, the recovery might need up to £1,000 to make it work.
That is fine if it does work, but obviously does limit the kind of staking you can do somewhat.
The issue of the recoveries was tackled with the introduction of the stop loss, which is dealt with below.
Tony’s Trades
Having said all this about the recovery process however, it is worth noting that even if you had not used the recovery process but just traded out if things had gone against you and taken a 50% loss of the stake, here are the results from Tony’s trades since he started:
Total Trades 314
Total Recoveries 32
Total Successful Trades 282
Strike Rate 89.8%
Using just a £300 bank delivered a net profit return of £938.93 which is a 308.6% bank growth without compounding.
So even without the recovery, just by following Tony’s trades you would have done very well. This shows just how good Tony is at selecting matches with the criteria for his systems.
The Stop Loss
Perhaps in response to concerns over the problems with the recovery process, Tony recently added some new methods that involve placing “stop losses” so that even if things go against you, you have trades placed that insure you against losing too much.
These are certainly a welcome addition and do add some considerable protection. However, these still need you to trade quickly when things happen in a game, so there is the same risk of lots of goals affecting you. But the amount at risk is less which is good.
The Price
The price for the Football Hedging System is exceptionally high compared to the vast majority of tipsters and betting systems we have reviewed on here, at £1297 for the cheapest package, plus £201 per month for Tony’s advice and e-mails.
So the question is, is that cost justified?
Well, it will depend on a certain extent on how large your staking is as that will define how long it takes to win back the cost of the subscription.
Over the long term you should make it back even with relatively modest staking, but it could take up to a year or longer.
In our view, the cost of the system is too high relative to everything else on the market and should be lower.
However, the cost hasn’t stopped large numbers of people signing up, so clearly people are prepared to pay the substantial fees for access to the system.
And of course there is always the option of a refund, as long as you follow the rules set out regarding refunds in their terms and conditions.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
The Football Hedging System is a suite of systems for trading the football markets on Betfair.
During our trial, we made 387 points profit from following the trades and nearly trebled our bank, with nearly 90% of the trades being successful. These are excellent results by anyone’s standards.
It has been claimed that using the systems means you “can’t lose” because they include a recovery process that allows you to supposedly at least break even from a trade, even if it goes against you.
We don’t think this is quite true, because if there are goals scored before you can execute all aspects of the trade, then you will lose money.
Plus there was a match during the trial where the recovery process didn’t work.
So the process isn’t completely foolproof in our view – you can still lose with it.
However, even without the recovery process, just by following Tony’s trades and accepting 50% loss of the stake when a trade goes against you, would still have made you over 300% bank growth, so there is clearly great value in the systems and Tony has great skill at picking the matches.
Ultimately there are a number of approaches to win football bets, and the Football Hedging System has identified a few unique ones.
Overall then in our view, it is a question of whether you can stomach the high joining costs and be prepared to wait potentially up to a year to make those costs back, as well as putting in a great deal of work in learning the systems.
If you are prepared to do these things, then the Football Hedging System is highly recommended.
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Football Hedging System – Closing Down
6th September 2016
Just a quick note to say that the Football Hedging System is closing its doors – apparently for good – on Sunday 11th September.
So if you are interested, now is the time to sign up.
We have been paper trading the new stop loss methods over most of July and August and will revert with our final review and comments shortly.
But in the meantime, you can see below that results have been pretty decent over the course of the trial and if you are serious about your trading and can devote the time to making it work, then the Football Hedging System is a strong package of trading methods.
Get on board now if you don’t want to miss out.
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Football Hedging System – Results Update
1st July 2016
More positive progress for Football Hedging System since our last update.
We have added a further 123 points of profit in the last month to stand at 387 points in profit for the trial as a whole.
You can view full results here.
I mentioned previously that I was looking for a bot to trade the systems automatically. Whilst I haven’t quite managed that, I have started using Bet Angel to hedge the correct scores all at once, we saves a lot of time and messing around with a calculator.
Interestingly, Tony has responded to one of the criticisms of the system – that if things keep going against you in a match you need to keep adding massive amounts of bets to operate the recovery – by introducing a new “stop loss” method.
This basically sets things up so there isn’t a need to do this and makes the potential bank needed for a trade much more manageable.
I am still getting used to this new stop loss system but if it works as well as Tony suggests then it would be a good improvement and would really take the Football Hedging System towards a top rating from us.
One other thing to mention – whilst the system is now closed to new members, we understand that Tony is considering allowing in a small number of new members at the start of the next football season – so watch this space as it were…
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Football Hedging System – Results Update
29th May 2016
Things have continued to progress well for the Football Hedging System, with a further 63 points of profit added since our last update.
That means for the trial so far, we are 264 points in profit and moving along very nicely.
You can view full results here.
What is interesting is that Tony sent round an e-mail a few days ago showing the results since the service started, if you had not even used the recovery process but just traded out if things had gone against you and taken a 50% loss of the stake.
The results were as follows:
Total Trades 314
Total Recoveries 32
Total Successful Trades 282
Strike Rate 89.8%
Using just a £300 bank delivered a net profit return of £938.93 which is a 308.6% bank growth without compounding.
So mighty impressive stuff, showing that even if you didn’t manage to quite master the recovery process, you could still do very well from the Football Hedging System.
However, of course you should try and master the process as that will increase the profits and mean you break even on the trades that go wrong rather than lose.
We will be back soon with more updates.
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