The question of how to win football bets is not an easy one to answer.
Whilst over $500 billion is bet annually on football around the world, very few punters actually make money from betting on the game.
We have spent countless hours here at Honest Betting Reviews scouring the internet in an attempt to find methods of making money from betting on football.
The vast majority of these, if we are being frank about it, fail.
There are literally hundreds of betting systems and tipsters out there, many of them claiming to make you untold riches if you just follow their “foolproof” systems.
But sadly most of these are bunk and will only leave out of pocket, not just in the bets you make but for what you have forked out to pay for the system.
In amongst all this rubbish though, there are a few potential ways to make some profit from betting on football.
Below we will have a look at the top six ways to win your football bets, but firstly it is important to approach your football betting with the right mindset.
Make Sure You Don’t Lose it All! Follow These Ground Rules First
Before we get started on how to win football bets, it is vital to ensure you have the right mindset when you are betting.
If you go into things without a clear plan and the right approach to money management, you are almost guaranteed to fail, regardless of how good the system you are following is.
Here we look at some key points to bear in mind when betting on football.
These are “ground rules” to govern your betting and should stand you in good stead to never go bust or lose control of your betting.
1. Make sure you have a sufficient bank to start with. This means making sure you have enough money to withstand losing runs and drawdowns. For example if you have £1,000 to bet with, it might be advisable to break this down into units and only bet a small amount of that each time, rather than risking say £100 or £200 on a single bet.
2. Work out a clear staking plan and stick to it. So if you have decided to bet 2% of your bank on each bet for example, don’t suddenly start betting 5% or 10% just because you “feel” like a certain team is going to win today. Stick to your plan.
3. Record all your bets. This is something very few people do, yet it is a crucial part of becoming a successful gambler. Keep a record of all your bets in a spreadsheet, win or lose. This will help you not only track how you are doing overall, but will allow you to see patterns and which kinds of bets are winning and losing, so you can improve your gambling in the long term.
4. Don’t go chasing losses. This is a mistake just about all gamblers make at one time or another and it can be fatal. A professional would never go chasing losses. If you lose, learn to accept it and move on – there will be plenty more opportunities.
5. Only bet what you can afford to lose. This is the most fundamental rule in betting but is often forgotten. If you can afford to lose what you are risking, you will be a lot less stressed about it and more likely to stay focused and disciplined than if you are playing with money you can’t afford.
OK, so now we have some ground rules laid down, let’s move on to looking at the strategies and systems for winning football bets!
How to Win Football Bets – Top Six Ways Revealed
Now we will take a look at the top six strategies you can adopt to start winning at your football betting. These are based on the extensive trials we have conducted on hundreds of tipsters and systems here at Honest Betting Reviews.
We hope you find these useful, but if you have any other ideas for winning football bets, please let us know in the comments below!
1. Back the Draw
The best football betting strategy we have come across is a system for betting on the draw called JK Diego’s Draw Betting System.
Backing the draw is one of the most underrated ways of betting on football. Most people like to bet on one team or the other to win a game, but few actually like the idea of cheering on a game to finish level.
That means there is often value to be found in backing the draw, particularly in leagues where draws are common and on teams who have a propensity for drawing a lot of games. One guy who has spent eight years studying draws and has really cracked the code of how to profit from them is Mr JK Diego, who is quickly establishing a reputation as something of a gambling legend.
He bets on draws in leagues all over the world and made an amazing $100,000 from backing the draw last year.
Even those of his members who started betting with just $20 per match and used his staking system have been making over $2,000 per month consistently.
Every month last year was profitable and this year has progressed in a similar fashion, as you can see from our live trial. Even just to level staking the bets have made over 350 points profit, which is quite a staggering achievement in football betting and far better than any football betting system we have seen in over 15 years of searching and testing soccer strategies.
What is even crazier though is that you could actually beat the official results by trading out of matches at 85 mins if the game is drawing, thus removing the chance of a late goal ruining your bet.
Membership of JK Diego’s service doesn’t come cheap however, but that is understandable as he wants to protect prices for his elite group of followers – and to be fair given the profits achieved so far the subscription costs would have been covered many times over.
2. Try a Top Tipster
The second best way of tackling the question of how to win football bets is to try a top tipster. Again, whilst there are hundreds of football tipsters around, only a few will actually make you money.
We have tried many ourselves and the best ones we have uncovered so far are as follows:-
As the same suggests, this football tipster specialises in betting on “bankers” – those odds-on shots that look to be certainties. However, whilst most people who bet on bankers lose money, this service has found a consistent and powerful edge over the market in these types of matches. This has been demonstrated over a period of more than two years during which we have followed the selections and over 240% profit has been generated. With an astonishing strike rate of over 80%, that means the vast majority of bets are winners and the losing streaks are minimal. Superb stuff.
Having a clear strategy – or “formula” – is absolutely essential if you want to profit from betting. Chloe has clearly got that, having built up a strong record of profits based around betting on a range of different markets. Her results have been very consistent, with around £400 profit made per month to just £10 stakes. The strike rate is good at over 25% and the return on investment is excellent at over 40%. Another footy betting specialist to get stuck in to.
The Football Advisor is one of the most respected names in soccer betting with over 4 years of tipping success behind them. With profits of over 500 units profit made across their backing and laying tips, this is an impressive betting service. Bets come primarily in the main European leagues, with bets from other leagues included and an excellent record on the big tournaments, including over 70 points profit at the 2014 World Cup.
A team of professional gamblers, Betting Bias have built a huge following and have a well-deserved reputation. With over 1300 points profit amassed in five years of tipping, they have averaged a return on investment of over 20%. Whilst they tip in a range of sports, their football tips are among their strongest and are well worth following. They are particularly strong in ante-post bets, having landed a coup or two over the years. And all the tips are FREE!
Following a tipster can be a good idea for a number of reasons.
To study form and statistics, watch matches and get up to date on team news can take many hours of hard work. If you are working full time or have a busy schedule, finding the time to do this can be difficult.
So to have a tipster who can do this work for you and find value selections can save a great deal of time. They can do the hard work so you don’t have to.
A good tipster can make you quite a lot of money as well. Chloe’s Football Focus has made over £1,000 profit for her members which is impressive stuff. Banker Bets nearly doubled the bank over the course of a three month trial here at Honest Betting Reviews. So if you are looking for the answer of how to win football bets, there are some great tipsters out there to help you, plus a good number who provide free football tips.
3. Develop a niche
If you do decide to go it alone rather than use a tipster or a system like Accumulator Generator, then your best chance is to focus on a specialist niche.
One such example of this came from a friend of ours who developed a specialist niche system based on corners betting.
This guy developed a very clever system, realising that the spread firms were pricing up their corner supremacy markets based on the relative strength of the two teams rather than how each team played and their propensity to have corners awarded to or against them.
Using this edge, he took very substantial amounts of money off the spread betting companies, before they closed his accounts.
If you are going to try to find winning football bets for yourself, you would be well advised to specialise on a particular niche such as over/under bets, corner markets, correct score markets or any other potential you can identify.
Study the statistics, look at the odds and see if you can identify any anomalies not obvious to the general betting public and you may well be on to the way to winning your football bets on a consistent basis.
4. Follow Low-Scoring Specialist Teams
One of the things that is amazing in football is how some teams make an art form of winning games 1-0 and 2-0. In the old days it was Arsenal under George Graham, who built his team around a rock-solid back four and then tried to win games on the break with players like Ian Wright or Alan “Smudger” Smith nicking a goal.
The great thing about teams like this is that they consistently hit the same scorelines. However, the correct score markets are primarily priced according to the supremacy of teams rather than on the way that they play. Yes, there may be an allowance may if the teams are low scoring, for the 0-0 odds to be lower for example, but you can still get great odds on the 1-0 and 2-0 scorelines.
A case in point is Athletico Madrid. At the time of writing, an amazing 13 of their 28 games this season have finished either 1-0 or 2-0 to them. That is nearly 50% – and is if you take out games against Barcelona which are probably exceptional and unlikely to finish 1-0 or 2-0.
So the true odds of these scorelines should be around even money and yet you can get 5/1 and upwards for them quite often.
There are a few of these teams around – the Greek, Portugese, Spanish and French leagues are the best places to look around for these specialist low scoring teams.
5. Trade the Football Markets
An alternative approach to profit on football is to trade the markets rather than place outright bets. This can have the advantage of you not needing to know who will win a game or what the score will be etc, but rather you can just profit from the movement in odds.
There is huge amounts of liquidity in the Betfair football markets in major leagues such as the Premiership, Serie A, La Liga and other top European leagues as well as the Champions League. This is good news for trading because it means you can move in and out of trades with ease and with securing very good value.
Mastering the Betfair markets is another thing altogether however and is not easy. Thankfully there is some help at hand. An award-winning trading package called Goal Profits provides 16 separate trading strategies in a range of football markets, as well as a stats database, training videos, e-mail support and a forum to assist their many members with their trading journey.
Additionally there is Assured Soccer Profits, a system specifically for the correct score markets that similarly provides users with training videos, a PDF guide, ongoing support and a community of members.
Of course, you may wish to develop your own trading strategies and we have a few ideas of our own in our Both Teams to Score Strategy and Over 2.5 Goals Strategy, which we hope offers a starting point for you.
6. Lay the Draw
One of the most popular football trading systems on the internet is the lay the draw system. We have explained in detail how we think it should be traded here, so you can have a look at that if it interests you.
Basically we think the best way to trade it is to focus on teams that score lots of goals and tend to win games by scorelines such as 4-1, 4-2 and 3-1.
This gives you the opportunity to not necessarily just trade out when there has been a goal but to stay in for a while to see if it goes 2-0. These are the games that can really make you some good profits.
But you don’t want to stay in too long into the match as the 1-1 will really sting you. Best to get out before the 60-minute mark, whatever happens.
Or if you have a lower aversion to risk then you can just trade out after the first goal.
With the right match selection and some discipline, you can certainly build a bank gradually and steadily by using the lay the draw strategy.
So there you have it, the top 6 ways to win football bets. It is not easy to answer the question of how to win football bets, but follow this advice and you will hopefully start developing a better return on your soccer wagers.
If you have any of your own ideas you have found to work well when betting on football, we would be happy to hear from you and discuss them further.