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JB Racing Tips

Three Races To Look Forward To For The Rest Of 2021

The 2021 flat racing season is almost at an end, and we have witnessed truly outstanding performances over the course of the campaign.

Snowfall delivered one of the great performances at The Oaks to win the crown by a record-breaking margin. Poetic Flare was exceptional at the 2,000 Guineas to win the first British Classic of the term before being beaten at The Derby by a fine run from Adayar.

Fortunately for racing enthusiasts across the United Kingdom, Ireland, and beyond, there are top contests still on the docket for the flat season. We’ll now look at the best ones and give our tips for which horses could emerge on top.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes

This promises to be a duel between two brilliant competitors in the form of Palace Pier and Baaeed. Hopefully, both John & Thady Gosden and William Haggas put their respective charges into the race. Palace Pier is the leading contender in the horse racing betting odds for the meet in October at Ascot given his flawless record in the 2021 season.

 

However, you should be checking the horse racing predictions for the form of Baaeed for the race as he has been just as good over the course of the term. Palace Pier might have the slide edge after recording a victory at Ascot in the Queen Anne Stakes along with triumphs in the Lockinge Stakes and the Prix Jacques Le Marois. Baaeed will be a tough opponent, so we should be in for a cracker, but our money is on Palace Pier.

Champion Stakes

St Mark’s Basilica is the presumptive favourite for the contest, although he does have an injury scare after being withdrawn from the International Stakes at the Ebor Festival. Aiden O’Brien’s charge has been sensational this term in all three of his contests, including the Coral-Eclipse at Sandown Park. He has the pedigree to storm to success, but his fitness could place those hopes in jeopardy.

Mishriff was the horse to capitalise on his absence at York as he claimed the victory in the International Stakes, beating out Alenquer by six lengths. Mishriff is a talented horse, but not quite of the calibre of St Mark’s Basilica at the peak of his powers. The interesting pick could be Adayar, who won The Derby, the King George VI, and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. He has a good price in the ante-post, and might be worth a shout to end his season for Charlie Appleby on a high note.

Long Distance Cup

Stradivarius etched his place in history by winning the Lonsdale Cup for the third time. The great horse just had enough to beat out Spanish Mission on the line by a head. The question for John & Thady Gosden is whether Stradivarius has enough left in the tank for another run at glory in the Long Distance Cup. He won the event in 2018, but lost out by a nose in 2018 and was well off the pace last season, finishing in 12th out of 13 competitors.

 

The defending champion Trueshan was unavailable for the Lonsdale Cup, but he should be fit enough to return at Ascot. He was outstanding in the Goodwood Cup Stakes, and should be on form again in the Long Distance Cup. Princess Zoe and Search For A Song are alternative options. However, the battle will be between Trueshan and Stradivarius, which the former might just edge.

These three races will capture the attention more than most towards the end of the campaign. We should be treated to three special contests between the elite of the flat discipline.

 

 

 

casino roulette wheel

How Does Finland Contribute So Much to the Global Casino Market?

Source: Pixabay

As the global casino market grows, so does the number of players. With a projected value of £120 billion by 2027, it’s tempting to assume that the likes of the UK, US, and China will play the most significant roles. While these nations are integral to the wealth of the sector, you shouldn’t ignore the impact of Finland.  

Over the years, Finland has transformed into a country that loves to gamble. For instance, it ranks fourth in the list of nations that bet the most. Therefore, its importance within the industry can’t be denied. What most people don’t understand is how it has gone from the bottom rung of the ladder to the top of the tree while flying under the radar.  

Public Entertainment  

You can argue that gambling is public entertainment. After all, online casinos are available via the internet in places like the UK and Australia, where consumption rates are high. The latter, for example, beats Finland in regards to the amount spent annually per person (£510 versus £290).  

However, travelling around Finland and checking out the infrastructure will show you why perceptions of the hobby are liberal. This is best seen in petrol stations and shops around the country where betting games are accessible.

In Britain, you can only find versions of the lottery and need to go to a specialist provider to place a wager. When the many online establishments are thrown into the mix, it’s clear that gambling isn’t looked down upon by Finns because the likes of live casino offerings and table games are popular at a Finnish casino not just because they are widely available, but because they are enjoyed among the population. Even countries regarded as liberal don’t have the same infrastructure, which means gambling isn’t as powerful a form of public entertainment as it is in Finland. 

To put this into perspective, the share of revenues within the Finnish betting industry is split across the board since 66% of the money is spent on everything from slot machines to sportsbooks and lotteries.  

Alternative Transactions Breaking the Mould

Source: Pixabay

Again, alternate payment methods aren’t revolutionary. They’ve been around for a while, ever since e-wallets like PayPal added another dimension to the safety protocol for customers and operators. Yet, Finland isn’t a country that takes the types of available formats lightly. Indeed, they are essential to the success of the industry.  

Have you ever heard of Trustly or Verkkopanki? You may not have, but Finnish people have because they are forms of bank transfers that let customers place money in their accounts. Considering that online banking makes up 63% of the Finnish sector, it’s imperative for users to access suitable platforms, something the market allows them to do. On top of this, lesser-known e-wallets such as Zimpler are common in Finland, too, since they account for 6% of transactions.  

Therefore, Finnish society not only has a different view on the pastime, unlike other European nations, but the payment options are varied enough to cater to most people’s needs. It’s this combination that allows Finland to contribute billions to the global online casino market. 

 

 

 

Football Acca Tipster

Tipster of the Month – July

This year we are running a new feature here at Honest Betting Reviews – our “Tipster of the Month” award.

This is where we look at the top tipsters – both those we have reviewed in the past and those we are currently reviewing – to see who has performed most strongly over the last month.

It’s a chance to find out who is in form and has been giving the bookies a good hiding over the last month and to note any stand-out performances.

Now it’s time to look at the top tipsters for July.

 

Tipster of the Month – July 2021

July was a big month for sport, with the Euros coming to an end – although sadly not in the fashion England fans hoped for. 

In tennis Novak Djokovic captured his sixth Wimbledon title, taking him level with Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal on 20 grand slams and keeping him on course for the calendar grand slam in 2021. 

American Collin Morikawa captured golf’s Open Championship on his debut in the event, just as he had done at the USPGA last year, becoming the first male golfer ever to win two majors on debut.

Glorious Goodwood was the highlight of July’s horse racing calendar, with Wonderful Tonight proving one of the stars of the show winning the Lillie Langtry Stakes.

It was also a strong month for certain horse racing tipsters as we will see below.

 

3. Hidden Winners

In third spot in our Tipster of the Month awards for July was horse racing service Hidden Winners, which recently completed a successful trial here at Honest Betting Reviews, notching a profit of 61 points.

Well they had an excellent July as well, banking an impressive 52 points profit in total.

Winners over the month included Goodwood successes Imperial Fighter at 9/1, Suesa at 10/1 and Armour at 7/1 as well as other triumphs such as Bangkok at 20/1 at York and Maglev at 13/2 at Yarmouth.

Those helped take the total profit for the service since it started in 2019 to over 560 points.

Excellent stuff from the Hidden Winners service and well done on securing third spot in our tipster of the month awards.

 

2. Loves Racing

It was an incredibly close race for top spot in our awards this month and just missing out by less than one point was the formidable Loves Racing.

This is one of our highest rated horse racing services having passed a review with flying colours in 2019 and they have continued to churn out the profits since then, with another 61 points made across their main tips and festival selections in July.

They had an exceptionally strong Goodwood, with winners at 20/1, 11/4, 9/1, 12/1, 7/2 and 13/2, meaning they made just shy of 50 points profit on the week.

Add in an excellent 20/1 winner (went off at 40/1) in the shape of Stonific at Market Rasen and you have a pretty fantastic month.

Congrats to Loves Racing on a great effort in July and hard luck on just missing out on top spot for the month.

 

1. Premier Greyhound Tips

Just nudging out Loves Racing and grabbing the spoils this month was Premier Greyhound Tips.

This is a service we originally reviewed way back in 2016 and we have continued tracking their progress since then. In total they have now made over £20,000 profit at £25/point stakes at a return on investment of over 11%.

In July they had one of their best months ever, notching up a superb 62 points profit at a phenomenal ROI of 94%.

Winners came pouring in throughout the month at prices of up to 10/1 which secured monster returns for members.

Congratulations then to Premier Greyhound Tips for winning our Tipster of the Month award for July.

 

 

 

Royal St George's Golf Club

Get Your Free Open Betting Guide Here!

It’s the 149th Open Championship this week from Royal St George’s Golf Club in Sandwich, Kent.

The tournament has been delayed by a year due to coronavirus and Shane Lowry defends his title from 2019 at Royal Portrush. 

Once again for a major championship the bookies are offering punters an excellent deal this week with top 9, top 10 – even top 12 for each-way bets, so it’s a great event to get stuck into from a betting point of view.

U.S. Open champion John Rahm heads into the championship as favourite at 8/1, with Americans Brooks Koepka and Jordan Spieth next in the betting at 18/1 and 20/1 respectively.

Martin Cowell over at GolfBetsGold (a service we are currently reviewing and that has been doing well) has put together a FREE GUIDE all about the Open Championship.

Those of you who read his guide for the USPGA recently will know exactly what to expect from this new guide…expert analysis that will help you decide where to put your money!

  • The bookies have got all the usual suspects at the front of the market…but which players offer real value?
  • Who will thrive and who will struggle on this testing course?
  • How do you analyse the market to pinpoint where the real value is?

Click here to download your free guide and discover the answer to these questions…and much more to boot!

PLUS…as a special bonus…you will also be sent two extra guides:

  1. How to win money betting on golf; and 
  2. Five Golfers To Watch Out For In 2021

Once you’ve read these guides you’ll immediately understand the opportunities and advantages that exist within golf betting…and how savvy golf punters are finding an edge that simply doesn’t exist in any other kind of sports betting!

READ MORE AND DOWNLOAD YOUR FREE BETTING GUIDES HERE

 

 

 

 

golfer swinging club

Golf Tipster Lands 125/1 & 100/1 Winners!

Members of a golf service we are currently reviewing called the Bookie Insiders Golf Tips were popping the champagne corks last night as they landed a host of stunning winners, including:

  • Cam Davis @ 125/1 – Rocket Mortgage Classic
  • SH Kim @ 100/1 – Japan PGA Championship
  • Lucas Herbert @ 50/1 – Irish Open
  • Jin Young Ko @ 7/1 – Volunteers of America Championship

What a weekend that was for members! Those who stayed up late to watch the end of the Rocket Mortgage Classic were treated to an exciting finish as Cam Davis went eagle-birdie on the last two holes then won a five-hole playoff to clinch the title. 

That rounded off an incredible day after Lucas Herbert had earlier triumphed in Ireland at 50/1 and SH Kim won the Japanese PGA Championship at a massive 100/1. And it was all rounded off by Jin Young Ko winning on the Ladies tour at 7/1! 

That continues a quite ridiculously good run for Bookie Insiders Golf Tips, after they went and landed a string of winners just last weekend including:-

  • – Harris English – WON at 40/1
  • – Ryosuke Kinoshita – WON at 25/1
  • – Chad Ramey –  WON at 30/1
  • – Viktor Hovland – WON at 13/2 
  • – Steve Stricker – WON at 5/1
That means for our trial they are now a whopping 500 points up – that’s £12,500 profit to advised stakes. 
That’s one of the highest points total ever recorded by a tipster in one of our trials.
And to top it all off they just won our Tipster of the Month award! 

So all in all it’s been a pretty good time for them to say the least…

Don’t miss out on any more of these winners – check out the Golf Insider for yourself here.

 

 

 

euro 2020

Get Your Euro 2020 Betting & Trading Guide Here!

After a 12 month delay, the start of Euro 2020 is just two days away!

We have 51 matches to look forward to over the next month as the top European nations battle it out.

Whether you prefer ante-post betting or in-play trading, the Goal Profits team have you covered.

Click here to get £20 off Goal Profits membership

Last week, Kevin Laverick published his “Euro 2020 Betting & Trading Guide”.

It includes his best bets for:

• Group A straight/dual forecast
• Group B straight/dual forecast
• Group C straight/dual forecast
• Group D straight/dual forecast
• Group E straight/dual forecast
• Group F straight/dual forecast
• Highest Scoring Group
• Lowest Scoring Group
• Euro 2020 Semi Finalists
• Euro 2020 Finalists
• Euro 2020 Winner
• Player of the Tournament
• Young Player of the Tournament
• Euro 2020 Winner/Golden Boot double

Kevin is aiming to trade many of these once they get into profitable positions.

In addition, he will be trading most of the 51 Euro 2020 games live in the Goal Profits chat room.

If you have ever wanted to learn from a professional trader, this is a fantastic opportunity!

Kevin will be posting when he enters and exits trades so that you can copy his exact moves.

He’ll also be happy to answer any trading questions you have such as, “Kevin, why did you just back that?!”

Join Goal Profits today and access all of Kevin’s Euro 2020 bets and trades.

Click here to get £20 off Goal Profits membership

You’re also going to get 3 months access to all of this:

• Comprehensive Launchpad football trading course
• Team Stats which covers 26 summer leagues (80 total)
• Live Stats Module (including email/Telegram alerts)
• Custom Shortlist Pro and Team Stats Database
• A portfolio of successful football trading strategies
• Live chat room sessions with professional traders
• All the help and support you need to find success

It works out to cost around 87p per day.

That’s a no-brainer, isn’t it? A very cheap way to get trading this summer.

Click here to get £20 off Goal Profits membership

Good luck with your Euro 2020 bets and trades.

May the best team win!

 

 

 

football players celebrating

Who is the Best Football Tipster?

One of the questions we are asked most often here at Honest Betting Reviews is “Who is the best football tipster?”

We have searched the internet far and wide and tested out hundreds of footy tipsters under live trial conditions here on the site to try and find profitable services to follow. And we continue to review new tipsters in our quest to find the best.

In giving you our verdict on who we think is the best football tipster, we firstly reveal who we think are the top six football tipsters we have reviewed here on the site.

Then we take a look at the credentials of some of the biggest names in football tipping and analyse their claim to the crown of “best football tipster.”

 

Our Top 6 Football Tipsters

Without further ado, here is the list of our top six football tipsters based on our extensive trials conducted to date. This list is in descending order from six to one, with the best saved for last.

Here are our top 6 footy tipsters:

 

6. Banker Bets

As the name suggests, Banker Bets is a service that focuses on low-odds selections – or so called “bankers” – in a variety of world leagues. 

Although betting at odds-on is often seen as the fastest way to the poor house, they have proved the opposite since they started tipping in late 2014. During our trial they managed 95% bank growth with an outstanding 84% strike rate and have continued to perform strongly since our trial finished. 

As they point out themselves, there is just as much chance of there being value on a short price as on a long odds selection. Their results would certainly seem to bear this sentiment out.

Of the football tipsters we have reviewed so far, they have been one of the most reliable and profitable. The very high strike also allows larger staking and offers the potential to build a bank quickly.

Rating: 3.5/5 

You can check out Banker Bets here.

 

 

5. Football Advisor Lays

Next on our list is Football Advisor Lays and this is a strategy that lays teams to lose on major football leagues around the world and has been very successful. 

We have reviewed this service extensively and it performed admirably in a seven-month trial, making 37 points profit on the win lay bets.

It has achieved a long-term strike of over 80% which is very impressive and means the large majority of bets so far have been winners. 

It is notoriously difficult to make money from laying so it is good to find a service that has managed it and done so over a long period of time. 

All bets can be placed on Betfair so you don’t need bookies accounts which is a bonus. 

All in all then this is a service well worth checking out. 

Rating: 4/5 

You can check out Football Advisor Lays here. 

 

4. Winning Footy Tips

Winning Footy Tips is a long-running service that has been going since 2012. It is based at the Bets for Today tipster platform and is one of their leading services.

One aspect we really like about this tipster is their simplicity. All bets are one-point level stakes and they tend to be in the big leagues and competitions like the Premier League, Championship, Serie A, Bundesliga and La Liga.

Most of the tips are in the match odds market, but there are also some Draw No Bet, HT/FT and other markets used. So it’s really simple to follow.

The results are also excellent, with a profit of £9775 made at £50/point since 2012. That equates to just under 200 points profit at one-point level stakes, which is very good tipping.

The return investment has also been more than respectable at 12.9% which is pretty good in football terms. And the long-term strike rate is good too at 51%, which means over half the bets have been winners so far.

For a simple, no-nonsense service with excellent long-term results there aren’t many better tipsters out there than Winning Footy Tips.

Rating: 4/5 

You can check out Winning Footy Tips here. 

 

 

3. Bookie Insiders Football

Imagine if you could beat the bookies by betting on big football matches, year after year.

Well one tipster who has done exactly that is Neil Macdonald of Bookie Insiders Football. Tipping on the main European leagues such as Serie A, the Bundesliga, Premier League and La Liga as well as the Champions League and Europa League, Neil has consistently found value betting opportunities for over eight years now.

In total he has made over 400 points profit since 2013, which would be over £20,000 profit to £50/point stakes.

That has been made with an ROI of 6.8% which is very good over such a long period of time and when you consider the strike rate has been 51% it is even more impressive.

The majority of the bets are in the team goals, over/under, match odds, Asian handicap and BTTS markets and there is generally good liquidity on those markets.

It is notoriously difficult to make a profit on the top European leagues so the fact that Bookie Insiders have done it so consistently and over such a long period is highly impressive. A service well worth adding to your portfolio.

Rating: 4.5/5 

You can check out Bookie Insiders Football here.

 

 

2. Predictology

Predictology is a football betting strategy builder that utilises a vast database of over 300,000 matches and an AI prediction engine to find value football bets. 

You can use it to either build your own betting strategies or just follow the ready-made tips they churn out each day, which are delivered straight to your inbox if you’re a member. 

We did the latter during our own trial of the service and made an excellent 38 points profit with a 52% strike rate. 

Predictology covers 56 of the world’s biggest football leagues across Europe, South America, North America, Africa, Asia and Australia, with selections coming throughout the year, in both Summer and Winter leagues. Bets come in a variety of markets including the match odds, lay the draw, over 2.5 goals and others. 

There are a whole host of systems to choose from, including the “Lay the Draw” system that has made just under 500 points profit at an ROI of 18%, the “Goals, Goals, Goals” system that has made 67 points profit at an ROI of 12.5% and the “Value Home Wins” system that has made 148 points profit at an ROI of 19%. 

With so many resources at your fingertips and such impressive results across a range of strategies, Predictology is a football bettor’s dream and certainly deserves a place high on our list. 

Rating: 4.5/5

You can get a 7 day trial of Predictology for just $1 here.

 

 

1. JK Diego’s Draw Betting System

Betting on draws is one the most underrated forms of football betting and one person who has really cracked the code of how to bet on draws after 8 years of studying them is a guy called JK Diego.

The headline figures are that he made over $100,000 betting on draws last year, which in itself is a phenomenal achievement.

When you analyse the numbers further however you realise just how good his results really are. Those members starting off with just $20 stakes have been making over $2,000 per month following his betting system.

At level stakes JK made over 350 points profit last year, which is quite outstanding. Normally you would say just 20-30 points profit to level stakes is impressive for a football tipster, so these kind of results are quite unheard of. Every month last year was profitable and this year is following the same pattern – as you can see from our live trial here.

And what is even better is that you can actually improve upon the results by trading out at 85 mins in games that are drawing. 

The service doesn’t come cheap however – which is fair enough as JK needs to protect prices for his elite group of followers – so this is is for high-rollers and serious gamblers only. If that is you then quite simply we don’t think you’ll find a better football tipster anywhere.

Rating: 5/5  

You can check out JK Diego’s Draw Betting System here.

 

What to Look for in a Successful Football Tipster – and What to Avoid

When looking at football tipsters for yourself, it is important to focus on some key factors – and to avoid certain things that would be red flags:-

  • Established track-record: it is vital that a tipster has a track-record that is independently verified by a site like ours. Many tipsters fabricate or inflate their results and some are outright scams. Focus only on those with a verified track record and ignore any without.
  • Longevity – any tipster can have a lucky run for a few weeks or a few months. Only the really good tipsters can consistently beat the bookies over the course of many years however.
  • Return on investment – a key factor in any tipster’s results is the return on investment (ROI) they achieve in the long run. In other words, for every £100 they bet, how much profit do they make? Is it £10, £20, or more?
  • Strike rate – how many of a tipster’s bets win? Also known as the “win rate,” this is an important metric as it gives you an idea of how long your losing streaks are likely to be and how often you might expect to take cash off the bookies.
  • Overall profit/loss – last but certainly not least, how much profit has a tipster made overall? This is perhaps best understood not just in how points (or units) they’ve made, but by how much your starting bank would have grown by following the tipster.

So these are some of the key things to look for when assessing a tipster and play a big part in how we rate the tipsters we review here on the site.  

 

Best Football Tipster – The Contenders

Now we assess the credentials of some of the more famous figures in football tipping and evaluate whether they have a claim to sit on the Iron Throne of football betting as tipster-in-chief.

 

Kevin Pullein – Racing Post

Kevin Pullein

Perhaps one of the most famous football tipsters around is Kevin Pullein from the Racing Post. According to his employers, he is “quite simply the best football analyst and forecaster ever to have appeared in print in the UK.”

Now perhaps they are biased, we couldn’t really say. But Kevin has established a formidable reputation as a predictor of all things football-related and used to have a regular column on the Guardian where he published some fascinating articles on general trends in football betting.

These articles were based on extensive research and years worth of statistics and often revealed that long-held beliefs about “universal truths” in football betting are, in fact, bunkum.

Some of our personal favourites were his article showing that it is not always a goal-fest when top teams play those lower down their division, analysis about the significance of playing at home (it’s actually more of a factor in South America than Europe) and stats showing you shouldn’t always to expect lots of cards in derby matches.

Some of these ideas were expanded on in his 2009 book “The Definitive Guide to Betting on Football,” which we thoroughly recommend as an insightful guide to developing winning football betting strategies.

Now frustratingly the Racing Post don’t publish full results of their tipsters so we can’t really say how good Mr Pullein’s tips are (cue a trial perhaps?). But given his long-standing reputation and contribution to exploding some of the myths around football betting, we think Kevin is certainly worthy of consideration for the accolade of “Best football tipster.”

 

Angus Loughran – aka “Statto”

Angus Loughran

Another famous tipster and professional gambler familiar to many is Angus Loughran.

Loughran rose to prominence on 1990s television show Fantasy Football League alongside Frank Skinner and David Baddiel. Clad in pyjamas and a dressing gown, Loughran was nicknamed “Statto” on the show and provided stats on the guests’ fantasy football teams.

Loughran built up quite a reputation for himself, appearing on the BBC’s horse racing coverage, writing a betting column for the Daily Telegraph and commentating on football for Eurosport and ESPN.

He was famed for his almost encyclopedic knowledge of football, reportedly watching hundreds of football matches per year (before the days of Sky and BT Sports when that sort of thing became normal) and there were even whispers that Loughran was making hundreds of thousands per year betting on football.

Sadly his carefully cultivated image appeared to have come crashing down in 2008 when he was declared bankrupt, reportedly for owing debts to spread betting firm Sporting Index.

Events surrounding the bankruptcy were shrouded in mystery however, with reports suggesting the debt amounted to little more than £5,000 and that Loughran had done promotional work for Sporting Index and had not expected the firm to press ahead with the bankruptcy proceedings.

In the event the bankrupty was annulled in April 2008 via a voluntary agreement. Whatever the exact circumstances surrounding the bankruptcy, the incident did little for the pundit’s reputation as one of the country’s most foremost professional gamblers.

Perhaps Angus had the last laugh though, as he was reported to be one of the main investors in stats firm Opta, which was sold for £47m in 2013.

He currently provide tips on the easyodds website, although these are on horse racing rather than football.

It is difficult to give a firm verdict on Loughran’s abilities as a football tipster – or even as a gambler. For reputation alone though he must be considered as one of the most famous of the modern era.

 

Pete Nordsted – Premier Betting

Pete Nordsted

Pete Nordsted rose to prominence with the publication of his 2009 book “Mastering Betfair” which contained strategies for making money trading on the betting exchanges.

That was quickly followed up in 2010 with “The Essential World Cup Betting Guide”, which received widespread acclaim, as did his Premier Betting Handbooks series. 

Pete now runs two football betting websites, the aptly-named petenordsted.com and also the premierbetting.com website with fellow full-time punter Danny Jacques.

He is a full-time sports trader and football betting expert and spends countless hours analysing football markets looking for value betting opportunities.

Contributing weekly articles at goal.com, Matchbook and Pete Nordsted.com – where you can view his drawmaster tips – Mr Nordsted is very widely respected in the industry and has built up a formidable knowledge of football betting.

With such a broad portfolio and a considerable depth of knowledge, Pete is rightly considered one of the foremost names in football tipping.

 

Ben Linfoot – Sporting Life

Ben Linfoot

Sadly we couldn’t find a photo of Ben – merely a mysterious silhouetted man with binoculars who may or may not be the legendary tipster himself.

What isn’t such a mystery however is the excellent record of Mr Linfoot, who has amassed quite a following at the Sporting Life’s Betting Zone tipping section. 

Ben is probably best known for his Value Bet column, which offers value bets for the top weekend race meetings. However, he has also produced a commendable return on his football bets, including tipping Athletico Madrid for the 2014 Champions League each-way at 40/1 (if you remember they were just a minute away from victory in the final before Sergio Ramos headed an equaliser for Real Madrid). 

Mr Linfoot concentrates mainly on the big leagues and Champions League and opts for the selective approach of a few well-thought out tips rather than tipping large numbers of selections.

With a large following and a profitable record, Bin Linfoot deserves to be recognised as one of the best football tipsters.

 

Matt Love – Football Elite

Football Elite

Matt has run the respected Football Elite website since 2009 and has built up a deserved reputation as one of the top football tipsters around.

His selections are based on evaluations of home and away form and the over-valuation of big name teams when they are out of form. Together with other stats, Matt puts together weekly “recommended bets” that are usually around 5-10 of the top bets from around the top leagues in Europe.

The good thing about betting in the top European leagues is that prices stand up well and there is no rush to get the bets on in the fear that prices will crash. On the contrary, prices often drift out before kick-off with people tending to back the big-name clubs whilst Matt opposes them.

In the past couple of seasons, Matt has also introduced tips for the English leagues below the Premiership and a “vulnerable home favourites” system.

The results speak for themselves, with his recommended bets having amassed 458% bank growth since going live, the football league bets producing 44% profit and his ante-post bets making 73%.

There are few football tipsters out there who can boast such an impressive long-term record, so although he may not be as well known as some of the names above, we believe Mr Love deserves to be considered for the crown of best football tipster.

 

Verdict

Well it seems there is no obvious winner of the title of “best football tipster.” Certainly we have a few contenders, but frustratingly many of the big names don’t actually publish their results, which is both unhelpful and usually a bad sign.

In terms of knowledge and publishing record, Kevin Pullein and Pete Nordsted would appear to have the edge. Perhaps on notoriety and fame, few can top Angus Loughran. On their actual tipping record however, it appears Matt Love has it with his Football Elite tips. We heartily recommend his football tips if you are looking for someone who can find value bets in high liquid markets and produce profit season-in and season-out.

As ever though, we will continue our quest to find the ultimate football tipster and we have a number of trials going on at the moment. Perhaps one will emerge to take the crown once and for all…

 

 

 

man winning bet

Tipster of the Month – May

This year we are running a new feature here at Honest Betting Reviews – our “Tipster of the Month” award.

This is where we look at the top tipsters – both those we have reviewed in the past and those we are currently reviewing – to see who’s performed most strongly over the last month.

It’s a chance to find out who is in form and has been giving the bookies a good hiding over the last month and to note any stand-out performances.

Now it’s time to look at the top tipsters from May.

 

Tipster of the Month – May 2021

May was a month of transition in the sporting world as the football season came to an end in Europe, whilst the flat racing season got underway. 

There was also a feeling of the changing of the guard in some European leagues as Inter Milan finally ended Juventus’ nine year winning streak in Serie A whilst Lille completed a huge upset in winning Ligue 1 ahead of the mighty PSG. In England Manchester City regained their Premier League crown in dominant fashion. 

May was capped off by Chelsea winning the Champions League in a dogged 1-0 defeat of Man City in Porto, whilst Villareal pulled off a shock defeat of Man Utd in the Europa League final after an epic penalty shoot-out. 

In the racing world, the month got off to a flying start with the Guineas meeting at Newmarket, where Poetic Flare won the 2,000 Guineas for Jim Bolger and Mother Earth won the 1000 Guineas for trainer Aidan O’Brien with the evergreen Frankie Dettori on board.

In terms of tipping, May was dominated by horse racing tipsters, a number of whom had a cracking month and put the bookies to the sword. Let’s take a look at the best tipsters for the month of May. 

 

4. Loves Racing

One of our top recommended horse racing services is Loves Racing and after a bit of a mixed year so far they got things back on track with a cracking month in May. 

The main selections brought home a profit of 40 points for the month, with the highlight being an 18/1 winner in the shape of Storting at Thirsk. 

Their festival selections also made a profit of 7 points for the month, with Primo Bacio landing the spoils at York’s Dante Festival at odds of 14/1. Loves Racing’s festival selections have now made 285 points profit in total, in addition to the 378 points profit made from their main selections.

An excellent month then and let’s see if they can build on that as the flat racing season really kicks into gear over the coming months.

 

3. Racing Intelligence

Another tipster who had a tricky start to the year but has now got right back into form is the excellent Racing Intelligence. 

After notching a solid profit in April, they went and smashed in over 50 points profit in May, getting back to the kind of bookie-bashing form we’ve come to expect from them over the past couple of years. 

Highlights for the month included a double success on the 17th at Leicester as Bit Of A Quirke won at 13/2 and Dora Penny triumphed at 14/1. There was a fairly steady stream of returns throughout the month with each-way shots and winners aplenty. 

Great to see Racing Intelligence back to their best and well done on an excellent month’s tipping. 

 

2. Flat Flyers

Taking the number two spot for the month is a service we are currently reviewing, from the Back Lucrative stable of betting services.

With the flat season getting going in earnest it was a perfect time for Flat Flyers to show their mettle and that is exactly what it did in May, racking up a hugely impressive 74 points profit. 

There were some big winners throughout the month, including Broken Spear at Chester at 25/1, Primo Bacio at York at 14/1, We Still Believe at Hamilton at 14/1 and The Organiser at York at 12/1.

We have come to expect high quality from Michael at Back Lucrative and that is exactly what he delivered last month. Congratulations to him and his Flat Flyers service for racking up some very healthy profits in May.

 

1. Hanbury Racing

Our apologies to this service for originally missing them off our list for May, but the number one service for the month was Hanbury Racing

With an excellent 137 points profit at advised prices, it was a great month for them. The real highlight of the month was 100/1 tip Danilo D’Airy at Warwick on the 8th May, which brought home a big portion of the month’s profits. They also had a 33/1 winner with Dawn Sunrise and a 14/1 winner with I Hope Star though so some impressive picks throughout the month.

As noted in our review update however, they actually made a loss at Betfair SP. That was because Danilo D’Airy went off at a BSP of just 12.53, returning under 14 points profit on the bet. So it looks like you really need access to bookie accounts to make the most of this service – or you did during May in any event. 

With such a huge profit made at advised prices though we think Hanbury Racing is worthy of high praise and to pick up the award of Tipster of the Month for May. 

 

 

 

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Sorare home

Sorare’s Fundamental Flaw – An “Unwinnable Game” – and What Needs to Change

UPDATE – please note Sorare have made a concerted effort to address the concerns raised in the article below through the introduction of changes announced in an AMA (Ask Me Anything) on 6th May 2021. 

You can read more about those changes and our thoughts on them here (see 7th May 2021 update). 

In summary we believe the introduction of the Academy League and Progress Bar will go a long way to addressing our concerns regarding fairness, although we think a little more work is needed on the reward structure and entry requirements.

We look forward to seeing the changes in full and to continue working with Sorare on building the best product possible. 

 

 

 

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If you’ve been following our reviews lately you may have noticed we have been getting quite into Sorare, a new global fantasy football game based on digital trading cards. 

If you’re not familiar with what Sorare is, we would recommend reading our guide here. 

As we’ve mentioned in our review updates, we love the concept of Sorare and think it has huge potential. They recently raised $50m in Series A funding and have experienced significant growth in users and revenue this year. 

However, at the same time we believe the platform is fundamentally flawed in its current form. 

In short, this is because the game is becoming increasingly “unwinnable” for new users and those on a small budget. 

We have dealt with this in more detail in our review updates where we summarised the issue as follows:-

“Essentially the gap between the top few percent of users (the “big whales”) and the rest is getting wider and wider each week and it’s becoming almost impossible for a new user to compete with them unless they have a massive – and we mean really massive  – budget.

This is because the top users hold all the best cards and totally dominate the fantasy contests. These top cards now cost thousands of Euros each so are simply not affordable for the vast majority of users. 

This is acting like a vicious cycle, because in winning the fantasy contests the big whales also win the best cards as rewards, only serving to increase their advantage further – and so on. 

One user won £9,500 worth of cards this week for example! 

What this is doing is creating a huge gap between that small percentage of users who were either early adopters or have massive budgets (or both) and everyone else. 

So the rest are essentially left fighting for scraps at the bottom end and have little or no hope of ever catching those at the top – unless something changes.”

We feel this is becoming a huge issue for the platform and we know we are not the only ones who feel this, as some of you have contacted us raising the same concern. 

We wanted to delve into this issue in a little more detail to illustrate by way of example just what is happening at the moment. 

Let’s have a look at the gameweek that just passed, Gameweek #161. 

If we look at the results of Global All-Star Division 4, the biggest division on Sorare in terms of the number of entrants, the top 3 placings were as follows:-

  1. tecomah – joined Dec 2019, owns 178 rare cards and 38 super-rare cards. Current roster value 32 ETH ~ $92,800
  2. EBr777 – joined Sep 2020, owns 124 rare cards and 15 super-rare cards. Current roster value 42 ETH ~ $121,800
  3. timshram – joined Jan 2021, owns 129 rare cards and 12 super-rare cards. Current roster value 26 ETH ~ $75,400*

(*data taken from Soraredata.com)

As you can see, these managers all joined before the boom in prices in February 2021 and all have galleries worth substantial amounts of money. 

In coming in the top three in the Global All-Star Division 4, they won a Star rare card (e.g. Kimmich, Neymar, Lukaku, Courtois), which will substantially increase their chances of performing well in future SO5 contests. They also won 0.5 ETH, 0.3 ETH and 0.2 ETH respectively, which they could use to buy more cards if they wish. 

Now this is not to denigrate any of these managers – fair play to them for joining Sorare at an early stage and for doing well on the platform. 

But it does illustrate the point that it is now increasingly difficult for a new user or manager to compete with the likes of these managers unless they have a huge budget. 

Of course occasionally a new or lower-budget manager will do well in the SO5 contests, for example “Wfootballtips” won the Global All-Star Division 4 in the previous gameweek.

They joined the platform in January 2021 – so still before the February boom – but have a more modest gallery than those above with 38 rare cards and 1 super rare, with a roster value of 2.6 ETH, which is roughly $7,500 at today’s prices.

But going through the results, a win like this is unusual and becomes even more so when you move up into the higher divisions – where the rewards are more substantial with super-rares and unique cards being won as prizes and the chances of winning a card are higher in percentage terms. Familiar names like PawelTrader, Spicer and Zuraw tend to dominate proceedings. The latter for example has won over 500 cards in rewards, worth over 391 ETH, or $1m at today’s prices.

 

What’s the Point?

When you have a look at numbers like these, it can leave users wondering “what’s the point” in trying to compete with these managers and indeed we have felt the same ourselves at times. 

Other fantasy games like FanTeam, which we are reviewing at the moment, give each manager a fixed budget to use each week, meaning everyone starts out on an equal footing and it is down to skill, research, knowledge – and of course a little bit of luck – as to who wins each week. 

This just isn’t the case with Sorare and without significant changes to the structure, it will only get worse. That would leave the vast majority of managers a choice of whether to:

  1. Just grind it out for the ETH threshold each week (or whatever replaces it) – hardly the most enthralling long-term experience and misses out on a massive potential element of the game;
  2. Try and make a profit by trading cards (which is limited at the moment due to a lack of liquidity); or
  3. Leave the platform altogether. We know a few of you have considered the latter option and we have to say if we don’t see significant changes to the structure we may do the same. 

The problem for us is not just that it is very difficult to envisage ever competing with the top managers, but if that’s the case for the vast majority of new users who join in future, then the platform is going to struggle to grow and its potential may never be realised.

 

What Needs to Change

Sorare are in the process of reviewing the reward structure at the moment and announced an outline of their plans on 15th April in a medium post.

Whilst there were some welcome proposals in there, including helping managers with “progression” in the game, we were not convinced that any of the proposed changes will address the fundamental, structural issue discussed above. The Sorare medium post stated: 

“We are currently developing a new threshold feature that will allow all Managers on the platform to unlock cards by progressing and accumulating points across multiple Game Weeks.”

Whilst this is a good idea in itself, we are not sure it will do anything to address the inequity on the platform. The larger accounts will be able to accumulate points and unlock cards faster than lower-budget managers so this will just widen the gulf between managers, unless there are some restrictions placed on this progression, perhaps based on a starting point of how many rewards already won for example.

In addition, although they announced that the number of cards distributed as rewards will increase, this will be based on the number of matches in a gameweek, not the number of entries. 

So whilst this will be helpful to managers in the short-term in terms of helping them win cards, when the number of users on Sorare increases, we will just be back in the same position we are in now, where only a very small percentage of entrants win prizes in Division 4.

We are surprised Sorare didn’t choose to base the number of cards distributed on the number of gameweek entries, or even on cards in circulation, as we would have thought that would be a more sustainable and manageable model for them too. 

Overall we couldn’t see much evidence in Sorare’s medium post of changes to address the structural gulf between managers on the platform and we were really hoping for some action in that direction. 

However, it is a dynamic platform that is constantly evolving and they are always open to feedback from the community, so we hope there is some scope to address this.

In our most recent update we suggested three possible actions the team could take:

  1. Limit use of the top cards – e.g. only one Star Rare/Tier 1 per gameweek
  2. Spread rewards around more evenly – e.g. distribute ETH currently given to top 3 to more managers lower down
  3. Create new leagues and divisions – with certain criteria to make them winnable for low-medium budget managers.

Having been in touch with the team, it appears they are not inclined to place any “limitations” on the platform. So it looks like the first idea is unlikely to come to fruition at the moment.

In terms of the second, we hope the current review of the reward structure will mean rewards spread more evenly, not just with regard to cards but also monetary rewards. 

It is perhaps the third idea that is the most practical however and would do most to address the current flaws. If there was a separate league with only tier 2/3 cards being eligible to enter, it would give just about any manager the chance to compete for the top places. Taking out the likes of Mbappe, Neymar, Kimmich, Kroos and co would greatly negate the financial advantage the top few percent of managers have and make it much more about skill, levelling the playing field. 

Thus low-middle budget managers could conceivably win top rewards without requiring their tier 2/3 cards to beat the Mbappes and Neymars of this world. They would have a realistic way of moving up the ladder and competing with the top managers. It would also give more value to tier 2/3 cards because they would have much more chance of winning you a prize.

We are not suggesting this should replace the current leagues/divisions but would instead run alongside them. Thus you would not be punishing or “limiting” the top managers who could still compete in the free market that is the current league structure (and of course in the new league as well if they wished). But when the low-mid budget managers had won a few top rewards in the new league they might then feel more inclined to take on the top managers in the current leagues.

 

Conclusion – The Spirit of Égalité

As Sorare is a French company we thought we would end with a tribute to the French motto of Liberté, égalité, fraternité. At the moment there is certainly liberté on Sorare, in terms of freedom to play on the platform and fraternité, with a great community, but not quite so much égalité. 

We hope the team can address this by providing a genuine means for new and lower budget managers to compete with the larger-budget/early adopters. We stress this is not to denigrate the latter in any way and credit to them for taking a chance on the platform early on and doing well on it. 

But to make it an enjoyable experience and one where anyone who joins feels the game is actually winnable – not just on a given gameweek if they get incredibly lucky (in which case perhaps playing the lottery is a better idea) but in the long-term whereby they can compete based on skill and judgement and not their financial firepower or when they happened to join the platform. 

The current gulf is only going to get wider if there aren’t structural changes however and this could prove fatal to the platform. Users will just become frustrated and leave, which we are seeing hints of already. 

We have suggested some changes the team could make to address this issue and we hope they will give these and any other ideas the community puts forward to tackle this serious consideration.