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Cheltenham 2021 – Plan of Action

It’s nearly upon us – yes tomorrow is the start of the Cheltenham Festival!

It’s Dan here and my plan for Cheltenham is pretty much the same as the last few years – which made me a very nice £504 profit last year and £711 profit the year before, as chronicled in my betting diaries.

My approach will be:

1. Take advantage of all the bookies’ offers and bonuses this week.

There are some fantastic offers this week with extra places, money back and free bets being thrown around by the bookies like confetti. I will be using Profit Maximiser to see each day’s offers and make sure I use them to extract the most profit possible.

2. Use some top tipsters.

I will be using two of my favourite tipsters – Quentin Franks Racing and the Bet Alchemist – to find the best bets for Cheltenham. Both have excellent records at the festival so I will be following their tips for the week.

By combining the above two together, this should give me a great chance of beating the bookies at Cheltenham.

The bookies’ offers alone can add up to hundreds of pounds if done correctly, so used in conjunction with some shrewd betting advice then it should be a winning formula.

Anyway, just thought I would share my plans for the week with you. Will keep you posted on how it goes in my Cheltenham betting diary!

 

 

 

Who is the Best Basketball Tipster?

With the popularity of US sports growing around the world, there are now a number of good basketball tipsters (or cappers, if you prefer) to choose from. 

Whether this is covering the NBA, NCAAB or European leagues, there are now a wide variety of options for betting on the sport and potentially profiting from it. 

Some tipsters provide selections purely on basketball where as others include it as part of a range of sports they bet on. Either way we will take a look below at who the best basketball tipsters (or cappers) are. 

 

What to Look For in a Successful Basketball Tipster

Before we get on to looking at specific basketball tipsters, just a few words on what to look for when picking a basketball capper.

We have tested hundreds of tipsters here at Honest Betting Reviews across a range of different sports and have found there are a few key metrics to keep in mind when looking at a basketball tipster’s record: 

  • Verified track-record:- it’s important to ensure the tipster has a track-record that has been independently verified by a site like this. There are lots of glossy sales pages out there making claims of big profits, but many of these will be fake or have inflated their results. Look for an independent review or verification of the results.
  • Long-term results:- any tipster can produce good results for a few weeks, or even months. But the true mark of a good tipster is that they have stood the test of time and produced solid, long-term results.
  • Return on investment (ROI):- a key metric in terms of comparing tipsters, this tells you how much profit you would have made for every $100 staked. So an ROI of 23% would mean a profit of $23 for every $100 staked for example.
  • Win rate:- also known as the strike rate, this tells you what percentage of the tipster’s bets have been winners. In basketball we would expect this figure to be quite high, often around 50% or higher.
  • Profit/Loss (P/L):- key stat telling you what their overall profit or loss has been, expressed in points or units.
  • Return on capital (ROC):- also known as bank growth, this tells you how much your starting capital would have grown by from following the capper since they started. For example if the ROC was 50%, then a starting bank of $1,000 would have grown to $1,500.

So those are some of the key factors to look at when assessing a basketball tipster’s record and some of the main metrics we use to compare tipsters.

 

Top Five Basketball Tipsters

Okay, so let’s get onto looking at the top five basketball tipsters we have found through our extensive research and testing. We will list these from five to one, saving the best for last.

 

5. Basket Value

Starting off our list is a capper called Basket Value and the service is run by a Portuguese gentleman called Mario V. He provides selections from leagues all over the world, including Australia, Brazil and various European Leagues.

Most of the picks are in the match winner market and they come out a good few hours before games start which makes it straightforward to follow the service.

They started tipping back in February 2019 and have made over $2000 profit since then at a win rate of around 40% and a return on investment of just over 6%, which are pretty solid metrics. 

So for an established basketball capper with an impressive record, Basket Value is well worth checking out. 

 

4. Super Sports Capper

The Super Sports Capper is actually a multi-sports tipster covering the NBA, NFL, football, European basketball & tennis. They are a full-time professional sports bettor and spend a considerable amount of time studying team form, news, injuries, betting market conditions and a host of other factors to find value for their members. 

The results to date have been excellent, with over $4,000 profit made to $25/unit stakes, at a return on investment of over 20%. The return on capital is over 200% which is substantial growth in a relatively short space of time. 

A large proportion of their bets are in basketball and they focus primarily on the NBA. They concentrate on player performance bets, for example a player to get over (or under) a certain number of assists, rebounds, steals, turnovers or points in a game. These are quite niche markets so there is a good opportunity to find value in them, which the Super Sports Capper has clearly been able to do to great effect. 

 

3. Around the Orange Ball

Around the Orange Ball is a service that has been tipping since December 2019 and has amassed an impressive record. A service focusing solely on basketball, they aim to be profitable over the long-term using a flat staking plan.

Their picks come in a variety of leagues including the NBA, China’s CBA, the Euro League and Germany’s Bundesliga. The principal markets they tip in are the Asian handicap, over/under pts and match winner. 

The total profit made since they began tipping stands at over $3,000 at $25/unit stakes at a return on investment of over 6%. With a solid win rate of well over 50% there have been a high proportion of winners too.

All in all then there is a lot to like about Around the Orange Ball, a proven basketball specialist.

 

2. Sports Insider

Next up on our list we have the excellent Sports Insider. After 20 years in the betting industry, this specialist uses their knowledge, connections and experience to analyze and evaluate the information they receive to provide their tips. The selections are thoroughly researched and based on stats and team info. 

Although they are a multi-sports tipster, the vast majority of their picks are on basketball. They provide tips in leagues from all over the world including France, Finland, Qatar and Italy. The main markets they bet in are the Asian handicap, over/under points, HT/FT and match winner. 

Since they began tipping in August 2018, the Sports Insider has amassed an excellent $7,100 profit at $25/unit stakes at a return on investment of over 12%. The win rate is very healthy at over 60%, meaning a high proportion of winning bets. 

That’s an impressive long-term record and makes the Sports Insider one of the top basketball cappers out there.

 

1. The Basketball Geek

Topping our list is the formidable Basketball Geek. The tips are provided by a guy called Steven who has devoted the past few decades to analyzing the basketball markets to spot trends, patterns and to create strategies that he knows will go on to produce a regular profit.

That approach has worked extremely well, with a profit of over $9,000 made to $25/unit stakes since he started providing tips back in November 2019. The return on investment is an impressive 17% whilst the win rate is just shy of 50%, which are very solid metrics when taken together.  

Most notably the return on capital stands at over 500%, so a $1,000 starting bank would have grown to over $5,000 by now.

Bets come in a variety of leagues including the NBA, WNBA and from places like Tunisia and Australia so it’s pretty wide ranging but the key has been the ability to find value picks consistently. 

That is something they have done with tremendous success and it is no surprise then that The Basketball Geek gets a place at the top of the list of the best basketball cappers. 

 

Conclusion – The Best in Basketball Betting

So there you have it, that is our list of the top experts in the world of basketball betting. They have all demonstrated proven track-records over a long period of time and an ability to beat the bookies consistently, which is what we all want.

With the popularity of basketball growing around the world and sports betting being liberalized in the USA, we expect more basketball cappers to emerge in the coming months and years, giving bettors an even greater choice. 

There are a whole host of leagues and markets to choose from too so there are lots of angles for finding value, as the list above demonstrates. 

Whether you use some tipsters from the list above or follow your own picks, good luck with your basketball betting and please remember to always gamble responsibly. 

 

 

 

The Sorry Story of Football Index and What it Means for Other Platforms

Anyone involved with Football Index will no doubt have seen the news announced on Friday night and reported in the Guardian yesterday. 

Sadly the once-very promising platform announced it was in financial difficulty and was having to cut dividends by what appears to be over 60%. Customers’ portfolio values crashed overnight and are now only worth a fraction of what they were previously.

This is obviously very disappointing news and was greeted with understandable anger across social media.

Below we take a look at what we think this means not just for Football Index but the other new trading/betting/investing platforms that have sprung up recently. Was this just a case of a badly managed platform or is the business model fundamentally flawed? What can we – and these other platforms – learn from what happened at Football Index? We will take a look at these questions and other issues that come out of this sorry turn of events.

 

What It Means for Football Index

There is no beating around the bush on this, the future for Football Index (we will use FI for short in the remainder of the article) looks very bleak. First and foremost because this course of action has utterly destroyed their reputation and any trust they had left with the FI community. The depth of feeling on Twitter is extremely strong – and understandably so. With the media now reporting what has happened, negative reviews on Trust Pilot and so on their reputation is in tatters and it will be very tough to attract new users in such an environment.

Secondly because they must be in a very sorry financial position to have cut dividends by as much as they did – which from analyses by informed commentators appears to amount to over 60% in real terms. A 20-30% cut we could have understood and would have perhaps been palatable. But this is a whopping reduction and can only be interpreted as a signal that they simply cannot afford to pay out any more this.

Thirdly, and perhaps fatally, because doing this actually destroys their own business model. FI’s primary source of revenue is through the minting of shares. Now they will only be able to mint shares at a fraction of the price they were minting them at previously – so a huge loss of revenue. It also very much reduces the possibility that they could raise dividends again in the future, certainly to the level they have been up until now, because it could mean they end up having to pay out more in dividends than they have made on minting the share. Football Index may hope of course this is only temporary and would affect a small number of shares, but for the reasons above any form of recovery seems unlikely. 

It also means the other source of revenue for FI – commissions on the trading of shares – will be greatly reduced. So it really begs the question of how much longer they can keep going with very little revenue coming in. 

In our view the best hope now is for a buyout, a complete rebrand and restructure and much more competent new owners who can set up a sustainable business model – but more on that below.

Other than that we would say the best hope for customers is that the Gambling Commission step in and force FI to refund whatever is left of customers’ net deposits – although sadly we would amazed given the statements FI have made if this amounts to more than 20-30%, if anything at all. Again we will look at the issue of net deposits and the “prize pool” of platforms like FI further below however.

 

What Should Customers of Football Index Do Now?

There is no doubt that the behaviour of Football Index management has been shocking. We would recommend reading this post by Football MDJ, a respected member of the community who doesn’t mince her words about the wrongdoings of FI.

We also think it is worth recognising Betfair trader and YouTube personality Caan Berry at this point, who warned of some of the risks of FI in a YouTube video just a few months ago, something he got a lot of stick for but has very much been vindicated about now. We wonder how many of those who attacked him will now be apologising to him…

In any event, we believe it is certainly worth customers contacting the Gambling Commission and asking them to investigate what has happened. There have been what appear to been misleading statements made by FI, most notably an announcement five months ago stating they had never been in a better financial position.

We have also seen discussions on social media of involving lawyers under a class action lawsuit. Whilst we are not legal experts and cannot comment on any potential criminality that may have occurred, we think it is worth at least asking for a legal opinion on this and seeing if there is a case to be made. 

As we say we are not experts in such matters so we will leave it to the authorities such as the Gambling Commission and possibly the courts to determine any repercussions here.

In terms of the platform itself, it goes without saying that we would not recommend anyone deposit more funds now. Existing customers could sell their existing holdings but would have to take a very large loss in most cases, so will have to decide for themselves if this is something they wish to do. 

 

What Went Wrong – Was This Always Doomed to Fail?

One of the main issues we have been pondering since the announcement was made is whether what has happened was simply the result of an inept management and a series of missteps or whether Football Index’s business model was fundamentally flawed from the start.

FI clearly made some huge missteps including most obviously:

  • Introducing a new system for trading shares (called “order books”) without properly beta testing it or ensuring there would be enough liquidity to support it;
  • Relatedly – issuing shares on far too many footballers so that liquidity was spread too thin;
  • Promising things that were never delivered like Nasdaq integration, expansion into new countries and the introduction of major liquidity providers;
  • A series of PR own-goals that affected trust with their customer base;
  • And increasing dividends when it now seems clear they did not have funds to sustainably support them in the long term and may have been relying on bringing in new customers to do so.

However, as bad these errors were (and they were!) we want to delve more deeply into FI’s business model to see whether in more competent hands this could have succeeded.

This is important not just for any potential takeover/new version of FI, but for the array of new football-related trading platforms that have arisen in the last few years such as Footstock, Sorare (which we have featured just recently on this site) and SportStack.

The answer is complex but we think it is essential to explore the long-term viability of these platforms to ascertain if they have a chance of surviving long-term and becoming a genuine alternative to the bookies. 

 

The Football Index Model – Fixed Dividends Based on Fluctuating Share Prices

The Football Index business model was founded on the idea that they could mint “virtual shares” in footballers and then pay dividends on these shares based on players’ performances and media attention. The idea was that those dividends would always be just a fraction of the price the share was minted at, thus meaning FI would always have enough money to pay dividends out. 

The problem here though is that if you have a fixed dividend price – which on the best “gold days” was 28p per share for a top performance (including the “star man” award), but a fluctuating share price, you cannot know what percentage that dividend will actually be of the share price. 

To give one recent example, shares in Gareth Bale had fallen as low as 30p after a slow start to his career back at Spurs. He then turned in a great performance, taking the full dividend award, plus some media dividends on top. Thus there were people on Twitter boasting about how they had made the cost of the share back in one go and you could understand their delight. 

However, on FI’s side this clearly wasn’t good. To counter such an eventuality, previously they had a policy of only minting new shares at or above a player’s all-time high (ATH) price. The problem with this of course is that FI had presented themselves with a converse problem: what happens in a downward market? They would not be able to mint new shares and would be cutting off their major source of income. 

So they scrapped the policy recently and allowed themselves to mint new shares at any price. The issue being however that they were saddled with the first problem again – not knowing how much they would have to issue in dividends as a percentage of the share price and the possibility it could be close to, or over, 100%, which would obviously be unprofitable for them.

So whichever way they ran it, fundamentally this method of providing dividends as a fixed amount (in pence) whilst not knowing what share prices would be, versus as a percentage of something (we will suggest below a prize pool) was setting themselves up for problems. It would work okay in a bull market, and probably even in a stable market, but would surely run into problems in a downmarket, as of course it did.

 

A “Prize Pool” Model is Better

If FI or a similar platform want to pay dividends, perhaps a better model would be to have them as a percentage of a prize pool. So for example rather than having a fixed pence per share model which as we have discussed has some serious issues, they could set it as a percentage of shares minted over a previous period, whether it be day, week, month, or whatever was deemed appropriate. 

So they could say “star man gets 5% of the previous week’s prize pool, top forward gets 3%” and so on. They would obviously have to do the maths to work out what is feasible in terms of the percentages, but the principle would mean they know for sure they can only ever pay out a certain percentage of what they have collected in the previous day, week, month or whatever it is. They would not be in a position of having to pay out a fixed amount even if share prices crashed. In this sense we think a percentage and “prize pool” model is a much better one.  

The drawback of this of course is that there would be fluctuating dividends and at some point those dividends are going to fall compared to a previous period. But users would know that from the outset and would become accustomed to it. It would be the price to pay for having a more sustainable business model that users could believe in.

Ultimately no business can be assured of success whatever model they use but we believe this is a more sound one and we note that platforms like Sorare and Footstock have something more akin to this than FI’s pence-per-share dividend model.

 

Ringfencing Funds is Essential

Even saying all of this, share prices on FI were still high enough in many cases to give the impression that FI would have enough funds to cover dividend payouts under their fixed dividend structure, on the face of it at least. Prices on the top players were over £7 before Friday’s announcement and had been as high as £15 at one point, whilst annual dividend payouts on the top players were still at a level it appeared FI could afford, bearing in mind shares expired after three years.

There were still only a few of the top players who would come close to returning their value in dividends in three years and there were many players who were returning much less than that. And there were some who had returned nothing in dividends – essentially a free ride for FI. After all, there were only a maximum of five players who could win dividends on any given day out of hundreds of players listed on the platform. 

So considering FI were also making money from commission on trades, how on earth could it now be the case – as we are assuming from their statements but would love to be proved wrong about – that they only have a fraction of customer deposits left (if any at all)? 

This leads us onto a key issue with FI and is one we feel is essential to the success of any similar platform and that is that the “prize pool” as it were – which in the case of FI was the money they minted from shares – is ringfenced and only ever used to pay out the prizes (or dividends). 

Leaving aside the morality of it, purely from a cold hard business perspective, if the company starts delving into that pool to fund its operations, marketing, etc then there is a significant risk that the pool will have to be reduced at some stage and customer confidence will collapse.

The company should be in such a position that it can fund its operations from separate income streams. In FI’s case this could have for example been commissions on trading, which was approximately 3% of trading volume. In better days a few months ago FI was seeing trading volume of over £1m per day, meaning income for them of £30,000 per day, so close to £1m per month. In theory that should have been more than enough to fund ongoing operations.

In terms of marketing costs, we would expect in the early days for this to be funded through equity, for example in FI’s case the money they raised on Seedrs and through other angel investors. Then once they have reached a certain size this money can come from their various income streams, but not the prize pool.

But any platform like this has to give its customers full confidence and transparency that it is not going to be using the prize pool to pay for its own costs like salaries etc. That money needs to be ringfenced and untouchable by the business. If Football Index had done this, we expect they would not be in the position they are now of having to radically cut dividends and – as we suspect is the case – having very little (if anything) left of customers’ deposits. 

 

How Other Platforms Can Manage Payouts to Give Users Confidence 

For example a fantasy football-style business could say its fee for entry is £1. If there are 100,000 entries and the company says it will pay out 50% of entry fees as prizes, that means there is a “prize pool” of £50,000 to be paid out. The company cannot touch this money or use it for anything else. 

In terms of the other platforms such as Sorare, the money they are receiving at the moment from minting cards is substantial – around $400,000 per day currently, due to the recent explosion of the platform. The amount they are paying out in prizes is only a fraction of this though, as it was established before this explosion when their revenues were much smaller. 

That is good and we hope they learn from FI and do not increase payouts too much. That may sound like a strange thing to say from a user of the platform but we think there is a lesson to be learned here. Only pay out what you can sustainably afford to at current levels and don’t rely on future user growth to be able to pay rewards/dividends. 

At current levels, Sorare could really build a substantial “war chest” of funds from which to pay rewards for a long time to come. That will give users much more confidence in the long term stability of the platform, which in turn should encourage more adoption. It can become a virtuous cycle.  

Sorare have said they would like to keep the payouts at 40% of revenues. We would say they could actually be lower than this, but whatever figure they settle on we would suggest this to them: make it an amount that is sustainable for the long term and then ringfence those funds and do not use them for operations. If possible build up a warchest of a prize pool so even if you have a drop in revenues you can still pay out the same level of rewards for a good period of time.  And give transparency about this, which should be easier given the blockchain and the fact that sites like Soraredata already record daily auction volumes.

Sorare are also in a strong position due to the $50m they recently raised in capital, which they can use to undertake marketing, build an app etc rather than using funds from the sale of cards. Used wisely this could allow them to grow substantially and hopefully not repeat FI’s mistakes.  

The same goes for the other platforms. We haven’t joined Footstock or SportStack or looked into them in any depth so can’t comment on their business models but the same would go for them if they want to succeed and not be tarnished with the same brush as Football Index. Be transparent about how funds are used and don’t give away rewards that are too generous to be affordable without bringing onboard lots of new users.

 

Final Thoughts and What We Can Learn

These are just our initial thoughts on the Football Index debacle and what other platforms can learn from Football Index’s mistakes, apart from just the obvious. No doubt much will be written and probably some very sophisticated analyses will emerge.

And any FI takeover consortium or future FI-style platform will hopefully give these points due consideration and structure any such platform more sustainably in future.

As for us as users, it should be a lesson to us all to be very vigilant about what companies say about their financial health and not to take their word for it. It appears users were lied to and that is appalling if it was the case, but we also need to watch very carefully for any warning signs of trouble. To be fair a few were there and credit to the likes of Caan Berry for pointing them out, despite the stick he got for it.

As ever we always advise people to only risk an amount they can afford to lose on these platforms, just as you would set aside a betting bank for following a tipster or betting system and be prepared to lose it all if there is a really bad losing run. In this case, be prepared to lose it all if the platform goes bust. 

So if you are thinking of putting some money into Sorare, Footstock or anything similar, please do so with your eyes open and consider that you could lose all your funds. And try and withdraw your initial stake as soon as you can, so you are only playing “with the house’s money” as it were. For our part we are going to be even more vigilant about how we scrutinise such platforms, as if we are being frank we probably should have asked harder questions about FI and we apologise for not doing that.

Ultimately this experience should make us all look at anything that pays a generous dividend or passive income stream and say “where is that money coming from?” “can they sustain it?” and “what happens if they stop bringing in new users?” Is the business model sustainable in a “steady-state” mode or does it need to keep on growing to work? These are all important questions and ones we should all ask of any trading/investment opportunity.

At the end of the day, as the old saying goes “if something seems too good to be true, it probably is.”

 

 

 

Sorare Guide – The Global Fantasy Football Game

We are very pleased to bring you something new today and it would be fair to say we haven’t been this excited about a new service for quite some time – probably years in fact!

This is a relatively new concept and is a little bit different from the type of thing we normally review here at Honest Betting Reviews. In fact it isn’t really betting at all – but it does have significant potential for a budding trader and someone with good football knowledge to benefit from. 

The service in question is called Sorare and it is perhaps best described as a mixture between fantasy football and online trading cards.

We have just joined the platform recently and bought some cards ourselves and are really enjoying the experience. Our initial investment has more than trebled in a short space of time as the platform has taken off recently. 

What particularly interested us about this is that unlike a lot of other fantasy football games where only a handful of people win prizes out of hundreds of thousands – or even millions – of entrants, Sorare provide a guaranteed payout for simply hitting certain scores. And those scores are very achievable – in fact with a reasonably good team you should hit them fairly often.

Plus there are other prizes of cash, goodies and cards (currently worth hundreds and even thousands of pounds) for those who do really well in the twice-weekly contests, meaning the value proposition here is superb. 

Add in the additional collectibles aspect – a Cristiano Ronaldo card went for over $100,000 in a recent auction and Kylian Mbappe cards are regularly going for over $50,000 for example – and you a have pretty awesome mix!

That’s not just our opinion though – Sorare just raised $50m in Series A funding from a group of investors including Benchmark, who were early investors in Twitter, Snapchat, Instagram, Uber and Spotify.

Other investors include footballers Rio Ferdinand, Antoine Griezmann and Andre Schuerrle, venture capital firm Accel, Reddit Inc. co-founder Alexis Ohanian and Gary Vaynerchuk. So this is serious business!

Here is Bloomberg announcing the $50m in funding for Sorare:

Sorare have already signed up some big clubs including Real Madrid, Juventus, Liverpool, PSG, Ajax and Athletico Madrid. Licences for trading cards are hard to come by so it is impressive for Sorare to have already partnered with these clubs. 

There’s quite a lot to take in if you are thinking of joining though so we have put together some content to help you out:

  • Our review/guide to Sorare, which is below.
  • Our strategy and hints for getting the most out of Sorare, which you can read here.
  • And we will be tracking our own team’s performance which you can check out here.

Before getting started though it is probably best to read our guide below explaining what Sorare is all about and how it works and then take some time exploring the strategy guide.

So first up we will explain what Sorare is all about and why we are so excited about it.

In the article below we will cover some key aspects of Sorare including:-

  • What is Sorare?
  • How to play – buying cards, selecting your team and entering competitions
  • How to win rewards and what the prizes are
  • What makes Sorare special? 
  • What is the potential of Sorare?
  • Additional value of cards – use in third party games

You can sign up to Sorare here and get 10 free cards to get you started.

 

What is Sorare?

Sorare is a mixture of fantasy football and online trading cards (collectibles). You can buy cards on the platform and then use them to play in fantasy football games to win prizes.

There are a limited number of cards produced – hence the name “so rare.” These cards are currently split into the following categories:

  • Common cards (white) – these are a set of cards you get for free upon joining the platform and there are an unlimited number of them. You can enter them in the Rookie League (which you can only play for 8 weeks) and in higher leagues, but only one card per gameweek competition in the higher leagues.
  • Rare cards 1/100 (red) – these are cards that have value and that you can buy and sell on the platform. There are a maximum of just 100 of these printed per player per season. These cards start with a 5% scoring bonus in the season of issue.
  • Super Rare cards 1/10 (blue) – much like the Rare cards, but there are only 10 of these printed each season so they have higher value and come with a 25% scoring bonus.
  • Unique cards 1/1 (brown) – as the name would suggest, there is only one of these minted each season. They have extremely high value and come with a 50% scoring bonus.

The Sorare platform is operated on the Ethereum blockchain which means it is fully transparent and cards are non-fungible tokens (NFTs) meaning every card can be tracked, traced and verified and cannot be forged or copied.

 

Signing Up and Buying Your Cards

Okay, so you have decided you want to give Sorare a go. After signing up, you will be allocated 10 free common cards to get you going. 

And if you sign up with this link, you will be given a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

With the 10 common cards, you can enter the Rookie League, but only for a maximum of 8 weeks. The Rookie League is a good place to get started and learn the ropes, but you will probably want to step up and enter the higher leagues after a little while. 

In order to do so, you will need to buy some rare cards. You can do this in two ways:-

  • At auction, which are regularly held on the site throughout the day; or
  • On the secondary market, by buying from other managers. You can view all the cards currently available for sale from other users by searching for and then clicking on a player. As well as paying the asking price for a card, you are allowed to make direct offers to other managers for their card which they can choose to accept or reject.

All transactions on the platform are made in the cryptocurrency Ethereum, although the equivalent values in Euros are displayed next to the player, in case you are not familiar with Ethereum values. 

You can deposit via a debit/credit card using Sorare’s payment partner Ramp, or you can connect your Ethereum wallet if you have one of those and transfer funds from there.

 

Selecting Your Team

To enter the fantasy contests on Sorare, you need to select five players. Hence the name of the contests, “SO5.”

Each contest requires your team of five players to be comprised of the following:-

  • – One Goalkeeper
  • – One Defender 
  • – One Midfielder
  • – One Forward
  • – One “Extra” – which can be any of the above outfield players.

So it is a good idea to get a good mix of these players in your squad – or “Gallery” as it is called on Sorare.

And of course, you probably want more than five players in your squad in case any of your players get injured, suspended or dropped.

Below is a recent team entry of ours into the Global All-Star Division 4:

The “extra” player we selected here was a midfielder, Rafinha of PSG.

You may also want to enter multiple contests/divisions in each gameweek, so buying a diverse portfolio of players in different positions is a good idea in that case. 

You can sign up here and get 10 free “common” cards to get you started.

 

 

The Fantasy Games – Leagues and Divisions

There are a number of different fantasy contests you can enter on Sorare, depending on the players you have at your disposal. 

The leagues are generally split by region and then have numerous divisions:

  • Global All-Star League (4 divisions): you can enter players from anywhere in the world into this contest. Division 4 is the one that has the ETH threshold payouts for hitting 200 or 250 points so is a very popular contest. 
  • Champion Europe (4 divisions): this is limited to players playing in the top 5 big European leagues: Premier League, Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga and Ligue 1. 
  • Global U23 (4 divisions) – this is limited to players under the age of 23 at the start of the season, but they can be from anywhere in the world.
  • Challenger Europe (4 divisions): this comprises players from outside the top 5 European leagues – e.g. Belgium’s Jupiler League, the Dutch Eredivisie, Russian Premier League and Portugese Primeira Liga.
  • Asian League: currently the Japanese J League and Korean K League.
  • American League: currently just the MLS but other leagues are due to be added soon.
  • Rookie League: this is where you can enter your free “common” cards to try and win prizes.
  • Special Weekly contest: the rules for this differ each gameweek but there are often some interesting prizes on offer so it is worth keeping an eye on.

That is how it currently stands but we expect more leagues and divisions to be added as more clubs are onboarded and more users join the Sorare platform. Below is an example of the entry options for some of the leagues you can join.

 

Part of the challenge, if you have a big enough squad of players, is deciding which contests to enter each gameweek and what the best utilisation of your players is. You can only enter one team per division per gameweek, so getting this right matters in terms of your chances of winning a prize. 

It is important to note that the gameweeks run at the following times:-

From Friday 13.00 UTC to Tuesday 13.00 UTC
From Tuesday 13.00 UTC to Friday 13.00 UTC

So you need to enter your teams by the deadline in order for them to be eligible for the contests and to be able to win prizes. Note though that each “gameweek” is in fact just a few days, so there are normally two gameweeks per actual week. 

Sign up with this link to get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards at auction.

 

Scoring on Sorare

Okay, so you have bought some cards, entered them in a contest and are all ready to see how your team gets on. Let’s have a look now at how players score points in the fantasy game SO5. 

The scoring matrix is quite complex but is essentially comprised of three elements:-

  • A player’s Decisive Score – this is for big things like scoring a goal, getting an assist, winning a penalty or making a clearance off the line. For each of the positive things a player does, he moves up a level and for each negative thing he does (red card, own goal, penalty conceded), he moves down a level. The points go from -15 at level -1 up to 100 points for achieving level 5. 
  • A player’s All-Around Score – these are small points a player can get for all the little things they do in a game: 2 for a block, 3 for a tackle, 3 for a big chance created, -3 for a yellow card etc. All these little points add up (or come off) during the course of a game. 
  • The Card Bonus – each individual card has its own bonus percentage, which you can see below it. A rare card gets a 5% bonus if it is from the current season, your allocated captain for each contest gets a 20% bonus and then players can earn additional experience “XP” points by playing more and training. 

So to calculate the player’s score for the gameweek it is simply:

The Decisive Score + the All-Around Score x by the bonus.

That might sound a little complicated so let’s take a look at an example.

Here is a score from our Bentancur card from a recent gameweek:-

 

  • Bentancur’s Decisive Score was 35 points
  • His All-Around Score was 48.4 points
  • His Bonus was 22.5% (as our captain) 

So that meant: decisive score of 35 + all around score of 48.4 x the bonus of 22.5% = 101.33 points.

You add up the scores of your players in the contest you have entered them in and then you get your team score for that gameweek. 

Sign up here and get a free rare card when you buy five rare cards at auction. 

 

Winning Prizes on Sorare

Now for the exciting part – how you can win prizes on Sorare. 

Each contest has its own prize structure, which you can view by clicking “play” in the top menu, selecting the relevant gameweek you want, then towards the top of the page clicking “View Prize Pool.”

 

The lower the division, the more people that will receive prizes. However, more people will enter those contests, so as a percentage there’s a bigger chance of winning a prize in the higher divisions. 

Anyway, as an example let’s take a look at the prizes for the Global All Star Division 4 at the time of writing. Please note these are subject to change so may well be different when you are reading this. 

1st: 1x Star Rare
€644.52 0.5 ETH

2nd: 1x Star Rare
€386.71 0.3 ETH

3rd: 1x Star Rare
€257.81 0.2 ETH

Participation:

4th to 13th: 1x Tier 1 Rare

14th to 34th: 1x Tier 2 Rare

35th to 130th: 1x Tier 3 Rare

Thresholds:

Score > 250: €25.78 0.02 ETH

Score > 205: €12.89 0.01 ETH

So as you can see, the winner of the contest get a star rare card, currently worth hundreds – or even thousands – of Euros plus 0.5 Ethereum, currently worth €644.52.

Prizes go right down to 130th place though with those entrants receiving a Rare card reward.

And as we mentioned above, the real beauty of this division on Sorare is that you get a guaranteed payout if you hit the threshold of 205 points for 0.01 ETH or 250 points for 0.02 ETH. 

These thresholds are very achievable and with a reasonably good team you should hit them quite often. There are many players on Sorare who average around 50 points per gameweek, then you have the card’s bonus, plus your captain’s bonus of 20%. So the scores can really add up. 

Don’t forget that each “gameweek” is actually 3-4 days, so there are normally two of them every week. So many chances to win!

Hopefully you will win some cards if you have a really good gameweek, but in between times you can keep accumulating that ETH and either withdraw it and convert to cash or use it to reinvest in new players on Sorare.

Either way we see these threshold payouts as a huge selling point for Sorare and they were ultimately what led us to join the platform. A nice steady flow of additional income is always great to have. 🙂 

Don’t forget you can get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction here.

 

What Makes Sorare So Special?

You might have read this far and be thinking – that all sounds good, but there are quite a few fantasy football games out there already, plus the likes of Footstock which is a similar concept, so what makes Sorare special?

Well there are a number of factors we see as combining to make it a unique platform:-

  • Scarcity of the cards – this is a big one and is something Sorare seem to understand very clearly. By having so few cards available, with a maximum of just 111 rare cards of each player produced each season, the scarcity ensures there is value in the cards and helps to drive the market upwards. Interestingly, up until this point Sorare have not even been releasing the full allocation of cards – often less than 100 per season have been minted. Thus they have been careful to maintain scarcity and to match supply with demand. As the platform grows this is something we will keep an eye on as it is a key part of maintaining – and growing – the value of the cards but we are confident they will manage this successfully. 
  • Transparency of the blockchain and NFTs – another factor that differentiates Sorare from the crowd is that the platform is built on the blockchain. This means the whole Sorare platform is transparent and accountable, with every transaction publicly recorded on the Ethereum blockchain. Cards are unique and as NFTs or “Non-Fungible Tokens,” cannot be forged, faked or copied and have their own unique digital signature which can be tracked. The success of other NFT projects like NBATopShot shows the potential of this asset class and its utility.  
  • Great rewards – as mentioned above, there are excellent rewards on offer. Many fantasy football games only reward those at the top end, with just a handful out of hundreds of thousands or even millions of entrants winning prizes. Sorare not only gives rewards to a much higher percentage of entrants, but also has the ETH threshold which is such a strong selling point and gives users the chance to win cash just for having a reasonably good week and not having to “hit the jackpot” to win a prize. 
  • Beautiful platform – the platform itself is very well designed and looks great. Whilst that might not seem of the utmost importance in itself, it does help to attract new users and gives the impression of a professional, well-run service.
  • Official Licences – Sorare cards are officially licensed by 126 clubs at the time of writing including big names like Real Madrid, Juventus, PSG and Liverpool, which is impressive. It is tough and competitive to get these licences so Sorare have done well to achieve this in a relatively short space of time and the clubs must have enough belief in the product to partner with them. There are likely to be many more clubs and leagues coming on board in the coming months and years so watch this space.  
  • Huge backing – the financial support of venture capital funds like Benchmark to the tune of $50m is a massive endorsement of the Sorare project and should help propel them to new heights. They will now have the firepower to attract thousands of new users, onboard new clubs and leagues, build an app, expand their team, improve the platform and take Sorare to a whole new level. The support of famous footballers like Rio Ferdinand and Antoine Griezmann gives them added clout and reach and is further endorsement of what they are doing.
  • Using cards in third party games – we will go into this in more below but another benefit of running Sorare on the blockchain means that other developers can set up their own games using Sorare cards – and indeed a number already have. Sorare users can utilise their cards in these games at the same time as they use them directly on Sorare, giving the cards significant additional value and utility. 
  • Global reach – one advantage of the way Sorare is set up is that they have a potentially global reach. Whilst traditional gambling websites need to go through lengthy processes when looking to enter new territories, Sorare is actually based on trading cards (collectibles) combined with fantasy football which are well established and do not have such requirements. Already we have seen Sorare attract new users in Russia recently for example. As they expand and garner more attention, the platform will potentially be open to people all over the world and there are four billion football fans globally. 

So there you can see just what makes Sorare so special. We think it is the combination of all these facets that gives it such huge potential and could see it grow significantly from where it is today. There is no rival platform that combines all these features and has such substantial backing. 

You can check out Sorare for yourself here.

 

Using Sorare Cards in Third Party Applications

As mentioned above, a big added bonus of owning Sorare cards is the ability to use them in games and contests developed by other companies.

This is already happening, with the following developers offering separate games for Sorare cards:

Ubisoft’s One Shot League is a game focused on the Belgian Jupiler League and allows you to enter five players per week into a tournament to win prizes. You don’t need to already hold Sorare cards to play it but if you do, you can use those players and they get bonuses. Ubisoft has a market cap of over $8bn and is behind video games such as Rayman, Prince of Persia, Assassin’s Creed, Watch Dogs, Just Dance, and the Tom Clancy series.

 

Soraredata is a third party site and is the go-to place for analysing players on Sorare. They have a huge amount of data available including a full list of SO5 scores for players, details of completed and ongoing auctions, the volume of sales on Sorare and much more.

Soraredata have their own league and cup competitions you can enter where you compete head-to-head against other managers in a gameweek and can enter a full team of 11 players plus subs. There are prizes available for the top managers including rare cards.   

 

  • SorareMegawith their Mega League and Sorare Dice

The latest addition to the third party Sorare universe is SorareMega, which has introduced two different games for people to play – the Mega League and Sorare Dice. With the Mega League you compete head-to-head with other managers using a team of eight players whilst Sorare Dice involves rolling a random number each week and then picking which of your cards you think will get a score closest to that number. Prizes include rare cards.

So for no extra cost you can potentially win more prizes and use your cards on other platforms. We stress that you can enter your cards in these other games at the same time as using them in contests on Sorare itself – it is not an either/or choice. This is possible because of the blockchain and the transparency and portability it brings.

This means the cards have even more utility and value. This is likely to be just the beginning though – we expect many more partners to spring up and want to jump on board as Sorare expands. Once again the potential is limitless with this project.   

 

  • Real-World Application?

In the video above Sorare CEO Nicolas Julia talks to Bloomberg about the cards potentially having real-world usage, like giving you access to a team’s stadium or being able to take part in a chat with the player. We would stress such applications do not exist yet, but it looks like this is something Sorare are considering for the future.

 

What is the Potential of Sorare?

We believe Sorare has enormous potential to grow and become a global fantasy football hub used by people all over the world. The recent securing of $50m in funding is very significant for Sorare and gives them the ability to scale up quickly and grow their user base.

At the same time, big backers like Benchmark, Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian and footballers Rio Ferdinand, Antoine Griezmann and Andre Schuerrle would not be investing in Sorare unless they felt it was really going places.

At the time of writing, Sorare has around 20,000 users entering the fantasy contests each gameweek, which is growing all the time. Even at this level though it has been enough to create volumes of over €11m of sales on the platform in February 2021, stimulate a very active secondary market, create a competitive fantasy game and engage an active community of users on Discord and Telegram. 

We could well still be in the early innings of Sorare though; there is so much more potential to grow with over 4 billion soccer fans globally and millions of fantasy sports fans. Imagine what the volume of trading could be, what the value cards could reach and what the rewards could be if there were 100,000, or a million, users.

Looking at it from the point of view of new users, clearly the prices of cards have risen significantly lately and this may be acting as a barrier to entry for new customers, who understandably might not want to pay hundreds or even thousands of Euros for a new card at the moment.

However, Sorare’s CEO, Nicolas Julia said that “You can expect actions from us in the coming weeks to lower the entry price point while preserving the value of existing cards in circulation.”

It seems likely this would be best achieved through introducing a new level of scarcity and Sorare have stated this is something they are exploring. 

A new level of scarcity could actually work very well. Let’s say it’s 1/1000 and they have separate leagues/divisions for these cards, with their own reward structure. The current leagues can continue on with their own rewards and perhaps you can only enter one of these new cards in existing leagues (as is the case with common cards now).

The great thing is Sorare would have the ability to issue as many cards as is needed at this new scarcity level, without harming existing users. They don’t need to issue all 1000 of each card, just as many as is required to maintain a healthy, balanced market. They have been very adept at matching supply and demand so far so we expect would be able to pull this off effectively.

Thus you could have good players available at €20-€30 again at the new scarcity level, bringing in a whole host of new users without harming existing ones, who can carry on playing in the higher divisions for the bigger rewards. And Sorare can just keeping doing that ad infinitum as the user base grows.

 

Summary – Sorare and So Good


Sorare is a global fantasy football platform based on tradable cards on the blockchain. It has recently raised $50m in funding from a group of investors including Benchmark and is supported by footballers Rio Ferdinand, Antoine Griezmann and Andre Schuerrle.

We recently joined the platform and have been really enjoying it. There is a very achievable payout to be won each gameweek (which is actually twice per week) of 0.01 or 0.02 ETH, currently worth €13 and €26 respectively. On top of that you can win additional cards, which can be worth hundreds of even thousands of Euros.

We think there is considerable scope for Sorare to grow and for the rewards to grow as well, making this a very exciting opportunity.  

As with anything else, there is also the risk that it could all go wrong, so as ever we would only advise putting in an amount you can afford to lose. There are always inherent risks in something like this, including a possible crash in the value of ETH and how they would deal with that and their ability to continue making payouts should the value of cards or volume of sales fall significantly.

And of course any business or concept like this has a chance of failure. So as we say, bear those risks in mind and if you are going to join, only put in an amount you would be happy to lose if the whole thing went best.

But we have invested a moderate amount in a number of cards ourselves with the aim of taking out our initial investment as soon as possible so we are only playing with “the house’s money” as it were. And as we say we will be tracking our portfolio’s performance here on the site so you can see how we get on. 

You can also check out our strategy guide where we share what we have learned so far. 

In the meantime, we hope you have found this guide useful and good luck if you do join Sorare and participate in everything it has to offer. Please drop us a line at info@honestbettingreviews.com if you have any questions. 

Sign up here and get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

 

 

 

Sorare Strategy Guide

Sorare is a combination of fantasy football and digital trading cards. It is a platform we have joined recently and are really enjoying. We think it has huge potential and for people with a good knowledge of football there are significant opportunities to benefit from it. 

If you are new to Sorare, we would recommend checking out our Sorare Guide which details what it is all about, how it works and why we think it has such potential.

We are also tracking our own journey with Sorare live here on the site, which you can check out here.

Now though we are going to take a look at our strategy for getting the most out of Sorare.

We have spent many hours reading guides, watching YouTube videos, listening to Podcasts and of course participating in Sorare fantasy contests ourselves so we have learned a lot and wanted to pass this on so you can benefit from our experience.

We hope it is of some use to you if you are just getting started and want some pointers – or maybe you have been involved for a little while but are looking for a few hints and tips to push you on to the next level.

Either way we will do our best to cover what we think are the key points to succeeding on Sorare.

If you haven’t signed up to Sorare already you can sign up here and get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

 

Focusing on Fantasy Game

First up before we get stuck into the strategy guide we wanted to emphasise that we will be focusing on the fantasy football element of Sorare – the SO5 game – rather than the collectible element of it. 

There are some people out there who are happy to pay $50,000 for an Mbappe card and not even enter it in the fantasy games, believing that they will either be able to sell it for more at some point in the future, or if not have a nice collectors’ item to enjoy. 

That kind of speculation is not our focus here because it is inherently difficult to predict. A whole range of factors could affect whether speculation on cards pays off, including market sentiment, whether the current excitement around NFTs is just a “craze” or will be sustained, and much more. 

What we will focus on instead is getting the most out of the actual fantasy football game of Sorare, in order to help you win prizes, grow the value of your portfolio (or “gallery” as it is called on Sorare) and enjoy the experience of being part of a community and pitting your wits against other managers. 

We will also briefly cover “flipping” (or trading) the cards later on, but that is secondary to our main concern of picking players and building teams for their utility, ability to win rewards and long-term value. 

 

Valuing Players

One of the most basic and fundamental questions to consider when we join Sorare and look to buy players is – what is their actual value?

At the time of writing this, player prices have exploded over the last couple of weeks and there are now many people asking – with some justification – whether the cards are actually worth what people are currently paying for them. 

Our own view is that at the top end of the market, prices probably have gone a little beyond “fair value” in some cases. More broadly however, you have to consider what a player might return you in rewards over the lifetime of a card.

Remember there is no expiry on the cards so that as long as Sorare still exists (and there are of course lots of third party games popping up now too) then you can keep on playing these cards in fantasy contests for as long as the player is still playing in an eligible league. 

Take a promising 20-year old player available now for around €200-€300 for example. That player could be earning you rewards for the next 15 years – or longer.   

Even just taking the ETH threshold payouts into account and ignoring winning any rare cards, it is feasible that if you spent say €1250 on five of these players they could return their cost within 12-18 months. 

For example, if we presume you can enter two “gameweeks” per week, so approximately 100 gameweeks per year. 

And let’s say you were picking up an ETH reward at a mid point between the two rewards, so 0.015 ETH – that would be approximately €18 at the time of writing. 

If you hit an ETH reward just 50% of the time, you would have made that initial investment of €1250 back in less than 18 months. Yet those young players can play on for another 14+ years, potentially making you great returns for a long time to come.

And that’s excluding:

  • Winning any rare cards, which are currently selling for hundreds and even thousands of Euros;
  • Presumes Sorare won’t increase the rewards – which they have said they are currently looking at doing;
  • Excludes winning any rewards in all the offshoot games being set up by third parties;
  • Or compounding your returns by reinvesting rewards.

So looking at it this way, paying €200-€300 (or even a bit more) for a good player doesn’t seem so outlandish and in fact could be tremendous value.

On the flip side of course we have to consider potential risks: what if ETH crashed in value – would Sorare adjust the ETH payouts to compensate? What if they actually had to reduce rewards in future? What if Sorare ceased to exist? (v. unlikely in our view and with blockchain technology it might still be possible to continue using cards in other games anyway). 

Ultimately as with anything else, you should only put in money you could afford to lose if the whole thing went bust and we would never recommend “betting the farm” on this – or any other – platform.

But when it comes to valuing players, these are the kind of calculations you should be making to get a true sense of what they are worth.

Looking at it another way in terms of cards at the top end of the market, if a player is priced at €2,000, are they likely to return that money to you in rewards? If they are a top talent or a super-rare card then perhaps they will, but it could be more of a risk than a €200 player who is getting similar scores on SO5 and is of a similar age. And of course if the player picks up a long-term injury, that purchase price of €2,000 could sting a little more than a €200 one.

Sign up to Sorare here and get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

 

Use Your Best Sorare Friend: Sorare Data

No strategy guide for Sorare would be complete without referring to the veritable goldmine that is Soraredata. This is your best friend when it comes to scouting players, checking SO5 scores, hunting down bargains, checking for value and all the things you should be doing as a Sorare manager. 

The centrepiece of Soraredata is the rankings tab on the left hand sidebar, which brings up options to search for players individually or seeing them ranked according to league, position, U23s-only and so on. 

Here is the Soraredata profile of Kylian Mbappe for example:

You can see his average score for the last five, last fifteen, and forty games, the number of cards of him that have been minted by type, average sale prices and so on. 

Then if you move below there is more data to choose from on the orange menu. The key option you want to look at here is the “SO5 scores,” which brings up that player’s scores going back for 50-odd gameweeks. 

Here is Mbappe’s:

The scores are nicely colour-coded as you can see, with DNP (did not play) at the bottom.

For an elite-level player like Mbappe you would expect to see a lot of green scores, but for any player you are scouting you should aim to see at least a few greens and a decent number of yellows and as few reds and dreaded DNPs as possible.

You can also hover over each score dot to see how many minutes a player was on the pitch for, which is a useful bit of context to have about their score. A low score could be explained by a short amount of time on the pitch for example.

Once you have checked a certain number of these SO5 scoring profiles you will get a feel for what a good SO5 scoring chart is and what is not. It’s really a treasure trove of information and we couldn’t recommend scouting players without recourse to these charts.

Soraredata has a host of other information including ongoing and closed auctions, overall Sorare stats like the amount of growth and sales volume on the site, other managers’s portfolio values and much more besides. We would recommend taking some time to familiarise yourself with the site and everything it has to offer because as we say it should become your best friend if you are involved in Sorare.

 

Using Other Sites to Help With Analysis

In addition to using Sorare Data, we would recommend using a few other sites to bolster your analysis. 

Let’s say for example you have identified a promising player on Sorare Data but they have a worrying number of the dreaded “DNP” (Did Not Play) marks on their chart. It is worth investigating further to determine what the reasons for those DNPs were. Was the player injured? If so, how serious was the injury and do they have a history of lengthy spells out? 

Or perhaps they had a lot of games on the bench or not being in the squad, but that was under a previous manager and the new manager is much keener on the player and is playing them regularly.

You can find this sort of data on Flashscore, by either searching for a player or going to their relevant league and team and then clicking on the squad. You will be able to see what the reason for them missing games was and judge if it is manageable or warrants moving on to someone else.

Here is Romelu Lukaku’s profile for example:

You can see his recent games and how many minutes he had, together with one game he missed due to suspension. 

Then below you can see his career history with number of games played, goals scored etc by club and league:

There is also a section below that with the player’s injury history.

A site like Transfermarkt can also be useful in getting a sense of a player’s value. Whilst we tend to treat the valuations on there with a pinch of salt as there is some subjectivity to it, a player’s transfer history and current valuation can be a useful yardstick and comparative tool when looking at different players.

Sometimes there is a very highly valued player who is just out of favour or hasn’t hit the headlines recently but clearly if they had a big transfer fee in the past then there must have been a reason for it.  This can then be supplemented by some google research to learn more about the player and their potential. There are some good news sites and club-specific websites with analysis of individual players and their strengths and weaknesses, so all this research should help to build up your picture of a player.

In general we don’t pay too much heed to YouTube montages of players because just about anyone can look good on those! This is because they tend to show the very best things a player has done and don’t give you any sense of their overall ability and level of consistency. But if you happen to watch one and aren’t impressed by a player then that might be cause for concern!

 

 

Getting the Right Mix

Before purchasing any cards on Sorare, it is advisable to have a think about the mix of players you want in your squad. Firstly you obviously want to make sure you end up with a relatively even mix of defenders, midfielders and forwards in your squad, with perhaps a slight bias towards the latter two as they tend to score the most points and therefore can help get you rewards if used in the “extra” position in your team.

Overall though you want a fairly even balance between these positions and don’t want to get stuck in the trap of buying all forwards for example because they are more exciting and then forget to buy the other types of player.

You will also need a goalkeeper or two, although the nuances and challenges of this are such that we have devoted a separate section to it below. 

Presuming you have a decent mix of players in terms of position then, the next thing to think about is how many, and which, contests you want to target. 

This will depend largely on what kind of budget you have at your disposal, but ideally if you have the funds to do it, we would recommend building your squad in such a way that you can target multiple different Sorare contests/leagues.

So for example you might build one group of players to target the Champion Europe divisions, one for the U23 divisions, another for the Asian divisions, one for the American divisions and so on. This would you give multiple “shots on goal” (if you’ll excuse the pun) in terms of chances of winning a prize. It also means you can have teams playing you for in both the Summer and Winter leagues so you don’t end up with a big gap in the calendar where you can’t win any prizes. 

As we say, obviously just how many teams you can build is largely budget-dependent, but if you have funds of around €1,000 – €2,000 then (at the time of writing this at least) that should allow you to buy enough players to enter at least one or two contests per gameweek, depending on how the fixtures fall and injuries/suspensions etc.

Get 10 free cards on Sorare to get you started.

 

Goalkeepers

As we say, goalkeepers deserve a section all to themselves due to the outsize importance they have on Sorare. This significance is down to the fact that there are so few of them available and they are in such demand that it can be a real challenge to find an affordable one at all. Competition is fierce. 

If you do your research and scouting and can find a goalkeeper who is playing regularly at an affordable price then we would say go for it as such opportunities are few and far between these days. 

Alternative strategies include just using your common card goalkeepers, which can actually work quite well and we have been able to consistently hit the ETH threshold using a common goalie. They lose 50% of the their points outside of the Rookie League but can still get a 25 or 30 point score which is okay and won’t normally sink your chances of grabbing a reward. 

Or you could take a chance on:

  • A keeper who is injured;
  • A current reserve keeper who you think has a chance of grabbing the number one spot;
  • A goalie who has just been dropped but you think will either get back in the team or make a transfer;
  • Or a young up-and-coming goalkeeper who could be on the verge of a breakthrough.

All of these come with a degree of risk but could really pay off if they come good for you. 

Failing all that you could just bite the bullet and pay a big asking price for an established goalkeeper, feeling it is worth it in the long run to have that stability in your squad.

N.B. – Update 17.03.21 – It might be worth waiting on this however as Sorare have recently stated they are planning to take some action around the cost of goalkeepers – this might involve the new scarcity level for example. 

 

Building a Team for Scoring 

As well as looking at individual player’s attributes, it is also worth considering their suitability for SO5 scoring and the kind of team you want to build.  

In our view, the type of players to focus on in SO5 terms are those who play regularly and get consistently good scores. Whilst it’s nice to speculate on the “next big thing,” it is usually better to focus on a player with proven credentials and a history of good SO5 scores, certainly if you can pick them up for a decent price. It’s generally best to avoid the Twitter hype and those players being pumped based on very little substance.

Playing regularly is such a key part of SO5 because with only five players participating for you in each contest, one of them not playing and scoring a big fat zero can really drag down your score and mean you end up missing the threshold for an ETH payout, or could even mean you miss out on a rare card prize if your other players have put in good scores. 

The interesting thing is that players don’t really need to do very much in the Sorare scoring matrix to score 40-50 points if they start a game, as long as they don’t have a complete ‘mare. Five of those scores and you are well on your way to picking up an ETH payout on Global All-Star Division 4. 

 

 

Targeting Young Players

One element we certainly think is worth focusing on is finding good young players on Sorare. As we discussed above in our analysis of how to value players, the beauty of Sorare is that cards don’t expire so a young player could feasibly be churning out rewards for you for 15 years or more. 

We are surprised in some ways that young players aren’t even more highly prized on Sorare. Yes the big name young players considered the “next wonderkids” like Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala are exorbitantly priced but lesser-known young players are often comparably priced to much older players with similar SO5 scores. 

In addition to having a much longer career ahead of them, young players on Sorare have the added utility of being able to be entered in the U23 league.

Younger players also have more potential to improve and develop as they get older, with many being raw talents when they burst on the scene who need game time and experience to develop their skills. Don’t forget that in his first season at Man Utd, Cristiano Ronaldo only scored four league goals, was considered by some to be a “one trick pony” and “too weak” to survive the physicality of the English game. Well just look how that turned out…

So we would advise scouting around for good young players, avoiding the “obvious” ones but rather focus on players with good SO5 scores and the potential to improve.

If you haven’t signed up already you can sign up here and get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

 

Looking at Obscure Leagues and Players

One of the nuances of Sorare is that an unheralded forward in the Belgian Jupiler League can score just as well in SO5 as the likes of Kylian Mbappe and Mo Salah. There is no bonus for scoring your points in the big leagues instead of the smaller ones nor bonuses for playing against stronger teams week-in, week-out.  

Although there aren’t quite as many real bargains to be found in the more obscure leagues as there used to be, there is still value to be had in shopping around in the Dutch, Belgian, Portuguese and Russian leagues and the MLS for example.  

 

Picking Players with European Football

Another aspect to consider when choosing players is whether they have European football, in terms of Champions League and Europa League fixtures. These are eligible competitions when it comes to the Sorare fantasy contests (SO5), meaning your players can score points in games played in these competitions.

So having players who will get a lot of extra games via these competitions is certainly an advantage. Whilst players from the top clubs like Real Madrid and Juventus tend to be already highly valued, there are players from top Portuguese and Dutch clubs for example who are good value and are normally involved in European competition.

 

Even players from a less glamorous but very successful club like Athletico Madrid are available at cheaper prices than their more illustrious neighbours. They are frequently involved in the Champions League and often get to the latter stages with their tough, gritty style of play. 

So having a look for players who have this added bonus of European football is certainly an advantage that you can get, often for little to no extra cost in terms of a player’s value relatively to a comparable player who doesn’t have European football.

 

Picking Up Out of Favour Players

Whilst our natural instincts tend to attract to us the red-hot, in-form players making headlines, it can really pay off to focus instead on the injured, suspended, out of season and generally out of favour players – presuming of course we think they are actually good players and have some data to back that up. 

A player’s value can drop significantly when they are injured as people want players who they can play in the next gameweek, but presuming the injury isn’t too serious and threatens their career, then it can actually be an ideal time to pick them up. 

We have seen instances of a player’s price being significantly suppressed whilst out injured, even though the player is only due to be out for a few weeks and the injury is pretty minor. Then when that player recovers and starts playing again, the price jumps back up. A good resource for injury news is the Sportsgambler site.

The same thing can be true of players in leagues that are on a break or players that have been suspended. It can also be true of players who are out of form and have been dropped, although there is a risk that it could be a while before they get back in the team. A certain amount of judgement and knowledge of the players and clubs involved is needed here.

Again though, if a price has dropped and you think the player is genuinely quality and the dip in form is just temporary, it can be worth taking a long-term view that the player will get back in the team or get a transfer, sooner rather than later.

 

 

Choosing Your Gameweek Entries

When it comes to picking which players will go in your teams, the choices can be tricky. This is particularly the case if you have a lot of cards and can’t decide which ones to enter in the various contests. 

First off you want to check any team news and injuries, although Sorare moving the deadline for entries from 6pm to 1pm UTC has made this a little more tricky. But you should be able to check for any obvious injuries and suspensions of those players who are definitely going to be out, allowing you to exclude those players.

Then you probably want to check which players have been playing regularly in the last few games. Although rotation is part of the modern game, particularly with certain managers such as Pep Guardiola and can be the scourge of Sorare users, ultimately by following your players closely you should get a feel for whether they are likely to start or not. Some players are “first on the teamsheet” kind of guys who barring injury you know will be playing, where as others might be more likely to start European games than league matches for example. 

It can then be an idea to look at the fixture list and see whether any of your players are involved in potentially hard or easy games – a top against bottom match-up for example. Whilst we wouldn’t get too wound up in this as often players perform fairly consistently despite who the opposition is, it can be worth looking at just to see if there are any obviously easy games to take advantage of or hard games to avoid. 

In terms of which leagues/divisions to target, our own preference is to always ensure we have a team in the Global All-Star Division 4 so we have a chance of winning the ETH payout. We tend to like the “Steady Eddy” types who start regularly and usually hit around 50 points so we have as good a chance as possible of hitting the thresholds.

When considering the other leagues, it’s a good idea to look at what percentage of entrants typically get a prize in that league. The Twitter account @SorareHub usually produces a table of the average percentage of managers winning prizes per division, both on average and in the last gameweek. You can also look yourself on Sorare in the “play” page at how many people have entered each contest and how far down the prizes go. 

In general the Asian and American divisions have had the lowest score needed to win a prize, with unsurprisingly the Global All-Star division 4 having the lowest percentage of managers winning card prizes (but excluding the ETH rewards).

There is no right or wrong answer in choosing which leagues to enter, although we would recommend going for a league you have a chance of hitting a prize in rather than trying to “shoot for the stars” in one of the higher divisions thinking you want to test yourself against the big boys (and girls). The upper divisions are very competitive and you will generally need really high quality super-rare or even unique cards to be challenging for the spoils in those upper echelons. 

You can check out Sorare for yourself here.

Flipping/Trading

As we mentioned at the outset of the article, we are long-term holders and are not really focused on the practice of “flipping” – or in other words buying a card in the hope of selling it on quickly at a higher price – but it is worth a short word on as it does make up a part of the opportunity on Sorare.

If you are going to flip, here are some trends we have noticed:-

  • It can be advantageous to find players who are cheaper compared to a very similar players. Opportunities like this still exist and if you see two players of a similar age, with very similar SO5 scores and standing in the game but one is twice the price of the other, it usually isn’t that long before the cheaper one rises in price as other managers spot the discrepancy. 
  • The kind of out of favour players we mentioned above can be ideal for flipping – injured, suspended, benched or out of form individuals can be a bargain at a knockdown price to sell on later once they are back in the team.
  • It can be worth making offers to other managers for their players, particularly if the manager won the card as a reward and isn’t using it (which you can see from the bonus percentage and XP points). However, don’t make derisory offers – this is likely to get you blocked and make flipping harder in the long run. Have a look at recent secondary market prices and those of cards currently for sale and perhaps offer a little below that, maybe 5-10% max. The days of expecting to have an offer accepted 40% below the current asking price are gone – for now at least. 
  • If you are going to approach other managers it is a good idea to use Discord to make approaches rather than making a direct offer on Sorare. This has two advantages: one is you can negotiate (and have a bit of banter) and hopefully come to an agreement suitable to both parties, where as at the moment the process on Sorare itself is limited to an offer and acceptance/rejection; secondly, currently on Sorare once you have made an offer the funds are taken out of your ETH wallet until that offer is either accepted or rejected, making it quite difficult to make multiple offers simultaneously, unless you have a large balance of course.
  • Look for a good window to sell a player. We listened to a podcast recently where a manager said he was doing very well by putting his players up for sale in the hours before the deadline for a gameweek. His belief was that people really want to enter the contests and will often pay inflated prices for cards to enable them to do so.  He would then buy cards up again later when things had settled down, listing them before the next deadline. Rinse and repeat, as they say.

One final note on flipping: it can be tempting to see people’s screenshots on Twitter showing big profits made from flipping and think it will always be easy to make a profit this way. However, at the time of writing there has been a huge bull market over the last few weeks with the prices of just about every player rising, many by huge amounts. Flipping might not be quite so easy in a flat or down market, particularly if there isn’t significant liquidity (a large pool of willing buyers).

 

Summary and Further Resources

Sorare is an amazing concept but it is complex for the uninitiated and there is quite a lot of nuance and skill to getting it right. Doing your research by scouting players, looking at their history and stats, checking team news and injuries and generally putting in the time is definitely a good idea if you want to get the best out of it. 

We have set out some strategies above that we hope will be useful to you in your journey on Sorare. No doubt some of the dynamics will change over time so it is worth keeping up to date with the latest developments. We will be tracking our own progress live here on the site so you can see how we get on.

This strategy guide is by no means exhaustive or the only resource out there on Sorare of course. We can recommend the following resources for further information on the platform:

  • SorareHub on Twitter with useful tables and stats on Sorare contests;
  • Football MDJ on Twitter who has some insightful comments and articles;
  • Quinny on YouTube who is quite an experienced player and has lots of useful info and tips as well as live streams etc;
  • John Nellis on YouTube, with some good introductory guides plus some chats and discussions;
  • Sorareinfo, which has lots of useful news and updates on Sorare as well as tips on players to buy.

No doubt many more will pop over time as Sorare grows but those are the best resources we have found so far.

Anyway, we hope you have found this strategy guide useful and please let us know if you have any questions in the comments below or by dropping us a message at info@honestbettingreviews.com.

You can sign up here and get a free Rare Card once you have bought your first five Rare cards through an auction.

 

 

 

 

Tipster of the Month – February

We are starting a new feature here at Honest Betting Reviews – our “Tipster of the Month” award. 

This is where we look at the top tipsters – both those we have reviewed in the past and those we are currently reviewing – to see who has performed most strongly over the last month. 

It’s a chance to find out who is in form and has been giving the bookies a good hiding over the last month and to note any stand-out performances.

This will encompass all sports and disciplines so the competition will be fierce. 

It will be interesting to see as the months go by whether there are any tipsters who consistently appear in the awards, demonstrating their strength over an extended period of time.

So to kick things off we will take a look at the Tipster of the Month for February.

 

Tipster of the Month – February 2021

February is an interesting month from a betting point of view. In horse racing terms, it can be tricky with bad weather interrupting the schedule and many horses being prepared for Cheltenham just being given a run as more of a warm-up than anything else. 

That was very much the case this year with some poor weather across the UK playing havoc with racing’s fixture list. However, thankfully some tipsters managed to overcome all that and still produce an excellent profit, which is good to see. 

In football terms, February is usually a busy month with the Champions League and Europe League returning and races for the title across the European leagues hotting up. That was even more so this year with an incredibly busy schedule due to previous covid interruptions meaning wall-to-wall football, which at least helped footy fans cope with the lockdown. 

Anyway, let’s take a look at the top three tipsters for the month of February:

 

3. MJ Racing

In third spot we have a tipster we have recently finished a review of at the start of February and they smashed it during our trial, making over 100 points profit. 

This is a tipping duo combining the skills of two professional gamblers, Mark and Jay (hence the “MJ” Racing). 

Since our review ended they have continued to perform very well, notching up 29 points, or £580 profit for the month of February at £20/point stakes. 

Winners during the month included Shannon Bridge at Ascot at 16/1, Fou Diligence at Naas at 14/1, Sheriff Garrett at Catterick at 10/1 and Captain Chaos at Ascot at 10/1 along with a host of other successes during the month. 

A fine effort for February carrying on from where they left off at the end of our review.

You can check out MJ Racing here.

 

2. Quentin Franks Racing

Taking second place is one of our old favourites, the venerable Quentin Franks Racing. 

Still going strong after more than six years as a tipster, Quentin landed yet another profitable month in February to add to his extensive collection.

Racking up 38 points profit, or £760 profit to £20/point stakes, Mr Franks once again put the bookies to the sword.

Highlights for the month included Nortonthorpe Boy at Wolves at 6/1 (a 2pt win bet), Shamarouski at Chelmsford at 14/1 and a succession of other winners throughout the month. Great stuff as ever.

You can check out Quentin Franks Racing here.

 

1. The Outside Edge

Taking top slot as Tipster of the Month for February is a service we are currently reviewing and who is hitting it out of the park, making over 150 points profit for our trial so far and that is The Outside Edge.

This is a horse racing tipster who takes a two-pronged approach, sending two sets of tips each day – the first few tips the evening before to capture value in the markets then a second round of tips in the morning to grab some final value.

It’s an approach that has been working very well, with a profit of 41 points, or £820 profit at £20/point made during the month of February. 

Winners during the month included Starfighter at Newcastle at 11/1, Claud And Goldie at Kelso at 10/1, Multellie at Carlisle at 11/1 and they capped off the month with a winner yesterday from their sole bet at odds of 7/1.

So red-hot form from this tipster and well deserving of the Tipster of the Month award for February. 

You can check out The Outside Edge here.

 

 

 

Best Lay Betting Systems

With the advent of Betfair and the betting exchanges in the early 2000s, punters were given the chance to do something they hadn’t been able to up to that point – bet on selections to lose. 

Otherwise known as lay betting, this new tool in bettors’ armoury forever changed the game and created whole new dynamics in terms of betting, trading and how punters saw markets. 

Where as previously you had only been able to bet on a horse, player or team to win, now you could potentially make money from betting on them to lose, just as the bookies had been doing for centuries. 

Ordinary bettors could even become market-makers themselves, pricing up selections and becoming defacto bookies. 

Now that the betting exchanges have become an ingrained part of the gambling world and are largely taken for granted, it has almost been forgotten what a revolutionary development the introduction of lay betting has been. But we should not forget how significantly it has changed the landscape nor the opportunities it opens up for us as bettors.

Below we are going to take a look at some of the best of these opportunities – the top five most effective laying strategies we have uncovered through all our years of reviews and testing here at Honest Betting Reviews. 

Before we get on to that though, a quick word on lay betting.

 

Introduction – Lay Betting

Although as we have said the advent of lay betting was a tremendously significant development in betting and is an additional tool in the bettor’s arsenal, it should not be thought of as a road to instant riches. 

When the bookies lay selections (or take bets on them in other words), they do so with an over-round in their favour. This “house edge” means they offer slightly worse odds than the true chances of the selections winning – that is how they make their money.

So if for example a horse has a 5/2 chance of winning a race, the bookies will offer 9/4, or even 2/1 if we are talking about the more stingy bookmakers…we won’t name names here but you know who they are! The bookies can do this and know that bets will get taken as there are millions of customers out there.

Whereas if you are laying a horse on Betfair, such is the liquidity of the markets and competition for prices that you would not have that luxury of offering poor prices and expecting bets to get taken. Occasionally you may get matched at lower odds due to the general fluctuations in the market but this would not be consistent. 

On top of that, you would need to overcome the 2% commission you are charged by Betfair, so in effect you would need to beat the market by at least 3% to make a profit in the long run, just as you need to with back betting.

So making money laying is actually quite hard, despite how easy it might seem at first to “pick losers.” In fact, at Honest Betting Reviews we’ve found only a handful of really good laying systems and the majority of the winning strategies we’ve found are actually backing ones. 

There are some good ones out there though who have found a knack of profiting from laying, which we will take a look at now.

 

Top 5 Lay Betting Systems

So now we take a look at our top five lay betting systems we have found through our extensive testing and research, starting from number five down to the best. They cover quite a wide range of sports and approaches but have all shown an ability to produce a consistent profit. 

 

5. Donkey Lays

In theory the idea of backing horses to lose seems very appealing – it seems easy to pick those wretched types who look like they could never win in a month of Sundays. Well it is actually tougher than it first seems and we have in fact only found two decent horse laying services in our time here at Honest Betting Reviews.

One of those is Donkey Lays, which is a service that looks for horses to lay in the win and place markets on Betfair. They only lay at prices of 4.0 and below on the place market, although that can still mean the prices on the win part of the bet are as high as 18, which is a little higher than we would normally like to see so a large bank is recommended to cover any such losses.

However, the results so far have been very good, with over 160 points profit made in total. The strike rate on the place market is excellent at just under 90% whilst it is also strong on the win market at over 67%.

It is still relatively early days with this service but the results look promising and Donkey Lays seems to have found a propsensity for identifying out-of-form types.

 

4. Lay Overs – Trade on Sports

When it comes to football, most punters don’t like the idea of laying goals. They like the feeling of backing the overs market and cheering for there to be goals, when they can celebrate with lots of “Booms!” and positive emojis.

This service takes an alternative approach however and has been remarkably successful at doing so. It comes from the excellent Trade on Sports platform and is known as their “HT 2 ahead lay overs” strategy. In simple terms that means they are betting that there will be less than two goals in the second half of selected matches. For example that means if a game is 1-1 at half-time, you are laying over 3.5 goals.

The strategy is based on a huge database of stats of past matches, known as the “Gamestate App” which looks at leagues and teams in question and works out the chances of more goals, taking into account the timing of goals in the game so far. We ran a review of Trade on Sports and gave it a resounding thumbs up after they made a superb profit across their systems.

The Lay Overs strategy itself has produced excellent results, making over 45 points profit since going live at a return on investment of 17%, which is exceptional for football betting. The strike rate is impressive at 53%, meaning over half the bets have been winners. 

Trade on Sports consider this to be their number one strategy  and we can see why. Sometimes it pays to go “against the crowd” as it were and this is one of those instances where doing just that and laying further goals in a game has really paid off. 

 

3. Tennis Goldmine

Tennis is one of the most gambled-on sports in the world and the liquidity on matches on the main ATP and WTA tours  is usually very high. This means there are good opportunities for trading and for laying. 

One strategy that has capitalised on this opportunity is Tennis Goldmine from respected tennis betting expert Patrick Ross. It is a simple lay betting system with a few rules and it only takes a few minutes per day to find the bets. 

We ran a live trial of the system and it performed very well, making 28 points profit at a return on investment of 10% and with a strike rate of 52%, which is good going. 

There are two staking systems to choose from, one is a loss-recovery system known as the Fibonacci staking system which can be quite volatile and requires a substantial bank to weather the potential drawdowns, whilst the other is simple flat staking. Whilst the Fibonacci staking is more risky it also offers potentially higher rewards. 

Tennis Goldmine now comes with Patrick’s tennis betting tips for free, making it excellent value for what you get as part of the package. As a simple laying strategy that has produced solid results it is well worth checking out. 

 

2. Football Advisor Lays

Next up is a long running football laying service from the respected Football Advisor team. This is a service we have reviewed twice, firstly back in 2017 and more recently in 2018. Both times it made a profit, notching up a combined 44 points profit. 

They provide both lay the win and lay the draw selections in leagues from around the world and use their extensive stats database to find value bets. It was the lay the win selections that performed best during our trial so it may be best to concentrate on those. The strike rate for the selections was very high at nearly 80% whilst the return on investment was a decent 7%. 

The service has been running since way back in 2013 and we often say here that longevity is the ultimate sign of a successful system. In that time they have made over £11,420 profit to £35 stakes and have averaged a strike rate of 84%, which means a very high number of successful lays. 

All in all then with return on capital, or bank growth, at over 320% Football Advisor Lays has stood the test of time and proved itself as one of the best lay betting systems out there.

 

1. Little Acorns

Taking the number one slot in terms of the best lay betting systems is none other than the multi-award winning Little Acorns. 

As we mentioned with Football Advisor Lays, longevity is a key test of a truly successful system and there are few betting services with greater longevity than Little Acorns. Having been originally released way back in 2009, it has made a profit every year since and is one of the most tried and tested strategies out there. 

Little Acorns is essentially a simple betting system for laying horses at odds-on according to a set of just four rules which are laid out in the PDF guide. Much like Tennis Goldmine, it recommends using a form of loss-recovery staking, although you can of course use flat staking if you are of a lower-risk appetite – but the profits will be lower at the same time. 

As the old saying goes and the name of the services alludes to, “Great oaks from little acorns grow.” The idea is that you can start with a small amount and just build it gradually and steadily into something quite substantial, using the magic of compounding. We have heard that some members have done exactly that and now bet at quite hefty stakes, producing very decent profits.  

We ran our own review of the system and it performed admirably, racking up 189 points profit with a 51% strike rate. What’s nice about the system is that it only takes around 10-15 minutes per day to find the selections and there is an average of just one bet per day, so it’s easy to use. 

It is no surprise that Little Acorns has won numerous awards in its time, including our very own Best Horse Racing Service 2020 voted for by our members, after having been runner-up twice in the same category in previous years. It has a loyal fan base who have seen what it can do. 

Given its long track record of success over such a long period, Little Acorns is deserving of a place right at the top of this list. 

 

Conclusion – Lay Betting Systems

So there you have it, our top five lay betting systems. 

They cover a variety of different sports and a range of different approaches, but all have one thing in common: the ability to generate a decent, long-term profit. 

This is our own choice, so please let us know if there is a good one you use that isn’t mentioned in this list. 

Lay betting presents punters with a valuable tool in their arsenal but there have been surprisingly few successful laying strategies developed over the years. It is not as easy as it seems, which makes the achievement of those that have managed to make a profit from laying all the more commendable. 

Whether you follow one of the systems above or develop your own laying strategy, good luck with your betting and please always gamble responsibly. 

 

 

 

Get Your Free Cheltenham Yankee

The Cheltenham Festival is just around the corner and we’ve got an excellent freebie today for you from the highly respected Cleeve Racing.

In fact, it’s so good it could see you win nearly £80,000 from just a £22 bet!

Get Your FREE Cheltenham Festival Yankee PDF here.

Cleeve’s award-winning tipster panel have combined their very best tips for this year’s festival into one bookie-busting Yankee bet.

They have gone close in recent years with this bet so hopefully this year is the year…

Even if all the selections don’t win you can still make a nice profit from combining the selections into a multiple like this and it adds a bit of fun to the festival experience.

Each tip is thoroughly researched with a full write-up in the PDF.

The odds of these selections are likely to drop pretty quickly as the festival approaches so we’d advise grabbing this now if you want to get on.

Check out Cleeve Racing’s FREE Cheltenham Yankee here.

 

 

 

How to pick a winner in the 2021 Grand National

Image source: Photo

Finding a winning horse in the Grand National is one of the hardest tasks as a horse racing punter. This iconic National Hunt race is world-renowned for being one of the most grueling races on the planet, with 40 guaranteed runners and riders, 30 fences to negotiate, and a stiff test of stamina over four miles and two furlongs.

It’s very much “survival of the fittest” stuff. Both Red Rum and Tiger Roll have made history through the years by being the only horses to win successive Grand Nationals, so it’s easy to see why it’s so difficult to pick a winner.

You’ve only got to look back to the 2013 Grand National to understand that upsets can happen at Aintree. Most horse racing enthusiasts won’t forget the shock of a 100/1 winner in the shape of Aurora’s Encore.

The horse had received little airtime from pundits and analysts alike. It was low rated by the handicappers and had a lengthy history of falling over fences. This, combined with a jockey who was inexperienced around Aintree, meant that very few punters were prepared to touch this horse with a bargepole.

The rest, as they say, is history. Aurora’s Encore romped home to victory, in what was a monstrous victory for the bookmakers. Although there are anomalies like Aurora’s Encore, there are ways to drill down through the pre-race data and narrow your possible selections in the build-up to the Grand National.

Look out for entrants carrying heavy weights

How much weight a horse carries around Aintree is a major consideration for anyone wanting to pick a winner in the 2021 Grand National. Typically, punters should avoid any horse carrying more than 11st 03lbs as this historically proves too much for horses to carry for the full four miles and two furlongs. Although Tiger Roll, Don’t Push It and Neptune Collonges have defied the top weight in recent years, they are certainly exceptions to the rule.

Don’t rule out horses that have previously failed at Aintree

When you look back at the racing form, don’t discount a horse just because it’s been pulled up or fallen before in the Grand National. This is one of the most unique jump races in the world. These things happen. It could have been something as simple as unsuitable ground which prevented your selection from making headway. There are plenty of recent National winners that have failed to finish in the years beforehand, notably Amberleigh House, Silver Birch and Hedgehunter.

Avoid backing seven-year-old runners

Aside from weight, age is another influential factor when it comes to hand-picking potential Grand National winners. Based on historical data, horses aged between eight and 11 are most likely to be contenders. In fact, it’s been more than three quarters of a century since a seven-year-old horse won the Grand National.

In the last 50 years of the race, 15 were won by nine-year-olds, followed by a dozen ten-year-olds. Beginners to betting on jump horse racing might think that betting on a ten-year-old would seem like betting on an ageing veteran, but older horses tend to have the stamina and know-how in the tank to prevail at Aintree.

There’s rarely such a thing as a ‘value’ pre-race favorite (take advantage of enhanced offers)

SOURCE: Photo

It’s true that the pre-race favorites rarely turn up and meet the expectations on race day at Aintree. Don’t Push It was one of the few favorites to win in 2010 and, of course, Tiger Roll surpassed bookmakers’ expectations in 2019. The reality is that pre-race favorites at low odds in the Grand National are rarely value plays.

Just because a runner’s price shortens in the morning of the race, doesn’t mean he’s more likely to win, especially given the huge variables involved with running in the National. The only way to find better value on pre-race favorites is to seek out enhanced odds promotions listed at sites like Oddschecker, which can give you more bang for your buck.

Most former winners are race-sharp ahead of the Grand National

Horse racing is like most professional sports; the more you play the better you get. It’s the same analogy with winners at the Grand National. Most winners at Aintree are incredibly fresh and have benefited from a previous run within 50 days of the National. In fact, eight-in-ten of the previous ten winners had run a race within 50 days of crossing the finish post first at Aintree.

It’s very difficult for a horse to be lightly raced and be thrown straight in at the deep end in the Grand National. Horses like Tiger Roll have their pre-National schedule mapped out months in advance, with regular races at Navan and Cheltenham booked in before Aintree.

Only consider horses that have won at three miles or longer

The British Horseracing Authority (BHA) has recently stipulated that a horse can only be entered into the Grand National providing it has finished at least fourth in a steeplechase of three miles or longer.

Most successful punters at the Grand National go one further than this and home in on stayers that have won a steeplechase at three miles or longer. That’s because only one horse since 1970 – Rule the World in 2016 – has managed to win the National despite not winning a steeplechase at three miles or further.

Find bookmakers that offer more each-way places to cover your bets

If you are someone that prefers to bet each-way on the Grand National to hedge your bets, make sure you bet with a bookmaker that offers the maximum number of each-way places. Although most bookies will cover four or five places each-way in the Grand National, it has been known for some operators to expand that to six places on occasion. This greatly increases your chances of making a profit from your bet, with six places capable of paying out at least 25% of your potential winnings on first place.

Hopefully this seven-point roadmap gives you some food for thought before checking out the racecard for the 2021 Grand National. Keep these pointers firmly in mind when narrowing down your selections and you shouldn’t go too far wrong.

 

 

 

Best In-Play Betting Tips for 2021

Instead of backing in pre-match betting markets, punters are increasingly being drawn to in-play betting. There is certainly value to be found in in-play markets with odds shifting as the play unfolds. Naturally, these changes in odds can be quite volatile and can change at the drop of the hat. This presents plenty of opportunities for savvy bettors to turn a profit.

Most bookmakers will offer some form of in-play betting across a range of sports but how do you take advantage of this? The following article will detail some of the best in-play betting tips to give you the best chance of raking in the profits.

Also, if you want to find some of the best in-play bookmakers, then take a look at Aussie Bets.

Back the Favourite When They’re Behind

Waiting for your event to start can give you much-improved odds in markets you would like to back. An example of this that can be very profitable is backing the favourite in-play.

Let’s say you are confident that Team A will win but they fall behind early on. Backing them in-play will obviously give you far better odds when they’re behind. This can turn backing a favourite into a good value bet.

There are a lot of different circumstances at play here, so it is important to weigh them up. If the heavy favourites in a football game concede in the first five minutes, there is more than enough time for their quality to shine through and turn the result around. However, backing a team that goes behind in the final five minutes is far riskier and will be reflected in the odds.

Backing a Favourite When Things Are Level Late On

This doesn’t apply to all sports but in events where draws are possible, this is a viable in-play tactic. Games that are level in the closing stages can become a valuable hunting ground for those who back the pre-match favourite. The longer the game goes on, the shorter the odds will become a for a draw, and the longer the odds will become for the original favourite.

In-Play betting also allows you to assess how the event is unfolding. You have a lot more information to go off during an event than you do before. If a team is looking likely to win based on proceedings but has yet to make that count in the scoring, the odds are likely to present some value.

Look Out for Vastly Different Odds

Betting in-play can open lots of doors. Once an event begins the odds in some specific markets can change tremendously and not just become of the score or result of a game.

A good example of this is goalscorer odds in football. Once players are named as substitutes their odds to score become much longer. This is because they will have limited minutes on the pitch compared to starting players. Nevertheless, you can use the match situation to your advantage to make informed bets.

If a side is 1-0 down in the final 25 minutes, they are likely to bring on an attacking player sooner rather than later. What’s more, they are going to be brought on with an emphasis to score goals rather than run down the clock. With that information, you may be able to spot good value bets with high odds and turn a profit from relatively small wagers.

Take Advantage of Cash-Out Offers

The vast majority of sportsbooks that offer in-play betting will have some form of cash-out available and it is well worth using this on occasion. The cash-out feature isn’t just available for pre-match bets and can be used wisely with in-play bets too.

Don’t be scared to use the cash-out feature if you have reason to believe that your bet is no longer a likely winner. A lot of people view cash-outs as admitting defeat but on some occasions, it can land you a profit where ordinarily there would be no profit to be made.

Cashing out in-play gives you the chance to see events unfold in real-time and act accordingly. There are scenarios where you cannot cash-out but if you see that the team you backed is on the backfoot or the player you backed isn’t looking up to par, consider cashing out and taking a smaller profit or reduced loss.

The Bottom Line

Betting in-play can be a very nice way to add a bit of extra profit and can uncover some truly great odds. Have a browse around and see what catches your eye as events unfold. If you’re interested in furthering your betting skills, make sure to take a look at Aussie Bets for all the best sports betting sites in Australia.