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Over 3.5 Goals Strategy

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The over/under 3.5 goals market is one of the most popular to bet on and offers some great opportunities to make a profit. We will take a look below at how the market works and some strategies for betting on it.

 

How Does the Over/Under 3.5 Goals Market Work?

Although sounding a little complicated at first, the over/under 3.5 goals market is in fact very simple.

It is basically about the number of goals that will be scored in a soccer match. You can either bet that there will be more than four goals, or less. 

Now you may be wondering how there can be 3.5 goals in a football match – how can half a goal be scored?

Well in fact the market is not suggesting half a goal will be scored, but rather it is setting up a binary outcome – your bet can only win or lose, it cannot draw.

If there are three goals or less, then it is under 3.5 goals. If there are four or more goals, it is over 3.5 goals.

Here are the possible outcomes in table format:

 

Scoreline Outcome 
0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2, 2-1, 1-2, 3-0, 0-3  Under 3.5 goals 
3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, all other scorelines Over 3.5 goals

 

So as you can see from the table above, if we have a scoreline like 3-1, 2-2, 3-2 etc, or indeed anything with four or more goals, it will be over 3.5 goals.

It should be noted that the market does not include extra time and penalties, it is just normal time (i.e. 90 mins + stoppage time). 

 

Advantages of Betting on Over 3.5 Goals

 

There are a number of advantages to betting on the over 3.5 goals market.

In the first instance, the over/under markets are very popular with punters so you should get good liquidity on the market. Although the over 3.5 market isn’t generally quite as popular as the over 2.5, it is still a good market in terms of liquidity, particularly in the matches with high scoring teams where there is a decent likelihood there will be four or more goals. 

At the same time, you generally get good odds on over 3.5 goals. Normally speaking the odds tend to vary between 5.0 for low-scoring teams, up to around 3.5 for an average game and down to odds-on in some instances.  

The likes of Man City and Liverpool for example will be closer to the 1.7 mark for over 3.5 goals if they are up against weak opposition. 

The over 3.5 goals market can seem a little risky to get involved in with the match needing 4 or more goals for your bet to win, but if the teams are free-scoring it can be an exciting wager as goals fly in one after another and you get closer to winning your bet. 

Finally, by selecting the right teams you can have a decent strike rate of winners as you would be surprised how often some teams score over 3.5 goals – but more on that below.  

 

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Disadvantages of Betting on Over 3.5 Goals

The main disadvantage of backing over 3.5 goals is that it can have a lower strike rate than backing the over 2.5 goals and over 1.5 goals markets.

The other thing of course is that it can be quite frustrating if you get three goals in a game and you are waiting for the fourth goal to be scored but it never arrives. Particularly if the teams are firing in shots on goal, hitting the woodwork and the keepers are having a blinder, it can be very tough to take at times.

 

Best Bookies for Over 3.5 Goals Strategy

As it is one of the most liquid markets around, you should have no problem obtaining good value for your bets on the over 3.5 goals market and pretty much all bookies will cover the market.

We find that Betfair generally has very good odds for the over/under 3.5 goals market, as does Bet 365.

 

Over 3.5 Goals Strategies

Below we detail two strategies for betting on over 3.5 goals and how you can use the way the market operates to your advantage.

 

Strategy One – Looking at the Stats for Over 3.5 Goals

Firstly we are going to look at a straightforward betting strategy for taking on the over 3.5 goals market.

What we are going to do is study stats for the over 3.5 goals market and we are looking for matches where both teams have a high propensity to be involved in games with at least 4 goals. 

We want to avoid teams who are solid defensively and/or do not have a potent attack. Even if one team is a good attacking force, if the other has an excellent defence then you may not end up seeing the requisite number of goals to win your bet. 

So how do we find the relevant stats when looking for teams to bet on in the over 3.5 goals market? 

Well you can use a site like soccerstats to look at statistics for teams who have a high rate of over 3.5 goals.

If you go to the site, you can then select the league you are interested in at the top and then you can select the statistics option and “over/under total goals.”

This will give you a table as below, which shows the various over/under statistics for all the teams.

This table is taken from the Dutch Eredivisie which is a great league for over 3.5 goals. The football played in the Netherlands is very attacking and there are plenty of goals. 

As you can see from the table, the top teams for over 3.5 goals were Feyenoord and Willem II, with 50% of the their games over the course of that season finishing with four or more goals. PSV, Ajax and Utrecht also scored highly with 47% of their matches finishing over 3.5 goals. 

This is a good starting point for research on over 3.5 goals betting and shows you those teams who have around half of their games finish with the target score, so when these teams play each other this can be a good bet. 

However, it can be worth delving down deeper into the stats and looking for a more nuanced approach. 

Looking specifically at the away form for example in the table below, we can see that PSV, Feyenoord, Utrecht and Excelsior all had more of their away games finish in over 3.5 goals than home games. 

That may be because they play more on the break and hit teams hard with their pace and attacking precision. Often though you would get better odds for the game to finish over 3.5 goals when these teams are away from home, so this kind of detail can be useful when selecting your bets. 

Play close attention to the attacking styles of the teams and which ones may be more likely to score goals away than home.  

Another thing to pay close attention to is the team news, to be sure any of the key attacking players aren’t missing which would affect the chances of the game finishing above 3.5 goals. 

 

Strategy Two – Backing Over 3.5 Goals In-Play

An alternative over 3.5 goals strategy is to wait for the game to go in-running before placing your bet.

There can be excellent value if you wait until the second half in games before placing your over 3.5 goals bet.

If there have already been three goals in the game then you only need one more for it to become a winning bet on over 3.5 goals. Even when there have just been two goals in a game, if it is a really open game then it can be worth going over 3.5 goals as there will be better odds than just going over 2.5 goals at that stage.

This is where you can lie in wait and pounce. By monitoring the in-play stats – or even better watching the game live – you can see how open a game is and how likely it is that there will be more goals. You can see how many shots are going in on goal, how many corners there are and how much attacking play is taking place.

Using a tool such as the In-Play Scanner will identify opportunities when they arise. It uses a rating system to quantify all these stats and give you a number – the higher that number is, the more likely there will be a goal. 

It has proved to he a highly accurate predictor and a trial we ran of alerts based on the tool made £632 profit in a three month review.

The question of when to place your in-running bet is important though. We often think half-time is a good stage because you can asses how a game has progressed over the first half looking at all the stats and how you think the game will pan out in the second half. 

But really you should be ready to place the bet at any time if the scanner or your reading of the game indicates it is a good time for a bet. Normally if it is an open game with lots of chances that haven’t yet been taken then it’s a good time to pounce.  

It is amazing though how many games are cagey in the first half and then open up in the second half, with more goals being scored. So you can plan your bets by watching the stats carefully as to the best entry time. But this is a good over 3.5 goals strategy if used correctly.

 

Summary

The over 3.5 goals market is one of the most popular markets to bet on in football matches. 

It has excellent liquidity and the odds can vary hugely between the top teams at odds-on right up to 5.0 or 6.0 for low scoring teams, with the average odds for over 3.5 goals being around 3.5.  Football Header           

Through the use of statistics and looking at home and away form as well as in-play statistics, you can give yourself an edge over other punters in your betting on the market.

It can be a fun market to bet on, as you cheer on goals whilst not minding who will actually win the game.

As ever though, if you are going to use an over 3.5 goals strategy, please gamble responsibly and only risk money you can afford to lose.

 

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Golf Trading Strategies

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Golf is one of the most popular sports to bet on and attracts large amounts of interest particularly around major championships and big events like the Ryder Cup. 

However, whilst vast amounts of information has been written about trading other sports like football, horse racing and tennis, there is very little guidance available online about trading golf.

We thought it was about time we put that right and provided some examples of golf trading strategies for Betfair. 

After all, with such huge fluctuations in odds during a golf tournament – particularly during a final round when players are jockeying for the title – it should present the budding trader with plenty of opportunities to make a profit. 

We will delve into these further below, but first a quick introduction to how to trade the golf markets on Betfair.

 

How to Trade the Golf Markets on Betfair

Before we get into discussing specific trading strategies for the golf markets, it is probably worth a quick summary of how to trade golf on Betfair for those who may be unaware.

If you are going to trade golf tournaments, then really the only market worth talking about in terms of having enough liquidity to trade is the outright winner market. Most of the other markets like top 5 finish, top 10 finish and 1st round leader will have virtually no liquidity once they go in-running.

So you just want to concentrate on the tournament winner market. This week for example we have the Dunhill Links Championship on the European Tour. It has attracted a good field just after the Ryder Cup and there should be reasonable liquidity in-running.

So we go to the golf markets on Betfair and select the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, then click on Winner, which brings up the outright market:

 

As you can see, Brooks Koepka is the favourite for the event at 12.5. 

So an example of a trade would be if you thought Koepka was going to do well, you could back him at 12.5 and then lay him at a lower price during the tournament if he gets towards the top of the leaderboard. 

Let’s say you backed him for £10 at 12.5 and his price then falls to 6.0. You would be in a position then to take a profit of £10.80 whatever happens, by trading out of your position for equal gain.

Of course if Koepka struggles, his price would drift and you would then have to decide at what price you would want to lay him at and for what loss. 

Either way though, that is a simple example of a golf trade on Betfair and shows you how it works. 

 

A Word on Liquidity

Just quickly before we get onto the strategies, a brief word of caution about liquidity. 

It is not a good idea to trade the Betfair markets if there is not enough liquidity, as you won’t be able to get out of your position easily and in some cases would be forced to take poor value. 

Generally speaking, the top events like the majors, World Golf Championships and top PGA Tour events have strong liquidity and are ideal trading events. Usually events with the top players like Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson and co will also mean good liquidity. 

The events to be careful of are moderate European Tour events with fields lacking Europe’s top players – they will often have poor liquidity in-running. And certainly avoid women’s and seniors’ events, as they usually have dire liquidity and the options for trading will be very limited indeed. 

This may of course change in future but for the time being it is sensible to stick to the big events with the top players. 

OK, so having covered the issue of liquidity, let’s move on to discussing the strategies. 

 

 

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Strategy One – Trade the Course

The first strategy we use to trade the golf markets is what we have nicknamed “Trade the Course.”

What we mean by this is to use the way a course plays – with easy and difficult holes or stretches of holes – to set up your trades. 

Players just about to play an easy hole or stretch of holes have a good chance of seeing their price drop if they can pick up a shot or more over that stretch. 

Let’s look for example at one of the most famous golf courses in the world – Augusta National. The home of the Masters has many iconic holes that stick in the memory. But these holes vary significantly in their difficulty and players’ average scores over the holes. 

The toughest stretch of holes at Augusta is the run from 10th to the 12th hole, which contain two long and testing par 4s that yield plenty of bogeys and double bogeys, as well as a tricky par 3 over water. These holes regularly play over par on average and most players will be delighted to come out of them at level par and would probably even often accept playing the holes in one over par.

So laying a player as they enter this stretch and backing them as they exit it can prove very profitable. If they struggle through it and throw in a double bogey or two then their odds will significantly increase. 

Of course not every player will play the stretch badly. Some will play it in even par, meaning you will probably be able to trade out for roughly break-even. The odd player may even play it under par. But that’s OK – you can’t win every trade, it’s about winning a majority of them and in this case the large majority of times players will struggle over these holes rather than play them well. The trade works even better in windy or cold conditions. 

Conversely, at Augusta the easiest holes are from 13 to 15 (you could even include 16 in that depending on where the pin is situated on the green), with two reachable par 5s and a relatively easy par 4, where many players will hit a wedge or short iron for their second shot. 

So this time you would back the player as they begin the 13th hole and lay them as they finish the 15th (or 16th if the pin is located on the low side of the green where the balls tend to feed down to). 

If they pick up two or three birdies – or even throw in an eagle – then you will be looking at a decent profit on the trade. 

This trade doesn’t tend to work where you have leaders playing in the same group or groups close to each other so that they are playing the same holes at the same time, but in other circumstances we have found it to be a reliable and consistent trading method.

Each course will have its stretches of easy and tough holes. It is just a question of researching the course and looking at the stroke indexes for the holes. Obviously par 5s will normally play the easiest holes and yield the most birdies.

 

Strategy Two – Trading Shots

The second trading strategy we want to outline is one which involves trading around individual shots taken by players in-running.

This is a quickfire method that requires you to get in and out of trades very quickly, so it is essential to only operate this trade in tournaments with excellent liquidity – so the biggest tournaments with the top players. 

The idea is to take advantage of big movements in prices that can happen on the basis of a single shot, particularly where the market has already built in expectations about what is likely to happen.

Trading players when they are putting can pay dividends.

So for example it could be that a player has hit a great approach shot into five feet. The market will often shift as if they have already made the birdie, as people rush to grab a piece of the action, thus pushing the price lower. But if the player in question is a suspect short putter or has a particularly tricky putt, then it could prove effective to in fact lay them before they hit the putt. 

In the instance that they miss the putt, the price will tend to move back towards the level it was before they hit the approach shot – or sometimes even higher – giving you a very healthy profit. If they hole the putt however, you may only get a few ticks down or even not much movement at all, meaning a very small loss or even a risk-free trade. 

Conversely you could take a view on a very good putter who has just hit an approach shot into a green of around 20 to 25 feet. The market will normally presume they will two putt from there and if they do so the market is unlikely to move very much. But if they hole the putt, then their price can drop quite a lot. giving you a very good risk/reward ratio on the trade. 

This works best on those players who are good long putters. Jordan Spieth is an example of a player who holes a lot of medium to long putts, although he is quite well known for it so the market may anticipate him holing a little more than with most players. Other players who are good long putters and worth keeping an eye on include Brandt Snedeker, Alex Noren, Phil Mickelson, Kevin Kisner and Brian Gay. It is also worth checking the PGA Tour putting stats for up-to-date figures on who the best putters on tour are. 

You can apply the single-shot strategy to a variety of scenarios, including where players are about to hit a very tough shot (for example the 17th tee shot at Sawgrass or the approach shot at the 17th at St Andrews). 

The key is to identify where there is the potential for a big price move, but that the market has not anticipated yet. Successfully carrying out this trade comes with practice and it is probably best to paper trade this one until you have mastered it because it does need some speed and experience to execute. 

As we say, you need very good liquidity to operate it effectively so that you are not caught short unable to trade out your position. 

 

 

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Strategy Three – Trading Players in Contention

One of the most interesting strategies is to take a view on players who are in contention during the final round of a tournament.

This is an approach where you are looking to take on players who have shown themselves to be mentally suspect under pressure and to back those who have shown themselves to be able to close out tournaments when under the gun.

It can be very profitable but does take a degree of getting to know the players and their relative mental strength.

What you are looking for is a player who gets into the lead (or very close to the lead) during the final round and sees their odds drop to around evens or below, but where it is a tight situation with only a shot or two in it and a number of players close behind. 

If this player has shown themselves to be suspect when getting into position to win a tournament, then it can be a great time to lay them.

Some players really struggle when the finishing line approaches and find it difficult to continue playing their normal game. Their nerves get the better of them and suddenly their swing becomes erratic and their putts a little edgy. 

This lack of ability is usually reflected in stats for players who have a lot of second and third place finishes with very few wins. Some classic examples of this kind of player are Kevin Na and Charles Howell III. Sergio Garcia used to be one in major championships until he finally got over the line at Augusta, but you still would have made a lot of money by laying him when in contention in the majors up until then.

There are other players who are very consistent performers and rack up a lot of top tens but don’t win as often as people think or the odds often warrant. An example of this kind of player is Justin Rose, who has won only nine events in ten years on the PGA Tour, despite being in contention frequently.

Although he is undoubtedly an excellent golfer, Rose’s odds when he is contention will often crash in the same way as other players who have much more prolific winning records like Spieth, Johnson and Thomas, even though he doesn’t win nearly as often as those players. That is not to say Rose is mentally fragile, just that he doesn’t tend to hole as many putts as the other players at the very top of the game.

One thing to bear in mind when operating this strategy is that players’ mental strength is a changeable factor and it should not be presumed to be fixed. Sometimes a big breakthrough win can change a player’s whole outlook and make them much more confident when in contention in future. Be prepared to adjust your ratings of players’ mental strength over time, particularly after they’ve had a breakthrough win. 

 

General Trading Advice

It is important to remember that success in trading is as much about your mindset and discipline as about the strategies you use. 

If you don’t approach things in the right way and are undisciplined, then losses can ensue and can be quite painful. 

Here are some general guidelines to bear in mind when approaching your trading:

  • – Always have a clear plan before you start to trade – with specific entry and exit points and a plan of what to do if the trade goes against you.
  • – Only risk a fixed percentage of your bank on each trade and don’t vary it.
  • – Don’t go chasing losses or risking bigger amounts to try and make back a losing trade.
  • – Don’t over-trade. If you are feeling tired, losing concentration and starting to make mistakes, it is best to take a break and come back later or the next day when you are fresher.
  • – Don’t  try and trade more than one event at a time – certainly when starting off anyway. You will probably end up in trouble and not able to keep on top of multiple events at once.
  • – Consider using some trading software such as Bet Angel or Fairbot to assist your trading.

Hopefully following these simple guidelines will help you avoid making some of the mistakes that many traders commit when starting out. 

 

 

Conclusion – Golf Trading Strategies

 

That is our introduction to trading the golf markets on Betfair and we hope it has given you some ideas to get going.

Just remember to always be disciplined in your trading and don’t go chasing losses and trading on a whim. Have your strategies worked out in advance and stick to them.

If you do that, golf trading can be quite profitable – and also enjoyable when one of your set-ups plays out just the way you planned it.

As always, please gamble responsibly and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Check out the golf tipster that has made over £13,000 profit to £10 stakes here. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

tennis ball bouncing on line

Tennis Trading Strategies

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Tennis is one of the most popular sports to trade on Betfair, with millions regularly traded in-play on matches.

The volatile nature of the odds, which can fluctuate wildly not just from game-to-game, but from point-to-point, make it an ideal medium for shrewd traders. Indeed, there are some who trade tennis professionally and make a living from it. 

With an almost year-round tennis schedule and multiple tournaments most weeks on the ATP and WTA tours, there are no shortage of matches to trade and no lack of angles to attack.

There is great interest in trading tennis in-play, meaning there is also usually excellent liquidity and you can normally get good value for your trades and most bets matched easily (if you are quick enough, that is).

So with all this going for it, you might think it would be easy to make money from trading tennis.

Well, sadly that is not the case and those who approach it without a clearly thought-out strategy can get badly burned and rack up substantial losses.

It is vital to have some trading strategies planned out in advance and to know when to apply them – and how. 

Below we have put together a guide with some tennis trading strategies that could be used, as well as some general advice on how to be a successful trader.

We hope you find the guide useful and it helps you to trade the tennis markets in-play.

 

How to Trade the Tennis Markets on Betfair

In case you aren’t aware of how the tennis markets work on Betfair, here is a brief summary. 

The idea of trading is to lay at a lower price than you back, thus giving you a profit from the trade. Here is an example from a match between Katerina Siniakova and Caroline Garcia:

The match is tight in the third set and we decide to back Caroline Garcia as the first part of our trade at 1.69 for £2.

 

Caroline Garcia then goes onto hold her serve and her price drops down to 1.42 to lay.

 

 

So we can then trade this out by simply clicking the yellow “Cash Out” button, thus giving us a profit of £0.38 whatever happens.

In very simple terms that is how to trade the tennis markets on Betfair. However, we obviously don’t just want to be randomly backing and laying players and hoping that the odds fall our way. We want to have some clear strategies that will help us make some profits. Let’s have a look at some of those strategies below.

 

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Strategy One – Back the Server

Perhaps the best known and most straightforward trading strategy in tennis is to back the server. This involves backing a player before they are about to serve and laying them at the end of their service game. The idea is obviously that you expect the player to hold their serve.

It is a fairly straightforward trade to operate and can prove very effective in certain situations. It is obviously best applied to those players who most regularly hold their serve. You can get detailed service stats from atptour.com, where they list the percentage of games that each player holds:

As you can see from the graphic, John Isner is the highest rated server at the time of writing and holds his serve an amazing 94% of the time, closely followed by Ivo Karlovic who holds serve at a rate of 92.7%.

So backing these servers at the start of their service game and laying off at the end of the game is likely to have a high probability of success as a trade.

Here is an example of a back the server trade from a game between Andy Murray and Zhizhen Zhang. 

It is a tight match in the third set and Murray is about to serve. His odds are 1.31:

Murray goes on to hold serve and his odds drop to 1.19 to lay, allowing an easy 12 pips of profit from the trade:

So that is the strategy in essence, but there are a few things to consider if you are going to follow the strategy of backing the server though:

  • – If the trade goes against you, the loss can be significant – often over 50 ticks – so be prepared for that and plan out your staking accordingly so it doesn’t bust your bank if the server is broken.
  • – There is typically more of a price movement for service holds/breaks in the final set, as the match gets closer to its conclusion than in the first set – and also towards the end of sets.
  • – The market tends to be more aware of the big servers like Isner, Roanic and Karlovic, so the tick movements for them holding serve are likely to be small. It can pay to follow some less well-known but effective servers with this strategy.
  • – It can also pay to look for players who are weak returners as much as those who are strong servers. If a player has a poor record of breaking serve then it can be profitable to back the other server, presuming they are a decent server of course.
  • – The surface is also important. There are significantly more service holds on grass for example than clay, so be careful if you are using this strategy on clay or other slow surfaces.

Bearing these points in mind and through careful player, match and surface selection, the back the server trading strategy can be effective on the Betfair markets.

 

Strategy Two – Lay the Server

The exact opposite to the strategy above, this time we are laying the server. 

Just as when backing the server we are looking for strong servers, in this case we are looking for weak servers – and good returners. If we can get a scenario with both at the same time then we are in a really good position. 

We can look towards the bottom of the ATP Tour’s servers list to see who the worst servers are. The ATP Tour website also has stats for returners, so we can see who the best ones are: 

As you can see, Rafael Nadal breaks his opponent’s serve a whopping 34.5% of the time, which is quite an incredible stat. 

Most of the time Nadal will be very short odds when he is playing against lesser players though, so there may not be much potential profit from laying his opponent when Nadal starts the match at 1.05 for example.

But when he is up against better opponents from inside the world’s top 10, he can be value to break serve. 

There are others on this list who may not be so famed for having a great return, like Schwartzman, Goffin and Chung, but they have excellent return stats and could well be value to use for the lay the server strategy.

Just as with the back the serve strategy, the idea is to lay the server just before their service game and back them at the end. If their serve is broken, then there will be a big swing in odds – thus delivering a large profit. 

The women’s game can be the best place to utilise this strategy, as breaks of serve are regular, particularly on the slower surfaces like clay. Some women only manage to hold onto their serve about half the time, meaning you have a good chance of a successful trade laying them every time they serve, particularly if they are up against a good returner. 

 

Strategy Three – In-Game Trading

The next strategy involves trading during a game and looking for quick gains after one or two points.

This is a little more risky as you need to be in and out quickly, but given the high liquidity of tennis on Betfair and by using some software such as Bet Angel, you should be able to get your bets matched the vast majority of the time.

What you are looking to do when trading in-game is to look for ideal entry points, again using the serve and return stats described above. 

Some of the best entry points are at specific scores, when a strong server or strong returner are down in a game.

So let’s say a strong server is down 15-40 or 0-30 on their own serve. The market would normally swing strongly against them at this stage, almost presuming that they are likely to go on and lose their service game. 

However, the stats actually show that a top server will normally go on to win the next two points around 50% of the time from those points in the game. The odds swing in your favour will be much greater than if they go on to lose the next two points (or point in the case of 15-40). Therefore it presents an excellent trading opportunity to get a greater than 50% return on an event with a likelihood of one in two (or 50/50).

At the same, laying bad servers who are ahead in their own service game by a certain margin can pay dividends.

So if a bad server is ahead in their game, good entry points such as 40-30 and 30-15 can prove very effective, as the market will be presuming at that stage they will go on to win the game. But as a bad server, they are opposable and if the returner wins the next point (or two points) then the odds swing in your favour will be considerable.

 

General Trading Advice

So there are three tennis trading strategies which should help you get started and give you some ideas going forward about how to trade the Betfair tennis markets successfully.

If you want more detailed guidance and further strategies to trade, then check out Tennis Profits, which is a top trading service with guides, strategies and in-play webinars from a pro tennis trader. 

In addition, it is worth bearing in mind some general trading advice if you are considering getting involved in playing the markets. If you don’t have the right mindset to start off with then you can get badly burned when trading. So here are a few pointers to keep in mind:

  • – Always have a clear plan before you start to trade – with specific entry and exit points and a plan of what to do if the trade goes against you.
  • – Only risk a fixed percentage of your bank on each trade and don’t vary it.
  • – Don’t go chasing losses or risking bigger amounts to try and make back a losing trade.
  • – Don’t over-trade. If you are feeling tired, losing concentration and starting to make mistakes, it is best to take a break and come back later or the next day when you are fresher.
  • – Don’t  try and trade more than one event at a time – certainly when starting off anyway. You will probably end up in trouble and not able to keep on top of multiple matches at once.
  • – Consider using some trading software such as Bet Angel or Fairbot to assist your trading.

Hopefully following these simple guidelines will help you avoid making some of the mistakes that many traders commit when starting out. 

 

Summary – Tennis Trading Strategies

That is our introduction to trading the tennis markets on Betfair and we hope it has given you some ideas to get going.

Just remember to always be disciplined in your trading and don’t go chasing losses and trading on a whim. Have your strategies worked out in advance and stick to them.

If you do that, tennis trading can be quite profitable – and also enjoyable when one of your set-ups plays out just the way you planned it.

As always, please gamble responsibly and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Check out our number one recommend tennis system here. 

 

 

 

 

 

Get Your Ryder Cup Tips Here!

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The Ryder Cup starts this Friday at Le Golf National in Paris.

It is set to be an epic showdown as Europe try to win back the trophy from the USA, who triumphed last time at the Hazeltine Golf Club by a comfortable margin of 17-11.

Despite Europe’s strong record over the last 20 years – particularly on home soil – the US are favourites for the matches, currently best priced at just below evens at 19/20, while Europe are available at 5/4 and the draw can be backed at 12/1.

America come into the event off the back of Tiger Woods’ emotional win at the Tour Championship on Sunday and they currently hold three out of the four major championships. 

Even their rookies look formidable, with the likes of Justin Thomas and Bryson DeChambeau having racked up multiple PGA tour wins this year and they will go into the event with plenty of confidence. 

But Europe will feel buoyed by Justin Rose having recently claimed the world number one ranking and Fedex Cup and with Francesco Molinari having won the Open in July.

They will also be fired up by the return to the team of “Mr Ryder Cup” Ian Poulter and young guns making their debut like Spanish sensation Jon Rahm – a probable partner for Sergio Garcia – and ice cool Swede Alex Noren, who won the French Open at this course just a few months ago.

Whatever happens, it is set to be a titanic battle and the atmosphere will be electric.

If you are looking for some top quality tips to liven up proceedings, here are some top golf tipsters we can recommend:

  • – Our number one recommended golf tipster the Golf Betting Expert has made over £10,000 profit to just £10 stakes since starting up and you can get a 15-day trial – including their tips for the Ryder Cup – for just £7 by clicking here. 
  • – The formidable SJP Golf Tips, who have made over 1,300 points profit since starting up at an incredible return on investment of over 40%. You can get a 14-day trial –  including their tips for the Ryder Cup – for just £1 by clicking here. 

It should be a cracking weekend’s viewing and let’s hope for a few winners along the way too!

 

 

 

 

 

Ladbrokes Odds Boost – Explained

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Ladbrokes Odds Boost is a special promotion available for all Ladbrokes customers. It does what it says on the tin: it boosts the odds on selected bets.

All you need to take part is a current Ladbrokes account. For the duration of the promotion, and there is no indication that it will end in the foreseeable future, every Ladbrokes account holder will receive one odds boost token a day.

To check that you have an odds boost token, log in to the ‘My Account’ area. If you have a valid token, it will appear there along with a brief explanation of which markets you can use it for. Unlike some similar offers, rather than choosing from a list of qualifying events, you can choose which bets to enhance the odds of as long as they are included in the qualifying markets.

Use It or Lose It

It is, however, a case of use it or lose it. You can’t carry it over. If you don’t use it on the day you receive the token, it will, like Cinderella, expire at midnight; though to be precise, it will expire at exactly one minute before midnight. However, it is very versatile. You can use it for pre-event bets, in play bets, and multiple single line bets across all sports markets including virtual sports. You can’t apply it to each way bets or full cover bets such as Yankees and Lucky 15s.  Whether you use it or not, you will still get another token the following day beginning at midnight

How Do You Use It?

If you have a valid odds boost token, then when you create a betting slip in a market that qualifies for odds boost, you will see you have an option to use your odds boost token. If you do so, it will be applied to all selections on your betting slip. There are some restrictions. While there is no minimum stake or maximum odds restriction, the maximum stake that you can enhance the odds on is £50. For non-VIP members, if your betting slip exceeds that stake, then the boost will be applied to the first £50 only. If you are a VIP member, the maximum stake is £500.

How much is Ladbrokes odds boost worth?

Ladbrokes don’t state an actual value, and some punters report different amounts too. However, in our experience, it is usually around 6%, though that isn’t a fixed amount. While that might not seem that high, statistically it makes a difference especially if you use it on a regular or daily basis.

Anything else I need to know?

There certainly isn’t anything sinister about the promotion. It is a genuine offer that, when used wisely, will boost your winnings over time. There are no clawbacks or limitations on liquidating your enhanced winnings. However, as we always do with any promotion, we strongly advise that you carefully read Ladbrokes terms and conditions.

Be aware that you can’t use it with any free bets; it can be used with cash bets only. And it doesn’t apply if odds have been boosted by a different Ladbrokes promotion such as Price Boost and Super Price boost.

Check out our number one recommended Sports Betting System here.

 

 

 

 

 

The Shortlist

The Shortlist Betting System

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We’ve just managed to secure an 85% discount on a new and incredibly profitable tipping service…

Have a look at this video showing their profit from horse racing over three months on Betfair:

Check out the video here.

These guys already have a great reputation in the online racing niche, and it looks like they’re raising the bar yet again with their new service, The Shortlist.

This is way more than your bog standard tipping service. The Shortlist offers a unique compilation of proven profitable tips, trends analysis, training courses, betting systems, and more…

And as far as we can see, this includes everything you could ever need to start taking home a real and substantial income from your betting…

Just check out some of the benefits that are on offer…

– Profits in 5 Minutes Per Day via The Shortlist Tipping Service…
– 267.38 Points Profit recording over an eight month period
– Consistent Winners from a 36.46% Strike Rate
– A Residual Income Source that’s Easy and Fun to make

And not only that, if you don’t see a profit within 30 days, you’ll get 100% of your money back…

You can check out the Shortlist here.

 

 

 

 

Trainer Treasures

Trainer Treasures: Get Free System That’s Made 1,198 Points Profit

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We’ve managed to get you FREE ACCESS to a compilation of proven profitable trainer angles…

Trainer Treasures gives you the low down on the five top trainers to follow for the coming 2018/19 racing season.

And provides no less than eight straightforward angles for pulling in as much profit as possible from these trainers…

With a total of 1,198 points level stakes profit produced by these angles so far…

That’s £11,198 to £10 stakes, by the way…

Get Your Free Copy Here.

Here’s just a sample of what you’ll discover….

– How to amass 267.64 points profit simply following this specific trainer…

– Which combination of trainer and jockey has generated £2,922 in tax free cash at £20 level stakes…

– The trainer to bet each way to secure a 54.1% strike rate (win over half your bets)…

– Which National Hunt trainer to follow for an additional 246.7 points profit, and a massive ROI of 75.67%…

All this, and a whole lot more, is available to you right now absolutely free…

Grab All These Great Freebies Here.

 

 

 

Betting App pic

Best Betting Apps

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These days if you are betting regularly, no doubt a good deal of your gambling is done on the go. With our busy lifestyles and the ability to do just about everything via our phones, it is no surprise that betting can now be done via the tap of a smartphone too.

Many of the top betting websites have also set up their own apps, making life even easier for when you need quick and easy access to their services.

Out of all the many hundreds of apps out there though, which are the best? Which ones can provide vital info and tips when you need them? And which betting apps are the best for placing your bets on?

We have a look at all these questions below – looking first at the best apps to help you with your betting and then the best apps for placing bets (i.e. the bookies).

 

The Best Betting Apps to Help With Your Betting

First we will have a look at the betting apps that can help with your betting – whether that’s providing top quality tips, info and stats to aid in your research or by offering free competitions you can enter to win big prizes. 

 

 

Betting Gods

If you are looking for high quality betting tips then there are few better sources than the respected Betting Gods tipster platform. With some of the best tipsters you will find anywhere across a range of sports including football, golf, horse racing, greyhounds and cricket it is well worth checking this site out.

We have reviewed many of their tipsters under live trial conditions and they have performed phenomenally, delivering profits of over 1,000 points – or £10,000 to £10 stakes – in some cases. The app is primarily for the delivery of tips so best to check out the website first and see the fantastic tipsters they have on their books – and start profiting from their expert tips.

You can visit Betting Gods here and check out the Betting app here. 

 

 

Tipstrr

Another top tipping app comes from the renowned Tipstrr platform, which provides some of the top betting experts you will find anywhere. Much like Betting Gods, they provide tips across a range of sports including football, horse racing, basketball, NFL, tennis and more. Some of their tipsters have achieved €1,500 profit per month on average with returns on investment of over 30%. With cheap packages available at just €2 per month it can be well worth signing up to receive some of these expert tips to assist with achieving profit in your betting.

Visit the Tipstrr website and download their app here.

 

 

Racing Post

The Racing Post app provides a complete guide to racing in the UK and Ireland with race cards, results, news, free bets and more. All the race info is presented with the jockey, trainer, recent form and live odds available to view. Plus there are the same features for greyhound racing, so if the dogs is your thing then you also have access to a wealth of info via the Racing Post app. Something of a “must have” app for racing enthusiasts or if you are heading to the races yourself. 

Visit the Racing Post website and download the app here. 

 

 

Soccer Saturday Super 6

You may have seen the rather bombastic adverts on TV featuring Jeff Stelling for the Soccer Saturday Super 6. Basically the idea of it is to predict the scores of six separate football matches from the Saturday fixture list, normally across the Premier League and Championship. The prize is normally £250,000 but can get up to £1 million. Recently three different people correctly predicted all six scores and won £333,000 each – not bad for an afternoon’s work. And the great thing about it is that’s it’s free to enter, so you have nothing to lose by having a go.

You can download the Soccer Saturday Super 6 App here.

 

 

Oddschecker

No discussion of betting apps that can aid your betting would be complete without odds comparison site Oddschecker.com. This is kind of a necessity for any serious bettor. Access to finding the best odds for any match or event is crucial, as much when you are on the go as when you are at home in front of your computer. Oddschecker have the odds from a large number of bookies for a whole host of sports and markets, as well as providing their own tips and trends and the latest odds boosts. Make sure you have this to get the best odds when you are on the go.

You can download the Oddschecker app here.

 

 

Betting Bias

Another top tipping site that is well worth checking out is Betting Bias. They have been going since 2011 and have generated over 1500 points profit in that time at a very healthy ROI of over 19%. They provide tips in a variety of sports including horse racing, football, tennis and cricket. Their most profitable tips however have been their golf tips, with a number of winners over 100/1 over the years for their followers. Best of all is that the tips are free – no sign-up is necessary either. Can’t say fairer than that really.

You can check out Betting Bias here,  and their iPhone app here.

 

 

ITV7 Racing 

In a similar vein to Soccer Saturday’s Super 6 App, ITV7 Racing is a competition where you have to try and pick seven winners from selected races on a given day. If you manage to pick all seven winners then there is a cash prize of £100,000 to be won, to be split equally amongst any winners. If the jackpot isn’t won, then the top performer wins a consolation cash prize. It’s also free to enter so you’ve got nothing to lose and if you have an affinity for picking winning horses then this could be a chance to win a life-changing amount of money.

You can check out the ITV7 Racing App here. 

 

 

Betfan

Much like tipster platforms Betting Gods and Tipstrr, Betfan provides a range of tipster services across various sports. With over 86,000 members Betfan is a popular service and has hosted some impressive professional tipsters in its time, including Lucky 7 Naps and Racing Delights. They also provide free daily tips, which have produced decent profits in themselves.  Get all your tips and daily news updates via the App.

You can check out Betfan’s Tipster Champions here and the app here. 

 

 

Flashscores

For anyone betting on sports like football and tennis then a live score service is pretty much essential to keep track of how things are going and Flashscores is one of the best. With very comprehensive leagues covered throughout world football and all the major tennis tours, this app will keep you up-to-date on sporting action from around the globe. They also provide updates on a number of other sports including golf, cricket, hockey and rugby. The data is not only useful in checking on how your bets are doing but also helpful if you are betting in-running and want to know how a game is going – how many chances are being created and so on. 

You can download the Flashscores app here. 

 

 

Best Bookie Betting Apps

The other side of betting on the go is to have the means to place your bets quickly and easily for an app. Nowadays there are dozens of bookies with their own apps so there are plenty to choose from. Here are our picks for the best of the bookie betting apps.

 

Betfair Betting App

One of the most popular betting apps is the Betfair Betting App, which has a rating of 4.6 stars on the app store. Some earlier bugs on the Android version seem to have been ironed out and this now offers all the exchange features you could want including cash out, a cash out slider and even auto cash-out now. For all the many benefits betting on the exchanges provides including BSP, generally better odds and more, having the Betfair App is a must.

Get up to £100 in Free Bets with Betfair Sportsbook (T&Cs apply, 18+, new customers only).

 

Betfred App

One of the strengths of the Betfred App is that it’s nice and simple, meaning you don’t need to waste much time figuring out how to use it in order to get your bets on. That should be the priority really when betting on the go, so the Betfred App deserves to be held in high regard on that point. There are also numerous bonuses and special offers to take advantage of on the app, including Double Delight and Hat-Trick Heaven. 

 

 

Sporting Index

Whilst most people tend to bet on fixed-odds sports betting, there is something to be said for wagering on the spreads. Sporting Index is one of the leading accounts for spread betting and has been around for many years. The app is simple to use and allows you to place your spreads on the go, whether it be on football, horse racing, cricket, golf or one of the many other sports provided on the Sporting Index app. For those using top services like Sports Spread Betting, having access to the app when you are on the go is vital.

Get £100 to Get Started with Sporting Index. (T&Cs apply, 18+, new customers only).

 

Matchbook Betting App

 

If you are using the exchanges then it’s a good idea to have some alternatives to Betfair so you can make sure you get the best odds every time. One of the best alternatives is Matchbook, which has excellent features and some very good offers for new customers. They offer a wide range of sports and markets so you should be able to find plenty of opportunities for wagering. 

Get 0% Commission until 31st December with Matchbook. (T&Cs apply, 18+, new customers only).

 

Sky Bet App

 

The Sky Bet App is very highly rated with scores of 4.5 out of 5 and it offers a range of different features including Soccer Saturday Price Boost (which is essentially an enhanced odds treble bet on selected matches). There are also stats you can view directly from Sky Sports which you can use to assist your betting, plus there is cash-out and numerous in-play markets. 

You can download the Sky Bet App here. 

 

 

 

 

 

betting on phone pic

Hedging Your Bets – How to Do It Like a Pro

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One of the most common terms in betting is to “hedge your bets” – a phrase that has been around for hundreds of years in the English language and is also used in everyday terms, not just in a gambling setting.

When we talk of “hedging our bets” in a gambling context however, what exactly do we mean?

Well in simple terms it means betting on more than one outcome in an event, thus giving you a better chance of winning and making a profit. 

It is employed by hedge funds in the stock market to great effect by managing the risk of certain positions by taking up other – often opposing – positions. So that could be managing risk by holding long term stocks whilst short-selling other stocks in similar sectors for example. The idea is to minimise risk whilst maximising gain.

But how can you apply such a strategy to the betting markets and does it actually provide you with any kind of edge?

We will have a look at these questions below, together with examples of how to hedge your bets and some advanced strategies for hedging like the pros.

 

Hedging Explained

In simple terms hedging means placing more than one bet on the same event to give you a greater chance of winning and making a profit. The downside of hedging is that will reduce the amount you could win compared to if you just backed one outcome.

So here is a very simple example:

Let’s say you were lining up some bets for the US Open tennis and you had a feeling the winner would come from one of the “big three” of Djokovic, Nadal and Federer, but you couldn’t decide which one was actually going to win from those three.

Here are the odds for the tournament on Oddschecker:

 

By hedging your bets, you could back all of them and cover the possibility of any of them winning.

Doing this would mean your potential winnings would be considerably less than by just backing one, but would significantly increase your chances of finding the winner.

In simple terms, if you wanted to back Djokovic, Nadal and Federer so that you would win the same amount if any of them won, at the odds displayed above (11/4, 4/1 and 11/2 respectively), for an outlay of £100 you would place the following bets:

  • – Djokovic – £42.98 at 3.75
  • – Nadal – £32.23 at 5.0
  • – Federer – £24.79 at 6.5

If you placed your bets in this fashion, you would win £61.16 if any of those three players won the tournament.

So it is a little like backing those three against the field at odds of 8/13 (or 1.61 in decimal terms).

Of course, you might have a slight preference for one of the players, but still want to have the other two as back up.

In this case, if you wanted to stake £100 in total but win most if Djokovic won the event, you could for example place £50 on Djokovic and then £25 each on Nadal and Federer. 

Then if Djokovic won, you would end up with £137.50 profit, where as if Nadal won you would end up with £25 profit and if Federer won you would finish with £62.50 profit.

There are endless permutations you could choose in terms of your selections and staking, but these are two basic strategies for hedging that you could employ to try and spread your risk and give yourself a better chance of making some profit from an event.

There are some more advanced strategies you can use to maximise your profits from this kind of hedging, which we will discuss further below. 

 

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Hedging During the Event

Another approach to hedging is to use it as a tool to reduce risk during an event once your position has started to develop.

So let’s say you were betting on the Women’s US Open, with the odds at the start as follows:

Let’s say you chose to back Serena Williams at the start at 6/1 (7.0) and she progresses well through the tournament to reach the semi-finals, when her price is then just evens (2.0).

You may feel like although she has done well to reach that stage, she is not quite playing her best and is vulnerable to one of the up-and-coming players, so want to reduce your risk.

You could then hedge your bets by either laying Williams at the exchanges, or alternatively by backing one or more of the other players.

If you go for the more straightforward option of laying Williams, you might decide that you want to give yourself an equal profit whatever happens. 

In this instance, let’s say you had backed Williams for £100 at 7.0 at the start of the event, then want to lay her at 2.0 for equal profit. 

Here is an example of how you would do this on Betfair:

So having backed her at the start for £100 at 7.0, by then laying for £350 at odds of 2.0 later on, you would guarantee yourself a profit of £250 whatever happens and would have successfully hedged your bet.

Or you may wish to set things up so that you just leave yourself with a no-loss position, such that if Williams doesn’t win you break even and haven’t lost anything, but if she wins you pocket £500. And there are of course many other hedging positions you could take in between, but the principle is the same – to reduce risk and cover more outcomes in the event. 

This kind of strategy is often used by professional traders who aim to predict short-term movements in the odds they can take advantage of, rather than having to actually predict the outcome of an event.

 

Advanced Strategies

 

There are some more advanced strategies that can be used with hedging, which we will take a brief look at here.

Strategy One – Offsetting Potential Profit

An approach used by some professional traders is to build up a position in a similar fashion to the original example in the Men’s US Open above where you have backed Nadal, Djokovic and Federer.

Let’s say they have all progressed very well and Djokovic is in the final, with Nadal and Federer due to play each other in the semi-final. If you felt confident of the result and saw that one player was off their game, you could use the potential profit of one to back the other two by that amount, or a portion of that amount.

So if you stood to win £50 on Federer if he won the tournament, you could “use” that to place additional £25 bets each on Nadal and Djokovic, thus upping your potential wins on them, whilst still ensuring you aren’t going to lose any money on the event.

This is a more risky strategy as if things go against you, then you could end up throwing away some potential profits, but for experienced traders this approach gives them the chance to see how the tournament progresses and who is playing well so they can then rebalance their positions to try and maximise profits.

Strategy Two – Correct Score Hedging

One of the most popular forms of hedging is with the correct score market in football matches. The attraction of this is that offers a way to back a variety of outcomes that can either just be left to run as bets or traded out as the game progresses. 

So for example you may think that a team is likely to win a game but that it will be a tight and cagey affair. So you may hedge on the 1-0 and 2-0 with a little bit of insurance on 0-0 in case it ends up in a deadlock. Hedging in this way on teams like Athletico Madrid would have done very well over the last few seasons as they are very adept at getting narrow, low-scoring wins. 

There are more advanced correct score strategies available in packages such as Goal Profits and Assured Soccer Profits that build on covering multiple outcomes in the correct score market and trading them in-play.

Strategy Three – Hedging Related Outcomes

Another approach to hedging is to back related outcomes in a game and to trade them as events unfold. 

So it could be for example that you back over 1.5 goals, under 2.5 goals and both teams to score, hedging your bets across these outcomes so that you are covering different eventualities. They are related to each other in the sense that a goal (or a lack of) will affect all of them in certain ways and none of them are independent of the others. 

Then you are hoping for a situation where the game goes 1-1 after an hour or so and your trades will be in a positive position, allowing you to trade out for a nice profit. 

Again there are more strategies like this that involve trading related outcomes as part of packages like Goal Profits. 

 

Conclusion – Looking After Your Hedge

Hedging is a tool for spreading your risk and covering more than one outcome in an event. It can be used both pre-event and in-play and is a preferred strategy of many professionals, whether traditional “hedge funds” in the stock market or traders on Betfair. 

Hedging does not guarantee profit – there is no gambling strategy that does (other than matched betting through a tool such as Profit Maximiser) – but hedging can be helpful in certain circumstances.

It is perhaps best used in situations where you have an idea of certain outcomes that are likely to occur but can’t settle on just one, so want to cover these scenarios rather than placing all your eggs in one basket. This could be backing a few different players winning a tennis tournament or scores in a football match for example.

There are also advanced hedging strategies which again don’t guarantee profit but when used properly can significantly reduce risk and help guide the way to beating the market.

As always, if you are hedging or using other betting strategies then please gamble responsibly and only risk money you can afford to lose.