A Feast of Betting
This weekend we have an absolute feast of betting for the sports enthusiast.
Top of the bill are the men’s and women’s finals from Wimbledon.
Welcome to the Honest Betting Reviews blog. Here you can find the latest updates on betting systems and tipsters currently under review as well as our tips on how to beat the bookies with the best winning betting systems we have profited from,
50% Off Top Tipster – For Life!
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We reviewed this service a couple of months ago and gave it top marks. It produced a highly commendable 56 points profit in 3 months at Betfair SP at a phenomenal 42% ROI.
You can read our full review here.
The graph from the trial made very good viewing – just nice steady profit!
And since our review ended the service has continued to do well, notching another three profitable months, adding 40 more points to the bank.
Since the service began they have never had a losing month – that’s 28 consecutive months of profit.
To £100 stakes they have made over £75,000 at Betfair SP, or £7,500 to just £10 stakes.
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We understand the offer will close in a few days so best to get on board at the lower prices while you still can.
You can sign up to Win Form Pro here.
Tennis Trading League – Results Update
With Wimbledon in full swing and enjoying sweltering temperatures we thought it would be a good time for a results update on one of our tennis services.
The service is question is Tennis Trading League from Patrick Ross. Although the title suggests this is a trading service, Patrick also provide betting tips for tennis matches and it is that part of the service we are testing.
We are just over two months into the trial, so how has it been going?
Well not too great unfortunately. We are a shade under 4 points down so far after 117 bets. So not too bad, but disappointing to be running a loss after two months.
You can view full results here.
A small silver lining is that Patrick has made a good start to Wimbledon, with six winning bets out of seven, so let’s hope it leads to a revival in fortunes between now and the end of the trial.
We will update results with our final review towards the end of the month, but in the meantime enjoy the rest of the Wimbledon – and stay cool!
Can Andy Murray Reign At Wimbledon Once Again?
The French Open threw up a big surprise as Stan Wawrinka beat the world number one Novak Djokovic in the final, but things are expected to be business as usual as we edge closer to Wimbledon. The grass court season is upon us once again, and defending champion Djokovic is predicted to retain the title and lift his 9th Grand Slam trophy, no mean feat. Standing in his way will be the usual suspects, and the player with the biggest chance of defeating him could be our own Andy Murray.
Murray usually performs well at Wimbledon, but the difference this year is that he’ll be going in with added confidence after performing well at the French Open. He had an epic five set battle with Djokovic in the semi-final, a match he looked very close to winning at one point, and that will surely give him some momentum going into a tournament he has traditionally done well in. And this is all before we mention his recent triumph at Queens, something that surely bodes well for the summer ahead.
At the time of writing Djokovic is the favourite with the bookies, and you can find him priced at 7/5 at Bwin. Don’t rule out Murray, though, as he is a lot stronger on grass and if they meet later on in the tournament then the Scot will fancy his chances. He’s available at 10/3 from William Hill to get the job done and lift the Wimbledon trophy for the second time in his career.
Roger Federer’s career appears to be winding down now, but the Swiss legend is still a very formidable opponent for anyone, and on his day he can conjure up the magic to beat the best. Grass is his most successful surface, and you can never count out a man who has won Wimbledon on seven separate occasions, so if you fancy him to rediscover his old form then you can find him at 13/2 from Coral and Unibet.
Unfortunately things aren’t looking so great for another legend of the sport, as Rafael Nadal is struggling to string a run of wins together. He’s now ranked 10th in the world, his lowest position in a decade, and lost at the French Open for the first time since 2009. His preparation for the grass court season didn’t start off too well either, as he crashed out of Queens in the first round to the unseeded Ukrainian Alexandr Dolgopolov. It doesn’t sound good for Nadal, and his odds of 15/1 from Bwin might not be enough to tempt you.
When we look away from the big four there are a few outsiders who might be worth a flutter, and one that is catching our eye is Milos Raonic at 50/1 from Winner. The Canadian has a big, powerful serve which gives him an advantage on grass courts, and he performed well at Queens earlier in the month. Another outside tip could be Marin Cilic, a strong server who got to the quarter-finals of last year’s tournament. He’s also the US Open champion, so his odds of 66/1 from Sportingbet appear to be very generous.
Elsewhere, 40/1 from 888bet for Thomas Berdych to be the victor doesn’t sound too bad, considering he reached the final of Wimbledon back in 2010 and the 29 year old remains a solid performer today. If you’re interested in some special bets then William Hill is doing a few, including 8/1 odds on a full day’s play being washed out, not including centre court. If you’re feeling really quirky then the same bookmakers is also offering a price of 33/1 on the official caterers for the event running out of champagne or strawberries!
Djokovic is imperious but Murray has the backing of the home crowd, and Federer will always be dangerous. However you’re betting, Wimbledon looks set to be another enticing tournament full of quality tennis.
Royal Ascot Betting Tips – Thursday
It’s Ladies’ Day at Royal Ascot and the weather looks magnificent for what should be a cracking day’s racing.
Whilst the likes of Gok Wan will be out surveying the outfits on display this afternoon, we will be concentrating on the more important business of Thursday’s racing.
Here is our preview of Day Three at the Royal meeting. If you want more tips like this, we have completed a top 10 list of free racing tips here.
2.30 – Norfolk Stakes – Group 2 over 5f
This is a race for 2 year olds and consequently there is very little form to go on, with most of the runners only having run once or twice.
According to the bookies this should be a two-horse race between King of Rooks (currently around 11/8) and Log Out Island who has been backed in heavily this morning from 5/2 into around 15/8. King of Rooks won the National Stakes at Sandown in impressive fashion and that form has worked out well with the second horse that day Buratino winning not only the Coventry Stakes on Tuesday but also the Woodcote at Epsom.
Log Out Island has only run once, but that was a course and distance win here at Ascot. However, it is Jazz Legend who appeals at 20/1, having won a useful maiden at Haydock and may be worth a place interest here.
Selections: 1 pt win King of Rooks 11/8
0.5pts e/w Jazz Legend 20/1
3.05 – Tercentenary Stakes – Group 3 over 1m2f
The favourite is Time Test at a best priced 5/2 and this horse won an impressive Newbury in the London Gold Cup. The horse who won this race a year ago (Cannock Chase) also won that handicap so it is a good omen. However, the question remains how well this horse will step up into group company from handicap races.
There will be much rejoicing if the Queen’s horse, Peacock, wins the race and this Richard Hannon trained colt was only narrowly beaten by the Derby Winner Golden Horn two runs agao so will have a real chance here.
Selections: 1pt win Time Test 5/2
0.5pts e/w Peacock 6/1
3.40 – Ribblesdale Stakes – Group 2 over 1m4f
The strong favourite for this race is Pleascach who is currently priced around the 11/8 mark. The 1,000 Guineas winner will take all the beating if she can stay the extra half mile. She has recently been bought by Godolphin who fancy their chances of landing a big prize with this one.
Better value may be found lower down in the betting however and Curvy fits the bill. A progressive horse and half-sister to Thakafaat who won this race when it was held at York 10 years ago. She has won her last three races, the most recent of which was a Group 3 at the Curragh so has a real chance of upsetting the formbook here.
Selection: 1pt e/w Curvy at 7/1
4.20 – Gold Cup – Group One over 2m4f
The big race of the day is the Gold Cup, a marathon race over 2 and a half miles. As you would expect, stamina is the key and conditions will play an important factor.
It is expected to be good to firm today at Ascot, which may not suit favourite Forgotten Rules, who would prefer a bit of give in the ground.
A horse who may prefer the ground is Kingfisher, who faces a step up in trip but is trained by Aiden O’Brien who has won this race six times in the last 10 years. Winner of its last race and at 10/1, this has to represent good each-way value.
Another with a decent claim is Mizzou, who has won at Ascot before and has the pedigree to triumph here too. The ground will not be too much of a concern and at 11/2 has a sound chance.
Selections: 1pt e/w Kingfisher 10/1
1pt win Mizzou 11/2
5.00 – Britannia Stakes – Class 2 Heritage Handicap over 1m
A wide open race where the favourite is 9/1 in the shape of Portage. With 30 runners listed to line up, these types of race can be something of a lottery and it depends a lot on how the horses group that can determine the outcome.
So probably best to keep stakes low for this one but it could be worth siding with Make It Up at 20/1. Apprentice jockey Edward Greatrex claims 7lbs which puts this horse in a very nice weight and looks to come on for its previous run at Epsom.
Selection: 0.5pts e/w Make It Up at 20/1
5.35 – King George V Stakes – Class 2 Handicap over 1m2f
Another open looking race in the last as Dissolution claims favouritism at 7/2 and has been heavily backed this morning. It is likely the step up in trip will be appreciated and with some useful handicap form including two wins and two seconds in its last four, has every chance here.
At a larger price, Belgrade could be worth an interest at 25/1. A very impressive winner at Bath in its last run when it won going away, this looks to be an under the radar sort for Richard Hannon and with Richard Hughes booked, expect a big run.
Selections: 1pt win Dissolution at 7/2
1pt e/w Belgrade at 25/1
US Open Betting Tips
Following our preview of the US Open golf taking place this week, here are our outright tips for the event:
Phil Mickelson – 18/1 each way (1/4 top 6 finish with Totesport and Stan James)
Phil is one of the few players who has taken the time to visit Chambers Bay before this week and it seems from all reports that will give him a distinct advantage. Lefty’s positive comments about the course should also not be overlooked whilst so many players are going out of their way to criticise it.
The American comes off a confidence-boosting third place finish last week and showed with a second place finish at the Masters in April that he is still more than capable of contending in major championships.
Mickelson also possesses one of the world’s best short games, which will be crucial around these hugely sloping greens. With six second place finishes at the US Open, it would be a great story if he could complete the career grand slam here this week.
Billy Horschel – 55/1 each way (1/4 top 6 with Paddy Power)
The plucky American showed his mettle when winning the Fedex Cup last Autumn, going some way to fulfilling his huge potential. He is a big game player and with some good form in recent events with four top 20s in a row, may be coming to the boil at just the right time. Has a good short game and can be an electric putter at times.
Brandt Snedeker – 45/1 each way (1/4 top 6 with B365, Paddy Power, Skybet & Sportingbet)
Sneds has thankfully sorted out the “two way miss” he had going last season and has been showing some really decent form recently with 6th at the Byron Nelson Championship and 2nd at Colonial in his last two starts. With a win at Pebble Beach earlier this year, his confidence will be strong coming in here and there are few better putters in the world than Brandt. Has shown he can handle links-style golf with a close finish at the British Open at Lytham three years ago. This course is unlikely to faze the cool-headed American and he may well push on and capture his first major here.
Ryan Moore – 80/1 each way (1/4 top 6 finish general)
Local hero Ryan Moore finally gets a chance to play a major in the Pacific Northwest and it seems he is relishing the chance to play in front of his home fans. Having lived close by, Moore is familiar with the course which should present him with a distinct advantage this week. With 7 top-25 finishes this season, the former US Amateur champion would love nothing more (excuse the pun) than to add to his collection of USGA titles by winning in front of home support here.
Charley Hoffman – 125/1 each way (1/4 top 6 finish general)
The likable “Hoffmeister” had a decent run at the Masters until he ran out of steam as Speith stormed away with the title on Sunday. But he has continued his strong form since then, with a second place finish at the Byron Nelson in his last start and a 10th place finish at the Colonial before that. Already a winner this season and having made the cut in all of his three previous US Opens, Hoffman seems too big a price at 125/1.
Ernie Els – 200/1 each way (1/4 the odds top 6 finish)
There are few players with better records on links-style courses than the big South African. With two titles and a host of other top 10 finishes at the British Open, Ernie has demonstrated he has all the skills and experience to handle the vagaries of links golf. He may not be as consistent as he once was, but he showed flashes of brilliance at the Masters in April, suggesting that when he gets on a course that suits his game, the Big Easy may still be able to recapture his form of old.
US Open Preview – A “Ridiculous Farce?”
The US Open comes to the Pacific Northwest for the first time in its history as it heads to the Chambers Bay course just outside Seattle in Washington this week.
The course certainly seems to have split opinion amongst the pros, with some like Ryan Palmer calling it “ridiculous” and Ian Poulter saying it was a “farce” before he had even seen it.
There are multiple elements about this course that have upset some of the pros and cast this as perhaps the most controversial US Open in recent history.
So what is getting the players in such a froth?
What it is about this course that is getting so many of the pros into a lather?
Well, firstly the fairways will be wide, which is unusual for US Opens. Secondly, the greens have some huge slopes on them which will make putting difficult and some shots nigh-on impossible if you miss the greens.
But what is really unusual about this venue is that it will have some very quirky features – sloping tee boxes, blind shots and perhaps most controversially of all, some holes that will play up to 100 yards different in length depending on which tee box is used, so some days holes will play as par fours and another day as par fives.
Whilst some pros have blasted the course however, some are more complimentary. Phil Mickelson, for instance, said he thought it was “wonderful,” adding “It’s not going to be your typical US Open, hit and hack out of tough. You’re going to be able to control it much more like British Opens than I’ve ever seen, where there’s a lot of room and a lot of firm fairway cut.’
As Jack Nicklaus said, they do not build golf courses to suit your game, you have to suit your game to the course. So it may be the player who manages their game and enjoys the unusual challenge that Chambers Bay presents that triumphs this week.
It appears to be an advantage this week to have visited the course and learnt some of its quirks. The Director of the USGA, Mike Davis, certainly thought so when he said – in a statement that generated a lot of controversy – that:
“I would contend that there is no way — no way — a player would have success here at Chambers Bay unless he really studies the golf course and learns it. The idea of coming in and playing two practice rounds and having your caddie just walk it and using your yardage book, that person’s done [and] will not win the US Open.”
Players like Phil Mickelson and Tiger Woods have been following Davis’s advice and visiting the course in preparation for this week’s events.
It will be interesting to see come the end of the week whether Davis’s comments turn out to be true or whether someone can come here “fresh” and still win the trophy.
Whatever does happen, it seems a player with imagination and who can handle adversity is most likely to triumph at Chambers Bay.
As Jack Nicklaus also said, he always enjoyed it when other players moaned about a course because for every one that did, he knew it was one less player he needed to beat that week.
The big question this week then will be – how many players will beat themselves and fall foul of this mighty course’s demands?
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Watch out for our full betting preview later today.
Women’s World Cup: Can an Outsider Win Again?
In 2011, it appeared to everyone that the stars had aligned to allow Germany to claim an unprecedented third consecutive World Cup victory. They were playing the tournament as the hosts and favourites, and as they walked out onto the field to take on a Japanese team who had impressed in the group stages, it’s fair to say there were few people inside the Volkswagen-Arena in Wolfsburg who predicted the upset that would follow.
Japan would go onto become the first Asian winners of the Women’s World Cup, not only downing the hosts but the USA too – the two teams that have occupied the positions as favourites for this year’s World Cup that has just got underway in Canada. But what are the chances for this year’s crop of dark horses? Is there a legitimate case for any of the outsiders to cause a second consecutive tournament upset for both Germany and the US? Below, we outline the teams with the best hopes of doing just that.
France – priced from 5/1 to 7/1
Dubbed by the Guardian as ‘arguably the most accomplished side in world football today’, there are many people who believe if anyone is going to topple the challenge of the big two, it’s the French. Despite their perceived inability to fulfil their potential on the big stage, this French team appears to be solid and, more importantly, confident in their own ability. Complete with Lyon captain Wendie Renard leading the team out, there is no question that they’ll be difficult to beat, making them perhaps the best bet for anyone looking to go against the grain this year.
Canada – priced from 7/1 to 12/1
It would be difficult to complete this blog without a significant mention for this year’s hosts. Of course, you can never count against home advantage when it comes to one-off games, but it would be a disservice to this group of players to say that will be the only thing carrying them through. With a great balance of experience and youthful exuberance, from talisman striker Christine Sinclair to her heir-apparent, 17 year old Justine Fleming, the odds on Canada to pip the Germans and their arch rivals to the trophy are certainly worth taking note of.
Brazil – priced from 8/1 to 12/1
Brazil’s women aren’t the powerhouse that they are perceived to be in the men’s game (World Cup 2014’s capitulation notwithstanding), but you’d be foolish to write them off getting into the last four (at least) this summer. From there, as we know, anything can happen – and with the creativity and drive of arguably the best player the women’s game has ever seen, Marta, still the engine of the team there is every chance that with a kind draw this Brazil team can go all the way.
Japan – priced from 8/1 to 12/1
It may seem odd that the reigning champions are considered such outsiders, but if anything it does much to highlight the sheer surprise of their victory four years ago. Nowadays, people are wise to their way of playing and their recent form has done nothing to suggest they can launch a successful defence this time round. However, nobody expected them to perform the way they did in Germany and with the return of the veteran Homare Sawa (playing in her 6th World Cup) there is a feeling of quiet confidence in the Japanese camp. With odds as long as 12/1 for the holders, it’s not hard to see why many have felt them to be worth a flutter this year.
England – priced from 21/1 to 25/1
We couldn’t finish off the roundabout without weighing up the chances of England’s women. It’s been a period of transition since the departure of long-term coach Hope Powell and the squad, it seems, are just starting to click again. The odds are long due to the fact we’ve been – predictably – drawn into a tricky group, with Columbia and Mexico keeping France company as our Group F opponents. However, with Man City star Jill Scott back in the heart of the midfield and no real pressure on the team as a whole, could this be England’s year?
A Weekend of Free Bets
We have a cracking weekend of sport coming up and to celebrate the occasion the bookies have a range of free bets on offer for the more savvy punter to take advantage of.
Epsom Oaks and Derby
One of the top fixtures in the racing calendar, this weekend we have the Derby and Oaks from Epsom.
The Oaks is held today (Friday) at 4.30pm and the favourite is Legatissimo at around 3/1.
There are some good offers around today, with Coral offering a £10 free bet in the Oaks if you bet £10 in the 2pm race.
Skybet offer money back if your horse is 2nd or 3rd in 2pm race and Paddy Power are offering £10 free in the 2.30 if you bet £20 on the 2pm race.
Meanwhile Boylesports offer a £25 free bet for the Investec Mile at 3.45 if you bet £25 in the 2.35 race.
Champions League Final
The Champions League final is tomorrow and is set to be a classic defence against attack encounter.
Barcelona have been breathtaking going forward in the latter part of the season, with the dream front three of Messi, Neymar and Suarez gelling just as all football purists hoped they would.
What a turn around from a few months ago, when Barca trailed Real Madrid in the league and some fans were calling for Luis Enrique’s head.
If they want to win the trophy though, Barca will have to overcome one of the meanest defences in Europe in the shape of Juventus. With the evergreen Buffon in goal, the Spanish champions will have to be a their best to break through what will surely be a tough rearguard action from the Old Lady.
To mark what should be a fascinating final, Bet 365 are offering a free £50 in-play bet for the final.
French Open Tennis Finals
We were correct in forecasting that Nadal would lose his crown at Roland Garros, losing to a rampant Novak Djokovic in the quarter final on Wednesday. The Serbian was in devastating form and it will take perhaps the performance of Murray’s career to overcome him in today’s semifinal.
Certainly the bookies think so, with the world number one priced at no better than 1/5 to win today.
In the other semi-final, the enigmatic Jo-Wilfred Tsonga will be roared on by the home crowds in his match up against Swiss Stan Wawrinka.
It is slightly surprising to see Wawrinka priced up as such a strong favourite at around 2/5, as this has the look of quite a tight match to me.
The main question for the women’s final tomorrow will be whether Serena Williams is well enough to perform to her optimum level against underdog Lucie Safarova.
The American has been struggling with the flu since the third round, but that hasn’t stopped her powering her way through to the final and unless her condition really deteriorates before tomorrow’s final, then it is tough to see her being beaten.
Canadian GP
And to cap things off we have the Canadian GP, where Lewis Hamilton will be hoping to get over his disappointment in Monaco and get back to winning ways.
Betfair are offering 5/1 that Hamilton wins the Canadian Grand Prix, with money back if you lose and £100 in free bets for new customers.
Master Racing Tipster – Results Update
We are just over two months into our review of Master Racing Tipster so thought it was time to provide a results update.