Welcome to the Honest Betting Reviews blog. Here you can find the latest updates on betting systems and tipsters currently under review as well as our tips on how to beat the bookies with the best winning betting systems we have profited from,

Horse Racing Bet Offers: Why You Should Read the Small Print

Betting on horse racing has always been a popular pastime in the UK, but that popularity has headed to the stratosphere in recent years. Aided by accessible and mobile-friendly online betting platforms, Brits are now betting more than ever on the races.

Unsurprisingly, the bulk of horse race wagering in the UK takes place across a very small number of high-prestige events. The Grand National, Ascot, Cheltenham, and Epsom Derby all take the lion’s share of UK horse racing betting, with hundreds of millions of pounds wagered on each of these events.

To capitalise on the popularity of high-profile racing events, it is now standard practice for bookmakers to offer free bets on these events, in order to encourage punters to create an account and make a deposit. Of course, a free bet is a great way to get the most out of your favourite races, but it is worth reading the small print before you claim. This will help you to get the most value out of your free bets this year. 

Minimum wagers

First off, it is important to note that many free bets for major events consist of “bet and get” promotions, where you must spend some of your own money first before you get a free wager. This might not sound like a free bet, but some of the promotions on offer can be generous. For example, the latest Cheltenham betting offers from the UK’s top bookmakers offer promotions such as “bet £10 get £30”, where you just need to make a single £10 bet to get an additional £30 to wager on Cheltenham. If you know how to shop around, you can rack up plenty of free bets this way. 

Odds requirements

One common stipulation in betting offers is that you must meet minimum odds requirements on a bet before you can use your free cash on that bet. This varies depending on the bookmaker, but it is typical for an offer to state that you must use your free bet on a wager with 1.5 odds or higher, or 1/2 odds or higher. This should not be much of a problem for most of the bets you can make on the likes of the Grand National or Cheltenham, but it is definitely worth keeping in mind if you are trying to claim a free bet to use on a very specific wager. 

 

 

 

UEFA Europa League Round of 16 Preview

As we enter the beginning of March, the football season within Europe starts to edge closer to its conclusion across a plethora of the countries that form the continent.

Indeed, many of the domestic leagues are starting to take shape in regard to titles, promotions and relegations, whilst cup competitions start to begin to enter the final knockings. This includes the biggest club cup competitions, including the UEFA Europa League.

Widely considered to be Europe’s second competition – at least behind the UEFA Champions League which is regarded to be elite and amongst one of the best in the whole of football – the beginning of March will see the Round of 16 take place after some of the participating teams competed and qualified in the recently introduced playoff knockout round.

Which teams are involved and when will the matches be played

Although you would expect that there are 16 teams to be competing in this stage of the tournament, only 14 will be playing as the match between RB Leipzig and Spartak Moscow has been cancelled. The Germans will be provided with a place in the next stage automatically, though.

Indeed, there are a number of exciting matches scheduled to take place which will have many interested in gambling online as the encounters will likely provide a number of top betting opportunities throughout the two legs to be played.

The matches of this stage are scheduled to be played on the 9 & 10 March in regard to the first legs, whereas the second legs will take place a week later. Let’s take a look at the matches that will be played:

  • FC Porto vs Olympique de Lyonnais (9 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • Real Betis vs Eintracht Frankfurt (9 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • Sevilla vs West Ham United (10 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • RB Leipzig vs Spartak Moscow (Cancelled)
  • FC Barcelona vs Galatasaray (10 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • Rangers vs Crvena zvezda (10 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • Braga vs AS Monaco (10 Mar & 17 Mar)
  • Atalanta vs Bayer Leverkusen (10 Mar & 17 Mar)

Which fixtures are the most interesting and worth keeping an eye on?

Although it is a bit of a cliche within football, there truly are no bad games in the UEFA Europa League Round of 16 and each of them has its own merits as a potential top clash.

There is no denying that many will look at Sevilla’s game with West Ham United as a potential one to watch, with both sides looking to go for glory. The Spaniards might have an advantage as they have been highly successful in this competition in the past, though, whilst they also have the stadium which will host the final.

FC Barcelona will be considered one of the favourites to win, though, which is why many will look at their game against Galatasaray as one to watch, especially as the Turkish side has always proven to be tough opponents in continental football.

Honourable mentions need to go to the games between Porto and Lyon, as well as the matches that will be played between Atalanta and Bayer Leverkusen, as these ties will see four big teams go at it with places just for two of them available. Many of the teams involved will be happy to see any two of the four depart.

 

 

 

When is the 2022 Grand National and Who Will Win?

Courtesy of Jeff Griffith via unsplash

The Grand National is the biggest horse race in the United Kingdom and one of the most-watched on the entire planet.

In 2022, it will take place on Saturday, 9th April, and will involve as many as 40 runners and riders competing across a gruelling 4-mile jump course in front of a huge cheering crowd. Its popularity has also made it the most bet-on event in the country, attracting many non-horse racing fans who may not wager on anything else for the rest of the year. That’s why, in the run-up to the event, all of the UK’s biggest bookmakers run promotions offering free bets specifically for the Grand National. 

If you’re considering using one (or more) of these offers, then you’re probably also wondering which horses have the best shot at winning the biggest prize in British jump racing. 

Minella Times

Minella Times is an early favourite for the 2022 Grand National thanks to it being the horse that cross the line first last year. The horse helped to make history in April 2021 when his jockey, Rachael Blackmore, became the first female to win the famous National Hunt event. 

Going into last year’s race, Minella Times had strong odds at 11-1 and is being backed by the bookies again with early odds of 16/1. It’s not yet confirmed who will ride him, but rumours are circling that Blackmore could be back in the saddle. If that gets confirmed, expect those odds to shorten sharply. 

Any Second Now

Any Second Now is a nine-year-old horse who managed to finish in third place in last year’s Grand National. By the time this year’s Grand National comes around, it will be almost 10 years old, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies tipping it as an early favourite. 

Tiger Roll

Tiger Roll is another record-breaking horse. From Ireland, the gelding is a hugely-decorated champion with five wins at the Cheltenham Festival and two back-to-back Grand National victories. 

He had been a strong favourite in the 2020 race before it was cancelled and again in 2021, but he was withdrawn due to the weight that had been allocated. 

It’s not yet confirmed whether Tiger Roll will run again in 2022, but if he does, it will likely be for the last time. 

Cloth Cap

Cloth Cap was a strong contender in 2021, up there with Minella Times. He started strong and was looking like the bookies had got it right, but he stopped on the second circuit of the course. If he can get over that problem this year, Cloth Cap could be one of the favourites again in 2022. 

 

 

 

Golf Tipster Lands 66/1 Winner!

There was some great news for followers of the Golf Insider this weekend as they landed another big winner.

This time it was 66/1 Joaquin Niemann, who won the Genesis Invitational on the PGA Tour.

And it was no fluke either as the Chilean golfer won from wire-to-wire, leading all four rounds, before winning the tournament by two shots.

Here are some of the comments of members:-

Great tipping!!” – Pat R.

Thanks for the update! Brilliant result 👏 “ – Ian B.

Niemann bravo! Got a bit bigger on the exchanges [65] so very happy with a £500 winning weekend.” – James F.

Wow, what a great start to the year with the GI service… too good to be true to be leading all the way, so amazing to see the win secured last night… a big thanks to the team.” – Paul D.

You can check out the Golf Insider here.

Since it started back in 2014, the Golf Insider has made members over 2200 points profit at recommended stakes or 830 points profit to level stakes (averaging 100+ point profits each and every year).

We ran a six month trial of the Golf Insider and it made an excellent 406 points profit, hitting winners at 20/1, 30/1, 150/1 and 250/1.

And just think for a second…

When you compare 250/1 winners to the likes of football, or horse racing, when was the last time you backed a winner at these odds?

No need for some multi-team Hail Mary perm, or a through-the-card accumulator… you could return a £1,500 profit by backing one single player, for just a tiny £5 EW stake.

This service really does offer the chance to bet small, but to win BIG.

But besides these headline tournament winners, members of the service also receive a comprehensive service, each week, that covers the PGA Tour and European Tour.

It’s not just outright winners then that you’ll be looking to back, but Round 1 3-Ball bets, Top 20’s and First Round Leaders (given at the year’s four Major championships)… and then there’s the game-changing new addition for this year…

New – Pre-Round 4 Updates

On top of all the above, members now receive a targeted pre-Round 4 update which pinpoints the market value ahead of the final day of events. So whether in Europe or the US, your card will be marked for the final 18 holes, and the pick of the Golf Insider’s personal bets will be sent your way.

And so far in 2022…

Winners at 25/1, 50/1 and, best of all, Jonathan Byrd winning at 100/1 on the final Sunday at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in California.

And to accompany these winners, a number of EW places at 45/1, 28/1, 18/1, 50/1.

And as the profit figures continue to rise…

Now is the time to be jumping on board this golfing gravy train.

What’s even better, the first Major of 2022, the US Masters at Augusta, isn’t too far away – and that’s always a great event to watch, and to bet on!

As ever, your membership comes with an initial 30-Day Risk-Free Money Back Guarantee, so you can sign-up with total peace of mind, knowing that you have a safety net in place.

Matthew Walton who runs the service has assured us that new members joining today will be welcomed into the service in time to be on this week’s bets (the Honda Classic from West Palm Beach, Florida)… and to avoid missing further winners like 66/1 Niemann and 100/1 Byrd, now is the time to act.

All you need to do is strap on those plus-4s…

Reach for that Pringle sweater…

And hit the link below…

Click here to start your 30-Day Risk-Free Trial with the Golf Insider

 

 

 

IPL 2022 Betting Preview

The Chennai Super Kings stunned the cricketing world by winning the Indian Premier League for the fourth time in their history.

The Super Kings were seemingly in decline with an ageing squad after recording their worst IPL finish in the 2020 campaign since the inception of the league in 2008. However, they produced a solid regular season to finish second in the standings before dispatching the top-ranked Delhi Capitals in Qualifier 1 in a thriller that went down to the final over.

 

MS Dhoni’s side would meet Kolkata Knight Riders in the IPL final and outbattled their opponents to secure a comfortable victory, earning their fourth crown and first since the 2018 campaign. The Chennai Super Kings now face the challenge of defending their title amid the influx of two new franchises for the 2022 season as Gujarat Titans and Lucknow Super Giants have joined the fold. It promises to be a thrilling competition, and the battle for the crown will be intense given an influx of talent and the overhaul of rosters following the IPL auction.

Mumbai Indians

Mumbai Indians are perhaps the biggest threat to the Super Kings’ crown, and are the favourites in the betting odds at 9/2 to win the tournament. The Indians famously beat Chennai off the final ball of the 2019 IPL Final as Lasith Malinga held his nerve under pressure. Battles between the Indians and the Super Kings are one of the reasons why live cricket betting is so compelling on the IPL, almost anything can happen out on the field due to the sheer amount of talent in the competition.

Mumbai are the only team to have won the IPL more than Chennai and will be hungry for success after a down year by their high standards. They are led well by Rohit Sharma and made savvy moves in signing Ishan Kishan and Jofra Archer to their squad for the 2022 campaign. The Indians are ones to watch out for in the upcoming campaign.

Delhi Capitals

The Delhi Capitals have been the nearly side of the IPL. They were beaten finalists in 2020 against the Indians and although they finished top of the standings in 2021, they failed to rise to the occasion in the post-season, losing both of their matches.

The Capitals have completely overhauled their side after their disappointment, allowing captain Shreyas Iyer to leave the franchise. Rishabh Pant has replaced him as skipper, while David Warner, Lungi Ngidi, Rovman Powell and Kuldeep Yadav have provided an influx of talent, but it remains to be seen whether there is too much overhaul for one off-season.

Punjab Kings

The Kings have underwhelmed more often than not during their IPL tenure, finishing in the top four only twice in their 12 seasons. Last term was yet another disappointment as they finished in sixth, prompting an overhaul in the squad and captain Lokesh Rahul.

 

Rahul left the franchise, who spent heavily in the auction. Punjab made the biggest splash of the auction to secure the signing of Liam Livingstone for 11.5 crore, while Kagiso Rabada and Jonny Bairstow also penned lucrative deals. There will be high levels of expectation for the Kings, but there are a lot new faces in the squad, therefore they may have issues with cohesion.

Can the Super Kings do it again?

The Super Kings have the experience and have not made drastic changes to their roster that won the tournament last season. Ruturaj Gaikwad was the standout batsman in the competition in 2021 and he will have to maintain that standard especially due to the departure of Faf du Plessis. Running it back for a second-straight season might just be beyond Dhoni and his team due to the changes and their advancing years in vital positions.

 

 

 

2022 Cheltenham Gold Cup Looks Wide Open

Cheltenham RaceCourse” (CC BY 2.0) by AndyLoos

The Cheltenham Festival is the centrepiece of the national hunt season, and when it comes to individual races at the festival, none are bigger than the Cheltenham Gold Cup. A battle over three miles and two furlongs, this race demands quality, staying power, good jumping, and plenty of heart and will to win.

The 2022 renewal looks to be wide open, with plenty of contenders lining up and thinking they are good enough to get involved. The betting markets reflect that too, for those looking to bet on horse racing in the UK, with A Plus Tard leading the way as the 10/30 favourite. He finished second last year to Minella Indo, who is also close up in the betting.

Then we have Galvin as the current 4/1 joint second-favourite with Minella Indo, he is the newcomer on the scene, taking his first steps into open company at the festival, after winning the National Hunt Chase for novice horses last season. The winner of the 2019 and 2020 races, Al Boum Photo, is leading the rest of the pack.

The one constant with all of these challengers is that they are from Ireland. This is a race that the Irish have dominated in recent years, and it is highly likely that they are going to take home the Gold Cup prize once again, if the betting market is to be believed.

 

 

Can Any Outsiders Upset the Market?

Of course, while those at the head of the betting market will take most of the interest in this race, they won’t take it all. Behind them, we are likely to see a big field, with a number of outsiders that will be hoping to pick up the pieces, if any of the big guns fail to fire on the day.

One of the most interesting of these runners is Ahoy Senor, who won a strong novice chase at Newbury in November by 31 lengths. He looks to be a very nice horse, and one for the future, but with ambitious connections, they may throw him in at the deep end in 2022, and he would certainly add some intrigue to the contest.

There are many horses in the contest that have the ability to cause an upset on the day, but generally, most are probably not quite good enough to win a Gold Cup. Horses such as Tornado Flyer, Royale Pagaille, Mount Ida and Asterion Forlonge could all be involved, but need things to go their way, and probably for some of the more fancied runners to disappoint.

With all of the names mentioned, we look set to see a big, competitive field go to post for the feature race of the Cheltenham Festival. The race will take place on the Friday of the meeting and round off a fabulous four days. Many connections will fancy their chances, but given the number of names involved from Ireland, it seems as though whoever wins the contest is likely to be from across the Irish Sea.

 

 

 

Football Betting Strategy

If you are going to bet on football, just like any other sport, then it is a good idea to devise a strategy first rather than just betting on games on a whim or a “feeling” of how it is going to go.

It is very unlikely you will beat the bookies just by putting a few teams in an acca each weekend. Doing so just hands more and more money to the bookmakers over time.

On the other hand if you want to join the elite professionals who make money from their soccer betting it takes skill, dedication and most of all a solid strategy.

Below we take look at some potential football betting strategies you could use to assist your betting.

 

Strategy One: Focusing on Home and Away Form

First up we have a strategy that focuses on the nuances of home and away form.

There are some teams that for one reason or another do much better on home turf and even a few that do better when travelling to play away. However, the odds for football matches are normally based on a team’s overall form and not on the specific home/away disparity they may have. Let’s have a look at some examples:

Valencia are an example of this phenomenon. If we take their results from the 2020/21 season from soccerstats, you can see that they were strong at home with eight wins, seven draws and just 4 defeats. That included wins against Real Madrid, Villareal and Celta Vigo.

However, their away form was almost the reverse, with just two wins on their travels all season. They suffered 6 draws and 11 defeats.

In the La Liga Home/Away table for the season, Valencia were the seventh-best team when at home, but the second worst in terms of their away form.

That is a significant discrepancy and may be down to the intimidating atmosphere at the Mestalla, a stadium usually packed to its 55,000 capacity and known as one of the toughest places to play at in La Liga. It may also be that Valencia’s playing style is particularly effective at home.

 

From a betting point of view, generally the odds will just reflect the supremacy between the two teams rather than the specific difference between their home and away form. So you could potentially get good value on Valencia when playing at home, and good value opposing them when they are away.

There are many examples like this. Sheffield Utd in the 2020/21 season of the Premier League were an example of a very poor away side, winning just 2 out of 19 away games all season, drawing 1 and losing 16.

That equated to a loss rate of 84%. Yet when playing mid-table sides or even other lower-table sides, you would have got considerably better odds than 1.2 on Sheff Utd losing – which is the approximate odds they should have been based on an 84% loss rate.

There are many examples like this throughout the leagues. Whether it’s sides with a particularly strong record or particularly weak one, often there are reasons for it.

Summary: by studying a website such as soccerstats you can get some very useful information about teams’ home and away records. There is great value to be had in focusing on these records and using them in your betting.

Get Free Football Tips from Professional Tipsters here

 

Strategy Two: Opposing out-of-form “Big Name” Teams

One of the surest way to profit from football is to oppose big name teams when they are out of form. The markets generally do not catch up with their form and are pricing these teams almost solely on their name recognition.

A great example of this has come in the last few seasons of the Premier League.

Arsenal have generally struggled since Arsene Wenger left the club. They have been through a series of managers since then, but with little success.

Here are their league finishes over the last few seasons:

  • 2020/21: 8th
  • 2019/20: 8th
  • 2018/19: 5th
  • 2017/18: 6th

They have failed to qualify for the Champions League in any of these seasons and have been well below previous levels.

Looking at the 20/21 season for example, they suffered some very poor results at home, including losses to Wolves, Burnley, Aston Villa, Everton and Leicester.

However, they were still priced as if they were the Arsenal of old and likely to dominate the game. Against Leicester for example they were priced at just under evens (1.97 in decimal odds), even though Leicester were a strong side and actually finished above them (fifth) in the table that season. 

And against Burnley for example they were priced at under 1/2 (or 1.5 in decimal odds), whilst Burnley were over 6/1 (7.0).

Arsenal proceeded to lose both of those game in ignominious fashion, despite being odds-on favourites and still priced up like they were one of the dominant teams in English football. In other words they were priced up as much on name value as on actual form, which wasn’t good at the time.

Now these trends may change of course and there are signs that Arsenal may be gradually improving this season under manager Mikel Arteta.

This is not the only example of this phenomenon however and there are plenty of opportunities all the time to profit from market overestimation of big name teams. Barcelona are a classic example of this. They have been in decline for a while following a period of unprecedented success, but after Messi left the club they were in disarray and just a shadow of their former selves.

This “name value” can also work in another way – by making very good teams with little name recognition go “under the radar” for quite some time before the market catches up.

Good examples of this include Leicester’s title-winning side in 2015-16, who were consistently underrated throughout the season but kept producing good results.

Lille are another example with their title win in 2020-21 defying all the odds to overcome PSG to win Ligue 1. Their coach that season, Christophe Galtier, worked wonders in molding a team of players that were tough to beat whilst being clinical going forward, without spending huge sums like their rivals from Paris. He has continued to show his credentials at Nice in the 2021/22 season, whilst Lille have struggled since he left.

That shows another point, which is the importance of managers and not to presume a team will continue to perform as well – or as badly – after a manager has left them.

Another example of an undervalued lesser-name club is Athletico Madrid, who for many seasons were underrated by the market as Diego Simeone worked magic to turn them into contenders for major titles without spending huge sums on transfers.

Normally the market does eventually catch up to teams like Athletico Madrid and Lille prices them as they should be. You won’t find much value on these teams now, but there is often a good season or more of value to be had whilst punters come to terms with the quality of these “lesser lights.”

Summary: There is great value to be had by opposing “big name” teams who are out of form and backing high quality lesser-known teams. This should not be based on just short runs of form like four or five games, when any team can hit a good or bad run of form, but stronger underlying trends over a season or even a number of seasons. The great thing is that value can be had over long periods by following this betting strategy.

Check out our number one recommended Footy Tipster here.

 

Strategy Three: Opposing Teams who Need to Win

One of the biggest myths in football is that teams who need to win, more often than not, do win.

This is simply not true and there is a great opportunity to profit from this popular misconception. The vast majority of the time, bookies will price up teams who have to win to secure promotion, avoid relegation etc, much shorter than they would normally be during the main season. This is in expectation of an avalanche of money for such teams as punters pile in, sure in their view that because these teams need to win, they will.

Writing in The Definitive Guide to Betting on Sport, Kevin Pullein comprehensively refutes this theory with data from 10 seasons of the English Championship and League One. Pullein points out that “these promotion-hunting teams did worse in May, when they played their last few games, than they did in any other month of the season.”

If the theory that teams who need to win generally do held up, then you would expect the opposite to be true – they should win more games in May.

Rubbing salt in the wound of proponents of this theory, Pullein goes on “Over the years in the Racing Post, I have produced a number of similar graphs, each one depicting the results achieved by a different group of teams who were either chasing promotion or running away from relegation. And they all pointed to exactly the same conclusion – that teams who need to win in the final few weeks of the season are no more likely to do so than they are at any other time.”

If you think about it, the theory rests on two presumptions – both of which the evidence suggest are likely to be false.

The first is that teams who need to win will be trying harder than they were for the rest of season. But that presumes they weren’t trying in previous weeks. Despite popular notions that footballers are overpaid and underworked, to suggest that they are consistently not trying when they run out in front of thousands of fans and millions watching on TV, doing the thing most of them love and are very competitive about, does not stand up to scrutiny.

Secondly, it presumes pressure will produce better performances. But often in life pressure can do the opposite – those who regularly watch sports like golf and snooker will be used to seeing players missing shots under the extreme pressure of winning a tournament or maintaining their tour status that they would never miss during a practice session or less intense playing situation.

The same may well be the case in football. Sven Goran Eriksson is quoted as saying he has seen a number of players who will make 99% of penalties in training but only make around 60% in actual matches.

Pressure may actually hinder players from producing their best then, rather than inspiring them. Certainly the statistics would seem to back this up.

Summary: At the end of the season, there is a great opportunity to profit from the strategy of opposing teams who need to win when their odds are shorter than they would normally be during the main season.

 

Strategy Four: Using Expected Goals to Find Value

One of the main statistical developments in football in recent years is the use of expected goals, often shortened to “xG.”

We have discussed what this means and how it works here, but essentially it is a metric for measuring how many goals a team would be expected to score (or concede) in a game based on the number of shots, chances, corners and so on they had in a game. If for example a team scored one goal but their xG was 3.0, you could say they were unlucky, or missed some good chances. Or conversely if a team scored four goals but their xG was 2.0, you could say they were lucky and must have taken their chances very well.

Advocates of xG say it provides a way of gauging performance and over time teams that grossly over- or under-performing their xG will tend to revert to the mean.

A betting service that has built a model around xG data is +EV Football. It uses xG data for teams and leagues to build a supremacy for each match based on the Asian handicap odds. If this supremacy represents value against the odds then it becomes a bet. The strategy has shown promising results so far and is one we are monitoring with interest.

Summary: A number of tipsters and betting professionals use xG to aid their research and analysis of matches. It gives a good picture of teams’ form and is a good place to build further research from. It can be used from both an attacking and defensive point of view to see how teams are performing and any stand-out figures in the xG – in terms of teams either over-performing or under-performing – could point towards a value bet.

 

Strategy Five: Backing Teams after Playing in Europe

There seems to be almost universally-accepted wisdom that teams are liable to suffer a dip in form after playing in European games – either the Champions League or Europa League – and should therefore be opposed.

You often hear pundits talking about how tired teams will be after playing in Europe, how it will have “taken a lot out of them” and there will surely be a reaction.

However, once again the evidence simply does not back this up. Kevin Pullein presents data from seven seasons of Premiership teams playing in European fixtures.

And guess what? Not only does their performance not dip after playing in Europe, but actually slightly improves. Teams won 49% of games after playing in Europe versus 48% over the course of the season.

If we think about it, is this really that surprising? We are talking about highly paid, elite athletes with some of the best training facilities and medical and fitness teams in the world making sure they are in prime physical condition.

Plus of course, half of European games are played at home, so don’t involve any travel. Even those that do, a lot of them will be to venues close by in Europe like France, Spain and Germany – not  the most arduous places to visit.

Summary: There can be value in backing teams after they have played in Europe. There is a common misconception that their form will suffer following a European game, but the statistics do not back this up.

 

 

Conclusion – Football Betting Strategy

Making a profit on football is tough and if you want to do so, it is vital to have a good strategy first. Just betting willy-nilly or on your gut instinct is unlikely to lead to success. A carefully thought-out strategy that seeks value in the odds is the only way to profit in the long run.

Above we have set out a variety of football betting strategies for you to consider. This is by no means an exhaustive list and there are countless strategies you could devise. Hopefully though these have given you some ideas for how to approach building a strategy.

Plus you can always try out some free football tips if you are struggling to devise your own strategy!

Either way we hope you have found this article useful and please remember to always gamble responsibly.

 

 

Get Your Free Training on How to Find All Weather Winners

We’ve got a real treat lined up for you today…

Our friend and pro-punter Michael from Lucrative Racing has just recorded a new training video and report, showing the exact method he uses to create his most profitable betting strategies…

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In the session, you’ll discover the unique four step process the guys at Lucrative Racing use to create new betting strategies, and how you can start doing the same today…

This reminds us of the old saying…

“Give a man a fish, and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, and you feed him for a lifetime.” …

This training hands the power over to you, enabling you to create profitable betting strategies on demand, and build your betting income well into the 4 or 5 figures…

And not only that, to say thank you for taking time out of your busy day to give this a look, you can also claim 7 days FREE access to their exciting new All-Weather selection service…

If that sounds like a good deal to you…

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These excellent free resources are available for a limited time only, so make sure you check them out asap.

Enjoy!

 

 

 

Sorare Token – What You Need To Know

Sorare is a blockchain-based fantasy football game that has been garnering a lot of attention lately. It raised a record-breaking $680m in Series B funding last year and has been making waves in the NFT space.

As it is a blockchain-based game with a lot of excitement around it, many people have sought information about a Sorare cryptocurrency token.

We will take a look below at the current status regarding the Sorare token and what exactly you need to know about it.

You can sign up to Sorare here and get 10 free cards to get you started.

 

What is Sorare?

Sorare is a blockchain-based platform that allows you to buy NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) of footballers from around the world. These are digital versions of popular trading cards that have existed in physical form for many decades, like baseball cards in the US or Panini stickers in Europe.

Users can then enter these digital cards into fantasy football contests to win prizes. These rewards come in the form of the cryptocurrency Ethereum, other Sorare cards or real-world prizes like VIP tickets to football matches or signed shirts.

Sorare was founded in 2019 by two French entrepreneurs and now has over a million registered users. It made over $100m from card sales in 2021 and raised $680m in Series B venture capital funding, a record for a European company.

In January 2022 Sorare also broke the record for the highest-grossing sale of a football trading card ever, with the Unique Haaland card fetching over €600,000 at auction.

https://twitter.com/GoalNews/status/1487922099578679304

That smashed the previous record of $432,000 for a Topps card, interestingly also for Erling Haaland, according to data from One37pm.

So that’s a brief summary of Sorare, but you can read more about what Sorare is and how it works in our full Guide here.

 

The Sorare Token – Latest Update

With so much excitement around Sorare and such explosive growth in the last year, many people are asking how they can get their hands on the Sorare token – and hence own a part of the Sorare story. Typically owning tokens of exciting and hyped cryptocurrency projects is seen by some as a pointer to future growth in the price of such tokens.

However, at the moment the situation is that there is no Sorare cryptocurrency token. Anything you see claiming to be such is either a scam or not related to Sorare itself.

On the other hand, there is a way to still own a piece of the Sorare story and potentially see returns if the platform really takes off. And whilst there is no Sorare token at the moment, we believe there is a good chance there will be one in future – this is something we delve more deeply into below. You won’t want to miss out if they do release a token!

 

How To Get Involved in Sorare’s Journey Without Owning Sorare Tokens

Normally if people are bullish about a blockchain project, they like to invest in that project’s token or coin. So for example if someone was bullish about Ethereum becoming the base of web 3.0 and the metaverse, they might buy the cryptocurrency Ether (ETH), or if they felt it was more likely to be Solana they might buy SOL.

Others might be bullish about cryptocurrency exchanges Binance or FTX and so buy BNB or FTT respectively.

This is not to recommend any of these tokens nor to give any financial advice, but these are just examples of how lots of people involved in cryptocurrency like to buy the tokens of projects they are bullish on or enjoy using themselves.

With Sorare there is no “Sorare Token” or coin as such that you can buy at the moment if you are similarly bullish on the project. However, you can gain exposure to the project in another way – and that is through buying the cards themselves. We will explain just why this is the case.

What has happened over the course of the last two years is that as more and more users have joined Sorare, the price of the cards has gone up correspondingly.

Let’s have a look at some examples of this.

One of the first users on the platform was a chap called Mark whose manager name is YNWA – as you might have guessed he is a big Liverpool fan. He bought some of the first Sorare cards ever released, for very low amounts relative to their current prices.

For example he purchased a Declan Rice Super Rare card for €70 back in August 2019. That card is now changing hands for over €18,000 at the time of writing.

So that’s obviously a massive uplift in price in a relatively short space of time.

Or a Lorenzo Insigne Super Rare card that he bought for €139 in January 2020, which is now changing hands for over €14,000.

These huge price increases are due to the scarcity of the cards – as more users join the platform, so more people are going after the same number of cards which have fixed and limited scarcities.

When the manager YNWA joined Sorare there were just a few dozen people on the platform in the early days, where as now there are over 80,000 paying users and a million registered users. This disparity between supply and demand causes the price of cards to increase.

Although these examples from the manager YNWA are quite extreme, we have also seen significant price rises in the year we have been on the platform.

We have been documenting our own journey here and have witnessed some of our cards double, treble or even 10x since we bought them, as the number of users on Sorare has gone from around 5,000 when we joined in February 2021 to over 89,000 at the time of writing.

Whether card prices will continue to grow remains to be seen, but the point is that by purchasing cards over the last year we have owned a part of the Sorare journey and experienced some of the gain from the growth in the platform, much in the same way you might have done if owning a token in a successful cryptocurrency project. 

And the beauty of the Sorare cards is that you can earn a yield on them by entering them in the fantasy football contests – called “SO5” on Sorare because you need five players to enter. 

You can sign up to Sorare here and get 10 free cards to get you started.

 

Gaining A Broad Exposure to Sorare

If you are going to take this “exposure” approach to Sorare then it is probably a good idea to spread your risk across different card types and regions. For example we hold cards in a range of different scarcities – from the “Super Rare” category of which only 10 are minted each season – down to the “Limited” category of which up to 1,000 are minted each season.

We also own cards from a variety of different leagues across the globe, from the popular teams of Europe like Real Madrid, PSG and Juventus to players in the MLS, Argentinian League and even in Asia.

So our exposure to the platform is quite wide and varied. We have also invested in a team of “Legends” cards, which are great players of the past like Cruyff, Beckenbauer and Ronaldo Nazario. 

Sorare Legends cards

A team of Sorare “Legends” Cards.

If the platform continues to grow, then potentially the value of our collection will grow as well. At the moment, as we say there are around 89,000 paying users on the platform but Sorare have plans to grow the platform to over a million paying users.

What would happen to the price of cards if they are able to achieve that aim? And don’t forget they have raised over $700m to help them get there.

Again this is not to make any predictions or give out financial advice – the blockchain is inherently risky and Sorare could fail. The cards could be worth a lot less than they are now or even become worthless.

The point is though that by owning Sorare cards you can gain exposure to Sorare’s fortunes, much in the same way as you can by purchasing a normal crypto coin, even though there isn’t a “Sorare Token” as such…yet.

 

Why Sorare Might Launch a Token in Future

We emphasised the word “yet” above because we do believe there are reasons why Sorare may still end up launching their own token in future.

This is because Sorare has a reward structure that is founded on three types of rewards as we mentioned before: cards, Ethereum and VIP prizes like match tickets. The latter two of these costs Sorare money and expose it to financial risk should the number of users slow down or stop altogether.

The potential damage of such a structure was seen with the collapse of another platform called Football Index, a UK regulated entity that traded “virtual shares” in footballers. Although the platforms are very different in many ways, they share a similar reward structure that pays out users cash prizes not from a pool of entries for a gameweek but on a fixed basis.

There is an inherent risk that this structure can become unsustainable and in the case of Football Index, tragically it did. Huge liabilities were built up when times were good and the platform was adding lots of new users but those liabilities simply could not be met when new users started drying up.

There was no new money coming in to payout the fixed prizes – or “dividends” as they were called on the platform. They had to drastically cut payouts but that only led to a run on the platform and its swift collapse. It became in essence a Ponzi scheme – and it is arguable it was set up to become one from the start. 

It may never come to pass with Sorare of course and they may keep adding enough users, or develop other revenue streams, that allow them to keep paying fixed rewards indefinitely without it becoming unsustainable for them.

However, what happened to Football Index is a salutary warning about building up large liabilities when times are good and Sorare may wish to head off this risk by adjusting the prize structure before it becomes an issue.

 

A Proposed Prize Structure Incorporating a Sorare Token

In our view they could maintain key pillars of their rewards system that pose low financial risk to them:

  • The cards, which cost them virtually nothing to mint but which people can sell on if they win.
  • The Ethereum rewards for finishing on the podium (top 3) in the fantasy tournaments, which are a tiny percentage of Sorare’s overall takings and rewards.
  • The VIP rewards like match tickets, which again are a very small cost but add some additional “sheen” and excitement for users.

The part that is a bigger financial risk currently is the Ethereum rewards for achieving a threshold of certain points in one of the fantasy contests on Sorare.

As thousands of users enter this division just to hit the threshold and achieve the payout, the liabilities can be quite large for Sorare, often running into hundreds of thousands of dollars in fiat terms each gameweek. And some users who have bought cards at value prices can achieve payouts in the long-term way above what they have paid for the cards, thus producing a negative ROI for Sorare. That is not great for their business model.

Whilst Sorare has stated it plans to replace the Eth thresholds with a “Progress Bar” that will award gameplay over a longer period, the risk would remain the same. They potentially have to pay out large numbers of people indefinitely.

A solution to this would be to replace the rewards for either these thresholds or the new Progress Bar with a Sorare token. This would cost Sorare very little – just the initial setup costs of establishing a cryptocurrency and ensuring it is implemented smoothly. Paying out the token costs them nothing as they would create it and own it.

Many play-to-earn games operate on such a model and it greatly reduces the financial risk for the game developer. Interestingly, another play-to-earn game in the sports NFT space, Zed Run, has recently done exactly this – replacing paying out cash rewards with its own “Zed Token.”

https://twitter.com/zed_run/status/1487547056587608067

The downsides of this for users is that such tokens can fluctuate wildly in value – thus giving different values to rewards from week to week or even day to day. However, that is not really any different to the situation currently, with the cryptocurrency Ethereum fluctuating wildly in value for current users of Sorare.

The more challenging aspect of introducing a Sorare token would be to ensure it has some utility within the platform. If it doesn’t, then as has been seen with some other play-to-earn games, the value could go towards zero.

Some suggestions for giving the Sorare token utility include given players a boost to their XP if staking the token with your training lineups, using it to buy Sorare merch, or being able to buy other NFTs like stadiums and badges for your club with it. If Sorare had a mechanism for swapping the token to Ethereum within the platform that would indirectly add utility to it as people could in effect use it to buy cards.

There are probably lots of additional use-cases for a Sorare token, but making these function effectively and having sensible token economics are key for Sorare.

There are lots of examples out there though of P2E games for Sorare to draw on and with the budget at their disposal they could recruit the best talent of game economists to structure it effectively.

Overall we do see the functioning of the “Progress Bar” or whatever new game mode they come up with as crucial to Sorare’s future because it is becoming harder and harder to win cards as more users enter the game.

This is just going to continue as there are only a fixed number of cards they can give out as rewards but user numbers are likely to keep on going up. In the end if only 1% of users are able to win prizes then the game becomes a lot less attractive.

At the same time, they can’t just be giving away huge amounts in prizes to a point where it becomes unsustainable. So we see the introduction of a Sorare token as an elegant solution to these competing dynamics. Users could still win decent rewards and enjoy the “play-to-earn” element of Sorare, without it becoming a millstone around the company’s neck. It would be a win-win for everyone.

Yes there would be fluctuations in the price of the token and no doubt some teething problems when it was introduced, but these would be prices well worth paying in our opinion.

 

Conclusion – Not Just a Token Effort

Currently there is no “Sorare Token” as such – although if you want exposure to the fortunes of Sorare, buying some cards is a close proxy to owning a token in a typical cryptocurrency project. If you have a team of five in a relevant division you can also earn rewards from those cards by entering them in fantasy contests.

Whilst there is no token at the moment we do believe it would make sense for Sorare to introduce one in future. This would remove a great deal of risk in terms of rewards potentially becoming unsustainable and allow lots more managers to win prizes and thereby enjoy and progress in the game.

We should stress that Sorare have not announced any such plans – indeed they have not even hinted that a token is coming. However, we believe the case for it is strong and would not be surprised if in the next year or two we see a Sorare Token joining the lists of coins on Coinmarketcap.

You can sign up to Sorare here and get 10 free cards to get you started.

 

 

Best Sports Cappers

Sports betting has exploded in the US in recent times as states rush to legalize it in wake of the 2018 Supreme Court ruling.

Billions of dollars are now wagered on sports every week in the US and that has meant budding sports cappers popping up everywhere offering their two cents on who they think are the top picks for the week’s sporting action.

They are now hundreds of these handicappers online, but how do you know if they are any good or which ones you should follow?

Well thankfully here at Honest Betting Reviews we test out promising sports cappers under live trial conditions and record all the results in full so you can see for yourself who’s good and who isn’t.

We’ve tested out literally hundreds of cappers over the last seven years and we’ve been able to see who passes the grade and who isn’t up to scratch.

So we’ll take a look below at who the best sports cappers are and their full betting records.

 

Our Top Five Sports Cappers

There are a huge range of sports cappers these days offering picks across various sports. That includes everything from NFL to baseball, basketball, hockey, tennis, golf, soccer and basically any other sport you can think of!

We are mainly focusing on cappers who specialize in the major sports like basketball, NFL and so on, but also include others who have found a successful niche in other sports. If they make a good profit, why not include them!

Anyway, let’s get on with looking at our top 5 sports cappers, in reverse order from five to one with the best saved for last:

 

5. Slam Dunk Wizard

The first service on our list is a basketball capper called the Slam Dunk Wizard. They are a relatively new kid on the block but have amassed a very impressive record of success so far.

Their first ten months of capping were all profitable, with a combined profit of over 150 points. That would be over $1,500 profit at $10 unit stakes or $3,750 at $25 unit stakes.

The picks have had a high winning rate so far, with over 40% being successful. That means a good proportion of winners and minimal losing streaks to date. The return on investment (ROI) has also been strong at over 12% thus far.

The picks come in basketball leagues around the world and are not just limited to the NBA. Every bet is a 1 unit stake which makes it straightforward to follow and the selections are all in the match winner market, so no need to worry about fancy side-markets.

Although it is a relatively new capper, the Slam Dunk Wizard looks very promising indeed.

 

4. Trade On Sports

Trade On Sports is a multi-sports tipping and trading platform which is run by a team of professional gamblers and traders.

They cover US sports as well as soccer and tennis. We tracked the results of their US sports picks during our own live trial and they made the following profits:

  • NFL bets: 327 Bets: staked 327 Pts, +72.12 pts, 22.05% ROI
  • NHL: 186 Bets: Staked 152.79 pts, +16.57 pts, 10.84% ROI
  • MLB: 126 Bets: Staked 82.32 pts, +16.77 pts, 20.37% ROI

Their main focus these days in terms of US sports is the NFL, where their resident expert Matt provides picks on markets such as anytime touchdown scorer, number of receptions, handicaps, points totals and the moneyline.

We have continued to track the results since our review ended and the picks have remained profitable. They also produce season-long picks and provide detailed write-ups with their selections which is good to see.

Overall then Trade On Sports is a service that is well worth checking out.

 

3. Touchdown Profit

Next on our list we have a NFL capper called Touchdown Profit. This is a free service that provides picks on the spread and total points markets. They used to provide picks on the anytime touchdown scorer markets but these are on pause at the moment. 

They have been going since 2017 and have put together a more than respectable record since then, with over 120 units profit made. That would be over $6,000 profit at $50 unit stakes. 

The picks are delivered by e-mail and come with detailed rationales behind them. Most of the picks are on the handicap market, for example Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs – Bengals +7 @ -100.

On the most recent season (2021-22) their picks finished an impressive 42-31-1 with over 20% ROI. The season before that the figures were equally strong, with results of 47-27-2 and a return on investment of 19.35%.

Those are more than decent numbers and being a very straightforward capper to follow, Touchdown Profit is well worthy of a place on this list.

 

2. Golf Insider

Golf is an increasingly popular sport to bet on and one of the top golf cappers out there is the Golf Insider.

They have been handicapping the golf markets since way back in 2014 and in that time have amassed a superb 2,000 points profit in total. That would be over $20,000 to $10 per point stakes or $50,000 to $25 per point stakes.

Picks come on both the European and PGA Tours and there have been some fantastic winners over the years including:-

  • Marc Warren – WON at 150/1
  • Martin Laird – WON at 250/1
  • Chris Kirk – WON at 125/1
  • Rasmus Hojgaard – WON at 200/1
  • Andrew Dodt – WON at 150/1
  • Corey Conners – WON at 175/1
  • Cameron Champ – WON at 150/1

Plus there have been many high-priced placed finishes which helps to keep the bank ticking over in between the big winners.

In our own live trial they performed very well, making over 400 units profit at a massive ROI of 47%. That is one of the best trials we have run here at Honest Betting Reviews.

With such an impressive record then stretching back over eight years, the Golf Insider has proved themselves to be one of the best cappers out there in any sport.

 

1. Super Sports Capper

Taking the top spot in our list is a multi-sports expert called the Super Sports Capper. They provide picks across a range of sports including NBA, NFL, tennis and soccer.

Having started providing picks back in September 2020, their record since then is excellent, with over 270 units profit made. That would be over $6,700 profit at $25 per unit stakes.

That has been achieved with a win rate on the picks of over 60%, meaning over half of the bets have been winners, which is very good for betting bank stability. The return on investment has been good too at around 12%.

The picks tend to be in quite niche markets like the number of points or assists a particular player will have in a game, which is a little different to most cappers we have come across but has worked well for this one.

In our own trial this capper also performed strongly, notching 97 points profit. One of the aspects we most like about this capper is their consistency, with 13 of their first 15 months being profitable. If they can maintain that kind of record in the long run it would be phenomenal.

The profit they have made to date is all we can judge them on though and that has been outstanding, so for that reason the Super Sports Capper has earned a place at the top of our list. 

 

Conclusion – Best in Class

There are hundreds of sports cappers out there these days but very few actually make a long-term profit. Anyone who has gambled for any length of time knows it’s a tough game. As Doyle Brunson once said, gambling “is a hard way to make an easy living.”

It can be made easier though if you manage to find a capper who knows what they are doing and has an established track record of success. They put in the many hours of hard work studying form and watching out for team news to find some value plays so that you don’t have to. 

In our list above we have put together the best sports cappers we have come across through all of our research and live testing here on the site. Hopefully these are useful to you but if there are others that we have missed who should be on this list, please let us know.