We have reached the end of our six month trial of JK Diego’s Draw Betting System and here are the final results:-
| Profit/Loss: | +$4366 |
| Strike Rate: | 44% |
| Bank Growth: | 87% |
| ROI: | 7% |
| Average number of bets: | 3-4 per day |
| Cost: | $175/week or $497/month |
| VERDICT: | PASSED |
| Rating: | |
You can view full results here. (Please note results are for the trade out at 85 mins strategy).
JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Full Review
JK Diego’s Draw Betting System is a football tipping service that purely backs the draw in soccer matches around the world.
It has been causing quite a stir in the betting world with some quite remarkable results achieved, with over 350 points profit to 1-point level stakes in 2018. It appears to be the first time for quite a while a tipster has found a way to make a sustainable and substantial profit from betting on football.
The theory behind betting on the draw in football matches is that it is vastly under-bet, as the great majority of people want to bet on one team or the other to win a game. As we have discussed previously, there is value to be found in backing the draw, which this article confirms.
From that starting point, JK Diego has crunched the numbers for over 8 years, refining his strategy of betting on the draw and identifying the key factors to focus on. Through all this work he seems to have perfected his approach.
Results
So that’s the theory, but how did it get on in practice?
We ran an extended six month trial that encompassed a very good sample size of over 660 bets.
There are different ways suggested for following the tips, with the main three below and their results:
- – Backing all the tips at level stakes = $822 profit
- – Backing them with level stakes but trading the games out at 85 minutes if they are drawing at that point = $4,366 profit
- – Backing the tips with a staking-recovery method of increasing your stake by 1.5x until you hit a winner and then starting again = $8,992 profit. [You can see full results for this here].
Although it might look like the third method was the best, when you take the risk factor and betting bank required into account, the second method was in fact by far the best.
The problem with the increasing stake system is that if you get a long losing run the stakes can end up getting completely out of hand. At one stage during our trial there was a 17-bet losing streak, which meant by the 18th bet you would have been staking over $19,000 on the match and would have been $37,000 down by that stage.
Suffice to say if you are going to follow that method it would be advisable to have a bank of at least $100,000 and even that could be at risk if a really bad run of say 20 losers in a row was hit. Plus you could struggle to get your bets on at those kind of stakes, particularly in the more obscure leagues that JK sometimes tips in.
So overall we couldn’t recommend the increasing-stake system and would suggest using level stakes – or alternatively betting a fixed percentage of your bank on each bet (e.g. 2% of your betting bank on each tip).
Then in terms of whether to just place the bets and let them run or to trade them out, during our review it was clear that trading them out at 85 minutes (if the match is drawing) was the better option.
Here is the profit graph for the trading-out method. Although there was a dip halfway through, overall it was very good growth:
Not only did the trading-out generate an extra $3,500 profit to $100 stakes, but the strike rate was also higher at 44% versus 33% for letting them run.
It is also much less wearing on the nerves as you don’t have to suffer those agonising injury-time goals that ruin your bet after having sat through 90 minutes of thinking you were going to have a winner!
Achieving over $4,000 profit to $100 stakes at a 44% strike rate is obviously fantastic going, particularly in football betting which is notoriously difficult.
However, it does come at a price with a very high subscription cost of $497 per month.
It is understandable that JK charges this amount, as there is huge demand for his tips given his record and if they were much cheaper, the odds on his tips would crash – particularly in the more obscure leagues he often tips in.
But in reality it means you need to have a big enough bank to make it worthwhile following the tips once you have taken subscription costs into account.
So we think a betting bank of at least $5,000 would be needed if backing at $100 stakes.
If you have that kind of betting bank available then JK Diego is one of the best football tipsters we have ever come across and deserves his plaudits for having made a valuable breakthrough in the world of football betting.
On that basis it is a definite PASSED rating from us for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are normally sent out early in the morning UK time. With an average of 3-4 bets per day there is a little bit of work involved in following the service, but not too much by any means.
Availability of prices: JK doesn’t include advised odds with his tips but we used generally available prices for our results and included Betfair prices where available.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 44% for trading out the drawing games at 85 minutes, which is very good. If just letting the games run the strike rate was 33%.
Advised Betting Bank: No betting bank is advised for following the service, but we think given the strike rate and losing runs, a 50 point bank would be reasonable at flat stakes.
Subscription costs: As discussed, the subscription costs are high, but understandably so, at $175 per week or $497 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
JK Diego’s Draw Betting System produced excellent results of over $4300 profit to $100 stakes over our six month trial if trading the games out at 85 minutes.
With an excellent strike rate of 44%, this receives a clear PASSED rating. The subscription costs are high however so you need to have sufficient funds available to make it worthwhile. If you have the necessary funds available though this is undoubtedly a top service.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Results Update
1st July 2019
It’s been a huge roller coaster over the last month for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System, with some big ups and downs during the course of June.
In the end one-point level staking finished one point up, meaning JK is now 13 points up at one-point level stakes for our trial overall.
You can view full results here.
The real story of the month though was the increasing-stake system, which with a disastrous run of 17 consecutive losses culminated in what we had been warning about previously. The staking got to a colossal $19,919 by the 18th match. Not to mention that you would have been over $39,000 down by that stage!
Yes thankfully the 18th bet did win, netting over $37,000 profit, but the question is: would you have been able to get your stake on by that stage – and perhaps more pertinently – would you have any of your betting bank left?
This for us is proof that any form of loss-recovery doesn’t really work – eventually you hit a point where you can’t afford it anymore or you can’t get your bets on. In essence, it’s the reason the Martingale system is so infamous in gambling circles.
So we hope everyone following JK’s picks will now be using flat staking or something akin to it, if they weren’t already after our warnings.
As for the trading out option, it didn’t have such a great month in June losing 7 points, but is still considerably outpacing letting it run, with 30 points profit made for our trial overall versus 13 for letting it run (all flat staking). You can see full workings for the trade-out option here.
Anyway, with just one month left in our review, let’s hope it finishes in style.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Results Update
1st June 2019
A small decline for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System at level staking since our last update, with a loss of 3 points made.
That means at level staking he is now 12 points up for our trial overall.
You can view full results here.
JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner) has had another excellent month with a profit of $2,614 made and $6,783 profit amassed for our trial overall.
As we say each time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system (without trading out).
The trading out at 85 mins option continues to significantly outpace letting it run, with another 11 points profit made at level stakes since our last update and 37 points profit made overall, versus 12 points in total for letting it run, so a 25 point difference (or $2,500 if using $100 flat stakes). You can see full workings for the trade-out option here.
As we mentioned last time, if you are using JK’s staking system then trading at 85 mins would be a good option as it would reduce the losing streaks and mean you don’t have to stake as high.
So the returns have been quite variable depending on which system you are using but overall for our trial all the staking systems are well in profit.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Results Update
1st May 2019
More profits for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System, with another 5 points profit added at 1-point level stakes since our last update.
That means we are now 15 points up for our trial overall at 1-point level stakes.
You can view full results here.
JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner) has had an excellent month with a profit of $2139 made and $4169 profit amassed for our trial overall.
As we said last time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system.
However, if you combined JK’s staking system with the trade-out at 85 minutes option, you would not have had to endure such long losing runs and therefore not had to increase your stakes as much as if letting it run.
For example with the horror run back in February when there were 14 losers in a row, using the increasing stake system you would have had to stake over $5,000 on the 15th match.
However, if trading out at 85 mins, you would have had two winners during that run and only had to go up to stakes of $345, making it much more manageable.
So combining the two would appear to be a decent option, although as we say you would still need a sizable bank for this.
The trading out at 85 mins is still outpacing letting it run overall, although not as much as previously, with an extra 12 points having been made at 1-point level stakes from trading the games out throughout our trial. You can view the full workings on that here.
One staking option we have not assessed yet is progressive staking (e.g. risk 2% of your bank on each selection) and we think ultimately that could prove the most powerful approach over the long run, but it would take some time to work out the figures on that.
In any event, results to date have continued to be very good whichever option you use so this is still looking like one of the best football systems we have encountered in a long time.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Results Update
1st April 2019
A very small loss of 1 point at level stakes for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System since our last update a month ago.
That means he is now 10 points up for our trial overall at 1-point level stakes.
You can view full results here.
It has been a much better month using JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner), with a profit of $2106 made since our last update and $2030 profit made for our trial overall.
As we said last time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system.
However, the really big news is that we have discovered a way of following the selections that would have produced significantly more profit.
On JK’s website it says:
“Since late goals are common in soccer, you can always choose to cash-out your winnings, e.g. in the 85th minute, to secure a game that is currently in a tie but a late goal is likely.”
So we took a look at this and crunched the numbers on all the games since our live trial started, as if you had traded them out at 85 mins (if they are drawing at that time) rather than letting them run to full-time.
And guess what?
It produced a HUGE increase in profit, bringing in a whopping 35 points profit for our trial so far at level stakes, compared to just ten points if letting the games run. So that’s an extra 25 points profit, or £2,500 if backing at £100 level stakes.*
Not only that, but it increased the strike rate from 34% to 47%, meaning more winners, shorter losing streaks and a lot less frustration from having a goal go against you in the 95th minute!
You can check out our full workings on the trade out option here. (Please note the trade-out figures are based on backing at average odds of 3.05 and trading out at 1.25).
We will continue to monitor this for the remainder of our trial. However, it seems a “no-brainer” really to use this approach given all the advantages and increased profit.
Most games you can trade out on Betfair, but some games are not available on Betfair due to being in obscure leagues, so for those ones you will either need a bookie that has a cash-out option, which most of them do these days, or to dutch both teams to win for the relevant amounts.
Anyway, we thought that update would be helpful if you are following the service and means this system – one of the most promising football ones we have come across in some time – could be even more profitable!
*previously this was estimated at 42 points profit, but this probably overestimated the trade out value at 158, whereas 144 seems more accurate as a trade out value.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – Results Update
1st March 2019
It’s been a very good start to our trial of JK Diego’s Draw Betting System, with 11 points profit made so far to 1-point level stakes.
You can view full results here.
Using JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner, then go back to the beginning), so far a loss of $76 has been made.
Regular followers will know we are not big fans of loss-recovery systems and this was illustrated early on in our trial when JK hit a 14-bet losing streak, which meant by the 15th bet you would have had to stake $5902 if following that approach.
Thankfully that 15th bet won, but it demonstrates that if you are going to follow the loss-recovery system you need a very large bank – and nerves of steel!
We have been using level staking however and that has been much more comfortable and working very well. Even with the bad run early on, JK has fought back valiantly and the results are living up to our expectations so far. As we said at the outset, most footy services would be delighted with 20-30 points profit in a year to 1-point level stakes and JK has managed 11 points already in just a few weeks.
We can see this is potentially an overlooked area of gambling to bet solely on the draw in certain leagues with certain teams and there does seem to be an edge over the bookies – although of course it is still too early in our review to make any firm conclusions.
It is worth also mentioning that the free tips JK sent out for Chinese New Year made a nice 4 points profit at level stakes or $629 using the loss-recovery staking – you can view those results in the second tab of our results spreadsheet at the bottom.
And free tips he has sent since then have made a further 7 points or $309 profit, although some of those are JK sending out a sample of his main tips so aren’t to be counted “double” as such.
As we said at the outset, this service is for high rollers only, as the subscription costs are high at $497/month or $175/week, so you need a large bank to be able to bet at high enough levels to cover the subscription fees.
Anyway, the bottom line is we have been impressed with this so far and let’s hope for more of the same going forward.
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JK Diego’s Draw Betting System – New Review
1st February 2019
Occasionally something comes along that makes you think “this could be special” and today’s new review is one of those occasions. In fact we would say we haven’t been so excited about a new system for quite a while.
That is because when you look at the results for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System (or as he also refers to it – “Get Rich Soccer Betting”), you will be blown away.
The headline figures are that he made over $100,000 profit in 2018, which on its own is pretty incredible.
That would be staking at quite high levels however, but even those starting with $20 stakes and using the advised staking would have been making around $2,000 profit per month on average.
Breaking it down further, we crunched the numbers (which took quite some time!) and found that even just at 1 point level stakes the profits for last year were over 350 points.
That is pretty much unheard of in football betting, where if someone makes 20-30 points profit to 1 point level stakes in a year it is considered very good.
We have been wracking our brains here at HBR trying to think of any football service that has delivered anything close to this and to be honest we can’t think of anything.
So what’s the service all about and how has JK managed such great results?
Well as the title suggests, it is all about betting on the draw in football matches. JK has crunched the numbers for over 8 years refining his strategy and seems to have perfected it.
As we have discussed previously, there is value to be found in backing the draw which this article in the Guardian confirms.
But JK has taken it even further and managed to achieve a 43% strike rate on his draw picks at an average price 3.15.
So if you are winning nearly half your bets at odds of over 2/1, you are talking about a hell of a lot of profit!
Now given such fantastic results, it is not surprising that JK Diego has had to take action to protect the prices of his picks and therefore subscription prices do not come cheap.
However, if you have a large enough bankroll then the subscription fees would have been comfortably covered by the profits made to date. Plus there are also weekly and daily trial options so you can dip your toe in the water before deciding to take up a full monthly subscription.
They are also running a free tips Challenge at the moment to try and make $500 profit by the Chinese New Year, so you can get those by signing up for e-mails on the website.
We have been following the free tips and they have made $322 profit so far after 7 days, so very much living up to expectations.
We are really looking forward to reviewing this service because as we say, if its previous results can be repeated during our trial then we are talking about something pretty special.
So please check back here for updates on how the trial is going as we will be updating results regularly.
In the meantime you can check out JK Diego’s Draw Betting System here.
