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Anytime Goalscorer Explained: What It Means and How to Master It

If you’ve ever scrolled through a bookmaker’s football markets, you’ve likely come across the “anytime goalscorer” option.

It’s one of the most popular bet types in football—and for good reason. It’s simple, exciting, and keeps your bet alive for the full 90 minutes.

But what exactly does anytime goalscorer mean? How does it differ from other types of goalscorer bets? And more importantly—how can you use it to make smart, profitable bets?

In this guide, we’ll break down for you:

What exactly does “anytime goalscorer” mean?
✅ How does it differ from first or last goalscorer bets?
✅ What are the rules you need to know before placing a bet?
✅ And most importantly—what strategies can help you win more often?

You’ll discover how consistency trumps hat-tricks, why penalties matter more than you think, and how to spot underrated goal threats hiding in plain sight. 

We’ll even compare top Premier League scorers by the number of games they scored in—not just the total goals—to reveal what really matters in this market.

So whether you’re a casual punter looking to spice up a weekend match or a stats-savvy bettor hunting for an edge, this guide has everything you need to become smarter, sharper, and more profitable with your anytime goalscorer bets.

What Does “Anytime Goalscorer” Mean?

An anytime goalscorer bet is exactly what it sounds like:

You are betting on a specific player to score a goal at any point during the match (excluding extra time or penalties).

As long as the player you back finds the net during regular 90 minutes + stoppage time, your bet wins.

It doesn’t matter whether they score in the first minute or the 89th—it still counts.

Example of an Anytime Goalscorer Bet

Let’s say Arsenal are playing against Aston Villa, and you back Bukayo Saka to score anytime at odds of 2/1.

  • If Saka scores in the 12th minute: ✅ Your bet wins
  • If he scores in the 89th minute: ✅ Your bet still wins
  • If he doesn’t score at all: ❌ Your bet loses
  • If he only scores in extra time or a penalty shootout: ❌ Still a losing bet

It’s a bet that keeps you engaged for the whole match—because your player can pop up with a goal at any time.

Anytime Goalscorer vs First/Last Goalscorer

It’s easy to confuse anytime goalscorer with similar markets like first or last goalscorer, but there are some key differences:

Market What it Means Risk Level Typical Odds
Anytime Goalscorer Player scores at any point during 90 mins Low–Medium Lower
First Goalscorer Player scores the first goal of the match High Higher
Last Goalscorer Player scores the final goal of the match High Higher
The odds for anytime goalscorer will tend to be lower than for first or last goalscorer – understandably. 

Here is an example of comparative odds for the different types of goalscorer bets in a match between Real Madrid and Al Hilal Riyadh, with odds taken from Bet365:
Player Anytime Goalscorer Odds First Goalscorer Odds
Kylian Mbappe 1.53 3.60
Vinicius Jr. 2.00 5.50
Arda Guler 2.20 6.00
Jude Bellingham 2.40 7.00
Rodrygo 2.60 7.50
Victor Munoz 2.75 8.00
As you can see, the anytime goalscorer odds are considerably shorter than the first goalscorer odds, in some cases less than a third of the price. 


✅ Why Choose Anytime Goalscorer?

  • More chances to win – your player has 90+ minutes to score
  • Less luck-dependent – not relying on timing or sequence
  • Better for in-form or penalty-taking players

❌ When Might First/Last Be Better?

  • You’re chasing bigger odds
  • You believe your player will be subbed on late or score early
  • You’re betting on a match with limited goals

Rules Around the Anytime Goalscorer Bet

Bookmakers generally follow similar rules, but it’s always worth double-checking. Here are the most important:

✅ Player Must Play

If your chosen player doesn’t play at all, your bet is usually void, and your stake is refunded.

❌ Subbed On Late?

If they come on as a sub with just a few minutes left, the bet still stands. So you’re relying on them to make an impact with limited time.

❌ Own Goals Don’t Count

Only goals scored for their own team count. If your player scores an own goal, it doesn’t help your bet.

❌ Extra Time Doesn’t Count

The bet applies to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only—not extra time or penalty shootouts.

With all of these rules it is important to check the terms and conditions of the bookmaker you are intending to place the bet with to ensure they apply to the anytime goalscorer bet.  

Why Scoring Once Is All That Counts

The beauty (and simplicity) of the anytime goalscorer market is that only one goal in a match is required to win the bet.

Once the player scores, the bet is settled—any additional goals add nothing extra. This makes the market all about consistency rather than spectacular hauls.

  • Single goal suffices: Whether they score one, two, or five goals, once is enough.

  • 🔁 Consistency wins: A player who scores in many games—even if only once—can pay off more often than a player who bags a hat‑trick in one game but blanks in most others.

🧮 Premier League 2024–25: Goals vs Games Scored

Here’s a comparison of the top Premier League scorers from the 2024–25 season, showing total goals against the number of games in which they found the net at least once:

Player Total Premier League Goals Games Scored In
Mohamed Salah 29 24
Alexander Isak 23 17 
Erling Haaland 22 16 

The takeaway: consistency matters more than volume. Salah produced a great deal of consistent one-goal-per-game performances rather than bagging a few hat-tricks and then going quiet.

Meanwhile, Haaland’s multi-goal games add no extra value once he’s scored. An even more extreme example came in the 2023/24 season, when the Norwegian netted 27 times, but only scored in 17 matches. 

That is due to Haaland’s tendency to score two, three – or even four in the case of his performance against Wolves in the 23/24 season – goals in the same game. 

Betting Insight: Focus on Games Scored, Not Just Goals

When analysing anytime goalscorer odds:

  1. Prioritise players who score in many games, even at lower volume per match.
  2. You don’t win any more money for multiple goals in the same game in the anytime goalscorer bet—so don’t overvalue braces or hat‑tricks.
  3. Look at games scored percentage: a player who scores in 60% of matches offers strong, steadier value than one who bags 30 goals in just 20 matches.

The anytime goalscorer market is all about frequency and reliability. A player who nets in many games consistently is a better long-term bet than one who occasionally explodes with braces and hat-tricks. 

Understanding this is critical if you want to turn this market into a steady profit stream.

Strategies for Betting on Anytime Goalscorer

While anytime goalscorer bets can be fun and straightforward, profitability comes from strategy.

Simply backing big names every week might get you a win here and there, but over time, it won’t beat the bookies.

To turn this market into a consistent edge, you need to apply smart tactics based on data, form, and value.

Here are the top strategies to help you make sharper anytime goalscorer picks, with real-world examples to bring each one to life:

🎯 1. Look for Penalty Takers and Set-Piece Specialists

Players who regularly take penalties or free kicks have an extra route to scoring. This massively increases their expected goals (xG) without requiring open-play dominance.

Example:

  • Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) is often priced longer than Rashford or Højlund but takes most penalties and many free kicks. In 2022–23, nearly half his goals came from the spot.
  • James Ward-Prowse (West Ham) is a rare example of a midfielder who scores regularly from free kicks and penalties. Despite playing deep, he’s often great value around 4.0+ anytime.

📌 Tip: Check club penalty taker charts and free-kick stats before betting. If the regular penalty-taker is expected to be out injured or suspended, have a look at who is next in the pecking order. They could represent value. 

📈 2. Analyse Player Form, Not Just Reputation

Ignore the big names and look at who’s actually scoring. A player in hot form is more likely to deliver—regardless of their media profile.

Example:

  • In the second half of the 2022–23 season, Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) scored in 11 of 16 Premier League games. Yet his odds often remained around 2.5–3.0 to score anytime.
  • Meanwhile, players like Darwin Núñez frequently had lower odds despite struggling for consistency.

📌 Tip: Use websites like WhoScored, SofaScore or Flashscore to track recent scorers and shot frequency.

🧠 3. Identify Weak Defences and Target Matchups

A good goalscorer against a poor defence is always a recipe for betting value. Look for teams with leaky records—especially away from home or against specific styles.

Example:

  • Backing strikers against Leeds United in the 2022–23 season was a goldmine. They had one of the worst defensive records in the league.
  • When Harry Kane played against Everton, who were particularly vulnerable to aerial threats, his odds were still around 1.80 anytime—despite an obvious stylistic mismatch.

📌 Tip: Look for teams with high expected goals against (xGA), poor set-piece stats, or frequent individual errors.

🔍 4. Check Player Position and Tactical Role

Some players are listed as midfielders but play in highly advanced positions (e.g. inside forwards, shadow strikers). These players often fly under the radar in goalscorer markets.

Example:

  • Kai Havertz and Martin Ødegaard often have longer odds due to being “midfielders,” but both regularly find themselves in attacking positions for Arsenal.
  • In Serie A, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia often had long odds (3.0+) despite playing as an inverted winger for Napoli and cutting inside regularly to shoot.

📌 Tip: Look at average player positions and heatmaps (on sites like Understat or FBref) to find hidden forwards.

🛒 5. Always Shop Around for the Best Odds

Odds for anytime goalscorers can vary widely between bookmakers. A player priced at 2.50 on one site might be available at 3.00 elsewhere—a 20% difference in potential profit.

Example:

  • Mohamed Salah might be 1.90 to score at Bet365 but 2.10 at Betfair or William Hill.
  • Using odds comparison sites like Oddschecker can boost your returns significantly over time.

📌 Tip: If you bet regularly, consider using multiple bookmaker accounts to always secure the best price.

📊 6. Use xG and Stats to Spot Value

Expected Goals (xG) is a key stat used by professional bettors. If a player has a high xG but hasn’t scored recently, they might be due a goal—and therefore offer value in the market.

Example:

  • Alexander Isak (Newcastle) consistently posted high xG per 90 minutes but was often priced around 2.60–2.80 due to rotation concerns.
  • If you caught him in the starting XI, those odds could be great value given the data.

📌 Tip: Tools like FBref, Understat, or Infogol offer xG data for free.

🧠 7. Time Your Bets with Team News

Sometimes, a backup striker or winger gets a start due to injuries or rotation. These players often offer big value if you get in before the bookies shorten the odds.

Example:

  • Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) often started when Martinelli or Saka were rested. If you caught the line-ups early, you could grab odds of 3.50–4.00 before they moved.

📌 Tip: Place bets 30–60 minutes before kick-off when team line-ups are confirmed.

🔄 8. Consider Accumulators of Anytime Goalscorers

Building an acca (accumulator) of anytime goalscorers allows you to combine shorter odds into a big payout. Just remember—it’s higher risk, so use smaller stakes.

Example Acca:

  • Salah (1.90)
  • Haaland (1.50)
  • Isak (2.40)

Combined odds: 6.84 – A £10 bet would return £68.40 if all three score.

📌 Tip: Only include players in good form and against weak opposition to improve your chances.

Strategies for betting on Anytime Goalscorer – Summary

The anytime goalscorer market is one of the most fun and rewarding areas in football betting—especially if you approach it with a stats-based mindset.

🔑 Key Takeaways:

  • Use data (form, xG, penalties) to spot value
  • Don’t just back big names—find role players with sneaky goal potential
  • Watch the market and bet with line-up info where possible
  • Shop around for best odds to maximise ROI

If you can combine solid research with discipline and bankroll management, this market can become a powerful part of your betting portfolio.

Pros and Cons of Anytime Goalscorer Bets

Like any betting market, the anytime goalscorer option comes with its own set of advantages and drawbacks.

Understanding both sides can help you use this market more effectively and avoid common traps.

✅ Pros

  • Bet remains alive all game
    Since your player can score at any point, you’re engaged for the full 90+ minutes—no early disappointment if they don’t strike first.
  • Easier to win than first/last scorer
    You don’t need your player to score the first or last goal—just any goal, which gives you more chances to win.
  • Good for in-form players or set-piece takers
    Players on penalties or free-kicks (like Salah, Fernandes, or Ward-Prowse) always have a solid chance, even in tighter games.
  • Great for accumulator (acca) bets
    You can combine multiple players to score anytime into one acca for a much bigger potential return.

❌ Cons

  • Lower odds than first/last
    Because it’s an easier market to win, the odds are often shorter—so the return on a single bet may be modest.
  • Player could be subbed or have an off day
    If your player is benched, subbed early, or just doesn’t get chances, your bet can quickly become dead in the water. 
  • Own goals and extra time don’t count
    Goals must be scored in regulation time for the right team—anything outside that doesn’t count towards your bet.
  • Hard to find consistent value without research
    Bookmakers are savvy—so to beat them, you need to dig into stats, player roles, form, and opposition weaknesses.

When Is It Best to Bet on an Anytime Goalscorer?

Here are a few scenarios where this market really shines:

  • Your chosen player is in great form
  • They’re facing a weak defensive side
  • The player is on penalties or free-kicks
  • They typically play the full 90 minutes
  • You want a low-risk addition to an acca

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Even experienced punters fall into these traps:

❌ Backing Big Names Blindly

Just because a player is famous doesn’t mean they’re in form or likely to score. Always look at the stats.

❌ Not Checking the Team Line-Up

If your player is benched or rotated, your bet could be at risk. Try to bet after line-ups are announced, especially in cup games or European fixtures.

❌ Ignoring the Match Context

Is the match important? Are they already qualified? Are there weather or pitch concerns? These factors can affect player performance.

Final Thoughts: Is the Anytime Goalscorer Market Worth It?

Absolutely—if used wisely.

The anytime goalscorer market offers a nice balance between risk and reward. It’s easier to land than first or last scorer bets, and it keeps you involved throughout the game. While the odds are typically shorter, the upside is consistency—especially when you apply good research and strategy.

As with all football betting, value is king. Don’t just follow the crowd or chase names—dig into the stats, understand the player’s role, and stay disciplined with your staking.

Whether you’re building an accumulator, backing your favourite player, or hunting for weekly winners, the anytime goalscorer market is a brilliant way to add more excitement—and hopefully profit—to your football betting experience.

 

Goals Betting: Your Complete Guide to Smarter Football Wagers

Football betting has come a long way from simply picking a team to win or lose. These days, punters are diving into more exciting and strategic markets – and one of the most popular by far is goals betting.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting started, goals betting offers flexibility, variety, and – most importantly – plenty of opportunities to profit.

In this guide, we’ll explore what goals betting is, why it’s so popular, the different types of goals markets available, and how to build a smart strategy around them.

So, if you’ve ever asked yourself, “How do I make money betting on goals?” – you’re in the right place.

What is Goals Betting?

Goals betting refers to any type of football bet where the outcome is based on the number of goals scored in a match.

Unlike traditional win/draw/lose bets, goals betting doesn’t rely on which team comes out on top – which makes it ideal for those who prefer analysing statistics and trends over guessing match winners.

It’s also one of the most dynamic and entertaining forms of football betting.

There’s action right up until the final whistle, and even a late consolation goal can turn a losing bet into a winner.

Why Goals Betting is So Popular

There are several reasons goals betting has become a fan favourite among football punters:

  • Simplicity: Most goals markets are easy to understand, even for beginners.
  • Plenty of Value: Bookmakers offer a wide range of odds across different goals markets, allowing savvy bettors to find value.
  • Stats-Driven: With so much data available on goals scored, shots on target, xG (expected goals), and more, it’s a great playground for analytical bettors.
  • Entertainment: There’s nothing more thrilling than watching a bet ride on the next goal – and goals betting keeps things interesting for the full 90 minutes.

Most Popular Types of Goals Betting Markets

Let’s take a closer look at the main goals betting markets you’ll find with most bookmakers:

1. Over/Under Goals

Over/under goals is the bread and butter of goals betting. You’re simply betting on whether the total number of goals in the match will be over or under a specified number.

Example: Over 2.5 goals means you’re betting on at least 3 goals being scored in the match. If it ends 2-1, you win. If it finishes 1-1, you lose.

Over/under lines are typically offered at 0.5 intervals (e.g. 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5), with the half-goal eliminating the possibility of a draw. For more detailed info and strategies for betting on these markets, check out our full guides:

2. Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Here, you’re betting on whether both teams will score at least once during the match.

Example: If you bet “Yes” on BTTS and the match ends 2-1, 1-1 or 3-2, you win. If it ends 1-0 or 0-0, you lose.

BTTS is hugely popular because it only takes one goal from each side, and you don’t care who wins the match.

3. Correct Score

As the name suggests, you’re predicting the exact final score of the match.

Example: You back 2-1 and the match ends 2-1 – you win.

This market comes with higher odds due to the difficulty of predicting the exact outcome, but can be rewarding for those who study form closely.

4. First Goalscorer/Anytime Goalscorer

These are player-specific goals bets.

  • First Goalscorer: You’re backing a player to score the first goal of the game.
  • Anytime Goalscorer: You’re betting on a player to score at any point during the match.

Player form, set-piece duties, and opposition weakness can all be useful indicators here.

5. Total Team Goals

Instead of betting on the match as a whole, you can bet on how many goals a specific team will score.

Example: Over 1.5 goals for Liverpool means you need Liverpool to score 2 or more.

This is especially useful when backing a strong attacking team against a weaker defence.

6. Time-Based Goals Markets

Bookmakers now offer markets such as:

  • Goals in both halves
  • Goal scored in the first 10 minutes
  • Time of first goal (e.g. before or after the 30th minute)

These can be great value if you’ve done your research on teams that score early or often.

How to Build a Goals Betting Strategy

If you want to turn goals betting from a bit of fun into something that can return long-term profits, you need more than just gut instinct.

A good strategy is built on solid research, smart decision-making, and a deep understanding of the markets you’re betting on.

Let’s explore how to build your goals betting strategy step by step, with practical examples for specific types of bets.

1. Strategy for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

One of the most popular markets in football betting, Over/Under 2.5 Goals is great for stats-driven punters. Here’s how to approach it strategically:

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Average goals per game for both teams
  • Recent form (last 5–10 matches)
  • Head-to-head goal stats
  • Attacking and defensive strengths
  • Injuries to key attackers or defenders
  • Importance of the match (high-stakes games often mean tighter defences)

🎯 Strategy Example:

Let’s say Brentford are playing Newcastle.

  • Brentford’s last 10 games: 7 have gone over 2.5 goals.
  • Newcastle’s away games this season: 80% have seen 3+ goals.
  • Neither team is fighting relegation or chasing Europe, so they may play more openly.

This could be a prime Over 2.5 Goals opportunity.

Conversely, if it’s a must-win game for survival or a cup final, both teams may play more cautiously. In that case, Under 2.5 Goals might be the smarter play.

2. Strategy for Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS is a great market when both sides have attacking threat but leaky defences.

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Recent BTTS records for both teams
  • Strikers in form
  • Defensive weaknesses (e.g., missing centre-backs)
  • Playing style (attacking or counter-attacking teams are better for BTTS)
  • Clean sheet % for both sides

🎯 Strategy Example:

Imagine Fulham are hosting Bournemouth.

  • Fulham have scored in 9 of their last 10 at home.
  • Bournemouth have scored in 8 straight games, but kept just 1 clean sheet.
  • Neither side is great defensively.

✅ BTTS – Yes looks like a strong bet here.

Avoid BTTS when one team is defensively solid or likely to sit deep for a draw (e.g., a relegation battler away to a top team).

3. Strategy for First Goalscorer Bets

These are harder to win consistently, but can offer big rewards if approached smartly.

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Set-piece takers and penalty duties
  • Team formations (is the player a lone striker or playing wide?)
  • Form (how many shots/goals recently?)
  • Opponent’s weak side (e.g., weak right-back vs a left winger)

🎯 Strategy Example:

Let’s say Tottenham are playing at home and you’re considering James Maddison for First Goalscorer.

  • He’s on penalties and free kicks.
  • Spurs are fast starters, often scoring in the first 20 minutes.
  • The opposition have conceded early in 3 of their last 4 games.

✅ Maddison First Goalscorer might be worth a punt, especially at longer odds.

For lower risk, Anytime Goalscorer is a more forgiving market, still offering value.

4. Strategy for Total Team Goals

Total team goals betting is ideal when you trust one side to score, regardless of the final result.

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Team’s average goals scored (home or away)
  • Opponent’s defensive record
  • Injuries/suspensions to key defensive players
  • xG (expected goals) figures – are they creating chances?

🎯 Strategy Example:

Arsenal vs Burnley at the Emirates.

  • Arsenal average 2.3 goals at home.
  • Burnley have conceded 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 away games.

✅ A bet on Arsenal Over 1.5 or Over 2.5 Team Goals looks like a smart play.

You can also use this to back a high-scoring underdog against a weak defence – especially if the bookies are underestimating them.

5. Strategy for Time-Based Goals Bets

These bets (e.g. “goal in the first 10 minutes”, “goal before 30:00”) are high-risk but can be highly profitable with the right data.

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Teams that start fast or concede early
  • Line-up changes (e.g., inexperienced defenders)
  • Crowd influence (home team may come out firing)
  • Weather and pitch conditions (slower tempo in heavy rain)

🎯 Strategy Example:

Manchester City vs a mid-table team at the Etihad.

  • City have scored in the first 10 minutes in 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The opponent conceded inside 15 minutes in 3 of their last 4 away matches.

✅ Betting on “Goal Before 10 Minutes” or “City to Score in Both Halves” can offer value.

Also, live in-play data can support these bets if you see intense early pressure or lots of shots.

6. Strategy for Correct Score Betting

This is a tough market, but if you specialise, it can offer massive odds.

✅ Key Factors to Consider:

  • Team scoring and conceding patterns
  • Managers’ tactics (do they shut up shop at 1-0?)
  • Recent match scorelines
  • Match context (teams chasing goal difference?)

🎯 Strategy Example:

If Brighton have drawn their last 3 games 1-1, and the data supports another close match, then 1-1 could be a value bet at big odds (e.g. 6/1+).

A smart tactic is to pick 2-3 realistic scorelines and stake accordingly, rather than lumping everything on one guess.

General Goals Betting Strategy Tips

No matter which market you’re using, these tips will help you stay profitable:

📌 Keep a Betting Record

Track your bets, markets, odds, and results. Over time, you’ll spot trends in your own betting strengths and weaknesses.

📌 Use Multiple Bookies

Odds can vary across bookmakers. Use odds comparison sites to always get the best price. Every fraction of value counts.

📌 Avoid Emotional Betting

Just because you support a team or hate their rivals doesn’t mean your gut is right. Always bet based on logic and data.

📌 Bankroll Management

Stick to a staking plan (e.g., 1-2% of your total bankroll per bet). This protects you during losing runs and keeps you in the game.

📌 Specialise

Rather than betting on every game, focus on one league or market (e.g., BTTS in the Championship). The more you know, the bigger your edge.

Advanced Tips for Goals Betting

If you’re ready to take things a step further, here are some more advanced strategies to consider:

In-Play Goals Betting

Live betting on goals markets can be hugely profitable if you’re quick and observant. For example:

  • Backing “Over 1.5 goals” after a slow first half with a scoreline of 0-0 – if both teams are attacking, there may be late drama.
  • Watching for a red card – if a team goes down to 10 men, their chances of conceding often increase.

In-play markets also allow you to cash out or hedge if things change unexpectedly.

Bet Builders and Goals Accas

With the rise of Bet Builders and same-game multis, you can now combine goals markets in creative ways. For example:

  • Over 2.5 goals + Both Teams to Score + Player to score anytime

Just remember: more selections mean higher risk. Only use these when you’ve done your research.

Follow Specialist Tipsters

Many professional tipsters focus specifically on goals betting. Following a proven expert can help take the guesswork out and improve your returns – especially when you’re still learning.

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Even experienced punters can fall into traps. Here are a few pitfalls to watch out for:

  • Chasing losses: Don’t keep backing “Over” just because it hasn’t come in lately. Stick to your analysis.
  • Ignoring odds: A bet might sound likely, but if the odds don’t reflect good value, it’s not worth it.
  • Overloading your accas: It’s tempting to add “just one more” to your goals accumulator, but it often leads to disappointment.
  • Forgetting about team news: A last-minute injury to a key striker can ruin a solid Over 2.5 bet – always double-check line-ups before the match.

Final Thoughts: Is Goals Betting Worth It?

Absolutely – if you approach it with discipline and insight.

Goals betting is ideal for those who love digging into stats, watching matches with a critical eye, and riding the emotional rollercoaster of a late equaliser. It’s accessible, versatile, and packed with potential if you know what to look for.

The key to success is combining good data, match knowledge, and patience. Don’t just bet for the sake of it – bet when the numbers and trends support your view.

Over time, with consistent staking and smart selections, goals betting can become a profitable part of your football betting arsenal. And whether your betting on goals or other markets, please remember to always gamble responsibly

 

Trade on Sports pic

Trade on Sports’ “Pinny Bot” – Results Update

A small drop to finish the season for football betting system Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot, with a loss of 5 points made from laying the specified team since our last update.

That means it is now 1 point up for laying the specified team for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

The main results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. A match-up of Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot suggested by Trade On Sports (TOS) – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

We have been tracking the results for backing the draw and there is no change since our last update, meaning they are still 10 points up for our trial overall.

So backing the draw has ended up outperforming laying the opponent in the first season of our trial. 

Based on last year we would expect this to go a little quiet now over the Summer as the bot does mainly focus on the big European leagues but we will keep an eye on things and update results as appropriate over the next couple of months. 

In the meantime, a reminder that Trade On Sports have published a blogpost explaining why they recommend subscribers cover a part of the draw with the Pinny Bot and they also put forward various staking systems, which is worth a read.

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – Results Update

26th April 2025

Just a slight dip for football betting system Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot lately, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

That means it is now 6 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

The main results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. A match-up of Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot suggested by Trade On Sports (TOS) – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

We have been tracking the results for backing the draw and it is 1 point up since our last update and 10 points up for our trial overall.

So a slight edge to backing the draw over laying the opponent thus far, but not too much in it.

A reminder that Trade On Sports have published a blogpost explaining why they recommend subscribers cover a part of the draw with the Pinny Bot and they also put forward various staking systems, which is worth a read.

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – Results Update

25th March 2025

Things have been moving along nicely for football betting system Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot lately, with a profit of 10 points made since our last update.

That means it is now 8 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

The main results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. A match-up of Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot suggested by Trade On Sports (TOS) – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

We have been tracking the results for backing the draw since our last update and it is 10 points up since our last update and 9 points up for our trial overall.

So whether you just lay the suggested team or apportion some of your stake to covering the draw wouldn’t have made too much difference to the overall results thus far. 

Just a note to say that Trade On Sports have published a blogpost explaining why they recommend subscribers cover a part of the draw with the Pinny Bot and they also put forward various staking systems, which is worth a read.

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – Results Update

12th February 2025

There’s been something of a reversal in fortunes for football betting system Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot lately, with a loss of 16 points made since our last update.

That means it is now 2 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

The main results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. A match-up of Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot suggested by Trade On Sports (TOS) – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

We have been tracking the results for backing the draw since our last update and it is 13 points down since our last update and one point down for our trial overall.

So both approaches are faring similarly at the moment, having suffered a recent drop after a promising start to our trial. 

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – Results Update

9th January 2025

Things have been moving along nicely for football betting system Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot, with a profit of 14.62 points made since our last update.

That means it is now 14.79 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

The main results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. A match-up of Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot suggested by Trade On Sports (TOS) – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

We have been tracking the results for backing the draw since our last update and it is 12 points up since our last update.

So following TOS’s advice of splitting the stake between 0.8 points on the lay and 0.2 points on the draw options would give 14.09 points profit since our last update. 

Very similar then to the results for just laying. 

We don’t see why there should be any particular advantage in backing the draw for these selections, unless there is an expectation of an anomalously high number of draws. 

As we understand the system though there is no reason to expect this – in essence it is just about taking advantage of instances where the Betfair odds are above the Pinnacle odds and the value that may come from that.  

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – Results Update

3rd December 2024

It’s been a pretty even start to our trial of Trade On Sports‘ Pinny Bot, with a profit of 0.17 points made for our trial so far.

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you place a bet on the Betfair exchange. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy.

Our results above are for laying the opponent of the team named by the bot. 

E.g. Liverpool v Arsenal

  • The bot highlights Liverpool as value
  • You would lay Arsenal

There are other possible ways of using the bot – for example splitting the stake between backing the draw and laying the opponent of the named team, or backing 1-1 and 2-2 etc. 

In essence though you are taking on the opponent of the team named by the bot.

For interest’s sake we have also tracked the results of backing the team named by the bot. Those are not stacking up so well to date however, with a loss of 17 points made for our trial so far using that method.  

So it looks like sticking to the advised approach of laying the opponent is the way to go. 

 

 

 

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Trade On Sports’ Pinny Bot – New Review 

21st October 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football betting system from Trade on Sports called the “Pinny Bot.”

Trade on Sports is a service we reviewed a few years ago and gave a PASSED rating to after it delivered excellent profits during our trial, particular their HT Overs bot.

The service covers a range of sports including football, tennis, cricket and US sports. 

They provide a whole host of different strategies and systems for betting, including both pre-match and in-play strategies. 

There’s a huge amount on offer as part of the service, but there is one system we want to look at in particular because it’s showing a lot of promise and that is something called the “Pinny Bot.” 

In essence this is a football betting system that identifies instances where the Betfair price of a team is above the Pinnacle (“Pinny”) price. 

When such instances are found, the bot alerts you via the Telegram app and you can place a bet – on the Betfair exchange that is. You do NOT need Pinnacle to use this strategy, nor any other on Trade on Sports. All the strategies are for using on Betfair.  

The thinking behind this strategy appears similar to that of another service we have reviewed, Trademate Sports, in aiming to take advantage of price information from the “sharp” bookmakers like Pinnacle. 

These sharp bookies are viewed as much more reflective of the real betting action as they don’t limit accounts as much as the “soft” bookies (who are mainly based here in the UK) and therefore attract serious, professional money. 

So if you can get better odds on Betfair than those available on Pinnacle, the theory is you should be getting value. 

It also looks at discrepancies in the amounts matched versus what would be expected given the odds.

The bot only deals with the big European leagues so we are talking about proper liquidity in the tens of thousands here and not just random price fluctuations in minor markets. 

You can view a fuller explanation of the Pinny Bot from Trade on Sports themselves here:

Results so far have been very promising, with 43 points profit made in total from backing the recommended selections. 

However, the profit has stalled out a little this year, with 4 points profit made in 2024 so far and most of the profit made before that. 

Where the selections have really excelled more recently though is by laying the opposing team from the one recommend by the bot. 

So if Liverpool were playing Chelsea and the bot highlighted Liverpool to back for example, you would lay Chelsea. 

Following the selections that way would have made 67 points profit just this year. 

That’s a very high level of profit for 1 point lay bets and it has been very consistent throughout the year. 

The beauty of this system is it operates exclusively on Betfair and in high liquidity markets, so no worries about bookie account restrictions.

Another option is just to use the selections for trading purposes, with the expectation that the Betfair price should come in a bit before kick-off. 

So all in all the Pinny Bot looks pretty exciting and we are looking forward to testing it out. 

We started receiving the selections on 12th October so will record results from then. Results will be updated here as usual as we go along. 

In the meantime you can check out Trade on Sports for yourself here.

(Just to note that the Pinny Bot is available under the “Football Gold” subscription).

 

 

The Inside Man – Results Update

There’s been a slight improvement for football tipster The Inside Man lately, with a profit of 4 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 32 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

With the season having come to an end we expect things to quieten down over the Summer but hopefully they’ll be back to their best next season. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

24th April 2025

It’s been a rough old run for football tipster The Inside Man lately, with a loss of 31 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 28 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Runs like they’ve had recently can happen to any tipster, even the best ones unfortunately. It shows the importance of having a sufficient betting bank and a long-term mindset to ride out the losing runs. 

We’ll have to see if they can steady the ship and get things back on track by the time of our next update. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

12th March 2025

It’s been a better time lately for football tipster The Inside Man, with a profit of 6 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 59 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

We mentioned in previous updates about player passes making up a large proportion of the bets but these have decreased in recent times and there are now a greater variety of bets. These include Asian handicaps, corner handicaps, both teams to score, shots on target, bet builders and a number of other markets. 

A good variety of bookie accounts would still be preferable for following the service but it is no longer so reliant on Bet365. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

5th February 2025

There’s been a slight dip for football tipster The Inside Man recently, with a loss of 7 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 53 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

It’s a busy part of the season now so hopefully they can get things moving in the right direction again soon. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

3rd January 2025

Not a great deal of change for football tipster The Inside Man recently, with a loss of just 2 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 60 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

As mentioned previously, quite a few of the tips (around a third) are player passes bets, which you will need bookie accounts for – and specifically Bet365 if you want to match the advised number of passes on the specific player.

You can still follow the service without the player passes bets, but the profit would be somewhat reduced. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

23rd November 2024

A small dip for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with a loss of 3 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 62 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

As mentioned in previous updates, this service often has runs of winners and losers and that has been the case again lately with 9 winners in a row earlier in November. 

So there are options to add multiples and accas with this service to enhance results. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

19th October 2024

A small step backwards for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with a loss of 7 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 65 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Hopefully just a small blip and they can get things moving in the right direction again now the international break is over and “proper” football is back. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

13th September 2024

Yet more gains lately for football tipster The Inside Man, with a profit of 10 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 72 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Things are back in full flow now that the footy season is back up and running after a quiet time following the Euros ending.

A good time to get involved with a service that is having one of the best trials of a football tipster we have run for quite a while! 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

12th August 2024

It’s been a good time lately for football tipster The Inside Man, with a profit of 7 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 62 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

It’s been a quiet time since the Euros ended but they are back up and running again now with outright bets for the English Football League and it’s all systems go with the Premier League returning this weekend too. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

8th July 2024

Not much change for football tipster The Inside Man recently, with a loss of just 1 point made since our last update.

That means they are still an impressive 55 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

We’ve mentioned before that this service tends to have gluts of winners and they have done it again, with ten out of eleven winners across the Euros matches over the weekend!  

So if you did those in accumulators or multiples you would have done very nicely. 🙂 

 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

27th May 2024

A small dip for football tipster The Inside Man recently, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

However they are still an impressive 56 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

The football season may be over but fear not, with the Euros coming in just over two weeks there will be bets for that we expect as they normally tip in international football as well as club football.

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

15th April 2024

A small drop for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

However they are still an impressive 58 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

As we get towards the business end of proceedings let’s hope they can finish the season in style.

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

16th March 2024

A small gain for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with a profit of 2 points made since our last update.

That means they are now an impressive 60 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

As mentioned in a previous results update, quite a few of the tips (around a third) are player passes bets, which you will need bookie accounts for – and specifically Bet365 if you want to match the advised number of passes on the specific player.

You can still follow the service without the player passes bets, but the profit would be significantly reduced (by over half for our trial). 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

16th January 2024

A very small dip for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

However they are still an impressive 58 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

This has been one of the best footy trials we’ve run for a while and good to see a service that can deliver solid returns over an extended period. 

 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

16th January 2024

More solid progress for football tipster The Inside Man lately, with 4 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now an impressive 60 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

It’s worth noting that you should be able to place most of the bets with this service at the exchanges as they are in main markets such as match odds, Asian handicap, total goals etc. 

However, some of the bets are in the “player passes” market which is not available on the exchanges and requires bookmaker accounts.

More specifically, in some cases these bets are only available at Bet365 (with both the appropriate player and spread being available). 

So looking at the player passes bets in isolation, there have been 156 in our trial to date (out of 454 total bets), producing a profit of 40 points. 

Just something to bear in mind if you are looking at following the service, as having a Bet365 account to place the player passes bets is a significant advantage. 

 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

7th December 2023

Not much change lately for Football tipster The Inside Man, with just the 1 point profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 56 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

It’s been feast or famine for this service lately, with a run of four out of five winners, then four and a half out of five (the half win being an Asian handicap), then four losers in a row.

So if you were doing accas or multiples of the tips then it would have worked out nicely. Otherwise taking the tips as they are advised, in singles and occasional doubles, it’s been a roughly break-even month. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

31st October 2023

The excellent form continues for Football tipster The Inside Man, with another 9 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 55 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

This has been one of the best football trials we have run in quite a while. We’ve often remarked how hard it is to find winning football services, so for one to have produced very good profits for over a year now is great to see. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

26th September 2023

Football tipster The Inside Man has continued their good form, with 3 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 46 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

There was a nice run of five winners in a row recently which helped to boost the results. Hopefully they can keep that kind of form going as the footy season starts to hot up.

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

24th August 2023

A small gain for football tipster The Inside Man recently, with 4 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 43 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

It was a quiet time for this service over the Summer with no bets for a couple of months but they are back in full swing now with the tips flowing again and a positive start to the new season. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

20th July 2023

Not much change for football tipster The Inside Man over the last month, with just 3 points lost since our last update.

That means they are now 39 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

With the football season having finished the service is in a bit of a lull at the moment, with just four bets advised over the last month.

However it is less than a month now until the new season kicks off so not long to wait for the action to get going again. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

11th May 2023

A slight dip for football tipster The Inside Man lately, with 7 points lost since our last update.

That means they are now 33 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Just a reminder this is a football tipping service from a guy who used to work at a bookmakers.

There are a variety of bet types used including first goalscorer, Asian handicap, total goals, corners, player passes and more.

Hopefully they can get back on track over the next few weeks and finish the season in style. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

26th March 2023

Not much change for football tipster The Inside Man lately, with just 2 points lost since our last update.

That means they are now 40 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Just a reminder this is a football tipping service from a guy who used to work at a bookmakers.

There are a variety of bet types used including first goalscorer, Asian handicap, total goals, corners, player passes and more.

Please note that Bet Chat are running an online workshop for the Inside Man service on Tuesday 28th March where their resident football tipster will explain his strategy for football bets and answer any questions people may have. You can sign up for the FREE workshop here. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

10th January 2023

Football tipster The Inside Man has continued its strong form, with another 11 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 42 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Just a reminder this is a football tipping service from a guy who used to work at a bookmakers.

There are a variety of bet types used including first goalscorer, Asian handicap, total goals, corners, player passes and more.

This is looking like one of the more promising footy services we have reviewed for a while, so fingers crossed they can keep it going. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

10th January 2023

Football tipster The Inside Man has been on excellent form lately, with a profit of 26 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 31 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here. 

Just a reminder this is a football tipping service from a guy who used to work at a bookmakers.

He has been doing particularly well lately on player passes bets, with a string of winners in December that really boosted the profits. Hopefully they can keep things going. 

 

 

 

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The Inside Man – Results Update

19th November 2022

It’s been a solid start to our trial of The Inside Man, with a profit of 5 points made so far after just over one month. 

You can view full results here. 

Just a reminder this is a football tipping service from a guy who used to work at a bookmakers.

There are a variety of bet types used including first goalscorer, Asian handicap, total goals, corners, player passes and more. There are even some spread bets used so you will need a spread betting account to follow this one. 

A promising start then, let’s see if it continues. 

 

 

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The Inside Man – New Review

15th October 2022

We are starting a new review today of a football service called The Inside Man. 

This one comes from the Bet Chat stable of tipsters and has been around for a couple of years. 

The tips are provided by a guy called Adam Cheng, who worked at bookmaker Fitzdares and became head of football trading. This role saw him not only work on the side of the bookmaker, but also as a trader for the company on football markets, making additional profits. 

He decided in early 2020 to go full-time as a professional gambler and has been doing pretty well since. 

The results published on the Bet Chat website show a profit of just under 100 points made so far, at a return on investment of 10%

The strike rate is very solid at 51%, meaning at least half the bets so far have been winners. 

There are a variety of different markets used including first goalscorer, Asian handicap, total goals, corners, player passes and more. 

We’ve been on the lookout for a profitable new football tipster and the results from this one look promising. 

So let’s see how they get on in a live trial. Results will be updated regularly here as we go along.

In the meantime you can check out The Inside Man for yourself here.

 

 

 

 

The Footy God – Results Update

It’s been a decent run lately for football tipster The Footy God, with 5 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 3 points down for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Last year they continued to tip through the summer months so we would expect similar this year, with plenty of action to get stuck into from across the summer leagues. 

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

5th March 2025

A very small improvement for football tipster The Footy God lately, with 1 point profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 8 points down for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Things have struggled to get going for this service during our trial but not too much damage has been done with just 8 points lost so far.

Let’s see if they can finish the season strongly and get themselves back towards even for our trial. 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

5th March 2025

There’s been a bit of a dip for football tipster The Footy God lately, with 12 points lost since our last update.

That means they are now 9 points down for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Hopefully they can get things moving in the right direction again over the next month after the recent drop.

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

31st January 2025

Not much change for football tipster The Footy God over the last month, with 1 point lost since our last update.

That means they are now 3 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Been a quiet trial so far this one, hopefully they can get things moving forward soon. 

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

31st December 2024

A slight dip for football tipster The Footy God over the last month, with 3 points lost since our last update.

That means they are now 4 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Hopefully they can get things moving in the right direction again in the new year.

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

21st November 2024

Things continue to move along steadily – if unspectacularly – for football tipster The Footy God over the last month, with 2 points profit made since our last update.

That means they are now 7 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Progress has been solid as we say but hopefully they can kick on now and really get things moving forward. 

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

22nd October 2024

Very little movement for football tipster The Footy God over the last month, with no change to the P/L since our last update.

That means they are still 5 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder that most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Staking varies between 1 and 3 points per bet, with most bets being 1 point stakes.

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

17th September 2024

A small dip recently for football tipster The Footy God, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 5 points up for our trial overall.  

You can view full results here.

Most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

Staking varies between 1 and 3 points per bet, with most bets being 1 point stakes. 

Overall it’s a pretty simple service to follow with just one or two bets per day. 

 

 

 

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The Footy God – Results Update

15th August 2024

It’s been a strong start to our trial of football tipster The Footy God, with a profit of 7 points made for our trial to date. 

You can view full results here.

Most of the selections come in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and from leagues all around the world. 

With the main European leagues kicking off at the moment – including the Premier League tomorrow – there will now be tons of action to get involved in. 

 

 

 

 

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The Footy God – New Review

3rd July 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football tipster called The Footy God. 

This is a tipster on the Betting Gods platform and they have been tipping since the start of the year. 

They mainly tip in the Asian Handicap and over/under markets and bet on leagues from all around the world. 

Results to date look very promising, with a profit of 79 points made so far to 1 point level stakes. 

The strike rate has been incredibly high at 74% and the return on investment equally as impressive at 46%. 

We’d be very surprised if they maintain those numbers in the long run as normally for footy service an ROI around 10% is considered top-notch over the long term. 

If they can remain profitable however and keep churning out winning months as they have done so far (6 out of 6) then it would be a notable achievement. 

So we will kick off the review today and will report back soon on how things are going.

In the meantime you can check out The Footy God for yourself here.

 

 

 

 

Football in goal

Goal Predictor – Results Update

There’s been something of a dip for football betting tipster Goal Predictor lately, with a loss of 33 points made since our last update. 

That means they are now 15 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As a reminder, this is a service that involves using xG (expected goals) data to provide tips on the goals markets (such as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score).

Just to note they use stakes of 5 points per bet so the net P/L based on 1 point stakes would be 3 points for our trial to date. 

 

 

 

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Goal Predictor – Results Update

14th April 2025

The good form has continued for football betting tipster Goal Predictor, with a profit of 15 points made since our last update. 

That means they are now 48 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As a reminder, this is a service that involves using xG (expected goals) data to provide tips on the goals markets (such as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score).

Just to note they use stakes of 5 points per bet so the net P/L based on 1 point stakes would be just under 10 points for our trial to date. 

Good to see the recent improvement here – let’s see if they can finish the season in style. 

 

 

 

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Goal Predictor – Results Update

28th February 2025

It’s been a good month for football betting tipster Goal Predictor, with a profit of 30 points made since our last update. 

That means they are now 33 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As a reminder, this is a service that involves using xG (expected goals) data to provide tips on the goals markets (such as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score).

Just to note they use stakes of 5 points per bet so the net P/L based on 1 point stakes would be just over 6 points for our trial to date. 

Good to see the recent improvement here – let’s see if they can keep it going. 

 

 

 

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Goal Predictor – Results Update

8th November 2024

It’s been a steady start to our trial of football betting tipster Goal Predictor, with a profit of 3 points made for our trial so far. 

You can view full results here.

Just a reminder, this is a service that involves using xG (expected goals) data to formulate tips on the goals markets (such as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score).

Liquidity in these markets is very good so there is no problem getting bets matched. 

So it looks a promising service, let’s see if they can get the profit ticking up by the time of our next update.

 

 

 

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Goal Predictor – New Review

8th November 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football betting service called Goal Predictor

This is a service that comes from the Phil Rushton stable of betting services that includes the likes of the Goal King that received a positive rating following a review here

Goal Predictor is a service involves using xG (expected goals) data to formulate tips on the goals markets (such as over 2.5 goals and both teams to score) and to give customers a profitable service with a high win rate.

Expected goals, in case you are not familiar with it, is a statistical tool that relates the number of shots to how many goals would be expected in a football match. We explain more about how it works here.

For example if a team had lots of shots on goal and had a xG number of 3.0 but only scored one goal, it might suggest they were unlucky and on another day could have scored more goals. 

The results for the service look very promising so far, with 263 points profit reportedly made since starting tipping in April. 

That has been achieved with a high strike rate of 69% and a healthy return on investment of 22%.

xG has become used more often in football betting these days and this service aims to make use of it specifically on the over/under goals markets. 

We can see the logic behind using xG as it is a useful metric to measure teams’ performance by rather than just their match results, which could mask runs of good or bad luck. 

Whether it can produce results under live trial conditions we will have to wait and see but that is why we run reviews here, to test these things out. 

So we will kick off the review of Goal Predictor today and will report back here on how things are going as usual. 

In the meantime you can check out Goal Predictor for yourself here.

 

How to Predict Draws in Football Matches: A Complete Guide for Bettors

If you’ve ever looked at a football fixture and thought, “That looks like a draw,” then you’re not alone.

Predicting draws in football matches has become an increasingly popular betting strategy, especially among those looking for value in overlooked markets. But how exactly can you spot a potential stalemate before kick-off?

In this guide, we’ll walk you through everything you need to know about how to predict draws in football matches.

From key stats and trends to smart betting tips, league comparisons, and real-life examples, we’ll help you sharpen your draw-predicting skills and potentially boost your betting profits.

Why Bet on Draws?

Before diving into how to predict draws, let’s quickly cover why people focus on this market in the first place.

The draw market (also known as the ‘match result – draw’ or ‘X’ in 1X2 betting) is often underbet compared to home or away wins.

This means odds for draws can sometimes offer better value than more obvious selections.

Typically, you’ll see odds of around 3.00 to 3.50 (2/1 to 5/2) for a draw – higher than the odds for most favourites to win.

If you can consistently identify matches that are likely to end in a stalemate, you might just find a profitable niche in the world of football betting.

The Legend of Draw Betting: JK Diego

No discussion about how to predict draws in football matches would be complete without mentioning JK Diego – widely regarded as a pioneer in the world of professional draw betting.

Who Is JK Diego?

JK Diego is a Singapore-based football analyst who gained international recognition for his consistent success betting exclusively on draws.

While many punters chase wins or goals, Diego took a different path – dedicating years to studying the draw market, analysing match patterns, and fine-tuning his own bespoke system.

The JK Diego Draw Betting System

JK Diego’s system is based on selectivity, discipline, and pattern recognition. Rather than betting on every potential draw, he pinpoints only a few high-quality opportunities each day from leagues around the world – usually around 3 to 5 games.

He focuses on leagues where draw outcomes are more common, such as Serie B, Ligue 2, or the Argentinian League.

Key components of his system include:

  • Strict match selection criteria
  • Bankroll management
  • Trade out option
  • Long-term mindset

His followers often report impressive results, and many have adopted his method to great effect. Diego has also documented and tracked his picks over time to build trust and transparency with his audience.

We ran our own review of his service and it delivered a very impressive 100 points profit during our trial, which would be over $10,000 profit to $100 stakes. 

In a betting world full of hype and guesswork, JK Diego’s approach is refreshingly methodical and grounded. Everything is based on logic, research, and strict filters – making him a true legend of draw betting.

How to Predict Draws in Football Matches: Key Factors to Consider

Before diving into the individual strategies for spotting a potential draw, it’s important to understand what typically causes a match to end without a winner.

While luck can always play a part, draws are often the result of predictable patterns – from cautious tactics and poor finishing to tight head-to-head histories and broader league trends.

By analysing these elements closely, you can identify the matches most likely to finish level and uncover real value in the betting markets.

Let’s break down the key factors that can help you consistently predict draws.

1. Check Recent Form – Especially for Similar-Strength Teams

One of the most effective ways to identify a potential draw is by analysing the recent form of both teams – especially when the sides are evenly matched in terms of ability, league position, or squad strength.

✅ Why Recent Form Matters

When two teams are in similar form and sitting close together in the table, they often cancel each other out.

Neither team is superior enough to dominate, and both may see a draw as a satisfactory result, especially if a loss would be more damaging than a win is rewarding.

Key indicators to look for:

  • Both teams have drawn multiple times in their last 5–10 matches
  • They’ve been involved in low-scoring games (e.g. under 2.5 goals)
  • Clean sheet records are strong, or both teams struggle to score
  • Neither team has shown dominant attacking form or defensive collapse

These are the kind of games that tend to fizzle out into 0-0 or 1-1 draws – particularly if there’s no strong tactical or emotional reason to chase a win.

This is a classic case of two teams being similar in strength and form, leading to a tactical standoff.

🧠 Pro Tip: Use Recent Form with League Context

Some leagues naturally produce more draws than others (as discussed further below). If both teams have recent draw-heavy form in a draw-prone league (like Brazil’s Serie A or Ligue 1), your chances of predicting a correct draw increase further.

2. Analyse Head-to-Head Records

Sometimes, the best clue to a likely draw lies in the history between the two teams. Some fixtures naturally produce tight, hard-fought battles year after year – often because of playing styles, tactical familiarity, or intense rivalries.

Looking at head-to-head (H2H) records can reveal repeat patterns. If two clubs have drawn 4 out of their last 6 meetings, that’s no coincidence – it could reflect a fundamental balance between the sides or a cautious approach when they face each other.

Here are some notable real-world examples of draw-heavy head-to-heads:

Brighton vs Crystal Palace (Premier League)

This rivalry, often dubbed the “M23 Derby,” has become one of the most draw-prone fixtures in recent years.

  • Between 2017 and 2024, the two sides met 16 times in the Premier League.
  • 7 of those 16 ended in draws – a 44% draw rate.
  • Most results were 1-1, underlining how evenly matched the teams have been.

These games are typically scrappy, tactical, and short on clear chances – perfect conditions for a stalemate.

Despite not being a classic derby in geographic terms, the fierce rivalry adds tension and contributes to a “don’t lose” mentality on both sides.

Everton vs Aston Villa (Premier League)

This historic matchup has seen a surprising number of draws over the years:

  • From 2000 to 2020, the teams played 38 league matches.
  • 15 of those ended in draws – over 39%.
  • Between 2009 and 2012, there were 6 draws in 8 meetings, including three 2-2 draws.

Why so many draws? Both clubs are traditionally mid-table sides with similar ambition and resources, and their games have often been tactically cautious affairs.

✅ Pro Tip:

When checking head-to-head records, look beyond just the number of draws. Also consider:

  • The scorelines (e.g. lots of 1-1s point to tactical balance)
  • The timing of goals (late equalisers often suggest emotional rivalries)
  • Whether draws occurred home and away, or just at one venue

If the H2H history suggests a repeatable trend – especially combined with similar current form – that’s a strong green light for a draw bet.

3. Focus on Low-Scoring Teams and Matches

One of the most reliable indicators of a potential draw is when both teams involved have a history of low-scoring matches. Simply put: the fewer the goals, the greater the likelihood of a stalemate.

Most draws in football occur with final scores of 0-0 or 1-1, so if you can identify fixtures with a high probability of under 2.5 goals, you’re already halfway to spotting draw value.

📊 Why Low Scoring Equals More Draws

From a statistical standpoint, when matches average fewer than 2.5 total goals, the number of drawn results tends to spike. Here’s why:

  • In a 0-0 or 1-1 scenario, neither team has established dominance
  • There are fewer momentum swings or comeback opportunities
  • Risk-averse teams may opt to protect a point instead of chasing three.

This is particularly common in matches involving teams with strong defences but weak attacks, or when two cautious managers face off.

🔍 What to Look For:

  • Teams with an average goals per game below 2.2
  • Both teams ranking high in clean sheets, xG against, or goals conceded
  • A high percentage of under 2.5 goals outcomes (60%+)
  • Clubs that typically score just 0.8–1.2 goals per match
  • Teams that rely on set-pieces or individual brilliance rather than open-play dominance

These indicators suggest a game that’s unlikely to be a goal-fest — perfect conditions for a draw.

⚽ Real-World Examples of Low-Scoring, Draw-Prone Teams


Example 1: Getafe (La Liga)
  • In the 2023/24 season, Getafe had one of the lowest goals-per-game averages in Europe.
  • Over 60% of their matches finished under 2.5 goals.
  • They had a 42% draw rate — well above the league average.
  • Their most common scorelines: 0-0, 1-1, and 1-0.

Their ultra-defensive, physical style often neutralises more creative teams and results in gritty, draw-friendly contests.

Example 2: Nantes (Ligue 1)
  • Nantes have consistently been involved in low-scoring games, with multiple seasons where over 65% of matches saw fewer than 3 goals.
  • In the 2022/23 campaign, they recorded 15 draws in 38 matches — nearly 40%.
  • With a weak attack and conservative tactics, especially away from home, they were a consistent pick for draw bettors.

🧠 Tactical Note

Low-scoring teams often play a structured, compact 4-5-1 or 5-4-1 formation, focusing on:

  • Maintaining shape
  • Blocking central areas
  • Limiting shots inside the box

If two such teams meet, they may cancel each other out and struggle to create clear chances — raising the probability of a draw significantly.

✅ Pro Tip:

To find likely low-scoring draw matches, use filters on stats sites (e.g. FBref, Understat, WhoScored) for:

  • Teams with average goals/game < 2.2
  • High “Under 2.5 Goals” % (over 60%)
  • High frequency of 0-0 and 1-1 results

Also look at recent xG data (expected goals). If both teams are generating and conceding low xG figures, it’s a signal that the match is unlikely to produce many goals — which means it has a higher-than-average chance of ending in a draw.

4. League Tendencies: Some Are More Draw-Prone

Different leagues have different draw profiles based on playing styles, competitiveness, and scoring averages. Here are some patterns based on long-term data:

  • Serie A (Brazil): Known for tactical, low-scoring games. Draw rates of 28–30% are common.
  • Ligue 1 (France): Also produces many draws historically, though recent years have seen more goals.
  • La Liga (Spain): Around 25–28% draw rate; especially common in mid-table clashes.
  • Premier League (England): Typically around 25%, with attacking play making draws slightly less likely.
  • Argentine Primera División: Often sees over 30% of games drawn due to tight, defensive football.

If you’re looking for value in draw betting, leagues with a long-term history of high draw rates are a great place to start.

5. Mid-Table Clashes Are Goldmines

When you’re trying to predict draws in football matches, one of the most consistently profitable angles is identifying games between mid-table teams — especially in the latter half of the season.

These fixtures often feature clubs that are too far from the relegation zone to be desperate and too far from the top to be ambitious.

In these scenarios, matches tend to lack urgency, intensity, or attacking risk — all of which are conditions that favour a draw.

🧠 Why Mid-Table Games Often End in Draws

  • Lack of stakes: Teams sitting 9th vs 10th or 11th vs 12th late in the season may have nothing to gain or lose from a single result.
  • Mental fatigue: With little on the line, players may subconsciously take fewer risks or lack motivation.
  • Managerial caution: Coaches may be more interested in testing tactics or avoiding defeat than chasing a risky win.
  • Even match-ups: Teams in the middle of the table are often closely matched in quality, making them harder to separate over 90 minutes.

These ingredients combine to create a scenario where both teams are content to play cautiously, often resulting in low-scoring draws — usually 0-0 or 1-1.

📈 When to Target Mid-Table Draws

Mid-table draws are most common:

  • From Matchday 20 onwards (second half of the season)
  • When teams are not in relegation danger and not chasing Europe
  • In leagues that are already draw-prone (e.g. Serie A, Ligue 1, La Liga)
  • When both teams have recent form that includes low goal averages and several draws

🔍 Key Stats to Check:

When looking at mid-table clashes, here are the key stats to check: 

Stat Why It Matters
League Position Mid-table teams (7th–14th) have fewer high-stakes fixtures
Recent Draw % Teams drawing 3+ of last 5 may lack killer instinct
Goals Scored Teams averaging <1.3 goals/game often lack attacking threat
Shots on Target Low output indicates games likely to drift to a draw

✅ Pro Tip:

Use football data sites to filter for:

  • Fixtures between teams within 3–5 places of each other
  • Matches where both sides have drawn 30%+ of their games
  • End-of-season games with no impact on promotion, relegation, or qualification

These are your prime draw betting opportunities — and they often go under the radar of casual punters focused only on top-of-the-table clashes.

6. Tactics: When Teams Play Not to Lose

In football, tactics often dictate the rhythm, risk level, and ultimately, the result of a match. One of the clearest signs that a game might end in a draw is when both teams set up to avoid defeat rather than to chase a win.

This is especially common in high-stakes games, tough away fixtures, or matches between teams with similar ambitions.

This “play not to lose” mentality typically results in low-risk, compact football, where both sides are more focused on structure and shape than attacking flair. As a result, matches often lack goals and clear chances — a perfect storm for a 0-0 or 1-1 draw.

🧠 What Does “Playing Not to Lose” Look Like?

Here are the tactical patterns and setups that often point toward a draw-friendly approach:

🔒 Defensive Formations

  • 5-4-1 or 4-5-1 systems that prioritise keeping the back line deep and compact
  • Use of two holding midfielders to screen the defence and break up attacks
  • Limited attacking width, with wingers tracking back more than pushing forward

🔁 Low Possession + Deep Blocks

  • Teams sit back in a mid-to-low block, conceding possession and waiting to counter
  • Very few players commit forward during attacks, preserving defensive integrity
  • Emphasis on clearing danger rather than building meaningful attacks

🧱 Match Management Over Risk

  • Teams aim to slow the game down, take time on restarts, and maintain shape
  • Substitutions made to hold the result rather than change it
  • Late-game tactics focus on preserving a draw rather than pushing for a winner

🧠 The Psychology Behind Tactical Caution

Managers often play for a point when:

  • Away from home, especially at tough venues
  • Facing superior opposition
  • Their job is under threat and they fear a loss more than they value a win
  • In knockout stages or final group games where a draw is enough for both teams to progress
  • When form is poor and they want to stabilise the team

This mindset can be especially prevalent in leagues like Brazil’s Serie A, Ligue 1, and certain international qualifiers, where cautious tactics are often rewarded with hard-earned draws.

🧩 Spotting Tactical Draw Indicators Pre-Match

Look for these signs in previews, line-ups, and stats:

Indicator What It Suggests
5-man defence or two defensive midfielders Prioritising clean sheet
Top scorer benched or injured Less goal threat
Quotes from manager about being “difficult to beat” Defensive approach
Low xG averages over recent games Low attacking output
Possession style with no penetration Potential stalemate

✅ Pro Tip:

Read pre-match press conferences and predicted line-ups for clues. If both managers talk about “being disciplined,” “staying organised,” or “respecting the opponent,” it’s often code for “we’re not going to open up.”

That kind of tactical mindset – when adopted by both sides – is draw gold.

7. Fixture Context and Psychological Factors

Some games are more likely to end in draws simply because both teams are content with a point:

  • Relegation six-pointers: Teams avoid defeat at all costs.
  • End-of-season dead rubbers: With little to play for, motivation dips.
  • Crucial group-stage matches: A draw might be enough for both teams to qualify – this is classic draw territory, although the odds may well reflect that.

Players and managers can be influenced by the stakes of a match. When the fear of losing outweighs the reward of winning, a draw becomes the natural outcome.

Best Stats to Use When Predicting Draws

To back up your predictions with data, here are the top metrics to look for:

Stat What to Look For
Draw % Teams with high draw rates (30%+ is notable)
Average Goals Per Game Lower than 2.0 total goals per game
Under 2.5 Goals % 60%+ under 2.5 goals rate is promising
BTTS (Both Teams to Score) % Lower BTTS stats indicate 0-0/1-0 possibilities
xG (Expected Goals) Low xG numbers for both sides hint at lack of attacking threat

You can find these stats on websites like WhoScored, SoccerStats, and FBref.

Draw Betting Strategies You Can Try

Now that you know how to predict draws in football matches, here are a few simple strategies to try:

✅ 1. Flat-Stake Draw Betting

Stick to a consistent stake (e.g., £10 per bet) and only bet on games where the stats and context line up. No chasing losses – just methodical, data-backed draw betting.

✅ 2. Correct Score Combos

If you think a game will be a draw but want bigger odds, try backing 0-0, 1-1 and 2-2 correct scores. This covers most common draw outcomes and can yield bigger profits when you hit.

✅ 3. Lay the Favourite

In certain games where the favourite is overpriced and you expect a tight contest, you can lay the favourite on a betting exchange. If the match ends in a draw (or an underdog win), you profit.

✅ 4. First Half Draws

Some bettors prefer the safety of predicting a draw at half-time. If two sides are cautious starters or low scorers early on, this can be a smart angle.

Real-Life Example: Burnley vs Wolves (2023/24)

This fixture ended 1-1 and had all the hallmarks of a classic draw bet:

  • Both teams had several recent draws
  • Neither had much to play for
  • They were evenly matched in form and league position
  • The last few head-to-heads were all low-scoring

A pre-match draw bet at odds of 3.20 would have landed.

Final Thoughts: Can You Really Predict Draws?

Yes – with the right mix of data analysis, football insight and patience, predicting draws in football is absolutely possible. It’s not a get-rich-quick strategy, but it can be part of a smart, long-term betting approach.

The key is to focus on value, be selective, and avoid guessing. Stick to the stats, understand team tactics, and always bet responsibly.

FAQs About Predicting Football Draws

❓ Is it profitable to bet on draws in football?

It can be if you consistently find value. Draws often have higher odds, so even a 30–35% strike rate can deliver profits.

❓ What leagues are best for draw betting?

Leagues like Brazil’s Serie A, Ligue 1, La Liga, and the Argentine Primera División historically have higher draw rates.

❓ Should I cash out if a game is level late on?

That depends on your risk appetite and the flow of the game. Sometimes it’s worth riding it out if both teams are cautious.

 

Now you know how to predict draws in football matches, why not try applying some of these strategies this weekend? Look for those low-scoring duels, analyse the stats, and see if you can spot the next 1-1 nail-biter before it happens.

 

Football fans cheering at stadium

Champions League Odds at the Start of the Season: A Betting Guide

The Champions League is the biggest prize in club football. Every year the top teams in Europe go head to head and as punters we get to predict who will win it.

Knowing the odds at the start of the season enables us to reflect on how much they’ve shifted as the season has progressed.

Which teams have seen their odds lengthen, and which have shortened since the season began?

Who was the favourite at the outset, and do they still represent good value now?

These are the kinds of questions we can address once we have a clear picture of the opening odds.

Examining the initial odds for this season can also provide hints about what to expect at the start of next season, offering an opportunity to identify value bets ahead of the crowd.

In this piece we’ll look back at the Champions League odds at the beginning of the season, revealing who the favourites and the dark horses were and how to make the most of your bets now that we are well into the Champions League campaign.

Why Do Start of the Season Odds Matter?

The bookmakers’ early odds are the product of extensive analysis by oddsmakers. These odds encapsulate their predictions on which teams are likely to excel, which might struggle, and where potential value lies.

They encompass a variety of markets, ranging from the winners, to who will reach the final to top goalscorer bets.

For bettors, these opening odds often present the best opportunity to place long-term wagers based on their season forecasts.

Since early-season odds factor in speculative elements such as new teams to the competition or high-profile signings, they offer a chance to identify value before the odds adjust as the season unfolds.

What were the Odds at the Start of the Season?

When it comes to Champions League betting, the big boys of European football topped the odds at the start of the season – as you would expect. 

Here were the odds at the start of the season on 29th August 2024, after the qualifying rounds were completed but before the Champions League proper kicked off:

  • Man City: 5/2
  • Real Madrid: 7/2
  • Arsenal: 10/1
  • Bayern Munich: 12/1
  • Liverpool: 14/1
  • Barcelona: 16/1
  • PSG: 20/1
  • Inter Milan: 25/1
  • Bayer Leverkusen: 28/1
  • Athletico Madrid: 33/1
  • Borussia Dortmund: 40/1
  • Atalanta: 50/1
  • AC Milan: 50/1
  • Aston Villa: 66/1

So the odds have changed quite a bit since the start of the season – with Liverpool moving into early favouritism following a strong run of form in the league phase, whilst Man City and Real Madrid drifted out considerably after struggling for form and then going out of the competition. 

Arsenal, Inter Milan and PSG have all seen their odds come in considerably during the course of the competition as they have made impressive runs through to the latter stages of Europe’s premier club competition. 

 

Find out who the Best Football Tipsters are here.

 

Main Markets at the Start of the Season

In addition to the Outright market, there are other main markets bettors usually like to consider at the start of the season:

  1. Top Scorer – Who will win the Champions League Golden Boot?
  2. To Reach the Final – Which teams will go all the way to the final of the Champions League?
  3. Top Assists – Who will create the most assists in this season’s Champions League?
  4. League Stage Winner – Which team will win the new League stage of the Champions League?
  5. Nationality of Winner – Which nation will the winner of the Champions League come from?

Each market has its own variables with the odds reflecting team and player strength, schedule and historical performance.

Factors to Consider

At the start of the season Champions League odds are influenced by:

  1. Squad Strength: Teams with depth and talent in their squad tend to be favourites. Injuries and transfers can have a big impact on the odds however.
  2. Managerial Experience: A manager with European pedigree can improve a team’s chances.
  3. Historical Record: Some teams like Real Madrid and Liverpool have strong European pedigrees meaning they often over-perform in the Champions League relative to expectations. 
  4. Domestic Form: Teams in good form in their domestic leagues often carry that into the Champions League.

Champions League Betting Tips

If you’re betting on the Champions League here are some tips:

Get Value

Instead of just backing the favourites look for teams with longer odds that can surprise. Dark horses like Bayer Leverkusen or Inter Milan could be great value if they overachieve.

Each-Way Bets

Each-way bets are a good option in the Champions League. This type of bet means you can win if your team reaches the final but doesn’t win.

Follow Transfers and Injuries

The transfer window and early season injuries can have a big impact on a team’s chances. Keep up to date with squad changes to make informed bets.

Compare Odds

Different bookmakers offer different odds so shop around to get the best value. Odds comparison websites will save you time and get you more returns.

Long Term Bets vs In-Season Adjustments

When it comes to the Champions League there are two main approaches: long term bets at the start of the season and in-season adjustments based on form and results.

Both have their merits and can work together in a good betting strategy.

  • Long Term Bets: These are placed before the season starts or in the early stages. They are based on pre-season research and offer more value if you can find teams that will outperform. For example Liverpool’s odds at the start of the season were great value if you believed in them.
  • In-Season Adjustments: As the season unfolds the odds adjust to team performances, injuries etc. This is the time to reassess your positions and take advantage of new betting opportunities. For example if a favourite like Paris Saint-Germain or Real Madrid struggle in the league phase their odds will lengthen and might be value if you think they will turn it around.

Combining these approaches allows you to balance the speculation of long term bets with the informed decisions that come from seeing teams in action.

 

Get FREE tips from fully verified pro tipsters here.

 

Champions League Betting Trends

Over the years some trends have emerged:

  • Favourites Win: Teams with shorter odds at the start of the season like Manchester City and Real Madrid often make it to the latter stages and the favourites have dominated the competition in recent years.
  • Upsets Happen: Despite favourites dominating the odds there’s always a chance of an upset. Teams like Porto (2004) and Chelsea (2012) have won the competition from long odds.
  • Home Advantage Counts: Teams with good home form in the group stages often build momentum for the knockout stages.

Looking Ahead: What This Means for Next Season

Examining the starting odds for this season can also provide hints about what to expect at the start of next season. For example:

  • Successful Teams: Teams that performed well this season are likely to have shorter odds next time around, potentially offering less value.
  • Emerging Contenders: Clubs like Liverpool might start with more respect from bookmakers, making early bets on them less lucrative.
  • Underperformers: Teams that underachieved, such as Manchester City and Real Madrid, could present value if you believe they’ll bounce back.

By analysing this season’s odds and outcomes, you can position yourself to make smarter, more informed bets when the next campaign begins.

Conclusion

The Champions League odds at the start of the season offer a fascinating lens through which to view the tournament.

By reflecting on how these odds have evolved, bettors can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and team performance.

So, favourite or underdog, the Champions League will be drama, excitement and value. Who will win?

We’ll see, but it’s going to be fun either way! 

 

Back of the Net – Final Review

We have come to the end of our six month trial of football laying service Back of the Net and here are the final results:-

 

Profit/Loss:   +34 points*
Strike Rate:   41%  
Bank Growth:   113%
ROI:   9% 
Average number of bets:   4 bets per day
Cost:   £19.87 for 1st month then £29.87/month
VERDICT:   PASSED
Rating:

 

You can view full results here.

* Please note results are for level stakes betting. Using the recommended Fibonacci staking, a profit of 45 points was made.

 

Back of the Net – Full Review

 

Back of the Net is a football laying service run by Andrew David, the man behind the long-running and highly rated Little Acorns system.

With that kind of pedigree, we were eager to see how his football service would fare—and we’re glad to report it lived up to expectations.

The service sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw opportunities in-play on the exchanges, typically late on in football matches.

The idea is to take advantage of games where a goal is statistically likely, allowing you to lay the draw at low odds (typically 1.40 to 1.90), limiting liability.

Staking System

The advised staking is a modified Fibonacci sequence—starting with 1pt and increasing through 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3, 4, 5, 6.5 and so on until a winner is hit. At that point, the sequence resets.

This approach helps claw back losses when there’s a losing run, but as with any progressive staking system, it’s not for the faint-hearted.

However, we also tracked the performance using level staking (laying each selection to win 1 point), to give a clear picture of the profitability of selections in themselves rather than due to any staking system used.

We believe given the results discussed below level stakes may be a more appealing route for many subscribers due to their simplicity and lower risk.

Results Analysis

Looking at the final results for Back of the Net using level stakes, the performance was very encouraging.

Over the course of our six-month trial, the service produced a steady stream of profits, showing good consistency.

A 34-point profit to level stakes is an excellent return, particularly for a laying system where liabilities are typically kept low (due to laying at odds between 1.40 and 1.90, with the average being 1.6).

The 41% strike rate is right around the sweet spot for lay the draw betting—high enough to keep drawdowns manageable, but not so high that it raises questions about sustainability.

It’s clear the system is good at identifying games where a goal is likely in the closing stages.

Meanwhile, a return on investment (ROI) of 9% is strong, especially for a service laying at odds-on. 

That shows this isn’t just a case of chipping away slowly—it has real potential to build a bank over time.

Speaking of which, the 113% bank growth is one of the standout figures from the trial. More than doubling your bank in six months is a great result, particularly if you were following level stakes and keeping your risk profile lower.

These figures suggest that Back of the Net doesn’t rely solely on its Fibonacci-style staking plan to generate profit—the selections themselves are solid, with the stats to back them up. That’s a big tick in the box for the underlying quality of the service.

The results using the adjusted Fibonacci staking were also very good, with a profit of 45 points made for our trial. 

All in all, the final results point to a well-performing system that offers both profitability and manageable risk, particularly when using the more conservative level staking approach.

Odds Availability

One of the key points we monitored during the trial was odds availability. As these are in-play alerts, getting matched at the advised prices can sometimes be tricky, especially in lower-liquidity markets.

We found that in most cases, the actual odds available on Betfair were a few ticks higher than the official advised prices—nothing too dramatic, but still something to be aware of.

Importantly, the service does exclude any wins from their official results if a goal is scored within five minutes of the alert being sent, which is a fair and transparent policy.

It also gives you a bit of leeway if you want to wait for slightly better odds before placing your lay bet.

For matches not available on Betfair, the alternative is to back both teams to win at the bookies, effectively creating a lay-the-draw position.

However, we found that in these cases, the effective odds were sometimes less favourable, so it’s generally better to stick to Betfair where possible and to avoid these games in general.

 

Service Breakdown

Ease of use: The selections are sent out via e-mail and can come at any time as they are in-play in matches around the globe. This means that inevitably you won’t be able to follow every selection but it’s okay if you miss a few – there are plenty more and results should average out over time. 

Availability of prices: As discussed above, price availability was an issue during the trial. Generally we were getting a few ticks worse than the official results on average. Over the course of hundreds of selections this will dent your returns, so we would say be prepared to take perhaps a third to a half less profit overall than the official results. That still leaves very healthy profits, however, given that 34 points profit was made during our trial. 

Strike rate: The strike rate for our trial was good at 41%, which kept things ticking along nicely and meant a strong profit was made at the odds tipped at.  

Advised Betting Bank: A 100 point bank is recommended if you are using the adjusted Fibonacci, which seems reasonable to us. For level stakes we used a 30 point bank which given the average stake of 0.6 points and the solid strike rate of 41%, was more than sufficient during our trial. 

Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £19.87 for the first month then £29.87 per month thereafter. 

OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED

Overall, Back of the Net has proven itself to be a reliable and well-thought-out football laying service. It combines smart use of in-play data, automated alerts, and a decent strike rate to produce consistent profits.

The results over our six-month trial were impressive, with 34 points profit made using level staking and over 100% bank growth. Using their adjusted Fibonacci staking system, the service also made 45 points profit our trial. 

The only real downside is the occasional issue with odds availability, particularly on more obscure matches. It was tough to match the official results as the odds were typically a few ticks worse than they record in their results, so in reality you would have to expect to make a little less profit than the official results.

Given the excellent profits made though, this gives quite a bit of leeway to still make a decent return following the service. 

If you’re looking for a simple, well-run lay-the-draw system with a good track record, Back of the Net is definitely worth checking out.

👉 You can check out Back of the Net here.

 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

4th March 2025

It’s been a good month for football laying service Back of the Net, with a profit of 4 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 14 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they have made a profit of 3 points since our last update, meaning they are now 15 points up for our trial to date at 1 point level stakes. 

So it looks like level stakes are a more favourable option here for following these picks, both from a profitability/ROI standpoint and from a simplicity/risk perspective.

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In previous updates we have mentioned our concerns about price availability and we have been tracking the prices we have been able to achieve in the second tab of our results spreadsheet.

One thing that we do note is that for the picks that are not available on Betfair, the effective odds available at the bookies (i.e. by backing both teams to win) do not appear to offer value as the effective odds are significantly higher for those selections. 

For those matches that are available on Betfair, we are still recording higher odds than the official ones, but given the overall profits achieved the service should still be worth following – it’s just that the profit would be somewhat lower than the official results.

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

30th January 2025

There has been a slight drop for football laying service Back of the Net over the last month, with a loss of 5 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 10 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), there was no change to the net P/L since our last update, meaning they are still 12 points up for our trial to date at 1 point level stakes. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In previous updates we have mentioned our concerns about price availability and we have been tracking the prices we have been able to achieve in the second tab of our results spreadsheet. 

So far these show we have been getting an average of 0.09 ticks worse than the official results. However, we do need more data on this before drawing any conclusions so will continue tracking available odds going forward.  

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

30th December 2024

A slight step backwards lately for football laying service Back of the Net, with a loss of 2 points made to advised staking since our last update.

That means they are now 15 points up for our trial overall using advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again).  

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they have made 1 point profit since our last update and are 12 points up for our trial to date. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

In our last update we noted some issues with odds availability, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

It is worth noting that in their official results, they do record the lay odds as around 10 ticks higher than contained in their e-mail, which seems reasonable. 

We have started tracking the available odds in games where we are able to (which you can see in the second tab of our results spreadsheet) and sometimes they are more than 10 ticks higher than the e-mail and a few ticks higher than the official results.

However, generally it only seems to be a few ticks higher than the official results so in the main it shouldn’t make too much difference to your overall results. It is something we will aim to keep tracking in any event.   

It is also worth noting that in their official results they exclude any wins where a goal was scored within 5 minutes of the alert being sent out, which is pretty fair of them and means you could wait a few minutes for the odds to tick down a bit before taking the lay bet. 

Generally odds availability seems to be more of an issue in low-liquidity matches than in the big games, which is understandable really given lots of people are queuing up to place lay bets on the draw.

In any event, as we say we don’t think the odds availability is a huge issue but just something to keep an eye on moving forward. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – Results Update

19th November 2024

It’s been a good start to our trial of football laying service Back of the Net, with a profit of 17 points made so far to advised staking (which is a form of adjusted Fibonacci – i.e. betting 1pt, 1.5pt, 2pt, 2.5pt, 3pt, 4pt, 5pt, 6.5pt etc until you hit a winner and then starting again). 

You can view full results here.

To one point level stakes (i.e. laying each selection to win one point), they are 11 points up so far. 

Just a reminder, this is a service that sends out automated alerts via e-mail for lay the draw bets in-play late on in football matches.

We have noted some issues with odds availability so far, with some of the draw odds being considerably higher on Betfair than the advised odds contained in the e-mails from Back of the Net. 

This may be due to weight of money from subscribers to Back of the Net all entering the market at the same time and pushing the odds out – particularly on some very illiquid markets that the bets are sometimes in. 

In any event, even allowing for this the results have been so good you would still be well up so far.  

Also just to note that most of the selections are to be laid on Betfair but there is the occasional one that isn’t available on the exchanges. In such cases you can just use the bookies and back the home and away teams to win. 

 

 

 

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Back of the Net – New Review

15th October 2024

We are starting a new review today of a football betting service called Back of the Net (or Back of the Net Profit Bundle to give it its full title).

This is a service from Andrew David who regularly readers may know from Little Acorns fame.

Little Acorns is a horse racing betting system that Andrew developed over 10 years ago and has won multiple awards over the years, including our very own Best Horse Racing service a few times.

So Andrew knows what he is doing and we are always keen to hear about anything new he is developing.

Well his latest offering, Back of the Net, uses in-play data and statistics to identify lay the draw opportunities late in football matches.

The system uses filters that consider multiple factors, indicating when a goal is likely.

When it finds an opportunity for the deadlock to be broken in a game, subscribers receive an alert by e-mail.

The alerts come with clear step-by-step instructions, making it easy to follow, even for beginners in lay the draw betting.

Typically, the lay prices of the selected bets range from 1.40 to 1.70, meaning liabilities are low.

Since launching in May 2023, the reported results for Back of the Net are impressive, with over 70 points profit made using a modified form of Fibonacci staking.

Fibonacci staking, in case you are not aware, is where you bet 1 point, then 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 points and so on until you either hit a winner or keep losing until the sequence is completed. Either way you go back to the beginning.

They use a slightly modified form of the sequence, but the process is the same.

For someone staking £25 per point using their Fibonacci staking, that equates to over £1,750 in profit.

The strike rate has also been strong, standing at a notable 41% so far.

Crunching the numbers from their results spreadsheet, our calculations are that the selections would have produced around 50 points profit at level stakes aswell, which is very good indeed. 

So for those who find Fibonacci staking a little hair-raising, it looks like level stakes have also worked well.  

All in all then this looks like a very promising service and we are eager to put it through its paces under a live trial. 

We have been receiving alerts for around a week now so will record results from when we started receiving alerts and will update things here as we go along. 

In the meantime you can check out Back of the Net for yourself here.

 

 

Corner Betting King – Final Update

Please note this service has been discontinued. We will therefore end our review here after what has been a disappointing review considering the results coming into our trial. 

It just shows once again how hard it is to make a profit in this game over the long-term and that only a very few elite experts manage it. 

So we will consign this one to the failed pile unfortunately and move on to the next review. 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

22nd March 2025

A small reduction lately for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a loss of 2 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 38 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned previously, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

10th February 2025

Not much change lately for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a profit of 1 point made since our last update.

That means they are now 36 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned previously, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

8th January 2025

It’s been a tough time lately for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a loss of 19 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 37 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned previously, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

Although that is helpful for members of the service, unfortunately the results have struggled a little since they made the switch so we could do with seeing an uptick in form by the time of our next update. 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

30th November 2024

There’s been a small improvement lately for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a profit of 1 point made since our last update.

That means they are now 18 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned previously, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

Another recent change is that they now tip in doubles rather than singles, again in the whole match corners market. 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

28th October 2024

Things just can’t quite get going for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a loss of 1 point made since our last update.

That means they are now 19 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned previously, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

We did have high hopes for this service as results coming into our trial looked very promising but as we say they just haven’t been able to get going so far.

Hopefully will be able to do so soon. 

 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

28th September 2024

Another small decline for football tipster the Corner Betting King over the last month, with a loss of 4 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 18 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As mentioned last time, they have changed the service from tipping in the half-time corners market to tipping in the the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market, which is more widely available across bookmakers.

That helps with the practicality of following the service – we just need the results to improve now too. 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

27th August 2024

Just a small dip for football tipster the Corner Betting King lately, with a loss of 5 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 14 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

There has been a bit of a change to the service recently. Previously they tipped in the half-time corners market which is a very niche market and only available on Bet36 and Marsbet. 

However they are now tipping in the total corners (i.e. for the whole match) market which is more widely available across bookies.

So that definitely helps with the practicality of following the service – let’s just hope results pick up now too. 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

22nd June 2024

There’s been a slight improvement for football tipster the Corner Betting King, recently, with a profit of 3 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 9 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As the name suggests, this service provides tips on the corner markets – specifically, over/under half-time corners. 

These markets are only available on Bet365 or Mars Bet, so you will need access to one or both of those bookies if you want to follow the service.

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

22nd June 2024

Things not really moving forward at the moment for football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a loss of 14 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 12 points down for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As the name suggests, this service provides tips on the corner markets – specifically, over/under half-Time corners. 

These markets are only available on Bet365 or Mars Bet, so you will need access to one or both of those bookies if you want to follow the service.  

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

8th May 2024

There’s been a bit of a backward step for football tipster the Corner Betting King over the last month, with a loss of 12 points made since our last update.

That means they are now 2 points up for our trial overall. 

You can view full results here.

As the name suggests, this service provides tips on the corner markets – specifically, over/under half-Time corners. 

These markets are only available on Bet365 or Mars Bet, so you will need access to one or both of those bookies if you want to follow the service.  

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – Results Update

3rd April 2024

It’s been a good start to our trial of football tipster the Corner Betting King, with a profit of 14 points made for our trial to date. 

You can view full results here.

As the name suggests, this service provides tips on the corner markets – specifically, Half-Time corners. 

Unfortunately these markets are only available on Bet365 (or Mars Bet, if that is available to you).

They say you can try the “build a bet” function at other bookmakers but we have not been able to find a bookie who does this (please let us know if you have).  

So it rather limits the scope of this service, which otherwise looks quite promising. 

 

 

 

 

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Corner Betting King – New Review

19th February 2024

We are starting a new trial today of a football betting service called the Corner Betting King.

This is based out of the Betting Gods stable of tipsters and as you have probably guessed from the name, focuses solely on corner markets in football matches.

In fact, his focus is even more specialised than that – his bets are solely on the numbers of corners in the first half of matches.

So the markets used are typically Under 4.5 HT Corners or Under 5.5 HT Corners.

Now regular followers will know we are keen on services that focus on a particular niche. Beating the bookies is very tough if you spread yourself too thin across a range of different markets, but focusing on one or two markets and becoming an expert in them can pay dividends. 

The results so far look very promising, with 184 points profit made so far since starting up in July 2022. 

Most of the staking is 2 points per bet, so that would be more like around 90-100 points on 1 point level stakes. Still an excellent total to have achieved in football betting. 

The return on investment (ROI) sits at just above 10%, which is also very impressive for a football service, where anything above 5% we normally consider to be a good ROI. 

The strike rate (or win rate) is a little over 50% which is very solid and there have been a very high proportion of winning months so far, with 18 out of 20 months having been profitable. 

This month is already £380 up to £25 per point stakes. 

So it all looks very promising as we say and let’s see if this specialist corner betting service can deliver the goods under live trial conditions. 

We will kick the trial off from when we started receiving tips (13th February) and will update things here as we go along as usual. 

In the meantime you can check out the Corner Betting King for yourself here.