Welcome to the Honest Betting Reviews blog. Here you can find the latest updates on betting systems and tipsters currently under review as well as our tips on how to beat the bookies with the best winning betting systems we have profited from,
Laysonthefootball has gone very quiet lately, with just four bets issued since our last update. There has been no change in their overall position, with a break-even return posted over the last month.
That means they are still 4 points down for our trial overall.
If things don’t pick up soon we will probably wrap up this review shortly as they seem to have lost interest in tipping but are still sending out spam emails about other betting services.
There have been some slightly strange goings-on at the service recently. They had been sending an e-mail each day to provide the tips or report that there were no bets.
Then there was a period of no emails for a while, but they said “Sometimes I don’t send out an e-mail, but the page is still updated daily with the bet.”
It would have been preferable to let members know beforehand they might not be sending out emails but could be updating the tips page, but anyway we won’t dwell on that and hopefully things will settle down now into a more stable routine.
We have attempted to record the available odds where we can, and there have been some quite big price fluctuations from the advised odds. That’s not unusual of course, as the odds can fluctuate quite a bit on the football markets in the hours before kick off.
Just a reminder that this is a simple tipping service with one or two lays bets per day on the footy. The main markets used are match odds and over/under goals.
In any event, as we say not the best start here but it’s still very early days and plenty of time to get back on track.
We are starting a new trial today of a football betting service called Laysonthefootball.
This is a service that lays in a variety of soccer markets on Betfair including match odds, first half goals, over/under 2.5 goals, half time result and more.
It claims to have made £1038 profit in two months from 71 bets using £25 lay stakes.
There isn’t much information about what the strategy is or how they go about finding the bets, but there are some screenshots from Betfair of their bets which show the results.
Of course these things aren’t always genuine and it’s a small sample size so we shouldn’t be getting carried away.
The sales page talks about previously being a “mug punter” whereas now they are acting like a bookmaker by placing lay bets.
That’s all pretty obvious to regular bettors but for those new to betting it provides some background to how lay betting works.
In any event, it looks interesting enough to test out so we will set up a review and report back soon on how things are going.
This is a service that focuses on the -1.5 Asian handicap market and bets in singles and doubles.
We haven’t noticed any problems with odds availability so far and in fact you can normally back the bets on Betfair and sometimes beat the advised odds.
Today seems to be a strong example of that, with the advised odds of one of the tips being 3.4 but over 4.1 available on Betfair currently.
So from that point of view it all seems good but obviously need the results to pick up as soon as possible.
Today we are starting a new review of a football tipster called CH Footy Tips from the Betting Gods tipster platform.
The tips are provided by a guy called Chad who is a professional football gambler from Atlanta in the US. Although he is from America, having grown up around Europe his betting is mostly centred on UK and European leagues.
Most of his bets are handicap bets, involving using the -1.5 handicap line (so sides that are strongly fancied) and then putting the bets into singles and doubles.
It’s an approach that’s worked well for Chad so far, with a profit of 170 points made since joining the Betting Gods platform in December 2020.
The strike rate is good at a shade over 36% whilst the return on investment is solid at 8%.
We tend to like tipsters who stick to a systematic approach and have a niche angle, which this tipster seems to do with their focus on the handicap markets, so we are interested in seeing what kind of results they can produce under a live trial.
We will kick things off today then and post results updates here as we go along.
The tips are provided by a guy called Tony who likes to keep things as simple as possible. He provides bets in markets such as over/under goals, both teams to score, and the match outcome. He says he’s not into laying or Asian handicaps and instead prefers bets where you can actually follow the game and understand what’s going on.
Tony focuses very much on value bets, and has been betting this way personally now for several years – it’s apparently his main source of income and what he does full-time, according to the information on the Betting Gods website.
Judging by the results of our trial, we hope he has some alternative source of income because he would be struggling to live off his gambling returns lately.
After a seven month trial he finished 30 points down, which represented 40% of the advised betting bank of 75 points.
Things just never really got going for Tony – he went down early on in our trial and never recovered. It was just a steady move downwards over the course of our review.
With over 27 bets proofed over an extended seven month period, it was a reasonable sample size of tips to get a feel for the service.
The return on investment was negative 8%, which is quite a disappointing level. The strike rate wasn’t too bad in itself at 48%, but wasn’t enough to generate a profit during our trial.
So it is perhaps no surprise that this service receives a FAILED rating from us. As ever with tipsters, it is of course possible that we just caught the service at a bad time. But there would need to be a substantial improvement in performance for us to reconsider our rating here.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are provided by e-mail, normally around 6-7pm UK time the day before matches, so plenty of time to get the bets on. There are an average of around 1-2 tips per day so it’s a pretty straightforward service to follow.
Availability of prices: We didn’t notice any issues in terms of obtaining the advised prices.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 48% which is pretty solid in itself but wasn’t enough to generate a profit during our trial.
Advised Betting Bank: A 75 point betting bank is recommended for the following the service, which seems fairly reasonable to us, although a 100 point bank might be more advisable given the results achieved during our trial.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £1.99 for the first 15 days then £27 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED
Sadly the Master Football Tipster failed to live up to their name during our extended seven month trial, finishing with a loss of 30 points.
Things just never really got going for them and with nearly half of the betting bank lost during our trial, unfortunately it is a FAILED rating for this service from us.
Although the results so far have been disappointing, it’s worth bearing in mind that the loss of 24 points only represents just under a third of the recommended 75 point betting bank, so it is certainly no wipe out yet.
But obviously they will need to turn things around soon to make it viable for members to follow the service with subscription fees to pay etc.
We hope everyone had a good Xmas and you are now settling in to watch a great day of sport on Boxing Day!
In terms of this review, it’s been something of a step backwards over the last month for Master Football Tipster, with a loss of 12 points made since our last update.
That means they are now 19 points down for our trial overall.
As mentioned previously, most of the bets are in the Both Teams to Score and over 2.5 goals markets, which are normally available on Betfair for the selected matches. Sometimes you can beat the advised odds which is good.
Anyway, let’s hope to see some improvement for this tipster over the next couple of months as it’s been a bit of stuttering start to their time as a tipster since going live.
They seem to be hitting their stride now with a nice run of seven winners in a row recently, which came just after a run of seven winners out of eight.
Most of the selections are in the “Both Teams to Score” (or BTTS) market, with a few in the over 2.5 goals market. The odds are generally obtainable and you can use Betfair to place the bets, which has good liquidity for these markets.
Not an ideal start then but very early days so plenty of time for them to turn things around.
The tips are provided by a guy called Tony who likes to keep things as simple as possible. He provides bets in markets such as over/under goals, both teams to score, and match outcome. He says he’s not into laying or Asian handicaps and instead prefers bets where you can actually follow the game and understand what’s going on.
Tony focuses very much on value bets, and has been betting this way personally now for several years – it’s apparently his main source of income and what he does full-time.
The results to date suggest he knows what he’s doing, with a profit of £672 made to £10 per point since starting proofing to Betting Gods back in May.
That has been achieved with a return on investment (ROI) of 22%, which is very impressive in football betting. The strike rate is also high at 62%, so the numbers stack up very nicely for the Master Football Tipster.
He is also in great form with ten winning bets in a row!
So it’s a nice time to kick off a review with the football season having just got underway and a feast of action coming up over the next few months.
We will update results here as we along so you can see how the trial is going.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/footballer-kicking-ball-2.png399700Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2021-04-13 09:35:402021-04-13 16:50:30Master Football Tipster – Final Review
Given the news about Football Index, which we covered in some detail in a post the other day, it obviously makes sense to wrap up this review now.
In case you missed it, essentially Football Index are in financial trouble and have had to cut dividends by over 60%. That led to a crash in users’ portfolio values and a storm of understandable bitterness and anger on social media from people who felt they had been misled by the company. Our view is that Football Index is living on borrowed time in its current form and barring a miraculous turnaround or buyout and restructure, will have to face closing its doors at some stage with so little revenue coming in.
This obviously leaves Football Index Trader (run by a chap called Adam) in a sticky position and you have to feel for him given this was his main occupation. Adam is soldiering on for now whilst Football Index is still going, although members have been given the option to pause their subscriptions.
In terms of the Football Index Trader (or FIT for short) service itself, as we commented in the review below we thought it was excellent. The research was always in-depth and the analysis high quality. There were a high proportion of selections picked out in scouting who went on to perform very well and whilst there were a few who didn’t quite hit the mark, you are never going to have a 100% success rate but on the whole members would have done well following FIT’s advice.
It is obviously no fault of Adam’s that Football Index has got itself into this mess so all we can do really is wrap up this review and say if Football Index had been a well-managed platform and achieved the potential it had, then FIT would have been an excellent resource for people wanting to get the most out of the platform.
If as we say there is some miraculous turnaround or a buyout and restructure, then perhaps it could be once again, although trust with Football Index has been so thoroughly destroyed it is difficult to envisage a way back for it from here.
In any event, we imagine Adam’s skills could be easily transferred to one of the other platforms like Footstock or Sorare should he choose, but we could understand full well if he wants to take his career in another direction after what has happened at Football Index.
So alas all we can say really is that Football Index Trader would have received a resounding PASSED rating, but sadly that looks like rather a moot point now.
Football Index Trader (or FIT for short) is a site designed to help traders maximise their gains on the “Football Stockmarket,” Football Index.
In our last update we covered some of the key features of FIT including “Scouting,” “State of the Market” and the live blogs. Those are really the core of the service but there are some other features as well which we will take a look at today.
Before getting onto those however, it is worth reporting that there has been a bounce back in the market following a recent announcement from Football Index regarding a change to the dividend structure that removes in-play dividends and replaces them with “match day extra” dividends.
This announcement seems to have restored confidence in the platform and got it back to its USP of being more of a long-term trading platform where you are betting on players’ careers (or three years of their careers, at least).
In addition to the general market improvement there have been some really good picks from FIT lately which have been winning dividends and increasing in price, including:
– Mason Mount
– Joao Cancelo
– Bukayo Saka
– Harry Maguire
– Riyad Mahrez
– Thomas Muller
And plenty more besides. As mentioned last time however, it is whether you have the funds to buy all these players, or any of them for that matter if you already have your funds invested.
So there is also the question of portfolio management and availability of funds when following the service. Presuming you do have some funds to buy new players (perhaps from ongoing dividends you are receiving) then FIT has been very adept at picking out players likely to win dividends soon and therefore increase in price.
Anyway, let’s move on to looking at the other aspects of the service:-
Player Ratings
This is where players are given star ratings based on their current performance and potential performance. Ratings are organised by position – goalkeeper, defender, midfielder and attacker and can be sorted by club or ratings top to bottom.
Five stars is for “elite” players who are expected to challenge for performance dividends 10-15 times per season, four stars is for “very strong” players likely to challenge 7-10 times per season and so on.
It’s a useful way of ranking players and comparing them against each other, allowing traders to narrow down their selections and concentrate on the top-rated players.
Transfers
This section of the site is devoted to upcoming transfer windows and where you might find potential bargains. These are players that could either rise in price (and pick up some dividends) purely off transfer speculation or those who could do much better at a new club where they might get more game time and be more comfortable etc.
The transfer section is only really relevant during the run-up to transfer windows so is not something you need to regularly follow, but is worth checking out when a window is coming up.
Wrapping Up
We have covered most of the main site features now in our updates so will look to wrap up soon with the final bits and some closing thoughts.
Overall though we have been very impressed with the service and found the advice indispensable for those involved in the Football Index.
Football Index Trader is a site designed to help traders maximise their gains on the “Football Stockmarket,” Football Index.
Last time we commented that it was very difficult to do an update on Football Index Trader because the market on Football Index had crashed, making it almost impossible to sell shares and therefore making any kind of advice or guidance somewhat obsolete.
Well the good news is that the market has settled down a little over the last month and whilst prices have still been falling, there is at least more liquidity in the market and most players can be sold now. That gives us a more viable basis on which to conduct our review of Football Index Trader (or FIT for short).
So what is FIT exactly?
In essence FIT is more of a guide than a tipping service as such – there aren’t “tips” on which players to buy and sell at particular times, instead there is research and advice that a user can follow to help guide their decision-making. As such we won’t be able to record results for this review in the normal way, but thought we would still take a look at the information provided and our thoughts on it.
How have we found it so far?
Overall we really like the service. Although in many ways we would prefer a straightforward tipping service, the guy who runs FIT says that is against the rules so has constructed his site in the way he has, i.e. as more of an information resource. That means more work on the part of members, but there is very valuable information to be had with a little bit of effort.
Scouting
The real hub of the site is the “scouting” section, which provides updates on the latest round of matches across the leagues and competitions covered by FI and identifies any players who are currently value propositions based on recent performances.
Generally this information is excellent and there have been a number of players we have bought on the basis of being highlighted in scouting – e.g. Theo Hernandez, Angelino, Thomas Lemar, Andre Silva, Andrew Robertson – who we would have been unlikely to buy otherwise but have produced good returns.
At the same time of course there are some players we have bought based on the scouting who haven’t done so well – yet anyway – so it hasn’t been all winners so far, but patience is a virtue with FI so we expect at least some of those players will come good eventually (ahem Dybala, Coutinho).
The danger as well is that there are so many players highlighted in scouting you can end up trying to buy too many players and find yourself with a rather verbose portfolio – something we have definitely been guilty of!
A possible solution to that is to only buy the players on his “explosion imminent” list, which is more selective list of around 20 players he really expects to do well soon.
The point we really value from the scouting and across the site in general though is the focus on value and ignoring the over-hyped, over-valued players who are actually quite poor performers in FI terms, even though they may be good players. It can be just as important knowing who not to buy as who to buy.
And by focusing on the value at the lower end of the market – from 50p up to £2 per share, you start to see how lucrative the returns can be on those “out of favour” players who are genuine quality but have just had a slight dip in form lately or have happened to not hit a dividend win in recent weeks.
We have also utilised the “IPD rotation” strategy very successfully so far, which involves refreshing shares on those players who return a lot in IPD (in-play dividends) but are cheaply priced, either due to age or not being likely to win the Performance Dividends very often. As FIT has said a few times, this is like “printing money,” so we are grateful to him for highlighting that strategy.
Live Blogs and Market Sentiment
Another aspect of the service we really like is the live blogs, when FIT provides a running commentary on the latest developments at Football Index, with very astute insights and an ability to see the wood for the trees – which many supposed “FI experts” on social media seem to lack!
There are also regular updates on the “State of the Market” in which he presents the overall sentiment governing FI at the current time and the reasons for that prevailing mood. This is helpful again in understanding the bigger picture and reminding traders not to panic when things go awry, as well as noting the things that do need to be improved on the platform.
Caan Berry Video Response
It would be remiss of us not to also mention FIT’s response to a recent video by renowned Betfair trader Caan Berry. Basically Caan made a Youtube video explaining the problems (as he saw them) with Football Index in its current form and why he wouldn’t be joining the platform at the moment.
Whilst he made some good points in that video, we felt there were some misunderstandings of the mechanics of FI and some other issues that whilst on the face of it look like problems, when you delve into them more deeply either aren’t actually much to worry about or could easily be dealt with by FI.
These points were dealt with in an excellent and very in-depth blog post by FIT which you can read here. It is a long post but well worth reading for those either on Football Index or thinking of joining.
To be fair to Caan, he has addressed some of the points in a follow-up video looking at why prices are crashing and what FI can do to fix it, which is also worth a watch.
For what its worth from our point of view, without wanting to get too bogged down in the debate over the mechanics of the platform and market dynamics etc, we think the most important thing for FI is to improve the functionality of the platform and to make it slicker, simpler and more user-friendly.
If they do that then it will be easier to attract new traders and new money, liquidity will increase and everything else will fall into place. The platform will be able to grow organically and any money they spend on marketing will be more effective in attracting new traders.
They should also not announce things and then not be able to deliver them, which they have done numerous times recently (Nasdaq anyone?). It should be the other way round – under-promise and over-deliver.
As Steve Jobs and Elon Musk have said in the past (to paraphrase them) – just have a relentless focus on making your product better and then it will sell itself and people will keep coming back for more.
Offering gimmicks or just increasing the spend on marketing without improving the product would not be advisable in our view.
Overall Thoughts
In summary then we would say we really like FIT and feel it’s definitely worth the cost of membership for anyone serious about trading on Football Index. There’s some great info on there and the overall strategy/mindset of focusing on value is – well, invaluable!
We would like it to be just a little bit simpler/quicker to use – perhaps a summary of the top players found in that week’s scouting for instance, or a “hot players of the week” with a value price band could help.
And whilst there is advice on building a portfolio and the overall strategy, a bit more clarity on how to use scouting and avoiding the pitfalls we have experienced of buying too many players would be of benefit (although perhaps that’s just us!)
At the same time it’s fair to say it has not been an ideal time to do this review with Football Index having been in a state of turmoil recently but with a guide like FIT it’s been easier to stay level-headed and not to panic about the market fluctuations.
It would be nice to be able to talk about some big gains we have made based on FIT’s advice, but unfortunately with the market crash that isn’t possible currently. Hopefully if FI can get their act together and focus on improving the platform though, that’s something we can do in future updates.
We had hoped to provide an update on Football Index Trader, a site designed to help traders maximise their gains on the “Football Stockmarket” known as Football Index.
However, sadly things have been going a little pear-shaped for Football Index lately. They say a picture speaks a thousands words so here is a look at the top 8 players on the platform at the moment:
You might notice a problem…there is a sell price on only one of the players. Of the top 20, there is a sell price on only four players.
What is happening here?
Essentially lots of people want to sell their shares but no-one wants to buy. Confidence in the platform is shot and lots of people are trying to exit…but at the moment they can’t. Not a good situation. Not good at all.
Why is this happening though?
Well a few months ago Football Index changed the way the platform operated. Previously, they had a system whereby Football Index themselves would buy up shares of people who wanted to sell, in a queue system.
In doing so, they were able to maintain tight spreads (the difference between the buy and sell price) and everyone was happy because traders knew they could sell shares of players they didn’t want anymore at a reasonable price – or sell players they had made a good profit on.
We say everyone was happy. Well, not quite everyone…
No, it appears the regulator – which we assume was the UK Gambling Commission – stepped in and said they didn’t like this system as it was an artificial market. In essence Football Index were propping up the market and creating a false sense of security.
So Football Index were forced (as far as we can tell) to adopt mechanisms more akin to a normal stock market – i.e. that other traders would have to buy the shares of those who wanted to sell, not Football Index.
In order to facilitate this, Football Index introduced “Order Books.” We won’t get into the technicalities of how Order Books work, but in essence this is a bit more like a proper market, but with various limits in place in terms of what prices you can buy and sell at, to stop wild fluctuations in the market.
The problem with this forced change is that it came far too early in the life-cycle of Football Index. There just aren’t enough active traders on the platform to provide liquidity. At the moment there are around 3,000 active traders per day. Compare that to Betfair or one of the bookies who have millions of customers and you start to see the problem.
So what you had were huge spreads between the buy and sell prices – or what you have now, no sell price at all!
Football Index are making some changes later this week in an attempt to address these issues, for example by removing the restriction of only being allowed to make an offer (i.e. to sell) 1p below the buy price.
This is welcome and may help to reduce the size of the spreads. However, it does not address the more fundamental problems that FI has – the lack of traders and liquidity.
The fundamental issue is that Football Index is a long way from being a liquid platform. Around 3,000 traders per day is nothing in the grand scheme of things. We imagine they would need to treble or even 10x that to make it reasonably liquid. They say they are searching for “liquidity providers” or market makers but so far this search does not appear to be going well and we are not surprised. At the moment it would look like a big risk to any market maker.
In our own view there are three ways out of this for FI:
– Go back to Instant Sells – which could mean asking the regulator to give them some leeway by temporarily allowing instant sells with Football Index themselves buying the shares again for say a year or two whilst they add more traders to the point where they can remove instant sells and have a liquid platform.
– Get bought out by Betfair or one of the bookies, who could easily bring on board thousands more traders and create the necessary liquidity.
– Provide the liquidity themselves – probably via a separate company but in effect spend a few million propping up the market again until they have more traders and better sentiment.
Without this kind of action we can’t see an easy way out of this for Football Index. Without traders paying commissions on trades, Football Index can’t pay the dividends. And without dividends there is no value in the shares and it becomes pointless. And if they cut the dividends it would send the whole platform into a death spiral.
Anxieties are high at the moment among users of Football Index as evidenced by sentiment on social media. People are worried they could lose all their money if Football Index collapses. How likely is this? It’s very difficult to tell without access to FI’s books and how much capital they have available. But clearly things are a mess at the moment and we don’t see just trundling along without some meaningful action as a viable way forward for them.
We also worry all the current mechanisms and moving parts are making FI just a bit too complicated for the everyday gambler, thus making it more difficult to attract new traders to the platform – which they desperately need and are spending lots of marketing money on. They could do with simplifying things and fixing the bugs on the platform for a start. A new competitor, Sports Stack, has a platform that already feels slicker and more user-friendly to us.
In terms of our review of Football Index Trader, obviously it does leave things in a tricky position as what use is good advice if you can’t sell any players?! Or can only sell them for a big loss, which is what we expect will happen after the changes later this week.
This is slightly compounded by the fact that Football Index Trader highlights a lot of players who are “under the radar” at the cheaper end of the market and potentially represent bargains. So we have added a number of these players to our portfolio. The trouble is these players are now harder to sell as if people want any players, it’s those at the top end who are regarded as safer and more likely to return dividends.
That is not their fault and if the market was operating properly then these players would no doubt do very well and represent value. And indeed the advice has proved accurate on many occasions in terms of highlighting players likely to perform well. It’s just at the moment it doesn’t mean a jot because you can’t sell any shares! (or not at a reasonable price, anyway).
So at the moment we couldn’t recommend anyone to put money into Football Index – and concurrently Football Index Trader. We will see what effect the changes later this week have – but we are not confident they will radically improve things, rather they are likely to cause a big drop in prices but the fundamental issues will remain.
If Football Index are able to take substantial action to improve the platform, or somehow find a market maker to provide the much-needed liquidity, then this could all change and we would at that stage recommence our review of Football Index Trader and go through what it has to offer.
For the time being though it seems best to just keep monitoring the situation until FI is in a better position and there is a realistic prospect of profiting from the platform.
We previously completed a long-term review of Football Index, a platform where you can trade futures (like shares) in footballers.
Having completed our review of the platform itself, we thought it would be a good idea to have a look at some tools to help traders maximise their gains on Football Index.
We mentioned in our final review that we had recently come across a website called Football Index Trader and found it to be a very useful resource.
It seemed only right then to expand on that brief mention and give the service a proper review of its own here on the site.
So what exactly is Football Index Trader (or FIT for short)?
Well it’s more of an advice and information resource rather than “tips” or “trade signals” in the traditional form we normally test out here at Honest Betting Reviews.
The website’s main elements are:
– Scouting – match reports on players, with analysis of their FI scores, potential and if they are value
– Player Ratings – organised by position and out of five stars, based on number of performance wins expected in a season
– Market Analysis – a look at the current state of the market, sentiment, outlook etc.
– Transfers – players with potential transfers coming up that could add to their value, including in media dividends, plus those players to avoid where rumours are unlikely to come to anything
– Guides – general articles and guides on getting the most out of the platform.
As there aren’t any tips as such we won’t be able to record results for this review in the normal way, but thought we would still take a look at the information provided and note some of the trades we make based on that info. Members of the service will all have different results depending on how exactly they use FIT, but our results should at least give some ball-park figures of what you might expect as a member and whether the advice is helpful in achieving returns over and above the average returns of the market (normally termed “alpha” in stock market terms).
We’ve been a member for a few weeks now and have already been using the information to make some buys, so will record our findings from when we joined up rather than from today.
We will update things here as we go along and will break down the different aspects of the service during our updates.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Football-index-trader-pic.png4491200Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2021-03-11 10:54:302021-09-21 19:13:00Football Index Trader – Final Update
Bookie Insiders Footballhas been going since 2013 and is a very respected football tipping service. The tips are provided by a guy called Neil Macdonald who has been betting professionally for close to a decade.
He specializes in the top five European leagues (England, Germany, Spain, Italy, and France) as well as the major international tournaments and the Champions League/Europa League.
Normally speaking it is presumed to be very difficult to make a profit from betting on the big European leagues but Bookie Insiders have been proving that idea wrong for quite a few years now.
Tips are provided via Telegram and come with detailed write-ups, analysing both sides and their relative strengths and weaknesses, with a particular emphasis on expected goals (xG). You can see the in-depth research Neil does incorporating team news and the impact of key players and his extensive knowledge of top-level football.
Here is an example from the Porto v Juventus Champions League match:
The results coming into our trial reflected Neil’s extensive knowledge with an impressive 400 points profit made (proofed to the bettin.gs site), which would be over £20,000 profit to £50/point stakes.
So how did Bookie Insiders Football get on in our review?
We are pleased to say that for a change the results in our trial lived up to the pre-trial billing, with an excellent £2053 profit made at £50/point stakes. That works out at a 41 point profit, which is very good going for a football service.
The strike rate was high at 54%, meaning over half the bets were winners and the return on investment was decent for tipping at low odds, at 7%.
Over the course of our review the recommended betting bank of 50 points grew by over 80%, an impressive return.
The only drawback we found – which we covered during our updates below – was with the availability of prices on some of the bets. Neil tends to tip a few days before the match for some of his tips and prices can go pretty quickly. This was particularly the case for team goal bets – e.g. Atalanta to score over 1.5 goals in the match.
These markets are strongest on Pinnacle so if you are outside the UK and have access to that bookie it is certainly an advantage.
Although prices do tend to get hit on these bets, we would stress that the team goal bets only make up a small proportion of the total bets. So far this month for example there have only been three such bets and the other tips are in major markets like match odds, Asian handicap, over/unders etc which have excellent liquidity in these big leagues.
So even if you do have to take a price a few ticks lower on the team goal bets, you should still be able to do very well with this service overall given the levels of profit achieved. Having a decent number of bookie accounts and use of the exchanges, along with being quick off the mark in placing the bets, should stand you in good stead to make the most of the service.
Overall we think this is a high quality service and one of the best football tipsters we have come across in over six years of running this site. To make a profit betting on football – and on the top leagues and competitions in particular – is a very rare feat and highly commendable. Even missing the odd price here and there should not stop you making a handsome return from being a member.
So it’s a definite PASSED rating from us and a service we would say is well worth adding to your portfolio.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are sent out via the Telegram app and come in at different times of day. It is advisable to have alerts turned on so you get a message as soon as tips are posted. There is an average of 1-2 bets per day, although the volume tends to increase around weekends when the majority of matches are played.
Availability of prices: As covered above, there is quite a bit of pressure on prices, particularly in the team goal markets. If you have access to Pinnacle that is certainly an advantage. If not then using a variety of bookies plus the exchanges and acting quickly should enable you to get at or close to the advised prices in most cases. Sometimes prices also bounce back nearer the match.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 54% which is good to see and meant consistent returns throughout our trial.
Advised Betting Bank: A 50-60 point bank is recommended for following the service, which seems about right to us given the staking and strike rate. We used a 50 point bank for this trial and it was never in jeopardy.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are fair given the excellent results achieved and are €134.99 per quarter, €259.99 for six months or €499.99 per year at the time of writing.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
In over six years of running this site we have reviewed countless football tipsters but have found less than a handful that are consistently profitable. Beating the bookies on football is, alas, extremely tough.
So when we came across Bookie Insiders Football, an established and respected footy service that has been running since 2013 with strong-looking results, we were hopeful we may have found a hidden gem.
They didn’t disappoint us either, amassing an excellent £2053 profit, or 41 points profit, during our seven-month trial, with an impressive strike rate of 54%.
There can be issues obtaining the advised prices on certain bets, but there are steps you can take to mitigate this and even taking a few ticks lower on some of the bets should not stop you from doing very well from this service. We are happy to award it a PASSED rating as one of the best football services we have reviewed here at Honest Betting Reviews.
It’s been somewhat of an up-and-down month for Bookie Insiders Football, but at the end of it not much change to the overall total, with a loss of £83 made since our last update.
With the previous profits however they are still £1933 up for our trial overall at £50/point stakes – or 39 points up in other words.
We have mentioned in previous updates the difficulties in achieving the advised prices on occasion. In some instances the prices bounce back later, as Neil often advises tips a few days before the game meaning there is an initial hit on the price before it rebounds closer to kick-off.
In other instances prices stay low, however on balance it is still clearly profitable to follow the service based on the results of our trial, even if on some tips you have to take a few ticks lower than the advised price.
We have now been following the service for five months so will be looking to wrap up the trial soon and barring a disaster this looks headed for a strong passed rating.
We mentioned last time that there can be difficulties in obtaining the advised prices if you don’t have access to Pinnacle (i.e. if you are based in the UK). A couple of positive developments on this front recently though.
Firstly, Betfair now offer the team goals markets on Serie A, Premier League and Champions League matches. This is a market frequently used by Bookie Insiders so having Betfair as an option greatly enhances the chances of getting decent odds on those bets.
Secondly, Neil (who runs the service) has advised UK members to try Asian Connect 88, which is a broker offering access to Asian bookies normally closed to UK punters (although not including Pinnacle it seems). So we will try and check that out and see if it presents a viable alternative.
Overall though Bookie Insiders Football has been performing strongly during our trial and we are really impressed by it.
As mentioned previously, there can be difficulties in obtaining the advised prices if you don’t have access to Pinnacle (i.e. you are based in the UK).
The next best price can be 5 ticks or more lower than the advised price on Pinnacle, meaning you are missing out on value by not being able to get the Pinnacle price. However, a good proportion of the bets are available with Betfair or other bookies at the advised prices, so it does not affect every selection by any means. Just be aware though if you don’t have access to Pinnacle that you may miss out on advised prices on some of the bets.
What’s really impressive about this service is that selections come in major leagues and competitions, which are notoriously hard to make a profit in. They have managed it so far though which is great to see.
Prices tend to move quite a bit after tips are sent out though so you need to be quick on the draw. Not all selections are available on betfair despite the matches being in the major leagues. This is because some of the bets are on team goals, which is a market betfair don’t normally quote.
Other markets are available on Betfair though so if you use the exchanges you should be able to get a good proportion of your bets on with them.
Anyway, it’s been a really good start here and we are very much enjoying the service.
Today we are starting a new trial of a football service from a team of professional gamblers called Bookie Insiders.
The Bookie Insiders team provide tips in a range of sports, but first up we are taking a look at their football tips. They specialize in the European leagues (England, Germany, Spain, Italy, and France) as well as the major international tournaments.
Normally speaking it is presumed to be extremely difficult to make a profit from betting on the big European leagues but Bookie Insiders’ results suggest otherwise.
Since starting up in 2013 they have made over 400 points profit according to their official results, which would be over £20,000 profit to £50/point stakes.
That has been made with an ROI of 6.8% which is very good over such a long period of time and when you consider the strike rate has been 51% it is even more impressive.
As you can see from the graph below, it’s been very steady progress over the time they’ve been tipping:
Just the kind of graph we like to see! (the yellow line is the monthly P/L whilst the green is the overall P/L).
Their bets have been proofed to the bettin.gs site and we have been following them for over a month in a personal capacity and have been mighty impressed with them. The results are exactly as recorded and we have made a nice profit of around 10 points so far.
Most of the bets come in the team goals, over/under, match odds, Asian handicap and BTTS markets, so generally very liquid markets although prices can move quite quickly sometimes after the tips are sent out.
Anyway, as we say have been impressed with this service so far and are looking forward to doing a formal review of it. We will update results here as we go along.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Bookie-insiders-pic.png403800Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2021-02-18 09:48:452021-02-18 15:40:25Bookie Insiders Football – Final Review
Predictology is a database of resources and statistics for football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
We previously had a look at Predictology last year but they have made considerable improvements to it since then, including adding an AI prediction engine and doubling the number of leagues and markets covered so we thought we’d take another look at it.
There are a whole range of systems and strategies you can use with Predictology, but for the purposes of this review we just used the “System Predictions” from their Daily Digest e-mail to keep things simple and have something any member can follow.
These System Predictions are derived from various systems including lay the draw, laying home/away favourites, backing overs, league-specific strategies and more.
We are pleased to report that these selections performed very well during our three month trial netting 38 points profit at a return on investment of 11%.
That would be £1900 profit at £50 per selection, a very nice bit of extra income.
For some reason we came out with slightly different results to the official ones, which is unusual. We didn’t manage to figure out exactly why in the end. It may have been down to different settings and leagues used, but either way it didn’t make much difference as we ended up with 90% or more of the same selections and similar results to the official Predictology ones.
There were quite a large number of selections with over 350 during our trial, which is a good sample size.
The advised staking is a little unusual, with one point risked on the back/lay selections apart from the lay the draw selections which are just one point lay bets, so the risk can be quite a bit higher (depending on the odds).
Anyway, it all worked out well in the end with an impressive profit made so we are happy to award Predictology a PASSED rating after our three month trial.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: There are quite a few bets with this service, particularly at weekends when there can be ten or more per day. You can use Betfair or the bookies to place the bets and of course you can develop your own systems using the software so there is great flexibility in how you can use the service.
Availability of prices: Most of the time the prices held up well and we didn’t experience any problems in matching the advised odds on the whole.
Strike rate: The strike rate during the trial was 52%. It’s always to good to see a higher than 50% strike rate meaning a nice steady stream of winners.
Advised Betting Bank: We used a 100 point bank for this trial, which we think should be more than comfortable given the strike and staking used.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are reasonable at $1 for the first 7 days then $37 per month or $277 per year.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Predictology is a database of football statistics allowing you to build your own football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team. Following their “System Predictions” made an impressive 38 points profit during our trial.
That equates to over £1900 profit to £50 stakes so we are pleased to award Predictology a PASSED rating and it’s a platform we will be utilizing more going forward to aid our football betting.
Just a reminder that these results are from following the System Predictions in their Daily Digest e-mail.
We noted last time that our results differ from their official ones, with the official results having made 35 points compared to the 26 points we have proofed. We are not sure why this is the case – we think part of the reason is that we are following slightly different leagues (e.g. Japan J League), but even for the leagues we are both following we are getting slightly different matches and selections. Hopefully we can figure out why this is happening soon.
Anyway, either way the results have been positive which is the main thing.
It’s been a bit of a quiet start to our trial of football systems-builder Predictology, with a small loss of 2 points made so far from following their System Predictions in the Daily Digest e-mail.
Please note this is from risking 1 point liability on the lay selections, so the most you can lose is one point whatever the odds are.
Our results are also a little different to the official Predictology ones, we are not sure why but they are investigating at the moment. We have recorded the results as per the e-mails we received which seems the fairest way of doing things.
Anyway, a bit of a quiet start here as we say but hopefully things will pick up when the main leagues get underway shortly.
We ran a review of football systems-builder package Predictology last season and recorded the results for the three free systems that came with it on launch. Those just about broke even, with a loss of two points made during our trial.
Predictology is basically a database of resources and statistics that will show you how to supercharge your football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
Our aim was to come back to Predictology this season and take another look at it, but we had limited time and then of course covid hit which rather put paid to our plans.
However, it has gone through some major enhancements during the break in the football and it is apparently getting a great reception from the membership. To name a few of the improvements:-
– New multi-layered server
– AI Prediction engine which assesses and highlights value in pretty much any match taking place globally
– More than doubled the number of leagues and competitions covered
– Again more than doubled the markets and variables that systems can be built around
– 5 profitable strategies included in all memberships
– Daily Digest email to members’ inbox every morning which includes:
– All of the predictions summarised in one place
– Key betting insights and trends for the day’s football
It’s been the last part that is really grabbing attention and since it was rolled out to members (late May) it is sitting at 42 points profit.
This is also what we will be concentrating on in our review as the results look very promising and it should make it more manageable in terms of workload.
Just to note as well that they are currently offering a $1 trial for 7 days for new members which is pretty decent and gives you a chance to check out the service first for a couple of weeks.
Anyway, we will kick off the re-review today and report back soon on how things are going.
Just a reminder that these results are for the three free systems that came with the initial relaunch of Predictology, although there are a number of other systems you can use or you can even build your own systems using the database.
Ideally we would have liked to wrap up our review at this point with the footy season having finished, but we don’t have quite enough bets to give a fair verdict on the system so will put the review into abeyance until the new season and pick things up again then.
Just a reminder that these results are for the three free systems that came with the initial relaunch of Predictology, although there are a number of other systems you can use or you can even build your own systems using the stats package.
Hopefully we will have more news to report by the time of our next update.
We have had to reset this review due to a bug in their system which was sending different selections out by e-mail to those generated by the system within the Predictology site.
So where as previously we were using the e-mail selections to proof results, it turns out those selections were not the correct ones, so now we have gone back to using the system to generate the selections.
On that basis, the three free systems provided at the launch of Predictologyare currently 1 point down.
The discrepancy hasn’t actually made much of a difference to the results and it was mainly System 3 – Winless which was affected.
For the purposes of the review we are just concentrating on the English Premier League, although you can use the systems on other leagues as well (specified for each system).
Anyway, let’s hope the problems are sorted now and we can settle down and get on with the review.
Predictology is a database of resources and statistics that allows you to build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
We have been following the free systems that were available with the re-launch of Predictology that happened about a month ago.
So far it has been a quiet start for these systems, with only 12 bets given out and a small loss of 2 points incurred so far.
Predictology is a long-running football systems builder package that has recently had a revamp and is now being relaunched. It comes from the same team behind the successfulFootball Advisorservice we have reviewed elsewhere on the site.
Predictology includes a database of resources and statistics that will show you how to supercharge your football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
To celebrate the launch they are giving away three top systems completely FREE which have made a combined profit of over 300 points!
One of the systems even has an ROI of over 38%, which is pretty incredible stuff in the world of football betting.
In terms of the revamped Predictology package, here is what it now includes:
– The first and most comprehensive football betting strategy builder and analyser.
– 10 in-built and profitable strategies provided to all members
– 22 Leagues, 200,000+ matches and more than a 100 variables
– Custom built server allowing for strategies to be assessed in seconds
– Automated bet alerts to members inboxes
– Three custom rating models
– A value rating tool which produces profitable ‘value’ bets each week
– Custom built stats hub for easily assessing and finding profitable betting angles globally
– Launching soon – AI bet generator
– Launching soon – 47 more leagues and 100 more variables and betting markets
– Launching soon – iOS and Android App
So that all looks very impressive and given that the original Predictology system was held in high regard we are looking forward to testing this new one out with all the upgraded features.
After having taken a look at it we will report back with our views on it in a full review.
It’s been over four years since we originally reviewed football trading service Goal Profits and they’ve added a whole host of new features since then so we thought it was high time for an update.
After having to take a break for coronavirus which disrupted our trial, we have been able to get back in the swing of things and complete our review.
So here we are with our thoughts on Goal Profits having taken a look at all the new features they’ve added since our original review back in 2016.
Goal Profits – Opening Thoughts
When we started the re-review process, we had wanted to produce some results for our trial, much like we do for the other reviews we do here at Honest Betting Reviews.
However, having looked at the platform and discussing it with the Goal Profits team, it became apparent that the tools and approaches available to members are so varied and wide-ranging that for us to give results would be pretty much meaningless, as they would be completely different to the results of any other member. Everyone will be using the platform to find different trades in different matches and leagues so a comparison wouldn’t be very meaningful.
And that really leads on to a more general point regarding what Goal Profits is all about – and what it is not.
In essence Goal Profits is a platform for people to learn how to trade football matches and to then provide them with the tools to find potential trades. It is an educational resource rather than a “tipping” platform in the traditional sense of churning out selections for you to copy.
You have to take the initiative and do some work yourself. Those who are prepared to do so clearly derive a great deal of benefit from the platform – hence all the awards Goal Profits has won, including our very own Best Football Service 2019 as voted for by our members.
If on the other hand you have limited time to learn how to trade and just want bets or trades sent to you, this probably isn’t the service for you. So it’s important to bear that in mind heading in, but now let’s take a look at the various features of the Goal Profits platform.
Goal Profits Members’ Area
After you have signed up to Goal Profits and logged in, you enter the Members’ Area which looks like this:
You have the latest news which covers any additions or changes to the platform, new leagues they may have added and upcoming games.
There is also an update on Chat Room Trades, telling you when professional traders Kevin and Steve will next be trading in the chat room. Finally there are e-mail addresses for you to request support, something Goal Profits is very strong on and are always on hand to offer help and assistance whatever your query.
Getting Started – Launchpad
OK so you’ve signed in and taken a look around. The next place to go to really get started is the Launchpad. This is a training guide where they go through all the essentials of how to trade, discuss the tools on the Goal Profits platform including the Live Stats Module, Custom Shortlist Pro, Team Stats and introduce you to their trading strategies.
It’s a good idea to take a good deal of time going through the Launchpad – whether you are a complete beginner or an experienced trader. Understanding exactly what’s on offer and how to use it is crucial to getting the most out of the service.
The Launchpad is broken up into the following sections:
1. Trading Basics
2. Trading for Beginners
3. Intermediate Trading
4. Advanced Trading
As you can see in the example of Trading Basics below, you simply click to get started and are then taken through everything step-by-step:
There’s quite a lot of info in here on trading mindset and discipline as well, which is a key part of becoming a successful trader and is well worth reading.
Next up is the nuts and bolts of the platform – the trading strategies. These are the foundation of everything really as they are how you make use of the vast stats databases and other info in the site.
The trading strategies are covered in the Launchpad section but are also explained in great depth in this section, with any potential trades for the day indicated by the software, a full strategy guide and then an example video at the end. What more could you ask for really!
There are currently 14 trading strategies included on the platform and without giving too much away most of them revolve around correct scores, trading certain parts of a game if given criteria are met, laying the draw in a particular half if conditions are right and so on. There are also some more advanced strategies involving tactics like going against the crowd and utilising the Asian handicap markets.
Here’s an example of what the CS3 strategy looks like on the platform:
Most of these strategies don’t involve having to sit in front of your PC for the whole game – in the main they are either strategies just for a specific part of a game or involve closing out a position once a certain score is hit. So you don’t have to worry that it will take up 90 minutes plus for each trade.
Team Stats
OK, so you’ve gone through all the manuals in Launchpad, learned the trading strategies and now you want to start trading.
Well the place to start is to look at the fantastic stats databases Goal Profits provide. They have made major additions and improvements to these databases as well as adding whole new ones since our original review in 2016 and these are a considerable improvement in our view. They now cover over 60 leagues worldwide.
First up you have the Team Stats database, which is the overall guide to the day’s fixtures and all the stats on them you could need.
So for example for today we have a fixture coming up between Inter Zaprešić and Dinamo Zagreb. Clicking on the game presents us with a whole host of stats, including:-
– Percentage of games for each team with over 0.5 goals, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals etc
– Matches where the teams scored at least one goal
– Average goals scored and conceded per match
– Goals per half
– Matches ending with a target score of the strategy CS3 referred to above
– And much more
So from that you could easily start finding games you want to trade if they have stand-out stats that show a very strong trend on one of these parameters that isn’t reflected in the odds.
Following on from Team Stats is Custom Shortlist Pro. This is where you can filter matches by a range of different criteria and build your potential trades from there.
So for example you might want to know matches today where the home team has won the first half at least 50% of the time and the away team has failed to score in the first half more than 50% of the time.
You can enter these criteria and then the tool will find any matches that meet these specifications:
The great thing about it is you can add rows to create additional filters and sort by a whole range of different criteria. It really is a great way of narrowing down your potential trades for the day and saving a lot of time compared to sorting through all the stats manually.
There’s so much else in the stats section too, including:
– Compare Teams – pick any two teams and compare them as per the team stats section above
– Database – the overall numbers analysing over 200,000 matches to give average stats on scores, over/unders, home wins etc
– Form and trends – by last 5, 10 or 15 games
– Tim’s Shortlist – GP member Tim’s picks for the day according to his own shortlist filters
So it’s really a treasure trove of info and a real geek’s heaven!
This is one of our favourite features of Goal Profits and really sets it apart from most of the other footy offerings out there.
It shows you league tables based on a range of factors you can choose from and then shows you that table, with each team compared to their position in the actual league table.
So for example you might want to know how teams tend to do when going 1-0 up in games. Well you can sort the table by exactly that – here’s the Premier League for example:-
So as you can see from the table, Crystal Palace for example are 6 places above their normal league position in terms of their results when going 1-0 at home, where as Leicester are 4 places worse off and Chelsea 6.
This is great info for those in-running trades where you might want to take a contra position to the market if you think a team is a weak 1-0 leader in a game and will probably concede.
You can get league tables by criteria such as results vs bottom half, home attack v away defence, when level at HT and much more – amazing!
Most of what we have seen so far concerns looking at stats from completed matches to get a sense of how matches may go. But what stats from matches in-play?
Well Goal Profits have that covered as well!
They have a Live Stats Module which provides in-running stats on games including shots, corners, possession etc and even alerts when it’s a good time to enter a trade based on the stats.
This is similar to some other in-play trading scanners but to have it included as part of Goal Profits in addition to everything else you get is very impressive.
Finally on to perhaps the most important part of the platform in terms of where you can really learn – the Chat Room. This is where you can follow along with the professional traders Kevin and Steve. As mentioned above, they normally mention on the home page when they will next be trading so you can schedule when to be in the room.
Once in the chat room, they say which strategy they are following for a match and any moves they make during a game. Other members also chip in with comments and ideas and it’s also a chance to ask any questions you may have.
This is where you can see the trading strategies in action and how the pro traders trade them, so as we say it’s a great way to learn and improve your own skills along the way.
OVERALL VERDICT – PASSED
As you can see then the Goal Profits platform is incredibly comprehensive and we haven’t even covered everything here – there are also calculators, a forum, FAQs, Team Twitter lists and more! You would need to write a book really to do it justice.
Given all the improvements they have made since our original review and the vast offering that’s available to Goal Profits members, we have no hesitation in upgrading this to a PASSED rating. For anyone contemplating becoming a serious football trader, this is the place to start.
As stated at the outset of this review, this is a service for those who want to put in the time and effort and learn how to become a better trader. It provides you with the education, tools and guidance to do so, but how you use all of that is up to you. Those who put in the work and understand what is on offer clearly love the platform – hence all the awards Goal Profits has won. Its members really value everything they are provided with and derive great benefit from it.
The only thing we would like to see added is perhaps some alerts sent through Telegram (like Trade On Sports), for those who don’t have the time to study the platform, learn everything and follow matches in-running. That is just our own personal preference and others may argue that is not what Goal Profits is all about.
Either way though what you can’t argue with is the quality and depth of everything on offer from Goal Profits. It’s the most comprehensive football trading platform out there and has set the benchmark for others to follow.
It’s now nearly four years since we reviewed football trading service Goal Profits (see below) when we awarded it a neutral rating.
In that time the service has changed almost beyond recognition, with a whole host of new features and tools added. In addition they have also won numerous awards since our original review, including our very own “Best Football Service 2018” award voted for by you, our members!
So we thought it was only fair to the Goal Profits team that we had another look at the service and checked out all the new features they’ve added to see if we should reevaluate our original rating.
There is no doubt this is the most popular football trading service on the internet and the community seems to absolutely love the offering, so we are really looking forward to getting stuck in and testing it out.
Today then we are launching a “re-review” of Goal Profits and will report back soon on our findings. There is an awful lot to get through so it may take some time but hopefully it will be worth it and we’ll be able to provide some decent insights into what the service is all about and whether it can make you some profits.
We have completed our trial of the much-heralded Goal Profits, a suite of systems for trading football matches on the exchanges such as Betfair.
We have to confess to being slightly underwhelmed at the results after three months of testing.
Following the trades of Steve (who runs the service) exactly for 3 months has yielded just 12 points profit over the course of 63 matches traded.
So that would be nearly 100 hours of trading time to make 12 points profit, which at £10 per point doesn’t quite cover the subscription fees.
Now of course it wouldn’t quite have been 100 hours of trading because you would have been out of some matches before the 90-minute mark, but you get a good idea that lots of time needs to be invested here.
And for that amount of investment, we would like to have seen better results to make it worthwhile.
Here you can see the results for the trial in graph format – a good start followed by a long period of steady decline and then a big jump at the end.
What do you get with Goal Profits?
As we said previously in our results update, there are essentially three different types of trading system included in the Goal Profits package:
Lay the Draw strategies
“Matrix” systems
Correct score strategies
In total you are given 28 potential strategies to trade with Goal Profits.
There are some bold claims made on the Goal Profits website that people trade these systems full-time for a living.
That may very well be true, but for us there needs to be much clearer direction given before we are convinced that anyone who joins can make such profits – or even just good profits.
We would expect there to be very clear instructions given for live trades. For example, an e-mail sent out prior to kick-off saying:
“Lay HT Draw in Liverpool v Chelsea at 2.4 for 1 point”
Then another e-mail after a goal saying:
“Trade out of Liverpool v Chelsea HT Draw market for 0.6 pts profit.”
If they did this across say at least half a dozen systems and these averaged a decent profit of around 5-6 points profit per month each, then we would be more convinced that following their systems can deliver a solid profit each month.
But as is, you can follow Steve’s trades in the forum for the most part and some of Kevin’s, but not the kind of clear, testable service outlined above we would like to see.
So the subscriber is left to test all these other systems for themselves and see what they can achieve.
For us there wasn’t anything in their 28 systems that jumped out as having a clear edge. And some of them are available elsewhere on line for free.
The “Lay the draw” system is well covered for free on the internet and we have our own strategy laid out here.
Plus we detail the “lay the draw at half time” strategy in our Football Betting Secrets manual which is available here.
So for us, whilst this made a profit over the trial, it wasn’t enough to merit a recommended ratingand that is likely to remain the case for us unless they set up the kind of service we outlined above.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: This is a heavy workload service to say the least. You will have to dedicate a considerable amount of time to firstly learning the systems and how they work and then to trading them.
Availability of prices: The prices Steve records for his systems are generally readily available. The correct score market is the main market you will trade following his methods and it has very good liquidity.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 33%, which is good and you shouldn’t have too many losing trades in a row here.
Advised Betting Bank: We used a 40 point bank for following Steve’s trades which we felt with a fairly good strike rate and 3.2 points risked per trade, would be comfortable and that proved the cae here. However, for each system that you trade you will need either a separate bank (recommended) or to increase the overall size of your bank if using one for all systems.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are £37 + VAT per month, which are a little on the high side and there is no introductory offer for people to try for a period (e.g. 1 week or 14 days).
OVERALL VERDICT: NEUTRAL
Overall we can see that a lot of work has gone in to creating a suite of trading strategies here and the owners of the service, Steve and Kevin, are dedicated to their cause.
We would not deride any system that can turn a profit and Steve has managed to do that with his correct score trades, gaining 12 points over the course of our trial.
However, we feel that there is not enough here to give this a passed rating.
There are 28 systems provided, but excluding the correct score systems, we could not see that the other systems would guarantee a profit over the long term.
If there was a more systematic approach to providing live trading advice for those systems and they proved profitable, we could well be persuaded to change our view on this.
But until then, this goes into the neutral list for us.
It has taken a little longer than normal to get our first update done on Goal Profitsand we apologise for that if you have been waiting for it.
This one has been trickier to review than most systems we trial here at Honest Betting Reviews as there is an awful lot of information to take in – including a number of manuals to read, lots of videos to watch and about 30 potential systems to trade!
So that is probably the first thing to warn you about – if you do sign up to Goal Profits, be prepared to devote quite a lot of time getting to grips with it.
What is Goal Profits actually all about then?
Well Goal Profits is a set of systems for trading football matches on the exchanges such as Betfair. There are essentially three different types of trading system included:
Lay the Draw strategies
“Matrix” systems
Correct score strategies
In terms of the lay the draw strategies, these are widely available for free online – in fact we have done our own guide to lay the draw for your perusal here!
Looking at the Matrix systems, we had a look through each system but struggled to find anything that either wasn’t available for free elsewhere or had a clearly identifiable “edge” as such. Why would they make you money? That is the question we always ask with a trading system. There wasn’t an obvious answer for us when looking at those systems.
So that leaves us with the correct score strategies. These are probably the mainstay of Goal Profits and what the service is really about.
There are different methods for trading the correct score markets outlined, but basically they all centre on hitting certain “target scores” where you make a profit if a game finishes in certain scores like 2-3, 3-2, 3-1, 2-2, etc but a loss if it finishes 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1.
We have recorded the results for the main “Batman and Robin” trades that Steve, who runs the service, uses for his own trading.
After two months of trading and 50 matches traded, we are 4 points up overall.
Given the amount of time invested in having to be at the computer for the duration of those 50 matches, 4 points seems like quite a low return.
Plus, those are the official results if you have traded just like Steve and got exactly the same results as him. We have not managed to get as good results as these, but have been learning and are getting closer now.
It does take a bit of getting used to and knowing what you should do in each situation when a goal is scored.
So in summary the verdict so far is that the jury is still out on Goal Profits. We have struggled to make a profit after two months and a huge amount of time invested – and even following Steve’s trades exactly you would only be 4 points up.
We have a month to go in the trial so will be interesting to see how things turn out and if we can extract some more profit from this.
Today we are commencing a review ofGoal Profits,a popular football trading product that focuses mainly on the correct score markets on Betfair.
This is a sister product to Value Football Betting, a service we have reviewed and originally gave a passed rating to but downgraded to a neutral rating after a disappointing run of results.
There are some fairly bold claims made on the sales page of Goal Profits – such as that they can “turn beginners into full-time professionals” and that some of their members “now work part-time because their trading profits provide enough income.”
The guy who runs the service, Steve Brown, also claims that “my correct score trading strategies and exclusive Team Statistics software have changed the way football matches are researched and traded for profit.”
Well that is perhaps the boldest claim of all, because it is one thing to say people make a living out of trading systems and another thing to say you have changed way the market is traded, particularly with a massive worldwide website such as Betfair!
Their claims appear to be backed up by something though, as they have won a number of awards for being the best trading product in their field.
So we are intrigued to find out what all the fuss is about and whether they can live up to their bold claims. At the end of the day, when you strip away all the hype and layers of theory and padding, any system ultimately comes down to results.
A lot of trading systems we have come across rely on either unrealistic amounts needed to trade on markets without enough liquidity, are so ridiculously complicated that it would take a degree in trading to comprehend them, or rely on super-fast trading out.
Hopefully that won’t be the case here and trading strategies will be more sensible.
Anyway, the key question is can they produce consistent profits month-in month-out. Well our trial will endeavour to find out.
We have been following JK Diego’s Draw Betting System for 15 months now so thought it would be a good time for an update.
In our original review (see below), we awarded the service a PASSED rating and 4.5 stars after it produced $4366 profit over a six month trial.
So how has it done since then?
Well we are pleased to report it has continued to perform admirably and is now over $10,000 up to $100 flat stakes since we started following the service 15 months ago.
Those are some of the best results we’ve seen from a footy tipster over a sustained period so we are more than happy to continue with our passed rating and 4.5 stars recommendation for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
It’s undoubtedly one of the most consistent and profitable football strategies we’ve come across from the hundreds of systems we’ve tested in all our years of soccer betting.
Update Notes
Just a note on a couple of amendments to our original review, as the service has evolved over the time since then.
In our original review we found that cashing out at 85 minutes produced the best results, although now having a much bigger sample size of over 1600 bets, it appears that there isn’t much difference between letting the bets run to full time and cashing out. It was probably the case that we experienced an unusually high number of late goals in our original review which wasn’t maintained over a longer period.
The other issue to note with cashing out is that where selections aren’t available on Betfair and you use bookies to place your bets, often you don’t get great value for cashing out. This is an area where the bookies have quite a high mark up and don’t tend to give a fair deal to punters, which is a shame.
On the other hand cashing out does shorten the losing runs, so some people prefer that (please note on our spreadsheet we use average cash-out odds of 1.25-1.29 at 85 mins based on Betfair exchange odds but bookies’ cash-out odds may be worse).
Another point to note is that in our original review we had cautioned against using the increasing stake system on the basis that the losses could get out of hand. Whilst we would still maintain flat stakes – or a percentage of your bank – is the best way of following the service, JK has recently set out a stop-loss approach for the increasing stake system that at least limits the losses and makes it more manageable.
It could therefore be something to consider and the profits would be over $20,000 for the increasing stake system over the last 15 months, although a larger starting bank would be needed as well.
Anyway, whichever way you follow the service JK Diego’s Draw Betting System has continued to demonstrate a clear edge over the market for over 15 months now and maintains a definite “thumbs up” from us!
JK Diego’s Draw Betting System is a football tipping service that purely backs the draw in soccer matches around the world.
It has been causing quite a stir in the betting world with some quite remarkable results achieved, with over 350 points profit to 1-point level stakes in 2018. It appears to be the first time for quite a while a tipster has found a way to make a sustainable and substantial profit from betting on football.
The theory behindbetting on the draw in football matches is that it is vastly under-bet, as the great majority of people want to bet on one team or the other to win a game. As we have discussed previously, there is value to be found in backing the draw, whichthis article confirms.
From that starting point, JK Diego has crunched the numbers for over 8 years, refining his strategy of betting on the draw and identifying the key factors to focus on. Through all this work he seems to have perfected his approach.
Results
So that’s the theory, but how did it get on in practice?
We ran an extended six month trial that encompassed a very good sample size of over 660 bets.
There are different ways suggested for following the tips, with the main three below and their results:
– Backing all the tips at level stakes = $822 profit
– Backing them with level stakes but trading the games out at 85 minutes if they are drawing at that point = $4,366 profit
– Backing the tips with a staking-recovery method of increasing your stake by 1.5x until you hit a winner and then starting again = $8,992 profit. [You can see full results for this here].
Although it might look like the third method was the best, when you take the risk factor and betting bank required into account, the second method was in fact by far the best.
The problem with the increasing stake system is that if you get a long losing run the stakes can end up getting completely out of hand. At one stage during our trial there was a 17-bet losing streak, which meant by the 18th bet you would have been staking over $19,000 on the match and would have been $37,000 down by that stage.
Suffice to say if you are going to follow that method it would be advisable to have a bank of at least $100,000 and even that could be at risk if a really bad run of say 20 losers in a row was hit. Plus you could struggle to get your bets on at those kind of stakes, particularly in the more obscure leagues that JK sometimes tips in.
So overall we couldn’t recommend the increasing-stake system and would suggest using level stakes – or alternatively betting a fixed percentage of your bank on each bet (e.g. 2% of your betting bank on each tip).
Then in terms of whether to just place the bets and let them run or to trade them out, during our review it was clear that trading them out at 85 minutes (if the match is drawing) was the better option.
Here is the profit graph for the trading-out method. Although there was a dip halfway through, overall it was very good growth:
Not only did the trading-out generate an extra $3,500 profit to $100 stakes, but the strike rate was also higher at 44% versus 33% for letting them run.
It is also much less wearing on the nerves as you don’t have to suffer those agonising injury-time goals that ruin your bet after having sat through 90 minutes of thinking you were going to have a winner!
Achieving over $4,000 profit to $100 stakes at a 44% strike rate is obviously fantastic going, particularly in football betting which is notoriously difficult.
However, it does come at a price with a very high subscription cost of $497 per month.
It is understandable that JK charges this amount, as there is huge demand for his tips given his record and if they were much cheaper, the odds on his tips would crash – particularly in the more obscure leagues he often tips in.
But in reality it means you need to have a big enough bank to make it worthwhile following the tips once you have taken subscription costs into account.
So we think a betting bank of at least $5,000 would be needed if backing at $100 stakes.
If you have that kind of betting bank available then JK Diego is one of the best football tipsters we have ever come across and deserves his plaudits for having made a valuable breakthrough in the world of football betting.
Ease of use: The tips are normally sent out early in the morning UK time. With an average of 3-4 bets per day there is a little bit of work involved in following the service, but not too much by any means.
Availability of prices: JK doesn’t include advised odds with his tips but we used generally available prices for our results and included Betfair prices where available.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 44% for trading out the drawing games at 85 minutes, which is very good. If just letting the games run the strike rate was 33%.
Advised Betting Bank: No betting bank is advised for following the service, but we think given the strike rate and losing runs, a 50 point bank would be reasonable at flat stakes.
Subscription costs: As discussed, the subscription costs are high, but understandably so, at $175 per week or $497 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
JK Diego’s Draw Betting System produced excellent results of over $4300 profit to $100 stakes over our six month trial if trading the games out at 85 minutes.
With an excellent strike rate of 44%, this receives a clear PASSED rating. The subscription costs are high however so you need to have sufficient funds available to make it worthwhile. If you have the necessary funds available though this is undoubtedly a top service.
The real story of the month though was the increasing-stake system, which with a disastrous run of 17 consecutive losses culminated in what we had been warning about previously. The staking got to a colossal $19,919 by the 18th match. Not to mention that you would have been over $39,000 down by that stage!
Yes thankfully the 18th bet did win, netting over $37,000 profit, but the question is: would you have been able to get your stake on by that stage – and perhaps more pertinently – would you have any of your betting bank left?
This for us is proof that any form of loss-recovery doesn’t really work – eventually you hit a point where you can’t afford it anymore or you can’t get your bets on. In essence, it’s the reason the Martingale system is so infamous in gambling circles.
So we hope everyone following JK’s picks will now be using flat staking or something akin to it, if they weren’t already after our warnings.
As for the trading out option, it didn’t have such a great month in June losing 7 points, but is still considerably outpacing letting it run, with 30 points profit made for our trial overall versus 13 for letting it run (all flat staking). You can see full workings for the trade-out option here.
Anyway, with just one month left in our review, let’s hope it finishes in style.
JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner) has had another excellent month with a profit of $2,614 made and $6,783 profit amassed for our trial overall.
As we say each time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system (without trading out).
The trading out at 85 mins option continues to significantly outpace letting it run, with another 11 points profit made at level stakes since our last update and 37 points profit made overall, versus 12 points in total for letting it run, so a 25 point difference (or $2,500 if using $100 flat stakes). You can see full workings for the trade-out option here.
As we mentioned last time, if you are using JK’s staking system then trading at 85 mins would be a good option as it would reduce the losing streaks and mean you don’t have to stake as high.
So the returns have been quite variable depending on which system you are using but overall for our trial all the staking systems are well in profit.
JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner) has had an excellent month with a profit of $2139 made and $4169 profit amassed for our trial overall.
As we said last time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system.
However, if you combined JK’s staking system with the trade-out at 85 minutes option, you would not have had to endure such long losing runs and therefore not had to increase your stakes as much as if letting it run.
For example with the horror run back in February when there were 14 losers in a row, using the increasing stake system you would have had to stake over $5,000 on the 15th match.
However, if trading out at 85 mins, you would have had two winners during that run and only had to go up to stakes of $345, making it much more manageable.
So combining the two would appear to be a decent option, although as we say you would still need a sizable bank for this.
The trading out at 85 mins is still outpacing letting it run overall, although not as much as previously, with an extra 12 points having been made at 1-point level stakes from trading the games out throughout our trial. You can view the full workings on that here.
One staking option we have not assessed yet is progressive staking (e.g. risk 2% of your bank on each selection) and we think ultimately that could prove the most powerful approach over the long run, but it would take some time to work out the figures on that.
In any event, results to date have continued to be very good whichever option you use so this is still looking like one of the best football systems we have encountered in a long time.
It has been a much better month using JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner), with a profit of $2106 made since our last update and $2030 profit made for our trial overall.
As we said last time however, you would need a huge bank and nerves of steel if following the increasing stake system.
However, the really big news is that we have discovered a way of following the selections that would have produced significantly more profit.
On JK’s website it says:
“Since late goals are common in soccer, you can always choose to cash-out your winnings, e.g. in the 85th minute, to secure a game that is currently in a tie but a late goal is likely.”
So we took a look at this and crunched the numbers on all the games since our live trial started, as if you had traded them out at 85 mins (if they are drawing at that time) rather than letting them run to full-time.
And guess what?
It produced a HUGE increase in profit, bringing in a whopping 35 points profit for our trial so far at level stakes, compared to just ten points if letting the games run. So that’s an extra 25 points profit, or £2,500 if backing at £100 level stakes.*
Not only that, but it increased the strike rate from 34% to 47%, meaning more winners, shorter losing streaks and a lot less frustration from having a goal go against you in the 95th minute!
We will continue to monitor this for the remainder of our trial. However, it seems a “no-brainer” really to use this approach given all the advantages and increased profit.
Most games you can trade out on Betfair, but some games are not available on Betfair due to being in obscure leagues, so for those ones you will either need a bookie that has a cash-out option, which most of them do these days, or to dutch both teams to win for the relevant amounts.
Anyway, we thought that update would be helpful if you are following the service and means this system – one of the most promising football ones we have come across in some time – could be even more profitable!
*previously this was estimated at 42 points profit, but this probably overestimated the trade out value at 158, whereas 144 seems more accurate as a trade out value.
Using JK’s increasing stake system (which is a form of loss-recovery whereby you start with $20 and then stake 1.5 times more each time until you hit a winner, then go back to the beginning), so far a loss of $76 has been made.
Regular followers will know we are not big fans of loss-recovery systems and this was illustrated early on in our trial when JK hit a 14-bet losing streak, which meant by the 15th bet you would have had to stake $5902 if following that approach.
Thankfully that 15th bet won, but it demonstrates that if you are going to follow the loss-recovery system you need a very large bank – and nerves of steel!
We have been using level staking however and that has been much more comfortable and working very well. Even with the bad run early on, JK has fought back valiantly and the results are living up to our expectations so far. As we said at the outset, most footy services would be delighted with 20-30 points profit in a year to 1-point level stakes and JK has managed 11 points already in just a few weeks.
We can see this is potentially an overlooked area of gambling to bet solely on the draw in certain leagues with certain teams and there does seem to be an edge over the bookies – although of course it is still too early in our review to make any firm conclusions.
It is worth also mentioning that the free tips JK sent out for Chinese New Year made a nice 4 points profit at level stakes or $629 using the loss-recovery staking – you can view those results in the second tab of our results spreadsheetat the bottom.
And free tips he has sent since then have made a further 7 points or $309 profit, although some of those are JK sending out a sample of his main tips so aren’t to be counted “double” as such.
As we said at the outset, this service is for high rollers only, as the subscription costs are high at $497/month or $175/week, so you need a large bank to be able to bet at high enough levels to cover the subscription fees.
Anyway, the bottom line is we have been impressed with this so far and let’s hope for more of the same going forward.
Occasionally something comes along that makes you think “this could be special” and today’s new review is one of those occasions. In fact we would say we haven’t been so excited about a new system for quite a while.
That is because when you look at the results for JK Diego’s Draw Betting System (or as he also refers to it – “Get Rich Soccer Betting”), you will be blown away.
The headline figures are that he made over $100,000 profit in 2018, which on its own is pretty incredible.
That would be staking at quite high levels however, but even those starting with $20 stakes and using the advised staking would have been making around $2,000 profit per month on average.
Breaking it down further, we crunched the numbers (which took quite some time!) and found that even just at 1 point level stakes the profits for last year were over 350 points.
That is pretty much unheard of in football betting, where if someone makes 20-30 points profit to 1 point level stakes in a year it is considered very good.
We have been wracking our brains here at HBR trying to think of any football service that has delivered anything close to this and to be honest we can’t think of anything.
So what’s the service all about and how has JK managed such great results?
Well as the title suggests, it is all about betting on the draw in football matches. JK has crunched the numbers for over 8 years refining his strategy and seems to have perfected it.
As we have discussed previously, there is value to be found in backing the draw whichthis article in the Guardian confirms.
But JK has taken it even further and managed to achieve a 43% strike rate on his draw picks at an average price 3.15.
So if you are winning nearly half your bets at odds of over 2/1, you are talking about a hell of a lot of profit!
Now given such fantastic results, it is not surprising that JK Diego has had to take action to protect the prices of his picks and therefore subscription prices do not come cheap.
However, if you have a large enough bankroll then the subscription fees would have been comfortably covered by the profits made to date. Plus there are also weekly and daily trial options so you can dip your toe in the water before deciding to take up a full monthly subscription.
They are also running a free tips Challenge at the moment to try and make $500 profit by the Chinese New Year, so you can get those by signing up for e-mails on the website.
We have been following the free tips and they have made $322 profit so far after 7 days, so very much living up to expectations.
We are really looking forward to reviewing this service because as we say, if its previous results can be repeated during our trial then we are talking about something pretty special.
So please check back here for updates on how the trial is going as we will be updating results regularly.
The Football Betting Expert is a soccer tipster from the reputable Betting Gods platform of tipsters.
With a mix of win singles, double, trebles and other football acca bets there are a wide variety of markets used including match odds, over/under, double chance, HT/FT and more.
Unfortunately our trial has been something of a disaster for them with a loss of 108 points made in the end. That represented more than the entire original starting bank of 100 points, although we note the recommended starting bank is now 250 points.
Either way that kind of loss is pretty disappointing and in fact every month during our trial was a losing one, so it was pretty consistent – but not in a good way!
Whether this was just one of those tough periods that tipsters sometimes go through we don’t know, but the only possible verdict here is a FAILED rating for the Football Betting Expert sadly.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are sent out via e-mail (or the Betting Gods app) and usually come in early in the morning. With an average of just 2 bets per day it’s a pretty simple service to follow, although some of the bets are doubles, trebles and so on.
Availability of prices: We didn’t notice any problems in achieving the advised prices.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 49% which is not bad in itself but obviously needs to be higher at the odds tipped at to make a profit.
Advised Betting Bank: Originally a 100 point bank was recommended for following the service but that was completely blown, so now a 250 point bank is recommended which we think is more sensible.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are £1.99 for the first 30 days then £49.99 per quarter or £79.99 for six months.
OVERALL VERDICT: FAILED
Sadly with a loss of over 100 points and six losing months out of six it has to be a FAILED rating for the Football Betting Expert.
It is probably a case of going back to the drawing board for this tipster and figuring out if they can find an edge over the market again because at the current time it doesn’t look like they have one.
As mentioned last time they have now blown the entire betting bank so it doesn’t look like there’s any way back for the Football Betting Expert. Our six month trial will be wrapping up shortly – and I think you know the result already…
It looks like the writing’s on the wall for the Football Betting Expert unfortunately, with a further loss of 34 points since our last update a month ago.
That means they are now 100 points down for our trial overall.
That represents the entire recommended betting bank of 100 points, so ultimately it looks like this service has failed despite looking very good coming into our trial.
These things do happen sadly and is one of the reasons we always recommend people wait to see how a review goes before signing up to a service.
The losses accrued so far represent about two thirds of the advised betting bank, which is obviously getting uncomfortably close to maxing out so let’s hope they can turn things around quickly and recover some of those losses.
There are quite a wide variety of bets used including over/unders, draw no bet, double chance and match odds and lots of the bets are combined in doubles and trebles. At the moment the combinations aren’t really coming off but it’s not been too bad and plenty of time to turn things around.
As we are still very early in the season it may take a bit of time for results to settle down and form to pick up but hopefully we’ll start seeing that over the next few weeks.
Football Acca Tipsteris a service from the Betting Gods tipster platform and – as the name suggests – they provide accumulator bets (accas) on the footy.
They tip in a variety of leagues across Europe and most of the accas are doubles and trebles. A number of different markets are used including match odds, over/under, BTTS, double and chance and more.
We followed the service for a full seven months to get a good picture of its performance. It got off to a very rough start, going over 80 points down at one stage but fought back well to finish 6 points up in the end.
Staking varies between 2 and 5 points, with 3.4 being the average, so that may have inflated the loss made early on in the trial.
However, overall the service has ended up pretty much back where it started, so we feel only a NEUTRAL rating is fair in this instance.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are normally sent out in the morning of the matches giving plenty of time to get the bets on. With an average of 1-2 bets per day following the service isn’t too onerous by any means.
Availability of prices: Prices are freely available and there should be no problem matching the advised prices.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 53% which is pretty decent and means lots of winning accas.
Advised Betting Bank: A 200 point bank is recommended for following the service which seems a reasonable amount to us and even with the early losses was never in jeopardy.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are £1.99 for the first 15 days then£27/month.
There is a full money-back guarantee for the first 30 days.
OVERALL VERDICT: NEUTRAL
Accumulators are a popular form of betting and Football Acca Tipster focuses on backing doubles and trebles in major football matches.
It got off to rocky start to our trial, going over 80 points down at one stage but bounced back well to finish just in profit.
Overall given it finished just 6 points up in the end it receives a NEUTRAL rating from us for the time being.
This has been an impressive fightback as they were over 80 points down at one stage in our trial and many would have given up at that stage but it just shows patience and a long-term outlook can really pay off sometimes.
Hopefully they’ll keep it going and push on now to make some nice profits by the end of our trial.
If they continue the form of the last couple of months then they should manage to get back into profit for our trial, which would be good to see.
The nice thing about the service is that even though they are doing accas, the strike rate is still high at over 48%. Just need to push that up a little higher and then they’ll be back in the black.
We have decided to extend the review from 3 months to 6 months to give them a chance to show their form once the main leagues kick off again as obviously over the last few months it has just been the Summer leagues which tend to be more tricky.
So let’s see if they can get into profit once the action get underway in a couple of weeks.
We had expressed skepticism at the outset that anyone could make a consistent profit from backing accumulators and so far that is being borne out.
However, it is still early days with only a month gone in our trial so we shouldn’t give up hope yet. Let’s see if they can turn things around over the remainder of our trial.
Regular followers of the site will know we are normally skeptical about accumulator betting. Basically it is generally considered the “mugs” style of betting as you are normally just multiplying the bookies’ edge over you, meaning you are taking terrible value on your bets.
Hence why you see so many bookies offering acca-based bonuses to the unsuspecting punter – bookies love accas because they make so much money from them.
However, in theory this idea could be turned on its head, if – and it’s a big if – you were able to find consistent value on your bets.
Then by putting them in accumulators you would actually be able to multiply your edge over the bookies.
To do this consistently would be quite a feat but the tipster we are looking at today appears to have found a way to make accumulator betting profitable – and that is Football Acca Tipster from the reputable Betting Gods platform.
They have made over £700 to £10 stakes since last October and that has been achieved with a strike rate of 25%.
Even though they bet on accumulators, the average odds are just over 2.0 and a good number of the bets are doubles.
The results have been quite up and down so far, but they have had a good May so that is encouraging at least.
We have actually been receiving the tips since 17th April so will record results from then.
Please check back here for updates on how the review how is going.
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