TheSuper Sports Capperis a multi-sports service from Betting Gods. It covers NBA, NFL, and major UK football and European basketball which is quite a wide variety of events from around the world.
It operates in fairly niche markets like players to score above a number of points or have a certain number of shots on target in a game.
We followed the service for six months which gave us a very good sample size of over 470 bets.
In that the Super Sports Capper made an excellent 97 points profit, which represented a return on capital (or bank growth) of 127%.
The strike rate was high at 60%, meaning well over half the bets were winners. And the return on investment was also strong for a strike rate that high, at 11%.
It was pretty steady progress throughout the trial, as you can see in the graph below:-
That’s just the kind of profit graph we like to see.
The only issue we experienced with the service was the odds availability, with the markets tipped on being very niche.
There were some instances where the odds were quite sensitive, although this didn’t happen every time and in some cases it was only by a few ticks.
So in our experience it didn’t make a huge difference to results, but is worth bearing in mind if you are thinking of following the service.
It might be reasonable for example to expect up to 20% less profit than the official results. You might end up doing better than that if you have access to a wide variety of bookies accounts and act very quickly, but setting expectations at the outset to miss some of the advised prices is probably a good idea.
In any event, even allowing for some price sensitivity the results are still excellent and we are happy to award this service a PASSED rating after a strong six month trial.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The bets are normally sent out in the morning around 8-10am UK time, although there are sometimes a few bets later in the morning. With 2-3 bets per day on average it’s not too onerous, although with the markets being very niche it can take a while to find them sometimes.
Availability of prices: As mentioned above, some of the prices did get punted in, so it would be realistic to expect to take a few ticks lower than the advised prices in some cases.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 60%, which is very good and meant a high proportion of winnings bets throughout the trial.
Advised Betting Bank: A 75 point betting bank is recommended for following the service, which seems a bit small to us as the average stake is around 2 points per bet. We think a 100 point bank would be more appropriate for following this service.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £1.99 for first 15 days then £37 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Super Sports Capper is a multi-sports tipster operating in a variety of niche betting markets. It made an impressive 97 points profit during our trial, with strong metrics of a 60% strike rate and 11% ROI.
The only slight issue with the service is price availability due to the unusual markets it operates in, but we wouldn’t say that was too severe by any means.
Even allowing for a slight adjustment for that, the results were still excellent and it’s well worthy of a resounding PASSED rating from us.
Just a word on odds availability as this is some of the markets tipped in are very niche with this service. Taking today for example there were two tips sent out around an hour and a half ago.
On one bet the best odds available to us are 1.83, which was the advised price (not having access to Ladbrokes Australia which has the best advised odds of 1.87), so that is good.
On the other bet the advised price was 1.83 (or 1.86 if you have access to Sportsbet Aus), and we are currently able to obtain odds of 1.80.
So pretty good price availability there, although not quite the advised prices. Acting more quickly of course you may have been able to achieve the top prices, but this gives a snapshot around an hour and a half after tips were released.
There have been a wide variety of sports covered over the last month including NBA, football, AFL, tennis and rugby.
Normally we’d say it’s tough to make a profit across so many sports but this tipster is managing it so far with considerable success. Let’s see if that continues.
As we mentioned when commencing the review, this service bets in very niche markets like player and team points. As such prices can be quite sensitive.
For example, when looking at today’s two selections – one of them was under 2.5 tries for a certain team, advised at 1.80 at B365 and that is still available a couple of hours after the tip was sent out.
However, for the other tip, which is a team points total, the tip was for under 25.5 points at advised odds of 2.00 but now the odds are 1.72 and the line is under 24.5 points.
So quite a significant shift on the second tip – that is something to watch out for as the trial progresses in terms of the availability of the odds and the overall effect on profits.
Today we are starting a new review of an interesting multi-sports service from Betting Gods called the Super Sports Capper.
The service covers NBA, NFL, and major UK football and European basketball which is quite a wide variety of events from around the world.
The results to date look extremely impressive, with over 190 points profit made since starting proofing to Betting Gods in September 2020.
What stands out though are the metrics, with a return on investment of 25% at the same time as hitting a strike rate of 72%, which is a supreme combination. Usually with a strike rate that high you would expect the ROI to be below 10% and often below 5%, even for professional bettors. Whether that can be maintained in the long run remains to be seen of course.
The tips are provided by a chap called Allan who apparently spends his days studying team form, news, injuries, betting markets and multiple other factors to deliver a solid winning service. He says his own money goes on the bets as well – of course we would expect nothing less!
In terms of the average monthly profit, that has been over £900 so far which would be a great bit of extra income if it could be maintained.
One thing we note from looking at the results is that they bet in quite niche markets like players to score above a number of points or have a certain number of shots on target. So it will be interesting to see the availability of prices on those markets.
All in all it looks very promising though so we are eager to get this review going. As usual we will post updates here as we go along.
Geek – One who passionately engages in one or more things to extreme levels.
That’s the definition of a geek according to Urban Dictionary and seems about right to us.
In the case of The Basketball Geekthe description appears quite apt. They provide tips in a variety of basketball leagues around the world and clearly have an exceptional level of expertise.
The markets tipped include match odds, which cover the majority of bets, but also handicaps and over/unders.
After an extended 12 month trial they made an excellent 147 points profit, which represented a near tripling of the recommended 75 point betting bank.
Those results were achieved with a decent strike rate of 36% and a solid return on investment (ROI) of 9%.
We managed to gather an excellent sample size of over 1600 bets, so there can be no doubt that this tipster demonstrated a clear edge over the market during our review.
As you can see from the graph below, the profit was very steady throughout our trial, with a slight flattening out towards the end:
The only issue we could find with the service was odds availability, which we will deal with further below in our service breakdown.
In terms of the results at advised prices however, they were undoubtedly top class and it’s a definite PASSED rating for The Basketball Geek from us.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: It’s quite a high volume service with around 4-5 bets per day on average, so does require a little bit of work in following. Tips are sent out by email, usually around 8am UK time.
Availability of prices: As mentioned above, this was our main concern with the service as we did witness quite a bit of pressure on prices during our trial. As many of the markets tipped in are quite niche, it doesn’t take a great deal of money to move them and we could see that in action here.
That’s not to say that prices moved in on every selection – on some occasions the advised prices were still available even a couple of hours after tips were sent out. And certainly having a Pinnacle and Bet 365 account would be a significant advantage if following this service. But even then, we would say that realistically it would be tough to always match the results at advised prices.
It would be realistic to expect your profits to be somewhere between 20-30% lower than the official ones we would say, if you have access to a decent number of bookie accounts and act quickly after tips are sent out.
That still leaves a very good profit though even taking this into account and certainly it is not a Hugh Taylor or Pricewise situation where odds are smashed in half instantly after being sent out.
Given the markets tipped in are fairly niche, it would not be practical to follow this service on Betfair, where some of the markets are not even available.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 36%, which is solid enough and meant steady returns throughout the trial.
Advised Betting Bank: A 75 point betting bank is recommended for following the service and that seems pretty fair to us, although you could use a 100 point bank to be on the safe side.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £1.99 for first 15 days then £37 per month.
Or there are special offers of £39 for the first 3 months (then £37/month) or £59 for the first 6 months (then £37/month). Those costs are pretty reasonable given the results achieved to date.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
We haven’t come across many basketball tipsters in our time running Honest Betting Reviews but we are certainly glad we found this one.
With an excellent profit of 147 points during our 12 month trial, which represented a near-tripling of the betting bank, it’s a clear PASSED rating from us.
The only concern we have with the service is price availability as the markets tipped in tend to be quite niche, so it can be tough to match the advised prices on occasion. We think it is realistic to expect a slight reduction on the official results – perhaps 20-30% in total if you act quickly and have access to a fair range of bookie accounts.
Overall you should still be able to achieve close to the advised price results though, which as we say were excellent and well deserving of a passed rating for The Basketball Geek.
Just a reminder that bets come in leagues all over the world and in men’s and women’s basketball, so it can pay to have a wide variety of bookies’ accounts to cover all the bets, for example with Marathonbet, SBO Bet etc as well the traditional bookies like Bet365.
Anyway, hopefully we’ll see a return to winning ways for the Basketball Geek next month.
We are less than two months away from having a full year’s proofing of this service which is good to see and it has certainly stood up very well during a long term trial despite the recent dip.
A trend we are noticing on the tips is that prices with Bet365 tend to hold up better than with other bookies. Betfair Sportsbook can also hold its prices pretty well, as with one of today’s tips that was quoted at 3.0 and is still available at those odds.
Some of the other bookies prices tend to get pushed down more noticeably as these are quite niche leagues being tipped in. Overall though we would say it should be possible to obtain the advised prices or close to them on most tips.
We remarked last time on the pressure on prices after tips are released and this is becoming more of an issue.
If we take today for example, there are three selections. Two of the tips are on over/under points totals and the lines have moved by a couple of points with the bookies available to us. That is equivalent to the odds having dropped on those selections.
On the third selection, the advised price is still available with B365 over four hours after the tip was sent, which is good.
So there are certain instances where you may not be able to obtain advised prices, but it doesn’t happen every time. Certainly having Pinnacle and B365 would be an advantage if following this service. Overall though the profits have been so good that even missing out on a few prices here and there, you should still be well ahead.
Given the excellent results and popularity of the service there is some pressure coming in on prices now, so it is advisable to get your bets on as soon as possible after tips are sent out.
Normally there are multiple bookies quoted so there are options for getting your bets on, even if you don’t have B365 which tends to be top price quite often.
One aspect we like about this service (besides the profits, obviously!) is that the staking is all one point level-stakes, so easy to follow and no artificial inflating of results like some other services.
Well worth checking out, great stuff from the Geek.
Just a quick word on prices with this service. Generally we have found prices hold up pretty well, although there are some instances where the odds drop a little after tips are released.
For example, looking at today’s tips, there are three bets still to run.
There are two longer shots – one advised at 9.0 that is currently available at 9.5 with Paddy Power and Betfair Sportsbook and one advised at 3.5 that is still available at those odds with B365, BF Sportsbook and Redzone.
At the same time though, the other tip is an overs bet advised at 1.86 which is currently a best price of 1.73.
So it’s not as if there is an instant crash in prices or anything like that, but prices can move in on certain tips so it’s a good idea to get your bets on as soon as you can.
Anyway, good progress from this service which has been very consistent so far – just what we like to see.
Bets come in leagues all over the world and in men’s and women’s basketball, so it can pay to have a wide variety of bookies’ accounts to cover all the bets, for example with Marathonbet, SBO Bet etc as well the traditional bookies like Bet365.
A solid if unspectacular performance for our review so far, let’s see if they can kick on and really get going for the rest of our trial.
Geek – One who passionately engages in one or more things to extreme levels.
That’s the definition of a geek according to Urban Dictionary and seems about right to us.
Our next trial is of a service which actually refers to themselves as a geek – The Basketball Geek to be specific – and given their results, the name appears quite apt.
This is clearly someone who “passionately engages in one or more things to extreme levels” – and that is betting on basketball!
The results are testament to their knowledge and engagement with the sport, with a profit of over 190 points made since they started proofing to Betting Gods in November 2019.
That has been achieved with a more-than-decent ROI of 19% and an excellent strike rate of 56%, meaning a high proportion of the bets so far have been winners.
Most impressive of all, the advised betting bank of 75 points would have grown by over 260%, which means a substantial return on capital to date.
In terms of consistency that looks rock solid as well, with all eight months being profitable so far.
We can’t say we’ve bet on basketball much over the years but as we always say, if a service can make a profit we don’t really mind what it bets on – it could be tiddlywinks for all we care! If it is making a consistent profit then that’s all we’re looking for really.
It will make a nice change to try out a new sport in many ways so we are looking forward to testing this service out. We started receiving tips on 14th July so will record results from then. Check back here for regular updates on how things are going.
Here at Honest Betting Reviews we like to keep an eye on services after we have completed our final review of them and not just forget about them.
This particularly applies to services that have received a positive rating, because it’s important to ensure they are still producing positive results and justifying the original stamp of approval we gave them.
In that spirit we are taking a look at Premium Boxing Tips again, which is a service we reviewed back in 2019 (please see below). They kindly kept on sending us the tips after our original review ended so we have been able to continue proofing their results.
So over two years later, how have they been getting on – and do they still deserve the PASSED rating we awarded them back in 2019?
Results Update
Well we are pleased to report that they have remained profitable, adding another 66 points profit since our original review ended.
That means in total they have made 183 points profit since we started proofing their tips, which is well worthy of a continued PASSED rating.
The long-term ROI stands at a more-than-respectable 14% and the strike rate is very good at 66%.
The subscription costs are very reasonable at just £19 per month or £208 per year so you can’t complain from that point of view.
Although the profit has been steady rather than spectacular over the last couple of years (as shown in the profit graph below), any profit at all is commendable and when you take into account their ROI and strike rate stats the service actually stacks up pretty well against any other in terms of long-term performance.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Having followed Premium Boxing Tips for going on for two and a half years now, we are happy to maintain our PASSED rating of it, as the service has made a profit of 183 points in total since we started following it with a high strike rate and solid ROI.
Well worth checking if you are into your boxing, or even if you aren’t!
Premium Boxing Tips is only the second boxing tipster we have reviewed here at Honest Betting Reviews. Whilst a lot of money is gambled on the big fights in boxing, it is still quite a niche sport in betting terms when compared to the “big two” of football and horse racing.
However, perhaps that is a good thing because it opens up the potential for angles to exploit and value to be found where others aren’t paying so much attention.
That certainly seems to be the case with Premium Boxing Tips in any event, with an excellent profit of 117 points made during our trial.
That was generated with a return on investment of 40%, which is absolutely top-notch.
The strike rate was also a very healthy 76%, meaning long winning streaks and short losing ones, so really there was nothing not to like about the service!
Here you can see how steady the progress was during the trial:
You can tell from their very detailed write-ups that accompany the tips they really know their stuff, with an exceptionally in-depth knowledge of boxing.
Most of the tips are accumulators of doubles, trebles or four-folds (which they refer to as parlays) and they advise which bookmaker to place the bets with – in most cases it is Bet365. A lot of the fights are not the really big clashes like Joshua v Povetkin etc but lesser-known figures.
Overall it’s a pretty simple service to follow though and with results like these there is no question that this receives a PASSED rating – with bells on!
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are normally sent out well before the fights are due to start, with some accas spread out over a few weeks. With an average of just 4 bets per week, there isn’t too much effort involved in following the tips either.
Availability of prices: We didn’t have too many problems getting the advised prices, most of the bets are advised with Bet365 but there are other bookies to choose from if you don’t have an account with them.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 76%, which is excellent and meant healthy bank growth during our trial.
Advised Betting Bank: We didn’t see any bank recommended but used a 250 point bank for the trial, which seemed adequate to us given the strike rate and staking.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are very reasonable given the results achieved at just £19 per month or £208 per year.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Boxing is still quite a niche sport in betting terms but that opens up opportunities to find value for those in the know and Premium Boxing Tipsclearly demonstrated during our trial that they are in the know.
With an excellent profit of 117 points at a return on investment of 40% this passes our trial with flying colours.
So if you fancy a bet on the boxing or just want to add a high quality tipster to your portfolio, then Premium Boxing Tips certainly fits the bill.
So far here at Honest Betting Reviews we have only reviewed one boxing tipster in the four years we have run the site.
So it’s nice today to have another tipster to review and that is the aptly-named Premium Boxing Tips.
This is a service that’s been going for over three years and the results published on their website for that time look very good.
In that time they’ve made over 440 points profit at a return on investment of over 15%.
What we really like about the results though is the steady profit graph. This is the kind of smooth progress we love to see from a tipster:
If they could repeat that over the course of our trial (and beyond) they would certainly be a tipster worth adding to the portfolio.
One of their expert tipsters says that:
“I’ve been an avid follower of boxing for many years. The advent of fights broadcast and downloadable over the Internet has allowed me to study the sport in greater depth. I started gambling on boxing seriously around 8 years ago.”
Well that dedication seems to be working well based on the results published on their website but let’s see how they perform under a live trial.
So we will run our normal three month trial of this service and will report back here regularly on how things are going.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/premium-boxing-tips-pic.png3931333Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2021-07-25 10:45:082022-12-12 11:58:26Premium Boxing Tips – Two Year Update
We have completed our five month trial of Golf Forecast and here are the final results (i.e. for the diversified algorithm):-
Profit/Loss:
+713 points profit
Strike Rate:
10%
Bank Growth:
71%
ROI:
23%
Average number of bets:
20 bets per tournament
Cost:
£2.99 for first 7 days then £29.99 per month
VERDICT:
PASSED
Rating:
You can view full results here. (please note you can see the results for the two approaches plus the past results in the tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet)
Golf Forecast – Full Review
We originally reviewed golf betting system Golf Forecast around five years ago, when it received a passed rating after notching up an impressive 172 points profit in that original trial.
Golf Forecast is a little different from most golf services as it is not a “tipster” as such but instead finds its selections via an algorithm. This algorithm is based on the Shotlink data that compiles a huge array of stats on each player and the strengths and weaknesses of their game.
Where the bookies’ odds are significantly above what the algorithm says they should be based on that data, the player then becomes a bet.
The algorithm also apparently uses machine learning to update itself and improve in light of new data.
After our original review of Golf Forecast finished in 2016, we kept an eye on the service for the next few years, during which time it continued to compile impressive profits. So we initiated a re-review back in November 2019, wanting to take a closer look at the results again as it seemed to be performing consistently well.
Unfortunately though it struggled somewhat in that re-review, losing 280 points. Such are the ups-and-downs of traditional golf betting unfortunately.
However, they then introduced a new approach – namely their “diversified algorithm.”
This idea behind this is to spread your risk across more golfers, backing around 20 players per tournament rather than the traditional approach of backing 4-5 golfers per event.
Anyone who has bet on golf or followed a golf tipster for any length of time will be accustomed to the huge swings you can experience, with long losing runs followed by a big winner – if you’re lucky that is. It can be tough on the nerves and require a lot of patience, as well as a massive betting bank, to weather the lengthy drawdowns.
The aim of this new “diversified model” is to smooth out those peaks and troughs and provide more regular returns.
Here they explain the difference between their two models:-
In theory you might think the diversified model is more risky as you are backing more golfers, but if you are spreading your stake across them in such a way that you are actually betting the same amount as you would when backing just five golfers, then in fact it is less risky and should smooth out the ride.
For example, if you are risking £100 per tournament you spread this across 20 golfers, meaning on a few of them you are just risking £5-6 each. This is the staking used in our results spreadsheet.
This smoother ride is borne out by the long-term results, which as you can see from the graph below shows a pretty smooth profit graph, without the big ups and downs normally associated with golf betting:-
Anyway, we commenced a fresh review at the start of this year looking at both the new diversified algorithm and the old approach – dubbed the “ROI algorithm.”
In truth we were more interested in how the diversified algorithm got on as it is a new, innovative approach to gambling on the golf and we were eager to see if it really could smooth out the big ups and downs you normally get with golf betting.
We are pleased to say that after five months of following it, the diversified algorithm did as advertised and produced a very healthy – and steady – 713 points profit.
If following the £100 per tournament approach, that translated into a decent £713 profit and bank growth of over 70%.
Whilst the strike rate was still on the low side at 10%, the ride was much smoother and less bumpy. The ROI was also excellent at 23%.
So in terms of the diversified algorithm, we are happy to award it a PASSED rating and we really like this new, more measured approach to golf betting that is less of a roller-coaster.
In terms of the traditional ROI model, unfortunately that did not perform so well and lost 711 points, which on top of the 280 points lost the previous year, means quite a hefty overall loss so it is not a strategy we would recommend following.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: As mentioned above, there are around 20 bets to place per tournament, so you have to set aside a fair amount of time to get the selections placed. You can either have the bets e-mailed to you or log in to the website to get them.
Availability of prices: We didn’t notice any particular issues with obtaining the recommended prices.
Strike rate: The strike rate for our trial was 10%, which is obviously low but it didn’t prevent a steady return during our trial. The long-term average is to produce a profit in every 2-3 events and in our trial there weren’t too many tournaments without a return of some kind at least.
Advised Betting Bank: In effect a 100 point bank betting bank is recommended for the diversified algorithm (or £1000 if betting £100 per tournament), which seems reasonable to us although a 150 point bank could be utilised to be on the safe side.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £2.99 for first 7 days then £29.99 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Golf Forecast is a service we originally reviewed back in 2016 and gave a passed rating to after a successful trial. We took another look at the service more recently but unfortunately it made a substantial loss in that trial.
Recently though they have introduced a new strategy – called the “diversified algorithm” – which involves backing around 20 golfers per event and aims to smooth out the big ups and downs you normally see with golf betting.
We are pleased to report that it managed to achieve that aim during our trial, notching up 713 points profit over the course of five months at an excellent ROI of 23% and warranting a PASSED rating.
Their more traditional approach of backing 4-5 golfers per event made a loss though so we would recommend focusing on the diversified algorithm if you are going to follow this service.
That diversified strategy looks very promising to us as a means to smooth out the roller-coaster ride of golf betting and make it a much smoother and more enjoyable journey!
It’s continued to be a mixed picture for Golf Forecast, with their diversified model having made £224 profit but the ROI model having lost £467 since our last update.
That means the diversified model is now £534 up but the ROI model is £617 down for our trial overall, so a net return of -£83.
You can view full results here. (please note you can see the results for the two approaches plus the past results in the tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet)
Just to recap – the diversified model means spreading the risk across more golfers, backing around 20 players per tournament where as the ROI model means backing 4-5 golfers per event.
The aim of the diversified model is to smooth out the ups and downs of golf betting and it certainly seems to be doing that here, with steady progress made throughout our trial so far. That is looking like the model to follow at this point.
It’s been somewhat of a mixed month for Golf Forecast, with their diversified model having made 14 points profit (or £140 to £10 stakes) but the ROI model having lost 39 points (or £390 to £10 stakes) since our last update.
That means the diversified model is now 31 points up but the ROI model is 15 points down for our trial overall, so a net return of +16 points.
You can view full results here. (please note you can see the results for the two approaches plus the past results in the tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet)
Just to recap – the diversified model means spreading the risk across more golfers, backing around 20 players per tournament where as the ROI model means backing 4-5 golfers per event.
In theory you might think the diversified model is more risky as you are backing more golfers, but if you are spreading your stake across them in such a way that you are actually betting the same amount as you would backing just five golfers, then in fact is is less risky and should smooth out the ride.
We are seeing that play out already in our review and would expect it to be the case over the long term too.
We are having something of a reboot of our review of Golf Forecast in 2021.
As you may recall, they didn’t perform too well during our trial last year losing 280 points, after having an excellent original trial back in 2016 when they made 172 points.
Such are the ups and downs of golf betting and having long losing runs followed by massive wins (or vice versa) are par for the course, if you’ll excuse the pun.
To counter this they have developed a new “diversified algorithm” which in layman’s terms means backing around 20 golfers per tournament rather than five.
The idea is to spread your stakes across a greater number of golfers to reduce the risk and produce a more consistent return.
At the same time they will still be running their previous model of backing 4-5 golfers per event – this is referred to as their “ROI algorithm” but is higher risk as we say and is more likely to have those big ups and downs.
There is a fuller explanation of the two approaches here:
So we are going to cover both approaches in 2021 and compare how they get on.
So far this year the results have been good for both, with the diversified model having made 17.5 points profit (or £174.70 to £10 stakes) and the ROI model making 24 points profit (or £241 to £10 stakes).
You can view full results here. (please note you can see the results for the two approaches plus the past results in the tabs at the bottom of the spreadsheet)
The main source of profits has been Harris English who won for both approaches at 30/1 and Kevin Na who won for the diversified approach at 60/1.
It will be interesting to see how that approach gets on and if it can smooth out some of the big swings normally seen with golf services.
They also have a separate strategy known as the “diversifying algorithm” (nothing to do with spread betting as we previously thought) which backs a lot more golfers each week (e.g. 15-20 per tournament). The idea is to reduce risk and smooth the curve as it were. We have been keeping an eye on that strategy and since it was introduced in mid-September it has made around 90 points profit, so quite a lot better than the main strategy.
Hopefully the main strategy can get back on track again soon – a big winner would certainly help!
We mentioned last time their new spread betting algorithm, which uses spread betting prices to help guide selections, but you still bet in the fixed odds markets with the bookies. Well the spread betting algorithm managed to pick out both winners last week – Jason Kokrak at 100/1 and Adrian Otaegui at 66/1, so seems to be working well. Although it does involve backing 15-20 players per tournament so is obviously more likely to pick out winners than backing 5-6 players per tournament.
Anyway, we will try to have a look at getting the results together for the spread betting algorithm and hopefully including those in future updates.
As we mentioned last time, it is worth bearing in mind that this service uses very high staking, with up to 14 points (7pts e/w) per bet recommended. So it looks a lot worse than if they were using 1 point e/w stakes for example.
Interestingly they have introduced a new “spread betting algorithm,” which as we understand it uses spread betting prices to help guide the algorithm, but you still bet in the fixed odds markets with the bookies.
The spread betting model has apparently produced a much smoother profit with less volatility though, which would be welcome, but involves backing a lot more players each week. We will keep an eye on that to see how it gets on anyway.
One of the reasons for the large drawdown lately is the high staking used, with up to 14 points (7pts e/w) per bet recommended. So it can really add up quickly when you hit a losing run.
As we always say with golf services however, just one winner can turn everything around when you are tipping at odds of up to 150/1. So let’s just hope they hit one of those soon.
They were quite unlucky with one of the their picks for the RBC Heritage, Abraham Ancer, who came up just short at 60/1 after Webb Simpson finished with a rash of birdies to deny him the title. That still resulted in a placed finish though and a nice profit of 33 points on Ancer.
With golf back in full swing now (if you’ll excuse the pun) and the European Tour back in action again it should be full steam ahead for the next few months.
It’s been a positive start to our re-review of Golf Forecast, with a profit of 37 points made so far after just over one month of following the selections.
There is a slight difference between our results and their published results as they had Lee Westwood placed at the Honda Classic where as we did not. The reason for that is the forecast table, and thus the tips, can be recalculated up until midnight on Wednesday. However, they send the tips email out on Tuesday morning. As such it’s possible that the bookies’ odds move and so their algorithm’s tips could change in that time. i.e. one of the previously tipped player’s odds shortened and Lee’s odd’s drifted, therefore Lee was better value.
We will stick with the tips we receive in the e-mail on Tuesday as our official results, although if you are member you are of course able to keep checking up until midnight on Wednesday to see if there are any further selections.
Anyway, either way it’s been a good start and the highlight was definitely Sungjae Im at the Honda Classic who they had a maximum five point each-way bet on at 33/1, which brought in 180 points profit.
Obviously now with the coronavirus golf is on hold for the time being and it looks like we may not get any more events until July. The Masters and PGA Championship have been postponed and no decision has been taken on the US Open yet, so let’s keep our fingers crossed that can go ahead at least.
Just over three years ago we did a review of a golf betting service called Golf Forecast (see below).
This service is a little different from most golf services however as it is not a “tipster” as such but instead finds its selections via an algorithm. This algorithm is based on the Shotlink data that compiles a huge array of stats on each player and the strengths and weaknesses of their game.
Where the bookies’ odds are significantly above what the algorithm shows they should be based on that data, the player then becomes a bet.
The algorithm also apparently uses machine learning to update itself and improve in light of new data.
The results during our original review back in 2016 were excellent, with a profit of 172 points made during our seven month trial.
Since then they have apparently also done extremely well, with over 700 points profit made at an ROI of over 35% – although we weren’t able to fully proof those results.
So we thought it would be well worth checking out the service again and seeing if it can continue the excellent results under a live trial – when we do proof the results.
As ever with golf services, beware the potential of long losing streaks as there was a drawdown of around 400 points in 2018-2019, so clearly a very big bank is required here (perhaps 1,000 points).
However, when the winners come along they can be massive, with 100/1+ winners having been landed before.
Let’s hope for more of the latter rather than the former during our re-review in any event. We will record results here periodically during our re-review.
Golf Forecast is a service that uses a complex algorithm to generate each-way selections for each week’s tournaments.
Their approach is an interesting one – basically they say that “no one really knows who is going to win any golf tournament.” What they can do though, using their algorithm, is find selections who offer value for the punter.
The algorithm is based on the Shotlink data that compiles a huge array of stats on each player and the strengths and weaknesses of their game. It then apparently uses machine learning to update itself and improve in light of new data.
We have written before on this website that we strongly believe computing power will be the future of betting and will become more and more sophisticated in the coming years.
So the question is, how well did the system work during our trial?
The answer is – pretty darn well!
Yes, we made 172 points profit during the trial, which was an astonishing 102% return on investment!
That is the highest we have ever recorded over a whole trial.
Now it is worth pointing out, as is nearly always the case with golf tipsters, that the results fluctuate wildly based on just one or two big priced winners.
For example, Thorbjorn Olesen winning the Turkish Open at 150/1 brought in a massive 188 points of profit. Without add, the trial would have actually finished in a loss.
Here are the results for the trial in graph format:
Things were bobbing along fairly steadily for most of the trial before a massive jump at the end.
As we say though, that is the way of things with golf betting – long losing streaks followed by big wins (hopefully!)
The only disappointing thing about the trial was that we had problems generating the selections early on in the trial (something wrong with the website apparently) and then later on there were problems accessing the website at all because the security certificate wasn’t up to date.
It is a shame there were those problems as the results were so good, no doubt people have been put off by those issues.
But presuming these technical issues can be ironed out, we are happy to give Golf Forecast a recommended rating and think there are definitely on to something with their algorithm-based approach. We feel it also warrants a place in our list of the best golf tipsters.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: You have to log in to the website to find the selections and it can be a little cumbersome as you often need to click on the “forecasts” first before you click on the tips. Anyway, with only one to two tournaments per week, it is a pretty low workload overall.
Availability of prices: They don’t actually quote prices as such, but we recorded the best price available from the main bookmakers on Oddschecker on a Wednesday.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 12%, which is pretty standard for golf and means you will need a large betting bank and quite a bit of patience when following the service.
Advised Betting Bank: There was no betting bank advised, but we used a 300 point bank, which was never in danger during the trial.
Subscription costs: Subscription costs are an incredibly low £1.99/month, £6.99/year or £22.99/lifetime.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Golf Forecast is an innovative betting service that uses an algorithm to generate selections.
It performed very well during our extended seven month trial, generating over 170 points profit at a return on investment of over 100%.
There were a couple of technical issues with the website which was a shame as otherwise this looks to be a high quality service.
Certainly when you bear in mind how cheap it is at just £22.99 for a lifetime subscription, then there is a lot to like about Golf Forecast.
Presuming the technical issues have been ironed out, we are happy to give it a recommended rating and will watch its progress with interest.
The Golf Forecast website is still having problems with its security certificate, which is a shame because if you had been able to access their tips then you would have landed at 150/1 winner today in the shape of Thorbjorn Olesen at the Turkish Airlines Open.
That takes them to 173 points up for our trial overall.
This shows once again in golf betting how one winner can make such a huge difference.
We hope that they do sort out their security certificate soon so that the website is readily accessible as it seems like they have a decent betting service here.
Things have moved on steadily for Golf Forecast, who have made 24 points profit since our last update to sit at 32 points in profit for the trial overall.
They had a good winner in the shape of Henrik Stenson at the BMW International Open at 10/1 and a good place finish on Ben Martin last week at the John Deere Classic at 125/1.
The only problem we have had so far is that the website does not always update to show you the week’s tips.
That may be because there aren’t any or may be because the system isn’t working properly, but it would be good to know either way and it might be an idea for them to supply the tips by e-mail in future to avoid such issues.
As is normally the case with golf betting, you often go a long time without a winner and need a lot of patience during these periods.
This has been the case here and although we haven’t had a winner yet, we have had a few good placed finishes, most notably Ken Duke at the Players Championship at 50/1 for the place (200/1 for the win).
There were unfortunately some teething problems with the website and some weeks we had trouble finding the tips for the tournaments, but thankfully these issues appear to have been sorted now.
Hopefully we will hit a winner soon, but in the meantime they have done well to be in profit so far.
Donkey Lays is a service from the Pro Betting Club stable of tipsters and lays horses to lose in the win and place markets on Betfair.
Horses are only a selection if the odds are below 4.0 in the place market on Betfair at the off – if they are below 4.0, then you lay them in the win and place market. It’s a case or both or neither.
Whilst the cut-off of 4.0 does limit the liabilities somewhat, it can still allow horses to be laid in the win market at quite high odds, so a decent sized bank is required if following this service.
We have been running Honest Betting Reviews for over six years now and have found very few good laying services in that time, with notable exceptions like Little Acorns.
So when we came across Donkey Lays which had some promising results coming into our trial, we had a mixture of scepticism and hope.
Scepticism because we have seen many promising laying services in the past that only turned out to be disappointing in the end, but hope that this time might be different…
It is strange in a way that there aren’t more good laying services out there, as in theory it should be possible to make a profit from it in the same way as you can from backing.
In any event, we ran a three month trial of Donkey Lays and in that time there was a good sample size of 428 lay bets.
As we say, some of the lays can be at quite high odds on the win part of the bet and in fact the trial started off with an unsuccessful lay at odds of 18.0, thus dropping 17 points on the very first bet. Not a great start!
Whilst that did not appear to auger well, it was actually the highest unsuccessful lay of the trial and things did improve considerably from there.
In fact we are pleased to report that the trial finished with a profit of 37 points, which is very commendable when you consider it was at one-point level stakes laying.
As you can see from the graph below, after a tough start they recovered nicely over the rest of the trial:
The only real issue we had was that – as mentioned in our review updates below – there were quite a large number of discrepancies between our results and the official Pro Betting Club ones (via the proofed-tipsters website).
This was a continual problem throughout our trial and we never really received an adequate explanation from the Pro Betting Club about it. They just said it was “A system error on the proofed tipsters page,” which didn’t really clarify things for us.
However, in terms of overall results, ours were actually somewhat better than the official ones (+37 points vs +21 points), so we don’t think it was a case of them trying to embellish the results or anything like that. It was just that for some reason the results didn’t appear to be reported accurately at their end.
That does give us cause for concern as any serious tipping platform or tipster site should be fastidious about the accurate reporting of their results. At the same time though, we don’t think it is fair to criticize Donkey Lays itself for that as the service made a healthy profit during our review.
So we are happy to award the service itself a PASSED rating as one of the very few laying services to have completed a successful review with us over the years, but with a proviso that we hope the Pro Betting Club can ensure the accurate reporting of results going forward.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: You have to log in to the site each morning to find the bets as they are not provided by e-mail. Generally we prefer it when tips are sent by e-mail as it is easier for members and means you are less likely to miss or forget about the tips, but we can understand some services opt for a log-in option as it is less likely for tips to be shared.
In any event, there are an average of 4-5 tips per day and if you are placing them manually you will need to check the place odds close to the off to ensure they are under 4.0. There is a bot you can set up (at extra cost) to place the bets though if you are not around to monitor the races during the day (which we imagine most people won’t be).
Availability of prices: As Betfair SP is used for recording purposes, there are no issues with obtaining prices.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 77%, which is a very good level and meant lots of winning bets throughout the trial.
Advised Betting Bank: We couldn’t find a specific betting bank recommended for this service, but used a 100 point betting bank for the purposes of this review.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £39.50 per month or £89.50 per quarter.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
In over six years of operating this site we have found very few good laying services, so we are pleased to report that horse racing laying service Donkey Lays finished our three month trial with a profit of 37 points.
With a high strike rate of 77% and a decent ROI of 9%, the service is worthy of a PASSED rating from us.
The only issue we had were a number of discrepancies between our results and the official ones, although the official ones actually recorded a lower profit for our trial period so we don’t think it was a case of trying to embellish their results, it just seemed to be some kind of system error.
In any event, you can’t fault Donkey Lays for that as they just produce the tips, we just hope that the Pro Betting Club can improve their processes and ensure the accurate reporting of results going forward.
Just a reminder that horses are only a selection with this system if the odds are below 4.0 in the place market at the off. If they are, then you lay the horse in both the win and place markets.
That can mean you are laying at high odds in the win market in some instances (up to 18 so far for example), so a decent sized betting bank is recommended – we would say at least 150-200 points.
Anyway, good work from them over the last month – let’s see if it continues.
The trial started off in the worst possible fashion with the first lay being unsuccessful at odds of 18.0 – ouch! But they have fought back well, particularly over the last week or so to get themselves back level for our trial.
Just a note that there are couple of small discrepancies between our results and the official results, which we have notified the Pro Betting Club of. These make very little difference to the overall results (just one point in fact), just the odd selection that should/should not have been a qualifier according to the system rules.
Anyway, let’s see if there’s some positive progress from them over the next month.
We’ve probably all been there. A horse that runs like it’s only get three legs. Or is moving in quicksand. Or it’s actually a donkey.
Yep, those wretched selections that look like they couldn’t win a race if they ran every day between now and the next millennium.
Well the service we are starting a review of today specialises in finding those very horses. Strange, you may say, to target such beasts. But in fact they are betting on these horses to lose – phew!
Donkey Lays is a service from the Pro Betting Club stable of tipsters and lays horses to lose in the win and place markets on Betfair.
Horses are only a selection if the odds are below 4.0 in the place market at the off. Whilst that does limit the liabilities somewhat, it can still allow horses to be laid in the win market at 18.0, so a decent sized bank is required if following this service.
Donkey Lays has been running for five months now on the Pro Betting Club platform and each of those months so far has been profitable:-
– January 2021: +31.93 points
– December 2020: +16.3 points
– November: +46.09 points
– October: +28.81 points
– September: +44.11 points
So that’s 167 points profit in total.
The lays in the win market have had a 90% strike rate so far and the lays in the place market have had a 67% strike rate. Those are very solid figures and mean a high proportion of successful lays.
Now we should point out that of all the laying services we’ve tried here at HBR, only one is still standing after passing a trial and that is Little Acorns.
So it’s a tough discipline to succeed in but Donkey Lays looks promising enough to test out and see if it can break the mould.
Please note we started proofing on 1st February so will record results from then. As ever we will update results here as we go along.
Bookie Insiders Footballhas been going since 2013 and is a very respected football tipping service. The tips are provided by a guy called Neil Macdonald who has been betting professionally for close to a decade.
He specializes in the top five European leagues (England, Germany, Spain, Italy, and France) as well as the major international tournaments and the Champions League/Europa League.
Normally speaking it is presumed to be very difficult to make a profit from betting on the big European leagues but Bookie Insiders have been proving that idea wrong for quite a few years now.
Tips are provided via Telegram and come with detailed write-ups, analysing both sides and their relative strengths and weaknesses, with a particular emphasis on expected goals (xG). You can see the in-depth research Neil does incorporating team news and the impact of key players and his extensive knowledge of top-level football.
Here is an example from the Porto v Juventus Champions League match:
The results coming into our trial reflected Neil’s extensive knowledge with an impressive 400 points profit made (proofed to the bettin.gs site), which would be over £20,000 profit to £50/point stakes.
So how did Bookie Insiders Football get on in our review?
We are pleased to say that for a change the results in our trial lived up to the pre-trial billing, with an excellent £2053 profit made at £50/point stakes. That works out at a 41 point profit, which is very good going for a football service.
The strike rate was high at 54%, meaning over half the bets were winners and the return on investment was decent for tipping at low odds, at 7%.
Over the course of our review the recommended betting bank of 50 points grew by over 80%, an impressive return.
The only drawback we found – which we covered during our updates below – was with the availability of prices on some of the bets. Neil tends to tip a few days before the match for some of his tips and prices can go pretty quickly. This was particularly the case for team goal bets – e.g. Atalanta to score over 1.5 goals in the match.
These markets are strongest on Pinnacle so if you are outside the UK and have access to that bookie it is certainly an advantage.
Although prices do tend to get hit on these bets, we would stress that the team goal bets only make up a small proportion of the total bets. So far this month for example there have only been three such bets and the other tips are in major markets like match odds, Asian handicap, over/unders etc which have excellent liquidity in these big leagues.
So even if you do have to take a price a few ticks lower on the team goal bets, you should still be able to do very well with this service overall given the levels of profit achieved. Having a decent number of bookie accounts and use of the exchanges, along with being quick off the mark in placing the bets, should stand you in good stead to make the most of the service.
Overall we think this is a high quality service and one of the best football tipsters we have come across in over six years of running this site. To make a profit betting on football – and on the top leagues and competitions in particular – is a very rare feat and highly commendable. Even missing the odd price here and there should not stop you making a handsome return from being a member.
So it’s a definite PASSED rating from us and a service we would say is well worth adding to your portfolio.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are sent out via the Telegram app and come in at different times of day. It is advisable to have alerts turned on so you get a message as soon as tips are posted. There is an average of 1-2 bets per day, although the volume tends to increase around weekends when the majority of matches are played.
Availability of prices: As covered above, there is quite a bit of pressure on prices, particularly in the team goal markets. If you have access to Pinnacle that is certainly an advantage. If not then using a variety of bookies plus the exchanges and acting quickly should enable you to get at or close to the advised prices in most cases. Sometimes prices also bounce back nearer the match.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 54% which is good to see and meant consistent returns throughout our trial.
Advised Betting Bank: A 50-60 point bank is recommended for following the service, which seems about right to us given the staking and strike rate. We used a 50 point bank for this trial and it was never in jeopardy.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are fair given the excellent results achieved and are €134.99 per quarter, €259.99 for six months or €499.99 per year at the time of writing.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
In over six years of running this site we have reviewed countless football tipsters but have found less than a handful that are consistently profitable. Beating the bookies on football is, alas, extremely tough.
So when we came across Bookie Insiders Football, an established and respected footy service that has been running since 2013 with strong-looking results, we were hopeful we may have found a hidden gem.
They didn’t disappoint us either, amassing an excellent £2053 profit, or 41 points profit, during our seven-month trial, with an impressive strike rate of 54%.
There can be issues obtaining the advised prices on certain bets, but there are steps you can take to mitigate this and even taking a few ticks lower on some of the bets should not stop you from doing very well from this service. We are happy to award it a PASSED rating as one of the best football services we have reviewed here at Honest Betting Reviews.
It’s been somewhat of an up-and-down month for Bookie Insiders Football, but at the end of it not much change to the overall total, with a loss of £83 made since our last update.
With the previous profits however they are still £1933 up for our trial overall at £50/point stakes – or 39 points up in other words.
We have mentioned in previous updates the difficulties in achieving the advised prices on occasion. In some instances the prices bounce back later, as Neil often advises tips a few days before the game meaning there is an initial hit on the price before it rebounds closer to kick-off.
In other instances prices stay low, however on balance it is still clearly profitable to follow the service based on the results of our trial, even if on some tips you have to take a few ticks lower than the advised price.
We have now been following the service for five months so will be looking to wrap up the trial soon and barring a disaster this looks headed for a strong passed rating.
We mentioned last time that there can be difficulties in obtaining the advised prices if you don’t have access to Pinnacle (i.e. if you are based in the UK). A couple of positive developments on this front recently though.
Firstly, Betfair now offer the team goals markets on Serie A, Premier League and Champions League matches. This is a market frequently used by Bookie Insiders so having Betfair as an option greatly enhances the chances of getting decent odds on those bets.
Secondly, Neil (who runs the service) has advised UK members to try Asian Connect 88, which is a broker offering access to Asian bookies normally closed to UK punters (although not including Pinnacle it seems). So we will try and check that out and see if it presents a viable alternative.
Overall though Bookie Insiders Football has been performing strongly during our trial and we are really impressed by it.
As mentioned previously, there can be difficulties in obtaining the advised prices if you don’t have access to Pinnacle (i.e. you are based in the UK).
The next best price can be 5 ticks or more lower than the advised price on Pinnacle, meaning you are missing out on value by not being able to get the Pinnacle price. However, a good proportion of the bets are available with Betfair or other bookies at the advised prices, so it does not affect every selection by any means. Just be aware though if you don’t have access to Pinnacle that you may miss out on advised prices on some of the bets.
What’s really impressive about this service is that selections come in major leagues and competitions, which are notoriously hard to make a profit in. They have managed it so far though which is great to see.
Prices tend to move quite a bit after tips are sent out though so you need to be quick on the draw. Not all selections are available on betfair despite the matches being in the major leagues. This is because some of the bets are on team goals, which is a market betfair don’t normally quote.
Other markets are available on Betfair though so if you use the exchanges you should be able to get a good proportion of your bets on with them.
Anyway, it’s been a really good start here and we are very much enjoying the service.
Today we are starting a new trial of a football service from a team of professional gamblers called Bookie Insiders.
The Bookie Insiders team provide tips in a range of sports, but first up we are taking a look at their football tips. They specialize in the European leagues (England, Germany, Spain, Italy, and France) as well as the major international tournaments.
Normally speaking it is presumed to be extremely difficult to make a profit from betting on the big European leagues but Bookie Insiders’ results suggest otherwise.
Since starting up in 2013 they have made over 400 points profit according to their official results, which would be over £20,000 profit to £50/point stakes.
That has been made with an ROI of 6.8% which is very good over such a long period of time and when you consider the strike rate has been 51% it is even more impressive.
As you can see from the graph below, it’s been very steady progress over the time they’ve been tipping:
Just the kind of graph we like to see! (the yellow line is the monthly P/L whilst the green is the overall P/L).
Their bets have been proofed to the bettin.gs site and we have been following them for over a month in a personal capacity and have been mighty impressed with them. The results are exactly as recorded and we have made a nice profit of around 10 points so far.
Most of the bets come in the team goals, over/under, match odds, Asian handicap and BTTS markets, so generally very liquid markets although prices can move quite quickly sometimes after the tips are sent out.
Anyway, as we say have been impressed with this service so far and are looking forward to doing a formal review of it. We will update results here as we go along.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Bookie-insiders-pic.png403800Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2021-02-18 09:48:452021-02-18 15:40:25Bookie Insiders Football – Final Review
That’s all we can say really – wow. What a trial it’s been for the Golf Insider. Over 400 points profit made to advised prices is spectacular stuff and one of the best trials we have ever run here at Honest Betting Reviews.
In fact we’ve scoured the record and that is indeed the highest points total ever recorded by a tipster in a live trial in the nearly six years we’ve been running Honest Betting Reviews.
And the return on investment (ROI) of 47% is also one of the best ever recorded.
They landed some massive winners during our trial – in fact in the very first week of our review they hit a 50/1 winner with Tyrrell Hatton at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. And they book-ended our trial with a winner in their very last tip as well, this time with a 15/2 shot in the shape of Messrs English & Kuchar at the QBE Shootout.
In between those successes the Golf Insider also landed the following winners during our trial:-
– Martin Laird – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open – WON at 250/1
– Marc Warren – Austria Open – WON at 150/1
– Robert MacIntyre – Cyprus Showdown – WON at 30/1
– Xander Schauffele – Tour Championship – WON at 12/1
– Dustin Johnson – Northern Trust – WON at 20/1
– Camilo Villegas – RSM Classic – PLACED at 500/1 (i.e. 75/1 for the place)
So members have had a huge amount to celebrate this year with some fantastic winners and we have been very pleased to have been following the service with our own money. That’s how highly we rate the Golf Insider.
All in all there isn’t much else left to say apart from this is a definite PASSED rating and five stars. Congrats to the Golf Insider on a record-breaking trial!
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: It’s a pretty simple service to follow with around just 8 bets per week on average, nearly all in the outright markets. The tips are sent out by both e-mail and text message and usually a day or two before the tournaments start.
Availability of prices: Most of the time the advised prices were generally available, although it is advisable to get on as soon as you can on the big prices (100/1+) as they tend to get pushed in. Within an hour or two of the tips being sent is usually fine – you certainly don’t want to leave it to the next day though.
Strike rate: As with virtually all golf services, the strike rate was quite low at 11% so patience is required if following the tips. As long as you have a sensible bank though and are prepared to weather some losing runs, the rewards to date have been phenomenal.
Advised Betting Bank: A 500 point bank is advised for following the service if using the advised staking, which we think is about the right level for this service. If using flat staking at 1pt e/w then a 200 point bank is recommend.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are £37 + VAT per month which is reasonable given the results achieved.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Phenomenal. Fantastic. Unbelievable. We have run out of superlatives to describe the results of the Golf Insider, but it’s probably enough to say this was a record-breaking trial for us at Honest Betting Reviews, with the highest points total ever recorded by a tipster during one of our trials, at over 400 points profit made. That’s over £4,000 at advised stakes.
The return on investment was a stunning 47% so it’s obviously no surprise that this receives a PASSED rating and is fully deserving of the rare award of 5 stars from us. It’s a service we have been following with our own money and we’ve had plenty of huge winners to toast this year. Congrats – and a big thank you – to the brilliant Golf Insider for the winners this year.
It was obviously the Masters last week and whilst their headline pick Brooks Koepka returned place money, none of the other picks got in the mix and of course Dustin Johnson rather ran away with things on the final day so it wasn’t quite the excitement we’ve come to expect from a Masters Sunday.
Even though we are in late November there are still some high quality events left this season on the European Tour so hopefully we can pick up some more profit before the end of the year.
The profits are down in the main to a brilliant 250/1 winner in the shape of Martin Laird at the Shriners Open, which was wildly celebrated by members – ourselves included!
That was nearly followed up by another winner last night as Xander Schauffele just missed out at the CJ Cup, finishing second after being tied for the lead with three holes to play.
Still it’s been a great month and a great trial for this service which is almost certainly heading for a passed rating – with bells on!
Even with the dip over the last month they have still managed 20/1 and 12/1 winners in the shape of Dustin Johnson and Xander Schauffele, so at least members have had some returns to soften the blow.
The US Open last week was a tough ask with many fancied players finding it too tough but the regular season is back underway again and there is the Masters to look forward to in November so plenty of golf action to get stuck into.
Most of the profits came from a stunning 150/1 winner in the shape of Marc Warren at the Austrian Open which came in very welcome for members judging by some of the messages received!
Since then it’s been a little up and down but some good place finishes have been landed to keep things ticking along. Jason Day went close to bagging a big win at the PGA on Sunday but was just pipped at the post by the brilliance of Collin Morikawa down the stretch.
Anyway, good to see the continued progress here of what looks like a top class service.
Our trial of the Golf Insider got off to a fantastic start before the covid break, as they landed a 50/1 winner at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in the shape of Tyrrell Hatton.
That was the last tournament before the enforced break so it was rather frustrating to get stopped in our tracks as the service was clearly in very good form. However, that was how things went so there was nothing that could be done about it of course.
Since golf has resumed there have been four events on the PGA Tour, where they’ve landed a few places, most notably a very unlucky second at the Charles Schawb Challenge for Collin Morikawa at 45/1 who just missed out on the win when his 8-foot putt at the last hole slid by.
All in all though it’s been an excellent start to our trial, with a profit of 122 points made so far.
Today we are starting a new trial of a top golf tipster who has an established and impressive long-term record.
The tipster in question is the Golf Insider and they have been tipping since 2014, having made an incredible 1874 points profit since starting up.
That has been achieved with an excellent return on investment of 27%, which is very good going over such a long period.
They have landed some fantastic winners at massive prices, including:-
– Chris Kirk – WON at 125/1
– Rasmus Hojgaard – WON at 200/1
– Andrew Dodt – WON at 150/1
– Corey Conners – WON at 175/1
– Cameron Champ – WON at 150/1
– Hennie Otto – WON at 80/1
– Thomas Pieters – WON at 66/1
– Martin Kaymer – WON at 70/1
So as you can see some massive winners there.
As a special bonus feature, new members now receive exclusive extra betting advice for the four golf Majors (US Masters, PGA Championship, US Open and Open Championship).
These have done well, producing winners like Charley Hoffman at 90/1 in the first round leader market at the Masters and Erik Van Rooyen who was second at 125/1 in the Open at Carnoustie.
All in all then this looks like a top service and it should be an interesting trial. If it can reproduce previous results then it could certainly warrant entering our best golf tipster rankings.
As ever with golf services, the tricky part is having a big enough bank and being able to endure the inevitable losing runs, as when you are betting at odds of 100/1+ the drawdowns can be extensive, as we’ve experienced with some of the other golf services we’re reviewed.
The flip side of course is that when they land a winner at 150/1 or more it is a fantastic feeling and makes it all worthwhile.
So let’s hope we have more of the latter experiences than the former!
Anyway, we will aim to carry out a six month trial here to ensure enough time for a proper look at the service and to hopefully see out the short-term ups and downs.
We will update things here as the trial goes along so you can see how they are doing.
Predictology is a database of resources and statistics for football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
We previously had a look at Predictology last year but they have made considerable improvements to it since then, including adding an AI prediction engine and doubling the number of leagues and markets covered so we thought we’d take another look at it.
There are a whole range of systems and strategies you can use with Predictology, but for the purposes of this review we just used the “System Predictions” from their Daily Digest e-mail to keep things simple and have something any member can follow.
These System Predictions are derived from various systems including lay the draw, laying home/away favourites, backing overs, league-specific strategies and more.
We are pleased to report that these selections performed very well during our three month trial netting 38 points profit at a return on investment of 11%.
That would be £1900 profit at £50 per selection, a very nice bit of extra income.
For some reason we came out with slightly different results to the official ones, which is unusual. We didn’t manage to figure out exactly why in the end. It may have been down to different settings and leagues used, but either way it didn’t make much difference as we ended up with 90% or more of the same selections and similar results to the official Predictology ones.
There were quite a large number of selections with over 350 during our trial, which is a good sample size.
The advised staking is a little unusual, with one point risked on the back/lay selections apart from the lay the draw selections which are just one point lay bets, so the risk can be quite a bit higher (depending on the odds).
Anyway, it all worked out well in the end with an impressive profit made so we are happy to award Predictology a PASSED rating after our three month trial.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: There are quite a few bets with this service, particularly at weekends when there can be ten or more per day. You can use Betfair or the bookies to place the bets and of course you can develop your own systems using the software so there is great flexibility in how you can use the service.
Availability of prices: Most of the time the prices held up well and we didn’t experience any problems in matching the advised odds on the whole.
Strike rate: The strike rate during the trial was 52%. It’s always to good to see a higher than 50% strike rate meaning a nice steady stream of winners.
Advised Betting Bank: We used a 100 point bank for this trial, which we think should be more than comfortable given the strike and staking used.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are reasonable at $1 for the first 7 days then $37 per month or $277 per year.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Predictology is a database of football statistics allowing you to build your own football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team. Following their “System Predictions” made an impressive 38 points profit during our trial.
That equates to over £1900 profit to £50 stakes so we are pleased to award Predictology a PASSED rating and it’s a platform we will be utilizing more going forward to aid our football betting.
Just a reminder that these results are from following the System Predictions in their Daily Digest e-mail.
We noted last time that our results differ from their official ones, with the official results having made 35 points compared to the 26 points we have proofed. We are not sure why this is the case – we think part of the reason is that we are following slightly different leagues (e.g. Japan J League), but even for the leagues we are both following we are getting slightly different matches and selections. Hopefully we can figure out why this is happening soon.
Anyway, either way the results have been positive which is the main thing.
It’s been a bit of a quiet start to our trial of football systems-builder Predictology, with a small loss of 2 points made so far from following their System Predictions in the Daily Digest e-mail.
Please note this is from risking 1 point liability on the lay selections, so the most you can lose is one point whatever the odds are.
Our results are also a little different to the official Predictology ones, we are not sure why but they are investigating at the moment. We have recorded the results as per the e-mails we received which seems the fairest way of doing things.
Anyway, a bit of a quiet start here as we say but hopefully things will pick up when the main leagues get underway shortly.
We ran a review of football systems-builder package Predictology last season and recorded the results for the three free systems that came with it on launch. Those just about broke even, with a loss of two points made during our trial.
Predictology is basically a database of resources and statistics that will show you how to supercharge your football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
Our aim was to come back to Predictology this season and take another look at it, but we had limited time and then of course covid hit which rather put paid to our plans.
However, it has gone through some major enhancements during the break in the football and it is apparently getting a great reception from the membership. To name a few of the improvements:-
– New multi-layered server
– AI Prediction engine which assesses and highlights value in pretty much any match taking place globally
– More than doubled the number of leagues and competitions covered
– Again more than doubled the markets and variables that systems can be built around
– 5 profitable strategies included in all memberships
– Daily Digest email to members’ inbox every morning which includes:
– All of the predictions summarised in one place
– Key betting insights and trends for the day’s football
It’s been the last part that is really grabbing attention and since it was rolled out to members (late May) it is sitting at 42 points profit.
This is also what we will be concentrating on in our review as the results look very promising and it should make it more manageable in terms of workload.
Just to note as well that they are currently offering a $1 trial for 7 days for new members which is pretty decent and gives you a chance to check out the service first for a couple of weeks.
Anyway, we will kick off the re-review today and report back soon on how things are going.
Just a reminder that these results are for the three free systems that came with the initial relaunch of Predictology, although there are a number of other systems you can use or you can even build your own systems using the database.
Ideally we would have liked to wrap up our review at this point with the footy season having finished, but we don’t have quite enough bets to give a fair verdict on the system so will put the review into abeyance until the new season and pick things up again then.
Just a reminder that these results are for the three free systems that came with the initial relaunch of Predictology, although there are a number of other systems you can use or you can even build your own systems using the stats package.
Hopefully we will have more news to report by the time of our next update.
We have had to reset this review due to a bug in their system which was sending different selections out by e-mail to those generated by the system within the Predictology site.
So where as previously we were using the e-mail selections to proof results, it turns out those selections were not the correct ones, so now we have gone back to using the system to generate the selections.
On that basis, the three free systems provided at the launch of Predictologyare currently 1 point down.
The discrepancy hasn’t actually made much of a difference to the results and it was mainly System 3 – Winless which was affected.
For the purposes of the review we are just concentrating on the English Premier League, although you can use the systems on other leagues as well (specified for each system).
Anyway, let’s hope the problems are sorted now and we can settle down and get on with the review.
Predictology is a database of resources and statistics that allows you to build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
We have been following the free systems that were available with the re-launch of Predictology that happened about a month ago.
So far it has been a quiet start for these systems, with only 12 bets given out and a small loss of 2 points incurred so far.
Predictology is a long-running football systems builder package that has recently had a revamp and is now being relaunched. It comes from the same team behind the successfulFootball Advisorservice we have reviewed elsewhere on the site.
Predictology includes a database of resources and statistics that will show you how to supercharge your football betting, allowing you to quickly and easily build your own profitable football betting systems or use those developed by the Predictology team.
To celebrate the launch they are giving away three top systems completely FREE which have made a combined profit of over 300 points!
One of the systems even has an ROI of over 38%, which is pretty incredible stuff in the world of football betting.
In terms of the revamped Predictology package, here is what it now includes:
– The first and most comprehensive football betting strategy builder and analyser.
– 10 in-built and profitable strategies provided to all members
– 22 Leagues, 200,000+ matches and more than a 100 variables
– Custom built server allowing for strategies to be assessed in seconds
– Automated bet alerts to members inboxes
– Three custom rating models
– A value rating tool which produces profitable ‘value’ bets each week
– Custom built stats hub for easily assessing and finding profitable betting angles globally
– Launching soon – AI bet generator
– Launching soon – 47 more leagues and 100 more variables and betting markets
– Launching soon – iOS and Android App
So that all looks very impressive and given that the original Predictology system was held in high regard we are looking forward to testing this new one out with all the upgraded features.
After having taken a look at it we will report back with our views on it in a full review.
Trade On Sports (or TOS for short) is a trading platform and community that uses stats to generate both pre-match and in-play bets.
They cover a number of sports including football, tennis, cricket and US sports, but for the purposes of this review we concentrated on their football trading, whilst also monitoring their US sports bets.
Football Strategies
We ended up running a two-year review, which is one of the longest we have ever run here at Honest Betting Reviews. That gave us a chance to proof a huge number of bets (over 1500 in fact) and to monitor a number of their systems and strategies, which evolved quite a bit over the time we followed the service.
The bedrock of Trade On Sports is their stats database – known as the “Gamestate App.” This looks at inplay odds on Betfair based on goal times and current State (time/score) of the match, looking for value opportunities. In essence the app establishes what the chances of there being more goals in a game are based on past data. It then calculates what the odds should be and if there is value to be had.
Strategies are generated from this, either as alerts in their Telegram groups or for members to find themselves using the App.
The beauty of this is that you can place all your bets/trades on Betfair, so no bookies are needed. This is great news for those who have suffered bookie restrictions.
The main strategy we followed was the HT Overs Bot, which is one of the Telegram alerts and is a strategy looking for games likely to have goals in the second half. For this strategy you bet at HT that there will be one more goal (e.g. it is 1-0 then you back over 1.5 goals) at odds of 1.6, which are normally hit around the 70th minute.
The HT Overs Bot performed very well during our trial, notching up £5,120 profit to £100 stakes – or 51.2 points profit. Ironically though it actually suffered badly after the covid break and TOS no longer recommend following it, until crowds return at least.
In the meantime they have developed a number of new strategies, one of which is taking the opposite approach and backing unders at half-time. This is for two goals ahead, so for example if it is 1-1 at HT you back under 3.5 goals. That made 23 points profit during the six months we followed it, which is good stuff.
The Trade On Sports team have also introduced some new football strategies more recently which we will continue to proof, but so far look promising. The “two goals ahead” strategy in particular looks encouraging with over 45 points profit made so far from around 230 bets at a return on investment (ROI) of 20%.
All in all then if you combine these strategies then the profits really start to add up and we have to say this is one of the best in-play trading services we have come across. As mentioned earlier, members can also generate their own strategies and selections from the Gamestate App. So there is really a huge amount of value there waiting to be tapped into, it just depends how much time you have available to make use of it.
In addition there is now the option to automate the strategies via BF Bot Manager (which is an extra subscription cost on top, plus you will need a VPS unless you want your PC running all day and night) so if you’re really pressed for time you can just set those up and let them run in the background. It’s pretty impressive how far TOS has come since we started this review!
All of the Game State App strategies are available with TOS’s Silver Football membership, whilst the Gold also includes their pre-match trading app which we didn’t fully proof results of but looked pretty useful.
Ratings & Bets Membership
The other aspect of the service we took a look at was their ratings and bets in football and other sports, notably American sports.
These are just straight-up normal bets to be placed before the event rather than in-play bets/trades. They performed very well too, generating the following returns:-
So we think well worth adding those bets to your subscription, either separately or as part of the Platinum membership option.
Tennis Membership
Unfortunately we didn’t get to take a thorough look at the tennis membership or proof the bets/trades, but looking at the official results since they started shows a profit of around 85 points.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: After you sign up you are able to log in to the TOS members section where you get access to the Gamestate Application and links to the Telegram channels where the alerts are posted. If you turn notifications on you will then get an alert to your phone or desktop when there is an in-play bet to place.
The pre-match bets are sent by e-mail and Telegram as well like normal tips.
Availability of prices: The only football strategy where we noticed any difficulty in getting the advised prices was the unders, which is understandable as on smaller leagues there isn’t great liquidity and lots of people wanting to get on unders will push its price down. So on those alerts we tended to get a tick or two lower on average than the advised price. As the other alerts are for backing overs, the price is moving out with time decay anyway so there was less of an issue.
With the HT Overs Bot you can set it to match at 1.6 or a price-point around that. We found that drip backing overs at 1.6, 1.75, 2.0, 3.0 and 4.5 worked very well as there are lots of games with late goals.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the HT Overs Bot was 67% which is pretty good as the implied chances of 1.6 are 62.5%, meaning they had an edge over the market.
Advised Betting Bank: We used a 40 point bank for the HT Overs Bot but a 50 point bank could be used if you wanted to be on the safe side. Either way though the banks would never have been in danger at any stage of our trial.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs vary depending on which package you wish to go for. The Football Silver package, which includes the in-play football strategies, costs £25 per month where as the Football Gold Package which includes pre-match modules costs £39.95 per month. The ratings and bets are £14.99 per month whilst the complete package containing everything (Platinum) is £44.95 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Trade On Sports is an innovative betting and trading service covering a range of sports. For the purpose of this review we concentrated on their football strategies, but also monitored their bets for US Sports.
The main football HT Overs Bot made over £5,000 profit to £100 stakes which is impressive, although it is currently on hold for the moment pending the return of fans to football matches. They have a number of other promising strategies though including their Unders Bot which made 23 points profit for our trial.
The US Sports bets have also performed very well, generating in excess of 100 points profit in total.
We therefore have no hesitation in awarding Trade On Sports a PASSED rating. It is one of the best – and very few – services we have found that has demonstrated an ability to make a profit from in-play markets on Betfair and for that alone it is definitely worth adding to your portfolio.
Fortunately the HT Unders Bot (results available in the second tab of our spreadsheet) has been picking up the slack, adding 15 points profit since our last update and sitting 22 points up for our trial overall. So that would be £2,200 profit at £100 stakes.
It is worth noting with the Unders Bot however that it is normally tough to match the advised odds, even if clicking through to the market immediately after the alert is sent and usually you have to take 2-3 ticks lower than the quoted odds. Even taking that into account though it only makes a couple of points difference to the overall results so you would still be well ahead.
We mentioned last time getting the automation set up but unfortunately that has proved a little trickier than expected. Hopefully we will get this set up in time for our next update.
The HT Unders Bot has also struggled a little with 2 points lost since our last update but it is still 7 points up for our trial overall (results are in the second tab of the spreadsheet above).
The good news is that automation for TOS strategies is now available, so we are just in the process of setting that up. It involves an additional subscription to BF Bot Manager (although there is a free trial if you haven’t used it before) and you will need a VPS if you want it to operate 24/7 without having to leave your computer on all the time.
Anyway, we will report back more on how the automation works and how it is going in our next update.
A bit of a step backwards for the HT Unders Bot however which has lost 3 points since our last update but sits 9 points up for our trial overall (results are in the second tab of the spreadsheet above).
We are eagerly awaiting the automation option which should be available soon we understand.
We are also monitoring the new Lay Overs Bot, which involves laying the overs for two goals ahead at HT – e.g. if the score is 1-0 at HT, you lay over 2.5 goals (effectively you are backing the unders).
So far this system is 12 points up since starting up in late May. You can see the results in the second tab of our spreadsheet. The alerts are only for the 1-0 and 1-1 scorelines and ignore early goals.
It is often a challenge to get the advised prices for these alerts though as the odds normally move a few ticks instantly, so we will endeavour to record the prices we actually get rather than the advised prices to give a fair indication of achievable results.
Either way though this new Lay Overs Bot is looking promising and would be great to have another tool in the TOS amoury.
There have been no selections since 11th March with football having stopped obviously. There are reports of some European leagues planning restarts in May/June, which would be great if true but we will wait and see. The Premier League clubs would apparently lose £750m in revenue by not finishing the season so will obviously be doing everything they can to complete the season, presuming they can do so safely of course.
What joy and excitement there will be when football finally does return though, whenever that ends up being!
(Please note signing up to the Silver football membership will give you access to the HT Overs Bot, plus other features).
There are some very exciting developments going on aswell, with the Trade on Sports team looking at automating the Bot selections – and the tennis bets – via BF Bot Manager.
If that works it would be a great addition to the service in terms of both saving time and making sure you don’t miss any alerts, as they can come in at all times of day and night. They are aiming to have a live version available in early March so watch this space.
We mentioned last time about the pre-match trading alerts and those are now coming through. Basically they alert you to where the odds of a team may drift or come in a few ticks before kick-off. We haven’t been able to track these alerts unfortunately as a large number come in, again at all different times.
However, it is worth bearing in mind if you are going to follow them that you need a pretty big bank as trading £100 for each game for example would only give you a few quid profit per trade, so to make it worthwhile (or comparable to profits from the HT Overs Bot at least), you would probably need to stake around £1,000+ per game. And if there are a few alerts coming in at around the same time, then clearly you need a decent amount available in your Betfair account to cover them all.
If you are going to follow the pre-match trades, whatever you do make sure you don’t allow your bet to go in-play! The last thing you would want is to risk losing the whole stake for the sake of £10-£20 profit.
Anyway, good to see lots of new developments happening with Trade On Sports and things are looking very positive for the future.
As you may have seen, Trade On Sports scooped the award for Best (Other) Sports Service 2019 in our recent Members’ Choice Awards and the HT Overs Bot has been the bedrock of their success.
However, there are quite a few other elements to Trade On Sports’ service, including a pre-match trading tool which is about to start sending alerts for matches to trade (like the HT Bot), other football trading alerts, tennis trades and tips for US Sports. We haven’t been able to track the results for all of these as have been concentrating on the HT Overs Bot but we are sure these elements all offer value as well.
As we say the pre-match trading alerts are due to be introduced shortly so hopefully we will be able to include news on those in our next update.
The last couple of months have been very instructive as to the value of adopting a long-term mindset in betting. In October there was a drawdown of £760 at one point which was tough to take, particularly if you had just joined the service. There was a drop-off in memberships at that point as some people obviously could not handle the losing streak and gave up.
However, those who stuck around were richly rewarded as things got back to winning ways in November, with those losses more than recouped and more profits made so far in December.
The service has proved itself conclusively with over a year’s proofed results in our review comprising over 850 trades. Inevitably there will be occasional losing streaks as with any system but if you can adopt a long-term mindset and learn to handle the drawdowns the rewards have been tremendous.
One thing to ask yourself if you are getting really anxious and upset during a drawdown is whether you are staking too much money on each selection. A run of 5-10 losers in the course of a couple of weeks is possible – indeed likely – in just about any system and if you staking sensibly it should not bother you at all.
For our part we would recommend a 30-50 point bank if following the service, so for example if you have a £1,000 starting bank that would mean risking £33.33 per trade if operating on a 30-point basis.
As we say, with sensible staking like this a few losers now and then should be water off a duck’s back and not bother you at all.
Another possible approach would be to stake a fixed percentage of your bank on each selection, e.g. 2-3%. We haven’t crunched the numbers on this but expect you would now be sitting on an extremely tidy profit, well above the amount for level staking we have used for our review.
Anyway, just a few thoughts from us on how to approach things but the main point is that results have been excellent for this service and the odd drawdown now and then is to be expected and successful traders/gamblers don’t let it affect them.
As we say, it’s rare for the Bot to have a losing month so it’s come as a bit of a shock for members, but a reminder that having a large enough starting bank to withstand the losing runs and some patience is important when following any system.
They recommend a £5,000 bank if you are betting at £100 stakes so in that context if you joined at the start of October although you would be over £400 down that would still represent less than 10% of the bank which is a small amount in the grand scheme of things.
Anyway, let’s hope October was just a blip and they’ll be back to winning ways in November.
Yet another good month for Trade on Sports’ HT Overs Bot, with an additional 6 points profit (or £640 profit to £100 stakes) made since our last update.
That means they are now 55 points up for our trial overall (or £5,520 up using £100 flat stakes).
We have now been following the HT Overs Bot for a full year and the results have been excellent. We often say the holy grail of betting is consistency and the Bot has demonstrated remarkable consistency over the past year, steadily churning out the profits month after month. You can’t ask for much more really, with over five grand profit made from £100 stakes. It is one of the best footy betting/trading tools we have come across in some time.
Last time we mentioned the pre-match trading tool. We have followed a few of the live webinars with Pete which have been interesting, although there are a very low number of trades indicated from them – often just one or two, which isn’t really enough action in itself. Those with the time to use the tool themselves could find more trades of course, but it would be good if this could be turned into an alert service as well given that it works so well for the HT Overs Bot.
We will see what other things the team at Trade on Sports develop in the coming months, as it’s really a treasure trove of information and we feel the more of it they can automate for members the better.
Although the overall results were very good, it was actually a very up and down month with a run of seven consecutive losers early on in the month – the most the bot has had since starting up – followed by 12 straight winners. There was then another bad run over the weekend which just dragged the results down a bit unfortunately.
Overall though you have to say the results have been excellent with nearly £5,000 profit made since we started following the bot.
Some people have asked about the Quick Response bot but our analysis suggests it is not profitable to lay the draw with. It might be profitable to use it in the same way as the HT Overs Bot (i.e. backing another goal at 1.6), but there isn’t enough data on that to draw any conclusions yet.
We are also starting to investigating their pre-match trading tool which looks quite interesting so will report more on that in our next update.
These results are based on odds of 1.6 at 65 minutes, although the average seems to have been trending a little lower than that lately, but either way the results have been very good and solidly consistent throughout our trial.
With a high strike rate of 72%, this is proving to be a top system for betting on football in-play and long may it continue.
As mentioned last time, the odds of overs in a number of the games selected by the bot is quite low these days, often around 1.16 at HT, meaning by 65 mins (when entering the bet) the odds are often lower than 1.6.
So whilst we have been using average odds of 1.6 to record results, the actual average may be closer to 1.55, which would mean the total profit for the bot during our trial would be around 25 points. Either way though that is still a very nice amount of profit with such a high strike rate (around 70%) so you can’t complain.
Of the other bots they are testing, the HT 2 Ahead looks the most promising from what we can tell, with around 26 points profit made so far if backing two more goals at 61 minutes.
Trade On Sports have some live webinars planned soon to demonstrate some of their live trading and explain how some of the tools on their platform work, so those should be interesting.
We will report back on how they go, together with how the bots are doing, in our next update.
*We say “estimated” because essentially we are using a best guess of what the average odds of over 1.5 goals at 65 minutes are in the selected matches.
As alerts come in at all times of day and night it has not been possible to track the odds live, so we have had to do our best to estimate what that average odds would be.
Up until now we have assumed 1.6, but after tracking more of the odds live lately we believe the average may be closer to 1.55.
There are a number of Dutch matches and selections from high-scoring leagues where the odds are quite a bit below 1.6 at 65 minutes.
So if you took the average odds at 65 minutes to be 1.55 then the overall results would be 24 points up rather than 33.
That is still very good going whichever way you look at it though and with the high strike rate of around 70% this has been a very consistent and impressive performer.
Some people take a different approach and just request odds of 1.6 and then leave the bet to either be matched or not, which would mean some of the results recorded as winners on our spreadsheet would not have been matched – and conversely some recorded as voided would have been winners. Overall it would probably even itself out so we doubt the results would be very different doing it that way.
Anyway, they have also been testing some additional bots which have recorded some very promising results so we expect them to go live shortly.
Their bots operate in the Summer leagues as well so there are still alerts coming through, although of course not as many as during the main season as there are fewer fixtures.
The results on our spreadsheet are for backing the bot’s selections at 65 mins at average odds of 1.6, although there are other ways you could trade the selections (e.g. dripping them at 45, 60 and 75 mins). Some members have studied the different ways of following the bot and it appears the option we have recorded of backing at 65 mins is the most profitable.
There are also some other bots in beta mode which are showing a lot of promise, one which is over 50 points up and another two which are more than 20 points up each, so these are looking very good indeed.
Just to clarify that with the “bots” they have developed you still have to place the bets yourself, it is just that the bots are scanning the markets to find the opportunities.
Perhaps at some stage in the future they will have an auto-trade option, but for the time being you get the live alerts via the Telegram messenger app, which is straightforward to set up and follow, and then place the bets yourself.
All in all then we are really liking the look of Trade On Sports so far and think this is a very promising service.
*Correction – please note this previously stated the total profit was 25 points but there were a couple of errors in our spreadsheet that have now been corrected.
We have been taking a look at Trade On Sports for a while now and there is a lot to take in about the service.
They have a whole variety of features you can use, including:
– Stats Databases
– Chat Rooms
– Bets in a variety of sports including tennis, NHL, NBA and more
– Live in-play alerts for football
– Prematch to inplay stats
– And more besides
It can be a little overwhelming at first and difficult to know where to start.
However, the main feature at the moment in our opinion is their live “GameState Bot” which gives alerts at HT in football matches where it expects at least one more goal.
This has been operating since the start of October and has made substantial profit since starting up.
There are different ways you can follow the alerts, but it seems the most profitable is to put in a bet at the next goal up (so if it is 1-0 at HT, to back over 1.5 goals) at odds of 1.6, which on average gets matched at around the 65th minute if there are no goals up to that point.
Following this method has produced over 22 points profit (or £2200 to £100 flat stakes), which is pretty good going.
They have a number of other bots in live beta testing which are showing promise. One in particular involves betting that there will be at least one first half goal and has already amassed over 50 points profit.
There are also tennis bets sent out each day for players to lay and back and these are around 15 points up for the year so far.
Overall then we have been quite impressed with Trade On Sportsso far. The TOS Gamestate Bot has delivered very good profits so far and there is lots of potential in their other strategies under development.
It still feels a little like a work in progress rather than the finished article, but the service certainly seems to be going in the right direction.
Recently we have been spending more time looking at trading services rather than just tipsters and betting systems.
That’s because increasingly we are seeing that trading offers some advantages over traditional forms of betting.
Firstly, trading normally involves using the exchanges rather than the bookies, thus offering an attractive option for those who have had their bookie accounts restricted.
Secondly, with pre-event betting it can be difficult to find an edge with markets being so efficient these days. But once you go in-running, events can unfold in fast and unpredictable ways, offering the potential for the shrewd trader to find value by reacting quickly to how things are changing.
Thirdly – and in a related way – prices can fluctuate wildly in-running, meaning there is the potential to capitalise on these swings and make a decent profit from well-executed trades.
So with those advantages in mind we are looking at a relatively new but promising trading service called Trade On Sports.
The site is co-run by the respected Pete Nordsted, who some of you may know from his previous ventures including Premier Betting and numerous books on gambling he has published.
Together with some professional traders Pete has put together a range of resources for sports trading.
At the moment Trade on Sports covers 3 services:
• Trade on Tennis • Trade on Football • Ratings & Bets
You can join each service separately or you can join the Platinum service and receive everything. As a member you get access to a wealth of data and statistics via their apps, chat groups on Telegram and alerts for in-play trades on the relevant sports covered.
We have been following the service in a personal capacity for a while so decided it was about time we got a formal review going to record some of our findings and results.
Apparently they have some new software in the works for tennis trading so hopefully that will be available soon.
In the meantime though there is lots for us to get our teeth stuck into for the purposes of the review.
We will report back here soon with our initial findings on the trading services on offer and results achieved.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Trade-on-Sports-pic-1.png346900Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2020-11-20 11:02:102020-11-20 18:18:59Trade On Sports – Final Review
Back Lucrative is a long-running horse racing service operated by a professional gambler called Michael Carr. We originally took a look at the service way back in 2015 and have kept an eye on it ever since. It had been closed to new members for quite a while but recently reopened, giving us a chance to run a new review.
Michael who runs the service is a well-known figure in the racing world having produced a number of informative guides and videos on gambling and how he has achieved his own success in the field.
Back Lucrative is a very successful service, having been running since 2013 and amassing over 1500 points profit in that time, including making a profit every year.
With such a strong reputation, you are always a bit worried the review will be a jinx and things will all go pear-shaped.
Well fortunately this time we weren’t a jinx on the service and it performed very well, netting 105 points profit at advised prices across its two strategies.
However, the two strategies – the Value Bets and Banker Bets – performed so differently during our review that we thought it would be useful in this instance to give the results separately.
So looking at them individually, the Value Bets made an excellent 180 points profit whilst the Banker Bets sadly lost 75 points (both at advised prices).
So really it was chalk and cheese between the two strategies.
Looking at the Value Bets first, these are one-point each-way bets looking for value (obviously!) in the market, usually at high odds. They still managed a good strike rate of 31% (including placed horses) even though they are focused on higher-odds selections. And of course with 180 points profit they performed superbly, almost doubling the recommended 200 point betting bank.
The return on investment was also good at 15%, so all in all we were highly impressed with Back Lucrative’s Value Bets.
The only negative we could see is that the Betfair SP results were a long way behind the advised prices and actually made a loss of 2 points in the end.
Such a big difference between the advised prices and BSP results is not something we see very often and may be down in part to the popularity of Back Lucrative, which as you can imagine with over 1500 points profit made in 7 years has a large and loyal following.
The bottom line is that if you want to follow the service you will need access to bookie accounts because you will struggle to make a profit using Betfair.
Turning to the Banker Bets, there isn’t too much that needs to be said really but a loss of 75 points is obviously disappointing and we’re not sure why there was such a discrepancy between the two strategies. The vast majority of the Banker bets are at odds of between 3.0 and 6.0, so perhaps Michael just struggles to find value at this lower odds band.
Either way we wouldn’t be surprised at all if members were betting solely on the Value Bets and if so we certainly wouldn’t blame them.
So how to sum up? Well overall we are definitely happy to award the service a PASSED rating. Even if you followed both strategies you still would have finished with over 100 points profits which is very good going. And if you had followed just the Value Bets then 180 points profit would have been made at advised prices.
So whichever way the tips are followed the results produced strong returns and given the long history of over seven years of profit this has to rank as one of the best horse racing services out there. We would recommend grabbing a place whilst the doors are still open.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The tips are accessed by logging into the Back Lucrative website and the selections are normally available by 10am UK time. With an average of just 3 bets per day per strategy it’s relatively straightforward to follow the service.
Availability of prices: Prices get hit quite considerably, which is not surprising given the popularity of the service but means you will need access to a good number of bookie accounts and to act quickly once tips are posted. As mentioned above, the Betfair SP results actually finished in deficit which helps to demonstrate the value being found early.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 31% (including placed horses) for the Value Bets and 21% for the Banker Bets, which is solid and certainly for the Value Bets is impressive given that it tends to go for horses at longer odds.
Advised Betting Bank: A 200 point bank is recommended for following each strategy, which seems more than sufficient to us.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are £1 for the first 7 days then £37 per month or £297 per year. This covers both the Value Bets and Banker Bets, which are not available as separate subscriptions currently.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
This was very much a “Tale of Two Strategies” for Back Lucrative, which is a horse racing service that has two separate betting strategies it employs. One of the strategies, the Value Bets, really hosed up by making 180 points profit whilst the other strategy, the Banker Bets, rather fell at the first, losing 75 points.
Overall though that’s still 105 points profit and given the consistency of the service over the years, which we first started following way back in 2015, it’s a definite PASSED rating from us.
Given the overall profits made over the years and during our trial, we consider this one of the premier horse racing services out there and deserving of its high reputation. Grab a place whilst you still can.
It’s been another good month for horse racing service Back Lucrative, with 44 points profit made at advised prices since our last update.
That means they are now 117 points up for our trial overall at advised prices.
It remains something of a mixed picture however, with their Value Bets 133 points up, while their Banker Bets are 16 points down. It has been a much better month for the Banker Bets however with a profit of 39 points made.
At Betfair SP the Value Bets are 22 points up whilst the Banker Bets are 18 points down, giving a total for our trial of +4 points. So it looks like this is a service where you need bookie accounts really to make it worthwhile.
Anyway, we’ll be looking to wrap up this review shortly and unless something dramatic happens it is heading for a clear passed rating.
At Betfair SP the Value Bets are 23 points up whilst the Banker Bets are 65 points down, giving a total for our trial of -42 points.
So at the moment it looks like this is a service you need bookmaker accounts for to get the most out of it. If you have bookie accounts then the results for the Value Bets have been strong and are living up to the pre-trial billing.
Horse racing service Back Lucrative has bounced back nicely following the covid break, making a profit of 105 points at advised prices since our last update back in April.
That means they are now 65 points up for our trial overall at advised prices.
It has been a mixed picture however, with their Value Bets actually being 129 points up, while their Banker Bets are 64 points down.
It’s been a tough start to our re-review of horse racing tipster Back Lucrative, with a loss of 40 points made at advised prices since our trial recommenced at the end of January.
It has been a mixed picture however, with their Value Bets actually being 18 points up, while their Banker Bets are 58 points down.
At Betfair SP the story is a little worse, with 62 points lost for our re-review so far (with the Value Bets 1 point up and the Banker Bets 63 points down).
Obviously with racing suspended there are no selections for the time being. The latest from UK racing is that the early season classics – 1,000 Guineas, 2,000 Guineas and Derby – have been postponed until further notice. There are still plans for Royal Ascot to go ahead, with the Queen’s course making plans to hold races behind closed doors but they are dependent on the government allowing it to go ahead, so at the moment it’s up in the air as to whether that happens.
Anyway, whenever racing does get going again let’s hope things pick up for Back Lucrative.
Today we are going to take another look at a service we originally reviewed way back in 2015 and that is horse racing tipster Back Lucrative.
In our original three month review it made a solid 27 points profit, resulting in a neutral rating.
However, since 2015 it has gone on and produced some excellent results and demonstrated a superb level of consistency, adding another 1,000 points profit at a long-term ROI of over 12%.
We often say here that longevity is the ultimate measure of a tipster’s quality and Back Lucrative have certainly demonstrated longevity in spades, having been running since 2013 and amassing over 1,600 points profit in total over that seven-year period.
The yearly totals since our original review have been as follows:-
2015: +376 points profit
2016: +402 points profit
2017: +57 points profit
2018: +120 points profit
2019: +247 points profit
So as you can see pretty awesome stuff, as also demonstrated in the graph below of compounding stakes (but only compounding up to a £50 maximum):
So the bank would be up to over £60,000 now since 2013 with a maximum risk of £50 stakes.
Now with such impressive long-term results, the service has proved very, very popular as you can probably imagine and they therefore often close the service to new members for long periods.
It has been closed to new members for some time now, but they are opening it up again for a brief window so we thought it would be a good time for us to have another look at the service given its stellar long-term record.
So we will be launching a formal re-review today and will update results here during our trial. Hopefully we will see the same kind of steady, consistent growth they have generated over the last seven years.
So we come to the end of our review of Back Lucrative, a horse racing tipster that promises to make you “up to £1179.50 every month.”
So did it deliver us £1179.50 every month?
Sadly not quite. It made 27 points profit at advised prices over three months and 9 points profit at Betfair SP (BSP), which isn’t bad going but at £10 per point equates to £90 per month.
The trial actually started off very promisingly with over 50 points profit in March, which made us think we might be on to something special here.
But sadly April only managed to break even and May saw a loss of 20 points.
So no disasters overall and any profit a service manages to make should be welcomed.
However, following the service does require quite a bit of work. There are a large number of tips and to back them all at advised prices takes quite a bit of time. You also have to log in to the site rather than having the tips e-mailed to you, which adds to the time required.
So overall perhaps this one is worth a try – after all it did make a profit – but having made only a 13% growth in the bank over three months means it doesn’t quite merit a place on our recommended list.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: Quite time-consuming. First you have to log in to the site rather than having the tips e-mailed to you and then there are 5 tips per day on average, so backing them all at advised prices takes a while each day.
Availability of prices: Fairly good – there was an 18 point difference between advised prices and Betfair SP, so not a massive difference over the course of 480 bets and generally you should be able to get the advised prices or close to them.
Strike rate: The strike rate for the trial was 14% so there will be some long losing runs when using this service.
Advised Betting Bank: A 200 point betting bank is advised, which seems sensible and should be more than adequate to cover the drawdowns. According to historic results, they have only had four losing months in just under two years, with the worst month being around a 20 point loss.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs are fairly reasonable, at £7 for a 30 day trial, followed by £24.75 per month if you take the yearly subscription or £32 per month for the quarterly option.
OVERALL VERDICT: NEUTRAL
Overall this one warrants a neutral rating. It made a profit which is good, but with only a 13% bank growth and 5.6% ROI over the course of 3 months and with the time involved in following the service, we feel it does not quite merit a place in our portfolio at the moment.
That is not to say it is not worth trying, but for us to recommend a system it has to be of the very highest quality and deliver good profits consistently that could provide a valuable second income.
This service didn’t quite manage that during our trial. However, if it could reproduce previous results then the rating could be upgraded, so we will keep an eye on this and update things accordingly.
