It’s been a tough time for tennis laying service Trade On Sports Tennis lately, with a loss of 10 points made to advised prices since our last update, based on laying each selection to win one point.
That means they are now 4 points down for our trial overall.
Taking an alternative staking approach of laying to a one point liability, they have lost 11 points since our last update and are 2 points up for our trial to date.
Just a reminder these are lay bets in the match odds market, which are sent out via Telegram.
Please note these results go back to last August when we started proofing and cover the WTA only as historically those have performed a lot better than the ATP results.
Also please note the red lays are available under the Silver Tennis subscription of TOS.
There’s been a small drop for tennis laying service Trade On Sports Tennis lately, with a loss of 3 points made to advised prices since our last update, based on laying each selection to win one point.
That means they are now 6 points up for our trial overall.
Taking an alternative staking approach of laying to a one point liability, they have lost 1 point since our last update and are 13 points up for our trial to date.
Just a reminder these are lay bets in the match odds market, which are sent out via Telegram.
Please note these results go back to last August when we started proofing and cover the WTA only as historically those have performed a lot better than the ATP results.
Also please note the red lays are available under the Silver Tennis subscription of TOS.
There’s been a slight step backwards for tennis laying service Trade On Sports Tennis lately, with a loss of 5 points made to advised prices since our last update, based on laying each selection to win one point.
That means they are now 9 points up for our trial overall.
Taking an alternative staking approach of laying to a one point liability, they have lost 13 points since our last update and are 14 points up for our trial to date.
Just a reminder these are lay bets in the match odds market, which are sent out via Telegram.
Please note these results go back to last August when we started proofing and cover the WTA only as historically those have performed a lot better than the ATP results.
Also please note the red lays are available under the Silver Tennis subscription of TOS.
It’s been a good start to our trial of Trade On Sports Tennis, with a profit of 14 points made to advised prices so far, based on laying each selection to win one point.
Taking an alternative staking approach of laying to a one point liability, they are 27 points up so far.
Just a reminder these are lay bets in the match odds market, which are sent out via Telegram.
Please note these results go back to last August when we started proofing and cover the WTA only as historically those have performed a lot better than the ATP results.
Also please note the red lays are available under the Silver Tennis subscription of TOS.
We are starting a new review today of a tennis betting service called Trade On Sports Tennis (or Trade On Tennis if you prefer the slightly shorter version).
Regular followers will know we have tested out quite a few of Trade On Sports (TOS) strategies over the years, including a number in our main review back in 2020.
Whilst we have mainly focused on their football strategies, some of their most impressive results have actually come in tennis.
There is a huge amount of data available as part of their tennis service, including the Trade on Sports model price and the players projected hold & break numbers. These are match-up specific, so change daily depending on who the opponent is. All of this data can be used to trade and bet on tennis.
However, the most impressive part of their tennis betting service for us – and what we will focus on in this review – are their “red lays.”
These are their selections for players to lay based on a rating system they have developed.
These ratings are based on factors such as:
Expected hold
Service break opponent
Break back chance
First to lead
First broken
They cover both the ATP and WTA tours, although looking at past results the WTA results have been much better so those may be the ones to focus on.
The selections are sent out via Telegram and you simply lay the player named. Couldn’t be much simpler than that!
The WTA results for 2024 showed a profit of 28 points if laying to win 1 point, or 46 points if laying to lose a fixed liability of 1 point.
Going back further, the results show a profit of 118 points from 2016 to 2023, or 236 points if laying to lose a fixed liability of 1 point over the same period.
These are very impressive and consistent results over a long period of time, a true mark of quality. Particularly so when you consider they are in highly liquid main match odds market of ATP and WTA matches, and bets can be placed on Betfair.
To be honest we haven’t seen many tennis services with better long-term results so without wanting to jinx things, this is a review we have been meaning to do for a while and are pleased to finally be carrying out.
As long-term members of TOS we have proofed these tennis bets going back to last summer, so we will include those results in our trial.
We will also have a look at odds availability, as always.
So we will get the review underway today and will report back here soon on how things are going.
Have you ever watched a tennis match and thought, “That player is definitely undervalued by the bookmakers!”
If so, you’re already thinking like a value bettor! Tennis value betting is one of the most lucrative opportunities in sports betting, with the global tennis betting market now exceeding $2 billion annually.
In this guide, we’ll walk you through the art and science of finding genuine value in tennis betting markets.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor looking to refine your approach or a newcomer trying to understand why some bets offer better long-term potential than others, this comprehensive guide will equip you with the knowledge and tools to spot those golden opportunities that bookmakers miss.
Tennis presents unique advantages for value bettors thanks to its individual nature, transparent performance data, and dynamic in-play markets.
Let’s dive into the world of tennis value betting!
Understanding the Concept of Value in Tennis Betting
Before you even place a bet, you need to understand what value really means. A value bet is one where the probability of an outcome occurring is greater than what the bookmaker’s odds suggest.
In other words, you’re getting more for your money than you should.
Take a quick example: if you believe a player has a 70% chance of winning a match, and the bookie is offering odds that imply only a 60% chance, you’ve found value.
These are the types of bets that will give you an edge — a tennis betting edge, to be exact.
This concept revolves around expected value (EV). When your expected return on a bet is positive, you’ll win over the long run, even if you lose short-term.
It’s not about winning every bet — it’s about betting at the right price.
Why Tennis Offers Unique Value Betting Opportunities
Not every sport is built for value betting, but tennis ticks many of the right boxes.
First, it’s an individual sport — just two players on the court. No complicated team tactics or squad rotations to analyse.
That makes tennis match analysis for betting far more straightforward than, say, football or basketball.
Second, tennis generates a huge amount of data: serve percentages, return points won, break point stats, head-to-head records, and more.
These detailed stats help you build accurate tennis betting probability models — a key part of finding long-term value.
And let’s not forget the structure of the betting markets. Major matches are heavily traded, but many lower-tier matches — especially on the Challenger or ITF tours — are overlooked.
These are prime areas where tennis betting market inefficiencies emerge, offering sharp bettors plenty of opportunities.
The Importance of Probability and Pricing
Bookmakers assign odds based on what they believe will happen — or sometimes based on what they think the public expects. Your job is to challenge that view.
To assess whether a bet offers value, you’ll need to understand implied probability. You can work it out like this:
Implied Probability (%) = 100 / Decimal Odds
Compare this figure with your own probability estimate, based on research, stats, and form. If your number is higher, there may be value in the bet.
Example:
Let’s say a bookmaker is offering odds of 2.40 on Carlos Alcaraz to win a match.
First, calculate the implied probability:
Implied Probability (%) = 100 / 2.40 = 41.67%
Now, based on your research — including player form, head-to-head record, surface preference, and recent performances — you estimate Alcaraz actually has a 50% chance of winning.
Since your estimated probability (50%) is higher than the bookmaker’s implied probability (41.67%), this is a value bet.
Here is a summary table showing examples of value calculations:
Bookie Odds
Implied Probability (%)
Your Estimated Probability (%)
Value Calculation
Value (%)
2.00
50.00
55
(55 × 2.00) – 100 = 10.00
10.00
2.50
40.00
50
(50 × 2.50) – 100 = 25.00
25.00
3.00
33.33
40
(40 × 3.00) – 100 = 20.00
20.00
This is the kind of math that underpins profitable tennis betting. By using data to beat the bookies’ estimates, you gain a repeatable edge.
Proven Tactics That Deliver Results
Knowing how to spot a value bet is one thing — turning that insight into consistent profit is another.
Successful tennis value bettors don’t rely on luck or gut feeling; they use repeatable, disciplined strategies that help them stay one step ahead of the bookmakers.
Here are some of the most effective tactics you can use to uncover and exploit tennis betting value.
🎯 Specialise in a Specific Niche
One of the smartest things you can do is focus your attention on a specific segment of the tennis world — a surface, a tour, or even a handful of players. Why? Because the more specialised your knowledge, the more likely you are to spot pricing mistakes others miss.
Example: You decide to focus on WTA clay court matches. You study serving stats, rally lengths, and player preferences in this environment.
As this is a more niche market, odds are less efficient. You notice that Sara Sorribes Tormo — a gritty baseliner with great endurance — is often underrated on clay, especially against hard-court specialists.
This gives you repeatable value betting opportunities during the spring European clay swing.
🧠 Go Against Public Opinion
Bookmakers often shade odds based on public sentiment. If a popular player is expected to win, the price may be shorter than it should be — creating value on the other side.
Example: Nick Kyrgios is playing a first-round match after a long injury layoff. Despite this, his popularity causes bookmakers to install him as a 1.50 favourite.
You do your homework and see his opponent is match-fit, in good form, and has a solid return game.
The Kyrgios odds are driven by name value, not current performance — so you back the underdog at 2.75, giving you a significant edge.
🔄 Exploit Recency Bias and Market Overreactions
Bookmakers — and punters — often overreact to recent results. A player who’s just had a big win might be overvalued in their next match, while a top seed who just lost may offer value in their next outing.
Example: Player A beats a top-10 opponent in a marathon match. In the next round, they’re priced as a strong favourite against a lower-ranked player. But you notice that Player A has a poor recovery record after long matches and struggles to back up big wins.
This is a great spot to fade the favourite and back the underdog, especially in games handicap markets or in-play if signs of fatigue appear early.
💡 Back Lesser-Known Players in Qualifying Rounds or Early Matches
The early rounds of tournaments, especially qualifiers, are often under-analysed by bookmakers. If you know the circuit well, you can find massive edges here.
Example: In the Australian Open qualifying round, a young player ranked outside the top 200 is facing an ageing journeyman. You’ve followed the youngster’s Challenger performances and know they’ve recently beaten several top-100 players.
However, the market undervalues them due to low name recognition. They’re priced at 3.00 — but you know the match is closer to a 50/50 — making this a strong value opportunity.
⚙️ Use Serve and Return Statistics to Spot Mismatches
Numbers don’t lie. Players with elite service or return games are often undervalued when facing opponents who can’t counter those weapons.
Example: You analyse a match where Player B has one of the highest return points won on hard courts. Their opponent, Player C, has a weak second serve and wins only 40% of second serve points.
You see a clear stylistic mismatch that favours Player B, but the market has them as an underdog. This is a textbook example of using tennis betting statistics to your advantage.
🔁 Take Advantage of Momentum Shifts in Live Betting
In-play betting allows you to react faster than the bookmaker — especially if you’re watching the match live and understand momentum dynamics.
Example: A big server loses the first set in a tiebreak but wasn’t broken. Their opponent is showing signs of physical strain.
The live odds now have the underdog at 3.50 to win the match — but you’ve seen enough to believe the match is still very much alive.
You back them at inflated odds, capitalising on temporary market overreaction.
🔍 Compare Odds Across Bookmakers
This might sound simple, but line shopping is one of the most overlooked value strategies. Even a 5% difference in odds can have a major impact on your long-term ROI.
Example: You find a value bet priced at 2.40 with one bookmaker, but another site is offering 2.55. Over hundreds of bets, always taking the higher price could increase your yield significantly. Tools like tennis odds comparison sites make this easy to track.
🧾 Stick to a Consistent Staking Strategy
Discipline is crucial. Even the best tennis value betting strategies will fail without proper bankroll management.
Example: You use a fixed staking method — say 1.5% of your bankroll per bet — and never deviate, even after losses. This protects your bank during losing streaks and allows compounding growth when your edge is working.
Some advanced bettors use modified Kelly Criterion strategies based on their perceived edge.
Finding Value – Being Smart
There’s no single path to success with tennis value bets, but there are consistent patterns and habits shared by profitable bettors.
Whether you’re backing niche surface specialists, fading the public, or exploiting tennis price discrepancies, these tactics are designed to put the odds in your favour.
And that’s what value betting is all about — not winning every bet, but making smart decisions again and again until the profits take care of themselves.
Key Stats That Help You Uncover Value
If you want to consistently find value in tennis odds, you need to go beyond simple win/loss records.
Digging into deeper performance metrics will help you uncover opportunities that bookmakers and casual bettors often overlook.
Here are some of the most important tennis betting statistics to focus on — and how to use them to your advantage.
1. First Serve Percentage
This stat tells you how often a player gets their first serve in. A high first serve percentage typically leads to more free points and fewer break opportunities.
Example: If Player A has a first serve percentage of 75% and a strong win rate behind it (say 80%), they’re tough to break. If they’re playing a poor returner, odds on them winning a set or covering a handicap may offer value.
2. First Serve Points Won & Second Serve Points Won
These stats show how effective a player is when the first serve lands, and how vulnerable they are on second serve.
Example: A player like John Isner may have a very high % of first serve points won (often above 80%), but relatively weaker second serve stats. This could suggest betting value on tie-breaks or over total games in his matches.
3. Break Point Conversion and Save Rates
How often a player takes or defends break point opportunities is a crucial indicator of performance under pressure.
Example: A player with a 45% break point conversion rate might outperform someone with a 30% rate, even if they create fewer chances. This could signal value on them winning sets or even in-play comebacks.
4. Return Games Won
One of the strongest indicators of a well-rounded player is their ability to win games on return. This is especially useful when assessing underdogs.
Example: If a lesser-known WTA player consistently wins 45% of return games, she may be undervalued by the market — especially when facing a player with a weak second serve.
5. Hold and Break Percentages (Combined Stats)
These give a balanced view of a player’s serve and return effectiveness. Add the two numbers together to get a composite performance measure.
Example: A player with 85% hold and 25% break gives a total of 110%. Anything over 100% suggests strong all-around performance, which is a good starting point for tennis betting value calculators or ROI models.
6. Surface-Specific Stats
Many players show huge performance swings depending on the court surface. Clay, grass, and hard courts favour different skill sets.
Example: Casper Ruud is a top-tier clay court player but performs less effectively on grass. If he plays a grass specialist and is priced as the favourite based on ranking alone, this may create a tennis court surface value bet.
7. Head-to-Head Records with Context
Head-to-head results matter, but only when considered with context: surface, time of year, and recent form.
Example: If Player X is 3–0 against Player Y on clay but 0–2 on hard courts, blindly backing them based on H2H could be misleading. However, if the match is on clay again and the odds don’t reflect this dominance, there’s value.
8. Tie-Break Frequency
This is particularly relevant in men’s matches on fast courts with big servers.
Example: If both players average over 10 aces per match and win 80% of their first serve points, backing “Over 12.5 games in a set” or “Set to go to tie-break” can often be a smart play.
9. Form vs. Quality of Opposition
A five-match winning streak may look impressive on paper, but it only matters if those wins came against quality opponents.
Example: A player winning five matches in ITF events might be outclassed in an ATP 250 event. If they’re priced short due to recency bias, backing their opponent may offer significant value.
10. Recent Match Lengths and Fatigue Factors
Tennis is physically demanding, and recent five-set battles or back-to-back matches can impact performance, especially in tournaments with quick turnarounds.
Example: If a player has played two consecutive three-hour matches, they may be vulnerable in their next round — particularly if facing an opponent with a quick previous win. Look for in-play value bets or opportunities in handicap markets.
By using these key stats in your tennis match prediction models, you’re building a stronger foundation for long-term success.
The goal is to develop an edge — a reason why your assessment differs from the bookmaker’s.
The more data you can use to support your case, the more confident (and profitable) your betting decisions will be.
Tools That Can Improve Your Betting Accuracy
In today’s digital world, there are more resources than ever to help you make better betting decisions.
Use tennis odds comparison tools to ensure you’re always getting the best price — a practice known as line shopping for tennis bets.
Explore statistical platforms like Tennis Abstract or Flashscore for in-depth data.
Try a tennis odds calculator or spreadsheet to measure value and track bets.
Use betting trackers to monitor your tennis betting ROI and calculate your betting yield percentage.
Tap into tennis prediction models or advanced tennis statistical analysis for added insight.
There are even communities and forums where bettors share strategies, ideas, and discussion about line movement or tennis in-play value opportunities.
Just remember: always verify the credibility of any tipsters or sources you follow.
Finding Value in Different Tennis Markets
When it comes to placing value bets, don’t limit yourself to the match winner market. Tennis offers a range of other options that can be just as — if not more — profitable.
Games handicap betsoften offer value when a strong favourite is expected to dominate.
Set betting provides opportunities when one player tends to start fast or fades later.
Over/Under markets can be valuable in tightly matched contests or when conditions (like fast courts) favour short matches.
First set winner bets are often mispriced and are great for spotting early value.
Outright tournament betting allows you to find value early before the public catches on.
And don’t ignore live betting. Tennis is one of the most dynamic sports for in-play markets.
Momentum swings, injuries, and fatigue all influence odds, making it a great arena for sharp, reactive bets — especially if you’re watching the match live.
Mistakes That Kill Value
Even with a solid strategy, it’s easy to fall into common traps that can wipe out your edge.
Don’t overvalue recent form without looking at the context.
Don’t ignore court speed, weather, or the type of balls being used.
Avoid betting too frequently or emotionally after losses.
Never forget to check multiple bookies for the best odds.
And most importantly, don’t bet unless there’s actual value — every wager should be backed by data and logic, not just a hunch.
Final Thoughts: Think Like a Trader, Not a Gambler
Tennis value betting isn’t about making bold predictions or backing favourites — it’s about consistently identifying where the odds are wrong and taking advantage of those discrepancies.
By learning how to evaluate probabilities, understand tennis betting statistics, and apply disciplined betting strategies, you’ll give yourself a real shot at long-term success.
Whether you’re analysing tennis player form cycles, watching for tennis live betting value strategies, or refining your own advanced tennis betting models, the goal is always the same: find the edge and stick with it.
The journey might not be glamorous, but it’s grounded in logic — and over time, that’s exactly what makes it profitable.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Tennis-shutterstock_1917494669.png400600Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-05-10 12:44:092025-05-10 12:44:09Tennis Value Bets: How to Find an Edge in the Markets
If you’re just getting into tennis betting, you’ve probably come across terms like game spread and set spread and wondered what they actually mean.
They might sound similar, but they refer to two very different types of bet, and understanding the distinction can make a big difference to your betting strategy.
In this article, we’ll break down what each term means, how they work, and which one might be best for your tennis betting approach.
🎾 What Is a Game Spread in Tennis?
A game spread is a type of handicap bet where the bookmaker gives one player a virtual advantage or disadvantage based on the total number of games won in a match.
✅ How It Works
Let’s say Novak Djokovic is playing against an unseeded player. The bookmaker thinks Djokovic is very likely to win, so to make things more balanced, they might offer:
Djokovic -5.5 games
Opponent +5.5 games
This means:
If you bet on Djokovic -5.5, he must win at least 6 more games than his opponent for your bet to win.
If you bet on Opponent +5.5, they can either win the match or lose by fewer than 6 games for your bet to come in.
🧠 Example
Let’s say the final score is:
Djokovic wins 6-4, 6-3
He won 12 games, his opponent won 7 games. That’s a +5 game difference. If you backed Djokovic at -5.5, the bet loses because he didn’t win by 6 or more.
If you backed the opponent at +5.5, the bet wins.
🎾 What Is a Set Spread in Tennis?
A set spread is similar in concept, but instead of focusing on games, it focuses on sets won.
✅ How It Works
Let’s use the same matchup. The bookmaker might offer:
Djokovic -1.5 sets
Opponent +1.5 sets
This means:
If you bet on Djokovic -1.5, he must win by 2 sets or more. In a best-of-3 match, that means he must win 2-0.
If you bet on Opponent +1.5, they must either win at least one set or win the match outright.
🧠 Example
Final score: Djokovic wins 6-4, 6-3.
He won 2 sets, the opponent 0. So a bet on Djokovic -1.5 wins.
A bet on Opponent +1.5 loses, because they didn’t win a set.
🧐 Tennis Game Spread vs Set Spread: Key Differences
Now that we’ve explained both, let’s compare the two side by side:
Feature
Game Spread
Set Spread
Based on
Total number of games won
Total number of sets won
Best for
Matches with expected dominance
Matches expected to be closer
Bet type
Handicap (e.g. -4.5 games)
Handicap (e.g. -1.5 sets)
More volatile
Yes, due to each game counting
Less volatile in short matches
Strategy tip
Great for backing favourites to win big
Good for underdogs to win a set
As you can see, while both markets involve handicaps, the game spread hinges on total games won across the match, whereas the set spread simplifies things by focusing only on the number of sets won—making each better suited to different match dynamics.
🧾 Why Does the Game Spread Matter?
The game spread market is ideal for backing a strong favourite to overcome the handicap when you think a player will dominate and win by a big margin.
Even if they lose a set, as long as they win enough games overall, you can still win the bet.
This market is great for:
Big-name players facing lower-ranked opponents
Players who have a tendency to run away with sets, winning 6-0, or 6-1 etc
Players with strong return games who can break their opponent’s serve multiple times
But there’s a catch—a surprise set loss can ruin your bet. Even if your player wins in three sets, if the game totals are close, your bet could still lose.
🧾 When to Use the Set Spread
The set spread is often a better choice for opposing the favourite when you expect a competitive match.
It focuses on set wins, not the number of games, so there’s less room for error.
This market works well when:
You expect a tight contest between two similarly matched players, or a favourite to drop a set
You want to back an underdog who might take a set
You’re betting in Grand Slam events where men’s matches are best-of-five
A player could lose a match 6-0, 0-6, 6-0 and still win 2 sets to 1—so if you bet on them with a +1.5 set spread, your bet wins regardless of how badly they lost each set!
💡 Pros and Cons of Game Spread vs Set Spread
Before deciding which market to bet on, it’s worth weighing up the key advantages and drawbacks of each option—both game spread and set spread come with their own unique strengths and potential pitfalls.
Game Spread – Pros ✅
More value if you expect a blowout win
Suitable for players with strong serve games but also the ability to break opponent’s serve
Allows margin for error in sets, as long as games are won
Game Spread – Cons ❌
Risky if the match has tie-breaks or one close set
One poor set from the favourite can cost the bet
Set Spread – Pros ✅
Easier to win if backing underdogs to take a set
More stable in close matches
Clearer outcome in straight-set wins
Set Spread – Cons ❌
Less value when backing strong favourites
Limited margin for error—your player must win 2-0 or 3-0 for -1.5 bets
🔍 Which One Should You Bet On?
It depends on your betting style and the specific match:
Game Spread is ideal when you believe a player will not only win but win comfortably. It offers greater margins and is excellent for one-sided matchups.
Set Spread is better when you’re unsure if a player will run away with the match but believe they’ll edge out a win in tight sets. It’s also good for underdogs who can put up a fight.
A savvy bettor might even use both in different ways depending on the round, surface, and players involved.
🎯 Tips for Betting on Tennis Spreads
To make the most of tennis spread betting, it helps to go beyond the basics—these practical tips can give you an edge when deciding between game and set spreads.
Know the players’ styles: Big servers like John Isner may win many sets via tiebreaks, limiting game spreads. On the flip side, grinders like Carlos Alcaraz can rack up games.
Check recent form: Players returning from injury or showing fatigue might underperform.
Surface matters: Clay courts favour longer rallies and can lead to more one-sided sets. Hard courts can produce tight games.
Weather and conditions: Heat, wind, or altitude can all influence how dominant a player can be.
Live betting: Watch how the first few games go. If a favourite looks dominant, the game spread live market can present opportunities.
Alternatively if you want tips from top tennis experts, check out our guide on the Best Tennis Tipsters here.
🏁 Final Thoughts
When it comes to tennis game spread vs set spread, both offer exciting and profitable options for punters who understand the nuances of each market.
Game spreads give you more granular control over match dynamics, while set spreads simplify things and reward accurate overall predictions.
Ultimately, the best choice comes down to how confident you are in a player’s dominance. Either way, knowing the difference can give you the edge the next time you place a tennis bet.
So next time you’re looking at a tight ATP clash or a lopsided WTA showdown, ask yourself: Am I backing a blowout or just a solid win? The answer might just point you towards the smarter spread to bet on.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Tennis-players-pic-3.png400600Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-05-02 17:03:272025-05-02 17:11:39Tennis Game Spread vs Set Spread: What’s the Difference and Which Should You Bet On?
Tennis is one of the most engaging sports to bet on, with many markets to suit different strategies and preferences.
One of the most popular is over/under betting, where you bet on whether a particular aspect of a match—such as total games or total sets—will be higher or lower than a given number.
Looking to learn how to bet on tennis over/under? This guide will break down the basics, as well as provide strategies and tips to help you make informed bets.
What Is Over/Under Betting in Tennis?
Over/under betting, also known as totals betting, is when you predict whether a particular statistic in a match will be over or under a number set by the bookmaker.
This is most commonly applied to the total number of games in a match, but can also include total sets or even player-specific totals.
For example, in a match between Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, a bookmaker might set the total games line at 22.5 games.
If you bet on over 22.5 games, you need the match to have 23 or more games. If you bet on under 22.5 games, the match must end with 22 or fewer games for you to win.
Here are some examples of what that means in practice:
Example 1: Match Finishes Under 22.5 Games (Bet Wins on ‘Under’)
Final Score: Djokovic wins 6-3, 6-4
Total Games Played: 6+3 + 6+4 = 19 games
Outcome: Since 19 games is less than 22.5, an ‘under 22.5 games’ bet wins.
Example 2: Match Finishes Over 22.5 Games (Bet Wins on ‘Over’)
Final Score: Alcaraz wins 7-5, 6-4
Total Games Played: 7+5 + 6+4 = 22 games
Outcome: Since 22 games is still under 22.5, an ‘under’ bet wins, but only just!
Example 3: Match Finishes Over 22.5 Games (Bet Wins on ‘Over’)
Final Score: Djokovic wins 7-6, 6-4
Total Games Played: 7+6 + 6+4 = 23 games
Outcome: Since 23 games is more than 22.5, an ‘over 22.5 games’ bet wins.
Example 4: Match Finishes Well Over 22.5 Games (Bet Wins on ‘Over’)
Final Score: Alcaraz wins 6-4, 3-6, 7-5
Total Games Played: 6+4 + 3+6 + 7+5 = 31 games
Outcome:Over 22.5 games bet wins easily because the total is much higher.
Key Takeaways
If the match finishes in straight sets with fewer games, the under bet is more likely to win.
If the match is tight, with long sets or goes to a third set, the over bet is more likely to win.
Tiebreaks and close sets tend to push the total over the set line.
Now let’s take a look at some other over/under bets in tennis.
Types of Over/Under Bets in Tennis
There are various other types of over/under bets in tennis, including:
Total Games Over/Under – Betting on the total number of games in a match.
Total Sets Over/Under – Betting on whether a match will have more or fewer sets than a given number.
Player Total Games Over/Under – Betting on whether a specific player will win more or fewer games than the set line.
First Set Total Games Over/Under – Wagering on the number of games played in just the first set.
Here are some examples of over/under bets in tennis covering various markets and scenarios:
Match
Over/Under Market
Bet Example
Outcome
Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz
Total Games Over/Under 22.5
Over 22.5 Games
If the match has 23+ games, the bet wins.
Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka
Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Sets
If the match finishes in two sets, the bet wins.
Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
First Set Total Games Over/Under 10.5
Over 10.5 Games
If the first set has 11+ games (e.g. 7-5 or 7-6), the bet wins.
Alexander Zverev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Player Total Games Over/Under 12.5
Over 12.5 Games for Zverev
If Zverev wins 13+ games, the bet wins.
How to Bet on Tennis Over/Under: What to Consider
To win at over/under betting in tennis, you need to consider the following:
1. Players’ Playing Styles
Some players have aggressive playing styles that result in quick points and shorter matches, while others like long rallies that extend games. For example:
Big servers like John Isner or Reilly Opelka have longer matches because they hold serve frequently, which means tiebreaks. That’s more likely to be over.
Baseliners like Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner tend to get involved in long rallies, which can also mean longer matches if both players can’t break serve.
2. Head-to-Head Record
Looking at past matches between two players can be helpful. If two players have had tight matches with multiple sets in the past, over is often a good bet.
If one player has dominated previous encounters with straight-set wins, under might be the way to go.
3. Surface
The surface plays a big role in how long a match lasts:
Clay courts (e.g., Roland Garros) – Matches have longer rallies, more games and sets. Over can often be good on clay in the right match-up.
Grass courts (e.g., Wimbledon) – Points are typically shorter, with quicker matches and fewer games, so under is often good on grass.
Hard courts (e.g., US Open, Australian Open) – The surface can go either way, it often depends on player styles.
4. Match Format (Best of Three vs Best of Five Sets)
ATP and WTA tournaments are best of three sets, which is important to bear in mind when betting on over/under markets.
Grand Slam men’s matches on the other hand are best of five sets, so more games and more chances for the over to hit.
5. Player Fatigue and Fitness
If a player is tired or injured, they may struggle to compete for long, so it could be a quick match (under).
If both players are fresh and evenly matched, the match could be competitive and longer (over).
How to Bet on Tennis Over/Under
Over/under betting in tennis is a simple yet enthralling way to wager on matches without needing to predict the winner.
Instead, you focus on whether the total number of games, sets, or other match statistics will go over or under a bookmaker’s set line.
This type of betting is popular because it allows you to take advantage of match dynamics, playing styles, and conditions rather than relying solely on picking a winner.
Here are some scenarios to consider when betting on over/under betting in tennis:
1. Tight Match-Ups
When two players are evenly matched, it’s often longer matches with more games. If both have a strong serve and weak return, there can often be tiebreaks and three-set battles.
2. Player Form and Motivation
A player out of form may not be able to hold serve, so it could be a quick match (under). If both players are in form, the match may be competitive and longer (over).
3. Live Betting for Better Insight
Watching the match live allows you to see how the players perform in real-time. If the match starts with long service holds and long rallies, betting the over live might be a good option, although the odds for that may have already dropped of course.
If one player dominates early, under might be the way to go.
4. Weather
Windy conditions can mean more breaks of serve and less games. Fast conditions (indoor courts) often mean quick service holds and longer matches.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Even experienced bettors can make errors when betting on tennis over/under markets.
Understanding the most common mistakes can help you avoid unnecessary losses and improve your overall strategy.
❌ Not considering Player Match-Ups
Not all players perform the same against different opponents. A player who dominates weaker opponents can win in straight sets (under) but struggle against higher ranked opponents (over).
❌ Not checking recent form
A player who can’t hold serve is more likely to lose quickly, which could mean the under bet landing. Always check their recent matches.
❌ Overlooking tournament conditions
Some tournaments have unique conditions. For example, the Australian Open often has extreme heat, which means fatigue and quicker matches (under), while Roland Garros has slow clay courts which means long rallies and longer matches (over).
Conclusion
Betting on tennis over/under can be a good strategy if done right. By looking at player styles, head-to-head records, surface conditions and other factors you can make informed bets rather than just trust to luck.
Remember, there are also opportunities with live betting where you can react to the flow of the match. And as always, bet responsibly and track your results to improve over time.
Now that you know how to bet on tennis over/under, why not try it out with the next big tennis tournament? 🎾
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Over-under-tennis-pic.png342600Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2025-03-01 12:31:372025-03-01 12:31:37How to Bet on Tennis Over/Under: A Complete Guide
Lucrative Rackets is a tennis betting service launched in early 2024 by the team behind Lucrative MMA Betting, which previously passed a trial here at Honest Betting Reviews with flying colours.
Tips are provided across various tennis tours, including down to the lower levels of Challenger and ITF events.
Most of the bets are in the match odds market but some side markets such as set score, handicap and the like are used.
Bets are sent via the Telegram messenger app.
We were hopeful that this service would deliver strong results, and overall, we are pleased to say that it has performed well.
During our four-month trial, Lucrative Rackets generated +17 points profit at a solid 59% strike rate and a 12% ROI.
These are commendable numbers in tennis betting, where achieving consistent profitability can be challenging.
Our Experience During the Trial
Our major concern with this service was price availability however.
Just over half the bets during our trial were in Challenger/ITF events and over half were in doubles matches, with quite a small proportion in singles ATP/WTA events.
There were some major odds movements on these more illiquid markets. For instance, prices could drop significantly within minutes on ITF doubles and Challenger-level matches.
Betting on these markets also brings the risk of account restrictions from the bookies and these markets are not typically available on the exchanges – or have very little liquidity if they are available.
So we do have a question mark about how practical this service is to follow. Certainly if you are following the service you need to be lightning fast to get the bets on and be prepared for some possible account restrictions.
It is also worth noting that on the – albeit limited – sample size of our trial, the profit for the trial did come from the Challenger/ITF events, whilst the ATP/WTA events ended up breaking even.
As we say, this was a relatively small sample size so may not be the case in the long run, but is something to note from our trial in any event.
Overall, we are prepared to give Lucrative Rackets a narrow PASSED rating as it did achieve positive results during our trial.
The strike rate, ROI, and overall bank growth were all commendable and clearly the tipster does have an edge in the markets tipped in.
However, this does come with a major health warning that a lot of the markets tipped in are illiquid and odds crash quickly.
So it is important to bear this in mind and be prepared to act quickly when receiving the tips if you want to get close to the advised prices.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The selections are sent out via the Telegram messenger app. There is normally plenty of time to get the bets on and with around 1-2 bets per day on average the workload is pretty manageable.
Availability of prices: As discussed above, price availability was an issue during our trial, with over half the tips coming in illiquid, lower tier events and doubles matches.
The first thing you will need is a good spread of bookmaker accounts (especially Bet365, but also the likes of Ladbrokes, DraftKings, Neds, Bovada & 10Bet would be useful), secondly to be able to act very quickly once tips are posted on Telegram, and thirdly be prepared that you may suffer account restrictions if using soft books like Bet365.
Strike rate: The strike rate for our trial was impressive at 59% and we didn’t experience any extended drawdowns during our trial which was good.
Advised Betting Bank: A 100 point betting bank is recommended for following the service. That seems fairly reasonable to us and was never in jeopardy during our trial.
Subscription costs: The subscription costs at the time of writing are £67, so this is probably a service for serious bettors in the main.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
Lucrative Rackets delivered a solid performance in our trial, generating +17 points profit, a 12% ROI, and a 59% strike rate.
However, the heavy focus on illiquid markets like ITF and Challenger doubles matches makes it tough to obtain advised prices, and account restrictions could be an issue.
While the tipster appears to have an edge, success will largely depend on how quickly you can place bets and whether you have access to the necessary bookmaker accounts.
Overall, we are giving Lucrative Rackets a narrow PASSED rating, but with a strong caution regarding price availability.
As mentioned last time, prices tend to get hit pretty hard on the more illiquid markets such as ITF doubles matches.
You have to move very fast if you want to get anything like the advised prices on those bets.
Some of the tips are in more mainstream ATP and WTA matches where the odds are more achievable however, so it’s a question of just doing the best you can on each tip with this service really.
It’s a quiet period for this service at the moment with no bets in December as the tennis season has wound down, but they will be back up and running again in January for the events down under.
As mentioned last time, prices tend to get hit pretty hard on the more illiquid markets such as ITF doubles matches.
You have to move very fast if you want to get anything like the advised prices on those bets.
Some of the tips are in more mainstream ATP and WTA matches where the odds are more achievable however, so it’s a question of just doing the best you can on each tip with this service really.
We are starting a new review today of a tennis betting service called Lucrative Rackets.
This is a service that started up on 1st January this year and it comes from the same team behind the Lucrative MMA Betting Tipster service, which passed a trial here at HBR with flying colours back in 2022.
The new tennis service has produced some impressive results so far, with 92 points profit made at a strike rate of 60% and a return on investment (ROI) of 18%.
Those are really strong stats in tennis betting, where an ROI of between 5 and 10% is typically considered very good.
The tips come in a variety of tours, including the main ATP and WTA Tours but also the smaller ITF events and in doubles matches as well as singles.
A variety of markets are also used, including match odds, game handicaps, set betting, breaks of serve and more.
Members of the service receive the tips via the Telegram app, with advised odds and lowest acceptable odds included.
We have been looking out for a good tennis tipster for a while so let’s hope this one can deliver the goods under live trial conditions.
We started receiving tips on 30th August so will record results from then.
As usual we will update results here as we go along so you can see how they are getting on.
Tennis is one of the most popular sports to bet on, with loads of markets to choose from. The set spread is a favourite among experienced punters looking for specialist markets to bet on.
But what does “set spread” mean in tennis betting and how can you use it to your advantage?
In this guide we’ll cover everything you need to know about set spread betting in tennis from the basics to advanced tips.
What is Set Spread in Tennis Betting?
The set spread is a market where you bet on the margin of sets between two players in a match.
Instead of just betting on who will win, you’re predicting whether a player will win by a certain number of sets or if their opponent will keep the match closer than the spread suggests.
For example, let’s say Carlos Alcaraz was playing a lower ranked player such as Tallon Griekspoor:
If the set spread is -1.5 for Alcaraz, you’re betting he will win by two sets (e.g. 2-0 in a best of three or 3-0 or 3-1 in a best of five). That’s because if he wins 2-0 for example, then even taking away the -1.5 set handicap, Alcaraz would still win (in effect 0.5-0 in sets).
If the set spread is +1.5 for Griekspoor, you’re betting he will win the match, or only lose by one set (e.g. 1-2 in a best of three or 2-3 in a best of five). So if he loses 2-1 for example, then with the +1.5 handicap, he would in effect win 2.5-2 in sets.
This adds an extra layer of strategy to tennis betting as it’s focused on the competitiveness of the match rather than just the winner.
How Is Set Spread Different to Game Spread?
The set spread is based on the number of sets won, whereas the game spread is based on the total number of games won by each player.
For example:
In set betting you are backing a player to win once the set handicap is taken into account. The number of games won by each player is irrelevant.
Conversely, in game handicap betting a player might lose in sets but could still win the game handicap (e.g. if they lost 7-6, 0-6, 7-5 for example).
Both require analysis but set spread can be useful when there’s a clear favourite as it often offers better odds than a straight match winner bet.
Better Odds: Backing a favourite to cover the spread gives you higher odds than betting on them to win.
More Value: If you think an underdog can keep the match close, betting on them with a positive set spread gives you value.
Strategic Depth: This market allows you to use your knowledge of players’ weaknesses and playing styles.
Odds for Set Spread Betting
Let’s take a look at the typical odds for set spread betting with a couple of examples.
Example 1: A. Shevchenko vs. P. Carreno-Busta
In a match that was expected to be closely contested between A. Shevchenko and P. Carreno-Busta in the United Cup, the odds were as follows:
Bet Type
Odds for Carreno-Busta
Odds for Shevchenko
Match Winner
1.73
2.10
-1.5 Handicap
2.75
3.60
+1.5 Handicap
1.29
1.48
In this closely contested match, the odds for either player to win with a -1.5 handicap were high, while the odds for either to win with a +1.5 handicap were low, under 1.5 in both cases.
Example 2: A. Zverev vs. U. Humbert
In a match with a strong favourite between A. Zverev and U. Humbert at the ATP Paris tournament, the odds were:
Bet Type
Odds for Zverev
Odds for Humbert
Match Winner
1.40
3.00
-1.5 Handicap
2.20
5.80
+1.5 Handicap
1.15
1.70
Zverev won the match 2-0, meaning bets on him with both the -1.5 and +1.5 handicaps would have been successful.
The -1.5 handicap can be particularly useful if you think a favourite is likely to dominate their opponent and win in straight sets.
What to Consider When Betting on the Set Spread
To win at set spread tennis betting you need to analyse the match thoroughly.
Here’s what to consider:
1. Form and Fitness
Recent form and fitness plays a big part in how competitive a match will be.
A player coming back from injury or struggling with fatigue may not win or even keep sets close.
2. H2H
Past matches between the two players can be useful.
Some players have a good record against certain opponents which can affect the likelihood of a one sided or close match.
3. Surface
The surface (e.g. grass, clay, hard court) can have a big impact on a player’s performance.
For example a clay court specialist may struggle on grass so a closer match is more likely.
4. Match Format
The format (best of three or best of five sets) affects set spread betting.
In Grand Slam events where matches are best of five, favourites have more chance to cover a negative spread.
5. Mental Strength
Some players thrive under pressure, others crumble in big moments.
Assess a player’s mental toughness to see if they’ll win easily or just scrape through a close match.
If you back Sinner -1.5, he needs to win 2-0 for your bet to win. If Habib wins a set or the match your bet loses.
Example 2
A match between Laslo Djere and Alex de Minaur at the French Open.
Laslo Djere: Clay court player.
Alex de Minaur: Grass court specialist.
Set Spread: Djere -2.5, de Minaur +2.5.
If you back de Minaur +2.5 he can lose 2-3 or 1-3 and your bet will win. But if Djere wins 3-0 your bet loses.
Tips for Set Spread Betting
When it comes to set spread betting, preparation is everything.
Here are some practical tips to help you make informed decisions and improve your chances of success:
1. Specialise in Certain Tournaments
By focusing on certain tournaments you can build up expertise. Grand Slams are often more predictable due to the best of five format.
If you notice a player tends to dominate early rounds in Slams but struggles in smaller tournaments, you can adjust your set spread bets accordingly.
For example back them to cover a -2.5 spread in the first round of Wimbledon but not in ATP 250s.
2. Use Statistics
Use data to make decisions. Platforms like Flashscore or the ATP and WTA sites have loads of info on player performance – serve percentages, break points saved, win rates on different surfaces.
For example if a player has a high first serve percentage and dominates service games they are more likely to win sets convincingly so are good for a -1.5 spread bet.
3. Live Betting
For example if a favourite starts slowly and loses the first set bookmakers may adjust the set spread.
If you think they will recover and win 2-1 you can back them mid-match and get good value.
4. Shop Around
Not all bookmakers offer the same odds or spreads. Compare across multiple platforms to get the best value for your bets.
For example one bookmaker might have Player A at -1.5 1.80 and another at 1.90. Over time these small differences add up.
5. Bankroll Management
Discipline is key to long term success. Set a staking plan, for example betting a fixed percentage of your bankroll on each bet.
Don’t chase losses as this can lead to poor decisions and unnecessary risk.
For example if your bankroll is £500 you might decide to stake 2% (£10) on each bet so you can ride out losing runs without depleting your funds.
Don’t Make These Mistakes
Before placing your bets, it’s important to be aware of potential pitfalls.
Avoiding these common mistakes can save you from unnecessary losses:
1. Ignore Match Context
Player injuries, fatigue, external conditions (weather etc) can have a huge impact on the outcome. Betting without considering these can lead to bad decisions.
For example backing a player at -1.5 without knowing they’ve just played a 5 setter the day before could lead to losses.
2. Overestimating Favourites
Even top players sometimes don’t cover a set spread against a good opponent. Assuming a favourite will win every match is a common mistake.
For example a heavy favourite might win 2-1 but not cover -1.5 because their opponent played well in one set.
3. Underestimating Underdogs
Backing underdogs with a positive spread can be great value especially in close matches.
For example if an underdog has a +2.5 spread in a best-of-five match they only need to win one set or lose 2-3 for your bet to win.
Ignoring these opportunities means missing out on good bets.
4. Not Adapting Mid Match
Live betting is a powerful tool but not adapting to the match dynamics can cost you.
If you backed a player at -1.5 and they are struggling consider hedging or looking for other in-play opportunities.
Conclusion – Set Spread Betting in Tennis
Set spread tennis betting is a fun market with plenty of opportunities for the smart punter.
By understanding this market and doing your research you’ll be more likely to win.
Remember to consider form, surface and head to head and always gamble responsibly.
Good luck with your tennis betting and please remember to always gamble responsibly.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/Tennis-ball-shutterstock_1174094719.png400599Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2024-12-27 18:10:102024-12-27 18:29:14Set Spread in Tennis Betting: A Complete Guide
The Rolling Aces is a tennis tipster from the Betting Gods stable of tipsters.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system.
In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed.
It is much like an accumulator but doing it manually because the bets are over a few days.
The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into either 10pts or 20pts for each attempt. Normally it takes 4 or 5 winning bets in a row to successfully complete a sequence.
If a sequence is completed – or loses – you go back to the beginning and start with a 1 point stake.
In that sense it is good because you aren’t risking more than one point of your bank for each sequence – that is the most you can lose for each sequence. So it’s not like loss-recovery (aka martingale) in which stakes can become ridiculous quite quickly.
In any event, for the purposes of our review we recorded the results at both the advised staking and 1 point level stakes, to aid comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
The bets come in a variety of markets including match odds, handicaps, over/under games and more. The vast majority of bets are on the main ATP and WTA Tours.
We ran an extended 18 month review which gave us a very good sample size of 409 bets.
At the end of our trial, The Rolling Aces finished with a commendable 93 points profit at their advised rolling staking.
That was achieved with a high strike rate of 61% and a solid return on investment of 9%.
At one-point level staking, the returns were a little more modest, with a profit of 11 points made over the course of our trial.
So really it looks like if you are following this service then the rolling staking is the way to go.
As mentioned above, we don’t see this as a problem as it is not loss-recovery staking or really any more risky than one point level staking.
The profits were pretty steady during the trial, as you can see here:
Overall then we are happy to award The Rolling Aces a PASSED rating.
It finished just under the 100 point profit mark which is good going and was solidly in profit for pretty much our entire trial.
Service Breakdown
Ease of use: The selections are sent out by e-mail, at different times of day depending on when the matches are. Either way there is plenty of time to get the bets on and with around 1 bet per day on average the workload is very manageable.
Availability of prices: We didn’t notice a huge impact on prices so you should be able to get close to the recorded results without too much problem.
Strike rate: The strike rate for our trial was good at 61% so there was a reasonably steady rate of returns and drawdowns were kept to a minimum.
Advised Betting Bank: A 150 point bank is recommended for following the service which seems reasonable to us and was never in jeopardy during the course of our 18 month trial.
Subscription costs: The current subscription costs at the time of writing are £0.99 for the first ten days then £37 per month.
OVERALL VERDICT: PASSED
It’s been quite a while since we passed a tennis service here at Honest Betting Reviews as good ones are hard to come by.
So we are pleased to see The Rolling Aces come through an extended 18 month trial with a commendable 93 points profit at advised staking.
With decent metrics of a 61% strike rate and 9% ROI, it’s a clear PASSED rating from us for this innovative tennis tipster.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes there has been no change since our last update, meaning they are still 13 points up for our trial overall.
So good to see the flat staking also in profit, but if you are following this service then clearly the advised staking is the better option to use.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes there has been no change since our last update, meaning they are still 13 points up for our trial overall.
So good to see the flat staking also in profit, but if you are following this service then clearly the advised staking is the better option to use.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes there has been no change since our last update, meaning they are still 9 points up for our trial overall.
So if you are following this service then clearly the advised staking is the better option to use.
Firstly we hope you had a good Christmas and are enjoying Boxing Day and all the leftovers!
Onto today’s review update and the good times continue for tennis tipster The Rolling Aces, with another 11 points profit made since our last update at advised staking.
That means they are now 94 points up for our trial overall at advised staking.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they made a profit of 3 points since our last update, meaning they are now 9 points up for our trial overall.
So if you are following this service then clearly the advised staking is the better option to use.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they made a loss of 1 point since our last update, meaning they are now 6 points up for our trial overall.
So if you are following this service then clearly the advised staking is the better option to use.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they have made 3 points profit since our last update, meaning they are now 7 points up for our trial overall.
So clearly the advised staking is proving more profitable so far. Although it is unusual staking system it isn’t loss-recovery (Martingale) so isn’t overly risky by any means.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they have made 14 points profit since our last update, meaning they are now 4 points up for our trial overall.
So clearly the advised staking is proving more profitable so far. Although it is unusual staking system it isn’t loss-recovery (Martingale) so isn’t overly risky by any means.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes there has been no change since our last update, meaning they are still 10 points down for our trial overall.
So as mentioned last time a bit of a divergence in results depending on which staking system you use, but the rolling staking isn’t a loss recovery system so doesn’t come with inherently more risk — you are only ever rolling on winnings, not chasing losses.
A small movement in the right direction for tennis tipster The Rolling Aces over the last month, with a profit of 8 points made since our last update at advised staking.
That means they are now 36 points up for our trial overall at advised staking.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they have lost 2 points since our last update and are 10 points down for our trial overall.
So a bit of a divergence in results depending on which staking system you use.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they have lost 1 point since our last update and are 8 points down for our trial overall.
Things have bounced back nicely for tennis tipster The Rolling Aces recently, with a profit of 14 points made since our last update at advised staking.
That means they are now 39 points up for our trial overall at advised staking.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed, or there’s a loser. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt.
We are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system.
Using flat stakes they have lost 4 points since our last update and are 7 points down for our trial overall.
There’s been something of a setback for tennis tipster The Rolling Aces recently, with a loss of 25 points made since our last update at advised staking.
That means they are now 25 points up for our trial overall at advised staking.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed. So much like an accumulator but doing it manually because the bets are over a few days. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt. Normally it takes 4 or 5 winning bets in a row to successfully complete.
If a sequence loses you go back to the beginning and start with 1 point staked. In that sense it is good because you aren’t risking more than one point of your stakes for each sequence – that is the most you can lose for each sequence. So it’s not like loss-recovery (aka martingale) in which stakes can become ridiculous quite quickly.
In any event, we are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system. They are 3 points down for our trial to date at level stakes.
This service uses an unusual “rolling accumulator” staking system. In essence this means they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet until a sequence of winners is completed. So much like an accumulator but doing it manually because the bets are over a few days. The aim in each sequence of bets is to turn 1pt into 20pts for each attempt. Normally it takes 4 or 5 winning bets in a row to successfully complete.
If a sequence loses you go back to the beginning and start with 1 point staked. In that sense it is good because you aren’t risking more than one point of your stakes for each sequence – that is the most you can lose for each sequence. So it’s not like loss-recovery (aka martingale) in which stakes can become ridiculous quite quickly.
In any event, we are also recording results at level stakes for the purpose of comparison and to be sure the tips are profitable in themselves and not just because of the staking system. The good news is they are also in profit at level stakes, with 7 points profit made for our trial to date.
Today we are starting a new trial of a tennis tipster called The Rolling Aces.
Over the years we have come across very few high-quality tennis betting services. In fact to date we only have one approved tennis service – Tennis Goldmine.
Yet tennis is one of the most gambled-on sports in the world and with matches pretty much year-round it does offer lots of opportunities to bet on.
So we are always eager to check out any promising new tennis services and The Rolling Aces looks like it fits the bill.
It’s only been proofing to the Betting Gods site since August last year but has made a profit every month since then, with total profit of over 110 points made so far.
That has been achieved at a massive return on investment (ROI) of 42% and an excellent strike rate of 66%.
The bets tend to come in more niche markets like handicaps, number of games, breaks of serve etc.
There is a twist with this service though and that comes with the staking. In essence they roll on the stakes and profit from the previous bet. So much like an accumulator but doing it manually because the bets are over a few days so it wouldn’t be possible to place them in an acca as the odds wouldn’t be available.
It’s a little unusual to be honest and not a staking system we have seen used too often. It’s not inherently risky though because you are starting with one point stakes and only rolling on previous gains, so it’s totally different to loss-recovery staking systems that we are not normally fans of.
As ever though we will see whether it works in practice under a live trial. We started receiving tips on 20th January so will record results from then and will update progress as we go along here.
https://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/tennis-6.png399600Danhttps://www.honestbettingreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/hbr-logo-new-300x145.pngDan2023-06-28 07:55:182024-08-19 18:03:25The Rolling Aces – Final Review
Please note that this service has now been placed on hold.
Wadster, who runs the service, provided this update via Telegram:
“The truth is mentally I’ve not been at my sharpest for the previous few weeks and the last thing I want to be doing is to be sending bad bets or ones with negative EV when that’s the case.
Unfortunately, the present circumstances are unlikely to change soon, and I do think it’s best for myself and all of you that I take a break from tennis tipping whilst I consider my options moving forward.
Hence, there will be a break in the service, where I’ll provide everyone with an update in by the start of August by the latest.”
So we will place this review on hold for the time being pending a decision on if/when it will recommence.
Just a reminder this is a tennis tipster where tips are sent out via Telegram, usually with write-ups and/or analysis afterwards.
The service works on a “pay as you win” model, whereby subscribers only pay for tips if Aidan make profits for them, and they purchase these in the form of credits/points at a cost of £5 per point.
Just a reminder this is a tennis tipster where tips are sent out via Telegram, usually with write-ups and/or analysis afterwards.
The service works on a “pay as you win” model, whereby subscribers only pay for tips if Aidan make profits for them, and they purchase these in the form of credits/points at a cost of £5 per point.
It’s been a while since we reviewed a tennis tipster here at Honest Betting Reviews so we are pleased to be starting one today.
This service is called Wadster Winners (formerly Wadster Tips) and the tips come from a guy called Aidan Wardle.
Aidan says his approach “has always been largely based on an intuitive understanding of tennis and the factors that are important in winning a match. I know how to then apply relevant data to solidify my opinions on betting ideas and to create value bets to make profits.”
The approach appears to have worked very well, with 197 points profit made since starting up in 2019, according to the results on the website. These tips have been proofed to the pyckio website as well as the SBC so have some solid verification behind them.
The returns have been achieved with a return on investment of just over 8% which is very respectable in tennis terms.
Each of the last three years has produced over 40 points profit which is a strong level of consistency.
The tips are provided via a betting bot on Telegram, which is increasingly becoming tipsters’ modus operandi these days.
The service works on a “pay as you win” model, whereby subscribers only pay for tips if Aidan make profits for them, and they purchase these in the form of credits/points at a cost of £5 per point.
That’s fair enough really and it’s surprising in some ways that more tipsters don’t operate in this way.
In any event, this looks like an impressive all-round service and one of the better tennis tipsters we have come across so we are looking forward to getting the trial underway. Results will be updated here as we go along as usual.
Today we are starting a new trial of a tennis trading service called Tennis Profits.
Those of you familiar with the ever-popular football trading service Goal Profits will not be surprised to learn that they are branching out and bringing their considerable trading expertise to another sport.
The service is a collaboration between Paul Shires – who has run the Trade Shark Tennis service for over ten years now – Matt Bisogno of the excellent GeeGeez racing website – and Steve Brown of the aforementioned Goal Profits.
Paul is the main man doing the trading and he has been a full-time pro tennis trader for a number of years now.
In terms of what the service is all about, it follows a similar structure to Goal Profits. There are:
Trading Guides – getting started etc
A stats database of over 900 male and female players
A live stats tool for trading matches in-play
A set of strategies for trading tennis matches
A live chat room where you can follow along with Paul and his trades
Full support from the team
So it’s pretty comprehensive and the aim is to provide a full set of tools for those who want to trade tennis successfully – much in the same way as Goal Profits does for football.
To kick off the new service, Paul is even giving away a FREE guide which you can pick up. It’s a perfect time to get started with Wimbledon getting underway next week.
Meanwhile we’ll be taking a look at the nuts and bolts of the service and getting to grips with what it’s all about. We’ll report back here soon on what we’ve found.
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